IN FOCUS: What will life in Singapore be like when the temperature hits 40°C?

SHOULD WORK START LATER IN THE DAY?

With all the effort and energy needed to keep cool in the daytime, would Singapore reach the point of scheduling work and other essential activities to start later in the day and end well after dark?

That’s not desirable as working overnight has its own drawbacks, according to NUS’ Assoc Prof Lee. The night shift interrupts circadian rhythms and social lives, and workers may start work without being well rested, putting their safety at risk. The need for lighting will also put extra pressure on the power grid.

But even if normal work hours are maintained, leisure patterns, including recreational sports, are likely to change. There is a tendency during warm weather for people to stay indoors as much as possible, only venturing outside in the evening.

This is reinforced by official guidelines. For instance, the Ministry of Education encourages schools to minimise outdoor physical activities between 10.30am and 3.30pm on warmer days.

As temperatures rise, this blackout period could lengthen. But trying to avoid being outside on hot days can lead to a decrease in outdoor physical activity and in turn, affect mental health, Assoc Prof Lee pointed out.

Instead of hardening the boundaries around the hours that people should not exercise outdoors, another approach would be to embrace the heat and manage it.

“We feel heat as a distress. Heat is actually a stressor … All stressors, if you know how to use (them) creatively, can be eustress”, or a beneficial form of stress, said Assoc Prof Lee.

Exercise could be planned for the hottest times of the day in order to put extra strain on the body and maximise training outcomes, said Assoc Prof Lee. To compensate, the workout could be less intense or shorter.

“Training is all about creating strain so that your body can respond … Now with heat, in 30 minutes you get your heart rate to the same level as compared to your old condition (where) you had to do it in 45 minutes,” he said.

“You want to do 45 minutes at 8am, or 30 minutes at 12 noon? You can actually save your time by reaching the same endpoint faster. That, to me, is training effectiveness.”

In hot yoga, practitioners intentionally use heat to intensify physical activity. Instead of practising in artificially heated rooms, for instance, such classes can be held outdoors in unshaded areas when the sun is high on a 40-degree day.

To manage the heat risk, public misting systems that spray ultrafine water droplets onto people can be set up at more parks, exercise corners and even playgrounds, said Prof Wong.

At the Tokyo 2020 Olympics, when heat and humidity soared during Japan’s summer, the Games organisers and national teams used misting fans to cool athletes and even horses.

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How CPEC went off the rails in Pakistan

Back in 2015, there was immense optimism surrounding the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC), with expectations that it would elevate Pakistan’s global standing and position it as a leading force in South Asia. However, what was initially hailed as a well-intentioned effort to strengthen the bilateral relationship has become one of the primary factors contributing to Pakistan’s economic decline.

While there were a few significant Chinese-backed infrastructure projects in Pakistan prior to CPEC, the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) ushered in a new era for Pakistan’s struggling public-sector projects and its chronically weak power and transportation industries. These sectors had long relied on government subsidies, leading to budget deficits.

After China announced its intention to support Pakistan and promote its ambitious Silk Road Economic Belt initiative, CPEC quickly emerged as the flagship project of the BRI.

Introduced in May 2013 during Chinese premier Li Keqiang’s visit to Pakistan, the economic corridor was lauded for its design, addressing Pakistan’s infrastructure gaps, establishing industrial zones, and creating trade routes to China through the strategically located Gwadar Port on the Arabian Sea.

The project initially required a substantial investment of US$46 billion, which quickly escalated to $62 billion in pledges, accounting for around 20% of Pakistan’s GDP. It encompassed several significant Early Harvest Projects (EHPs) in a country in dire need of international investment.

From a geopolitical standpoint, India has been a vocal opponent of the BRI since its inception in 2013. India viewed one of the key components of CPEC as a violation of its territorial integrity and sovereignty, particularly in relation to its claims on Pakistan-controlled Kashmir.

The initiative was seen as part of China’s broader strategy to encircle India and gain influence in the region. Concerns also arose regarding China’s easy access to Pakistani ports and the potential establishment of a naval base, raising significant security apprehensions for India.

India opted to oppose the BRI and focused on its own connectivity initiatives, such as the International North-South Transport Corridor and the Chabahar port in Iran, although it lacked a comprehensive strategy to enhance regional connectivity.

Initially, the introduction of the CPEC project brought hope and relief to the people of Pakistan, who had been grappling with persistent power and energy issues. Widespread blackouts caused by severe power shortages had paralyzed economic activities and cast bustling market areas into darkness.

The energy crisis stemmed from exorbitant energy rates charged by independent power producers (IPPs), neglected power plants, deteriorating transmission lines, and years of populist government policies.

