Casinos could end up in monopoly hands: coalition MP

Bhumjaithai, a crucial partnership group, yesterday reiterated its support for Pheu Thai’s thought of legalising games, but it also voiced concern over possible conglomerates reaping most of the advantages.

Bhumjaithai has always objected to Pheu Thai’s leisure complex plan, but it does not want to see only one or two firms dominating the economy, says Korrawee Prissananantakul, a Bhumjaithai MP for Ang Thong.

He made the remarks during a Senate and House of Representatives meeting where the president’s casino plan was discussed.

Because it would n’t guarantee a fair income distribution, Mr. Korrawee claimed that Bhumjaithai does not want to see such a complex constructed in a small city.

He added that, more importantly, the government must cautiously consider the benefits and drawbacks of legalizing casinos before proceeding with this concept.

The most crucial issue is whether it would be good for Thai citizens if the government offered compromises worth an estimated 1 billion baht annually, he said.

” Why does n’t the government invest and operate]these casinos ] on its own to earn the income and use the revenue to help the poor”, he said.

” If the state does that, all Thais may benefit from this policy, not only specific buyers”.

Ex-PM Thaksin Shinawatra, seen as the de facto Pheu Thai president, has said recently that the sum needed for the government’s entertainment difficult task would be at least 100 billion baht.

He added that the job could still be benefited from the government’s investment without having to spend a single penny.

Natthaphong Ruengpanyawut, leader of the opposition People’s Party, said the president’s premier programs, including those on legalising games, the online budget handbook and the Land Bridge, would probably benefit private owners.

The game plan has already attracted a lot of attention from potential buyers, according to deputy finance secretary Julapun Amornvivat.

” With clear support from coalition parties, and a]favourable ] study by the Ministry of Finance, the project is ready to be proposed to the cabinet for consideration”.

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Is US losing the AI arms race to China? – Asia Times

The US government has long supported the development of technologies for military purposes, and it believes that artificial intelligence will be essential to the development of new battle equipment.

Military officials are concerned about keeping up with and ahead of China and Russia, two nations that have made significant strides in developing artificial-intelligence devices, according to current investments and Pentagon initiatives.

Targeted recognition systems, weaponry guided by AI, and attack and cyberdefense application that runs without the need for human intervention are just a few examples of AI-powered weapons.

The US defence society is coming to understand that AI will drastically change, if not totally reinvent, the world’s military power balance. The problem is more than defense.

As Chinese and Russian systems become more advanced, they threaten US domination of scientific innovation and development, as well as international financial power and influence.

Military leaders recognize that the threat to US scientific leadership is coming from two main options: a developing and ambitious China and a playful and declining Russia. Taken together, these troops challenge global security.

The nature of the threat

A 2018 Pentagon statement noted that modern innovations could change the types of challenges facing the US, which might include space-based arms, long-range nuclear weapons and cyberweapons.

A February 2019 study warned that China’s opportunities in its government’s AI systems – in particular, those supporting robotics, control, detail munitions and digital warfare – threaten to overwhelm the US. Chinese government organizations are carefully collaborating with the country’s private companies to stay current with cutting-edge technology developments.

Additionally, some Chinese and Russian projects have created military AI systems designed to address what they believe are US scientific flaws. For example, swarms of military AI-enhanced drones could search for and attack the protected computer systems that nations rely on to manage and establish their nuclear weapons.

So far the Pentagon’s activities have been mostly governmental, rather than practical. A Defense Department-wide strategy document that outlines large tenets for the creation and use of AI in upcoming conflicts has been released. A Joint Artificial Intelligence Center, which is tasked with accelerating the supply and implementation of AI, has been established by the defense.

But projects with names like” the Third Offset“,” Project Maven” and the” AI Next Campaign” have minimal funding. Some details about what they will actually do have been released by leaders.

Working with Silicon Valley

To arrange with Silicon Valley and implement new technologies in the military, the Pentagon has established the Defense Innovation Unit, with authorization to waive the labor-intensive military procurement process.

Conversations about the potential for the Chinese government to obtain and use US-designed technologies have been sparked by that device, which led to US restrictions on conducting business with numerous Chinese technology companies.

In terms of AI growth and use, many experts believe China may be able to beat the US. Nevertheless, China trails the US in various ways. The US has the nation’s largest knowledge funds, the most popular technology, software and technology companies, and the most sophisticated cyberattacks skills, both offensive and defensive.

For the moment, at least, but perhaps not long, according to me and other professionals, these benefits should help us maintain our technological leadership.

James Johnson is a teacher at Middlebury

The Conversation has republished this post under a Creative Commons license. Read the original post.

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RTX Corporation sells out US national security to China – Asia Times

Major US martial installations have been severely damaged by major US export control violations that the US State Department has allowed RTX Corporation to avoid liability. The dealings involved China, Iran and Russia, among people, and the procurement of essential components for defence systems&nbsp, from China.

Despite reporting more than 750 transgressions, RTX was fined US$ 200 million, although the de facto real good is just half that amount. There were no visible visits to the Department of Justice, and no other steps were taken. &nbsp,

No measure was made of problems to US safety. Given the seriousness of the violations, the great is just a number that has been taken out of a scarf. It is actually a pointless penalty. RTX profits are near$ 69 billion annually.

The State Department reports that the majority of the transgressions took place in RTX’s Collins Aerospace department, but there were also trade violations in other areas of the company.

The State Department claims that because the business freely disclosed the violations and worked with it to improve export compliance, its response was no harsher.

The transgressions include shipping to Iran, Lebanon, Russia and China. China was hired by US defense systems as a subcontractor for parts, and the company was given export-controlled design and complex data to make components.

With these transactions, Collins, which is now a division of RTX, could purchase components from China for less money and probably less. Collins runs activities in Shanghai and works with China Aerospace Systems Corporation.

For controlling US imports, there are three different systems in place. The State Department publishes the International Traffic in Arms Regulations ( ITAR ) and administers the Arms Export Control Act. Security firms are aware that the majority of what they produce is covered by ITAR regulations.

The Commerce Department publishes the Commodity Control List (CCL ) regulations and administers the Export Administration Regulations. The CCL covers national security, foreign policy, short-supply, nuclear non-proliferation, missile systems, chemical and biological weapons, regional security, crime power and criminal issues.

The Office of Foreign Asset Controls manages a number of US export restrictions for the Treasury Department. The US has sanctions on Russia, China and Iran. Additionally, all three countries engage in extensive computer hackers, which is frequently referred to as an “advanced frequent threat,” against the United States.

There can occasionally clash and conflict over groups that joint mechanisms are tasked with sorting out despite the three organizations that administer the applications. &nbsp,

In addition, other agencies, most notably the Defense Department, the Department of Energy (especially for nuclear-related technology ) and US Intelligence ( mainly the CIA ) participate in establishing technology controls, tracking adversaries and adjudicating export license applications.

