Trump’s BRICS ultimatum won’t deter de-dollarization – Asia Times

The US President-elect is undoubtedly concerned about what the BRICS countries might have in business for the US dollar as Donald Trump prepares for a second term in the White House.

And, not surprisingly, Trump is threatening big-time fines for any hint of de-dollarization among Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa and the grouping’s novel people, including Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates.

Trump recently posted to his Truth Social system, saying that the notion that the BRICS countries are trying to walk away from the money while we watch and watch is over.

We demand a commitment from these nations that they won’t create a new BRICS money, nor will they support any other money to replace the powerful US money, or that they will be subject to 100 % tariffs, and that they should anticipate saying goodbye to selling into the wonderful US market.

Never simply a delightful bed from the Trump 2.0 group. Trump’s affected tariffs on the BRICS may only serve as fuel for the” International South” to look for or develop a buck alternative.

According to Michael Wan, senior currency analyst at MUFG Research, it’s unclear how 100 % tariffs on a group of nations that make up 37 % of global GDP would actually occur.

Additionally, it’s unclear how the BRICS’ sky-high taxes would benefit the world’s largest economy. But as Deutsche Bank argues, Trump’s preoccupation with a powerful money appears greater than ever.

” This seems to further show that money strength is an concern for the new leadership, unlike Trump 1.0″, when the US took a less ambitious approach, Deutsche researchers wrote.

Development countries have plenty of reason to be concerned about the dollars with US government debt exceeding US$ 36 trillion and Trump countering enormous budget-busting tax cuts. Washington, after all, only has one AAA record score left — from Moody’s Investors Service.

Morgan Stanley, for one, is advising that it might be time to sell the dollars. According to scientist David Adams,” a lot of the great news for the USD” has already been priced, with the majority of them having “largely internalized the US outperformance storyline” based on Trump’s pledges to impose their tax and trade policies. Businesses, though, may become “overestimating the rate, depth and scale” of those swings.

” We sense investment attitude on the whole is very productive on the franc, suggesting asymmetrical risks for a’ problems trade,’ in the months ahead”, Adams noted.

Trump World has made it clear the US Federal Reserve’s democracy, a key component in global confidence in the greenback, is also on the board come January. The” Project 2025″ system that his Democratic party cooked up for Trump 2.0 includes treatments for curbing the Fed’s much-vaunted freedom.

The Fed almost escaped Trump 1.0 unhurt. Trump placed the pressure on his hand-picked Fed Chairman Jerome Powell first and frequently during his first term in office, which spanned from 2017 to 2021.

Trump attacked the Powell-led Fed in statements, press events and on social media. Trump also mulled firing Powell. The Fed started adding liquidity to an business that didn’t have any additional assistance in the same year.

In October, Trump mocked Powell’s policy staff over. ” I think it’s the greatest job in government”, Trump told Bloomberg. Everyone talks about you like a god when you say, “let’s say turn a gold,” and you show up to the office once a month.

But&nbsp, Trump&nbsp, even defends the right of the leader to persuade the Fed into lowering costs. In August, Trump said,” the Federal Reserve&nbsp, is a very fascinating thing and it’s sort of gotten it wrong a bunch”.

Trump added,” I feel the leader should have at least stayed there, yeah. I feel that clearly. I think that, in my situation, I made a lot of money. I was extremely prosperous. And I believe I have a better impulse than those who, in many cases, may become chairman of the Federal Reserve.

For Asian officials and politicians, it’s a truly personalized abuse on the Fed’s position. The largest US Treasury supplies ever held by Eastern central bankers are held by the world’s largest central banks. Japan only holds$ 1.1 trillion&nbsp, of US loan, China$ 770-plus billion.

More broadly, Asia’s largest holders of dollars are sitting on about$ 3 trillion worth. It all implies that a Trump 2.0 administration would put a lot of Asian state success in danger.

Actually so, Trump is trying to wrench up tariff-induced problems for any country — or economic bloc — brave to champion a penny alternative.

The coming Treasury Department, however, was apply currency manipulation charges, trade controls or levies on trade beyond anything Trump has previously suggested or announced.

Trump appears to be prepared to punish allies who look to conduct bilateral trade in currencies other than the dollar, as well as adversaries. In March, Trump told CNBC that he “would not allow countries to go off the dollar”, as it would be” a hit to our country”.

Yet de-dollarization has moved to the center of the BRICS agenda, particularly since the grouping’s 2023 summit. Both Trump’s and US President Joe Biden’s fingerprints are present in this backlash.

Trump’s meddling with the Fed, hints at defaulting on US debt, and fiscal excesses affected dollar perceptions significantly. When Fitch Ratings revoked Washington’s AAA status, it&nbsp, cited the Capitol Hill chaos on&nbsp, January&nbsp, 6, 2021, as a “reflection of the deterioration in governance” imperiling US finances.