For more than three decades, citizens endured daily electricity outages of about 10 hours in urban areas and up to 22 hours in rural regions. These power cuts disrupted revenue-generating markets, industries, educational institutions, health-care facilities, and social activities.

Figure 1: Division of CPEC Projects

Source: Planning Commission of Pakistan

China’s initial focus on constructing new coal-fired power plants within the framework of CPEC was initially seen as a positive step. However, in late 2021, China shifted its stance to align with the objectives of the UN Climate Change Conference (COP26), committing to avoid developing coal-fired power plants overseas and striving for carbon neutrality.

This change had dire consequences for Pakistan’s coal-dependent power sector, as ongoing CPEC projects aimed at expanding the country’s power-generation capacity by 20 gigawatts were halted or shelved.

The economic viability of CPEC projects, along with Pakistan’s ongoing financial distress and its involvement in the “war on terror,” further complicated the situation. Rumors of impropriety on the Chinese side added to the challenges, leading to project delays and an increasing burden of unproductive debt.

While Pakistan’s unsustainable external debt and economic difficulties predated the CPEC agreement, the initiative exacerbated the country’s widening current account deficits and depleted foreign-exchange reserves. Despite recommendations from the International Monetary Fund (IMF), Pakistan imported significant volumes of materials for the projects before seeking a $6.3 billion bailout from the intergovernmental body.

The foundation of CPEC, heavily reliant on Chinese equity holdings in Pakistan’s infrastructure projects, has made Pakistan liable for 80% of the investments related to the corridor. This has raised concerns that the former flagship initiative of the BRI is flawed and a costly misstep for China.

China has consistently refused to defer or restructure pending debt repayments, fearing that it would set a precedent for other debtor nations and result in a collapse of bad loans. However, it is in China’s interest to assist Pakistan in maintaining its image as a reliable ally to the developing world.

Given these circumstances, it is crucial for economies in the region, particularly BRI countries like Pakistan, to monitor closely and manage the share of China’s debt in their total external debt.

Pakistan’s involvement in CPEC has led to impractical projects heavily reliant on foreign loans, exacerbating the country’s economic difficulties. Soaring trade deficits and low levels of foreign direct investment have been caused by excessive reliance on external borrowing without addressing underlying macroeconomic challenges.

Therefore, Pakistan needs to prioritize credit diversification and debt restructuring to regain control of its external sector and tackle the pressing macroeconomic issues at hand.

A more detailed article by this author can be found here: Debt ad Infinitum: Pakistan’s Macroeconomic Catastrophe.

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“Hong Kong to emerge as stock exchange of choice” – Dealmaking experts | FinanceAsia

Former Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) senior director, Roger Cheng, is set to join UK-headquartered law firm, Linklaters, at its Hong Kong base from August.

The move follows his nearly five years of experience at the special administrative region’s (SAR) financial regulator, where Cheng oversaw the operations of the Takeovers Team. The law firm’s announcement pointed to the instrumental role that he played during this time, developing Hong Kong’s takeovers and mergers policy, as well as driving forward other listing-related progress.

Prior to his tenure with the SFC, Cheng spent 13 years at Slaughter and May.

Offering some thoughts around trends affecting dealmaking in Hong Kong and China, Betty Yap, Linklaters partner and global co-head of the firm’s Financial Sponsor Group shared that there had been a noticeable rebound of M&A activity in the region post-pandemic, though activity has not yet returned to pre-pandemic levels.

“Inbound investment into mainland China is still somewhat marred by geo-politics and recent regulatory changes,” she told FinanceAsia, adding that her team is optimistic around sectors less affected by national security concerns, such as the consumer segment.

“Interest from Middle Eastern investors in M&A opportunities in China has increased as relations between [both] continue to strengthen.  We are also seeing a number of sales by private equity (PE) sponsors in the market, as investments made in prior years mature,” she continued.

Her colleague, Hong Kong-based partner, Xiaoxi Lin, noted that recent financial stress in the Chinese real estate market has presented interesting M&A opportunity in Hong Kong, through the sale of prime commercial and residential properties to generate cashflow and service restructuring debts.

“A cocktail of factors including the distress in the PRC real estate sector, rising interest rates, and regulatory restrictions have meant that commercial banks are reducing their exposure to the real estate sector, including loans secured by residential and commercial properties,” Yap said.

“Credit funds – who are not subject to the same regulatory restrictions – are stepping into this funding gap,” she added, highlighting that while the current elevated interest rate environment means that borrowing costs are higher, credit funds are able to provide financing on the back of higher loan-to-value (LTV) ratios and can offer swift deal execution.

IPO dynamics

In terms of the IPO landscape ahead, Lin told FA, “Market participants are cautiously expecting a stronger HK IPO market this year with more companies listed than in 2022”.

