HSF eyes emerging energy and tech opportunities | FinanceAsia

This month, London-headquartered law firm, Herbert Smith Freehills (HSF) announced the expansion of its Singapore-based capability with three partners, in support of opportunities in emerging sectors such as technology and energy transition, as well as the “high priority growth area” of private capital.

At the start of September, the company shared the recruitment of energy transition specialist, Peiwen Chen from the Singapore office of competitor, White & Case; and the relocation of HSF M&A partner, Malika Chandrasegaran, from Sydney. This was followed by news on Thursday (September 21) of the recruitment of Anthony Patten as M&A and energy expert, from King & Spalding.

The three partners report to Jamie McLaren, Singapore-based partner and Andrew Blacoe, head of Corporates.

Discussing opportunity in the private capital space, McLaren told FinanceAsia, “There is a huge amount of dry powder available to deploy in Asia; and as private equity (PE) houses look to rebalance portfolios and benefit from the anticipated upside in a maturing Asian economy, there are an increasing number of PE houses moving into Asia and setting up Asia-focussed funds.”

He underlined that, while opportunities in the tech sector might have tailed off in recent months, they are likely to pick up on the back of consolidation yet to come, coupled with developments across artificial intelligence (AI) that are set to offer new potential.

Meanwhile, traditional PE sectors such as healthcare, financial services and the consumer segment are continuing to provide strong deal flow. “Markets such as Indonesia, India, Philippines, Thailand and Vietnam continue to offer huge promise.”

Although deal activity has been fairly subdued in recent months, McLaren added that there are signs of this turning around, “with a number of recent high profile deals, including KKR’s investment in Singtel’s data centre business” and a busy few months in the pipeline.

With regard to the new recruits, the HSF team pointed to Chen’s experience advising financial sponsors, strategic corporates and sovereign wealth funds (SWFs) on cross-border transactions, including Copenhagen Infrastructure Partners (CIP) on the NT$90 billion ($3 billion) development and subsequent sale of a strategic stake in the Taiwanese 589 MW Changfang and Xidao offshore wind projects; as well as Thailand-headquartered Ratch Group on its $605 million acquisition of Nexif Energy.

Patten brings to the firm three decades of track record working across the energy space – spanning sub-sectors comprising renewables, hydrogen, ammonia and carbon capture, as well as traditional oil and gas. In terms of other law firms, his LinkedIn profile highlights his experience at Ashurst, Allens and Shearman and Sterling, as well as six years spent as legal counsel at Shell, in London and Dubai.

The team drew attention to Chandrasegaran’s adeptness advising TPG on its A$16.5 billion ($10.6 billion) merger with Vodafone Hutchison Australia; and the A$18.7 billion acquisition of Origin Energy by a consortium involving Brookfield Asset Management, GIC, Temasek and EIG Global Energy Partners.

 

¬ Haymarket Media Limited. All rights reserved.

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Ukraine sea drones outsmarting Russia’s superior navy

While Western pundits have warned that Ukraine’s prospects for a successful counteroffensive are bleak and that hopes of retaking Crimea have been dashed, Ukraine’s marine drones have consistently outmaneuvered the once-dominant Russian Navy, pushing it into retreat at sea.

Ukraine’s rising marine drone capabilities are still evolving, but as they advance, many expect more aggressive strikes against Russian naval assets in Crimea and across the Black Sea region as the war grinds ahead.

At the outset of Russia’s full-scale invasion in early March 2022, the Ukrainian Navy sank its own flagship frigate, the seasoned Hetman Sahaidachny, to prevent its seizure. That left Ukraine with only a handful of riverine patrol vessels to engage Russia on the open sea.

Russia, on the other hand, had its full Black Sea Fleet at its disposal, including ships captured and reflagged from the Ukrainian Navy when Russia invaded and annexed Crimea. Ukraine lost over 80% of its naval capabilities in the 2014 Crimea invasion.

Despite boasting the world’s second-largest navy, over the past year Russia has been forced to relocate much of its Black Sea Fleet, including all its Kilo-class submarines, from Sevastopol in occupied Crimea to Novorossiysk farther east on the Black Sea coast in Russia – more than 570 kilometers away from Odesa and other targets in Ukraine.

In May 2023, a Ukrainian maritime drone struck the Russian reconnaissance vessel Ivan Khuprirs in the Black Sea. Russia asserted it had succeeded in repelling that attack, but in June 2023 Ukraine intensified its offensive, deploying six remote-controlled maritime drones to target the Russian intelligence vessel Priazovye, approximately 300 kilometers from Sevastopol, challenging Russian naval dominance beyond Crimea.

