HSBC launches bn fund for Asean’s digital economy | FinanceAsia

HSBC has launched a$ 1 billion Asean Growth Fund to help scale up “platform players” in the region’s digital economy.

The goal is to enable electronic businesses to expand their asset portfolios and achieve scale. The fund intends to support “new-economy names”, well-established corporations, and non-bank economic institutions by “evaluating working metrics tied to their cashflow-generative asset portfolio, rather than only relying on conventional financial metrics,” according to a media release. &nbsp,

In Asean, the London- headquartered world institution has a reputation in Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand and Vietnam, and the bank will be looking to support companies in these countries, a spokeswoman told&nbsp, FinanceAsia.

In recent years, the lender has provided significant funding to a number of online gamers. In August 2023, the Philippines-based consumer finance digital platform Atome Financial announced plans to expand its$ 100 million debt facility. Earlier this month, HSBC agreed a$ 100 million credit facility with the Akulalu Group, a bank and digital software group with activities across Indonesia, the Philippines, Thailand and Malaysia. &nbsp,

Individually, HSBC has set apart$ 150 million to provide financing to earlier- stage, higher- growth companies in Singapore that are backed by venture capital or personal equity investors.

” Like so many other internationally minded businesses, we are excited about Asean’s booming digital economy”, said Amanda Murphy, head of commercial banking for South and Southeast Asia ( SEA ) at HSBC, in a statement. Asean has” so much potential for growth” with a working population that is digitally native, growing in size, and poised to consume more goods and services, especially in e-commerce.

Murphy continued,” The introduction of our most recent offerings makes us better able to support new-economy companies in Asean as they spread throughout the region and advance along the corporate lifecycle.”

Digitalising operations

SEA’s digital economy is among the world’s fastest- growing and was worth around$ 218 billion in 2023. By the end of this decade, it is anticipated to have a value of$ 600 billion, with a compound annual growth rate of 16 %. &nbsp,

HSBC recently surveyed 600 companies operating in SEA and found that 42 % said that “digitalising operations” is their top business priority. This was followed by “growth in SEA”, at 40 %, while 37 % of businesses said&nbsp, “research and development” is their top priority. &nbsp,

As Asean’s economies integrate more, 66 % of respondents said they want to expand into new markets within SEA, and 65 % of respondents said they plan to increase their investment in the digitalization of their businesses. &nbsp,

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Irrational AI exuberance blowing big Asian bubbles – Asia Times

Tokyo: Surging stocks are n’t always good news, especially given that Asia is already experiencing a significant artificial intelligence ( AI ) boom.

And to batten down the hatches. Asia is navigating an exceedingly precarious 2024 due to the downturn in China, the US Federal Reserve’s easing techniques, and political uncertainty at every change.

Eastern stocks are rising to two-year peaks on little more than AI-inspired madness, which suggests that new stock bubbles are being inflated day by day. Bubbles that, if they collapse, was smash economies throughout the region.

What’s more, Tony Wang, director of the US$ 9 billion T Rowe Price Science &amp, Technology Fund, thinks the AI march is only just getting started.

Multiples “are quite sensible right now”, Wang tells Bloomberg. ” We will experience a decline eventually,” but” I think it also feels a little premature and difficult to call the bottom.”

However, a downturn could occur at any time and trigger a chain reaction when the location is at its worst risk.

In China, for example, Xi Jinping’s group just just managed to put a ground under a plunging stock market. Between the 2021 top and January this year, the$ 7 trillion defeat has already caused incalculable harm to business and home confidence and success.

At the same time, China’s home issue remains a clear and present danger. In Asia’s largest economy, report youth unemployment and deteriorating economic conditions are at odds with negative pressures.

Japan, however, just barely avoided slowdown in the next quarter of 2023. The economy lost 3.3 % of its GDP in the July to September quarter, down 3.3 % from the previous quarter, and only eked out 0.4 % in the final three months of the year. In January, household spending plunged&nbsp, 6.3 % from a year earlier, the sharpest cut in 35 weeks.

All this at a time when the Bank of Japan is going through its first tightening period since 2007. And as Prime Minister Fumio Kishida’s approval score drops to a paltry 20 %, he lacks the political will to restart the transformation process.

On top of events in China and Japan, Southeast Asia faces the possibility of “higher for longer” US relationship provides. The area was persuaded by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s team that interest rates do drop repeatedly in 2024 as the year approached.

Firmly higher inflation is thwarting those expectations. Growing fuel and food prices are a looming threat from the Ukraine to the Red Sea to Sino-US tensions, which is a threat that looms over developing Asia’s season.

Without capital markets going gangbusters for reasons that few people understand, or in any other way to connect Asia’s prospects, this backdrop may be difficult enough.

There is a lot of frothiness now that the Dow Jones Industrial Average is on the verge of 40, 000 and the Nikkei 225 Stock Average is moving above that amount, which is a Chinese history.

Take the example of this week’s incident with device manufacturer Broadcom Inc. Its shares rose by the time the corporation held an occasion revealing potential AI investments. That boosted researchers at TD Cowen, Matthew Ramsay, and Broadcom. His word to customers was headlined:” Better Later Than Not”?

It’s difficult not to feel late 1990s software stock mania vibes. All Walmart or Macy’s department stores had to do at the time to raise stock prices was add” .com” to the end of their names.

Similar sentiments to the meme investment craze that pushed the stock of GameStop, Bath &amp, Beyond, and another undervalued businesses into the past are not discernible.

As this latest episode of possible “irrational exuberance” intoxicates world industry, it’s worthwhile reflecting on the nature of that infamous word. Alan Greenspan, the next Fed Chairman, tipped up in December 1996 to warn of a bubble in US tech stocks.