Collins Aerospace

Rockwell Collins was acquired by&nbsp, United Technologies Corporation&nbsp, ( UTC ) &nbsp, on November 27, 2018, for$ 30 billion and now operates as part of&nbsp, Collins Aerospace, a subsidiary of the&nbsp, RTX Corporation&nbsp, ( formerly Raytheon Technologies ).

Business aviation accounts for a sizable portion of the company’s business, but many of the same items are used in military aviation. &nbsp,

Rockwell Collins has been involved in defense projects with&nbsp, Common Avionics Architecture System&nbsp, ( CAAS ), &nbsp, Joint Tactical Radio System&nbsp, (JTRS ), &nbsp, Tactical Targeting Network Technology&nbsp, ( TTNT ), &nbsp, Defense Advanced GPS Receiver&nbsp, ( DAGR ) and&nbsp, Future Combat Systems. Interestingly, Collins Aerospace, the son division of RTX, specializes in incorporated field control and has earnings of$ 26.2 billion.

As the&nbsp, business says,” With our long history of providing software-defined transmitters, gate solutions and conversation systems, we know what it will get to join the battlespace. With innovative solutions that incorporate legacy and fresh assets, available systems architecture, electronic engineering, and militaristic commercial technologies, we are accelerating the deployment of new technologies and capabilities to allies.

According to the State Department, since 2020, there have been 27 volunteer statements concerning Collins Aerospace. According to “at least two instances, these unauthorized exports led to the production of thousands of defense articles ( comprising roughly 45 distinct part numbers ) in China, their importation into the United States, and their eventual integration into various US and partner military platforms. In 16 situations, Respondent]Collins? or RTX? ] or its international members reexport or export security articles related to military aircraft and missile system initiatives without license.

The State Department asserts that the majority of these breaches occurred before UTC acquired Rockwell Collins in 2018.

Particularly concerning is how the State Department did not take any action for four decades after being informed of these breaches, which included acquisitions of Chinese goods for US defence techniques. Was the US government informed of the presence of Taiwanese weapons in its military installations? If so, the State Department’s statement does not contain any information. &nbsp,

The State Department’s” Charging Document” also reveals that the&nbsp, US AWACS ( Airborne Warning and Control System ) was also compromised.

” In two disclosures that Respondent initially submitted to the Department in 2021 and 2022, it disclosed unauthorized exports that occurred at Respondent’s facility in Cedar Rapids, Iowa, in the form of unauthorized releases of USML]US Munitions List, namely the ITAR] … technical data related to the&nbsp, Boeing E-3 Sentry Airborne Early Warning and Control Aircraft&nbsp, and the Embraer KC-390 Millennium Medium Weight Transport Plane to a Chinese foreign-person employees ( FPE)” .&nbsp,

There is no explanation as to why a Taiwanese national worked for Collins Aerospace or for any other inquiries regarding different Chinese nationals. Are these workers also employed in Cedar Rapids?

Collins, through its company in Shanghai, even sought Chinese-company bids for copper screen housing components for the US secrecy F-22 warrior bomber. At least two Collins Chinese people were present.

Collins also” contemporarily and individually exported the same professional information to four PRC companies without authorization.” In another publication in 2023, RTX reported that Collins “released specific circuit card gatherings” to PRC businesses. &nbsp,

These printed circuit boards are covered by Indian regulations ( for example, specifically designed for military use ). Collins says they were inadvertently&nbsp, flagged as falling under Commerce Department Export Administration Act laws. &nbsp,

No details are available that suggest Collins was given a license by the Commerce Department, suggesting that the business handled the purchase as a business without one requiring an export trade license. What security products were used in the charging document?

For the following US techniques, Rockwell Collins even sought printed wires ( printed circuit boards ) from China, according to the Charging Document:

• VC-25 Presidential Transport Aircraft ( Air Force One )

• A-10 Thunderbolt II Close Air Support Attack Aircraft

• B-1B Lancer Supersonic Strategic Heavy Bomber

• B-52 Stratofortress Strategic Bomber

• C-17 Globemaster III Strategic Airlifter

• C-130J Super Hercules Military Transport Aircraft

• CH-53 Super and King Stallion Cargo Helicopter

• F-15 Eagle Fighter Aircraft

• F-16 Fighting Falcon Fighter Aircraft

• F/A-18 Hornet Fighter Aircraft

• KC-46 Pegasus Tanker Aircraft

• KC-130 Tanker Aircraft

• KC-135 Stratotanker Tanker Aircraft

• MQ-4 Triton Surveillance Unmanned Aerial Vehicle ( UAV )

• MQ-8 Fire Scout UAV Helicopter

• MQ-9 Reaper Combat UAV

• MQ-25 Stingray Refueling UAV

• P-8 Poseidon Maritime Patrol Aircraft

• U-2 Reconnaissance Aircraft

The “wiring sheets” are never disclosed in the Charging Document, merely stating that Collins was attempting to outsource them to China.

The company also disclosed that it reexported and retransferred to 25 countries, including China, items ( not otherwise described ) that are parts of the following military systems:

• Aegis Ballistic Missile Defense System

• B-2 Spirit Bomber Aircraft

• F/A-18 E/F Super Hornet Fighter Aircraft

• F-15 Eagle Fighter Aircraft, &nbsp,

• F-16 Fighting Falcon Fighter Aircraft

• F-22 Raptor Fighter Aircraft

• F-35 Lightning II Fighter Aircraft

• National Advanced Surface-to-Air Missile System

• PATRIOT Air Defense System

• Phalanx Close-In Weapons System

• RIM-116 Rolling Airframe Missile

Iran and Russia

” In March 2019, an individual hand-carried a company-issued notebook, which contained ITAR-controlled technical information, to Iran.

The business detected the individual ‘s&nbsp, try to use the computer to connect to the internet while in Iran and initiated a” ice “in reply, restricting access to the computer’s hard drive.

Following the&nbsp, company’s return to the United States, the organization determined that the computer contained USML Category…&nbsp, complex information related to the B-2 Spirit Bomber Aircraft&nbsp, and F-22 Raptor Fighter Aircraft”, according to the Charging Document. The owner’s name is not included, nor is division of the company that employed this&nbsp, people.

Also, in 2021 an Pro individual traveled to St Petersburg, Russia with a company-issued computer. Unlike the Iranian laptop which the company was able to “freeze” ,&nbsp, that did not happen in&nbsp, St Petersburg, as the cyber team in RTX decided that the use of the laptop in Russia was a “false positive” .&nbsp,

It is n’t clear if this&nbsp, trip was for personal reasons, but the report says the staff made four personal visits to Russia to see his fiancé. The computer contained highly sensitive information, including 152 documents that contained complex data “related to the F-15 Eagle Fighter&nbsp, Aircraft, F/A-18&nbsp, Hornet Fighter&nbsp, Aircraft, the F-22 Raptor Fighter Aircraft, the F-35 Lightning II Fighter Aircraft, and the U-2 Reconnaissance Aircraft”.

