‘Climate finance’ saddles Pacific island nations with more debt – Asia Times

Pacific scholars are urging world leaders to enhance the climate finance spread system to support people living in small island nations as the UN climate summit approaches its last stage of negotiations.

The most extensive study on climate change in the Pacific was presented to the Conference of the Parties ( COP29 ) last week. People with lived experience are amplified by the Pacific Ocean Climate Crisis Assessment ( POCCA ). It compiles case studies and data on the climate impacts isle nations are now addressing and how to apply regional adaptation strategies.

According to the report, climate finance has been integrated into global economic models that adhere to growth aid’s designs.

The World Bank and the International Monetary Fund, as well as other major international financial institutions, will now serve as “accepted” entities for dispersing funds, adding product components, and making clear entry difficult for Pacific countries.

Loading the receiving nations with the highest bill

By the time money gets to people on the ground, about 72 % of it is in the form of loans. Personal contractors hired by developed nations to create climate-resilient facilities are the true beneficiaries.

What might have started out as a kind of donation ended up inflating the debts of the recipient nations in the Global South, particularly those in the Pacific.

Recent studies indicate that vulnerable island nations are currently losing US$ 141 billion annually due to extreme weather. By 2030, it is predicted that this will reach$ 1 trillion annually.

At COP29, climate finance is a crucial dialogue place, with the aim of boosting the contributions of the rich.

The Dubai climate conference last year agreed to establish a fresh fund to pay damages and costs incurred by natural disasters brought on by climate change. A group of small, developing nations spearheaded this political work, and it is crucial that this fund fills the latest climate finance gap.

However, there is only one factor that can close the gap between the resources already available and the required funds. To ensure that money is distributed in a way that people who already experience routine climate impacts are benefitted, we may also change the distribution method.

A traditional elevated house in the Solomon Islands, with an elder and a child in the foreground.
Homes are protected from flooding thanks to classic building methods. Photo: Kike Calvo / Universal Images Group

Indigenous information and regional adaptation

Additionally, our report makes use of a variety of climate-adapted methods, including relocating homes and settlements that are already in use by Pacific peoples.

Pacific peoples have much developed sophisticated adaptive abilities as the ancestors of the great navigators and coastal settlers who ruled the nation’s largest ocean for millennia. They have been adapting to change in the most environmentally friendly and compact techniques for centuries despite having roots in some of the world’s smallest and most difficult locations.

This includes southern protections from sea level rise and shore erosion as well as standard building methods that make more accommodating homes that are easier to restore.

The majority of Pacific Island version techniques are based on indigenous knowledge and skills that have been passed down through generations. For instance, the government in France has started funding the country’s version of risk prevention by constructing raised homes with floors 1.5 meters above ground level.

The Pacific Islands have also made an increasing effort to use ecosystem-based strategies that advance both populations and communities. Indigenous knowledge in Fiji has enabled the identification of indigenous vegetation that is suitable for reducing coastal erosion and flooding.

Relocating is a last-minute solution for adaptation. Two Fiji group transfer case studies are included in the report, which highlight the value of including all social groups in preparing to promote positive outcomes.

Changing the tale

Pacific peoples have developed social and ecological resilience systems that allow them to recover fast from disturbance because they are intrinsically linked to the ocean.

However, climate change has a significant impact on many Pacific residents. But the regular tale of vulnerability is difficult. It contradicts the very notion of native and aboriginal firm and resilience in the Pacific.

We must consider what is happening on the ground because climate impacts are complex, especially when using science-based models and the natural uncertainties to guide regional adaptation decisions.

To maintain a balance between top-down and ground-up methods to adaptation and endurance, the report recommends enabling channels that combine traditional knowledge with modern scientific methods and state decision-making tools.

On islands prone to drought, wave, and tropical cyclones have Pacific Island communities usually resided. With limited tools, they had to live on islands.

Over millennia, Pacific individuals developed native information, including social concepts and social structures, to live in these circumstances. Given existential threats and challenges, especially those facing reef island communities, we need to bring on climate-related aboriginal knowledge and practices.