How can we tell when irrational exuberance has unreasonably increased asset values, which are then subject to unexpected and protracted contractions, Greenspan questioned in the middle of a somewhat dry financial speech?

Especially, Greenspan was referring to Japan’s early 1990s property fall. However, US traders did not overlook the fact that Wall Street was being sucked into by the Fed in a facetious bomb.

Decades later, Greenspan wrote” I was choosing my words very thoroughly. I cautiously hedged what I had to say in my typical Fedspeak.

Maybe very carefully, as analyst Chris Turner at ING Bank points out. In the three centuries after Greenspan’s caution, the S&amp, P 500 doubled. The catalog peaked, Turner information, amidst the major tick of the circle- org bubble in 2000.

The problem today is what Powell’s group does. We should n’t underestimate or become complacent about how complicated the interactions between the economy and asset markets, as Greenspan once said back in 1996. So, evaluating shifts in balance sheets frequently, and in asset prices especially, may be an integral part of the development of financial policy”.

Powell’s choices are n’t great. Count property expert Ed Yardeni of Yardeni Research is among those who think Powell’s staff may eventually throw cool water on an AI protest that is driven more by “fear of missing out” than economic fundamentals. Fear in markets could spread quickly, he notes, in the event of a “more hawkish” crouch by the Fed.

The Fed is somewhat of an analog power in a digital world where speculative frenzies are moving at warp speed, just like the meme stocks rallies or Bitcoin hit new highs.

Asian markets are on the front lines as ferociousnesses involving chipmaker Nvidia Corp’s shares and ChatGPT’s disruptive potential upend trading strategies.

Nvidia’s CEO Jensen Huang’s keynote speech at the company’s GPU Technology Conference ( GTC ) conference this week appeared to be receiving more media attention than the BOJ’s first-ever rate increase for Japanese customers since 2007 despite the company’s GTC conference’s keynote address.

‘ Godfather of AI ‘ has a new nickname,’ Ond- trillion man. Jensen Huang, the founder and CEO of Nvidia, envisions a successful business balance between Taiwan and mainland China. Photo: YouTube Screengrab / Unique Satellite TV

” Move over Taylor Swift, you’re not the only one that can sell out a stadium as Jensen presented his GTC keynote to a packed crowd” in San Jose, California, write analysts at Bernstein in a note to clients. When she refers to Nvidia as the” Paris Hilton” of stocks, strategist Amy Wu Silverman of RBC Capital Markets speaks for many.

All of this raises the question of whether central banks ‘ power has diminished as markets move beyond their control. For now, though, the most powerful central bank is taking a wait- and- see approach to domestic trends.

” Overall, the]Fed ] has stuck to its view that the underlying inflation picture is improving, notwithstanding the disappointing numbers in the past two months”, says economist Ian Shepherdson at Pantheon Macroeconomics. They see the most recent numbers as a temporary pause rather than a trend change, they say.

Mohamed El- Erian, Allianz’s chief economic advisor, agrees that the Fed is telegraphing a wait- and- see approach. Powell’s team, El- Erian says, is “indicating a willingness to tolerate higher inflation for longer”.

The same goes for the implementation of’quantitative tightening’. According to him,” the first aspect of patience aligns with the objective of maintaining economic well-being,” while the second reflects a desire to prevent market functioning from being affected by liquidity-related disruptions.

The choices are even more uncertain for the BOJ. Governor Kazuo Ueda made the smallest possible steps this week to put an end to quantitative easing. Tokyo ended the world’s most recent negative interest rate regime on March 19 and abandoned yield curve control measures. Its new range for policy rates is between 0 % and 0.1 %, moving away from the previous -0.1 % target.

However, the BOJ has been very cautious so far about predicting a significant rate change. ” The BOJ’s reticence to provide forward guidance is understandable but will become increasingly important for shaping the structure&nbsp, of&nbsp, the yield curve”, says Idanna Appio, a portfolio manager at First Eagle Investments: &nbsp,

In February, Japanese inflation rose at the quickest pace in four months. Consumer prices, excluding fresh food, jumped 2.8 % year on year. These data appear to support predictions that the BOJ will increase its rate by 17 points to 20 later this year.

Takeshi Yamaguchi, an economist at Morgan Stanley MUFG, finds great significance in the signs that” a good number” of business survey respondents worry about the “impact of slowing Chinese growth” on Japan’s outlook.

Nevertheless, the yen’s 1.8 % decline since the BOJ’s alleged tightening move suggests that traders are unconvinced Ueda will be moving again anytime soon. Global markets are “half in doubt” about recent tightening moves, as strategist Noriatsu Tanji at Mizuho Securities puts it.

Analysts like Simon Harvey of Monex Europe Ltd believe Team Ueda has the financial “firepower” to stop the yen’s decline toward its lowest levels since 1990 in the interim.

According to Harvey, policymakers ‘ verbal interventions will now be more effective because they can effectively influence expectations of upcoming policy in a hawkish direction to support the yen because government bond yields are now able to flexibly adjust higher as long as it is in a moderate manner.

Shunichi Suzuki, the minister of finance, stated on March 19 that his team is paying close attention to yen movements. Japanese officials are no more in charge of the financial situation than anyone else in Asia, despite AI-driven manias that have sent stocks into bubble territory.

William Pesek is on X, formerly Twitter, at @WilliamPesek

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Paths open to possible de-escalation of military and economic tension – Asia Times

Subscribe now&nbsp, for access at a special price of only$ 99/year.

Solid production and funding data support China’s remarkable transition from the tech sector to the real estate sector.