It is well known that the Russians and the Iranians have considerable cyber-hacking features.

RTX was fined$ 200 million, but the State Department approved putting the business on hold to use the rest of that money to comply with import laws. &nbsp,

One hundred million dollars for trade conformity makes no sense, since a couple million invested in compliance would be more than enough, even in a sizable business. So we can conclude that the$ 200 million fine is only intended for public relations purposes and is actually$ 100 million.

No attempt was made to determine the true value of the US’s hacked surveillance systems or the Chinese goods stuffed into US arms.

It is extremely unsettling that the State Department has been keeping track of this data for centuries. Extremely dangerous is the lack of punishment and prosecution. For unknown reasons, no one is obviously being held responsible.

Since there is n’t much proof that the State Department looked into any of the disclosures to see if they accurately captured what transpired, we are n’t sure if the voluntary disclosures actually captured what transpired. Bottom line: US law enforcement actually did everything in their power to advance National safety objectives.

At Asia Times, Stephen Bryen is the top editor. He served as the Near East Subcommittee of the US Senate Foreign Relations Committee&nbsp and as the assistant undersecretary of security for coverage. &nbsp,

This article &nbsp, was initially published on his&nbsp, Weapons and Strategy&nbsp, Substack, and is republished with authority.

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Making workplaces safer: Some large firms appointed as advocates to encourage safety among contractors

A strong regional WSH ecosystem will enable ASEAN to continue to be a desirable place for trade and investment. It will also give ASEAN companies an advantage in terms of price.

Mr. Tan noted that Singapore had a record-breaking low deadly injury rate of less than 1 % per 100, 000 workers last month. He added that there must be a commitment to uphold these requirements.

Abu Bakar Mohd Noh, the head of the WSH Council, argued that high security standards are beneficial for business. &nbsp,

” When you have security, a secure environment, a safe and healthy environment, normally, your people are able to perform better”, he said. &nbsp,

ENCOURAGEMENT FOR Architects

Mr. Choo of CNIM claimed that the new program may stimulate his company to continue abide by high safety standards.

” With a long term project and repair deal, there’s more balance in our organization”, he added. &nbsp,

Mr. Mr. Lim, a companion at SBS Transit, stated that his company has encouraged CNIM to continue to perform well by acknowledging its reputation at its annual health community. &nbsp,

According to Mr. Bakar, major contractors have the most sway over the businesses they work for and will be able to advise them.

” If you have like-minded organizations along with you in this journey, it actually helps”, he told CNA’s Singapore Tonight. &nbsp,

He added that the new program provides a framework for these health officials to follow, even though there are a number of individual businesses that may act as advocates on their own authority.

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Can China’s export surge save the day? – Asia Times

The best economic news President Xi Jinping’s country has received in a while comes from the 8.7 % increase in Chinese imports in August.

The data, which came in significantly higher than the 6.5 % increase most economists anticipated, points to a crucial growth driver for the world’s largest trading country, which is now in desperate need.

According to Nomura Holdings ‘ experts,” the continued strong run of export may really delay near-term policy help.”

China appears to be a clear winner from persistently high global prices, which is boosting the country’s attractiveness in foreign markets. Wei Yao, an economist at Societe Generale, stated that “it truly offers some help to China’s growth.”

The question, of course, is whether the trade engine may continue firing to mitigate robust domestic headwinds. They include a deepening home issue that’s undermining company and home confidence, stagnant wages, negative pressures and great youth unemployment.

The bad news is that export gains do n’t appear to be sufficient to offset the long-term downward pressure on other parts of the economy. The good news: in the short work, rising exports could supply Xi’s staff greater latitude to employ much-needed structural changes.

Finding strategies to regulate real estate markets, repair the stability sheets of large property developers, and balance regional government finances is still a challenge for Xi’s team. Mainland property markets, noted Standard Chartered Bank CEO Bill Winters, have n’t yet found a floor.

The property market has been a slow grind over, according to Winters, who is aware that the property market is the underlying cause of many of the trust concerns.

He continued,” there are some signs from time to time that we’re seeing an increase in activity, but it does n’t feel like we’ve really found a bottom in terms of price.”

Ringing Zu Yu, the president of Shanghai CRIC Info Tech Co, makes another point about the sluggish pace among municipalities in terms of bolstering property markets around the country. ” Regional governments have made gradual headway”, Ding noted.

Imports, process, are proving to be far less strong than exports, a sign that island desire may require a policy-delivered jolt. Although a rate cut from the People’s Bank of China is possible, many academics believe a fiscal boost would have a bigger impact.

According to the Financial Times, investment banks economists believe that China has acquired a US$ 1.4 trillion signal program over the next two decades to rekindle economical growth and prevent deflation from ingraining its roots.

If that number is best, it would be more than double the economic “bazooka” Beijing deployed after the 2008 Lehman Brothers problems. ” The longer that depreciation sits, the bigger the process in terms of reflation”, Robin Xing, general China analyst at Morgan Stanley, told the Financial Times.

Some people think the China-cratering narrative has been a little too much, according to experts and economists.

As Louis Gave, scientist at Gavekal Dragonomics, observes, “it’s hard to find information in the&nbsp, Chinese&nbsp, information that home energy need has taken a noticeable change for the worse”. China’s crude oil imports were up in August, he noted.

” And talk that China’s fuel consumption is down because construction is cratering does n’t stand up well, either”, Gave said. ” Even at its height, the construction sector accounted for less than 4 % of&nbsp, China’s diesel – or gasoline – consumption”.

However, the softness of Chinese exports suggests home demand remains sleepy. The 2 % increase from the previous year on average in August is insignificant in comparison. Lethargic goods, noted analyst Raymond Yeung at Australia &amp, New Zealand Banking Group, “mirrors its poor private demand”.

China’s” strong” trade surplus, Yeung added, may exacerbate” concerns” about mainland “overcapacity”, intensifying the blowback already fomenting among lawmakers in the US, Europe and elsewhere.

Pan Gongsheng, the government of the PBOC, faces a special issue as a result of all of this. Internationalizing the renminbi was a major concern for the Communist Party during the Xi era.

Beijing could become a bigger vote problem in the US, where both presidential candidates have taken harsh aim at China’s trade policies, if more drastic rate cuts are implemented. This will unnerve world markets and cause unrest in the country. Additionally, it may raise the risk of default for Chinese property developers who are unable to pay offshore loan.

Appearing at next year’s Bund Summit in Shanghai, Pan’s PBOC father, Yi Gang, urged Beijing to work with greater policy necessity to maintain customer charges. They should concentrate on battling the negative force, he said.