Biden-led efforts to impose economic sanctions on Russia, including accusations of “weaponizing” the dollar, exacerbated the problem.

” The United States ‘ ability to hobble Russia to this extent, without firing a shot, highlights the sovereignty of the United States and the dollar in the global economy”, argues George Pearkes, an analyst at the Atlantic Council’s GeoEconomics Center.

” In this case”, Pearkes noted,” sovereignty is the degree to which a currency issuer can dictate the use of that currency”. But, he added,” by using the power of dollar sovereignty, dollar sovereignty risks endangering the reserve status, which allows it to be weaponized”.

To be sure, Pearkes noted that “aggressive use of dollar weaponization has been signaled repeatedly by US policymakers to achieve US goals in the current Ukraine dispute.”

Although this would have a significant impact on Russia, he noted that “negative feedback on dollar sovereignty will be measured in decades rather than years— and will unavoidably come.”

According to Pearkes,” the ability to restrict access to financial markets is significantly more powerful than it has historically been.” What’s more, he noted,” the weaponized dollar” was “already a fact of life in global affairs” before Russia invaded Ukraine.

Pearkes noted that” the governments of Cuba, Iran, North Korea and Venezuela can all attest to that fact, as can their civilian populations. In all four countries, dollar sovereignty has been weaponized in a contemporary context”.

Trump is, however, steadfast in his desire to avoid the risk that the Global South might lose the dollar. &nbsp,

There is no way the BRICS will ever replace the US dollar in global trade, and any nation trying should wave goodbye to America, Trump said via social media.

Trump has recently shook markets with plans to impose 25 % tariffs on Canada and Mexico as well as additional levies on China up and above the 60 % he has already threatened.

Curiously, Trump said he’s had contact with Chinese leader Xi Jinping in recent days. Over the weekend, Trump told NBC that “we’ve had communication”.

At the Group of 20 summit in Japan in June 2019, Trump and Xi had their final in-person meeting. Trump stated to NBC,” I had an agreement with President Xi, who I got along with very well.

Still, Trump World is clearly steeling for a Trade War 2.0 with Xi’s Communist Party. Last week, Trump buttressed his” Tariff Man” street cred by naming uber-China hawk Peter Navarro as his top trade adviser. Navarro, &nbsp, who in 2011 co-authored a book titled” Death by China”, rarely misses a chance to accuse Xi’s party of “robbing us blind”.

Trump also appointed aggressive China critic Marco Rubio as secretary of state, and padded his next trade negotiations team with extremists like Jamieson Greer and Robert Lighthizer.

Trump 2.0’s supporters contend that tariffs are merely a tactic used to bring Xi’s party to consensus. Yet Xi’s inner circle seems unsure of Trump’s sincerity concerning a new “grand bargain” trade deal.

Case in point: Beijing’s move to limit the sales of key components used to build drones to the US and Europe. While bad news for Ukraine’s defense against Russia, it also serves as a sign of upcoming broader export restrictions.

China also opened an investigation into US chipmaker Nvidia this week following concerns that the business might have violated its anti-monopoly laws. This is also being interpreted as a sign of targeted Chinese trade war retaliation measures. Nvidia is at the center of Nvidia’s efforts to rule the artificial intelligence market.

Earlier this year, the BRICS added Egypt, Ethiopia, Iran, Saudi Arabia and the UAE to its ranks.

Mariel Ferragamo, a member of the Council on Foreign Relations, said,” The addition of Egypt and Ethiopia will amplify voices from the African continent.” Egypt also shared close political ties with Russia and close business ties with China and India. As a new BRICS member, Egypt seeks to&nbsp, attract more investment&nbsp, and improve its battered economy”.

According to Ferragamo,” the addition of Saudi Arabia and the UAE would bring in the Arab world’s two biggest economies, as well as the second and eighth top oil producers globally.”

Yet the most powerful connector among BRICS members, old and new, is stepping out of Washington’s financial orbit. As such,” we think the bloc&nbsp, has &nbsp, the most potential to forward its de-dollarization agenda in&nbsp, FX reserves and fuel trade”, said Chris Turner, global markets head at ING Bank.

Turner noted that the BRICS bloc controls 42 % of global central bank currency reserves, likely contributing to the global de-dollarization process.

The BRICS is “gaining more and more visibility as a trade partner for other emerging markets, particularly in the fuel trade,” adding that it is “gaining more and more ground in regional trade.” BRICS accounts for 37 % of the EM fuel trade, a key area of interest for de-dollarization”, he said.

The BRICS , Turner noted, “is actively de-dollarizing its financial flows from above-average levels, as seen through declining shares of US dollar in their cross-border bank claims, international debt securities, and broader external debt”.

