Volatility is cheap – Asia Times

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Volatility is low

According to David P. Goldman, market volatility is at sudden highs, aside from gold rates, which suggests that central banks have a plan to build up their assets, such as China. He advises using buying volatility to hedge portfolios against political shocks.

Russia tries to overextend Russian forces in Kharkov drive.

James Davis evaluates Russian actions to launch a new front in the Kharkov area. Moscow’s intention appears to be to create a buffer zone and thinn Russian forces, possibly launching a southern offensive.

Biden’s great tariffs and China’s retribution

Scott Foster writes that the US Commerce Department’s steps against China, like as revoking Intel’s license to sell chips to Huawei, have harmed American firms ‘ profits and market opportunities, probably Intel in the line of fire.

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Musk arrives in Indonesia for planned Starlink launch

Elon Musk made his first appearance on the Indonesian island of Bali on May 19 in preparation for the anticipated establish of SpaceX’s Starlink internet service, which the Indonesian government hopes may increase internet access and access to medical services in remote areas of the sprawling island. According to aContinue Reading

Govt to ratify enforced disappearance treaty in June

Govt to ratify enforced disappearance treaty in June
In a letter to the president to complete a laws to protect people from torture and arbitrary kidnappings, protesters are holding up signs outside parliament in 2021. ( Photo: Chanat Katanyu )

According to the Foreign Affairs Ministry, Thailand will ratify the International Convention for the Protection of Persons from Enforced Disappearance ( ICPPED), a fundamental human rights treaty, by June 13.

” On 14 May 2024, Thailand deposited an Instrument of Ratification to the]ICPPED], which may come into effect on the twentieth day after the meeting of the payment of the instrument”, it said on Friday.

Thailand is reaffirming its commitment to protect citizens from enforced kidnappings, it said. Vathayudh Vichankaiyakij, Thailand’s chargé d’affaires, submitted the acceptance files to the UN headquarters in New York.

Thailand is a signatory to seven international human rights agreements, including the International Covenant on Civil and Political Rights, the International Covenant on Economic, Social and Cultural Rights, the Agreement on the Rights of Children, the Agreement on the Abolition of All Kinds of Racial Discrimination, the Convention Against Torture and another Cruel, Inhumane, or Degrading Treatment or Punishment, and the Convention on the Rights of Persons with Disabilities.

Thailand did ratify the seventh of nine of its most important human rights treaties, the ICPPED.

The seventh treaty’s Protocol on the Protection of the Rights of Refugees Staff and Members of their Families, which is being ratified by Thailand, is still awaiting its ninth installment.

Parnpree Bahiddha-Nukara, a former foreign minister, signed the ICPPED approval on April 26, two nights before his departure.

The ICPPED was approved by the UN High Commissioner for Human Rights in a solution from December 2006, and it became effective on December 23, 2010.

According to the International Commission of Jurists ( ICJ), the UN Working Group on Enforced or Involuntary Disappearances recorded 93 alleged enforced disappearances between 1980 and 1980, with 77 of those cases still unresolved.

The ICJ even welcomes Thailand’s approval of the ICPPED. According to Melissa Upreti, ICJ’s Asia-Pacific Regional Director,” The protocol is an essential tool that obligates states to take important measures to prevent the horrible murder of enforced disappearance, keep perpetrators guilty, and provide redress to victims and their families.”

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Tsai Ing-wen: The president who reset Taiwan’s relationship with China

4 weeks ago

Rupert Wingfield-Hayes,BBC News, Taipei

BBC Tsai Ing-wenBBC

It is a properly- known truth that the little, soft- said chairman of Taiwan does not like doing interviews.

Never long before she leaves her eight-year term and is transitioning to her son William Lai, it took months of silent discussions to sit down at Tsai Ing-wen’s dining table in her Taipei home.

Even so, the leader seems more interested in talking about herself than in asking about me. She is undoubtedly more at ease showing us her dogs and cats than she is answering issues in front of a moving camera.

” That’s Xiang Xiang”, she says, pointing to the big, dark kitty eyeing me curiously through the open doorway. ” Would you like to join her”?

She was criticized as a” cat girl” and called a” rabbit lady” when Tsai Ing-wen took office in 2016 as a middle-aged, young man. She held Xiang Xiang in her hands and took the picture, which was appearing on publication covers. Soon, her followers adopted a novel moniker: Taiwan’s Iron Cat Lady.