Corporate partner, Donnelly Chan, added that Hong Kong’s recent introduction of the Chapter 18C regime – which reduces the listing requirements threshold for firms operating in new economy industries – together with recent China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) reforms, is likely to support the market’s advancement.

“The track record and proven success of the pre-revenue Biotech listing regime and the weighted voting rights (WVR) listing regime since their introduction in 2018, coupled with the concession route for Greater China companies to secondary list on the main board has demonstrated the Hong Kong market’s flexible approach and readiness to evolve and explore opportunities,” he told FA.

Chan added that, as a result, it is hoped Hong Kong’s bourse will become “the stock exchange of choice” compared to other regional fundraising hubs.

Opportunity elsewhere

However, Yap is bullish on opportunity across the full breadth of Asian markets.

“For the remainder of 2023, we believe there will be continued interest in M&A opportunities in Asia,” she told FA.

“As inbound investment interest in China remains mixed given geo-politics, other single jurisdiction markets in Asia that can provide scale will be of interest to financial sponsor investors looking for efficiency in the deployment of capital.”

She pointed to markets such as India and Japan as benefitting from investor appetite – with the latter offering attractive costs “because of the lower yen”.

Yap added that Southeast Asia will continue to draw capital: “in particular Indonesia, with its relatively young demographics and the consumption power of its growing middle class.”

In terms of sectors, she noted that energy transition will remain of utmost importance “with interest in targets from renewables to electric vehicles to batteries to de-carbonising assets,” while digital infrastructure and data centre investment will continue to support the rise of e-commerce.

In the Linklaters release, head of Corporate, Sophie Mathur shared, “We are delighted to welcome Roger to our corporate practice. We are confident that his insights into takeovers and mergers regulations and policy matters will be of immense value-add to our clients when navigating take-privates and other public market transactions.”

Unlike the typical structure of a corporation, Linklaters employs a limited liability partnership which enables the firm’s partner leadership-base to make long-term strategic decisions for the business together.

Cheng’s appointment follows other key hires in Asia in recent months, including the appointment of Yoshiyuki Asaoka as corporate partner in Japan. In June 2021, William Liu was appointed as regional managing partner for Asia Pacific.

 

¬ Haymarket Media Limited. All rights reserved.

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The women fighting Japan’s sexual violence stigma

Rina Gonoi

Rina Gonoi had two dreams. To be a soldier, and to compete in the Olympics as a judo player.

She started judo when she was four years old, trained by her brother, and was 11 when she first saw soldiers in action.

The armed forces, known in Japan as the Self-Defence Forces (SDF), had helped Ms Gonoi and her family in an evacuation centre after the 2011 earthquake and tsunami disaster. The 23-year-old is from Higashi-Matsushima in Miyagi Prefecture – the area worst hit by that catastrophe.

Female soldiers were part of the aid effort. “They gave us food and ran a soup kitchen,” Ms Gonoi says.

“They were back and forth bringing hot water for us so we could have a bath. I looked at them and thought ‘What a wonderful job.’ I thought I would like to work for society – for the people.”

Warning: This article contains graphic descriptions of sexual assault

Both her dreams were within reach when she joined Japan’s army, the Ground Self-Defence Force (GSDF).

Both were shattered by sexual harassment which she experienced “on a daily basis” when she joined her unit after training.

“My breasts were rubbed. I was kissed on the cheek, groped, or grabbed from behind in the hallway – colleagues or superiors would rub themselves against me with people watching,” she said.

“Often, I was told things like, ‘Give me a blow job’.”

Colleagues made remarks about her body, she says: about her breasts being big or small or that her body was large.

August 2021 was a dark turning point.

During a training exercise in the mountains, three of Ms Gonio’s male colleagues called her into a tent, where they’d been drinking.

“They were talking about a martial arts technique which involved choking someone and putting them to the ground. They said, ‘Gonoi try it’ – they pinned me to the bed and choked me.”

Ms Gonoi said the three men forcibly spread her legs open and alternately and repeatedly pressed their crotches against her.

Around a dozen colleagues were around she said, adding that no-one stopped the three men: “Many were laughing.”

“I was filled with despair. I thought, ‘How could I live after my body and soul have been tainted?'”

She reported the incident to her superiors but was unable to obtain any witness testimony, and her complaint was dismissed.

Rina Gonoi in military fatigues

Rina Gonoi

Presentational white space

Later, the three men were referred to prosecutors on suspicion of indecent assault by the GSDF police unit, but the case was dropped for lack of evidence.

In the end Ms Gonoi felt she had no choice but to quit and go back home.

“I was exhausted mentally and physically and isolated myself in my house,” she said.

When she decided to go public with her story, Ms Gonoi’s family and those around her were against it.

