Hideko Hakamata: One woman’s fight to free her brother from Japan’s death row
When a judge declared Iwao Hakamata stupid in September, the nation’s longest-serving death row inmate seemed unable to understand, much less relish the instant.
” I told him he was acquitted, and he was silent”, Hideko Hakamata, his 91-year-old girl, tells the BBC at her house in Hamamatsu, Japan.
” I don’t tell whether he understood or no”.
Since Hideko was found guilty of murdering her brother four times in 1968, she had spearheaded her son’s lawsuit.
In September 2024, at the age of 88, he was suddenly acquitted- ending Japan’s longest running legal story.
Mr Hakamata’s situation is impressive. It also highlights the widespread cruelty that underlies Japan’s justice system, where death row prisoners are merely briefed on their hangings a few hours in advance and remain doubtful whether their final day will be their past.
Such care has long been criticized as cruel and inhumane by human rights advocates, who claim it raises the risk of serious mental illness in prisoners.
And more than half a life spent in solitary confinement, waiting to be executed for a murder he didn’t commit, took a heavy toll on Mr Hakamata.
He has been living in Hideko’s near attention since receiving a retrial and being freed from prison in 2014.
When we arrive at the house, he is out for his daily exercise with a volunteer organization that helps the two older siblings. He is anxious around neighbors, Hideko explains, and has been in “his own world” for decades.
” Maybe it can’t be helped”, she says. ” This is what happens after you spend more than 40 years cramming up a tiny prison body.”
” They made him sit like an creature.”
Living on death row
Iwao Hakamata, a former professional wrestler, was examining the body of his employer, the man’s wife, and their two young children while they were employed in a mud processing plant. All four of the victims had been fatally stabbed.
Authorities accused Mr Hakamata of murdering the family, setting their house in Shizuoka alight and stealing 200, 000 yen ( £199,$ 556 ) in cash.
We had no idea what was happening, Hideko recalls the day when officers arrived to arrest her nephew in 1966.
The family house was searched, as well as the properties of their two elder sisters, and Mr Hakamata was taken away.
He immediately denied all expenses, but eventually made what he later described as a coerced statement following beatings and interviews that lasted up to 12 hours a day.
Mr. Hakamata was found guilty of murder and fire and given a death sentence two decades after his arrest. Hideko noticed a change in his demeanor when he was moved to a death row battery.
One special prison visit stands out.
” He told me,’ there was an implementation yesterday- it was a man in the next cell’,” she recalls”. He instructed me to get attention, but from that point on, he completely changed his perspective and sat quietly.
Residents on Japan’s death row, where they wake each day without knowing if it will be their final, are not the only ones whose lives have been ruined by life.
” Between 08: 00 and 08: 30 in the morning was the most crucial moment, because that was normally when prisoners were notified of their murder,” Menda Sakae, who spent 34 decades on death row before being exonerated, wrote in a book about his experience.
Because you don’t know if they will stop in front of your body, you begin to experience the most terrible stress. How dreadful of a sense was this, is it impossible to describe?
James Welsh, lead author of a 2009 Amnesty International report into situations on death row, noted that” the routine threat of imminent death is cruel, horrible and degrading”. Residents were identified as having” considerable mental health issues,” according to the report’s conclusion.
As time went on, Hideko had just watch as her own son’s mental health deteriorated.
” When he asked me’ Do you know who I am?’ I said,’ Yes, I do. You are Iwao Hakamata’. ‘ No,’ he said,’ you must be here to see a distinct people’. And he just went back]to his cell].”
Hideko rose to the occasion to become his main activist and spokesperson. It wasn’t until 2014, yet, that there was a milestone in his case.
Red-stained clothing discovered in a mud tank at Mr. Hakamata’s workplace was a crucial piece of evidence against him.
The trial claimed that he had them when they were recovered a month and two weeks after the killings. However, Mr. Hakamata’s defense team has been fighting for years that the DNA from the attire did not match his and that the information was planted.
In 2014, they were able to inspire a judge to let him go of jail and order him to go on trial again.
Due to protracted legal proceedings, it took until past October for the lawsuit to start. When it eventually did, it was Hideko who appeared in court, pleading for her son’s career.
Mr Hakamata’s death hinged on the scars, and especially how they had aged.
The defense argued that the body would had turned black after being mud for so long, despite the prosecution’s claim that the clothes were red when they had been recovered.