David P. Goldman highlights recent economic trends in China, including a 9.4 % increase in manufacturing investment, a 7 % growth in industrial production, and a 9 % fall in property investment, reflecting a shift towards high- tech manufacturing as outlined by Beijing.

European Social Democrats discuss halting the conflict in Ukraine.

In a Bundestag debate, Rolf Mützenich, the leader of Germany’s Social Democratic Party ( SPD), argued for peace negotiations with Russia, underscoring how the country’s current internal conflict with Ukraine continues to exist.

In Ukraine, Vladimir Putin gets ready to remove his post-election boots.

James Davis provides an overview of the continuous military exercises in Ukraine, revealing Russian advances and Russian attacks on several sides. He likewise discusses new political developments in Russia, including President Putin’s are- vote and their possible ramifications. &nbsp,

Blowback from punishment on China: Secret capital, Huawei, EVs

Scott Foster discusses the unforeseen effects of US sanctions on China, which are causing increased Chinese relations with the Middle East, increased Taiwanese R&amp, D, and new competition for American tech firms as Western investors retrace their investments there.

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SOLS Energy drives Malaysia’s home solar adoption with innovative subscription model

  • eliminates first financial stress, reduces overall honest installation costs, and lowers the cost of installation.
  • Fixed tariff rate of RM0.46k Wh for next two decades, compelling economic value

A residential solar installation in progress.

Spearheading a paradigm shift towards lasting energy, biotech company, SOLS Energy, one of the world’s leading home renewable installers introduces its groundbreaking ‘ Home Solar Subscription Program’, a pioneering initiative in Malaysia’s renewable energy landscape. Petronas Ventures provided funding for SOLS Energy after it was founded in 2015.

This cutting-edge program makes a major step forward by giving homeowners a simplified and more available path to renewable energy like never before.

The Home Solar Subscription Program was established in Malaysia in an effort to alter the landscape of how people use solar energy, with the main objective being to encourage popular solar power adoption in Indonesian homes. By addressing fiscal constraints, the program covers the entire upfront investment, enabling householders to embrace renewable energy without having to bear initial costs.

One of the program’s main advantages is that subscribers do n’t have to pay any debt because they do n’t have to use credit cards or borrow money. Subscribers even receive a complimentary 20- time solar PV equipment warranty, providing peace of mind and dependability.

The” Home Solar Subscription Program” stands out from normal solar efforts by offering immediate payback times, mitigating the long waiting times normally associated with recovering initial purchases. Notably, participants benefit from a fixed tariff rate of US$ 0.09 ( RM0.46 ) per kilowatt- hour (k Wh ) for the next two decades, offering potential savings compared to the current national grid tariff of US$ 0.12 ( RM0.57 ) k Wh. This predetermined rate provides stability and predictability in energy costs, providing homeowners with a convincing economic justification for switching to solar power.

SOLS Energy drives Malaysia’s home solar adoption with innovative subscription model” Our commitment to empowering people on their path to sustainability and a brighter future is unwavering,” said Raj Ridvan Singh ( pic ), founder-CEO of SOLS Energy. ” That’s why we are revolutionizing the affordability and availability of solar energy for everyone,” he said. Through our Home Solar Subscription Plan, we’re breaking over barriers to renewable implementation. The transition to renewable energy is made simple by this program, giving householders a smooth transition. By embracing renewable energy, homeowners not only have complete control over their energy consumption, but they also have a significant impact on promoting good economic change. They will significantly reduce their carbon footprint while enabling generations to come with a cleaner, greener coming.

With a proven track record of installing solar power in the region of 14MW since 2016, SOLS Energy is in the top spot. 1 home renewable company in Malaysia with over 1, 800 house solar setups. The programme has resulted in annual electricity bill savings of US$ 2.84 million ( RM13.4 million ) for customers and carbon avoidance equivalent to planting 418, 500 trees.

SOLS Energy offers tailored setups with in-home technicians who can offer advice based on the needs of each household. With its emphasis on personalized service, SOLS Energy distinguishes itself from other companies and ensures that each buyer receives the best thermal solution possible.

By reducing rely on fossil fuels and reducing carbon footsteps, the Home Solar Subscription Program contributes to a more sustainable future. By encouraging the adoption of solar power, the program coincides with Malaysia’s ambitions of achieving a brighter and more responsible power ecosystem”, said Raj.

SOLS Energy, backed by Petronas, emerges as a leader in the realm of green energy options in Malaysia. With a determination to transitioning 285, 000 Indonesian households to clean energy, SOLS Energy remains steadfast in its alignment with Malaysia’s overall net- zero aspirations.

Notable accomplishments to date include providing electricity access to over 1,400 B40 Orang Asli families and empowering more than 600 members of the B40 indigenous group through its thermal club.

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Joel Neoh’s First Move fuels Malaysian startups with10 investments in its first year

  • Investments&nbsp, primarily to Malaysians &amp, KL- based members, US$ 100k regular payment
  • Partnership view by co- engaging with Vertex Ventures, 500 Global, Gobi Partners

In tackling workplace gender and racial disparities, First Move supports the MalaysianPAYGAP initiative, which champions equal pay and career opportunities.

Second Walk, an early stage account, created by companies for businesses, is making moves in the Malaysian company picture by backing its second 10 projects in the first year. First Move is injecting considerable capital into the growth of the ecosystem, providing much-needed first funding support during a critical but frequently overlooked phase, with its special focus on earlier- stage founders.

In its inaugural year, the bank has invested the majority of its cash to Malaysians and Malaysia- based members, with an average purchase dimension of RM467, 000 ( US$ 100, 000 ) per business. The fact that 35 % of the members are supported by people underscores the bank’s commitment to diversity and inclusion. Also, First Move has funded first level customer firms in Singapore, Indonesia and Vietnam.