Ukraine’s growing maritime abilities were once again underlined when its maritime drones incapacitated a Russian warship and an oil tanker in early August this year.

Former US Navy Admiral James George Stavridis remarked after the attacks, “We’re at a juncture in military evolution akin to the game-changers like Agincourt or Pearl Harbor. Expensive manned surface warships now face existential threats from affordable drones.”

Oleksiy Danilov, secretary of Ukraine’s Security and Defense Council, said that “with each new combat mission, Ukrainian combat UAVs (unmanned aerial vehicles) and maritime drones become more accurate, operators more experienced, combat coordination more effective – and manufacturers get the opportunity to improve tactical and technical characteristics.”

Image reportedly showing the moment the Russian tanker SIG was hit by a Ukrainian sea drone. Photo: Twitter

During the August attack, the Russian oil tanker “SIG,” built in 2014 with a 5,000-ton capacity, was targeted with 450 kilograms of TNT while ferrying fuel for the Russian military. This tanker was integral to fueling Russian operations in Syria and was under US sanctions.

Ukraine’s maritime drones are changing the complexion of the war by forcing Russia to commit more resources to protect the ports, warships and cargo ships it uses to transport weapons, fuel and other military supplies.

On August 5, Ukraine issued a stern warning by proclaiming that six Russian Black Sea ports, namely Taman, Anapa, Novorossiysk, Gelendzhik, Tuapse, and Sochi, were in a “war risk area.” Ukraine’s Defense Ministry said, “There are no more safe waters or peaceful harbors for you in the Black and Azov Seas.”

Kyrylo Budanov, chief of Ukraine’s military intelligence, has claimed that domestically-produced sea drones have paralyzed Russia’s Black Sea Fleet and are now being mass-produced.

On August 23, Budanov was quoted as saying that approximately 30-40% of these drones successfully strike their targets, causing Russian ships to avoid venturing north of Sevastopol due to the risk of attacks. Asia Times could not independently confirm the claim.

Nearly two months into Russia’s full-scale invasion, Ukraine sank the Moskva missile cruiser, the flagship of Russia’s Black Sea Fleet, using Neptune anti-ship missiles. While a morale boost for Ukraine, it didn’t shift the power dynamics in the Black Sea. That shift would begin when Ukraine introduced maritime drones to the war.

On July 17, 2023, the Crimean bridge, a prime symbol of Russian President Vladimir Putin’s imperial ambitions in the Black Sea region, sustained significant damage in a drone assault.

It marked the second attack on the crucial bridge after Ukraine’s first strike in October 2022, underscoring the challenges Russia faces in protecting the bridge against cheap Ukrainian drones. Apart from its important symbolism, the bridge is a vital resupply route for Russia’s war effort.

Vasyl Maliuk, head of the Ukrainian Security Service (SBU), said that the drone used in the recent bridge attack is known as “Sea Baby.” He claimed, “These sea drones are a groundbreaking innovation by the Security Service of Ukraine. They’re exclusively ours, with no private entities involved.”

He went on to explain how these drones were deployed to target the Crimean bridge with a massive 850 kilograms of explosives to deliver maximum impact against its support pillars. The drones were also utilized in the August operation to strike a Russian warship, the Olengorsky Gornyak, as well as the SIG tanker.

Ukraine’s Western allies, including the US, are closely watching how Ukraine is successfully using maritime drone attacks.

Despite the Western interest, Maliuk stated, “They do not participate in our operations or provide us with any equipment or anything else. These drones are produced at an underground production facility in the territory of Ukraine. The targets I’ve mentioned are legitimate targets according to the Ukrainian and international laws.”

Mykhailo Podoliak, an advisor to Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, has said “What is happening in the Black Sea? Drones are changing the rules of the game, returning the waters to full-fledged foreign jurisdiction, and ultimately destroying the value of the Russian fleet. In fact, they are returning everyone to the international law of the sea…”

Ukraine’s rapid development of maritime drones, technically termed “uncrewed surface vessels” (USVs), has resulted in vessels replete with state-of-the-art features such as integrated explosives and real-time cameras. These subaquatic drones are designed to broadcast clear visuals straight to their human handlers.

Ukraine’s government recently revealed that each maritime drone costs US$250,000. For reference and comparison, the cost of each HIMARS long-range missile is $150,000 while a full launch costs around $1,000,000.