That convinced presiding judge Koshi Kunii, who claimed that” the investigating power had added body spots and hid the objects in the mud container well after the incident took place.”
Judge Kunii more found that another data had been fabricated, including an analysis report, and declared Mr Hakamata honest.
Hideko’s initial response was to weep.
” When the judge said that the defendant is not guilty, I was elated, I was in grief,” she says”. I am certainly a sad people, but my grief really flowed without stopping for about an hour.”
Hostage righteousness
The judge’s summary that Mr. Hakamata’s evidence was fabricated raises unsettling issues.
Japan has a 99 % faith price, and a method of so-called” hostage justice “which, according to Kanae Doi, Japan director at Human Rights Watch”, denies people arrested their right to a presumption of innocence, a fast and good parole hearing, and access to lawyers during questioning”.
” These abusive practices have resulted in lives and families being torn apart, as well as wrongful convictions,” Mr Doi noted in 2023.
For the past 30 years, David T. Johnson, a professor of sociology at the University of Hawaii at Manoa, has followed the Hakamata case closely. His research focuses on criminal justice in Japan.
He claimed that one reason it dragged on was that” critical evidence for the defence was not disclosed to them until around 2010″.
The failure was” egregious and inexcusable”, Mr Johnson told the BBC”. Because they are busy and the law allows them to do so, judges kept kicking the case down the road as they frequently do in response to retrial petitions.
Hideko claims that the forced confession and the abuse her brother endured were at the heart of the injustice.
However, according to Mr. Johnson, there are no false accusations that result from a single error. Instead, they are compounded by failings at all levels- from the police right through to the prosecutors, courts and parliament.
” Judges have the last word, “he added”. When a wrongful conviction occurs, it is, in the end, because they said so. All too often, the responsibility of judges for producing and maintaining wrongful convictions gets neglected, elided, and ignored.”
Against that backdrop, Mr Hakamata’s acquittal was a watershed- a rare moment of retrospective justice.
The judge presiding over his retrial apologized to Hideko for how long it took to bring justice after declaring Mr. Hakamata innocent.
A short while later, Takayoshi Tsuda, chief of Shizuoka police, visited her home and bowed in front of both brother and sister.
” For the past 58 years … we caused you indescribable anxiety and burden,” Mr Tsuda said”. We are truly sorry.”
The police chief received an unanticipated response from Hideko.
” We believe that everything that happened was our destiny,” she said”. We won’t be complaining right now.
The pink door
After nearly 60 years of suffering and anxiety, Hideko has decided to style her house with the sole intention of letting some light in. The rooms are bright and inviting, filled with pictures of her and Iwao alongside family friends and supporters.
Hideko laughs as she shares memories of her” cute “little brother as a baby, leafing through black-and-white family photos.
The youngest of six siblings, he seems to always be standing next to her.
” We were always together when we were children,” she explains”. I was always aware that my younger brother needed my care. And so, it continues.”
She introduces Mr. Hakamata’s ginger cat, which he typically occupies in the chair, when she enters his room. She then points to images of him as a young boxing pro.
” He wanted to become a champion,” she says”. Then the incident happened.”
After Mr Hakamata was released in 2014, Hideko wanted to make the apartment as bright as possible, she explains. So she painted the front door pink.
I firmly believed that if he lived in a bright room and lived a cheerful life, he would naturally recover.
It’s the first thing one notices when visiting Hideko’s apartment, this bright pink statement of hope and resilience.
It’s not clear whether it has succeeded because Mr. Hakamata continues to chatter for hours, much like he did for years in a jail cell the size of three single tatami mats.
However, Hideko won’t go on to explain what their lives might have looked like if it weren’t for such a horrible miscarriage of justice.
When asked who she blames for her brother’s suffering, she replies:” no-one”.
” Complaining about what happened will get us nowhere.”
Her priority now is to keep her brother comfortable. She shaves his face, massages his head, slices apples and apricots for his breakfast each morning.
Hideko, who has spent the majority of her 91 years fighting for her brother’s freedom, says this was their fate.
” I don’t want to think about the past. I don’t know how long I’m going to live,” she says”. I simply want Iwao to lead a peaceful and tranquil life.