In Japan’s male-dominated society most sexual violence victims are shamed into silence. And those who speak out face a fierce backlash.

A recent survey showed that more than 70% of sexual assaults in Japan go unreported.

When Ms Gonoi decided to speak out, she knew it wasn’t going to be easy. She was taking on a Japanese military institution.

She shared what happened to her on YouTube. Her story was a rare case that captured the nation’s and the media’s attention.

Rina Gonoi holding bunch of flowers in Judo uniform

Rina Gonoi

Ms Gonoi says that other women and men shared their stories of sexual violence with her, both in the military and elsewhere. She also collected more than 100,000 signatures for a petition calling on the defence ministry to investigate her case.

But she also faced a backlash.

“Some would say ‘You are ugly’ – others would comment on my cauliflower ears, because I’d been doing Judo. Some would say ‘Are you actually a man?'” she said.

“When I was collecting signatures for the petition, I got a threatening email saying, ‘I’ll kill you if you go any further.'”

The last case that garnered this much attention was in 2019, when Japanese journalist Shiori Ito filed and won her civil lawsuit seeking damages from a prominent reporter who she said had raped her.

It was also the same year that the Flower Demo movement started. On the 11th day of every month since April 2019, groups of sexual violence victims and their supporters have gathered throughout Japan in public spaces to protest unjust acquittals of sexual crimes, and call for changes to the country’s sexual violence law.

Problems with the existing law were highlighted by not guilty verdicts in four cases in 2019. In one of the trials, a father accused of raping his 19-year-old daughter was acquitted even though the court acknowledged that he had had sex with her against her will. The prosecution’s case, that the man took advantage of the daughter’s inability to resist the sexual attack, was rejected.

“I started the Flower Demo because I was angry,” Minori Kitahara told the BBC after one of the gatherings in Tokyo. “I also felt many other women’s anger. But there’s no place to speak out.”

The gathering in central Tokyo was small, but significant, and quite moving. Some people were carrying placards: one said “Sexual abuse is unforgivable” in Japanese, while another written in English said, “Consent is everything”.

The Flower Demos have become a symbol of defiance against silence.

A woman held a microphone and, through her scarf and mask, you could still see how emotional she was as she told the crowd how her father had sexually abused her as a teenager. Men and women were in tears, including Ms Kitahara.

Minori Kitahara holding a microphone and a flower at the Flower Demo in Tokyo

In February, the Japanese government approved a bill to raise the age of sexual consent from 13 to 16, as part of reforms to the country’s sexual violence penal code.

Under the current law, a victim bears the onus of proving not only that there was no consent, but also that there was “assault or intimidation” or other factors that made it impossible for them to put up resistance.

“I think the law is very discriminatory… Compared to other countries, it still disadvantages female victims. When I think about all those victims who could not speak out, I cannot help but think the law itself was a crime against victims,” Ms Kitahara said.

“I know [the age of consent] is about to change to 16 but… the fact it stayed at 13 for this long is a big problem.”

Ms Kitahara thinks that because the Japanese government is made up mostly of “old men” it makes it very difficult for them to understand what women go through.

Woman holds placard saying "sexual abuse is unforgiveable" at a Flower Demo in central Tokyo

The public attention that Rina Gonoi’s case garnered pushed the military to conduct an internal probe. Last December, five servicemen were fired, and the unit commander was suspended for six months. The rare investigation across the defence ministry found more than 100 other complaints of harassment, according to officials.

The ministry also issued an apology to Ms Gonoi.

She said that she wants to prevent this from happening again to anyone and that the government was also responsible “for neglecting the case.”

“I want each [SDF] member to be protected,” she said.

Earlier this year, Ms Gonoi filed a civil lawsuit against the five perpetrators and the Japanese government, seeking 5.5 million yen ($40,000; £32,000) in damages from the men for causing her mental distress, and an additional 2 million yen from the state for its failure to prevent abuse.

I asked her why, having experienced so many attacks since she went public, she was pursuing this lawsuit.

She hesitates. You can tell none of this is easy.

“I love the SDF so much,” she said. “They helped us during the [2011] disaster. This was the last thing I wanted to do.

“I just think this is not right. I still get flashbacks of what happened. It’s cost me so much.”

In March, Fukushima prosecutors indicted three former members of Japan’s GSDF on suspicion of indecent assault in relation to Ms Gonoi’s case.

Tweeting after the indictment, Ms Gonoi said she felt her “work had not been in vain” and that she hopes the three “reflect in full and atone for their crimes”.

“I’ve spent a long time feeling totally unable to accept why none of them were being prosecuted. Every day has been a struggle,” she wrote.

Ms Gonoi says she wants to travel and move on with her life.