But sea drones are more than cost-effective. Ukraine’s USVs can blaze across the ocean at speeds of 80 kilometers per hour and boast a travel range of over 800 kilometers. Each drone carries a 350-kilogram warhead (in some cases, up to 850 kilograms) and can sustain operations for as long as 60 hours. Satellite-controlled versions, armed with day-night vision cameras, infrared vision and explosive fuses, act as silent surface water assassins.

Scott Savitz, a senior engineer from the US-based Rand Corp think tank, has pointed out the inherent challenge in countering low profile and elusive USVs, especially when they are deployed in swarms.

Ukraine’s advancements in sea drone warfare are being noticed in high Western places. The US Pentagon’s chief weapons buyer, Bill LaPlante, has referred to Ukraine’s use of drones in the war as a “wake-up call.”

Former Google CEO Eric Schmidt is literally buying into Ukraine’s homegrown drone industry. Along with other investors, Schmidt has pledged $10 million to D3, a Ukrainian accelerator focusing on drones and related defense tech. “The future of war will be dictated and waged by drones,” Schmidt wrote in the Wall Street Journal.

Ukraine is on the path to becoming a global drone production leader, according to Ukrainian Vice Prime Minister Mykhailo Fedorov.

“We have removed the majority of industry blockers to ease the running of a business. We help Ukrainian UAV manufacturers to receive all kinds of required approvals, we contract their developments and supply them directly to the frontline,” Fedorov has been quoted as saying.

Through the “Army of Drones” initiative, initially bolstered by President Zelensky’s UNITED24 fundraising drive, Ukraine has boosted its native unmanned weapons industry.

Ukraine is also making headway with so-called uncrewed underwater vehicles (UUV). The newly-revealed Toloka TLK-150, for instance, is an underwater drone that is smaller than previous generations of Ukrainian naval kamikaze drones used against Russian ships in Crimea. It can remain in standby mode for up to three months; the drone doesn’t dive deep, but rather swims near the surface.

The Toloka TLK-150 is on the vanguard of Ukraine’s underwater drone warfare. Image: Twitter

The innovation behind the Toloka, which reportedly will soon be production-ready, is being driven by BRAVE1, a key Ukrainian defense tech initiative. Established in 2023, BRAVE1 streamlines collaboration between the Ukrainian government, military and private tech firms.

This type of public-private partnership represents the sort of tech development that Ukraine has successfully employed in the war. This has sped up the process for tech companies to work with the military, reducing previous wait times from two years to just six weeks.

Ukraine’s scrappiness in tech development also extends to its fundraising efforts. United24, the official fundraising platform of the Ukrainian government, has turned to crowdfunding to help finance the development of more drones.

The online community of “NAFO Fellas” pooled together $250,000 to purchase a drone, cheekily dubbing it “Raccoon’s Revenge” – a nod to a raccoon Russian soldiers famously stole during their retreat from Kherson.

In August 2023, the Ukrainian Navy established a specialized brigade dedicated specifically to unmanned maritime drones.

Vice Admiral Oleksiy Neizhpapa, Ukraine’s navy chief, said that after the war Ukraine will publish a textbook on naval warfare for distribution to NATO’s military academies. He has said that that no other country can match Ukraine’s war-time experience with naval drones.

Nations including China are undoubtedly closely monitoring Ukraine’s use of drones in the war. Ukraine’s ability to develop and deploy drones for traversing the vast expanse of the Black Sea to attack Russian targets has also garnered the attention of Taiwan, which is reportedly looking to invest in similar technology to counter China in a conflict scenario.

Despite lacking a significant naval fleet, Ukraine’s use of drones has been instrumental in preventing Russia from dominating the maritime battlespace and achieving naval supremacy in the Black Sea while at the same time offering a potent hint of the future of drone warfare.

David Kirichenko ([email protected]), besides being a freelance journalist, volunteers in the Ukrainian war effort as a humanitarian aid worker. He tweets @DVKirichenko.

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Meraque paves the way for robotics automation in agriculture for Malaysia with its first plantation AGV

Applied for patents for real-time kinematic LoRA tech, swarm tech
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China, US deescalate with talks, metals concession

The newly-announced establishment of two economic and financial working groups between China and the United States is expected to help push forward a possible meeting between the two nations’ leaders in November. 

The US Treasury Department said on September 22 that it will set up an economic working group with the Chinese Ministry of Finance and a financial working group with the People’s Bank of China (PBoC). It said the two groups will meet at the vice-minister level at regular intervals and report to US Treasury Secretary Yellen and Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng.