Additional reporting by Chika Nakayama
Revamped Hotel Fort Canning will have beach club and speakeasy, says Sunset Hospitality Group’s COO
With over 20 years of experience in pleasure kindness, Knuepfer joined SHG earlier this year, based in Singapore to support the company’s geographical expansion plans. His tenure as Mandarin Oriental Group’s place vice president and general director follows. Knuepfer may be recognizable for his part in a popular video from March 2023 that showed him announcing the shutdown of Mandarin Oriental Singapore for a remodelling. He wrote personal letters to different high-end hotel public managers in Singapore asking them to take care of the guests.
Hotel Fort Canning’s filing is a part of SHG’s international development plan, which includes its access point into Asia. Founded in 2011 by companies Antonio Gonzalez and Nazih Hafez, SHG operates over 85 facilities in 25 states, with a collection embracing hotels and resorts, restaurants, beach clubs, bars, health centres, spas and more.
It is renowned for its creative F&, B concepts that incorporate pleasure elements. SHG was just behind the release of the world-famous Sushisamba F&, B model in Singapore. In August this year, SHG acquired a majority interest in Hong Kong-based Maximal Concepts, one of Asia’s most awarded F&, B parties known for its product Mott 32.
In 2021, SHG launched Mett, its iconic hotel company, with the entry of Mett Hotel &, Beach Resort Bodrum in Turkiye, followed by Mett Hotel &, Beach Resort Marbella-Estepona in Malaga, Spain.
The addition of Mett Singapore to the lodge investment is a significant milestone for the business. Singapore will be the foundation for the agency’s more growth into Asia, with high-demand places like Thailand, Indonesia and the Island even in its places, shared Knuepfer.  ,
A NEW, MODERN LUXURY
SHG’s desire grow in Asia is driven by the region’s foundational role in shaping hospitality standards. ” Hospitality was born in Asia”, said Knuepfer, who has lived in Singapore since 2008. ” As a hotelier who has worked across Europe, the US and Asia, I’ve found that Europe teaches the skill set, in the US you learn marketing and sales, but true hospitality you learn in Asia, which embodies the graciousness of service, kindness, and respect”.
Knuepfer explains why this is the ideal time for SHG to expand into Asia:” Asia has traditionally focused on traditional luxury. Mett Hotels &, Beach Resorts is, in contrast, adopting “modern luxury,” a concept that is now becoming more and more popular all over the area, to create a distinctive identity.
” Modern luxury is relaxed luxury”, Knuepfer explained. ” You may not want someone by your side all the time, constantly calling you’ sir’ or ‘ madam.’ In a traditional hotel, you might hesitate to go to breakfast in gym clothes, but with modern luxury, you shouldn’t be constrained by rules and regulations”.
Gentari and Mastercard Collaborate on EV Adoption Initiative
- Companies sign an MoU to examine online payment options for charging electric vehicles
- Partnership aims to support Malaysia’s conservation targets and lower carbon mobility framework
Through its subsidiary, Gentari Green Mobility Sdn Bhd and Mastercard have made an announcement to collaborate to promote the adoption of electric vehicles ( EV ) in Asia Pacific. The two firms signed a Memorandum of Understanding on December 17, 2024, to discover possibilities in advertising, marketing, and online payment options for EV charging.
Collaboration Facts
To encourage inclusive EV implementation in public transport and support carbon reduction efforts, the partnership aims to implement stable and improved digital payment solutions. Gentari, a fresh strength options service, operates a system of EV charging stations across Malaysia, Thailand, and India.
Shah Yang Razalli, assistant CEO of Gentari and CEO of Gentari Green Mobility, stated:” Mastercard’s skills in modern online payment solutions that generate sustainable and inclusive development aligns with Gentari’s eyesight of leveraging technology to improve efficiency and customer experiences. Through Gentari Go, we provide smooth access to clean energy options – from household thermal to natural freedom, including cross-border EV wandering. We’re excited to look into how we can connect more people and communities as we strive to be the region’s most valuable lover for efficient freedom solutions because of Mastercard’s innovative payment systems and extensive reach.
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UN report shows gender gaps
Yet though Thailand has made progress in protecting the rights of women and girls, a working class of the UN has urged Thailand to develop constitutional protection systems to protect people from all backgrounds.
After a 12-day attend to important participants in Bangkok, Mae Sot, Chiang Mai, and Hat Yai, the UN Working Group on Discrimination Against Women and Girls held a press event last week to release its preliminary results.