Annabelle Chih Xiang Xiang Annabelle Chih

Tsai admits to a walking admiration for Margaret Thatcher, although she’s quick to put it’s because of her endurance as a sexual head, never her social plans.

In Tsai Ing- ming, Taiwan found an improbable hero. She carefully and safely re-established the partnership with Beijing, which has for 75 years owned the individually run island.

Under the leadership of Xi Jinping, she stood away to an increasingly autocratic and violent China; she supported and supported a critical US empire under Joe Biden. At house, she expanded the planet’s defence and legalised exact- sex marriage, the former a second for Asia.

While Tsai shied away from the spotlight in Taiwan’s loud politics, Xiang Xiang became a star. She played a starring position in Tsai’s 2020 r- election strategy, along with the government’s different cat, a ginger tom called Ah Tsai.

Tsai has her opponents. Beijing is no lover, and neither are the some older Taiwanese, who want better relations with China, where they have family and business objectives. Domestically, she has been criticised for not doing enough for the business – the rising cost of living, costly cover and a lack of employment cost her party younger voters in January’s vote.

And her biggest critics fear that she has made the area of 23 million more, rather than less, illegal.

Put crudely, this is what any Taiwan head faces: a little bigger, wealthier, and stronger ally, who says he owns your home, is ready to let you hand it over without a battle, but is ready to apply force if you refuse. What do you do?

Annabelle Chih Tsai Ing-wen with Le Le, her Jack Russell terrier retired rescue dogAnnabelle Chih

Tsai’s predecessor, Ma Ying- jeou, chose conciliation and a Beijing- friendly trade deal.

However, he incorrectly predicted how young Taiwanese would respond to what they perceived as appeasement. In what became known as the Sunflower Movement, thousands of people took to the streets in 2014. When President Ma refused to back down, they occupied parliament.

Tsai Ing- wen was elected two years later based on a completely different calculus: Beijing only comprehends strength as the only language.

Now, as she prepares to step down, she says she has been vindicated:” China has become so aggressive and assertive”.

Dear Beijing- back off

” Wow, you’re really tall”, the president exclaims, craning her neck at a lanky, young soldier standing stiffly to attention.

He tells her he is 185cm and she asks, with genuine concern,” Are the beds here big enough for you”? They are, he reassures her.

This occurred on a recent April morning at Tsai’s newly opened new special forces training facility on the outskirts of Taipei.

When the relaxed and chatty president walks into the cramped dining room, where hundreds of crew-cut recruits glare on and yell” Zong Tong Hao”!, or” Hello, President!”

She almost looks out of place in these settings. Her speech is worthy and matter of fact, with no soaring rhetoric. And yet, they happen frequently to check on how effective the military reforms she has pushed through are.

One of the most challenging things for all men over the age of 18 was returning to a year of military service. While she admits it is not popular, she says the public accepts it is necessary:” But we have to make sure that their time spent in the military is worthwhile”.

Office of the President, ROC ( Taiwan ) Tsai Ing-wen hosted a delegation of drag queens - including RuPaul's Drag Race winner, Taiwanese-American Nymphia Wind - at her presidential officeOffice of the President, ROC ( Taiwan )

Tsai has spent a surprisingly long time as president wearing camouflage fatigues, for a former law professor and trade negotiator. In one famous image she’s seen shouldering a rocket launcher. She believes Taiwan must have a modern, well-trained military in which young Taiwanese are proud to serve.

Although China’s threat of an invasion is not new, President Xi Jinping has only recently acquired the military capability to launch what would still be a massive and risky operation. His threats have also grown more ominous and urgent. He has stated twice that a Taiwanese resolution cannot be passed down from one generation to the next, which some have assumed would be the end of his life goal.

On the other side of the strait, Tsai has set about rebuilding Taiwan’s outdated, demoralised and ill- equipped ground forces. It has been an uphill struggle, but results have begun to show. Defense spending has increased significantly to about$ 20 billion ( 16 billion ).

” Our military capability has significantly increased compared to eight years ago. The investment we have put in to military capacity is unprecedented”, Tsai says.