This came after the two economic officials met in Beijing on July 8 and agreed to boost communication on economic matters.

A 2-inch gallium oxide wafer for R&D. Photo: Novel Crystal

Beijing also showed friendly gestures to the US by issuing export licenses to the China-based units of AXT, a California-based semiconductor manufacturing company, so they can export their products that contain China’s gallium and germanium, Reuters reported.

The why 

“Why did the two countries set up working groups? It’s simple – they felt the pain caused by their fight, and now they are trying to ease their pain,” a Shanghai-based columnist says in an article published on Monday.

“After several years of conflicts, both sides feel that they cannot win against one another in the short run while they are facing huge risks in their own economy,” he says. “If both sides insist on challenging each other, they will be severely injured.” 

He says that, although some compromises can ease pain, the hostile Sino-US relations won’t be changed easily. He says the US will continue to try to suppress China’s high technology sectors but China refuses to remain a low-end manufacturing country forever.

Compromising with each other is necessary in the short term while “beating each other is a final goal,” he says.

Not easy to change course

“Both China and the US hope to push forward a meeting between their leaders during the APEC Summit” to be held November 12-18 in San Francisco, Wang Yong, a professor with the School of International Studies at Peking University, told Chinareports, a media unit of the state-owned CICG Asia-Pacific. “The establishment of the two working groups increased the expectation that top leaders of both sides will meet again after the last meeting a year ago.”

“It’s not easy to turn around the strategic competition between China and the US in the short run. But having dialogues is better than nothing as it can help both sides to understand each other’s policy direction,” Wang said. “This also shows that rational and pragmatic voices are now on higher ground.” 

“Since the US-China trade war broke out in 2018, both sides have lagged in developing a mechanism to resolve problems,” said Zhou Mi, a senior research fellow at the Chinese Academy of International Trade and Economic Cooperation. Reducing damage caused by US sanctions to the global economy “will be one of the most important tasks of the economic working group.”

Zhou also said it is necessary for both countries to discuss their macro and fiscal policies, which have been inconsistent for some time.

CHIPS Act guardrails final rule

Meanwhile, the US Commerce Department on September 22 released the final rule implementing the national security “guardrails” of the bipartisan CHIPS and Science Act, which was passed by the Congress in August last year.

The rule prohibits CHIPS funds recipients from expanding material chip-making capacity in foreign countries of concern – mainly China and Russia – for ten years, and from entering into certain sorts of joint research or technology licensing efforts with foreign entities of concern. 

In August last year, the US announced a subsidy package of US$52.7 billion to boost its chip sector. South Korean and Taiwanese firms can apply for the subsidies but in exchange they would have to limit their expansion in China.  

Xi-Biden meeting

Last November, Chinese President Xi Jinping and US President Joe Biden met on the sidelines of the G20 summit in Bali, Indonesia. The two countries agreed to improve their bilateral relations but their political tensions then increased in early 2023 after a Chinese spy balloon was seen flying across North American airspace.

The chip war also escalated as the US on August 9 this year unveiled new rules to restrict American funds and firms from investing in China’s high-technology sectors from 2024. Beijing also started requiring companies to apply for licenses to export gallium and germanium, raw materials of high-end semiconductors, from August 1. 

In a meeting in Malta on September 16-17, China’s Foreign Minister Wang Yi and US National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan discussed key issues in the US-China bilateral relationship, global and regional security issues, Russia’s war against Ukraine and cross-Strait issues, among other topics.

Wang Yi and Jake Sullivan. Photo: CNN

The meeting was followed by the establishment of the two new working groups between China and the US last Friday.

US hawks

After a four-hour meeting between Raimondo and Chinese Commerce Minister Wang Wentao on August 28, the US and China agreed to set up working groups to handle their trade and investment disputes. It appears that Beijing wanted to set aside the chip war and focus on resolving other economic issues with the US. 

This came after the US compromised on several things in August: unveiling softer-than-expected investment curbs against China’s high-technology sector; agreeing that the Netherlands can continue to ship high-end DUV lithography to China until the end of this year; and removing 27 Chinese entities from its “unverified list.”

But Washington refused to make more compromises, especially after the sanctioned Huawei Technologies launched its flagship smartphone Mate60 Pro on August 29 to show off its chip-making ability.  

Representative Michael McCaul, the chairman of the House Foreign Affairs Committee, last Friday said that the requirement that US firms notify the government about their investments in China’s high-technology sectors is not sufficient. 

