The US makes China an offer it can’t understand

Investment Strategy: Closing out MXN/KRW but holding onto oil and gold

David Woo writes that the People’s Bank of China surprised the market by cutting interest rates by 10 basis points, signaling a possible stimulus package and asserting China’s monetary policy independence from the US. Tensions in Ukraine, meanwhile, could benefit long oil and long gold positions due to potential escalation in the conflict.

The US makes China an offer it can’t understand

David Goldman and Uwe Parpart observe that while US Secretary of State Antony Blinken’s planned visit to China remains uncertain, tensions between the US and China continue as the US extends exemptions for South Korean and Taiwanese chipmakers to maintain fabrication plants in China, highlighting the difficulties of isolating China from high-tech goods.

Ukrainian Offensive Stumbles as Russian Defenses Hold Strong, Raising Questions for NATO Summit

James Davis assesses that the Ukrainian offensive against Russian forces is facing significant challenges due to a scattered approach and underestimation of Russian preparedness. Tension and uncertainty are rising as NATO debates security guarantees for Ukraine and Russian forces await an opportunity to launch their own counteroffensive.

The limits to sanctions on China

Scott Foster analyzes the limits of the U.S. government’s ability to interfere with semiconductor companies in China after indefinitely extending the exemption for top semiconductor manufacturers from South Korea and Taiwan. Others like investment fund Sequoia Capital are nonetheless taking measures to reduce political risk.

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IPEF recognizes that supply chains aren’t linear

On their own, the Covid pandemic, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, or the climate crisis would have each disrupted global supply chains, leading to shortages of critical goods. As it turned out, however, each magnified the impact of the others, creating havoc.

In attempting to deal with these crises, governments learned just how little they knew about global supply chains.

The Indo-Pacific Economic Framework initiated by US President Joe Biden took a giant first step toward finding ways to mitigate future global supply shocks with the Substantial Conclusion of IPEF Supply Chain Agreement Negotiations in Detroit in May.

As the first-ever multiparty framework dedicated to supply chains, including with direct business and labor participation, the 14 members of IPEF have a framework in place to make supply chains more resilient while better respecting and protecting worker rights.

Now, the members must flesh out the framework with details to allow the IPEF initiative to give countries and companies the comfort they need to have faith in regional supply chains, and to protect their respective citizens from future harm.

Covid illustrated fragility of supply chains

With governments’ lack of understanding of supply chains and no inter-governmental network to address disruptions, supply chains were bound to falter as soon as the Covid-19 pandemic hit.

The term “supply chain” itself underscores why governments were unequipped to deal with the crisis.

As retired Singaporean diplomat Bilahari Kausikan puts it, “The very metaphor of a ‘chain’ understates the complexity, because a chain is an essentially simple linear structure. A more appropriate metaphor is the root system of a tree leading to its trunk, leading to branches, twigs, and leaves. The global system comprises a thick forest of trees intertwined with each other across continents.”

When Covid hit, each government focused on its own supply chain and did not take into account the root system. As a result, all hell broke loose.

For example, the grounding of passenger aircraft at the country level led to a severe reduction of air-cargo capacity. As a result, critical health-care goods competed with escalating online demand for consumer goods for the limited capacity across the globe. 

Even as governments recognized the need for business continuity for essential goods, they forgot the critical role of air and maritime crew to support the movement of these goods, creating some of the toughest conditions for operators, and exacerbating the shock.

As a result, the logistics industry struggled with staffing issues. A talent challenge that had already existed pre-pandemic became a crisis. 

During the pandemic, governments created task forces to focus on domestic health outcomes, but did not account for how complex supply chains would contribute to the fight against the spread of the virus. 

Lockdowns and movement-control orders affected the production, distribution, import and export of parts, components, and finished goods. Constantly changing measures including testing and quarantines strained capacity, added costs, and challenged planning, forecasting, and production timelines.

National pandemic responses including stockpiling and nearshoring did not account for long and complex supply chains, raising costs of business at home while decimating suppliers and partners overseas.

IPEF to address supply-chain challenges

The IPEF Supply Chain Agreement takes up these lessons learned by contemplating the establishment of bodies to facilitate cooperation. These include the following.