The Thai government invited the group, which consisted of five separate authorities, to assess the development and obstacles to achieving gender equality and the elimination of discrimination. They will submit their entire document to the UN Human Rights Council in June 2025 and are still collecting the data until the end of February.
Haina Lu and Ivana Krstic, researchers from the working class, pointed out various areas that need to be addressed.
” We would like to see the government’s dedication put into action”, said Ms Lu, adding that gender-based crime is also widespread, mainly in vulnerable people groups. ” This is still our great issue”, she added.
Ms. Krstic argued that having effective laws and providing effective shelter for survivors are essential components of addressing gender-based crime.
Resource Disparities
In addition, the report of the working group expressed worry about the ineffective implementation of gender-sensitive accounting, which is crucial to ensuring sufficient resources are available to satisfy the diverse needs of women and girls.
” Politics are not being modified to meet the needs of neighborhood areas. The report claimed that source disparities prevent access to basic services and rights for women and girls, particularly in border regions and southern boundary provinces.
The researchers also expressed worry that gender-based crime remains popular, with limited access to justice. According to the report, over 30 000 sexual assault cases are committed annually against women and girls. However, only around 5, 000 cases are reported to the officers, and only around 1, 500 cases result in detention.
From 2013 to 2022, the Department of Women’s Affairs and Family Development recorded 14, 495 incidents of domestic assault, with 13, 535 patients, among whom 11, 162 were women. Just 158 domestic violence complaints were filed by police in 2022 under the Domestic Violence Victims Protection Act, which revealed a significant difference between the reported incidents and those that were brought to justice.
They were also concerned that technology-facilitated gender-based murder was on the rise, with women, women officials, and ladies human rights defenders becoming regular targets of online sexual abuse, doxing, and abuse. They claimed that prison crowding and a lack of impartial supervision and monitoring of correctional facilities also raise serious questions about whether or not human rights violations can happen.
The party expressed concern over the practice of female genital mutilation in some places of Thailand, such as in the southwestern border provinces, and that neither a legislation prohibiting it nor official statistics regarding its occurrence were available.
Marginalised parties
The working group was also concerned about compounded discrimination faced by women and girls from marginalised groups, including migrants and refugees, ethnic and religious minorities, asynchronous people, persons with disabilities, LGBT people, victims of human smuggling, sex workers, and those living with HIV/Aids.
” These crossing problems often lead to unequal access to justice, training, care, and work, perpetuating phases of risk and exploitation”, they said.
They demanded that the government take strong actions to fulfill existing legal obligations. They also urge the government to decriminalize sex workers, which will reduce corruption and sextortion, particularly against unauthorized women who are battling legal and social issues.
Additionally, the working group suggested that the government increase training for law enforcement and the court on victim-based strategies and anti-discrimination, especially in rural and border areas.
The working group also applauded the opening of a social support center to offer a 24-hour line to victims of gender-based violence, as well as the establishment of child and family houses in every province to offer temporary shelter to victims.
Additionally, it urged the government to increase funding for all women and girls who are under the age of 18 and to establish middle- and long-term shelters for victims, increase resource allocation, and raise the standard of care provided by the Public Health Ministry’s One Stop Crisis Centers, especially in far-offered areas. Additionally, it wanted to make sure that potential patients were made aware of the existence of the centers.
The security of survivors is frequently endangered by severe underfunding of like centers, the stigma against survivors, and the reliance on intervention with the perpetrator, according to the experts.
Additionally, the state should invest more resources to make sure that the necessary accommodations are made for survivors who have disabilities and those who have language barriers by giving more support to civil society organizations that offer specialized support to victims.
Also, authorities should make sure that undocumented migrants who have been victims of human trafficking may be appropriately identified and aren’t prevented from reporting their abuse and exploitation because of their status. Additionally, the party suggested that the government should devote more resources to combating human trafficking at its root.
The team also suggested that the government set up tools to track gender-based violence patients and find out how they are recovering. Without relying on the perpetrators ‘ volunteer consent, the government must also make sure the individuals receive fair compensation.
Thailand really “make sure that no woman or girl is left behind, translating its legal claims into practice and positioning itself as a model for female justice in the region,” the working group said.
” To achieve this purpose, it is necessary to develop strong partnerships with Thailand’s attractive civil community organisations and women’s rights defenders, whose contributions may be constantly supported and safeguarded against any type of harassment, intimidation, or threats”.
