Gay Games: Hong Kong delivers 'rainbows' despite political clouds

Competitors interact after a football match at the Gay Games in Hong Kong this weekEPA

There will be disco and dancing at the closing ceremony of the Gay Games in Hong Kong on Saturday, as participants and volunteers celebrate the end of the week-long sporting event that’s featured dragon boat racing and even mahjong among the events,

But amid the jubilation is also a sense of relief for organisers.

The global event – once known as the Gay Olympics- has attracted controversy ever since its origins in 1980s San Francisco, when it was dreamt up by a US Olympic decathlete who wanted to share the spirit of the Games for his community.

But this year, the event celebrating inclusion and diversity has faced new challenges being staged for the first time in Hong Kong – a city whose political freedoms and cosmopolitan character have been hammered by the pandemic and China’s tightened rule in recent years.

The global finance hub with its stunning harbour and mountains had looked very different in 2017 when it won its bid to bring the games to Asia this year- joining a previous line-up of host cities like Paris, Amsterdam and Sydney.

After massive pro-democracy protests rocked the city in 2019, China swept into its semi-autonomous territory with new powers; enacting an expansive law to crack down on political protest or dissent.

Over two years, Hong Kong’s Beijing-backed government has used the National Security Law to stamp out any dissent – prosecuting and jailing about 200 people.

During this time, Hong Kong residents also witnessed how a crackdown on LGBT activism and expression unfolded in mainland China.

Shanghai’s Pride March – the country’s largest – has been suspended since 2021, gay university students have reported discrimination, and earlier this year Beijing’s LGBT centre, established for decades, reported it would shut down for reasons beyond its control.

Nini, a Chinese man in his 50s who came to Hong Kong for the Games, told the BBC he felt Hong Kong’s environment – despite recent changes – was still far more diverse and inclusive.

In China he had fewer and fewer opportunities to celebrate his community, he said. So he decided to participate in the Gay Games, signing up for the mahjong event.

“I don’t seem to have participated in any activities this year, so I want to experience the feeling of a rainbow shining,” he told the BBC.

Competitors sit around mahjong tables during a Gay Games event in Hong Kong

Reuters

Hong Kong’s reputation however has kept others away. Its stringent Covid response – the city did not fully welcome back foreign tourists until September last year – also meant that the Games originally scheduled for 2022 had to be pushed back a year and another city was appointed as a contingency: Mexico’s Guadalajara was chosen as a co-host.

That has led to a splintering in this year’s global attendance – with just over 2,300 participants – more than half of them locals – attending the Hong Kong Games, organisers told the BBC.

Other participants have gone to the Games in Mexico. Among them was Team Taiwan whose officials explicitly cited the risks of Hong Kong’s National Security Law. In short, they didn’t want their athletes at risk of being arrested, they said.

Such fears of Hong Kong’s environment for gay people were further fanned by pro-China conservatives in Hong Kong’s parliament arguing the Games were a “promotion of the gay movement” and could “involve national security issues involving bad ideologies” – without specifying how exactly.

Some said the Games were a show in favour of same-sex marriage being legalised in the city – a right still denied to LGBT people and underscored by a landmark ruling in the city’s courts this year.

But Regina Ip, one of the few lawmakers who publicly championed the event, stressed to the BBC that support for the Games was not the same as promoting the legalisation of same-sex marriage in Hong Kong.

She also scotched her opponents’ security arguments, noting the Games had proceeded with the full approval of Hong Kong authorities.

“If the event threatened national security, it would be impossible to hold it in Hong Kong,” she told the BBC.

“We are the first city in Asia to host the Gay Games. This is something we are proud of. Many other cities cannot do this.”

Legislator Regina Ip spoke at the opening ceremony last Saturday

Reuters

But she contends while there’s tacit approval from the government, there’s been little public promotion.

The city’s tourism board and government departments related to the event – like the Equality Commission – had not done enough to promote it, Ms Ip argued.

And compared to the Mexico Games, where participants took to the street this week in a colourful parade flying rainbow flags – events have been more underground in Hong Kong, where street protests have been all but eliminated since 2020.

The boisterous opening ceremony – where participants entered dancing to Cher’s Believe – was held indoors in the Queen Elizabeth stadium in Wan Chai, the only public arena used in the Games.

2023 gay Games in Mexico

Reuters

Every other setting for events was in corporate or commercially-leased facilities.

One participant from Australia, who competed in the dragon boat race, said she had thoroughly enjoyed herself at the Games but was surprised and disappointed by the lack of branding around. “It felt like a bit speak-easy,” she told the BBC.

She had seen one or two buses and trams with the logo but not much else compared to other events like food festivals the city had been promoting.

On Hong Kong’s official tourism site too, there was no mention of the Gay Games anywhere on its page.

Another competitor, Mark Tietjen, who travelled from Sydney said he had also harboured doubts about attending given fears the event wouldn’t occur or would be too small.

“And I just made the rash decision one day. But it’s disappointing, because you can see now that I’m here, all the effort that’s gone into making it happen,” Mr Tietjen said. “But obviously there’s lots of people around the world who decided that Hong Kong’s not going to be it. It’s sad.”

Games organisers have been at pains to stress the event’s non-political nature.

“We promote diversity and inclusion through sports, arts and cultural activities. These things are completely legal and consistent with the National Security Law. No objection at all,” the co-chairman of the Hong Kong Games, Lisa Lam, told the BBC before the Games’ start.

But as with any event involving a minority still disadvantaged in society – it’s difficult to separate the politics of struggle from the celebration.