First Move’s latest investments in Malaysia underscore its commitment to effect investing, with a focused strategy on pricing, economic participation, and round economy. These strategic investments aim to promote regional sustainable and inclusive growth.

Koppiku hopes to transform the coffee industry by lowering the cost of premium daily items, expanding the supply chain, and fostering more local jobs. In tackling workplace gender and racial disparities, First Move supports the MalaysianPAYGAP initiative, which champions equal pay and career opportunities, contributing to broader social equity.

3Cat supports device trace-in, repair, and reuse, significantly reducing waste and extending the lifespan of technology.

3Cat is leading the charge by enabling device trace- in, repair, and reuse while furthering the circular economy in the sustainable consumer electronics space. This initiative significantly reduces waste and increases the technology’s lifespan. Furthermore, enhancing access to niche markets, First Move’s investment in Collektr connects collectors of unique items, showcasing a commitment to improving circular commerce and fostering community engagement.

First Move multiplies its impact on the Malaysian startup ecosystem by combining early- stage investments with strategic co- investments alongside leading venture capital firms, including Vertex Ventures, 500 Global, Gobi Partners, and more. This approach not only provides startups with essential financial support but also grants them access to a wealth of networks, expertise, and mentorship. This cooperative approach ensures that these brave businesspeople are prepared to face off on a global scale.

Joel Neoh and Audra Pakalnyte, Partners at First Move have a strong focus on early-stage founders, providing much-needed funding support during a crucial but often overlooked phase. At the same time, a significant 35% of the founders supported are women, underscoring the fund's commitment to diversity and inclusion.

” We are excited about the impact in our first year of operation”, said Audra Pakalnyte, Partner at First Move. Our investments in Malaysian startups have attracted international investors ‘ attention and interest as well as fueled their expansion. We are proud to be a part in the growth of Malaysian startups and look forward to carrying out our mission, which is to provide visionary founders with the resources they need to succeed.

First Move’s entry as an early investor complements the ecosystem established by key Malaysian enablers like Khazanah, Penjana Kapital, Malaysia Venture Capital Bhd ( MAVCAP ), EPF, and KWAP, encouraging more entrepreneurs to launch their ventures.

This synergistic approach promotes local talent by providing essential resources, promoting economic growth, and creating jobs, as well as accelerating the development of scalable ventures. Consequently, the broader aim is to reinforce Malaysia’s emergence as a vibrant hub for entrepreneurship, fostering a culture of innovation and technological advancement.

For more information about First Move and its investments, please visit www. firstmovefund.com.

Collektr connects collectors of unique items, showcasing a commitment to improving circular commerce and fostering community engagement.

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AI’s rapid evolution | FinanceAsia

Asian listed technology stocks outperformed world indices in 2023. While lingering geopolitical worries and supply chain constraints muffled the industry’s early year outlook, the sector was buoyed by the near overnight mass adoption of generative artificial intelligence (AI).

The release of user-friendly chatbots found an immediate audience. Within two months of its official launch, ChatGPT reached 100 million monthly active users, making it the fastest-growing consumer application in history, according to Similarweb data. The popularity of the OpenAI-designed chatbot spurred other notable rivals, including Google’s Bard and graphic designer Midjourney. AI systems are now capable of producing digital art designs, college-level essays and software coding – all in just a matter of seconds.

Unsure which generative AI platform will ultimately reign supreme, investors have been adopting a “picks and shovels” approach, a mining analogy favouring equipment makers. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index returned almost 50% in 2023. Asian tech companies followed, with the MSCI AC Asia Pacific Information Technology Index rallying more than a fifth, compared to a 10% gain for the MSCI World Index.

Looking into 2024, there is little to believe tech’s outperformance will reverse, said Mazen Salhab, chief market strategist, MENA for BDSwiss, speaking to FinanceAsia. Salhab foresees the trend continuing beyond the next 12 months, considering the urgency for corporations to leverage innovative technologies capable of addressing headwinds such as tightening labour dynamics and higher costs.

Given its technological reach, experts see generative AI’s transformative properties creating significant economic value across a spectrum of industries. Bloomberg Intelligence predicts generative AI sales to reach $1.3 trillion over the next decade from a market size of $40 billion in 2022, representing a compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of 42%, with rising demand for AI products adding $280 billion in new software revenues. 

These numbers are hard to ignore, explained Hong Kong-based Robert Zhan, director of financial risk management for KPMG China, to FA. He added that companies harnessing AI would not only establish a competitive advantage for themselves, but would also unlock substantial client and shareholder values, enriching the entire business ecosystem.

Concentrated gains

Yet, despite the broad-based optimism, generative AI value creation has been narrowly focussed with select names. The market cap of US-listed Nvidia, the graphic processing unit (GPU) chipmaker behind chatbots like ChatGPT, tripled in 2023, breaching the trillion-dollar level and quickly becoming the industry’s benchmark for AI sentiment.

The excitement surrounding AI pushed Nvidia’s current price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple to 120 times, compared to Nasdaq’s market multiple of just 25 times, with analysts justifying AI premiums due to the sector’s rising income profile and robust sales outlook. While historical productivity cycles have often inflated speculative prices, even at the current trading multiples, Salhab doesn’t believe an asset bubble exists, arguing that visible efficiency gains are set to materialise in the near future.

Timing when those AI-related gains appear is riddled with obstacles for asset allocators. Chip designer Arm Holdings, which listed on the Nasdaq in September 2023, has been trading with a P/E as much of 200 times, nearly double that of Nvidia’s, reflecting the widening gap investors are assigning to companies with AI linked revenues.