The IPEF Supply Chain Council is to establish a mechanism for the partners to work collaboratively to develop sector-specific action plans for critical sectors and key goods to enhance the resilience of IPEF partners’ supply chains, including through diversification of sources, infrastructure and workforce development, enhanced logistics connectivity, business matching, joint research and development, and trade facilitation.

Similarly, the IPEF Supply Chain Crisis Response Network would establish an emergency communications channel for the partners to seek support during a supply-chain disruption and to facilitate information sharing and collaboration among them during a crisis, enabling a faster and more effective response that minimizes negative effects.

Recognizing this significant first step, Singaporean Minister for Trade and Industry Gan Kim Yon said, “Singapore joins other IPEF partners in welcoming an innovative Supply Chain Agreement that will enhance our individual and collective efforts to strengthen the resilience and connectivity of our supply chains. This will also put us in a stronger place to anticipate and respond to any future disruptions to these supply chains.”

Worker rights

IPEF incorporates the Biden administration’s “worker-centric” trade policy by establishing a Labor Rights Advisory Board consisting of government, worker, and employer representatives to support the promotion of labor rights in their supply chains, promotion of sustainable trade and investment, and facilitation of opportunities for investment in businesses that respect labor rights.

Singapore’s tripartite structure consisting of unions, employers, and the government works successfully in addressing wage, productivity, and talent issues. However, whether a tripartite model across the 14 IPEF countries can be as successful remains an open question.

What standards apply when it comes to determining if a worker’s rights are being respected? What will be the enforcement mechanism if there is an allegation of unfair labor practices at a specific facility? Will it be up to each IPEF member to address the allegation of worker abuse in a manner consistent with its domestic laws and regulations? How is this feasible when IPEF will not be a binding legal agreement (at least to start)?

Persuading certain IPEF members to adopt and implement tougher labor standards, especially without the promise of increased US market access, will be a challenge and will take time.

IPEF should move fast

As IPEF’s Supply Chain Pillar has only been “substantially concluded,” each of the 14 parties now engages in domestic consultations and legal review. 

The multiple global crises are on no such timetable. The climate crisis is worsening. There is no end in sight to the war in Ukraine. The US, the European Union, Japan, South Korea and Australia continue “de-risking” from China, as China itself implements its own dual circulation strategy, each of which have supply-chain consequences. The next pandemic could strike tomorrow.

In the meantime, Donald Trump leads in the polls to become the Republican nominee for president of the United States again. The US will pull out of multiparty frameworks such as IPEF if he wins.

The Supply Chain and Crisis Response Networks, where governments work with one another and with business and labor, recognizing that supply chains are no longer chains, needs to be established soonest, given there are so many crises on the horizon.

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CNA is Singapore’s most trusted news brand for 5th year running: Reuters Institute report

On the other hand, findings also showed that trust in news across global markets fell to 40 per cent from 42 per cent, reversing the gains made in many countries at the height of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Finland remains the country with the highest levels of overall trust with 69 per cent, while Greece has the lowest at 19 per cent following arguments about press freedom and the independence of the media, the report showed.

MOST USED ONLINE NEWS SOURCE

Alternative news site Mothership became the most used online news source for the first time, although the Reuters report noted that it “still lags” in brand trust with a score of 52 per cent.

CNA’s website came in second in terms of weekly use, followed by The Straits Times online.

Online and social media continue to be the most common ways of accessing news in Singapore, while both TV and print have declined significantly over the last few years.

On social media apps, the report said: “Facebook continues to face a decline (36 per cent), while YouTube (30 per cent), Instagram (19 per cent) and TikTok (12 per cent) were able to grow as platforms for news. WhatsApp remains the most used social app for news (38 per cent).”

Associate Professor Edson Tandoc Jr and Matthew Chew from the Wee Kim Wee School of Communication and Information at Nanyang Technological University, who wrote Singapore’s portion of the digital news report, noted TikTok’s growing popularity in the country and elsewhere.

“It reaches 49 per cent of 18 to 24 (year olds) every week, and 22 per cent for news according to our survey,” they said, adding though that this is not without controversy.

“Public officials have been reminded they are not permitted to install the app on official devices, and it has been added to the list of social media companies that are required to have formal processes and systems for dealing with misinformation, under the country’s Protection from Online Falsehoods and Manipulation Act (POFMA).