“I’m tired of seeing our technology ripped off and being used in their weapons,” McCaul told Bloomberg News in an interview, adding that sale of high-end chips, AI and quantum computing products from US to China should be banned. 

Read: China sets aside chip war, moves on with US

Follow Jeff Pao on Twitter at @jeffpao3

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US-China rivalry spurs investment in space tech

A SpaceX Falcon 9 rocket with a Crew Dragon spacecraft and four private astronauts launchesGetty Images

The US is “in a space race with China to go back to the moon”, says Nasa chief Bill Nelson.

In a BBC interview, Mr Nelson says he wants to make sure “we get there first”.

His comments revive memories of the 1960s and 1970s, when Nasa was in a space race with the Soviet Union. But half a century later, Nasa is employing private companies to do much more of the work.

Mr Nelson says they are crucial because it allows for the huge costs to be shared, and for Nasa to draw on “the creativity of entrepreneurs in the private sector”.

He points to Elon Musk’s SpaceX, which in 2021 was awarded a $3bn (£2.4bn) contact to build a lunar lander, and has also developed the most powerful rocket ever built.

Other private firms are also feeling the benefit of the space race. Earlier this year the agency signed a $3.4bn deal with Jeff Bezos’ Blue Origin – also to build a lander, but for later moon landings.

Those are just two companies that are benefitting from billions of dollars of government funding. It’s money that is being spent, in part at least, to try and keep ahead of China amid much broader tensions between the world’s two biggest economies.

NASA administrator Bill Nelson

In late August, India became the fourth nation to achieve a soft landing on the Moon and the first to reach the lunar south pole region.

Despite that success, China’s space program is the one most closely watched by Nasa.

China is the only country to have its own space station, it has already brought moon samples back to earth, and it has plans to reach the polar regions of the lunar surface.

This worries Mr Nelson: “What I’m concerned about is that we find water on the south pole of the moon, China gets there, and China says this is our area. You can’t come here, it’s ours.”

Mr Nelson argues that China’s actions to build artificial islands in order to claim sovereignty over parts of the South China Sea support his concern.

Mr Nelson also points out that China has not signed up to the US-led Artemis Accords, intended as a framework for best practice in space and on the Moon.

China says it is committed to the peaceful exploration of space, and has previously dismissed US concerns about its space programme as “a smear campaign against China’s normal and reasonable outer space endeavours”.

The rivalry is spurring huge investment by Nasa. In the year to the end of September 2021 the agency says its spending was worth $71.2bn to the US economy – a 10.7% increase on the year before.

While big names like SpaceX might attract the headlines, Nasa’s spending reaches much further into the economy.

“A quarter of our spending is going to small businesses,” says Mr Nelson.

That money can accelerate the growth of small firms, particularly start-ups, says Sinead O’Sullivan, a former Nasa engineer and now space economist at Harvard Business School.

The government often acts as a first customer to start-up firms and those contracts can allow them to approach private investors and raise even more money, she says.

“A lot of the time we talk about venture capital and private equity, however, governments are equally if not more important,” Ms O’Sullivan says.

Presentational grey line

Presentational grey line

The race back to the moon might be high profile, but it has helped spur an explosion in other space activity that could be far more profitable.

In 1957 Russia became the first country to put a satellite in orbit as it fought the original space race with the US. Now there are just over 10,500 satellites orbiting earth, according to the European Space Agency.

Over the last decade, Chad Andersen founder of investment firm Space Capital, credits SpaceX for spurring the industry on.

“The only reason that we’re speaking about space as an investment category today is because of SpaceX,” he says. “A little over 10 years ago, before their first commercial flight, the entire market was really government dominated.”

About half of the satellites now in orbit were launched in the last three years, according to analytics firm BryceTech.

That’s mainly thanks to just two companies One Web and Elon Musk’s Starlink.

“The space economy is much broader than just rockets and satellite hardware. It is the invisible backbone that powers our global economy,” explains Mr Anderson.

With the growing number of satellites in orbit he says an increasing number of companies are finding new uses for the data they provide, including in the agriculture, insurance and maritime industries.

Peter Beck

Getty Images

New Zealand-based RocketLab is another big player in the space economy.

A rival to SpaceX, it has already completed 40 launches for customers including Nasa and other US government agencies.

Its founder Peter Beck went from dishwasher engineer to launching rockets into space, and says that is only the tip of the iceberg when it comes to the financial opportunities that lie beyond earth.