Despite the elevated valuations, fund managers see generative AI investments as just one catalyst for the tech sector. 

The outlook is particularly promising for semiconductors, said Matthew Cioppa, co-portfolio manager of Franklin Templeton’s technology fund, in a conversation with FA. Cioppa highlights ongoing drivers such as proliferating demand for electric vehicles, internet of things (IoT), and cloud computing, noting that these technologies are at the early growth stages of their innovation, offering catalysts for semiconductor stocks.

The politics of chips 

There are also many political considerations for AI investors. 

As semiconductors serve as the underlying hardware for AI, experts say the technology will inevitably always be related to political decisions that can quickly rattle markets. In October 2023, the US tightened export controls on advanced chip sales to China, hampering Beijing’s AI ambitions and fuelling US-Sino tensions ahead of the US 2024 presidential election.

The US-China trade dispute has diminished the Chinese semiconductor market for US suppliers, acknowledged Cioppa. Although he argues that export restrictions are already priced into the market, Cioppa believes that the political fallout linked to semiconductor chips and AI technology remains a volatile factor that can never be ignored, especially when the world’s two largest economies are directly involved.

Nvidia’s share price has bucked the trend. While the company has thus far overcome trading hurdles by offering alternative chips, that balancing act appears vulnerable following the group’s third-quarter earnings announcement which mentioned a more challenging operating environment ahead. That caution is now being echoed by Nvidia’s Chinese customers who are also concerned about their own generative AI aspirations.

In late November 2023, e-commerce giant Alibaba reversed its decision to spin off its Cloud Intelligence Group, citing the US export controls of advanced Nvidia chips, while China’s Tencent said it would look to domestic semiconductor manufacturers to meet its demand. Even as Nvidia coordinates with the US government on developing approved chip designs compliant with the existing rules, the outcome and timing of decisions remains unclear.

This matters for any technical development, said KPMG’s Zhan. “[Because] geopolitics impacts which AI vendor is selected, companies will be cautious to ensure they meet local regulatory requirements, particularly across data privacy and security.”

Rapid development of Chinese-produced semiconductors may test market sentiment if incumbents like Nvidia underestimate those capabilities. While supply may meet chip demand in the current market, Nvidia believes those alternatives may not provide sufficient computing power to train the next generation of AI systems, as stated in the earnings report.

Technological challenges are also occurring alongside policymaker efforts to incubate a regulatory landscape that supports AI platforms without derailing its potential. In October 2023, London initiated a summit aimed at establishing an AI oversight committee, but soon discovered that Washington had similar intentions, reflecting a lost coordination opportunity. 

What regulations are ultimately introduced is uncertain, but it’s anticipated that numerous discussions and obstacles will arise in the years ahead, said Zhan. When asked what type of regulation works best, he shared: “I would like to compare AI to a human. Right now, AI technology is still in its infancy, so it makes sense that it should get more supervision and more controls to help it learn and grow. But as AI matures and learns, such controls should adjust proportionately according to the risk.”

It is a sentiment underscored by Franklin Templeton’s Cioppa, who said that “over time a combination of sovereign regulatory frameworks and private market solutions would effectively provide AI guardrails as not to stifle innovation or make it too difficult for smaller companies to compete with the mega cap companies on any advancements.”

2024 outlook

The uncertainties facing AI investors for the year ahead are magnified by higher capital costs such as elevated interest expenses as central bankers grapple with inflation, and also the increasing need for expensive data centres.

It will be interesting to see how AI stocks’ performance compare to non-tech companies in an overall weaker investment environment. Any company looking to bring AI into their businesses will have an expensive journey which could weigh on their earnings’ outlook.

As the market undergoes tapering, venture capital and private equity firms are adjusting their expectations. Hong Kong-based Alex Wong, head of M&A advisory at FTI Capital Advisors, told FA:

“Our clients, particularly those considering Hong Kong initial public offerings (IPOs), have recalibrated their expectations. Impacted by the weaker local market, some are exploring various alternatives at reduced exit valuations. Others are studying different listing venues, or altogether, deferring IPO plans and choosing direct exit strategies like trade sales.”

For fund managers preparing for the year ahead, these factors may bode well again for Asia’s technology stocks over non-tech names, particularly innovative companies backed by reliable cash flows and visible dividend payouts to shareholders. For investors that may mean holding onto 2023’s winner in 2024.

Peter Choi, a senior analyst at Vontobel, favours firms such as Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC), the largest constituent for MSCI AC Asia Pacific Information Technology Index which returned more than a third to investors last year, highlighting that TMSC powers AI businesses not only for Nvidia, but also for tech giants such as Google and Microsoft.

Yet, no matter which AI-related companies lead stock market returns, the generative AI attention will unlikely fade, explained Andrew Pearson, managing director of Intellligencia, an AI and analytics company in Hong Kong and Macau.  

“Fundamentally, generative AI is anything that can be imagined even if it doesn’t currently exist, making it good marketing material inside a PowerPoint presentation or even a book,” said Pearson, who recently published The Dead Chip Syndicate. Ominously, he added: “There will always be an audience for something that carries a 10% chance of destroying the human race. It is too big to disregard at this point.”

For investors, there may be a sense of irony by sticking to the same investment strategy in 2024, as arguably the most prudent approach to capture the market upside for a constantly evolving technology, is to repeat what has worked before. Will this trade work again? We will find out over the next 12 months.

This article first appeared in the print publication Volume One 2024 of Finance Asia.