“This includes transparency over political advertising.”

The Singapore government announced in March that public officers are allowed to use TikTok on government-issued devices only on a “need-to basis” under existing policy, such as for communication officers.

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Will George Goh qualify to run for President? It’s a matter of discretion, say lawyers

S$500 MILLION: A “HARD RULE?” Mr Ben Chester Cheong, a law lecturer at the Singapore University of Social Sciences, similarly said it was “not immediately clear” whether Mr Goh meets the shareholders’ equity requirement. He pointed out that in the past three financial years, Ossia International made profit after tax,Continue Reading

Europe-China silicon carbide JV shuns US tech war

Europe’s STMicroelectronics and China’s Sanan Optoelectronics will form a joint venture (JV) in Chongqing,  a tech collaboration that promises to boost China’s electric vehicle (EV) industry while also underscoring the limits of US efforts to disrupt China’s semiconductor production.

On June 7, STMicroelectronics said that the JV will produce silicon carbide, or SiC, power devices using its proprietary manufacturing process on 200mm SiC substrates to be made in a separate dedicated facility to be built, owned and operated by Sanan Optoelectronics.

The two companies plan to start production in the fourth quarter of 2025 and reach maximum targeted capacity by 2028. In addition to automotive products, the JV will make power semiconductor devices for other industrial and energy applications such as solar and wind.

The JV’s total investment is expected to reach US$3.2 billion, including $2.4 billion in capital spending over the next five years. Contributions from the two companies will be augmented by loans and government support.

“The combination of Sanan Optoelectronics’ future 200mm substrate manufacturing facility with the front-end [wafer processing] JV and ST’s existing back-end [assembly and test] facility in Shenzhen, China, will enable ST to offer our Chinese customers a fully vertically integrated SiC value chain,” said STMicroelectronics CEO Jean-Marc Chery,

It will also provide China with a complete domestic supply chain for SiC power devices that are now critical for EV production.

Sanan Optoelectronics CEO Simon Lin added that “The establishment of this joint venture will be a major driving force for the wide adoption of SiC devices on the Chinese market… [It is also] an important step for Sanan Optoelectronics’ ambitions as a SiC foundry.”

STMicroelectronics is a French-Italian semiconductor producer headquartered in Geneva, Switzerland. Its product lines include analog, industrial and power conversion integrated circuits (ICs), dedicated automotive ICs, discrete and power transistors, micro-controller units and micro-processor units, micro-electro-mechanical systems, optical sensors and proprietary application-specific ICs.

Sanan Optoelectronics, headquartered in Xiamen, China, is mainly engaged in the research, development, production and sales of light-emitting diode (LED) products and semiconductors.

China’s Sanan Optoelectronics seeks an edge in the SiC business. Image: Twitter

Its semiconductor products include radio frequency (RF) chips for mobile phones and devices and mobile phone base stations, according to a Reuters company profile. The company is also involved in LED substrates, devices and lighting products; photodiodes; lasers for LiDAR and other applications; solar cells and power semiconductor wafers and devices.

Power semiconductors control the electricity used to run motors, power systems, lighting and other appliances by converting electric power from AC to DC and adjusting voltages to appropriate levels. Most power semiconductors are made of silicon but the use of SiC is increasing rapidly, including in EV motor and charging systems.

SiC devices are comparatively more energy efficient and reliable than silicon-based ones. They are also more expensive and more difficult to make, although prices are coming down as production volumes rise.

SiC’s advantages include resistance to higher voltages, tolerance of a wider range of temperatures and vibration, and longer device lifetimes. More information about power devices, SiC devices and SiC wafers can be found here.

French market research and consulting firm Yole Developpement estimated in 2022 that demand for SiC power devices would grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 34% from 2021 to 2027, with automotive applications rising from 63% to 79% of the total.

According to Yole, STMicroelectronics is the world’s third-largest maker of discrete power semiconductors and modules after Infineon and Onsemi, and the largest maker of SiC power semiconductors. Estimates from Yole and other sources indicate that STMicroelectronics has around 50% of the SiC device market worldwide.