In contrast to narratives of risk, legacy of endurance are key to successful weather version.

Steven Ratuva is chairman of the Macmillan Brown Center for Pacific Studies, University of Canterbury.

The Conversation has republished this post under a Creative Commons license. Read the original post.

Continue Reading

Musk’s government-by-tech to show the limits of disruption – Asia Times

Elon Musk, the world’s richest man, will take over the newly created Department of Government Efficiency alongside fellow software billionaire and former national member Vivek Ramaswamy on November 12th, according to president-elect Donald Trump’s announcement on November 12. The new office will be tasked with reining in state government, curbing federal spending, and reducing rules.

Musk has been vocal in his support of Trump’s campaign, which included probably illegal monetary “giveaways” to citizens. Although Musk is relatively new in electoral politics, technology companies and their leaders have made numerous attempts to restructure public policy and governance, ranging from housing and transportation to city planning.

By looking more closely at some of these efforts, we may be able to get a preview of what Musk’s Department of Government Performance may try to do, what government-by-tech may seem like, and what might go wrong.

Replacing public service

In 2013, Musk himself proposed a new form of public transportation called the “hyperloop” to join Los Angeles and San Francisco. And Musk’s SpaceX aims to outsource the rocket-building business to the government.

But another tech firms have had similar interests.

Uber has made a series of attempts to replace people transport. Companies like Sidewalk Labs, a subsidiary of Google’s parent company, have created” intelligent cities” that collect and analyze information about people’s behavior in order to make decisions about providing services, making attempts to replace urban infrastructure.

Perhaps an analyst suggested that public libraries may be replaced by Amazon bookstores. In fields as diverse as cover, personality identification, and education, tech firms have challenged people products.

The boundaries of disturbance

One thing some government-by-tech jobs have in common is a perception that government is inherently inefficient, and that (unregulated ) technology can offer better options.

Silicon Valley software companies have huge espoused “disruption“, the idea of overthrowing a dead standing status with technology. Unlike people agencies, the reasoning goes, companies is “move fast and break things” to discover new and more effective ways to deliver services and price.

Tech firms that adhere to this theory have undoubtedly provided service that many of us use frequently in our day-to-day lives and generated significant profits. But this does n’t mean the Silicon Valley model makes sense for public administration. In reality, the information suggests something more like the same.

A record of disappointment

Tech’s attempts to provide public companies have had mixed results.

Innisfil, Canada, switched to Uber in 2017 to replace all of its public transportation options. The result was a rise in city costs ( in Uber’s fees ), more cars traveling, and more expensive transportation for low-income residents.

After encountering concerns regarding protection and planning, Sidewalk Labs ‘ smart-city trial in Toronto was abandoned in 2021.

The software industry’s disruption has worsened existing issues, with Airbnb and other short-term rental firms playing a role in the housing crisis.

Small solutions for slim problems

Additionally, tech firms typically concentrate on a select few issues. Silicon Valley has helped us to find a car, choose a restaurant for dinner, manage quickly around a town, transfer money to our friends, and search for the best rental for our vacation.

It has provided fewer options for getting low-income cover, providing treatment for the younger, or reducing our power usage. There are significant benefits to this: technology companies want to tap wealthy buyers with disposable income to generate income.

These disparities even reflect Silicon Valley’s lack of diversity, though. Tech remains mostly white, mostly female, generally upper-middle course, typically highly educated. This affects the troubles and answers Silicon Valley finds.

The secret business will suffer from all of this. However, the government’s primary function is to look after all of its citizens, not merely owners or buyers ( or even just those who voted for it ).

The couple get a dozen services.

The issue is that Silicon Valley’s “efficiencies” and solutions may end up delivering the few at the price of the many. Some “inefficiencies” of public service arise from the truth they are designed to get as many people into accounts as possible.

Rules and protections for older people, for those with disability, for those who may not speak English as a second language, for instance, all create the need for more government and more rules.