Yi emphasized that” the key words are: how to boost domestic desire, how to properly deal with the situation of the real estate business, as well as the local authorities debt problem, and how to control the confidence of society.”

The former PBOC head remarked that “at this point, proactive fiscal policy and accommodative monetary policy are important.”

One option is for Pan’s team to further lower reserve requirement ratios for banks further, said Zou Lan, director of the PBoC’s monetary policy department.

The challenge for Chinese policymakers is to manage the housing crisis and ensure that there is enough domestic demand to maintain the high level of economic growth, according to economist Jeffrey Schott of the Washington-based think tank.

According to Schott,” that is so crucial for the Chinese economy and for moving more and more people toward higher standards of living.”

China’s performance so far in 2024 is still marred by weak consumption. In July, for example, retail sales in Beijing dropped 3.8 % year on year. In Shanghai, sales fell 6.1 %.

According to economist Zhang Zhiwei of Pinpoint Asset Management,” the country continues to show divergent trends with weak domestic demand and strong export competitiveness, both reflecting the domestic deflationary pressure.” ” The question is how long exports can continue to grow given the deteriorating US economy and rising trade tensions,” the quote reads.

Strategist Yeap Jun Rong of IG International stated that” the lack of conviction around China’s economic recovery continues to leave investors shunning.”

Consider the$ 6.5 trillion in market value lost from Chinese and Hong Kong stocks since their peak in 2021, a loss comparable to the size of the entire Japanese market.

The issue is that the economy is in a worse place than I thought six months ago, according to Lazard Asset Management strategist Ron Temple, who quoted Bloomberg as saying: “it’s been an incredibly bad period for markets. The longer the government stays silent about initiating significant demand increases, the longer the consumer confidence damage will persist and the harder it will be to stop.

Count Carlos&nbsp, Casanova, economist at Union Bancaire Privée, among those who worry China’s “export momentum in August remains unsustainable”. He stated that” we do not anticipate this trend to continue even though net exports will positively contribute to GDP in August.” Additionally, weak imports suggest that domestic demand is softening.

The export portion of the equation is a positive force for the time being. So are trends in foreign direct investment ( FDI) vis-à-vis top economies like Germany. FDI from Germany into China rose to a record in the first half of 2024, reaching 2.48 billion euros ($ 2.72 billion ) in the first three months of the year and 4.8 billion euros ($ 5.28 billion ) in the April-June period.

This dynamic contradicts German Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s warnings about “growing geopolitical risks” between China and the European Union. Ursula von der Leyen, the president of the EU, has been encouraging European companies to “de-risk” their positions in Xi’s economy.

” The trend is particularly notable for big German corporations, which have ramped up their investments in the Chinese market, which has long been their largest, most profitable single market”, Zheng Chunrong, director of the German Studies Centre at Tongji University, told the Chinese Communist Party-run Global Times.

According to Maximilian Butek, executive director of the German Chamber of Commerce in China, “our data shows that more than half of German companies plan to increase their investments in the country and the vast majority do n’t plan to leave.” This is particularly true for large corporations and the electronic or automotive industries.

Even so, noted UBP’s Casanova, some of the August export surge may reflect a “front-loading response” to the EU’s impending tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles. ” These provisional tariffs”, he said,” will last for a maximum of four months, during which a final decision on definitive duties must be made”.

If adopted, Casanova said,” these duties would be in effect for five years. Additionally, exports of aluminum ( 24.1 % vs. prior 20.5 % ), chemical fertilizers ( 31.6 % vs. prior 15.2 % ) and steel products ( 6.8 % vs. prior -2.4 % ) also saw significant increases”.

According to Casanova,” this trend is understandable in the context of upcoming EV tariffs and a rise in demand for chemical fertilizers in the wake of sanctions against Russia.” Exports to the United States slowed to 4.8 %” versus 7.6 % in the prior month, while demand from ASEAN countries also showed a slight recovery.

The problem, he concluded, is that” a slowdown in major economies, particularly the US and Europe, may diminish demand for Chinese exports in the coming months. Additionally, rising geopolitical tensions in the weeks leading up to the US election in November may lead to uncertainty that could affect trade agreements and market access.

Thanks to geopolitical currents– including the November 5 US election–” China’s latest export push is backfiring”, claims economist Jeemin Bang at Moody’s Analytics. ” Its policy-led ramp-up in manufacturing has sparked protectionism abroad, potentially leaving China with few viable export markets”.

The end result is that while export growth is advantageous right now, it may not be a reliable engine until 2025. That will require more courageous actions to address China’s fundamental problems, such as a persistent property crisis and domestic demand-boosting measures that wo n’t go away.

Follow William Pesek on X at @WilliamPesek

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Vietnamese-American man charged in Singapore over US.3 million money laundering case

SINGAPORE: A Vietnamese-American man has been charged with money laundering offences in Singapore in a case involving about US$ 8.3 million ( S$ 10.8 million ).

On Thursday ( Sep 12 ), Nguyen Duy Khiem, 61, was charged with possessing direct or indirect benefits of criminal conduct.

The police announced in a speech that Khiem had allegedly arranged for two Asian women to reportedly include two businesses in Singapore in 2019 as a result of studies by its Professional Affairs Department.

Hoang Thi Thuy Hang founded Wellington York Partners, while Hoang Dinh Phuong Thao founded Kaloca Asia. The two girls allegedly opened bank accounts with the companies in Singapore under the supervision of Khiem.

The bank balances, which were supposedly under Khiem’s power, received money exceeding US$ 457, 500 and US$ 7.8 million both between December 2019 and October 2020.

The police claimed the money were the product of international investment scams.

The largest amount of the charges listed in cost sheets was reportedly a US$ 5.3 million in a UOB bank account owned by Wellington York Partners between July 1 and July 30th, 2020.

He is accused of not providing a sufficient consideration of how this money came from, which is logically believed to be direct profits from criminal conduct.

Charge sheets also list a” David Edwards,” with some of the money allegedly coming from Edwards ‘ benefits from unspecified criminal behavior.

Khiem stated that he was innocent and that he would consult with a solicitor.

He was offered bail of S$ 120, 000 and may return to court in October.

If convicted of possessing direct criminal benefits under the Corruption, Drug Trafficking and Other Serious Crimes ( Confiscation of Benefits ) Act ( CDSA ), he can be jailed for up to three years, fined up to S$ 150, 000, or both.

He may receive a sentence of up to 10 years in prison, a fine of up to S$ 500, 000, or both if found guilty of possessing house that he believed to be related to a criminal offense under the CDSA.

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Taiwan can’t block China’s advanced chip access alone – Asia Times

Other than air force exercises and training on the high seas, tensions between China, Taiwan, and the US are also a part of the conflicts. The technological field is likewise playing a role in the dark issue.