“I’m a fun-loving person. I like to make people laugh and I like to smile. I want to show people that I can still live positively and enjoy my life. I want to live as I am – I want to be myself.”

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Man blasts ONCB for selling car after probe

A Lao man is petitioning the Justice Ministry against the Office of the Narcotics Control Board (ONCB) for selling his car, which the agency had impounded as part of prosecution efforts against him on a drug offence, even though the court eventually dropped the charge.

Mai Wongwiangkham, 55, sought legal help from lawyer Ratchaphol Sirisakhon after the drug charge against him was dropped by the Criminal Court.

The ONCB charged Mr Mai, a Lao tour guide, with possessing 14kg of heroin that he was accused of bringing into the kingdom while driving to Nong Khai to pick up Thai tourists bound for Laos in 2016.

Mr Mai, who protested his innocence, was detained at Klongprem Central Prison for three years until the Criminal Court dropped the charge against him, a decision also upheld by the Appeal Court.

The court also ordered that the ONCB return his Chery sedan, valued at about 350,000 baht, which the agency impounded during the investigation. Mr Mai said he owned the car outright.

However, after his release from prison, he was told the agency had sold his car for 20,000 baht.

Outraged, Mr Mai said the sale was unbelievable. He insisted the ONCB had no right to put his car up for sale when the court had cleared him of the legal charge. He did not accept the 20,000 baht and turned to Mr Ratchaphol for legal assistance.

“I’ve done nothing wrong. It makes no sense that I should lose anything that belongs to me, and no one is taking any responsibility for what happened to me,” he said. “It’s plainly unfair.”

Mr Ratchaphol said he would take Mr Mai to the Justice Ministry today to petition against the car sale order. The issue, he added, has caused his client distress and tarnished the country’s image.

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Afghan women face ‘pandemic of suicidal thoughts’

stock image of woman in burka with head in handsGetty Images

“I just want someone to hear my voice. I’m in pain, and I’m not the only one,” an Afghan university student tells us, blinking back tears.

“Most of the girls in my class have had suicidal thoughts. We are all suffering from depression and anxiety. We have no hope.”

The young woman, in her early twenties, tried to end her own life four months ago, after female students were barred from attending university by the Taliban government in December last year. She is now being treated by a psychologist.

Her words offer an insight into a less visible yet urgent health crisis facing Afghanistan.

“We have a pandemic of suicidal thoughts in Afghanistan. The situation is the worst ever, and the world rarely thinks or talks about it,” says psychologist Dr Amal.

“When you read the news, you read about the hunger crisis, but no-one talks about mental health. It’s like people are being slowly poisoned. Day by day, they’re losing hope.”

Note: The BBC has changed or withheld the names of all interviewees in this piece, to protect them.

Dr Amal tells us she received 170 calls for help within two days of the announcement that women would be banned from universities. Now she gets roughly seven to 10 new calls for help every day. Most of her patients are girls and young women.

In Afghanistan’s deeply patriarchal society, one worn out by four decades of war, the UN estimates that one in two people – most of them women – suffered from psychological distress even before the Taliban takeover in 2021. But experts have told the BBC that things are now worse than ever before because of the Taliban government’s clampdown on women’s freedoms, and the economic crisis in the country.

It’s extremely hard to get people to talk about suicide, but six families have agreed to tell us their stories.

Nadir is one of them. He tells us his daughter took her own life on the first day of the new school term in March this year.

“Until that day, she had believed that schools would eventually reopen for girls. She had been sure of it. But when that didn’t happen, she couldn’t cope and took her own life,” he says. “She loved school. She was smart, thoughtful and wanted to study and serve our country. When they closed schools, she became extremely distressed and would cry a lot.”

It is evident that Nadir is in pain as he speaks.

“Our life has been destroyed. Nothing means anything to me anymore. I’m at the lowest I’ve ever been. My wife is very disturbed. She can’t bear to be in our home where our daughter died.”

We have connected his family and others quoted in this piece to a mental health professional.

Psychologist Dr Amal (name changed and face blurred)

The father of a woman in her early twenties told us what he believes was the reason behind his daughter’s suicide.

“She wanted to become a doctor. When schools were closed, she was distressed and upset,” he says.

“But it was after she wasn’t allowed to sit for the university entrance exam, that’s when she lost all hope. It’s an unbearable loss,” he adds, then pauses abruptly and begins to cry.

The other stories we hear are similar – girls and young women unable to cope with their lives, and futures coming to a grinding halt.

We speak to a teacher, Meher, who tells us she has tried to take her own life twice.

“The Taliban closed universities for women, so I lost my job. I used to be the breadwinner of my family. And now I can’t bear the expenses. That really affected me,” she says. “Because I was forced to stay at home, I was being pressured to get married. All the plans I had for my future were shattered. I felt totally disoriented, with no goals or hope, and that’s why I tried to end my life.”