Musk has compared the public transportation system to a “pain in the pussy” where possible serial killers must be positioned next to one another. Of course, in some places public transportation carries no such discrimination. Additionally, many people who prefer to travel by private jet ( or even Tesla ) may have no other choice but to rely on a public bus for their needs.

One of SpaceX’s aims is to reduce the cost of a trip to Mars to under US$ 1 million. This would be a extraordinary success, but it means that Musk’s imagined Mars settlement may be very wealthy. As a form of public policy, spacecraft and hyperloops are terribly insufficient.

Unromantic needs

The technology sector itself depends on existing facilities and institutions, even though the idea of disruption attempts to minimize its impact.

Uber depends on roads and vehicles, as well as the institutions that maintain them, and Airbnb depends on brick-and-mortar construction, as do Amazon and eBay, which rely on postal service and travel system.

All tech companies rely on solid, enforceable financial, property, and tax laws. These outdated institutions and infrastructures may not be attractive or even effective.

However, these so-called inefficiencies have often evolved in ways aligned with fairness, justice, and inclusivity. Silicon Valley tech companies ‘ past records do not support their positions on these issues.

Hallam Stevens is professor of interdisciplinary studies, James Cook University

The Conversation has republished this article under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article.

Continue Reading

Portcast secures US$ 6.5 mil series A funding led by Susquehanna Asia VC

  • Hearst Ventures, Signal Ventures, and existing owners participated in the round
  • Funding will promote product innovation, help growth into APAc area &amp, Europe

The Portcast team

Portcast, the Singapore-based provider of real-time transportation visibility and predictive analytics, has announced that it has raised US$ 6.5 million ( RM29 million ) in a Series A funding round. The round was led by Susquehanna Asia VC, with participation from Hearst Ventures, Signal Ventures, and existing buyers, including Wavemaker Partners, TMV, and Innoport.

In a statement, the business said the new money would promote product development, especially in harnessing conceptual AI to enhance chance management, transport planning, and invoice auditing capabilities. Additionally, it intends to strengthen integrations with technologies partners while expanding its reach in important markets in the Asia-Pacific region and Europe. According to Portcast, the company is well-positioned to fulfill its goal of improving the resilience of international trade through actionable data.

In addition, the business continued to invest in artificial intelligence ( AI ) technology to protect its clients ‘ profitability in the face of increasingly fragile global supply chains and increased disruption.

Portcast provides strategic administration with justifiable justifications and recommends alternative strategies to help shipping companies and logistics companies increase their productivity, operating costs, and carbon emissions in the transportation industry. The agency’s data system integrates data from carriers, terminals, location and risk data, and custom documents to give accurate visibility through a single, easy-to-integrate API and website. The business uses machine learning and advanced large-language models to provide meaningful insights to improve supply chain operational and financial transparency.

Portcast secures US$ 6.5 mil series A funding led by Susquehanna Asia VCNidhi Gupta ( pic ), founder and CEO of Portcast, said:” Supply chain disruptions have become the norm, driving up costs for shippers and logistics service providers globally. The concern now is to push actions from visibility data through integrated recommendations, which is no longer sufficient to screen shipments. In order to reduce freight costs and enhance user experience, we are committed to creating a product that not even discovers risks in transportation but, more importantly, immediately suggests measures to reduce these costs.

The support from both existing and new traders is a bible to the customer fulfillment we’ve achieved and the trust in our strategy in today’s tough economic environment. Looking back, we are eager to expand in the Asia-Pacific area and Europe, strengthening partnerships to take our answers to even more firms”, she added.

In addition, Susquehanna Asia VC’s Richard Hsu stated that Portcast has used both amazing and open data to provide reliable and explicable transportation visibility. However, what sets them apart is their ability to transform that information into useful, practical insights for their clients, setting a new standard in shipping decision-making. With its unique data-driven approach, Portcast has the potential to address additional challenges in global trade. Not only are we excited about what Portcast has already accomplished.