Dominance over global semiconductor supply stores is one of the main causes of the growing political rifts between Taiwan and the US on the one hand and China on the other. Because semiconductors, or microchips, provide everything from smartphones and business applications to sophisticated military hardware and critical infrastructure.

As the demand for advanced microchips rises globally, not least because of the explosive growth of artificial intelligence, so does their proper value to the advancement of individual countries and the world market. Currently, China imports computers for twice as much as it does oil.

This growing emphasis on electronics around the world adds a new layer of complexity to the raging China-Taiwan tensions. Now, Taiwan is the nation’s largest and most innovative microchip maker, and China is the civilization’s biggest consumer of electronics.

We as geopolitics and advanced systems researchers see the struggle to control device supply chains as one of the fundamental struggles of the twenty-first century. The US, which announced a new influx of export controls on silicon items on September 6, 2024, might use Taiwan’s experience as an example.

Chinese Vice President Lai Ching-te gave a statement at the CommonWealth Semiconductor Forum in 2023 in Taipei, Taiwan. Annabelle Chih/Getty Images

Taiwan did not emerge as the country’s silicon superstar by accident. Due in large part to its versatile production system and world-class executive talent pool, the self-governing area has been producing high-quality computers for years.

Taiwan must find a delicate balance in order to maintain its position of dominance in the semiconductor industry, especially when it comes to exporting cutting-edge solutions to China.

For one, Japanese policymakers are rightly determined to protect the island’s intellectual property while avoiding social friction with a nation that views the isle as its own territory. Also, Taiwan wants to keep computers from powering Chinese missiles now pointed at the money, Taipei.

The path to governing bits

Japanese law forbids the shift of systems to China up until the early 1990s. But laws were poorly enforced. As a result, Chinese businesses usually evaded previous sanctions by moving their business through then-British Hong Kong. The island’s device market was actually a beneficial source of income.

Taiwan’s approach to regulating the movement of systems started to change in 1993 when President Lee Teng-hui implemented the” no haste, get patient” plan. A program that added extra layers of oversight to very developed technologies, deals valued at more than US$ 50 million, and specialized vital infrastructure projects was put in place of the tight ban.

Crafted over years, this “outbound purchase testing” system features many checks intended to safeguard Taiwan’s primary chip technologies. Chinese government are actively involved in monitoring and overseeing funding decisions made by the region’s semiconductor firms in China.

Authorities are also concerned about ensuring that native chipmakers are in line with Taiwan’s corporate goals while reducing political ties to its neighbor.

During the verification process, Chinese companies are required to post comprehensive expense plans to government-appointed reviewers for acceptance. For instance, when a Chinese semiconductor company, such as the world’s largest chip manufacturer TSMC, considers establishing a fresh facility in China, it must first conduct a thorough approval process.

Changing calculations

Even though the cautious policy change, which is still being pursued today given rising geopolitical tensions, was thought to be out of step with the development of more open global trade relations with China.

After years of intensive lobbying by US corporations, the restrictive human rights restrictions that had hampered Western trade with China were lifted in the 1990s. China’s permanent normal trade relations were established in 2000 by US President Bill Clinton, paving the way for its accession to the World Trade Organization a year later.

Trade with China, including of advanced technologies, exploded thereafter.

The silhouette of a person is seen in front of a sign reading 'TSMC'
A visitor explores the TSMC exhibition at the World Semiconductor Congress 2022 in Nanjing, Jiangsu province, China. Picture: CFOTO / Future Publishing via Getty Images / The Conversation

However, over the past ten years, Washington’s strategic decisions regarding trade with China have changed significantly.

China was identified as a strategic rival in the US in 2018, naming several Chinese hackers as national security threats and the government as national security threats. President Joe Biden ordered the Treasury Department to create regulations to establish an outbound investment security program to safeguard semiconductor, quantum, and AI technologies by August 2023.

A few months later, the US imposed severe restrictions on China’s trade of advanced chips and chipmaking equipment. The European Union published a white paper in the early 2024 that suggested doing the same.

Taiwan, of course, has its own particular political concerns in China. Given Beijing’s long-standing ambition to, as Chinese leaders put it, “reunify” Taiwan with the mainland, local officials are particularly aware how doing business with China might have unpredictable and damaging political ramifications.

The Taiwanese National Security Bureau has long warned that Beijing is using business to covertly advance its political ambitions, including by using Taiwanese money to establish proxies and influence in Taiwan.

And Taiwan’s National Science and Technology Council made a list of over 20 core technologies that it wanted to prevent Beijing from acquiring, including know-how and raw materials to make chips smaller than 14 nanometers in late 2023.

New challenges for Taiwan’s regulations

In order to counteract Chinese influence, Taiwanese authorities and businesses have relied on the outbound screening system. Additional guidelines have been developed to defend Taiwan’s position in the semiconductor industry, including mandating that Taiwanese investors keep a controlling stake in all Chinese subsidiaries.

Nonetheless, Taiwan’s outbound investment screening system is facing multiple tests. It has to supervise financial investments from Taiwan into China’s rapidly expanding chipmaking industry, but it also has to curtail the transfer of advanced Taiwanese technologies to China.

For instance, Foxconn, a Taiwanese technology company, made an investment in Tsinghua Unigroup through its Chinese subsidiary in 2022. The National Integrated Circuit Industry Investment Fund, a Beijing-based private equity firm, supports Tsinghua Unigroup.

The Taiwanese government fined Foxconn for failing to submit a preapproval application to the outbound investment screening authorities, which ultimately withdrew its investment.

China’s expanding chip industry is also extending its local supply chain, which raises the question of whether Taiwan should impose restrictions on other suppliers to semiconductor manufacturers.

Huawei, a Chinese company, aggressively expanded its chip production network by leveraging its affiliates and Taiwanese suppliers after the US tightened export controls on China in late 2023.

Four Taiwanese semiconductor companies were later accused of aiding Huawei in developing its own domestic chip supply chain.

Confronting China’s ambition

China has aggressively pushed for greater technological autonomy as Taiwan’s semiconductor industry is becoming more restricted. It has done so by lowering its reliance on imported high-tech goods and supplies from the US, Japan, the Netherlands, and Taiwan.

There are legitimate concerns in the West that enforcing international export restrictions on microchips and relevant suppliers may unintentionally help China’s resolve to advance domestic semiconductor production development.

Official data appears to corroborate this view, China’s overall imports of microchips in 2023 were below 2017 levels. In 2023, Taiwanese chips were exported to China, a decline of 18 %.

In addition, the National Bureau of Statistics of China reported that domestic chip production overall increased by 40 % in the first quarter of 2024. By 2032, its share of the world’s capacity to produce logic chips at 10 to 22 nanometers could increase from 6 % to 19 %.

China is doubling down on its indigenous chip-making capacity. Image: X Screengrab

However, these data points do not necessarily indicate that China is on the verge of technological autonomy. Instead of the most advanced chips needed to increase AI computing power, the majority of domestic chip production is based on “mature” chips for household appliances and electric vehicles.