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Capital Markets Malaysia supports high growth SMEs with enhanced Elevate Programme

  • CMM expands the requirements for an executive management program that is fully sponsored.
  • 10- time programme spanning four weeks culminates in traders ‘ roadshow

Capital Markets Malaysia supports high growth SMEs with enhanced Elevate Programme
High-growth small and medium businesses ( SMEs ) are welcome to Capital Markets Malaysia ( CMM), an affiliate of the Securities Commission Malaysia (SC), through its Elevate Programme, which aims to help businesses successfully fund-raise through the capital market and get ready for the upcoming growth stage.

The program, which was launched with the help of SC and Bursa Malaysia, provides the foundation for businesses to fulfill governance standards and make them for the nuances of funding through the cash market, including potential listing on the Main or ACE Market, which calls for them to be more organized and accessible to potential investors and financial intermediaries.

Additionally, it is intended to teach senior leadership how to cultivate an development mindset, how to develop their company models, and how to formulate a vision of growth.Capital Markets Malaysia supports high growth SMEs with enhanced Elevate Programme

The SC recognizes the importance of SMEs to Malaysia’s economy and the need to close the financing supply-demand gap, according to Awang Adek Hussin ( pic ), the executive chairman of SC and CMM. Businesses looking to grow, increase money, or go public with their Investor plans are served by CMM’s Elevate Programme. Against the landscape of an extremely dynamic international marketplace, our goal is to promote the advancement of Malaysia’s higher- growth SMEs”.

The SC and its members are one of many activities that supports SME access to capital business financing. In order to create a strong network of capital-market set MSMEs and increase access to financing for this crucial area of the economy, the SC signed an MOU with SME Corp in 2023.

Capital Markets Malaysia supports high growth SMEs with enhanced Elevate ProgrammeCMM Board Member, Brahmal Vasudevan ( pic ) said,” The capital market can be uniquely leveraged to grow world- class businesses. Malaysia’s money market offers several options for development- oriented companies seeking funds. The key is to make sure the business is prepared for purchase and to determine the most effective financing strategy for businesses at various stages of growth. The CMM’s goal is to provide the knowledge and network necessary to support high-growth Indonesian businesses and their leaders in order to meet their funding needs and advance.

The executive leadership program is designed for SMEs and mid-tier companies ( MTCs ) with annual revenues greater than US$ 1.07 million ( RM5 million ) and is fully funded by CMM. The program covers essential focus areas including layout- thinking, brand, and advertising techniques as well as Environmental, Social and Governance ( ESG) factors. It helps SME leaders understand the intricacies of pitch and creating an ownership story structurally.

The 10-day, four-month program culminates with an investor fair and possibilities for participating organizations to network with and provide to investors, opportunity funds, and private equity firms. &nbsp,

For MTCs looking to enter the investment industry, the Elevate program was initially introduced in 2020. Since therefore, CMM has expanded the eligibility requirements for the most recent program in order to expand its scope and effectiveness, and it has improved the program’s design to make it more valuable for more SMEs and MTCs so that they can draw a significant amount of value from it.

Past cohort members include well-known names like Malaysian Yoghurt Company Sdn Bhd ( Sunglo ), BonusKad Loyalty Sdn Bhd, and Bersatu Integrated Logistics, among others. ICT Zone Sdn Bhd, which properly entered the LEAP industry in 2020 and aims to change to the ACE market by 2025, is one of the notable accomplishments of companies making significant strides in the Elevate program’s money market push. YX Precious Metals Bhd, SNS Technologies, and Thumbprints UTD Sdn Bhd were just a few of the various program alumni who made the investment industry as a result.

The Elevate program’s second of two groups for the year begins in May, and only 15 qualified Malaysian MTCs and SMEs can participate per group. Programs are accepted through April 8th, 2019. Interested parties are asked to apply around. For more information on the programme, visit https ://www.capitalmarketsmalaysia.com/elevate-programme/

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HQ Capital opens Singapore office; announces head of Asia | FinanceAsia

According to a business statement, international private equity firm HQ Capital has opened a new business in Singapore and appointed Michael Hu as Asia’s managing director.

Hu, based in Singapore, joined HQ Capital’s world executive council in soon 2023 and is in charge of Asia’s investment and business development activities. The new Singapore office will serve its private wealth and institutional investors in the region, whilst acting as a “gateway” for investment activities in markets including Australia, Greater China, Japan, Korea, India and Southeast Asia ( SEA ), according to the statement.

Since 1997, HQ Capital has invested in Asia and has an company there since 2007. HQ Capital invests worldwide with private collateral managers, focusing on the little- to middle- market. The agency also has offices in New York, Frankfurt, London, Shanghai and Tokyo, according to its site. &nbsp,

Hu served as a senior member of the secondaries & primaries investment group and oversaw investment relations and personal success solutions at private funding house Ardian, which is based in Singapore. Hu served as a principal at Greenhill &amp, Co. in Singapore and Hong Kong before becoming a director of the Asia Pacific ( Apac ) capital advisory business. I have 15 years of financial and personal ownership experience.

Marc Brugger, chief executive officer and chief financial officer of HQ Capital, said in the declaration:” Michael has a tremendous track record in secret capital investment, on both a primary and secondary basis, as well as co- investments, and a solid network in the region. Our existence in Asia, a growing market with unfilled investor demand, is further strengthened by the starting of our innovative Singapore office.

With a global software and a specialized investment focus, Hu added,” We will provide long-term, bespoke purchase solutions to personal wealth and institutional investors looking for different access to private markets. I look forward to working closely with our investors, HQ Capital’s global team, and top- tier private equity managers in Asia”.