Getty Tsai Ing-wen, then chairwoman of Taiwan's main opposition party, at a protest in 2008Getty

I have spoken to many in Taiwan’s opposition who genuinely believe Tsai’s strategy of building up the military is naive, if not dangerous. They point to China’s powerful navy, the world’s largest, and more than two million active troops. Taiwan’s forces are not even a tenth of that.

To Tsai and her supporters, that is insufficient. They claim that Taiwan is attempting to deter a Chinese invasion by dramatically raising the price.

” The cost of taking over Taiwan is going to be enormous”, Tsai says. ” What we need to do is increase the cost,” he says.

Tsai was no stranger to Beijing, or the Chinese Communist Party, when she became president. Her unconventional ascendancy to power began in the middle of the 1990s when she began working as a trade negotiator. The first president of the pro-independence Democratic Progressive Party ( DPP ), Chen Shui-bian, caught her attention. He appointed her to be the head of Taiwan’s top organization for dealing with China. She then revised the book to include a suggestion for how Taiwan should approach Beijing.

She has long understood where the lines are, and she thinks Taiwan needs allies to withstand China:” So strengthening our military capacity is one, and working with our friends in the region to form a collective deterrence is another.”

Many in Tsai’s party, the DPP, now talk of a new alliance that stretches from Japan and South Korea to the north, through the Philippines to Australia in the south – with the US as quarterback, holding the team together. This is at best theoretical, though. Taiwan and Asia do not have any formal military ties. Tokyo and Manila are both incredibly reluctant to pledge support for Taiwan despite their shared animosities toward Beijing. Even that most important ally, Washington, has stopped short of guaranteeing it would put boots on the ground.

Annabelle Chih Tsai Ing-wenAnnabelle Chih

But Tsai is optimistic. She makes reference to rival claims made by Beijing, Tokyo, and Manila over disputed waters and islands, noting that” a lot of other countries in the region are on alert and some of them may have a conflict with China.

” So, China is not an issue for Taiwan only. It is an issue for the whole region”.

The power of soft power

Painting China as a big, bad bully is not hard for a Taiwan president. Finding allies would be harder to find because they would conceivably irritate the world’s second-largest economy.

And that’s why Taiwan leads such an increasingly lonely diplomatic existence. Only 12 of the island’s allies are still alive today, the majority of them tiny Pacific Island and Caribbean micro-states, which China has since imposed on many of the island’s allies.

Tsai believes that forming alliances with what she refers to as “like-minded democracies” is the best way out of this diplomatic isolation.

In order to meet foreign dignitaries from nations that do n’t view Taiwan as a legitimate one, she hosts dozens of parliamentary delegations from all over the world. I went to Holocaust Memorial Day last month. There was poetry and music, as well as a powerful speech from the representative from Germany to never forget.

There are also more unusual events. Tsai Ing- wen hosted a drag performance by Taiwanese-American Nymphia Ward earlier this week as Xi Jinping prepared to welcome Vladimir Putin to Beijing. Nymphia reportedly told Tsai,” This is probably the first presidential office in the world to host a drag show.”

Both are good examples of Taiwan as a democracy that the rest of the world should be concerned about losing.

People claim that Taiwan should lose support because we are more important than Ukraine because of strategic reasons for our position and supply chain. We say no. The democratic countries need to support Ukraine”, Tsai says.

Rather than Taiwan’s wildly successful chip industry, which could be replicated, instead Tsai wields the one thing she has and the Chinese Communist Party does n’t: the soft power of democracy.

In the run up to January’s election, the rainbow flag was hard to miss at every DPP rally.

” We are free to live as we please in Taiwan.” We could not do this in China”, one couple told me.

It’s a remarkable change over the course of more than 30 years when I first arrived here as a student. Taiwan was still in its early years of military rule. A gay friend I know is trying desperately to find a way to get to America. If you were discovered to be homosexual while serving in the military, you could be sent to prison or a mental health facility.

Although that changed, the Tsai Ing-wan government went further than any other Asian government when it passed legislation to legalize same-sex unions in 2019. More than half of the electorate was still against it. Some, including church and family groups, ran a vociferous campaign against it. It was a big political risk, and one that could have cost her re- election.

Tsai calls it a “very difficult journey” but one she saw as necessary:” It’s a test to society to see to what extent we can move forward with our values. Actually, I’m very pleased that we managed to resolve our differences.