Meanwhile, China is still dependent on Taiwan for its semiconductors. The most cutting-edge semiconductors needed for high-end smartphones and other AI-driven, high-performance computing products may have been subject to international export restrictions due to the decrease in overall chip imports.

Coordinating international efforts

Restricting China’s access to the global superconductor supply chain is challenging. In addition to making China dependent on Taiwanese chips, which may act as a temporary protective shield against invasion, it may also serve as a heightened level of insecurities, causing President Xi Jinping to push his efforts to accelerate their technological self-reliance on advanced chips manufacturing.

China can still produce a range of semiconductors using foreign capital and technology despite the outright ban on these chips.

Taiwan’s screening mechanisms must continue to be nimble and vigilant in order to overcome this challenge, as well as be supported by a coordinated international strategy. Only then will it be possible to halt authoritarian regimes ‘ expansion in the AI race.

Robert Muggah lectures at Pontifical Universidade Católica do Rio de Janeiro ( PUC-Rio ), while Min-Yen Chiang is a PhD student at Georgia State University.

The Conversation has republished this article under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article.

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Commentary: Foreign carmakers also have a China overcapacity problem

Foreign companies ‘ market share of Chinese car sales is tracking at a record low of 37 per cent in the first seven weeks of 2024, along from 64 per cent in 2020, according to information from Automobility, a Shanghai firm. So far this year, US companies are over more than 23 per cent while Chinese, Asian and German carmakers have likewise suffered double-digit falls, the information showed.

By contrast, selling of Chinese companies are up nearly 22 %, with Chinese firms increasingly capturing the top spot in the EV business.

WHEN CHINESE EXPORTS ARE ADDED TO WESTERN Trucks

The parties ‘ market share declines are occurring in the framework of a divided domestic automobile market in China. Sales of Vehicles, including real power Batteries and plug-in variants, are up more than 30 per cent this year while sales of fuel-powered cars are lower roughly 7 per share, the Automobility data also showed.

In response to this, foreign manufacturers, including Hyundai, Nissan, Volvo, and BMW, have started reversing their manufacturing operations in China, according to recent company announcements and media reports. More than half of the Chinese-made electric vehicles imported into Europe in the first four months of the year, according to a report from The FT in June that included Tesla, Volkswagen, and Honda.

Tu Le, the founder of Sino Auto Insights, predicts that Stellantis, the owner of the Jeep, Peugeot, and Fiat brands, will eventually all export from China. Additionally, he thinks that as foreign organizations become more financially challenged, they will likely need to increase their sourcing from Chinese suppliers to stay competitive.

Chinese companies, spearheaded by Warren Buffett-backed BYD, are rapidly expanding their global manufacturing footprints. Foreign companies will increasingly have to keep up with cheaper, and potentially more technically advanced, Chinese-branded models all over the world.

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Pope Francis: How Singapore prepared for the historic visit

EPA-EFE/REX/Shutterstock Pope Francis waves to the faithful as he arrives to lead a holy mass in Jakarta, Indonesia.EPA-EFE/REX/Shutterstock

Singapore’s finest industry, which has hosted Taylor Swift and Madonna, is getting ready to welcome an probably bigger image- Pope Francis.

The pope may enjoy Mass on Thursday night at the National Stadium with 50, 000 spectators, packing the facility as his 12-day Asia-Pacific trip comes to an end.

The 87-year-old has been to Indonesia, Timor-Leste and Papua New Guinea- the attend to the Pacific Island, one of the most Roman Catholic places on Earth, was the furthest he has travelled to join followers.

He arrived in Singapore, where less than 10 % of the populace- around 400, 000 individuals- recognize as Catholic, on Wednesday evening. The three-day attend includes meetings with government officials, spiritual leaders and individuals.

Individuals claim that the visit was unimaginable merely a year ago because his weak health made this his longest foreign attend of his church. He had to cancel a trip to the UAE because a period of disease at the time had made traveling abroad challenging.

” Since we were told that he was coming]to Singapore], we’ve been praying”, says Karen Cheah, one of 5, 000 individuals who have been recruited for jobs ranging from song in the chorus during Mass to protecting the Pope.

” When he got on the plane and visited the other nations, the reality hit that it’s coming up: we are future”.

Hosting the Pope for even a one evening, as the facility will, is no little miracle.

The day before Mass, there is a hive of activity there. The ball is covered with plastic floor. As employees unload more of the chair, the columns are growing.

At the other end of the market, the chorus is closely watching the directors as they play songs at full volume, the sound blending in with the routines being practiced by the event’s hosts.

A volunteer pushes a wheelchair during a rehearsal for the Papal mass in Singapore.

One charity maneuvers an empty chair while performing the Mass segments. Due to a hip condition, Pope Francis is expected to use a wheelchair for the majority of his events.

In Singapore, safety volunteers are assisting the police in securing an area around the Pope and guarding his residence.

These participants have completed weeks of instruction, where they learned techniques like how to withdraw from a strong grasp and react to a blade attack.

The authorities have been very effective in working with us because of the latest heightened sense of security, according to Kevin Ho, who leads the security volunteer team.

” Our individuals have been working the administrative duties and sleeping through the nights. We are making every effort to make the attend as enjoyable and secure as possible.

Roman Catholic Archdiocese of Singapore Security and safety volunteers get basic defence training to prepare for Pope Francis' visit to Singapore.Roman Catholic Archdiocese of Singapore

A new menace has also increased the measures. Next year, seven people were detained in Indonesia for a failed attempt to attack the Pope. Police claimed they had taken away bow, arrows, a helicopter, and leaflets that apparently connected to the Islamic State violent team.

The Pope, born in Buenos Aires as Jorge Mario Bergoglio, is known to be unafraid to address issues including LGBT inclusion and inter-religious tensions. On this trip, he made a joint call for peace in Jakarta alongside the grand imam of Southeast Asia’s largest mosque and met other religious leaders.

He praised Citizens for choosing to have large people over their pets, a glaring observation given the fallout from China, South Korea, and Japan in terms of infant mortality. However, critics argued that his claims that Indonesian families are having up to five children were centuries away. According to UN data, Indonesian women currently have only marginally more than two children per year.

In resource-rich Papua New Guinea, which has been drawing foreign corporations and shareholders, the Pope called for staff to get treated fairly. In Timor-Leste, he also argued that young people may be kept safe from misuse after a popular local priest was accused of sexually abusing young boys there in the 1980s and 1990s.

” Of course, the Pope has a message. But at the same moment, he is also the text”, says Monsignor Stephen Yim, co-chair of the organising committee at the Roman Catholic Archdiocese of Singapore.

This is Singapore’s next papal visit.

In 1986, the late Pope John Paul II officiated Mass at the ancient National Stadium and spent just five hours in the city position.