STMicroelectronics’ share of the SiC power device market share will most likely decline over time as competitors in Europe, the US, Japan and China ramp up production. This makes the firm’s new JV in China key to reaching its financial targets, CEO Chery says,

“It is an important step to further scale up our global SiC manufacturing operations, coming in addition to our continuing significant investments in Italy and Singapore,” Chery said. He said the JV is expected to help the company reach $5 billion-plus in SiC revenues by 2030.

For Sanan Optoelectronics, the JV is crucial to establish a lead over other Chinese companies working on SiC wafers and devices as part of the nation’s effort to strengthen its EV supply chain and reduce power consumption and carbon emissions.

On May 3, German power semiconductor maker Infineon announced that it had signed a long-term agreement with China’s TanKeBlue, which will supply it with SiC wafers and ingots.

According to Infineon, “The agreement between Infineon and TanKeBlue contributes to general supply chain stability, also with regard to the growing demand for SiC semiconductor products for automotive, solar and EV charging applications and energy storage systems in the Chinese market.”

Japanese SiC wafer and device maker Rohm, meanwhile, has formed partnerships with BASiC Semiconductor of Shenzhen to supply power modules and Nanjing SemiDrive Technology to develop and produce devices for vehicle cockpit applications.

An 8-inch silicon carbide (SiC) wafer from STMicroelectronics. Image: ZF Press Center

In 2022, STMicroelectronics was the world’s 11th-largest semiconductor company in terms of revenue (excluding TSMC and other foundries), according to Gartner market research, and the largest in Europe with integrated device factories in Europe, Morocco, Southeast Asia and China.

In March 2023, SemiAnalysis reported that STMicroelectronics is moving quickly to speed up and improve SiC device quality via wafer-level burn-in testing.

In September 2021, industry research and news site SemiAnalysis judged that Sanan Optoelectronic’s claims regarding its SiC wafer manufacturing technology were not credible, but clearly STMicroelectronics views its new Chinese partner’s capacity and potential favorably.

Follow this writer on Twitter: @ScottFo83517667

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Commentary: Too early to assume Presidential Election will be contested

SHOWING COMPARABLE EXPERIENCE AND ABILITY

Before Mr Goh continues further on the campaign trail, it would be helpful if he could put out all relevant facts and also explain to voters how he intends to make his case, to enable the PEC to exercise its discretion to issue the much-coveted Certificate of Eligibility to him.

Thus far, Mr Goh has indicated that he will rely on this track record based on the number of companies he founded or incorporated, or of which he is a shareholder or original subscriber.

The Constitution places a premium on a prospective candidate’s “experience and ability” in running a large company. Acquiring and founding several much smaller companies, while reflecting a keen business acumen and also a function of wealth, is quite different from having the competence and expertise in running a profitable company of a significant size for at least three years.

It is for Mr Goh to show that his ownership of a stable of companies and being on numerous boards of directors is comparable to that of running a profitable company with S$500 million shareholder equity.

Parliament had accepted the recommendation of the Constitutional Commission of 2016, which was headed by Chief Justice Sundaresh Menon, to use shareholder equity instead of the previous market capitalisation criteria (understood as the total value of all shares of a company) as the assessment metric.

Simply put, shareholder equity refers to a company’s assets minus its liabilities and indicates the net profit that would remain if the company was sold or liquidated at fair value. It is considered a more accurate estimate of a company’s net worth, as it does not fluctuate day to day based on the stock price, unlike market capitalisation.

In other words, shareholder equity is a better indicator of a company’s size and complexity.

DON’T RAISE FALSE HOPES

While there is hope yet for a spirited and contested Presidential Election, it might be too early to assume that every presidential hopeful is eligible to contest.

The stringent criteria, as explained in my earlier CNA commentary, ensure the president has, minimally, a track record demonstrating technical competence and expertise to discharge the functions and exercise the powers of the presidency appropriately and effectively.

This pre-qualification approach was established since 1991 to ensure that voters choose from a slate of qualified and suitable candidates. The act of casting a ballot is significant for a citizen’s expression of democratic choice and the electoral process enables candidates to gain a fair hearing from voters.

The PEC cannot be expected to bend the rules just so that there is a contest. Given the role and functions of the presidency, any presidential poll must have suitably qualified candidates. This ensures that the non-partisan head of state has exacting standards of ability, experience and integrity.

And though presidential hopefuls put themselves forward with the best intentions of serving Singapore and Singaporeans, they also have a moral responsibility not to raise false hopes among voters.