Taiwan is still conservative and patriarchal. I ask Tsai if she’s worried it might return to being a “boys club” once she, the island’s first female president, steps down. ” I have a lot of opinions about that boys club”! she says but does not elaborate.

The island’s strength, in her opinion, is its mixed heritage – it’s a society of immigrants.

The Chinese arrived in numerous waves, sometimes centuries apart, and they accompanied hundreds of thousands of indigenous peoples.

” In…]such a] society, there are a lot of challenges”, Tsai says. ” People are less bound by the traditions. The main goal is to survive]as a society]. This is why we have been able to transition from an authoritarian era to democracy.

And that is why she believes that no matter who makes it to the White House after November, Taiwan’s most significant alliance, which is with the world’s most powerful nation and democracy, will survive.

Best friends forever?

After Donald Trump’s stunning victory in 2016, Tsai Ing- wen rang to congratulate him – and she was put through. Since Jimmy Carter had received a call from the president of Taiwan, there has n’t been a US president since. Tsai has described the call as short but intimate, and wide- ranging.

Trump is a wild card for Taiwan, in fact. He’s criticised the island for” stealing America’s semiconductor industry”, but, as Tsai points out, he has also approved more arms shipments to Taipei than any of his predecessors. But she does n’t want to discuss him, or the possibility of his return to the Oval Office.

Getty Tsai Ing-wen celebrates after winning Taiwan's 2016 presidential electionGetty

She does want to put emphasis on the perception of a growing threat from China.

” The rest of the world is telling China that you ca n’t use military means ]against Taiwan ]. I believe China has the message, and I think unilateral action and non-pacifical means are prohibited.

That might be wishful thinking. Military pressure has not decreased in any way. Instead, China frequently sends dozens of military vehicles and ships across the median line that divides the Taiwan strait’s airspace and waters. Beijing declared in 2022 that it no longer recognizes what was essentially the border. The trigger was one of Tsai’s diplomatic coups.

US House Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s historic visit in 2022 was celebrated in a Taiwan starved of international recognition. But China was furious, firing ballistic missiles over the island, and into the Pacific Ocean, for the first time ever.

It was a warning. Even some inside Tsai’s own administration worried quietly that Pelosi’s visit had been a mistake.

” We’ve been isolated for such a long time”, she says. You simply ca n’t resist a visit like Speaker Pelosi’s. Of course it comes with risks”.

Her voice is tingling with tension. Her opponents claim Taiwan was made more vulnerable by the Pelosi visit. Even Vice President Biden is thought to have opposed the trip.

Tsai claims that this is the boundary that Taiwan must cross.

Tsai Ing-wen recalls her time as the DPP’s leader,” I had to turn a party of revolutionaries into a party of power.”

When she took over, she was an economics graduate leading a group of older, male radicals who had spent their early lives fighting for Taiwan’s independence– or serving time for it.

There is no need for Taiwan to hold a referendum or declare independence, she says, because it is already an independent, sovereign nation.

” We are on our own. We make our own decisions, we have a political system to govern this place. We have a constitution, we have laws, we have a military. We think that we are a country, and we have all the elements of a state”.

What they are waiting for, she says, is for the world to recognise it.

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The Interview

Tsai Ing-wan travelled around the country with Rupert Wingfield-Hayes for an inclusive interview to discuss her legacy in the final days of her presidency with her.

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Amid uncertain weather, Malaysian durian exporters fear quality of upcoming harvest may impact sales to China

According to Citrus expert Mr. Lim,” Black Thorn has a sweet flavor that the Chinese areas are favoring, compared to Musang King, which is somewhat terrible.”

” To be related and contend for China’s growing desire, we may be flexible to these changes in taste and adjust quickly”, he added.