Local gay rights activist Cammy Kwok told the BBC she found it disappointing that organisers had rarely mentioned the context of local gay rights – and the struggle this year for LGBT people seeking marriage and housing rights.

But any event celebrating community was welcome she said, particularly as “we have fewer and fewer occasions.”

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Macron supports Wat Pho Paris

Macron supports Wat Pho Paris
French President Emmanuel Macron welcomes Somdet Phra Maha Theerajarn, abbot of Wat Phra Chetuphon Wimon Mangkhalaram, or Wat Pho, at the president’s official residence on Thursday.

PARIS: French President Emmanuel Macron said he supports the establishment of Wat Phra Chetuphon Wimon Mangkhalaram in Paris.

Mr Macron welcomed Somdet Phra Maha Theerajarn, the abbot of Wat Phra Chetuphon, also known as Wat Pho, at the Elysee Palace, the president’s official residence, on Thursday.

The abbot is on an official trip to France to open the temple known as Wat Pho Paris. A launch ceremony will be organised tomorrow with Somdet Phra Maha Theerajarn presiding as its chairman.

The meeting with Mr Macron was also attended by Phra Sri Wichira Thamwithet, the Sangha chairman of Wat Pho Paris, and Boonyarit Vichienpuntu, acting ambassador of the Royal Thai Embassy in Paris.

Their discussion lasted about 45 minutes and mainly focused on the development of Buddhism in Thailand and ways of adapting Buddhist teachings to promote world peace, said a source.

The abbot showed his appreciation for Mr Macron’s administrative projects and visions, while the French president showed his support for setting up Wat Pho Paris. He said he had visited Wat Pho late last year during the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (Apec) summit in Bangkok.

Wat Pho Paris is located in Rue de Rimoron, 91650 Breux-Jouy. The temple will promote Buddhism in France while also marking 333 years of friendly ties between Thailand and France, said the source.

The temple will also serve as a Dhamma teaching centre for peace.

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Why is the West moving to replace Zelensky?

There is a growing consensus that the West (meaning the United States with the help of the UK) wants to replace Ukraine’s president, Volodymyr Zelensky.

My friend and colleague Larry Johnson thinks the CIA and MI6 in the UK are already setting the stage. Either Zelensky will be forced to call a Presidential election, scheduled for next March, and then be replaced, or, if he resists, he will be replaced anyway in a Maidan-style upheaval.

The US has pushed changes in Ukraine’s leadership before, and the current State Department undersecretary, Victoria Nuland, was behind the earlier operation. A 2014 phone call between Nuland and the then-US ambassador to Kiev, Geoffrey Pyatt, was intercepted and the content of the call was leaked to the press.

The call is interesting because Nuland and Pyatt were selecting an “acceptable” presidential candidate for Ukraine, and they enlisted then-Vice President Joe Biden to help. Note that along with Biden, Jake Sullivan, then and now Biden’s national security advisor, was also enlisted in selecting Ukraine’s next President.

(Republicans in Congress for several years have been investigating Biden’s son Hunter’s activities in Ukraine. They have alleged – so far without finding proof – that Biden himself intervened to protect his son’s business ties there and ties of his own.)

Transcript of intercepted call

Pyatt: I think we’re in play. The Klitschko [Vitaly Klitschko, one of three main opposition leaders] piece is obviously the complicated electron here. Especially the announcement of him as deputy prime minister and you’ve seen some of my notes on the troubles in the marriage right now so we’re trying to get a read really fast on where he is on this stuff. But I think your argument to him, which you’ll need to make, I think that’s the next phone call you want to set up, is exactly the one you made to Yats [Arseniy Yatseniuk, another opposition leader]. And I’m glad you sort of put him on the spot on where he fits in this scenario. And I’m very glad that he said what he said in response.

Nuland: Good. I don’t think Klitsch should go into the government. I don’t think it’s necessary, I don’t think it’s a good idea.

Pyatt: Yeah. I guess…. In terms of him not going into the government, just let him stay out and do his political homework and stuff. I’m just thinking in terms of sort of the process moving ahead we want to keep the moderate democrats together. The problem is going to be [Oleh] Tyahnybok [the other opposition leader] and his guys and I’m sure that’s part of what [President Viktor] Yanukovych is calculating on all this.

Nuland: [Breaks in] I think Yats is the guy who’s got the economic experience, the governing experience. He’s the … what he needs is Klitsch and Tyahnybok on the outside. He needs to be talking to them four times a week, you know. I just think Klitsch going in … he’s going to be at that level working for Yatseniuk, it’s just not going to work.

Pyatt: Yeah, no, I think that’s right. OK. Good. Do you want us to set up a call with him as the next step?

Nuland: My understanding from that call – but you tell me – was that the big three were going into their own meeting and that Yats was going to offer in that context a … three-plus-one conversation or three-plus-two with you. Is that not how you understood it?

Pyatt: No. I think … I mean that’s what he proposed but I think, just knowing the dynamic that’s been with them where Klitschko has been the top dog, he’s going to take a while to show up for whatever meeting they’ve got and he’s probably talking to his guys at this point, so I think you reaching out directly to him helps with the personality management among the three and it gives you also a chance to move fast on all this stuff and put us behind it before they all sit down and he explains why he doesn’t like it.

Nuland: OK, good. I’m happy. Why don’t you reach out to him and see if he wants to talk before or after.

Pyatt: OK, will do. Thanks.