Continue Reading

Hemisphere Ventures opens in Singapore amid SEA expansion | FinanceAsia

Hemisphere Ventures, a US venture capital and consulting firm known for early-stage investments in space, cybersecurity, biotech, nanotech, drones, robotics, and other frontier technologies, has opened a new office in Singapore, marking its first expansion into Southeast Asia ( SEA ).

Established in 2014, Hemisphere has a collection of US border tech investments, with home offices as investors. Illustrations of markets include area, security, bioscience, nanotech, drones, robotics, and another frontier technologies

Leading the agency’s rise in SEA is Chip Whittemore, who has just been promoted to managing companion. In his new role, Whittmore may direct Hemisphere’s Singapore activity, building relationships with local shareholders, founders, and important stakeholders. According to a media transfer, Hemisphere has also been given the task of utilizing its US network to connect SEA startups with existing collection companies. &nbsp,

Lisa Rich, founder of Hemisphere Ventures, said in the relieve:” Hemisphere’s devotion to the development ecosystem has gone world. Our new company in Singapore makes it easier for startups to interact with global markets and encourages engagement there.

As both skill and cash flow to the area, Processor’s leadership and vision will be crucial to unlocking growth opportunities in the area’s SEA, which is ripe for growth.

According to the transfer, the number of home offices in Singapore has more than tripled since 2020, with 250 more ones established in the first eight month of 2024. &nbsp,

Singapore offers a secure and attractive location for investments in innovative technology, with access to SEA’s high-growth options, according to Chip. I’m excited to direct Hemisphere’s development, and connect owners and traders to the global business marketplace”.

¬ Capitol Media Limited. All rights reserved.

Continue Reading

Hemisphere Ventures opens in Singapore in SEA expansion | FinanceAsia

Hemisphere Ventures, a US venture capital and consulting firm known for early-stage investments in space, cybersecurity, biotech, nanotech, drones, robotics, and other frontier technologies, has opened a new office in Singapore, marking its first expansion into Southeast Asia ( SEA ).

Established in 2014, Hemisphere has a collection of US border tech investments, with home offices as investors. Illustrations of markets include&nbsp, speed, security, biotechnology, nanotech, drones, robotics, and another frontier technologies

Leading the agency’s rise in SEA is Chip Whittemore, who has just been promoted to managing companion. In his new role, Whittmore may direct Hemisphere’s Singapore activity, building relationships with local shareholders, founders, and important stakeholders. According to a media launch, Hemisphere has also been given the task of utilizing its U&nbsp network, which includes facilitating connections between clients and existing collection companies in SEA. &nbsp,

Lisa Rich, founder of Hemisphere Ventures, said in the media relieve:” Hemisphere’s devotion to the development ecosystem has gone world. Our new business in Singapore makes it easier for startups to interact with global markets and encourages engagement there.

As both skill and cash flow to the area, Processor’s leadership and vision will be crucial to unlocking growth opportunities in the area’s SEA, which is ripe for growth.

Since 2020, the number of home offices in Singapore has more than tripled, with 250 more opening in the first eight month of 2024.

Singapore offers a secure and attractive location for investments in sophisticated technology, with access to SEA’s high-growth options, according to Chip. I’m excited to direct Hemisphere’s development, and connect owners and traders to the global business marketplace”.

¬ Plaza Media Limited. All rights reserved.

Continue Reading

Raising rail reliability targets could come at a cost to taxpayers, commuters: Chee Hong Tat

Transportation Minister Chee Hong Tat predicted that raising road stability targets had cost taxpayers and commuters. &nbsp,

He stated in parliament on Monday ( Nov 11 ) that the current rail reliability goal of 1 million mean kilometres between failure ( MKBF ) is still “relevant and valid.”

He was responding to Pritam Singh, the leader of the opposition, who claimed that the Ministry of Transportation ( MOT ) is considering raising the threshold because it had been set a mere five years ago. &nbsp,

The 1 million number, according to Mr. Chee, was chosen because it represents what the best, most trustworthy road providers, like those in Taipei and Guangzhou, have accomplished with their techniques.