According to Mr. Chong, Musang King accounts for 36 % of Malaysia’s total durian production market while Black Thorn only accounts for 1 % of the total market, according to data released by the agricultural ministry. &nbsp,

However, community durians, which are mostly consumed directly, accounts for 38 per share of output while D24 varieties make up 11 per share. The remaining ones are hybrid durian clones, which account for 14 % of the country’s edible produce. &nbsp,

However, according to Mr. Chong, this is likely to change because the Chinese culture has changed, despite the fact that the Black Thorn versions cost significantly more than the Musang King types. &nbsp, &nbsp,

Musang Kings price RM50 per pounds, while Black Thorns usually cost RM80 per pounds in Malaysia. &nbsp,

” In China, the smaller the edible range, the more interest it gets and the consumers will need a style of it”, said Mr Chong. &nbsp,

He continued, nevertheless, that Malaysia may first make sure its farms are protected from extreme conditions, which will probably get worse in the years to come, as a result of climate change. &nbsp,

A Grade A premium fruit will only be a grade B or C, according to Mr. Chong, and regardless of which variety, you wo n’t be able to get the same price and quality you want. &nbsp,

” The fruit you desire will not grow, and the fragrance you want will not be there,” he continued. &nbsp,

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Rights group decries ‘swap mart’ for dissidents

According to Human Rights Watch, Thailand is still dangerous for immigrants fleeing harassment.

Rights group decries ‘swap mart’ for dissidents
In March 2014, 350 people from China who have been detained by immigration authorities near the border with Malaysia are taken to a detention center in Songkhla. One hundred and one women and their children from the organization were released from Turkey a year later, while 109, generally people, were taken to China. Their death remains mysterious. ( File Photo )

In a statement released this week, Human Rights Watch claims that Thai officials are helping neighboring governments carry out immoral activities against refugees and dissenters from overseas, making the country more dangerous for those fleeing persecution.

According to the organization, some targets of international suppression have gotten caught up in a” transfer mart” where foreign dissidents in Thailand are essentially traded for Thai government employees who reside abroad.

The review” We Thought We Were Safe: Repression and Refoulement of Immigrants in Thailand” describes a rise in repression against foreigners seeking refugee shelter there.

According to the review, foreign governments have frequently coerced and cooperated with Thai authorities by subjecting exiled dissidents and activists there to abuse, monitoring, and physical violence.

According to the report, Thai authorities frequently detained asylum seekers and refugees and sent them home without having a legal case with their home countries.

Elaine Pearson, Asia director at Human Rights Watch ( HRW), noted that” Thai authorities have increased engaged in a” swap mart” with neighboring governments to unlawfully exchange each other’s dissidents.

Srettha Thavisin, the prime minister, should stop using this tactic and bring charges against Thai leaders who have collaborated with foreign governments on Thai soil.

HRW said it analysed 25 circumstances that took place in Thailand between 2014 and 2023 and conducted 18 discussions with patients, their family people, and testimony to crimes, along with members of local and international nongovernmental companies.

Members of Asean, China, Bahrain, and other nations are among the accountable institutions.

In one instance, it claimed a Cambodian opposition leader who had fled to Thailand in July 2022 said he began receiving letters from Thai authorities urging him to leave the country’s main opposition group.

Unexplained men attacked him in August 2023 after he had been receiving these words for decades. They simply came out and started beating me, the rebel said.” They did not say something to me.

In recent years, Thai politics proponents have been violently disappeared or killed, and a Malay LGBTI rights influence has been targeted for resettlement in Thailand. Dissenters from Vietnam have also been tracked lower and abducted.

At the government’s demand, Thai authorities detained and unjustly deported Chinese rebels and refugees. A Bahraini professional football player with American refugee status was even detained by Thai authorities, who almost brought him back.

At the same time, a number of Thai protesters have been killed or disappeared in Cambodia, Laos, and Vietnam. Later, two missing protesters ‘ bodies were discovered floating in the Mekong River, where they were mutilated.

The” Transfer shop” plans increased under the military administration that came into power following the coup in May 2014, and they continued under the post-2019 administration of Prime Minister Gen Prayut Chan- o-cha.

In addition to facilitating assaults, abductions, enforced disappearances and another abuses, HRW said, Thai authorities regularly violated the concept of non- refoulement: the ban on returning people to a position where they would face a real risk of persecution, torture or other threats to life.

Additionally, Thai authorities have detained and immediately deported exiled critics and dissidents, even those whose refugee status has been determined by the UN High Commissioner for Refugees ( UNHCR ).

” Prime Minister Srettha should take action to restore Thailand’s deserved reputation as a haven for international dissidents,” Ms. Pearson said.

He should demand that refugees and political dissidents’ arbitrary arrests, violent assaults, and forced returns be immediately investigated.

