Possibly NO CHANGE TO THE CURRENT CHINA POLICY
In order to win the most seats, all three candidates have taken confusing stances on China plan, preferring to gauge public opinion first. But according to record, either the DPP or the KMT may probably continue to implement their respective policies if they were to win.
Both outcomes carry some danger. While the KMT’s pro-China approach does little to defend Taiwanese sovereignty, the approach of the DPP, which strengthens Taiwans democracy, ties with the United States, and self-defense abilities, may increase the likelihood of conflict.
Despite the fact that the majority of polls place Lai forward, followed by Ko and Hou, the assertive pro-independence position of the latter also runs the risk of retaliation from Beijing.
Ko appears to be the most logical choice for Taiwan’s next leader based on three crucial indicators: the likelihood of conflict, economic outlooks, and the potential for improving cross-Strait relations. Additionally, he might be the simplest for China to chew. Whether the non-progressive camp may unite is the main concern right now.
Tech billionaire Terry Gou declared his intention to run independently on August 28. However, he also needs to secure roughly 300,000 voter signatures by November 2 in order to do so. Despite Gou’s assertion that his goal is to promote group switching, all domestic and international media analysis concur that Lai will win the election if he runs for office.