” If we look at it now, I think it’s also a relevant and acceptable specific, something that is important for us to rely on, and that is something which we will continue to work towards”, he said. &nbsp,

The possibility of raising it more has to be thoroughly assessed, he added. &nbsp,

Because raising MKBF farther and what is the cost incurred are incompatible, according to Mr. Chee, who said that either taxpayers or commuters will eventually have to bear the cost. &nbsp,

” So, we will study this carefully” .&nbsp,

In response to numerous MRT and LRT system failures in the past few decades, bridge consistency was the subject of discussion in congress. &nbsp,

A malfunctioning coach caused extensive damage to the monitors and other products in September, which caused a significant MRT disruption by preventing regular SMRT train service along a portion of the East-West Line for about six times. &nbsp, &nbsp,

A train problem caused disruption to teach services along the Bukit Panjang LRT line last month, with services resumed the next day. &nbsp, &nbsp,

Mr Chee said that the entire MKBF for the MRT system has improved from about 1.8 million train-km in end-September, to nearly 2 million train-km as at end-October.

Because we know safety and reliability are essential for travellers, he said,” My coworkers and I will continue to pay close attention to keeping the MKBF above the 1 million objective.” &nbsp,

He added that SMRT has established a task force to examine its systems, procedures, and repair procedures. &nbsp,

The National Transport Workers ‘ Union and the Land Transport Authority ( LTA ) have been invited to the workgroup. According to Mr. Chee, “mutual learning” will also be provided by the Guangzhou and Taipei subway users.

Continue Reading

Singtel landline outage: Backup system did not work as intended after ‘technical issue’

SINGAPORE: The hours-long Singtel landline outage last month was caused by a “technical issue” of a network component, &nbsp, Senior Minister of State for the Ministry of Digital Development and Information&nbsp, Janil Puthucheary said on Monday ( Nov 11 ), citing preliminary findings.

Additionally, a storage program failed to start as planned.

Speaking in parliament, Dr Janil said preliminary findings suggest that the complex issue affected the proper&nbsp, functioning of a community part in one of the two systems supporting Singtel’s fixed-line voice services.

The two systems, located in separate phone exchanges, are designed to quickly take over the entire weight of the other when a program malfunctions, he said.

” But, in this instance, the backup did not happen effortlessly, which caused the continuous support disruption”, he explained.

The Singtel telephone interruption on Oct 8 disrupted calling to emergency service, care organizations, as well as customer service ranges for some federal agencies, banks and businesses.

Members of Parliament had raised a number of questions regarding the situation, including what might have caused the disturbance, how it might have been avoided in the future, and whether Singtel may face legal action.

The Infocomm Media Development Authority ( IMDA ) is conducting its investigations, adding that there is no conclusive evidence linking the incident to a sabotage or cyberattack.

” Our nation’s connectivity needs and demands are supported by Singapore’s communications system, which is a crucial system.” IMDA holds important service companies, like Singtel, to great service requirements and requires them to perform regular audits on their system and infrastructure”, he said.

” This includes ensuring the security of network architecture, reliability methods, and business continuity plans. Additionally, service companies must make sure their sites are adaptable to disruptions. If any errors are discovered under the Telecommunications Act, IMDA will not be reluctant to take severe behavior, including imposing financial penalties.

Continue Reading

Parliament to discuss Singtel landline outage, oil spills and telemedicine standards

At the following meeting on Monday ( Nov 11 ), members of Parliament will discuss the recent oil spill incidents as well as the last month’s <a href=”https://www.channelnewsasia.com/singapore/singtel-landline-down-phone-service-outage-disruption-kkh-dbs-uob-banks-businesses-4665266″>Singtel landline outage.

In the midst of a probe into the company MaNaDr Clinic and the new study to determine whether 38 Oxley Road&nbsp, is worthy of preservation, concerns were also raised regarding healthcare providers.

Members were questioned about what might have caused the Oct 8 phone disturbance, how such an incident could have been avoided in the future, and whether any legal action will be taken against Singtel in the order report released on Friday.

