As communist China turns 75 can Xi fix its economy?

Getty Images People walk past a giant screen outside a shopping mall which displays a sign marking the 75th anniversary of the founding of the People's Republic of China, on the third day of a week-long National Day holidays in Beijing on 3 October, 2024.Getty Images

The ruling Communist Party unveiled a number of methods to boost China’s struggling economy as it prepared to observe its Golden Week trip and commemorate its 75th anniversary.

The plans included support for the country’s crisis-hit home business, support for the investment industry, money handouts for the weak and more government spending.

Following the announcements, stocks in mainland China and Hong Kong experienced report benefits.

However, economists caution that the policies may not be sufficient to solve China’s financial difficulties.

Some of the new measures announced by the People’s Bank of China ( PBOC ) on 24 September took direct aim at the country’s beaten-down stock market.

The new tools included funding worth 800bn yuan ($ 114bn, £85.6bn ) that can be borrowed by insurers, brokers and asset managers to buy shares.

Pan Gongsheng, the governor, added that the central banks had assistance listed companies that wanted to buy back their own shares. He also announced plans to lower borrowing costs and allow banks to increase their financing.

Only two days after the PBOC’s news, Xi Jinping chaired a shock economy-focused conference of the country’s best officials, known as the Politburo.

Authorities made the promise to increase government spending to help the economy.

The standard Shanghai Composite Index rose by more than 8 % on Monday, the day before China began its weeklong vacation, making it its best day since the global financial crisis of 2008, when it reached its peak. The action marked the end of a 20 % increase over the course of the previous five days of protest.

The Hang Seng in Hong Kong increased by over 6 % the day after businesses closed on the island.

” Buyers loved the presentations”, China researcher, Bill Bishop said.

Mr. Xi has more pressing problems to address than just popping vodka lids, which investors may have had.

Getty Images China's President Xi Jinping speaks during a National Day reception on the eve of the 75th anniversary of the People's Republic of China.Getty Images

With the 75th anniversary of the Soviet Union’s establishment, The People’s Republic has been in existence for 74 years. Only the other big socialist sate, the Soviet Union, has since fallen.

The officials of China’s leaders have long been concerned about avoiding the death of the Soviet Union, according to Alfred Wu, an associate professor at the Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy in Singapore.

At the forefront of officials’ minds will be boosting confidence in the broader economy amid growing concerns that it may miss its own 5% annual growth target.

” In China goals must be met, by any means necessary”, said Yuen Yuen Ang, professor of political economy at Johns Hopkins University.

The management problems that failing to meet them in 2024 may cause a slow-growth and low-confidence loop.

The decline in the nation’s property market, which started three years ago, has been one of the major drags on the second-largest economy in the world.

The lately unveiled stimulus package targeted the real estate sector in addition to laws designed to boost companies.

It includes steps to boost bank financing, lower loan rates, and lower the minimum down payment requirements for first-time home buyers.

However, some people question whether these actions will be sufficient to stabilize the housing industry.

” Those procedures are delightful but unlikely to move the needle many in isolation”, said Harry Murphy Cruise, an analyst at Moody’s Analytics.

” China’s weakness stems from a crisis of confidence, not one of credit, firms and families do n’t want to borrow, regardless of how cheap it is to do so”.

Leaders pledged to use state funds to increase economic growth at the Politburo program and go beyond the interest rate reductions.

However, the officials provided much information about the size and scope of government spending aside from establishing priorities like stabilizing the housing market, encouraging usage, and boosting employment.

” If the fiscal signal fall short of market expectations, owners could be disappointed”, warned Qian Wang, chief economist for the Asia Pacific region at Vanguard.

” In contrast, cyclical plan signal does not correct the structural issues”, Ms Wang noted, hinting that without deeper changes the difficulties China’s economy experience will not go away.

Economics believe that the real estate market’s deepening issues are essential to rebalancing the business as a whole.

The most expensive expenditure is in real estate, and falling home prices have contributed to consumer confidence being sluggish.

” Ensuring the distribution of pre-sold but empty houses had been key”, said a word from Sophie Altermatt, an analyst with Julius Baer.

Governmental assistance for household incomes must move beyond one-off transfers and be provided by improved pension and social protection systems in order to boost domestic consumption on a green basis.

Getty Images Unfinished project of Evergrande Cultural Tourism City in Zhenjiang City, China.Getty Images

On the day of the 75th celebration, an editor in the state-controlled paper, People’s Daily, struck an cheerful voice, recognising that “while the journey back remains challenging, the potential is promising”.

According to the article, concepts created by President Xi such as “high-quality development” and “new productive forces” are key to unlocking that path to a better future.

The emphasis on those concepts is a result of Xi’s desire to shift from the traditional fast growth drivers, such as investment in property and infrastructure, to create a more balanced economy based on high-end industries.

The challenge China faces, according to Ms Ang, is that the “old and the new economies are deeply intertwined, if the old economy falters too quickly, it will inevitably hinder the rise of the new”.

The leadership has come to terms with this and is taking action accordingly.