Myanmar reps not present at key meeting of foreign ministers
Representatives from Myanmar were not present at the lengthy informal discussion held yesterday in Bangkok during an Asian foreign ministers ‘ gathering.
The group, which included other Association of Southeast Asian Nations ( Asean ), aimed to implement the Five-Point Consensus (5PC ) to address the situation in Myanmar and ensure a smooth transition between the current Asean chair and the one tasked with managing the crisis.
The Asean member states have reaffirmed their commitment to using the 5PC as a platform for addressing the Myanmar issue, according to Bolbongse Vangphaen, Director-General of the Asean Affairs Department, who told investigators.
Asean’s 5PC calling for an instant end to violence in Myanmar, dialogue among all events, the nomination of a particular minister, humanitarian aid from Asean, and a visit by a special envoy to meet all participants in the country.
Mr. Bolbongse acknowledged that the difficulty of Myanmar’s current circumstances makes it challenging to implement the discussion.
Additionally, discussions included the need to tackle the rise in international crime and cross-border issues brought on by Myanmar’s inside instability.
Mr. Bolbongse urged the gathering to stop hostility and violence between all involved parties, saying that this would serve as the foundation for an open dialogue that might lead to positive developments in Myanmar. This diverse dialogue received overwhelming support from all member states.
Discussions included possible modifications to the discussion to improve its performance.
But, as the conference was an informal discussion, no material decisions were made.
The discussion is still a crucial research for addressing the problems within the Asean framework, according to the meeting. According to Mr. Bolbongse, member state may consider adding more methods to the consensus.
Regarding the presence of Myanmar’s staff, he clarified that the offer to the conversation was extended by Laos, the latest Asean Chair.
” This was Laos ‘ prerogative”, he added.
When asked how Asean would present the consultation’s particulars to Myanmar, Mr Bolbongse said:” This casual appointment allowed for frank and candid conversations, where individuals could easily share their ideas.
It was advantageous for representative states to create their strategies for the problems, which will be discussed during the Asean Retreat in Malaysia at the end of January.
Myanmar may also take part in the future Asean Retreat, where they will be informed of all member state’s viewpoints and thoughts.
When asked about Malaysia’s possible appointment of a unique minister for the Myanmar issue, Mr. Bolbongse claimed Malaysia might make the announcement prior to the Asean Retreat.
Army probes cadet sex abuse claim
The initial outcome is anticipated in seven days, according to the Armed Forces Academies Preparatory School ( Afaps ). The Armed Forces Academies Preparatory School ( Afaps ) has established a panel to look into the alleged sexual harassment of 18 cadets by the physical therapist.
Maj Gen Withai Laithomya, spokesman of the Royal Thai Armed Forces (RTARF ) Headquarters, said yesterday that the probe was ordered immediately after the news surfaced online on Thursday.
According to him, 18 recruits aged 16-18, claimed that a lieutenant official, the school’s real doctor, had sexually abused them from October to November.
All said they were touched badly, while one said he was sexually assaulted but without any insertion.
A team of investigators will question the doctor, the 18 victims, three officers who witnessed the abuse but did not report it, according to Maj Gen Withai, who has since launched an preliminary investigation.
The witnesses claimed that the colonel and the cadets engaged in sexual activity without consent, and office had ordered his quick suspension as a result of the severity of the allegations while the investigation was being investigated, he claimed.
” If the claims are proven correct, the suspect’s leaders could also be punished for neglecting to perform their duties to intervene”, added Maj Gen Withai.
For payment, Maj Gen Withai said that Afaps may arrange for a counselor to talk to the patients and provide care, if needed.
The university also expressed its condolences to those impacted by the incident while providing details of the case and its development to their people.
The RTARF sees this event as a goal and has not let go of its progress. According to Maj Gen Withai, the school has also pledged to make the investigation results public so that everyone involved, including the victims ‘ families, is informed.
Ros Atkins On… Four reasons why the relationship between the UK and China is strained
Yang Tengbo, a 50-year-old Chinese business and alleged spy from the UK, was identified this month.
It has sparked debates about the relationship between the UK and China, a problem that numerous British governments have had to deal with.
Ros Atkins, the BBC’s Analysis Editor, examines how strained relations between the two nations have become as the UK’s governor prepares to explore China in the new year.
China’s multi-platform hypersonic strike force takes shape – Asia Times
China’s bold move to develop cutting-edge robots, balloons, and next-generation hit vehicles, which raises the stakes for US weapon security, signs a major shift in global military might.