We started looking into this crisis because we saw multiple articles in local news portals reporting suicides from different parts of the country.

A banner seen with images of women defaced using spray paint after the universities were reopened in Kabul

Getty Images

“The situation is catastrophic and critical. But we are not allowed to record or access suicide statistics. I can definitely say though that you can barely find someone who is not suffering from a mental illness,” says Dr Shaan, a psychiatrist who works at a public hospital in Afghanistan.

A study done in Herat province by the Afghanistan Centre for Epidemiological Studies, released in March this year, has shown that two-thirds of Afghan adolescents reported symptoms of depression. The UN has raised an alarm over “widespread mental health issues and escalating accounts of suicides”.

The Taliban say they are not recording suicide numbers, and they didn’t respond to questions about a surge in figures. Because of the stigma attached to it, many families do not report a suicide.

In the absence of data, we’ve tried to assess the scale of the crisis through conversations with dozens of people.

“Staying at home without an education or a future, it makes me feels ridiculous. I feel exhausted and indifferent to everything. It’s like nothing matters anymore,” a teenage girl tells us, tears rolling down her face.

She attempted to take her own life. We meet her in the presence of her doctor, and her mother, who doesn’t let her daughter out of her sight.

We ask them why they want to speak to us.

“Nothing worse than this can happen, that’s why I’m speaking out,” the girl says. “And I thought maybe if I speak out, something will change. If the Taliban are going to stay in power, then I think they should be officially recognised. If that happens, I believe they would reopen schools.”

women walking down a street wearing burkas

Getty Images

Psychologist Dr Amal says that while women have been hit harder, men are also affected.

“In Afghanistan, as a man, you are brought up to believe that you should be powerful,” she says. “But right now Afghan men can’t raise their voice. They can’t provide financially for their families. It really affects them.

“And unfortunately, when men have suicidal thoughts, they are more likely to succeed in their attempts than women because of how they plan them.”

In such an environment, we ask, what advice does she give her patients?

“The best way of helping others or yourself is not isolating yourself. You can go and talk to your friends, go and see your neighbours, form a support team for yourself, for instance your mother, father, siblings or friends,” she says.

“I ask them who’s your role model. For instance, if Nelson Mandela is someone you look up to, he spent 26 years in jail, but because of his values, he survived and did something for people. So that’s how I try to give them hope and resilience.”

Additional reporting by Imogen Anderson and Sanjay Ganguly

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Women lead Indian families as men migrate

Usha Devi at her small farm in BiharPrem Boominathan

“Everyone now knows me by my name,” said Usha Devi, sitting in her modest home in Bihar, one of India’s poorest states.

“Identity is not a small thing,” the 38-year-old persisted. “Earlier only men were known by their names, now women are identified by their names too.”

Usha Devi was made to quit school and marry at the age of 15. Forced into repeated pregnancies in the family’s desire for a son, she had little control over anything in her life.

After her husband had to migrate in search of work, the mother to three daughters and a son rose to take charge of the house and their children’s lives. She moved out of her in-laws’ home into a separate house in the same village. She now earns money and takes all decisions for the family and is considered the head of her household.

The United Nations says there is no fixed definition for women-headed households but they are often defined as homes where either no adult men are present or they do not contribute to the household income.

Economists and demographers understand the term head of the household to refer to someone who earns money and has authority to take decisions in the family. In case of married women, when husbands migrate and do not live at home for six months or more, women are counted as the head of household. These are often self declared.

It’s a story repeating itself across villages and small towns of India where distress-related migration by men is leading to an opportunity for women.

Usha's children outside their home

Prem Boominathan

Sociologist and demographer Professor Sonalde Desai says this opportunity hinges on the wife’s ability to move out of her husband’s family home where she may remain dependent on other male members like her father-in-law and brothers-in-law.

“In cases where a woman is able to establish an independent household by herself, we see a real change in her ability to make decisions, her likelihood of taking care of some financial responsibilities, even managing and running the farm,” Prof Desai says.

Over the past three decades, the proportion of households headed by women has almost doubled, data from the National Family Health Survey shows.

A big contributor to this change in the patriarchal family set-up is internal migration, which has shown a rising trend.

India’s last census in 2011 counted 450 million internal migrants. This was an increase of 45% over the last decade, a rate much higher than the population growth rate (18%) in the same period.

Faced with Covid-19 induced poverty and shrinking employment opportunities, Prof Desai predicts this trend will only increase in the coming years.

Independent and confident, Usha Devi is now a leader amongst women in her village.

Her job as the head of a self-help group involves enrolling women into a government scheme that gives easy loans to poor women.