Nuland: OK… one more wrinkle for you Geoff. [A click can be heard.] I can’t remember if I told you this, or if I only told Washington this, that when I talked to Jeff Feltman [United Nations under-secretary-general for political affairs] this morning, he had a new name for the UN guy Robert Serry. Did I write you that this morning?

Pyatt: Yeah, I saw that.

Nuland: OK. He’s now gotten both Serry and [UN Secretary General] Ban Ki-moon to agree that Serry could come in Monday or Tuesday. So that would be great, I think, to help glue this thing and to have the UN help glue it and, you know, fuck the EU.

Pyatt: No, exactly. And I think we’ve got to do something to make it stick together because you can be pretty sure that if it does start to gain altitude, that the Russians will be working behind the scenes to try to torpedo it. And again, the fact that this is out there right now, I’m still trying to figure out in my mind why Yanukovych [garbled] that. In the meantime, there’s a Party of Regions faction meeting going on right now and I’m sure there’s a lively argument going on in that group at this point. But anyway, we could land jelly side up on this one if we move fast. So let me work on Klitschko and if you can just keep … we want to try to get somebody with an international personality to come out here and help to midwife this thing. The other issue is some kind of outreach to Yanukovych, but we probably regroup on that tomorrow as we see how things start to fall into place.

Nuland: So, on that piece, Geoff, when I wrote the note, Sullivan’s come back to me VFR [direct to me], saying you need Biden and I said probably tomorrow for an atta-boy and to get the deets [details] to stick. So, Biden’s willing.

Pyatt: OK. Great. Thanks.

Not an independent country

It is reasonable to say that Ukraine is hardly an independent country. Today the US not only provides military support, but it also pays the salaries of government officials and for Ukraine’s military, including even money for pensions.

The same three American players – Biden, Sullivan and Nuland – are again deciding about Ukraine. Why would these three be willing to jettison Zelensky?

Washington has let it be known through controlled leaks that its carefully orchestrated plan for Ukraine’s counter-offensive was not followed by Zelensky. Working in opposition to his own generals – both Zaluzhny and the more-silent Syrskyi – Zelensky decided to renew military operations trying to take back Bakhmut, which had been lost after the Russian Army and Prigozhin’s Wagner forces had driven the Ukrainians out of the city.

 The effect of trying to fight Russia on a much wider front meant that the impact of the battle in the south, centered primarily around the so-called Bradley Square area of Zaphorize, was diluted by committing some of Ukraine’s best forces to Bakhmut and other fronts in Donetsk.

But there is even more. Washington’s goal in the offensive was to set the stage for forcing Russia into a deal on Ukraine. By breaking through the so-called Surovikin defense-in-depth, Ukraine’s army would threaten Crimea. (Take note: There are many articles in the US and European press claiming Ukraine was successful in breaking the Surovikin defense line. These stories are pure propaganda.)

Screen grab from Surovikin video supporting Russian army and declaiming Prigozhin coup. Source: Russian Defense Ministry

Coinciding with the military push south, Ukraine was to hit Sevastopol in Crimea with missiles and with unmanned surface vessels laden with explosives, including missile and USV attacks on the Kerch Strait bridge that connects Russia with Crimea. While the Ukrainians managed to cause some damage – they hit the bridge again, damaging it – the bridge was not destroyed.

The counter-offensive run by Washington was mounted after much planning and training.  Originally it was to coincide with Prigozhin’s coup d’état in Russia. There is plenty of evidence that Prigozhin was talking to Kyrylo Budanov, head of Ukraine’s military intelligence.

Kyrylo Budanov. Photo: Ukrainian government

Prigozhin’s meetings with Ukrainian intelligence people took place in Africa, likely in the Central African Republic.  If Prigozhin took over in Russia, he would immediately make a deal with Ukraine.  While the terms are unknown, it is likely that they would have called for Ukraine to lease Crimea to the Russians in exchange for Russia pulling out all its troops and ending Putin’s Special Military Operation. In addition, Washington would follow up by lifting sanctions on Russia.

Prigozhin’s coup failed and the dreams in Washington of regime change in Russia also died. Despite the deal cut with Belarus keeping Prigozhin out of jail or from a Russian firing squad (Putin had called him a traitor), apparently Prigozhin was still undermining Putin’s leadership and possibly could have maintained contacts with western intelligence. As is well known, his private plane was blown out of the sky not far from Moscow. Prigozhin was on his way back from Africa, reinforcing the idea that he was doing more than ginning up new business in Africa.  

The Ukrainians have claimed that the offensive “stalled” because they did not have the right weapons.  But three Western-equipped-and-trained brigades, with top-of-the-line combat equipment, couldn’t force a positive result.  Instead, much of the Western equipment was left burning in the field, including “invincible” Leopard tanks, that were rated better than even the US M1 Abrams.

Leopard 2 tanks and other Western armored vehicles damaged in the first week of Ukraine’s counteroffensive. Photo: Twitter / EPA

Zelensky has a second problem, which may be even harder for him to overcome and which has damaged his relationship with his American and British masters. That problem is the growing perception that Ukraine is losing the war.

There are now enough verified reports to show that Ukraine has turned to draconian measures to try and add to its dwindling manpower reserves for the war. Ukraine is already mostly on its third army (replacing most of the previous two where manpower and equipment losses ended their combat usefulness), although a handful of top-quality brigades still exist. But with less capable troops and endless nightmares in maintaining diverse NATO weapons (weapons that are not interoperable, contrary to what  NATO always claimed, and are exceedingly difficult to repair), Ukraine’s army appears to be heading toward disaster.