“Launch is about a $10bn opportunity. Then there’s infrastructure, like building the satellites, it’s about a $30bn opportunity. And then there’s applications and that’s about an $830bn opportunity.”

He is not alone in making big claims. The US investment bank Morgan Stanley estimated the global space industry could grow to be worth over $1tn a year by 2040.

What might be next for space-faring private firms?

Mr Beck is cautious about opportunities on the moon, particularly mining.

“At the moment, it’s not economically viable to go to the moon, mine and bring it back to Earth.”

Nasa’s Bill Nelson sees possibilities in medical research. He points to useful research into crystal growth conducted on the International Space Station in 2019 by pharmaceuticals firm Merck, which helped developed a cancer treatment.

He also says fibre optics might be manufactured more effectively in zero gravity.

“What you will see eventually is lot of business activity in low Earth orbit.”

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BEIJING: The EU’s trade chief told Beijing on Monday (Sep 25) that tough security laws and a more “politicised” business environment have left European companies struggling to understand their obligations and questioning their future in China. China’s refusal to condemn ally Russia for its war in Ukraine also poses aContinue Reading

The shadowy Chinese firm that owns chunks of Cambodia

A drone shot of the Dara Sakor development projectBBC/ Benjamin Begley

The highway runs through the forest like a black ribbon, down to the sea and to what must be one of the world’s largest tourism projects.

Fifteen years after it began, there is still not much to see of the Dara Sakor Seashore Resort in southern Cambodia.

It is a grandiose scheme by a Chinese company to build a self-contained tourist city. A Chinese colony, some have called it a venue for “feasting and revelry”, according to the company, complete with international airport, deep-sea port, power stations, hospitals, casinos and luxury villas.

The airport is still unfinished. A single casino, with an attached five-star hotel and apartments, sits alone near the sea, fronted by an unmade road, and surrounded by a construction site.

As a tourist business it has barely got started. But it has already had a damaging impact on one of Asia’s richest natural environments, and on the thousands of people who live there.

China’s economic footprint in Cambodia now dwarfs that of any other country. It provides half of all direct investment and most of its foreign aid.

Cambodia is an enthusiastic partner in the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), President Xi Jinping’s strategy for expanding Chinese built-and-funded-infrastructure around the world. A lot of this is clearly beneficial. But a great deal of Chinese investment is speculative, rushed and poorly planned.

The once quiet coastal town of Sihanoukville, for example, across the bay from Dara Sakor, was transformed in just a few years into a huge construction site to feed Chinese demand for casinos.

It fuelled a crime wave and then a collapse of the gambling economy during Covid, littering the town with half-built, empty tower blocks. There are good reasons to fear Dara Sakor may suffer similar problems.

“It’s like baking without flour,” says Sophal Ear, a Cambodian academic at Arizona State University. “You cannot rely on unsustainable practices to achieve sustainable development. What about the Chinese real estate bubble? When China sneezes, Cambodia will catch a cold.”

Development, Hun Sen-style

Dara Sakor is the kind of development favoured by Cambodia’s former prime minister Hun Sen.

It is on a massive scale, yet it was conceived in almost total secrecy. The BBC has found that there was minimal consultation or evaluation of the human and environmental cost.

The UDG construction site

BBC/ Jonathan Head

The Chinese companies involved provide very little information about themselves, and some have dubious track records. The project has also seeded international suspicion of what other goals China might have in this part of Cambodia.

China’s “ask-no-questions” approach to aid and investment appealed to Hun Sen, a self-styled strongman who, after bringing three decades of devastating war and revolution to an end in the 1990s, pushed for breakneck growth to help his country catch up with its neighbours.

But much of this growth has been achieved by giving generous concessions, in particular huge parcels of land, to favoured cronies and foreign companies.

“There are no institutions,” says Sebastian Strangio, who has written what is perhaps the definitive book on Hun Sen’s Cambodia. “The system relies on keeping powerful people contented.”

The Dara Sakor project dates back to early 2008, when UDG, a private Chinese construction company based in the northern city of Tianjin, secured a 99-year lease – the maximum term allowed under Cambodian law – with a single deposit of $1m. This was for the right to develop 36,000 hectares initially, with 9,000 more added later.

UDG was required to pay nothing more for 10 years, and after that only a paltry $1m a year – a breathtakingly generous arrangement for control of one-fifth of Cambodia’s entire coastline.