The group meets every week, collecting small contributions of 10 rupees ($0.12; £0.09) each to build a small corpus, often visiting the bank to deposit it and make requests for loans, and making financial decisions like lending small sums of money from the corpus for emergencies.

Usha Devi and her group at a meeting

Prem Boominathan

At a meeting I attended, there was disagreement and laughter in equal measure. The bonhomie of an informal support network, independent of their menfolk and families.

“Now we all know each other by name. And with the help of the more literate members, I have learnt to write my name and manage financial transactions,” says Munni Devi.

Shobha Devi is one of those more literate group members. She also had an early marriage but was able to complete her education later and often takes over in Usha’s absence.

“The money my husband sends is often not enough, so we help each other through thick and thin,” she says.

“Since I know how to manage money, I also have a greater say in spending decisions now.”

Shobha Devi is part of a growing tribe of women who are more educated than their husbands.

According to the India Human Development Survey, among couples who got married in the 1980s, only 5% of women were more educated than their husbands. This rose to 20% for those in the 2000s and the 2010s.

“If we understand headship [head of family] not simply as who the biggest earner is but also as someone who is capable of making decisions, I suspect increasing power may be moving towards these more educated women,” Prof Desai explains.

When Usha Devi began earning 11 years ago, she invested in her studies and acquired a college degree. In 2012, she began working with a non-governmental organisation, going door-to-door collecting health data of mothers and infants.

She began running the self-help group in 2016, a decision supported by her husband, Ranjeet who dropped out of school when he was 10. He says he only realised that was a mistake when he saw how “smart” his wife was.

“If my wife hadn’t educated herself, my children would have turned out like me. She is the reason they may have a chance for a better future,” he says.

Rashmi seen taking a class at their home

Prem Boominathan

It’s a rare confession from a man brought up in a country steeped in traditional gender roles. In some ways, migration makes it inevitable that men loosen the control and rely more on their wives.

Ranjeet struggled for work in his village where there were few skilled jobs and none that he was qualified for. So he is proud that he can provide for his family by working in a factory that manufactures ropes in the southern state of Tamil Nadu.

Despite their increased autonomy at home, Usha Devi, Shobha Devi and the other women I spoke with still saw themselves as second to their husbands.

“I am not great, it’s him. If he hadn’t supported me, I would have never moved ahead,” says Usha Devi.

But for many young women, including her daughter Rashmi, she has become a role model.

“I saw my mother change and thought I could also become like her.”

Rashmi takes tuition classes to supplement the household income and dreams of saving enough to train and become a policewoman.

It’s not just a career goal but an example she wants to set for people, just like her mother.

“Villagers should not feel that only boys can run a household,” she says. “Girls can do it too – if only they are brought up that way and allowed more freedom.

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Counting the costs of Cambodia’s Belt and Road

China is Cambodia’s largest bilateral donor, lender, investor and trading partner. About a quarter of Cambodia’s total trade, a third of aid and two-fifths of foreign direct investment (FDI) and external debt involves China. Although Sino-Cambodian diplomatic and economic relations date back centuries, they have grown sharply over recent decades.

Economic relations have been strengthened by Cambodia’s active participation in the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). Cambodia has been a vocal and enthusiastic proponent of the BRI since its inception in 2013. 

In Cambodia, the BRI focuses mainly on loans to develop physical transport infrastructure, although it has also been indirectly associated with the development and transformation of the port city of Sihanoukville. 

There are also investments in agriculture, energy and light manufacturing.

Participation in the BRI has costs and benefits. As a Least Developed Country aspiring to achieve upper middle-income status by 2030, Cambodia has embraced the BRI as an important instrument for addressing infrastructure deficits and reducing trade and transport costs. 

The BRI has also supported the development of the power sector and agricultural diversification. This has raised productivity and led to trade expansion and high economic growth without compromising debt sustainability.

Rapid economic growth has increased wealth inequality but also raised overall living standards and produced sharp reductions in poverty. Between 2009 and 2019, poverty incidence (US$1 per day) almost halved from about 34% to 18%. These achievements derive from multiple factors but the BRI’s contribution cannot be denied.

The government has not undertaken a quantitative cost–benefit analysis of the BRI in Cambodia. The presence of BRI projects alongside massive socioeconomic gains suggests that the country has derived net benefit from the BRI. 

There are also no concerns relating to “debt trap diplomacy” as debt levels remain below 40% of GDP. Still, there are risks associated with increasing reliance on just one country for economic and non-economic needs.

The BRI provided the transport and related infrastructure that facilitated the transformation of Sihanoukville from a sleepy, beachside resort town to a bustling entertainment center focused on gambling. The spill-over benefits of this rapid development to the local communities appear limited, while there is growing evidence of a rise in the cost of living, crime, corruption and various forms of inequality. 