In Washington’s view the best thing to do is to negotiate a deal with the Russians. Russia has already rejected any ceasefire if negotiations come about. The war, in Russia’s view, will only end when there is an agreed settlement of the key issues, the most important (in Russia’s view) is that NATO must leave Ukraine.

If there are no negotiations, inevitably Ukraine will fail militarily, damaging (perhaps beyond repair) NATO’s deterrent capabilities. However, Zelensky is against any negotiation with Russia and is demanding that all Russian forces leave Ukraine and that Russian “war criminals” be brought to trial. In this manner Zelensky’s demands exceed NATO’s best interests at the present time and in fact undermine the only way the conflict can be resolved at all.

In short NATO’s needs and Zelensky’s are diverging and in conflict.

Congress is being asked to shove another $60+ billion into Ukraine. If Congress delays, or if the administration agrees to a much smaller amount (along with other concessions on auditing the money), then Zelensky is toast.

Washington may conclude that’s the only way out. Zelensky, however, is not going to volunteer to quit, so the problem of how to get him to step aside is unresolved. Even more daunting, holding presidential elections in March may be too late to save Ukraine.

Stephen Bryen, who served as staff director of the Near East Subcommittee of the
US Senate Foreign Relations Committee and as a deputy undersecretary of defense
for policy, currently is a senior fellow at the Center for Security Policy and the Yorktown Institute.

This article was originally published on his Substack, Weapons and Strategy. Asia Times is republishing it with permission.

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End to decoupling tops China's pre-summit demands

Ahead of a summit in San Francisco next week, Beijing has urged Washington to take immediate actions to stop US decoupling from China, .

Yuyuan Tantian, a social media account of the China Central Television (CCTV), said in a commentary that the US has been trying to decouple from China in the name of “de-risking,” “friend-shoring” and “safeguarding national security.”

“Friend-shoring” refers to the United States’ strategy of encouraging its firms to place orders in like-minded countries so manufacturers will have an incentive to move from China to these places.

That’s an issue that the US side was expecting to come up. “The US has no desire to decouple from China,” US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said in an opening remark during a meeting with Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng in San Francisco on Thursday. 

“A full separation of our economies would be economically disastrous for both our countries, and for the world,” Yellen said. “We seek a healthy economic relationship with China that benefits both countries over time.”

“Beyond our bilateral economic relationship, I look forward to discussing our collaboration on global challenges, from climate change to debt distress in low-income countries and emerging markets,” she said. “As the world’s two largest economies, we have an obligation to lead on these and other issues, for the people in our countries and around the world.”

The Chinese commentary raised, besides decoupling/friendshoring, five additional concerns:

  • the United States’s generalization of “national security” as a justification for changing the rules of commerce,
  • chip export controls,
  • allegedly unfair treatment of Chinese firms in the US,
  • a “smear” campaign against China’s business environment and
  • US criticism that China has set up “debt traps” in developing countries.

The social media account is seen as authoritative as it has access to China’s high-level diplomatic information, including the dialogue during a 90-minute phone call between Chinese President Xi Jinping and US President Joe Biden on September 10, 2021. 

Vice-Premier He said his previous discussions with Yellen has been constructive so both sides will look into more economic and financial topics of China and the US. He said he hopes to use this chance to raise some issues that concerned China the most. 

He did not disclose what issues he would raise in his meetings with Yellen on Thursday and Friday. The six concerns mentioned in Yuyuan Tantian’s article are apparently meant to reveal what He would have said if he had listed them.

Five demands vs six concerns

Back in July Yellen met with He during her four-day trip to China. After their meeting, the Chinese Finance Ministry said in a statement that the China side had made five demands to the US side.

US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen meets with Chinese Vice Premier He LIfeng in Beijing last July. Photo: Xinhua

It said Beijing was concerned by the extra tariffs, company sanctions, investment restrictions, export controls and Xinjiang product bans imposed by the US on China in recent years. 

Yuyuan Tantian’s latest article, with the title “A new round of China-US dialogues begin,” elaborated these points and stretched them out into six concerns.  

According to the self-description, the author of “Yuyuan Tantian” is a woman, an “experienced political and economic news reporter,” who has a PhD in Economics. 

“Since the Biden administration took office, the terminology of China’s economic policy has been changing, from ‘decoupling’ to ‘recoupling’ to ‘competition,’ from small yard, high fence’ to’ ‘de-risking’ to ‘friend-shoring,’” she said in the article. “No matter how, they still refer to the so-called security issues.”

She added: “In its economic exchanges with China, the US has long generalized and abused the term ‘national security.’ Behind this, the United States’s hegemonic thinking is still at work.”

She said that the “friend-shoring” strategy, which is no different from “decoupling,” allowed China to ship more solar panels to Southeast Asia and auto parts to Mexico in recent years. 

“The US wanted to exclude China from the global industrial and supply chain system. But its actions helped deepen the relationship between China and other countries,” she wrote. 

On October 17, the US Department of Commerce banned Nvidia from shipping its A800 and H800 graphic chips, which can be used to develop artificial intelligence, to China. China’s orders involving US$5 billion of Nvidia chips have then been canceled.

Yuyuan Tantian saidd the US government not only failed to protect its own companies’ interests in China but also used untransparent and unfair administrative means to restrict Chinese firms from raising funds and operating in the US. 

“The US side has so far added 1,300 Chinese firms to its entity list,” she said. “If it wants to work with China, it must trim this list.”