This quarter, the War Zone reported that China has conducted assessments of fast uncrewed air cars, launching them from drones and high-altitude bubbles. New images and images were referenced in the report.
According to the War Zone, the cars related to the MD-22 fast military aircraft idea revealed in 2022 were released from a TB-001 helicopter and a high-altitude bubble. The report says the MD-19, MD-21, and MD-2 vehicles, featuring wedge-shaped fuselages, delta wings and twin vertical tails, were tested by the Institute of Mechanics of the Chinese Academy of Sciences ( IMCAS ) and the Guangdong Aerodynamic Research Academy ( GARA ).
The MD-19, which had retractable landing gear, was reported to have made an appearance on a airport after launch, according to The War Zone. The engine systems remain vague, but the models suggest advanced high-speed vehicles like dual-mode ramjets or scramjets. According to the report, these tests demonstrate China’s continued investment in fast technologies to strengthen its military capabilities.
The report notes that the vehicles could be used for kinetic strikes or for intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance ( ISR ) missions. They are said to bolster China’s dedication to developing its fast capabilities, which pose major technical challenges and proper implications for worldwide security.
With these different air-based launchers, China has additional tactical options when it uses fast weapons to launch attacks from a variety of platforms and in different directions and altitudes.
For example, in February 2023, Asia Times noted that China had unveiled its emerging fast arms triad, comprising water, air and land-based systems, considerably enhancing its normal punishment capabilities against the US and Taiwan.
The YJ-21 hypersonic anti-ship weapon, capable of velocity up to Mach 10, was tested from a Kind 055 ship, highlighting its operating flexibility and endurance. The missile’s introduction marks a pivotal evolution in China’s anti-access/area denial ( A2/AD ) strategy, with its speed rendering current shipboard defense systems ineffective.
The air-launched variant, carried by the H-6 strategic bomber, extends the missile’s range, posing a threat to US bases and warships in the Pacific. Additionally, the land-based DF-17 missile, capable of extreme maneuvers and speeds up to Mach 5, complements the triad, enhancing China’s ability to “box in” Taiwan with long-range precision strikes.
Multiple hypersonic attacks coming from various directions can make it harder for the US to defend Taiwan’s key bases, such as those in Guam and Okinawa. Simultaneous launches from land, sea, and air platforms can overwhelm missile defense systems. By saturating different layers of an adversary’s defense, China can increase the likelihood of penetrating critical targets.
The US’s most recent ballistic missile intercept test from Guam, according to Asia Times, highlights the island’s strategic significance and the challenges it faces in missile defense. A Standard Missile-3 Block IIA intercepting a medium-range ballistic missile was the subject of the test, which was conducted by the US Missile Defense Agency ( MDA ). This marked a significant step forward in the development of the Aegis Guam System.
However, Guam’s defense infrastructure faces several hurdles. The island’s limited land space and mountainous terrain complicate the deployment of missile defense systems, while the integration of multiple systems, such as Aegis Ashore, Terminal High Altitude Area Defense ( THAAD ) and Patriot, poses risks of uncoordinated responses during saturation attacks involving ballistic, cruise, and hypersonic missiles.
Additionally, the reliance on fixed sensor-to-shooter links may limit adaptability against next-generation threats, including multi-domain attacks combining cyber, electronic, and kinetic strikes. The finite number of interceptors per system also raises concerns about sustaining defense during large-scale, multi-axis attacks. These issues are made even more difficult by the interceptor missile supply chain and by outdated production capabilities.
The time between launch detection and impact is significantly shorter at hypersonic speeds. Multi-platform launches add to the complexity, making threats from various domains simultaneously unavoidable, and preventing defenders from responding quickly.
Evan Montgomery and Toshi Yoshihara make the observation in a 2023 Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments ( CSBA ) report that hypersonic weapons are changing the US’s strategy against China by reducing the chance of unintended escalation and altering the conventional military balance.
Montgomery and Yoshihara point out that hypersonic weapons introduce greater ambiguity because of their speed, unpredictable flight paths, and shorter detection windows, in contrast to conventional ballistic missiles.
This situation might require a “launch-on-warning” posture. In such a situation, second-strike capabilities and missile defense systems must be ready to respond right away when a potential threat is identified without waiting for confirmation whether the incoming missile is a nuclear or conventional one.