Mr Ho, who was a scholar therefore, remembers that evening well. He claims that the audience roared when the pope circumnavigated the location in the popemobile, unaffected by the pouring rain.

” The old venue had no roof and we all got rained on”, Mr Ho recalls. The only thing I can recall is that real sense of excitement when the Pope arrived. It was energy. I will not miss that”.

Need for Thursday’s Mass was likewise large- nearly half of those who tried to get a seat were fruitless. Unhappy people got a reply with an icon and a lyric from the Bible in it.

” Seeing the Pope in individual feels like a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity”, says Stephanie Yuen, who managed to get a seat at the facility. ” As a Catholic, that’s something I do n’t want to miss, especially in my own country”.

Sherilyn Choo, another delighted visitor, describes the Mass as” a very serious spiritual practice that I will get to discuss with hundreds of my brother Catholics in Singapore.”

The visit has even touched non-Catholics, such as carpenter Govindharaj Muthiah, who built two chairs for the Pope’s usage in Singapore.

” Hostilities are very large all over the world. It’s heartwarming that he made journeys to places with several different faiths”, Mr Muthiah says. ” Unity is the text he is putting across”.

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The growth of malignant and exclusionary social movements – Asia Times

Today, discussion, allow alone consensus, is frowned upon and the benefit is given to exclusive cultural movements built on malicious rather than goodwill impulses. The US and some additional societies are riding into toxic polarization.

As Heritage Foundation leader Keith Roberts stated in July 2024,” ]W] electronic are in the operation of the next American Revolution, which may be violent if the remaining allows it to be”.

Violence against women was already popular ten years ago, primarily in developed nations and regions that were struggling financially as they incorporated themselves into the capitalist global economy.

However, more recently, dangerous fragmentation has also threatened to engulf nations at the center of the democratic political political movement, including France, Germany, Italy, the UK, and the US.

In every situation, the malevolent social activity aims to destroy a political get built—at least notionally—on principles of inclusion and benevolence, which the activity blames for its followers ‘ loss of economic and political status within their societies.

The apparent inexorability of this takeover, which is most striking, yet counterintuitive, is a result of the failure of parties from the center and left to provide coherent alternatives, and the resultant environment in which intense positions are gradually normalized.

The end result is a problems of democracy that stifles people’s confidence in social self-government because it is unable to solve pressing issues like climate change, financial inequality, and mass migration. To change this tendency, we must first understand the conditions that brought it on.

Nine Advancements That Cause Toxic Polarization

When a convergence of social, economic, and cultural conditions triggers three potent forces, dangerous polarization becomes feasible, if not unavoidable, when these three factors are activated:

Malicious bonding: An impulse to crystallize communities built on resentment, hatred, and a wish to remove those who are “different”,

The lack mind: A emotional state that views social life as a zero-sum game pitting oneself and a cultural affinity group against a cultural, racial, or class-based another, and in which case, one is in the state of a zero-sum game.

Trans-historical pain: The anxieties and compensating behaviours that have developed over the course of several centuries of physical and emotional abuse and have become embedded in our social habits.

When they converge, these conditions lay the groundwork for a conventional wisdom built on limited assumptions about what can be achieved by society. This in turn creates new, exclusionary social movements, particularly among the dominant racial, ethnic, and class-based groups, which in turn create a deep sense of alienation from the current order.

We define alienation as feeling distasteful and alienated from the larger or what society is evolving into. Alienation can quickly turn into a lack of sympathy and lead to open hostility toward the supposedly undeserving portion of the population.

Social movements, which are the zeitgeist’s incubators and carriers, are the driving forces behind this process. Exclusionary social movements, which are prevalent in toxic polarization, are always either present or in the past.

So are inclusionary social movements, which aim to build on a very different set of impulses: empathy, goodwill, good-faith communication, mutual aid, and an openness to finding common ground in inclusive and widely beneficial change.

These two movements have historically clashed or coexisted, but neither has a long-term advantage over the other. However, we are currently seeing the convergence of nine significant developments, some of which date back decades, that have contributed to the development of powerful and potentially long-lasting exclusionary social movements:

Decreased economic progress and social mobility: The developed world has witnessed a decline in economic expansion and social mobility stemming from the outsourcing of jobs and vastly unequal growth patterns in the developing world.

Rising global migration rates, in part due to the imposition of neoliberal economic policies, which have been complemented by insurgencies in the Middle East and parts of East Asia, have made dominant ethnic groups in receiving nations feel threatened. The main reason for concern is frequently” job theft” or crime, but the root cause is racial or cultural prejudice.

Self-inflicted austerity: Four decades of fiscal austerity, rationalized by neoliberal economics and concentrated primarily on social spending, stalemate and stigmatize previously successful efforts to bring underprivileged and socially marginalized groups into the circle of prosperity.

The state has come to be the main force over the past two centuries for fulfilling the promises of the inclusive or goodwill agenda. The result of austerity is” starving the state,” which causes programs that a large portion of the population relies on as well as the goodwill agenda on which they were founded.

Benefits are curtailed, service worsens, and the citizenry become disgruntled or even alienated from the system that created and built loyalty through them.

A decline in the state’s ability to provide services is another side of the constraints imposed by austerity and rising debt. Bureaucratic organizations become less effective, more patient, and less personal. Also, the physical infrastructure deteriorates. Residents of these developments feel even more alienated by the state.

Rising debt at all levels: While the severity of debt burdens is frequently debatable, they encourage austerity at the government level and hinder households ‘ and governments ‘ ability to invest for the future, further stifling inclusive movements.

Over the past 50 years, these debt burdens have come increasingly under the control of global banks, investors, and multinational institutions: a “debt industry” that sees them as an opportunity to exploit rather than a means of equitable growth and development.

A sense of national decline is produced by political and economic collapse, stalemated wars that cost money and lives and cause national morale crises, and the erosion of a previously exalted geopolitical status.

Fifty years of failed wars, from Vietnam to Iraq, have cost a lot of money and blood, but they are still regarded in the American public as gallant missions that would have been successful if the cause had not been betrayed by defamationist politicians.

Fear of loss of potency: This is fed by a fear of declining fertility, especially within the dominant ethnic group, declining birth rates contribute to a sense that their overall position in society is crumbling. This provides a platform for theories like the” Great Replacement,” which will lead to further racial bigotry and violence among ethnic minorities and migrant communities.

The decline in birth rates among men belonging to the dominant ethnic groupaggravates misogyny based on a zero-sum, scarcity-based belief that women are infantilizing and castrating them by asserting their rights. This sometimes results in a violent backlash against women’s rights.

Global warming causes energy, environmental, and technological crises: It is believed that the current living arrangement is unsustainable or that the crisis is a hoax meant to persuade people to accept a lower standard of living. Nuclear weapons still sputter, but worries now grow about the use of high-tech warfare and surveillance against people.