She added that it was wrong for US Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo to have said in August that China is “uninvestable.” She said China will continue to open up its economy while American firms must grab the opportunity to invest in it.

She also criticized the US and its allies for promoting the narrative that China’s overseas investments created “debt traps” for developing countries.

It’s official

After Yellen reiterated on Thursday that the US won’t decouple from China, Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Hua Chunying officially announced on Friday that Xi will be in San Francisco from November 14 to 17 for a China-US summit meeting and the 30th APEC Economic Leaders’ Meeting.

The Xi-Biden meeting is expected to be held on November 15, Kyodo News reported on Wednesday. 

Read: Luring investment a high priority for Xi’s US trip

Follow Jeff Pao on Twitter at @jeffpao3

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Xi holds four aces as he meets Biden 

China’s leader Xi Jinping will meet President Biden Nov. 15 in San Francisco with four high cards in his hand. Policy advisers close to Xi express an unprecedented kind of confidence in China’s strategic position. 

First, the collapse of Ukraine’s offensive against Russian forces and its commander’s admission that the war is a “stalemate” is a setback for America’s strategic position and a gain for China, which has doubled its exports to Russia since the February 2022 invasion of Ukraine. 

Second, the US tech war on China has flopped, as Chinese AI firms buy fast Huawei processers in place of chips from Nvidia and other US producers.

Third, the Gaza war provoked by Hamas on October 7 gives China a free option to act as the de facto leader of the Global South in opposition to Israel, an American ally. China now exports more to the Muslim world than it does to the United States.

And fourth, the US military wants to avoid confrontation with China in the Northwest Pacific region as well as its home waters in the South China Sea, where the PLA’s thousands of surface-to-ship missiles and nearly 1,000 fourth- and fifth-generation warplanes give China an overwhelming home-theater advantage in firepower.

Mutual fear of war

In the background of the Biden-Xi summit is a fear – shared by both sides – that a US-China confrontation could lead to war.

Warring States GIF: Wikipedia

Henry Kissinger told the Economist last May: “We’re in the classic pre-World War 1 situation where neither side has much margin of political concession and in which any disturbance of the equilibrium can lead to catastrophic consequences.”

A prominent advisor to China’s Communist Party, Renmin University Professor Jin Canrong, told “The Observer” on November 9, “The world today has entered an era of great struggle: the old order dominated by the West. It is disintegrating, but the new order has not yet been established.” Jin compared the world situation to China’s bloody Warring States period (475 BCE to 221 BCE). 

A major concern on the American side is the expansion of China’s nuclear arsenal to a projected 1,000 warheads by 2030, from just 220 in 2020. A November 10 commentary in Foreign Affairs warns, “Chinese analysts are worried that the United States has lowered its threshold for nuclear use – including allowing for limited first use in a Taiwan conflict – and that the US military is acquiring new capabilities that could be used to destroy or significantly degrade China’s nuclear forces.”

Newsom shows how to pull back

A foretaste of the Biden-Xi discussions came from the October 25 Beijing visit of California Governor Gavin Newsom, the likeliest 2024 Democratic presidential candidate should Biden withdraw for health reasons or in response to Congressional investigations of his personal and family finances. A widely-circulated scenario for the upcoming presidential race foresees Newsom replacing an ailing Biden at the top of the Democratic ticket.

Significantly, Newsom has been quoted as saying that he had “expressed my support for the One-China policy … as well as our desire not to see independence” of Taiwan. Newsome spoke of “renewing our friendship and re-engaging [on] foundational and fundamental issues that will determine our collective faith in the future.”

Newsom’s clear rejection of Taiwanese independence contrasts with Biden’s earlier statements that although the US is “not encouraging their being independent,” independence is “their decision.” Biden had also declared that the US has a “commitment” to defend Taiwan, drawing protests from China’s Foreign Ministry. Biden is likely to sound more reassuring – that is, more like Newsom – in San Francisco.

PLA might, assertiveness grow

The growing assertiveness of China’s navy and air force in the South China Sea also worries the US military. China in effect dared the United States to get into a scrap by suspending the hotline between the militaries of the two nations. Last month a Pentagon official complained complained that Chinese warplanes had conducted 200 risky maneuvers near US aircraft since 2021.

The conventional arm of the PLA Rocket Force “is the largest ground-based missile force in the world, with over 2,200 conventionally armed ballistic and cruise missiles and with enough anti-ship missiles to attack every US surface combatant vessel in the South China Sea with enough firepower to overcome each ship’s missile defense,” Major Christopher J. Mihal wrote in 2021 in a US Army journal.

Chips war boomerangs

America’s restrictions on high-end chip exports to China failed to prevent Huawei Technologies from offering a new smartphone as well as Artificial Intelligence processors with performance comparable to or close to what’s achieved by the products of Nvidia and other US designers. On November 7, Reuters reported that the Chinese Internet giant Baidu had ordered 1,600 of Huawei’s 910B Ascend AI chips, reportedly on par with the Nvidia A100 Graphics Processing Unit, the most popular AI processor.

Nvidia, meanwhile, has offered a new set of chips for the Chinese market scaled down to conform to new Commerce Department restrictions announced last month. As Semianalysis, a consulting firm, reported on November 9, “To our surprise Nvidia still found a way to ship high-performance GPUs into China with their upcoming H20, L20, and L2 GPUs. Nvidia already has product samples for these GPUs and they will go into mass production within the next month, yet again showing their supply chain mastery.”