A Chinese casino lit up by night in Cambodia's Sihanoukville. Photo: Facebook
A Chinese casino lit up by night in Cambodia’s Sihanoukville. Photo: Facebook

While the BRI was not directly involved in transforming Sihanoukville in this way, it did enable the conditions for its development. The real and perceived costs of these rapid transformations have caused dislocation and displacement among local communities.

Experts have concerns about the environmental and resettlement effects of BRI projects. The second BRI Forum in 2019 committed to mitigating problems through greater community consultation and stakeholder participation. It is still too early to tell if this consultation is really happening.

The forum also resolved to multilateralize the BRI by expanding the participation of regional, albeit still China-based, institutions. In Cambodia, this is occurring through a gradual shift in the financing of projects from Chinese state-owned banks and corporations — whose operations are sometimes opaque — to the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB), a multilateral development institution. 

The AIIB’s role is set to increase rapidly and raise overall transparency, including contractual obligations.

But the extent to which AIIB’s involvement will also raise environmental standards and other safeguards remains unclear. This is because the AIIB adopts national environmental and other standards and policies — which may fall short of global benchmarks. 

AIIB oversight of the implementation of environmental standards or resettlement policies may also involve national authorities rather than an independent party, which could be problematic.

How can Cambodia ensure that future projects are net positive?

The Committee for the Development of Cambodia reviews FDI proposals as part of the process of obtaining Qualified Investment Project (QIP) status and securing fiscal incentives. While some of the criteria used in determining QIP status involve assessing potential benefits to the local economy, the analysis lacks a comprehensive cost-benefit framework. 

This is also true of the new Law on Investment adopted in 2021, which is mainly designed to facilitate FDI. Both the QIP and the Law on Investment ignore macroeconomic issues such as debt or investment sustainability and do not attempt to measure broader spill-over effects on the economy.

A view of the Morodok Techo National Stadium, funded by China’s grant aid under its Belt and Road Initiative, in Phnom Penh. Photo: AFP / Tang Chhimn Sothy / POOL

Cambodia needs a formal framework to assess the potential costs and benefits of all project proposals as part of a conventional approval process.

Cambodia could consider setting up a new Projects Review Board, which could operate as a non-statutory body with inter-ministerial and multi-stakeholder representation, to assess individual proposals in a purely advisory capacity to the government. 

Technically competent staff who are capable of undertaking comprehensive cost-benefit analysis should support this project. A properly functioning Projects Review Board could help avoid the kinds of BRI projects that have left neighboring Laos in severe debt distress.

A transitional economy like Cambodia should be selective and strategic in its choice of projects if it is to grow in a sustainable and inclusive manner. It has done well so far but needs an independent assessment mechanism to ensure its success continues.

Jayant Menon is Senior Fellow at the ISEAS-Yusof Ishak Institute.

This article was originally published by East Asia Forum and is republished under a Creative Commons license.

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The burden of infertility rests mainly on women – here’s what couples can do to bridge the gap

1. Communicate your feelings to your spouse

Infertility can bring up a range of emotions such as sadness, frustration, guilt and even anger – and women tend to experience this distress more intensely.

Dr Liu advises couples to express their feelings healthily and actively listen to each other without judgement. Open communication fosters understanding, empathy and mutual support during this challenging journey.

2. Learn how each individual reacts to stress

Infertility treatments and the emotional rollercoaster that comes with them can be stressful, so it’s useful for couples to understand how their other half copes with stress, Dr Liu said.

Some may prefer talking it out, while others may need space and time alone. Learning these differences can help you and your husband support each other better and create an environment that accommodates your spouse’s needs.

3. Spend more quality time with each other

Infertility can consume a couple’s life, but it’s crucial to make time for each other outside of medical appointments and treatments. Dr Liu recommends regular date nights or activities that you both enjoy. 

The activities help strengthen your bond with your spouse, promote relaxation, and remind you both of the love and joy you share beyond the fertility journey.

4. Establish the same goals as a family

Discussing and aligning goals regarding family-building allows couples to approach problems better as a team, said Dr Liu. Be open about your desire for biological children, adoption, or other alternative paths. Find common ground and work together towards the same goals. 

This shared vision helps couples support each other and make decisions as a united front, minimising potential conflicts or misunderstandings.

5. Find support beyond each other

Infertility is undoubtedly challenging, so seeking support from others who have gone through it can be helpful. Dr Liu recommends that a couple join support groups, attend counselling sessions, or connect with other couples in the same situation. 

External support provides a safe space to share experiences, gain insights and find solace in knowing that you and your spouse are not alone in facing infertility issues. 

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