The increasing role of sophisticated, computer-based systems in nearly every aspect of daily life creates a deepening fear that many long-time occupations will be eliminated or downgraded, damaging millions of workers ‘ confidence in both their livelihood and sense of personal worth.

Growth of corporate and financial power: People become more alienated from the capitalist system as business shifts and union power declines. On the right, people are encouraged to blame repressive groups ( the Jews, the Chinese, and the Arabs ) for using economic force against them and covertly supporting their “replacement” by immigrants.

Inclusionary movements lose their capacity for movement-building: Social movements built on goodwill, while in the ascendancy, come to rely on the state to address challenges related to inclusion, through policies and programs that address socioeconomic inequality and marginalization.

The state is currently on a starvation diet, so the leaders of these movements no longer have the means to pursue their inclusionary objectives, and their policies and programs turn out to be inconvenient. The leadership is unable to deliver results for their loyal base.

Focused, in an electoral democracy, on winning elections, the leadership seek a new formula and new backing that will enable them to remain in power.

They acknowledge that challenging its interests and ambitions is futile and that it is impossible to change its focus to creating technocratic,” third-way” policies like welfare reform and less forceful alternatives to closing the border. These fail to resurrect the movement’s core, instead opening up space for excluded movements to gain more popular support.

Over time, the leadership of the exclusionary movement are emboldened to claim the accomplishments of the inclusionary movement as their own, seizing control of the historical-cultural narrative.

Instead of being the outcome of decades of struggle against violent opposition from exclusionary movements, the end of legal segregation, the vast expansion of the middle class, and the end of slavery are depicted in this telling.

The inclusionary movement is demonized for failing to celebrate America when it refuses to accept this version of the story. (” The American people rejected European monarchy and colonialism just as we rejected slavery, second-class citizenship for women… and ( today ) wokeism”, the Heritage Foundation’s Project 2025″ Mandate for Leadership” declared. These characterizations of patriotic self-assurance” to the left, just so many indicators of our moral depravity and intellectual inferiority” ( p. 2 ).

Exploiting alienation

The scarcity mind informs both the framing of the nine developments just described and the response to them.

Some are quite real, including fear of the other, fear of austerity, fear of migration and insurgencies, the climate crisis, and fear of the rise of corporate power, and fear of the abstinence of the other. They collectively create a strong sense of alienation.

As alienation increases, people grow more desperate to be seen and heard, to belong, and to feel that the powers directing society are on their side—and not someone else’s. These impulses lead to brand-new, exclusionary social movements that foster a zeitgeist that fosters toxic polarization and malignant bonding, which can be then used to forge a new political thinking of the right.

Alienation gives malignant bonding a strong, life-like pull, at least while the facilitation’s constraints are met. In our time, Roberts’s” second American Revolution” takes its place within a pattern of self-renewal that began with the 1968″ silent majority” election of Richard Nixon in a campaign built on coded racism ( “law and order” ) and extends to the 2016 and 2020 elections that brought Donald Trump to power and then solidified his right-wing populist MAGA movement.

Starving the state helps to perpetuate this cycle because it delegitimizes the inclusionary agenda. However, a social movement needs resources and a means of communication with the institutional and financial apparatus of capitalism and the state in order to gain power.

For this, it needs the support of at least a portion of what we might call the Third Force: the elites, including propertied individuals who amass capital and control access to it and the institutions that defend and promote their interests.

The Third Force typically finds it easier to form alliances with exclusionary movements rather than inclusionary ones because they often find their organizing principle in imagined scarcity and dreams of a lost golden age. As a result, they rarely raise objections to current wealth arrangements.

Additionally, exclusionary movements fetise power, making them effective partners in capturing marginal social elements. At the same time, often chaotic exclusionary social movements need the organized, disciplined institutional structures and expertise that the Third Force can build for them:

  • Think tanks ( such as the Heritage Foundation ) that can convert ideological resentments into policies
  • Media and messaging platforms ( like Fox News, Newsmax, and social media influencers, for example ),
  • Advocacy groups ( for example, the Federalist Society ), and
  • An electoral machinery and ability to mobilize a group of well-to-do donors ( for example, the Republican Party, political action committees, etc. ) behind a populist leader.

These resources, in turn, help exclusionary movements and their leaders create new elites that operate on a slightly different set of preconceived notions than the previous elites but still want to establish a new status quo. The nature of this new set of arrangements always depends greatly on the movement’s relationship with the Third Force.

The success of this cycle of self-renewal prevents progressive political forces from putting forward changes that might address the real issues that cause alienation: the rise of corporate hegemony, the loss of workers ‘ power, and technological concerns.

A Way Forward for Inclusive Movements?

When combined with the resources of the Third Force, an exclusionary movement based on alienation and malignant bonding has the potential to fundamentally alter society’s course, potentially reversing decades of social and economic progress.

As we’ve just seen, it can also alter the rival inclusionary movement’s course of action, neutralizing it while making it a target for the anti-exclusionary movement’s supporters to rally against.

Even in the long periods when inclusionary movements have been ascendant, their rivals work to undermine them. When it appeared that numerous inclusionary objectives, including universal health care for people of color and socioeconomic equality, were within reach in the US in the 1960s and early 1970s, the seeds of a strong opposition to these objectives were already beginning to emerge.

However, inclusionary leaders frequently disregarded or ignored them. Real or perceived crises were then exploited, often very successfully, by exclusionary social movements as grounds for pinning the blame on their opponents.

Because attacks on vulnerable groups, including gender nonconformists, racial and ethnic minorities, migrant women, and gender nonconformists, are easily rationalized and emotionally satisfying to troubled working people who are used to occupy a more favored position in society.

Another equally significant reason is that inclusive social movements frequently respond by highlighting the gap between society’s objectives and its achievements rather than highlighting its actual successes as justification for believing it can do better. This approach easily devolves into blaming and shaming the exclusionary movement’s target audience, which that movement can then easily exploit.

What does this tell us about the conditions for making them successful in the long run, and what does it mean for them despite generating large amounts of support for them for a long period of time?

Why have the inclusionary movements not been able to maintain and grow as effectively as their exclusionary rivals? What holds them back, and how can they find the capacity to do so?

The New World Foundation’s president is Colin Greer. He was formerly a professor at the City University of New York, a founding editor of Social Policy magazine, a contributing editor for Parade magazine for almost 20 years, and the author and co-author of several books on public policy. He is the author of three books of poetry, including Defeat/No Surrender ( 2023 ).

Eric Laursen is a self-taught journalist, historian, and activist. He is the author of Polymath, The Operating System, and The People’s Pension. His work has appeared in a wide variety of publications, including In These Times, the Nation, and the Arkansas Review. He resides in Massachusetts ‘ Buckland.

Human Bridges contributed to this article, which is republished here with permission from the Independent Media Institute.

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