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Seeing China reds under the beds in the Philippines – Asia Times

MANILA – As tensions rage and tangle over disputed areas of the sea, Spanish authorities are turning their attention to alleged Chinese influence operations aimed at tracing down and monitoring important installations and structures on Philippine soil.

Legislators from north Spanish provinces have lately sounded the alarm over the immediate, significant flood of Chinese learners into Cagayan, which has just been ruled by an openly pro-Beijing governor.

However, the intriguing situation of Alice Guo, a recently elected president in a small town close to Clark Air Base and other important military installations, has sparked public concern about possible Chinese” sleeper cell” agents stationed at or close to various strategically important locations throughout the nation. &nbsp,

Major Spanish authorities are now openly advocating for the expulsion of Taiwanese diplomats reportedly involved in influence operations on Asian soil, which have officially targeted not less than a major Philippine admiral, adding to the paranoia and fear.

The result is a worrying and swift decline in diplomatic diplomatic relations as the two parties drift toward a possible military conflict in the South China Sea, a conflict that could quickly entice the US and its supporters into the fray.

When Chinese online gaming companies, officially known as Philippine Offshore Gaming Operations ( POGOs ), started popping up near strategically important locations across Metro Manila under the leadership of Beijing Rodrigo Duterte, concerns about China’s influence operations in the Philippines were first raised.

Around several important Asian bases, including Camp Aguinaldo, where the Philippine Army and the National Defense Department’s workplaces are located, Camp Crame, where the Philippine National Police’s headquarter is located, and the Philippine Air Force and Navy’s and headquarters, were a total of 130, 000 Foreign workers and virtual casino operators.

Then- national security adviser Hermogenes Esperon warned at the time that a large number of Chinese citizens, many of whom were reputedly “undocumented” or entered the country under “false documentation”, posed a national security threat.

The Philippine national security chief warned in 2019 that “you’d start getting worried when a whole building, condominium, tower is occupied by just one nationality.”” Some unwelcome activities could transpire there, so we need to prevent those,” he added.

You would start to wonder what they are doing if you saw something like a rotation of people entering and leaving [of buildings in POGO areas ] every eight hours, he added, raising concerns about the opaque nature of the Chinese online casinos.

An aerial photo depicting the earlier location of Chinese- run POGOs and the Philippine military’s headquarters. Source: Defense Forum

Delfin Lorenzana, the then-president of the Philippines, went so far as to openly advocate for the relocation of all Chinese online casinos into” self-contained hubs” far from crucial national security facilities.

” ]I ] t’s very easy for all these]Chinese ] people to perhaps shift their activities to spying…They are near]our military facilities ]”, the then- defense chief warned at the time.

The Duterte administration resisted suggestions for closing or moving the Chinese gambling dens because the POGOs generated an estimated US$ 4.1 billion between 2016 and 2019.

Interesting is that the pro-China leadership, which had vehemently opposed the proliferation of online casinos because they were frequently used as launching points for criminal activities targeting the mainland and beyond, even resisted pressure to close the POGOs. &nbsp,

Fast forward to the present: the arrest of Bamban Mayor Alice Guo has sparked a new wave of concern over potential Chinese sleeper agents.

The small-town mayor had to work overtime to provide even the most basic documents, such as her birth certificate, school transcripts, and any tangible documentation of her immigration to the Philippines during a recent Senate hearing.

She has been accused of involvement in illegal Chinese casino activity, including having a relationship with the Hong Sheng Gaming Technology company, which was detained on suspicion of illegal operations in February of this year and given a new name in March of that year. Guo has denied the allegations.

” She lied. She lied in a number of questions. The fact that she denied having a connection with Hong Sheng when it was already stated in the municipal government’s document that she is the current head, according to Senator Risa Hontiveros, who presided over the hearing on Guo’s sensational case.

It” catches one’s attention,” especially because, according to our research, foreigners enter certain nations using a similar procedure. Eventually, they pretend to be locals and then do various tasks &nbsp, — some of which are not desirable”, the senator said, implying that Guo may be part of a Chinese influence operation.

In addition, Philippine authorities are looking into the rapid rise in the number of Chinese students in Cagayan, which, like Guo’s town of Bamban, houses important military installations. &nbsp,

Authorities claim that in Cagayan province there are more than 4, 000 Chinese students enrolled in universities, an unusually high number given the relatively small number of urban centers and educational facilities in the northern province close to Taiwan.