The hours-long phone interruption, which the company called an “isolated incident”, disrupted calling to emergency services, medical institutions, banks and businesses.

MP Tan Wu Meng ( PAP-Jurong ) questioned the Ministry of Digital Development and Information about the root causes of the disruption and whether current business continuity standards are sufficient in situations where a telco provides essential hotlines support.

In the event of a company loss, Dr. Tan even inquired with the Ministry of Home Affairs about the back plans for crucial phone alerts like 995 and 999.

NCMP Hazel Poa ( PSP) asked for the estimated number of calls to 995 and 999 that were impacted by the failure, and what punishments, if any, have been imposed on Singtel.

Concerning the lessons learned from the disruption, MP Yip Hon Weng ( PAP-Yio Chu Kang ) inquired whether an independent investigation will be conducted to identify vulnerabilities and stop future incidents.

According to MP Lim Wee Kiak ( PAP-Sembawang ), the Ministry of Health was asked how many patients experienced delays in getting medical care because of the outage, how many patients experienced negative outcomes as a result, and what assistance has been given to them.

OIL Pours

Members also filed concerns about past week’s oil spills, which included an affair off Changi during bunkering operations&nbsp, and a Shell petrol pipeline hole.

Given Singapore’s status as a global bunkering hub, Ms. Cheryl Chan ( PAP-East Coast ) questioned the Ministry of Transport about the need for a review of oil sighting and alert mechanisms and how the costs and workload incurred by the agencies involved would be handled.

MP Poh Li San ( PAP-Sembawang ) asked about the impact of the spills on Singapore’s seawater quality and marine ecosystem, and the mitigation measures for future incidents.

The state will be checking the structural integrity of all oil pipelines in Singapore’s lakes, according to NCMP Hazel Poa ( PSP), and Shell may face penalties.

TELEMEDICINE STANDARDS

Additionally, inquiries were made regarding the legal framework for healthcare providers.

MP Wan Rizal ( PAP-Jalan Besar ) questioned the Ministry of Health ( MOH) about the measures in place to ensure telehealth providers consistently adhere to patient care standards, as well as whether additional regulatory frameworks will be developed.

MP Hany Soh ( PAP-Marsiling-Yew Yee ) &nbsp, asked how the public would be assured that teleconsultation services meet the appropriate standards, and whether MOH has received feedback on potentially errant medical clinics.

OXLEY Highway

The Oxley Road site has been studied by the National Heritage Board ( NHB) to determine whether it merits to be preserved as a national monument.

NCMP&nbsp, Leong Mun Wai ( PSP) asked the Ministry of Culture, Community and Youth why another study was needed considering that the Ministerial Committee on 38 Oxley Road had assessed in 2018 that the property had architectural, heritage and historical significance.

MP Louis Chua ( WP-Sengkang ) requested information on the terms of reference for the NHB study and how the current study is different from the Ministerial Committee’s 38 Oxley Road terms of reference.

Six Payments are set to become introduced, including the Protection from Scams Bill.

Seven other Bills are also scheduled for second reading, among them the Community Disputes Resolution ( Amendment ) Bill.

Continue Reading

Trump 2.0 with fewer, if any, checks and balances – Asia Times

We then know that the elections once underestimated Donald Trump’s help, just like they did in 2016 and 2020, and not in the same way. However, we must also accept the reality that British voters have chosen to appoint a man who tried to rig the results of the election four years ago with violence and who will provide the White House on January 20th, 2019 with less restrictions than he did in 2017.

Beyond his own greater knowledge and preparation, the president’s ability to avoid prosecution for anything he does in his official ability is what makes the Supreme Court now have a clear conservative majority compared to his predecessors’, which court recently ruled.

We can be certain that Trump will attempt to pre-empt for a concept through his own actions, but that opportunity of that standard capacity has yet to be determined by any courtroom, as it needs to be. The primary way that he will accomplish this is by appointing hardliners to the Department of Justice. Trump often expressed his frustration when his attorneys general told him that what he wanted to do was against the law during his first term. Using his national resistance, he did now feel emboldened to reject any such pleasantries.