Eugene K B Tan is associate professor of law at the Singapore Management University and a former Nominated Member of Parliament.

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Do we still need the post office?

Many years ago, when I lived in the United States, the mail was a constant source of excitement. I would look forward to opening the mailbox and sifting through the new wonders with giddy excitement. The serendipity of not knowing what each day would bring was a small but cherished part of my day.

I haven’t experienced those feelings in nearly 20 years, partly because the utility of the postal service is different outside of the US and partly because of the rise of all things digital and paperless. 

In South Africa, where I now live, the postal service is in a state of near collapse. The SA Post Office was put in provisional liquidation in February. The decline at the post office has been slow and steady for the past two decades. Now executives are applying to the court system to be placed in business rescue to avoid additional lawsuits from creditors and escape liquidation. 

I have to use the postal service here sparingly. Even though I have canceled my beloved print subscriptions to magazines and journals, I still get issues delivered from years ago. I recently opened my cobwebbed post box to find a copy of the London Review of Books dated April 2022.

Post offices around the world do a lot more than deliver mail. Traditionally they have offered essential services to communities like access to benefits, bill payment, and banking services. Universal (and free) access to mail and parcels is just one service. In developed and developing countries, access to these services is vital for underprivileged urban and rural communities that lack other options. 

Pundits and analysts such as Business Day columnist Khaya Sithole have lamented the inability of the SA Post Office to use its large footprint in the country and pivot the business model.

Sithole said new business ventures, “such as providing social grants and reducing the digital divide between citizens by bringing technological resources closer to communities, it languished in mission drift where the main activity became paying salaries to its employees at the end of each month.”

Fading role

The demise of South Africa’s postal service is an extreme example of a more significant trend. As more essential services like bill payments move to smartphones and the need for physical mail dissolves, the post office’s role as a service hub is fading. 

The Indian post office is more than 167 years old but has struggled in recent years to stay relevant in the digital age. Similar to the infrastructure challenges facing the US Postal Service, India Post hasn’t been able to leverage its existing resources to continue offering the services residents demand. 

In the Middle East, where the first postal service may have originated in ancient Egypt and where the Persian Empire developed a sophisticated delivery network that formed the basis of many modern systems, the story is somewhat different. 

Several nations have already moved on from a model where the post office served an essential role.

The United Arab Emirates, for example, has never offered universal access to mail services. Access is provided for a price, and regular mail has never taken off in the country. Utility bills and other officialdom have generally found their way to one’s office but now everything is handled through apps and over e-mail.

Interestingly, Emirates Post never became a significant actor in either bill or remittance payments. Without a footprint in the remittance market, the post office was never going to have a large role in society. The UAE is a global focal point for remittances because of the many foreign workers. 

Curiously, the lack of a robust postal service and the country’s unique system of road addressing (or lack of a system of road addressing) were vital ingredients needed to create one of the most valuable companies ever built in the UAE.

Aramex, the first Arab company listed on the Nasdaq, started as an express delivery service in Dubai and has grown into a massive multinational logistics empire. The genius behind the Aramex model is how the company uses drivers that have highly localized knowledge. Without clear street names, these drivers must rely on landmarks and local expertise to ensure packages are delivered to the right person and on time. 

Digital reality

As an idea and service, the post office still has an essential societal role. To realize this role, the post office must radically pivot away from paper products and embrace our digital reality. This is a painful reality for those with fond memories of receiving mail every day, but we can’t stop how pervasive our devices have become.

For the post office truly to embrace its mandate in the digital age, it must move to complete digital options. Imagine if the post office in your country functioned much the same as the app store on your phone – no physical branches, accessible on all your devices with a click of a button. 

There is room for innovative ideas concerning the digital post office, but we might have to wait a while to see them take effect. As one of the largest and oldest state-owned enterprises in many countries, changes taking root in the post office tend to be glacial at best. Yet smaller countries with less traditional postal operations can make changes with a lot more ease than larger countries.

With its failing post office, South Africa is another area where change could occur. The direction of travel is clear; it’s just a matter of finding the political will to build the post office of the future. 

This article was provided by Syndication Bureau, which holds copyright.