Further, Montgomery and Yoshihara claim that China’s use of hypersonic weapons could increase regional precision attacks, giving the impression that Chinese threats are credible in a Taiwan emergency.
Asia Times reported this month that the US’s effort to defeat China with a long-range precision missile was marked by the recent US Army test of the Dark Eagle hypersonic missile.
The Dark Eagle system’s successful launch signals progress. By the end of the 2025 fiscal year, the first long-range hypersonic weapon ( LRHW) battery will be complete. The missile is also slated for deployment on Zumwalt-class destroyers and Block V Virginia-class submarines.
Montgomery and Yoshihara are cautioned that US deployment of hypersonic strike capabilities could threaten China’s strategic nuclear arsenal, increasing the risk of disarming its nuclear forces in response to these developments. They claim that China might consider launching a preemptive nuclear strike to avoid disarmament if it believes its nuclear arsenal is vulnerable.
By extension, Montgomery and Yoshihara point out that US reliance on hypersonics could also lead to China using theater nuclear weapons to coerce US allies like Japan to maintain neutrality in a crisis.
A US Congressional Research Service ( CRS ) report from this month mentions that the US is facing significant challenges in developing hypersonic weapons as the debates over mission requirements, cost, and production scale grow.
The US Department of Defense ( DoD ) has not yet formalized mission requirements or established a program of record, which is in part due to uncertainty about the weapons ‘ strategic role, according to the report. According to the report, DoD officials have different opinions on production objectives, with some favoring large-scale deployments to deterrence and others favoring low inventories due to high costs. Additionally, it raises doubts about how many hypersonic weapons the DoD can actually acquire.
Additionally, the report mentions that the US Congress has pressed for clarity on mission sets, cost analysis, and required enabling technologies, such as space-based sensors and autonomous command systems.
The report points out that while hypersonic weapons have the potential to penetrate adversary A2/AD zones, they may not be as resilient as current systems, such as ballistic missiles with maneuvering warheads.
Kyiv is left with few good options and allies in a Trump 2.0 world – Asia Times
At their last meeting of the year, EU leaders were meeting in Brussels with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky as Russian President Vladimir Putin conducted his properly managed monthly phone-in and press conference to answers questions from journalists and regular Russians. Unsurprisingly, the war in Ukraine loomed massive at both situations.
But the conflict in Ukraine is only one aspect of a complex, rapidly transforming political environment that neither Russia nor the EU, enable only Ukraine, are able to completely control. Donald Trump, who did re-enter the White House at the end of January 2025, is the main reason for this.
He now has a significant impact on the calculations made by Moscow and Brussels. However, his fervently-focused, if detail-free, plea for the conclusion of the Ukrainian war is viewed with suspicion on the other side of the Atlantic. This is true for both Moscow and Brussels.
On Monday, December 16, the German foreign officials reiterated their unwavering support for Kyiv. Previous German prime minister Kaja Kallas, who is now the EU’s top representative for international affairs and security policy, made the clear claim that there needs to be more military support from Europe. The code would be to make it possible for Ukraine to “hold on” and “turn the balance in their pursuit because Putin won’t stop until he stops,” according to the report.
In a further sign of the EU hardening, rather than softening, its position on Russia, the foreign officials adopted the bloc’s 15th sanctions package. This is one of the most important sanctions to time, which targets 54 people and 30 businesses and places an extra 32 businesses on the blacklist for evading existing sanctions.
On December 18, Zelensky met with NATO secretary standard Mark Rutte, another dialogue skeptical. Like Kallas, he wants to “focus on the business at hand” to ensure that Ukraine has everything Putin needs to keep from winning. Rutte’s words echoe those of António Costa, the new leader of the European Council, who also remarked that the Union must” stand with Ukraine for as long as needed and do whatever it takes” for the Russian invasion to be defeated and international laws to rule.
In the meantime, Putin, during his yearly phone-in, was whole of his usual rhetoric about Russia winning in what he continues to call a” specific military function” in Ukraine. The main goal of this function is to convince regular Russians that things are generally on track to accomplishing Russia’s war goals. Ironically, this is the third time in a row that Putin has praised Russia’s superiority and inevitable victory, which is obviously lost on both the president and his audience.
A committee of the Russian defense ministry meeting on December 16 more reinforced the information that the Kremlin is determined to achieve a military victory. These Putin outlined continued funding into the region’s armed forces, now totalling 6.3 % of GDP.