As the land was inside the Botum Sakor national park, and greatly exceeded the legal limit of 10,000 hectares for any one project, it would have been very controversial – had anyone else known about it.

But because there was no information published about the deal at the time, there was no discussion of it in the Cambodian media.

A map showing land lost in Botum Sakor National Park

Som Thy, a local fisherman, took the BBC on his motorbike along sandy tracks through the forest to see where he used to live, inside the UDG area. Much of the tree cover has now gone. In some places a few lonely giants still stand, surrounded by a denuded wasteland.

Since 2008 the national park has lost almost 20% of its primary forests, according to the NGO Global Forest Watch. More than 1,000 families have been uprooted and forced to abandon their villages. One of those families was Som Thy’s.

“It brings tears to my eyes to see it like this, all overgrown,” he said, looking out over what used to be his home and rice fields. A few cashew nut trees were still left from the orchard his family used to rely on to supplement their income from farming and fishing.

Like the other inhabitants of the 12 villages displaced by Dara Sakor, Som Thy was moved in 2009 to a small wooden house built by the company several kilometres from the coast.

In those first years there were many protests. Today Som Thy is one of a small group which still refuses to accept the company’s compensation package.

He says it is impossible to make a living from the small plots of land they have been given, and that the sums of money they were offered are just a fraction of their original land’s real value.

He sometimes sneaks back into Dara Sakor to take his boat out fishing. He has also travelled to Thailand in search of work. His continued opposition to the project means he cannot get a job, as his brother has done, on the building sites around the casino.

Som Thy

BBC/Jonathan Head

UDG has produced some dazzling brochures for prospective investors, with alluring images of manicured golf courses, orderly rows of villas, and happy families enjoying seaside leisure. There are complicated maps laying out the different parts of this model holiday city – the Science and Education New Town Zone, the World Trade City Center and the Forest and Elegance Zone.

But all this is a far cry from the stripped forests, displaced people and half-finished roads and buildings that you still see today.

According to the Chinese environmental organisation GEI, which published a detailed study of Dara Sakor in 2016, there is no evidence that the company has conducted any environmental impact assessments, as required by Cambodian law.

Nor could GEI find any information about how the forests, which were supposed to be protected, were redesignated as suitable for development. GEI says it presented its concerns to UDG.

“They did not respond to these points,” programme director Ling Ji told the BBC. “They just insisted that they had followed all relevant laws and regulations. They don’t see the problem. This has a very bad effect on China’s image. Many countries will think that Chinese companies are here just to plunder resources. Chinese companies do not have the awareness or ability to handle local grievances in other countries, because in China these are always dealt with by the local government. Overseas, it is very different. This is still a learning process for them.”

Chasing Chinese influence

The sheer size of the project has also rung alarm bells in the United States.

In 2020 the US Treasury Department imposed sanctions on UDG, citing human rights abuses against those evicted from their villages, but also the potential military use by China of the new airport. This has a runway far longer than needed for the smaller airliners expected to serve what is quite a remote tourist destination.

The US was already concerned about a naval base near Sihanoukville which is being renovated with Chinese state funding, and which Washington believes may be used in the future by the Chinese navy.

The US has become increasingly uneasy over Chinese-built infrastructure because of Mr Xi’s emphasis on dual civil-military use – what China calls “military-civil fusion” – in its economic planning, and the official requirement for Chinese overseas projects to meet military standards.

“The PRC has used UDG’s projects in Cambodia to advance its ambitions to project power globally,” said the statement accompanying the sanctions.

UDG has called the sanctions unjustified. The company says the US is acting on “fabricated facts and rumours”, saying it “always religiously followed procedures required by law”, and that those living inside its concession were illegal settlers.

It says the airport is being built on this scale to make Dara Sakor a “global transportation hub”. It has backed this with some very ambitious targets. By 2030, the company’s website says, it aims to have 1.3 million long-term residents, nearly seven million tourists visiting every year, and to provide employment for one million people.

These are staggering numbers considering that tourist arrivals for all of Cambodia are still well below the peak of six million who came in 2019. UDG also took issue with the US description of it as a state-owned entity – we are a privately-owned company, it said.

This may be true, but there has been strong backing from Chinese state agencies from the earliest stages of the project.

Cambodia's Prime Minister Hun Sen (L) shakes hands with China's President Xi Jinping (R) before their meeting at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing on April 29, 2019.