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Overcrowded Indian trains a relic of colonialism

A devastating rail crash that left almost 300 people dead has refocused international attention on the importance of railways in the lives of Indians.

Indeed, to many Western observers, images of men and women crammed into overcrowded cars serve as a metaphor for modern India.

Take, for example, a report by German newspaper Der Spiegel on India’s population surpassing China’s. Published just weeks before the accident in Odisha province on June 2, the now much-criticized cartoon depicted a shabby Indian train crammed with passengers rushing past a streamlined Chinese train with only two people in it.

Where does this enduring image in the West of Indian railways – and of India – come from?

As a scholar of Indian history and author of the 2015 book Tracks of Change: Railways and Everyday Life in Colonial India, I believe the answers lie in the gigantic infrastructure projects of the 19th century – forged at the intersection of colonial dictates and capitalist demands.

A carrier of freight, not people

Railways remain the backbone of passenger traffic in India, transporting some 23 million people daily. In the pre-pandemic 2018-19 financial year, 7.7 billion passenger journeys in India. In comparison, even after a dramatic post-pandemic increase, airline passenger traffic was 123.2 million in 2022.

Yet, when first planned in the 1840s, India’s railways were intended to transport primarily freight and livestock, not people.

Indians were thought unlikely to become railway passengers by directors of the English East India Co, a merchant monopoly that gradually annexed and administered large parts of India under UK crown control.

Many people at the time disagreed that Indians were immobile people, pointing out that the country had a long history of global trade across vast oceanic networks.

However, early colonial railway policy was driven by pervasive Orientalist imaginings of a people rendered immobile by poverty, living in isolated villages and constrained by religious restrictions prohibiting travel.

First Train of East Indian Railway – 1854. Photo: Wilimedia Commons

The trope interlocked with colonial thinking that railways would foster greater industrialization which in turn would further a capitalist economy. It also aligned with the practical needs of a colonial trading monopoly that needed raw materials for English industries, such as cotton, to be moved swiftly and efficiently from India’s interiors to port towns, from where they could be shipped.

Relegated to cheap seats

To induce the “natives,” as the British often referred to their colonial subjects, to use railways, the colonial government pitched low fares, especially in third-class cars – the lowest and cheapest category of rail travel.

The decision to introduce lower fares seems at odds with the profit-driven aims of a capitalist venture, with money raised by private companies incorporated in the United Kingdom.

However, British capitalists and shareholders in these private ventures did not have to fear for their profits, which were underwritten by the Indian taxpayer. The colonial government of India guaranteed these companies a 5% annual return on their investment whether or not the venture turned a profit.

Despite the doubters, the new Indian railways attracted an increasing number of passengers.

The half-million passengers recorded in 1854 when tracks became operational increased to 26 million in 1875. By 1900, annual passenger figures stood at 175 million and then almost trebled to 520 million by 1919-20. By the time of the partition of India in 1947 it had risen to more than 1 billion passenger journeys annually. Indeed, images of overcrowded trains came to epitomize the upheaval of partition, with the rail system used to carry swaths of uprooted peoples across the soon-to-be Pakistan-India border.

Third-class passengers, overwhelmingly Indians, comprised almost 90% of this traffic.

These escalating figures did not, however, generate a lowering of fares. Nor did they result in any substantial improvements in the conditions of overcrowded, unsanitary third-class travel.

Crowded Indian train. Photo: Wikimedia Commons

Instead, railway companies sought “the greatest economy of space and load,” as one rail manager put it. Inadequate rolling stock, much of it imported, exacerbated matters.

A tool for ‘self-composure’

The generally British railway managers seemed disinclined to remedy systematic overcrowding, which included transporting passengers in wagons meant for livestock. Rather, they insisted that such overcrowding was caused by the peculiar habits and inclinations of Indian passengers: their alleged abhorrence of empty carriages and their inclination to follow one another “like sheep” into crowded carriages.

These attributes were soon rendered into a more public narrative, especially among Western mindsets. Journalist H. Sutherland Stark, writing for the industry publication Indian State Railways Magazine in 1929, stated that although he was “unversed” in railway administration and traffic control, he knew railway facilities were not the problem. Rather, Indian passengers lacked the mental preparedness, “self-possession” and “method” necessary to travel like “sane human beings.”