The Monetary Authority of Singapore ( MAS ), which is pending approval, has approved HQ Capital’s application for a capital markets services license. &nbsp,

¬ Haymarket Media Limited. All rights reserved.

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HQ Capital opens Singapore office; appoints head of Asia | FinanceAsia

According to a business statement, international private equity firm HQ Capital has opened a new business in Singapore and appointed Michael Hu as managing producer and nose of Asia.

Hu will take over HQ Capital’s world professional commission and will be in charge of the Asia-focused investment and business growth activities. The new Singapore office will serve its private wealth and institutional investors in the region, whilst acting as a “gateway” for investment activities in markets including Australia, Greater China, Japan, Korea, India and Southeast Asia ( SEA ), according to the statement.

HQ Capital has invested in Asia since 1997 and has an company there since 2007. HQ Capital invests worldwide with private collateral managers, focusing on the little- to middle- market. The agency also has offices in New York, Frankfurt, London, Shanghai and Tokyo, according to its site. &nbsp,

Hu served as a senior member of the secondaries &amp, primaries funding group and led investment relations and personal success solutions before becoming a controlling director at secret investment house Ardian, which is based in Singapore. Hu served as a principal at Greenhill &amp, Co. in Singapore and Hong Kong before becoming a director of the Asia Pacific ( Apac ) capital advisory business. I have 15 years of financial and personal ownership experience.

Marc Brugger, chief executive officer and chief financial officer of HQ Capital, said in the declaration:” Michael has a tremendous track record in secret capital investment, on both a primary and secondary basis, as well as co- investments, and a solid network in the region. Our presence in Asia, a growing market with unmet investor demands, is further strengthened by the opening of our new Singapore office.

With a global platform and a specialized investment focus, Hu added,” We will offer long-term, bespoke investment solutions to private wealth and institutional investors looking for different access to private markets. I look forward to working closely with our investors, HQ Capital’s global team, and top- tier private equity managers in Asia”.

The Monetary Authority of Singapore ( MAS ), which is pending approval, has approved HQ Capital’s application for a capital markets services license. &nbsp,

¬ Haymarket Media Limited. All rights reserved.

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Cause to cheer, cause to jeer China stock bounce – Asia Times

A debate between the bulls and bears is raging as a few measures for Chinese companies, which are off 20 % from their January lows.

The cows are betting that Beijing’s recovery efforts have been successful in bringing the market base and that there are numerous buying opportunities. The animals see more of a “dead kitty jump” after a US$ 7 trillion defeat and continued symptoms China’s economic holes are deepening.

Who’s straight? Whether President Xi Jinping and Premier Li Qiang take the lead in that regard depends on what they will do next.

To be sure, the rise in promote charges, including those for the Hang Seng Tech Index, suggests that investors have overcame the stress and are now digesting Beijing’s ostensible game plan.

That requires very targeted more than broad-based stimulus and a greater emphasis on longer-term reforms to strengthen China’s large economic game and strengthen the role of high-tech and other high-value-added sectors.

However, this preliminary rally also signifies that Xi and Li have a new relationship with international investors.

On the time: Li Qiang and Xi Jinping in a document image. Image: Twitter / Screengrab

Communist Party leaders must accelerate efforts to end the house crisis, maintain regional government finances, and enhance China’s funds markets to support the new buying.

This week’s National People’s Congress and” Two Sessions” conferences made for an uneasy split- display for Xi’s group.

Beijing took a huge leap forward with strategies to destroy “new successful forces” to build a more stable and successful business on one monitor.

On the other hand, there were messages that previous policy mistakes are catching up with the business, as seen in fierce efforts to stop China Vanke, a significant property developer, from going bust.

Techniques taken since January to comfort international investors appear to be gaining some traction. These include the People’s Bank of China’s use of precise cash to help the country’s frightened areas and the “national group” of state-run cash ‘ stock purchases.

” We see China’s stock turnover possible growing more, especially if stimulus policies out of the annual meeting of the National People’s Congress meet marketplace expectations”, says Jonathan Fortun, an analyst at the Institute of International Finance.

” We are beginning to see the pandemic go away from the Chinese equity market, with significant reforms in the real estate industry under way and significant state-led purchases,” he continued.

Zhu Liang, investment director of AllianceBernstein Fund Management, points out that mainland stocks, particularly A- shares, are highly attractive in terms of valuation.

It’s a bit of a change from January when Chinese stocks were among the worst-performing asset classes on the planet. Since then, changes to the banks ‘ reserve ratio requirements and other efforts to boost liquidity have slowly but surely retracted the attention of the world to China.

Xi, Li, and PBOC Governor Pan Gongsheng have yet to address the deflation narrative to the delight of many investors.

According to Citigroup economist Xinyu Ji, “further policy efforts are essential to foster and consolidate the price momentum.”

According to Morgan Stanley analysts, “markets are likely to remain volatile because the NPC fiscal package is insufficient to address the deflation concern and corporate earnings remain constrained.”

Hope can be sparked by reports that China Vanke, a country struggling for cash, is negotiating a debt swap with banks. The property industry is still very insolvent despite its stumble, which serves as a reminder of that. On Monday, Moody’s Investors Service cut China Vanke to a” junk” rating.

The most recent property developer is teetering toward default, China Vanke. Image: X Screengrab

” The rating actions reflect Moody’s expectation that China Vanke’s credit metrics, financial flexibility and liquidity buffer will weaken over the next 12 to 18 months”, says Kaven Tsang, an analyst at Moody’s.

That’s “because of its declining contracted sales and the growing uncertainty over its funding options in the face of the prolonged property market downturn in China.”