Exploiting the Gaza crisis

With its leading economic presence in the Muslim world, China sees the Gaza war as a rallying point for sentiment against the United States and its allies. “The voice of the Global South has become louder and louder, the Arab world in the Middle East is moving toward reconciliation, and the voice of the Third World continues to grow on the international stage,” wrote Jin Canrong in the cited ”Observer” piece on November 9. “China can be seen in these landmark events, and these countries have increasingly high expectations and calls for China.”

China’s President Xi Jinping, right, and Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas shake hands at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing in June 2023. Photo: Jade Gao / Pool

Significantly, Jin included Israel as part of the core of Western countries:

Everyone keeps talking about the West, but what exactly does the West mean? The West refers to three big countries and four small countries. The three big countries are the United States, Europe, and Japan, and the four small countries are Canada, Australia, New Zealand, and Israel. They are a small, closed circle that other countries cannot enter. There is a group of right-wing intellectuals in China who still dream of joining the West. Even if they demolish the Forbidden City and build the White House in its place, they will not be able to get in. If they go in, they will be servants guarding the palace, like Japan and South Korea.

Israel under Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has been a consistent American ally, buying most of its military hardware from the US and jointly developing a variety of weapons systems, but it has not acted as a core member of the Western alliance. Unlike New Zealand, Canada, and Australia, Israel does not belong to the “Five Eyes” intelligence-sharing group. And it refused to provide lethal aid to Ukraine.

Israel and China: what might have been

Israel and China, moreover, both have problems with Muslim terrorism and have held informal discussions on possible cooperation – none of which have led to practical agreements.

In 2019, I attended a closed-door seminar with prominent Chinese and Israeli security specialists, under Chatham House rules (speakers cannot be identified). A prominent Chinese policy advisor asked the Israelis to help China explain its policy towards the Muslim Uyghur minority in Xinjiang province to the American government.

A former top Israeli official responded

Will Israel help China with the US? We have experience in this regard. It’s no longer a secret. The Egyptian ambassador to Washington said publicly that Egypt could not have gotten through the last four years of the Obama administration without the support of Israel. We helped with Congress and the White House. The success of [Egyptian president] El-Sisi against the Muslim Brotherhood was important. But if we help China, we have to ask, why? You expect us to defend your policy toward Uyghurs. Will you defend our policy vs Hamas? No. Why should we defend you? Change your policy first. You can’t expect Israel to do anything when you are condemning Israel.

The Chinese spokesperson protested that China has 20 million Muslims whom it doesn’t want to provoke by voting with Israel at the United Nations, not to mention more than 50 Muslim embassies.

The ranking Israeli in the room retorted that the Indian President, Modi “has more Muslims than you do, and he voted with the US at the UN! India changed policy. It has good relations with Iran, which we don’t like. States like China as well as India are big enough to do what they want. It amazes me that, unlike India, a strong country like China is still explaining that they are too weak to vote against the 57 Muslim countries in the UN. It doesn’t hold water after the experience of India.”

The Chinese advisor responded: “I have witnessed great changes taking place in the US. It is not as tolerant as before. China has become more confident, sometimes overconfident. We face difficult domestic issues. China is turning left domestically, and the US is becoming more conservative.

“Domestic politics have taken a different direction,” he continued, referring to the Trump Administration’s tariffs on Chinese imports. But the Chinese advisor added, “Israel will play a positive role because Israel has a great relationship with the US. Chinese people admire Israel and the Israeli people. Most Chinese people have a good impression. We also have a large Muslim population, and they are pro-Arab. This is a fact.”

China’s darker view

The above are extracts from my verbatim notes on the conversation. This was a rough-and-tumble negotiation, but not a hostile one. China’s tone has changed markedly since then, with a sharply hostile tone towards Israel across all Chinese media.

China’s perception of American intentions has changed in the meantime. In his November 9 “Observer” interview, Jin Canrong added,

Although the world order is chaotic everywhere, the most dangerous element by far is the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Ukraine is an agent and puppet of the United States. American politicians and media have publicly called the Russia-Ukraine conflict a “Proxy War.” There are 193 United Nations member states and more than 200 countries and regions on the planet, but the ones that truly have strategic independence and the ability to destroy each other are China, the United States, and Russia, two of which are in a state of military confrontation.

Sadly, Jin’s harsh words about the US role in the Ukraine war are justified. Regime change in Russia through a sequence of color revolutions on its border has been an obsessive theme of neo-conservative policy since Washington backed the 2004 “Orange Revolution” in Ukraine. 

China and the Global South

China sees an opportunity to push back against the United States and is drawing on its heightened standing in the Global South to undermine American geopolitical influence. Since the cited conversation in 2019, China’s exports to the Global South have roughly doubled

Washington has few cards to play, and Biden is likely to respond to his weakened position by back-pedaling on Taiwan.

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What’s the story behind mithai, those colourful sweets that’s a hallmark of Indian celebrations

SWEET BEGINNINGS

Sweet-making in India can be traced back to the ancient Vedic texts (sometime around 1,000 BCE), which make references to the presence of milk-based sweets during rituals and festive occasions.

Almost all mithai begins with the hours-long process of boiling down and constantly stirring whole milk till it reduces it to a sweet sludge. To this base is added ingredients like khoya (fragrant fudge-like milk solids), nuts, chickpea flour or rice; and flavourings like rosewater, cardamom or saffron, depending on the type of mithai being made.

Some retailers swap the reduction of whole milk for more convenient options like milk powder or condensed milk, even if mithai lovers say that these handy substitutes affect the taste of the resulting dessert. “The creaminess of the milk just doesn’t come through as much,” said Ramasamy.