Stark suggested passenger education as a solution to the perceived problem, making railway travel a tool for “self-composure and mass orderliness.” He was not the only one to suggest a congruence between rational railway travel and reasonable public behavior. In the 1910s, though condemning railway management for perpetuating the indignities that third-class passengers faced, the nationalist leader Mahatma Gandhi also suggested educating railway passengers as a means to create a civic body of citizens.

A continuing metaphor

More than a century later, this depiction endures, though, ironically, it now serves as a foil to understanding contemporary India. In a piece published in The New York Times on March 12, 2005, the author lauded the then-new Delhi metro, emphasizing that it had “none of the chaotic squalor of hawkers and beggars that characterizes mainline railroads in India, nor do desperate travelers hang from the sides of the trains.”

Delhi Metro Yellow Line train. Photo: Wikimedia Commons

As the debate rages on whether safety has taken a back seat to “glossy modernization projects” in India – early analyses suggest signaling failure might have caused June 2, 2023, accident – railways continue to represent India’s history.

In the heyday of empire, they were deemed the technology through which Britain would drag India into capitalist modernity. In 1947, they became a leitmotif for the trauma of the partition that accompanied the independence of India and Pakistan. As the coverage of the Odisha accident reminds us, it continues to be a metaphor in the West for evaluating contemporary India.

Ritika Prasad is an associate professor of history at the University of North Carolina – Charlotte.

This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article.

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S for a roll of film: Why people are still turning to analogue photography despite rising prices

SINGAPORE: As a teenager, Ms Trisha Lim gave up on film photography because the hobby was too expensive on her student’s budget.

In 2021, a few years into her career in communications, she thought it might be the right time to get back into the hobby, costly as it was.

But with the price of film steadily climbing, Ms Lim, now 28 years old, is unsure if she will continue pursuing film photography.

“I’m quite on the fence. When I finally use (my stash) up, I guess I’ll see how much film costs at that point,” she said. Ms Lim has around 15 rolls of film that she bought overseas or on online platforms such as Shopee and Carousell.

“I’m kind of hoarding what I have left, and I don’t know if I’ll even continue cause it’s really expensive.”

Yet, at the same time, she recognises that it would be a waste if she stops shooting film, since she has already invested in film cameras.

Digital cameras and mobile phone applications which try to mimic film photography are still missing something, said Ms Lim.

“If the digital solutions can replicate it perfectly, it’s a no-brainer, immediate jump (over to digital).”

FILM IS “VERY REAL, VERY RELATABLE”

As recently as before the COVID-19 pandemic hit in 2020, a roll of film could cost less than S$4 (US$2.96), shop owners told CNA.

One of the cheaper films on the market, the Kodak ColorPlus 200 35mm, now costs between S$11 to S$18, checks by CNA found.

Ms Lim paid around S$12 for a roll of Fujifilm 200 35mm on Shopee last year. Listings today are asking for around S$20.

“Prices keep rising,” said Mr Ong Tee Huat of Whampoa Colour Centre shop in Balestier. “This year, there have been two or three hikes by suppliers already.”

Shop owners said prices increased after a revival in demand three or four years ago, and that most of their customers now are aged between their late teens and 30s.

“Young people are tired of playing with their phones. Since the pandemic, a lot of them have been exploring film,” Mr Ong said in Mandarin.

Mr Ken Ng, co-owner of Joo Ann Foh Colour Service, said the vibrance of digital colours on mobile phones is too much for some of his customers.

“They find film colour very real to them, very relatable,” he said.

Young adults who spoke to CNA also said film photography makes them more intentional about the pictures they take.

“Shooting film makes me think about what I’m doing, and it makes me think more about exactly what kind of image I’m trying to capture,” said Mr Nikolas Lim, 25, who works in the finance industry.

“Also, because it’s expensive, each shot you take can be nearly S$1, you have to be very precise,” he said, comparing it to digital photography where people take many pictures that they may never look at again.

SUPPLY CONSTRAINTS

Major companies such as Kodak and Fujifilm may be struggling to meet demand.

“Demand has outstripped supply and manufacturing capacity just cannot meet (this demand),” said Mr Ng.

When factories were shut as digital cameras became popular, many machines were sold or scrapped, he explained.