The onshore debt default watch involving Country Garden’s continues to generate unfavorable headlines. So there are doubts about China’s “around 5 %” economic growth target for this year without additional bazooka stimulus explosions.

Hitting the 5 % GDP goal will be” challenging”, says ING Bank economist Lynn Song, pointing to weak consumer confidence in Asia’s biggest economy. ” Trade is unlikely to be a major engine of growth as well, with global trade growth expected to remain below historical averages, especially given rising Sino-US trade protectionionism,” said one analyst.

Nomura Holdings ‘ economists concur that “achieving the’around 5 % ‘ growth target will be very challenging.”

They point out that China’s economy is still” still faltering,” as evidenced by the crackdown on local government debt in 12 high-risk provinces, the likely likely significant slowdown in investment in the new energy sector, and the lackluster data that has been made available for January and February.

The local government debt component of China’s economic puzzle is also undergoing growing and more stringent scrutiny. Banks are being advised by Xi’s regulators to halt their use of offshore bond-issuance services by local government financing vehicles ( LGFVs ).

The$ 9 trillion mountain of LGFV debts poses a significant challenge for Xi’s efforts to deleveraging the economy. A state-owned company selling bonds to pay LGFV debt was one recent transaction that raised questions. The issue is that these practices are more prevalent than many investors might think.

It’s “rare to explicitly issue debt just to repay debt of another entity,” says economist Victor Shih, director of the 21st Century&nbsp, China&nbsp, Center at the University of California- San Diego.” Insect subsidies of LGFVs are everywhere,” he says.

They must deal with an increasingly difficult balancing act as Xi and Li try to deleverage the economy. Beijing could face new pressure from the outside as the world’s headwinds increase in terms of fiscal and monetary stimulus.

” China’s economy is marred by insufficient domestic demand”, says Emily Jin, an analyst at advisory firm Datenna.

” For years, analysts have urged Beijing to boost consumption’s role in China’s economy, to little avail. The 5.2 % increase in consumer demand in 2023, largely attributable to a low base effect from pandemic consumption levels, may not hold up until 2024, according to Jin.

For now, China’s deflation trend is cheering many bond investors. In early March, yields on 30- year bonds hit a record low of 2.4 %.

Yet Beijing’s fiscal spending plans– and its debt issuance plans – mean Xi and Li must tread carefully. China, for example, plans to sell a record 1 trillion yuan ($ 139 billion ) of ultra- long- term bonds. That’s more than two times the average issuance between 2019 and 2023.

According to Goldman Sachs analyst Xinquan Chen,” the risk of a correction at the long end is high.”

According to economists, the recent spike in gold prices may be just as related to worries about Chinese deflation as US inflation.

” Gold is now the most overbought since March 8, 2022, where it peaked and declined from$ 2, 050 to$ 1, 650″, write Bank of America strategists in a recent note. Although we do n’t demand that, it is reasonable to anticipate that price momentum to wane and/or decline in the face of stretched daily relative-strength index conditions.

China’s stock market could be hampered by rising trade tensions ahead of the US election on November 5. According to Stephen Innes, a strategist at SPI Asset Management, the recent decline in Apple Inc.’s stock as iPhone sales in China decline are a” stark reminder of the ongoing trade tensions between the United States and China.”

The most crucial missing element is a bold and specific strategy to solve the property crisis, which investors are currently looking at. It’s vital, analysts say, that Beijing devises a mechanism to get bad assets off property developers ‘ balance sheets.

Whether China cribs from Japan’s 1990s bad- loan mess or America’s 1980s savings and loan debacle matters less than authorities acting urgently and assertively.

In the short run, China’s housing minister, Ni Hong, says regulators intend to support “reasonable” financing needs of real estate developers. A so-called “whitelist mechanism” is a part of the plan to keep liquidity flowing to the property sector, which can account for about a quarter of GDP.

China has n’t intervened in the property market as aggressively as many anticipated. Image: Twitter

Last month, China Construction Bank, one of the nation’s biggest state- owned commercial institutions, said it had handled more than 2, 000 such projects, approving nearly$ 2.8 billion of pending disbursements.

However, much more incisive action may be required to keep the China stock bulls moving and give them the confidence to put their bets up. A definitive end to the crisis may be required.

That’s not to say Team Xi’s splashy pivot toward greater innovation and productivity is n’t a “buy” signal. China needs more productivity gains to achieve decent economic growth in the future, according to analyst Tilly Zhang of Gavekal Dragonomics, who is a member of Gavekal Dragonomics.

Yet, the move upmarket is very much still a work in progress. According to Zichun Huang, an economist at Capital Economics,” the NPC Work Report last week commits to keeping “money supply and credit growth in step with the real GDP and inflation targets.” This may indicate that policymakers will try a little harder to push inflation higher than the 3 % target than the previous year.

But, Huang notes,” we think China’s low inflation is a symptom of its growth model built on a high rate of investment. We anticipate that inflation will remain low in the long run because reducing dependence on investment is still far off.

The good news, though, is that efforts to raise China’s economic game are beginning to pay some dividends.

” China’s economy is weak but it’s not that weak”, economist Shaun Rein at the China Market Research Group, told CNBC.

” If you’re a multinational, if you’re looking to drive growth over the next three to five years, the next China is China. It’s not India — India’s only a sixth of the GDP of China— it’s not Vietnam. These are small markets. So I actually think investors should be looking long- term at China again, it’s definitely investible”, he said.

” It’s too early to call a bull market, you still have to be very cautious, the economy is still weak – do n’t get me wrong — again the D word – deflation – looms over China, there is still a weak job market, but the valuations are too low”, Rein said.

Follow William Pesek on X, formerly Twitter, at @WilliamPesek

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