Superlative mithai is the result of superlative ingredients. Freshly shelled and ground pistachios make for burfi with more earthy depth. Freshly grated coconut flesh imbues laddoo with a deep richness that desiccated coconut cannot even begin to replicate. Once moulded, some mithai are fried in ghee, others soaked in sugar syrup, and yet others requiring both. Think of the time and effort required of every step. Is it any wonder that few people make mithai at home?

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'Too early to judge govt': DPM

'Too early to judge govt': DPM
Phumtham: ‘100 is the magic number’

Deputy Prime Minister Phumtham Wechayachai hit back at criticism that the government’s first 60 days in office had seen little improvement in the economy or helped reduce the cost of living.

Mr Phumtham said the government’s work won’t take shape until after at least 100 days have passed as many ministries like the Commerce Ministry, which he heads, are working on many projects that are still to be revealed to the public, such as fixing the high prices of certain everyday items and expanding markets for local products to more foreign countries.

Prime Minister Srettha Thavisin has also used every opportunity on the world stage to attract foreign investors, he said, adding that on Tuesday, the premier will have a meeting with Thai commercial attaches and the Board of Investment to promote Thailand among foreign investors, he said.

“So, I’d like everyone and also those who criticise us to be patient. We will provide a full update on our work and plans when we have completed 100 days in office,” he said.

Asked if the prime minister preferred to work alone rather than delegate duties, Mr Phumtham said the prime minister has already assigned a full set of responsibilities to his six deputies. Every minister also has a lot of work to deal with.

As the economy has suffered a cumulative crisis globally and financially, many things are in process to restore the economy, he said.

“Therefore, it is a good thing for the premier to explain everything thoroughly. Actually, we want to have around 50-100 cabinet members instead of 36 due to high work loads at present, but we are ready to work hard and to face any obstacle,” said Mr Phumtham. “The premier also often travels to provinces to directly find out about the problems people face.”

When asked about comments made by opposition parties, Mr Phumtham shrugged of the criticism as predictable.

“I always tell the opposition parties that if policies are good for the people, they will be implemented. Not every move is for political benefit. I do not mind feedback or criticism as long as they are creative because they are like a mirror for us,” he said.

“It is not the critics but the people who will tell us whether the government has passed the test,” he added.

On Thursday evening, Prime Minister Srettha hosted a television special titled “From Policy to Action in 60 Days”. During the show, the premier highlighted urgent measures implemented during this period, such as reducing expenses for people including reducing electric bills, and petrol prices and fixing household debt.

The premier said the government is also promoting the agricultural sector with a plan to expand markets to Africa and the Middle East and the tourism industry too with its new round of visa exemptions.

“The government is also investing heavily in logistics and infrastructure, including transport links such as high-speed rail and upgrades to the facilities of major airports,” he said.

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Govt plans to seek B500bn loan

PM insists handout will boost economy

Govt plans to seek B500bn loan
Prime Minister Srettha Thavisin on Friday put an end to weeks of speculation about the government’s digital wallet programme, saying it will begin in May next year. Some 50 million people aged 16 and older will be eligible for a 10,000-baht handout so long as they have an income of less than 70,000 baht per month and less than 500,000 baht in bank deposits. He made the announcement at Government House. (Photo: Chanat Katanyu)

The government will seek 500 billion baht in loans to finance its 10,000-baht digital money handout scheme, Prime Minister Srettha Thavisin said on Friday.

The digital currency will be offered to Thais aged 16 and older who earn less than 70,000 baht per month and have under 500,000 baht in bank deposits, he said.

Based on these criteria, an estimated 50 million people will be eligible — down from the 56 million intended originally.

People who earn more than 70,000 baht a month but have less than 500,000 baht in bank deposits will not be eligible. The same applies to those who earn less than 70,000 baht a month yet have over 500,000 baht in their accounts.

Mr Srettha made the remarks at a press conference during which he outlined details of the scheme after chairing a meeting of the digital wallet policy committee.

He said the economy is in need of a major stimulus as Thailand’s GDP has grown by only 1.9% a year on average over the past decade, with household debt jumping from 76% in 2012 to 91.6% this year.

The output from the manufacturing sector has also declined, which means fewer workers are required, resulting in many people being laid off.

“As a result, they earn less and buy less, which in turn causes factories to cut production. And this cycle repeats, causing a recession. Things will get worse unless the economy gets a boost,” Mr Srettha said.

He said the government will inject 600 billion baht into the economy — 500 billion via the digital wallet scheme as well as a 100-billion-baht fund to enhance the country’s economic potential.

The digital wallet policy is intended to inject cash flow into the economic system to boost spending during the six-month period after its launch.

The handout will begin next May, three months later than planned.

“The project will spur investment, encourage trade and the sale and purchase of goods, and orders for goods will be placed with SMEs and large factories,” the prime minister said.

The money can only be used to buy food and consumer goods. It cannot be used to purchase goods online, cigarettes or liquor; cash vouchers and such valuables as diamonds, gems or gold; and it cannot be used to pay off debts or cover water or electricity bills, fuel, natural gas or tuition fees.

Participating shops do not have to be in the tax system or register for VAT, the prime minister said.

The new 100-billion-baht fund, meanwhile, will be used to enhance the country’s competitiveness in various fields, said Mr Srettha. This could include investing in new technologies and the development of human resources. It is intended to draw highly competent people in various fields to contribute to economic growth.