Even if spare parts are available now, it might make more sense to keep them on hand for repairs rather than using them to make a new machine, he said.

Shop owners also said Tokyo-based Fujifilm appears to be focusing on its other products in optics, electronics, biotechnology and chemicals.

“Fujifilm is making fewer and fewer rolls; there’s not much competition for Kodak,” said Mr Ong of Whampoa Colour Centre.

In response to CNA’s queries, Fujifilm said it will continue to produce photo film to satisfy the needs of enthusiasts, and that is has “made every effort to increase production efficiency” and stabilise the supply of film.

“We are aware that customers face some difficulties purchasing our films in Singapore and we will continue our efforts to meet their needs,” the company said. It attributed the price increases to a sharp increase in the cost of raw materials for film production.

Photography websites have also reported on Kodak raising prices earlier this year. CNA has reached out to the American firm for comment.

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‘Political vacuum’ sparks jitters

Delayed govt could ‘slow down’ economy

On the same page: Move Forward Party leader Pita Limjaroenrat puts on a jacekt of the Federation of Thai SMES on Tuesday as Sangchai Theerakulwanich, the federation president, right, looks on. (Photo: Varuth Hirunyatheb)
On the same page: Move Forward Party leader Pita Limjaroenrat puts on a jacekt of the Federation of Thai SMES on Tuesday as Sangchai Theerakulwanich, the federation president, right, looks on. (Photo: Varuth Hirunyatheb)

The private sector has expressed concern that any delay in the formation of a new government may have an adverse impact on the economy.

Sanan Angubolkul, chairman of the Thai Chamber of Commerce, said Thai and foreign investors are keeping a close watch on political parties’ bids to form a new government.

“The private sector would like a new government to be formed quickly. Any delays could slow down the economy,” Mr Sanan said.

“It is estimated that the new government may not be able to take shape in August, and the bid to form a government may drag on until September,” he added.

He went on to say that Chinese investors have made up the largest number of foreign companies seeking promotional privileges from the Board of Investment.

Chinese investors are also monitoring the formation of a new government and are waiting to see how it will implement its policies and whether they affect foreign investment, Mr Sanan said.

“The new government should be formed as quickly as possible for the country’s best interests,” he said.

Regarding relations between Thailand and Saudi Arabia, investors from the two countries are seeking to jointly invest in several projects while more than 200,000 tourists from Saudi Arabia are expected to visit Thailand this year, Mr Sanan said.

Sanan: Investors are watching

Meanwhile, Move Forward Party leader and prime ministerial candidate Pita Limjaroenrat on Tuesday led the party’s economic team to meet for talks with Sangchai Theerakulwanich, president of the Federation of Thai SMEs.

Mr Sangchai said he was glad that he and Mr Pita exchanged ideas on how to steer policies that will benefit the grassroots economy.

Mr Pita also wrote on the federation’s visitors’ book that “I am glad to work with all Thai SMEs to build a strong and equal economic system to promote equality for everyone”.

Supant Mongkolsuthree, deputy leader of the Thai Sang Thai Party, on Tuesday voiced concern about debt problems and bad loans among the public, particularly car loans.

During the first five months of this year, more than 90,000 cars were seized by finance companies from customers who defaulted on car loans, said Mr Supant, a former chairman of the Federation of Thai Industries.

Currently, there are unpaid car debts worth more than 180 billion baht, he said, adding that the National Credit Bureau recently warned that over the next four months, about 1 million cars might be seized from debtors who have defaulted on loans.

As a result, finance companies will be reluctant to extend loans, and this will affect the car market in the future, he said.

“The new government will have to solve this loan problem urgently. The longer a vacuum of power remains, the more problems people will face. Debts will increase, and there will be fewer opportunities to create new income streams.

“The economy has not been given a stimulus since the election,” he said.

The public and businesses have been pressing the Election Commission (EC) to endorse the results of the election as soon as possible, as the prolonged political uncertainty is hurting investors’ confidence in the country and, thus, the economy.

The coalition partners of the Move Forward Party (MFP), which is expected to lead the formation of the next government as it won the most votes in the May 14 election, are also pushing the EC to endorse the results quickly so they can get on with forming a government.

However, EC chairman Ittiporn Boonpracong previously said the results are likely to be endorsed well ahead of the mid-July deadline.

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