Getty Images

China’s top economic planning body, the National Development and Reform Commission, gave its approval even before the deal was signed, and has continued to monitor it. The Communist Party boss in Tianjin, Zhang Gaoli, was also involved early on, travelling to Cambodia at the end of 2008 to take part in the contract signing ceremony.

Mr Zhang would later rise to become one of China’s most senior leaders, and from 2015 he ran the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). Although Dara Sakor predates the BRI by five years, it is now officially described as a showcase BRI project.

UDG has also built close relationships with senior figures in the Cambodian ruling party. It has made several large donations to the Cambodian Red Cross, which is run by Hun Sen’s wife Bun Rany, and gave a million dollars to fund the construction of a monument glorifying Hun Sen’s achievements.

It has particularly close ties with the former defence minister Tea Banh, who heads one of the most powerful political factions in Cambodia.

The company issues very little information about its finances, though, which makes it difficult to assess its capacity for running a project this large.

One of the few known investments in Dara Sakor was a bond issue in 2017 underwritten by the China Development Bank. But that was for only $15m, a fraction of the nearly $4bn UDG has promised to invest.

And UDG’s leading role now appears to have been taken over by another company, China City Construction Company or CCCC. It was almost unknown outside China when in 2014, for reasons that are still not clear, it inserted itself into the Dara Sakor project.

Executives from CCCC now play a leading role in UDG, and CCCC states that it, not UDG, is responsible for “the design of the overall programme for the planning and development of this special tourism zone”.

Burst bubble

CCCC is a state-owned enterprise. But it is also a troubled company.

In 2016, then under the control of the ministry of housing, it sent shockwaves through the Hong Kong financial markets after it suddenly announced it was being privatised on the orders of the Chinese government. It said it was being taken over by a little-known equity fund called Huinong.

This panicked investors who had bought hundreds of millions of dollars of CCCC’s so-called “dim sum bonds” – bonds issued in Hong Kong to get around Chinese capital controls. They tried to redeem the bonds, but CCCC could not raise sufficient cash to cover the payments.

CCCC has continued to struggle financially. It now has a tarnished credit rating and has been forced to sell off some of its more promising businesses.

It has also been revealed that Huinong, the mysterious fund which took over CCCC in 2016, is indirectly owned by the finance ministry, making CCCC technically state-owned again. This kind of opacity makes it very difficult to assess the real financial health of CCCC, which is likely to have been affected by the recent collapse of the Chinese property market.

“There was a binge of outward investment in the initial Belt and Road initiative period, 2014 to 2016,” says Victor Shih, director of the 21st Century China Center at the University of California San Diego. “By 2016, though, the Chinese government had become a lot more careful. They were no longer throwing money and approving projects left and right.”

Botum Sakor National Park

BBC/ Lulu Luo

Another investor in Dara Sakor is a Chinese entrepreneur called She Zhijiang, who has gained notoriety for running casinos along the Thai-Myanmar border, where large-scale human trafficking and scam operations have been uncovered. He is currently being detained in Thailand awaiting extradition to China.

Several people, from Thailand, Taiwan and the Philippines, have had to be rescued after saying they were being forcibly held in scam centres operating inside the Dara Sakor complex.

Publicity over scam centres operating in Chinese investment zones in Cambodia is now deterring Chinese tourists from visiting. As a result the anticipated recovery in tourism, one of Cambodia’s most important sources of income, has been much slower than expected.

But a different approach under the new Cambodian PM – Hun Manet, Hun Sen’s Western-educated son – is unlikely, according to Sebastian Strangio.

“He will be a prisoner of this system. He will have limited power to rein in its excesses, even if he should wish to do so,” he says.

Last week, just a month after succeeding his father, Hun Manet visited Beijing to meet Mr Xi and assure him that the China-Cambodia relationship is rock solid.

Dara Sakor is in fact just one of several very large land concessions in the area, most of which have been awarded to local Cambodian businesses allied to the ruling party.

The sheer weight of vested interests in the rapacious model of development followed in Cambodia until now makes it very hard to change.

Eighty percent of the national park is now being exploited commercially, and little heed is being paid to the repeated warnings from environmental activists that the country is on the verge of losing one of its most important natural habitats.

One of those activists, a young woman in her 20s, travelled with us to see Dara Sakor. She is currently out on bail after being given an 18-month prison sentence in 2021 for trying to organise a protest against another land grab.

She had taken a big risk coming with us to the UDG concession. “We don’t have a choice,” she said, as we looked out over yet another stretch of ripped-up forest.

“We have to risk going to jail, or worse, to try to protect what’s left for the next generation.”

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