A resolution earlier this year highlighting” an alarming increase in the number of Chinese citizens coming into the province of Cagayan as students enrolled in universities” was co-authored by Joseph Lara, a Cagayan representative, and Faustino Dy V, a representative from Isabela province, which also hosts Enhanced Defense Cooperation Agreement ( EDCA ) military sites used by US forces.

As the paranoia spreads, there is also growing scrutiny of Filipino individuals, especially military personnel, who were educated in China.

When China claimed to have a recording of a sworn special arrangement with Vice-Rear Admiral Alberto Carlos regarding disputed land features in the South China Sea, alarm bells rang out in particular.

He is the top Philippine naval commander in charge of the Philippines ‘ western islands and occupied features in the South China Sea, having previously attended a program under China’s People’s Liberation Army- Navy. &nbsp,

Alberto Carlos, the vice-admiral, trained in China. Image: WESCOM

Chinese authorities have openly called for the expulsion of Chinese diplomats who are alleged to be in violation of both domestic and international law, as well as the Chinese’s claims of a secret agreement, including transcripts of its supposed exchanges with the Philippine admiral.

In a provocative statement released last week, Philippine National Security Advisor Secretary Eduardo Ano said,” Those in the Chinese Embassy who have violated Philippine laws and the Vienna Convention on Diplomatic Relations and those who have carried out these malign influence and interference operations must be removed from the country immediately.” &nbsp,

Without a doubt, the embassy’s actions constitute serious violations of international relations and diplomatic relations, he said, citing the Philippines ‘ Anti-Wire Tapping Act in response to China’s alleged eavesdropping of confidential conversations with a top Philippine naval official.

Teodoro urged those responsible for recording the alleged conversation to be kicked out of the country on May 15 because their alleged deeds would contravene the country’s wiretapping laws.

Teodoro, the secretary of defense of the Philippines, has supported the arrest of Chinese diplomats who have been interrogated and engaged in deception. He said in Filipino,” We must find out who is accountable for this and remove them from the Republic of the Philippines.”

All indications point to a new and risky nadir in Philippine-China relations, one that could lead to tit-for-tat diplomatic expulsions and increase the risk of miscalculation and potential deadly clashes in the South China Sea.

Follow Richard Javad Heydarian on X at @Richeydarian

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BJP’s anti-Muslim rhetoric has deep, dark historical roots – Asia Times

More than 960 million people have registered to cast ballots in India over the course of six months, making this the largest poll in the world.

Current Prime Minister Narendra Modi is heading the Bharatiya Janata Party ( BJP) campaign and traveling extensively throughout the nation to deliver a message that he hopes will win the party’s overwhelmingly in the election.

He is both a well-known and controversial number. Modi’s remarks are drawing heating for their anti- Arab rhetoric. At a campaign rally on April 21, 2024, he referred to Muslims as “infiltrators“.

He later doubled down on those remarks, suggesting that if India’s largest opposition group, the Indian National Congress, came to power, the success of Hindus had been snatched and given to communities that “have to some children”, a relatively lightly veiled reference to Indian Muslims.

Such language highlights a dread that Modi and the BJP have frequently stoked: that Muslims may pose a significant risk to India’s Hindu-majority population.

Although Modi has since claimed that his conversation did not specifically address Muslims, his thoughts were undoubtedly taken as they were.

To some observers, the speech serves as an indication that the BJP campaign’s campaign is trying to secure a two-thirds supermajority in Parliament. According to the discussion, Modi is trying to combat voter apathy by appealing to the group’s Hindu foundation in the face of rising economic inequality and youth unemployment.

As an Indian writer of public health, I think it is crucial to understand how anti-Muslim language came about and how it fits with growing concerns about the Hindu majority’s decline in India.

Doubts of a Muslim acquisition

Political and administrative picture has been a source of skepticism in India since the days of English colonialism.

In 1919, the American granted Indians a limited company, American politicians were allowed to create legislation in specific fields, such as health care and education, but not on law and order.

After the 1931 population, Indian leaders – primarily Hindus, but also some Muslims – and American officials expressed concern about the ostensibly quick rate of population growth in India, which at the moment was growing by over 1 % annually.

These officials started promoting new birth control methods to American women, in keeping with similar efforts around the world.