“I would like to emphasise that this (digital money handout scheme) is not a form of welfare to help the needy. Rather, it is about injecting money into the economy through spending to enable people to be partners with the government in reviving the economy,” the prime minister said.

As for the source of funding for the programme, Mr Srettha said the most practical approach would be for the government to propose a bill seeking a special loan of 500 billion baht.

The draft bill will be sent to the Council of State this year to ensure it does not contravene any laws. It will be forwarded to parliament early next year, he said.

Mr Srettha said the bill would be passed by parliament in line with Section 53 of the State Fiscal and Financial Discipline Act of 2018 so the programme can start in May.

The other 100 billion baht for economic projects will come from state budgets, he said.

Sirikanya Tansakun, a deputy leader of the opposition Move Forward Party, said the government has no other options.

There is a risk someone may ask the Constitutional Court to rule against the bill on the grounds that there is no justification for an urgent handout, she said.

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IN FOCUS: Underage and on dating apps - what is being done to protect minors, and is it enough?

The Grindr spokesperson also said the app is classed in the 17+ category on both Apple and Google Play App stores, which means parental control settings in both operating systems can be used to prevent the app from being downloaded.

She added that Grindr is “always willing” to work with Apple and Google to develop better age gating technology that respects users’ privacy while improving safety.

As for why Grindr does not require users to upload a profile photo or picture ID, the spokesperson said that user concerns are a key reason for this. Users can privately share photos using private albums.

She added: “Since the founding of Grindr, many of our users have had very real needs to maintain privacy and discretion on the app, ranging from highly personal circumstances to government persecution in more than 60 countries around the world where it is tragically still illegal to be a member of the LGBTQ+ community.”

Nevertheless, she said Grindr “works constantly to eliminate illicit activity from the app”, including using AI and machine learning “in a variety of ways to promote safety, including monitoring chats to detect potential underage users”.

On top of that, Grindr has an external moderation team of more than 150 experts to monitor chats and identify issues such as underage users and those who may try to target them. It also reports activity involving minors to organisations committed to protecting children, including the National Center for Missing and Exploited Children in the US.

CNA also asked OkCupid, Tinder and Grindr about whether they were open to partnerships like the one that dating app Bumble recently formed with the Association of Women for Action and Research (AWARE), a gender equality advocacy group in Singapore.

The partnership, announced in September, allows AWARE to report harmful or dangerous people to Bumble’s dedicated member safety team.

Through this new tip line, these people can receive a warning or even have their profiles removed from the platform.

In a press release, Bumble said this is aimed at reducing the burden on victim-survivors of sexual violence and technology-facilitated abuse to report these harms, while ensuring that dangerous individuals are proactively removed from Bumble.

OkCupid, Tinder and Grindr did not directly respond to queries about this.

“THERE’S REALLY NO VERIFICATION”

Notwithstanding dating apps’ various measures to keep the underaged from using them, some users told CNA how easy it was to sign up when they were below the age of 18.

Ms Li, 23, is no stranger to such apps. She first started using them as a 17-year-old.

“There’s really no verification, so I just put my age as 18. I had almost everything actually, I had Bumble, OkCupid, Hinge, Tinder.”

Feeling guilty for lying about her age, Ms Li wrote in her profile that she was 17, going on 18. Despite doing so, the apps did not detect that an underage user was on their platform. 

In fact, Ms Li said her profile became more popular after she updated her bio. “Once I put that, then I actually got more matches.”

She added that she was far from the only underaged teen on dating apps.

“Pretty much every girl I knew that was in upper-secondary school would have been on the more common apps, like OkCupid.” They would send profiles to each other to see who their friends matched with, she said.

Some of the men who matched with her on the apps were 10 years her senior, but it did not raise any alarm bells back then. She said she felt lucky about it, thinking that these older men were taking a chance on her.

It was especially gratifying given that some boys in her age group still shunned girls. “A man likes me – he isn’t immature like the boys,” she said.

“At that age, it was very, very easy for girls to be looking for that attention and validation.”

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Commentary: AirAsia boss Tony Fernandes’ topless massage during meeting is not ‘open’ workplace culture

Perhaps, Mr Fernandes’ behaviour could be justified as part of a relaxed, easy-going and informal workplace culture – where staff do not bat an eye at the big boss showing some skin and adeptly multi-tasking. A spokesperson from AirAsia later defended this incident, speaking to the “fun, friendly and open culture” of the airline company.

But, commenters on the now-deleted LinkedIn post were quick to point out it is unlikely other AirAsia employees could get away with the same behaviour in a professional meeting.

Rather than culture, it is probably Mr Fernandes’ position of status and authority that allowed him to behave this way. How many employees would voice their objection or discomfort?

PERSONAL BRAND AFFECTS CORPORATE REPUTATION

Moreover, Tony Fernandes has cultivated a public persona characterised by his unorthodox approach to business and willingness to take risks. Indeed, some netizens have come to his defence, citing his unconventional leadership style and his right to make choices that align with his personal brand.

But what’s the cost of aligning personal branding with actions that challenge traditional norms? It becomes a delicate balance between individuality and the image of the company.

While individuality and personal branding are essential, boundaries should be respected. The behaviour of CEOs is not merely personal but an integral facet of a company’s branding and reputation.

Personal conduct can be a form of reputational risk. Bernard Looney, CEO of BP, resigned in September for failing to fully disclose previous relationships with colleagues. The energy company said leaders are “expected to act as role models and to exercise good judgment”.

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