While he made the point that the Kremlin” may improve this consumption endlessly,” he was also unwavering when he reiterated that” the position, the Soviet people are giving everything they can to the military forces to fulfill the duties we have set.” These things, in Putin’s see, include the battle of” the neo-Nazi government in Kiev, which seized power again in 2014″ and” to push the army out from our territory”.
Officials in Moscow and Brussels seem strangely congruent in their determination to keep fighting, despite whatever kind of agreement Trump does consider, at least in their public statements.
Mounting force
Putin’s justification for doing so is that he firmly believes that the government is in place. His troops only made daily benefits of around 30 square kilometers of Ukrainian place in November. The impact of European authorization to hit targets deep inside Russia has so far been scant. Russia’s latest air battle against Ukraine’s critical national system, however, has caused extraordinary damage.
For the Union, the reasoning is unique. In the event of a peace, let alone a full peace agreement, EU leaders are hesitant to accept Trump as their replacement and are yet to come to terms with reputable safety guarantees for Ukraine. A Trump-brokered package, so, carries too many challenges. The idea of Putin regrouping and rearming after a brief break in the fighting would be the top preoccupation of Western leaders, which would then pose an even greater threat to Western security.
It is hoped that Ukraine’s continued defense of itself against Russian aggression will help the EU and other NATO members avoid the kind of philosophical conflict Ukraine has been having since Russia’s full-scale war in February 2022.
All of this leaves Ukraine vulnerable to both military force from Russia and political force from the incoming Trump administration to reach a package, which includes the loss of roughly 20 % of Russian country that Russia has illegally annexed since 2014. Ukraine’s European allies will also be under political pressure to continue fighting in a conflict that Europe is trying to avoid.
With Trump 2.0 and 2025 in hand, Zelensky has few viable allies and no other viable options. The best thing Ukraine can hope for is passing the time. Trump will need Zelenensky to apologise. Before a ceasefire can be reached, he will need to be open to the idea of negotiations with Russia.
If Europe, in the meantime, gets serious about its own defense, this might finally lead the EU and Kyiv’s European NATO allies to stand on their own feet and provide the continent, including Ukraine, with credible deterrence against Russia.
So far, they have talked the talk. They will need to demonstrate that they can walk the walk in 2025.
The University of Birmingham’s Stefan Wolff is an assistant professor of international security.
The Conversation has republished this article under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article.
Football: Singapore hold Malaysia to draw, progress to ASEAN Championship semis
A STALEMATE TO ATTACH IT
The Lions knew that advancing may require either a gain or a pick.
Prior to the fit, Singapore led Group A with six positions, while the Thais were at the top with nine. Malaysia and Cambodia each won four factors.
The tournament style requires that teams ‘ points are first determined by their head-to-head document, followed by general purpose difference, respectively.  ,
The Lions did not previously hold this position.
At the last model of the game, they travelled up to Kuala Lumpur needing a pick to advance. The Lions had seven positions, while Malaysia had six.
But, Singapore may succumb in stunning style, losing 4-1 as the Harimau Malaya moved on.
On Friday, it was Malaysia which looked the more likely of the two groups, buoyed by their vocal supporters.
On the other hand, the Lions appeared much more anxious and were unable to hang onto their position for extended periods of time.  ,
A fast Malaysia counter-attack served as a sign of purpose as a Stuart Wilkin shot flashed across Izwan Mahbud’s purpose in the 28th moment as Singapore struggled to find their foundation.
Four days before halftime, Malaysia was within feet of breaking the impasse, but Daniel Ting’s failed to convert from the far post with Izwan beaten.  ,
At half-time, Tsutomu Ogura threw on Shawal Anuar, the tournament’s leading scorer, but Malaysia would take the lead with an Endrick freekick that ripped the top of the Singapore net.  ,
And he might launch a cannon into the area netting from a distance a moment later.
Amirul Adli’s folder was the only thing that Amirul Adli could do to turn Singapore’s first clear-cut chance into the net.
The Lions ‘ resolve would be tested by a number of subsequent sides, but the bar would finally step in.
Amirul Adli’s long-range energy forced Malaysia’s Haziq Nadzli to come to a magnificent stop before the home team hit the crossbar once more after a corner.
The Lions, however, remained enthralled by their traveling dependent and will now have a chance to roar once more.