Trump has always been a malevolent person, so it can be expected that he seeks retribution against both his political and legal foes, including those who have tried to sue him and maybe even President Joe Biden himself. However, the resistance defense also applies to something Biden has done in his own official capacity.

Some of his critics, including Republican critics such as previous congresswoman Liz Cheney, will now be preparing for a legitimate assault. Thousands of his followers, including those who were prosecuted for the rape on Capitol Hill on January 6, &nbsp, 2021, may soon expect to receive national pardons, giving an official confirmation of acts previously considered legal and anti-democratic.

There will still be some restrictions on the recently elected Trump. He took office in 2017, and his Republican Party now holds power of both the House of Representatives and the Senate. Republicans now have taken control of the Senate. The Democrats properly control the House of Representatives, but it seems unlikely that they will as of today, November 7th, that is.

If the Democrats do eventually gain power, it will at least give them some means by which to manage his wasting and tax policies, since the Congress has the authority to exercise those rights. &nbsp, If they do n’t, then during the two years until the 2026 mid-term elections, the Republicans will have a pretty free hand, constrained only by reality and the financial markets.

Despite this congressional inquiry, it is almost certain that he will proceed quickly with a policy that will hurt both Japan and Europe, specifically his proposal to impose a 10 % or 20 % tariff on all imports into the United States. Without the need for Parliamentary approval, a leader can do this under a number of emergency powers. The current US average transfer tax is just 2 %, so this will be a huge boost, one that the European Commission &nbsp, and the Japanese government, among others, will likely react against.

Trump has long been a fan of tariffs. In this campaign, he made the decision to emphasize how much he loves them, both as a way to punish nations that have surpluses in their trade with the United States and as a means of raising money. The European Union and Japan are included in that group.

Some Optimists think that Elon Musk and Stephen Schwarzman, two of the large Blackstone investment firm, will be the few billionaire businessmen who supported Trump in this international economic policy. Although that influence cannot be relied upon, for now that he has won the election, he no longer really needs those billionaires ‘ backing. And he is providing them with tax breaks and deregulation, which they may believe will reduce any harm to their global businesses as a result of the tariff policy.

How much less clear is the impact of Trump’s new freedoms on his foreign policy. A significant period of disruption can be anticipated if he fulfills his pledge to purge what he perceives to be the “deep state” of the intelligence services, the military, and the State Department, since such purges and restaffing will take a long time. For that reason, he might not do everything he has threatened.

President Volodymr Zelensky of Ukraine, who has undergone the most suffering since Russia’s brutal invasion in 2022, is undoubtedly the one who will have most devastated the election news. He deserves our full sympathy for everything he and his country have endured.

Zelensky is incredibly resilient, as he has demonstrated. He will be thinking that he still has a chance to sway Trump to withdraw support, but that he most importantly needs to persuade European governments to do the same. They will have to do exactly that if they really want to defend their own security and preserve NATO.

The collapse of the coalition government in Germany may have encouraged Zelensky, but the one piece of news on November 6 may have been heartening. He will no longer have to wait until September 2025 for a new government to be elected in Europe’s most powerful nation.

Friedrich Merz, the leader of the Christian Democratic Union, who is currently leading in polls, is likely to win the German election, but how kind of coalition he will form remains to be seen. He has shown much greater courage and determination to fight for Ukraine’s and Europe’s security. In Thursday’s papers an election date in March is forecast, but it could happen sooner than that.

Formerly editor-in-chief of The Economist, &nbsp, Bill Emmott&nbsp, is currently chairman of the&nbsp, Japan Society of the UK, the&nbsp, International Institute for Strategic Studies&nbsp, and the&nbsp, International Trade Institute.

La Stampa published an early version of this article in Italian. The Substack Bill Emmott’s Global View then published this updated English version. Asia Times is republishing it with permission.

Continue Reading