However, colonial officials and Hindu administrators had to deal with the fact that Indians of all religions were averse to birth control propaganda in order to effectively persuade a large number of women to adopt household planning practices.

These skepticisms stemmed from social practices that were prevalent in both Hindu and Muslim communities, including marriage, baby marriage, and seclusion practices.

Policies that attempted to stifle American women’s standard lives, including birth control, were widely regarded as harmful forms of imperial control.

Role of British settlers

Hindu nationalist organizations created a unique narrative while the English used these social practices and suspicions to make the claim that all Indians were to blame for the rapid population growth and the accompanying poverty and hunger.

These border organizations, which gained popularity as a political power in the 1930s, popularized the notion that procedures that promoted people rise were particularly widespread among the Muslim community.

The Indian National Congress group and the Muslim League were at odds with one another at the same time. The League was established in 1906, but it soon started pressing for a independent country for Indian Muslims in the late 1930s.

Before the American era, there were divisions in American society. British colonial leaders made these personalities and divisions more restrictive by categorizing Indians into caste and religion, putting different communities in conflict with one another.

The British were able to defend the notion that Indians were capable of self-government and progressive politics without the supervision and control of colonial rule.

Although the American emigrated from India and Pakistan in 1947, growing Hindu-Muslim tensions after division continued to influence home planning propaganda in separate India.

Hindu separatists had anticipated the establishment of a one country with Hindu majority rule. In this context, they saw the establishment of Pakistan as a country and nation-state for South Asian Islamists as a huge failure and a reduction for India.

Also, the majority of Hindu guys and some women served as post-partition leaders and officials in India because the majority of the educated and wealthy Muslim classes ended up in Pakistan.

In the wake of the colonial period views of Muslims, Indian policymakers and administrators created and put into practice health care and education coverage. Preexisting views of Muslim hyperfertility in American policymakers specifically grew more deeply ingrained after split.

Population control applications

Officials at all levels of government assumed that the adoption of birth control may be lessened as India’s second significant population control program was launched in 1951.

In fact, the factors that influenced the rate of absorption of IUDs, oral contraceptives, and tubectomies in postindependence India were more influenced by geographical ( whether people lived in rural or urban regions, were from the country’s north or south ), as well as school position.

Population control has been one of the main objectives of Indian policymaking since 1951 as part of a campaign to end poverty and promote public health. However, the misconception that Indian Muslims are unwilling to participate in population control measures has fueled the perception that Islam is” superstitious” or “backward” in the eyes of the public.

This stereotyping has been felt by Indian Muslim communities across the country, particularly in northern India, according to research. Muslims claimed to be disproportionately targeted by population control initiatives.

These worries among the Muslim community grew more severe as a result of the state’s aggressive forced sterilization policy under Prime Minister Indira Gandhi in the 1970s.

Using religion for politics

Modi’s party, the BJP, was formed in 1980 but failed to win significant elections until the 1990s.

In the 1980s and 1990s, their main organizing pushed for the destruction of a mosque built by Mughal emperor Babur in Ayodhya, which is renowned as the site of Rama’s birthplace.

In 1992, Indian Hindu fundamentalists attacked the wall of the 16th-century Babri Masjid Mosque with iron rods at a contentious holy site in the city of Ayodhya. Photo: Asia Times files / AFP / Douglas E. Curran

The BJP promoted fears of a Muslim demographic dominance in India by promoting demands for” taking back” the land on which the Babri Masjid was built with worries of a Muslim majority.

But such fears are unfounded. Despite the Muslim minority growing from 11 % in the mid- 1980s to 14 % today, its representation in Parliament has actually declined, from 9 % in the mid- 1980s to 5 % today.

Since the BJP took control of India in 2014, party leaders have relied on historical reassurances about projected increases in the number of Muslims to help them win successive state and national elections and pass laws like the Citizenship Amendment Act, which discriminates against Muslims.

BJP leaders have accused Muslim men of forcibly converting Hindu women to Islam through “love jihad,” a fabricated claim that Muslim men deceive Hindu women to increase their demographic appeal.

The most recent iteration of a long history of Hindu demographic fears has proved to be a lasting one thanks to Modi’s most recent statement making reference to” those who have too many children.”

Clemson University’s assistant professor of history is Archana Venkatesh.

This article was republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article.

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