The BRICS , according to Turner, “has a much smaller global presence in those areas that limits the impact of its regional de-dollarization on the global role of the US dollar.”

Even so, the BRICS are causing the dollar to pivot, despite Trump’s efforts to stifle the process. Perhaps the better course of action would be to improve the US financial system.

But that seems unlikely as Trump eyes additional multi-trillion-dollar tax cuts sure to push America’s national debt toward an eye-watering$ 40 trillion over the next four years.

Trump may also be using the reserve currency to defy de-dollarization advocates. With the BRICS cast playing the role of a spoiler, the dollar will likely be a major battleline in the Trump 2.0 era.

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Adani Group: Will bribery charges hinder India’s renewable energy goals?

Reuters Indian billionaire Gautam Adani attends the 51st Gems and Jewellery Awards in Jaipur, India, November 30, 2024. REUTERS/StringerReuters

Business leaders have told the BBC that corruption allegations made by a US judge against the Adani Group are unlikely to significantly alter India’s commitment to fresh energy.

Delhi, which is essential to global efforts to combat climate change, has committed to getting half of its energy needs or 500 gigawatts ( GW ) of electricity from renewable sources by 2032.

The Adani Group is expected to make a twelfth of that contribution.

The legal troubles in the US could temporarily delay the group’s expansion plans but will not affect the government’s overall targets, analysts say.

Over the past ten years, India has made significant progress in building a clean energy facilities.

The nation is growing at the “fastest level among key economy” in adding solar potential, according to the International Energy Agency.

Installed fresh strength power has grown five-fold, with some 45 % of the region’s power-generation capacity- of almost 200GW- coming from non-fossil fuel sources.

Charges against the Adani Group- essential to India’s fresh energy ambitions- are “like a passing black cloud”, and will not adequately impact this momentum, a previous CEO of a rival firm said, wanting to remain anonymous.

Getty Images A maintenance worker inspects solar panels at a solar power plant operated by Ayana Renewable Power Pvt. in Tuticorin, India, on Wednesday, March 20, 2024. Getty Images

Gautam Adani has vowed to invest $100bn (£78.3bn) in India’s energy transition. Its green energy arm is the country’s largest renewable energy company, producing nearly 11GW of clean energy through a diverse portfolio of wind and solar projects.

Adani has a goal to scale that to 50GW BY 2030, which will make up roughly 10 % of the region’s unique installed power.

Over half of that, or 30GW, may be produced at Khavda, in the northern Indian state of Gujarat. It is billed as the largest fresh power plant in the world, five times the size of Paris, and the crown jewel of Adani’s solar initiative.

However, US prosecutors are now focusing on Khavda and Adani’s other renewable energy amenities, alleging that they obtained bribes from American officials after winning contracts to supply power to express submission companies from these facilities. The organization has refuted this assertion.

However, the consequences are now discernible at the organization level.

Adani Green Energy immediately canceled a$ 600 million bond offering in the US when the indictment was made public.

France’s TotalEnergies, which owns 20 % of Adani Green Energy and has a joint endeavor to develop various solar projects with the company, said it will end new capital infusion into the business.

Significant credit ratings agencies- Moody’s, Fitch and S&amp, P- have since changed their view on Adani team companies, including Adani Green Energy, to bad. This may affect the company’s ability to raise money and increase the cost of doing so.

As global loans become resentful of the group’s increased exposure, researchers have also raised fears about Adani Green Energy’s ability to refinance its debts.

International lenders like Jeffries and Barclays are now said to be reviewing their ties to Adani despite the group’s dependence on foreign banks and local friendship issues for long-term bill increasing from little 14 % in the 2016 fiscal year to nearly 60 % as of this writing, according to a Bernstein note.

Nomura, a Japanese brokerage, claims that new financing should “gradually resume in the long term” despite the possibility that it might dry up in the short term. Meanwhile, Japanese banks like MUFG, SMBC, Mizuho are likely to continue their relationship with the group.

The “reputational and sentimental impact” will fade away in a few months, as Adani is building” solid, strategic assets and creating long-term value”, the unnamed CEO said.

Getty Images This aerial photograph taken on October 15, 2024 shows solar panels installed at the Adani Green Renewable Energy Plant in Khavda, in India's Gujarat state. Getty Images

The Adani Group’s spokesperson told the BBC that it was” confident of delivering 50 GW of renewable energy capacity and committed to its 2030 goals.”

Adani stocks have rebounded significantly from their lowest levels since the US court’s indictment.

Some analysts told the BBC that Adani’s competitors might benefit from a potential slowdown in funding.

While Adani’s financial influence has allowed it to rapidly expand in the sector, its competitors such as Tata Power, Goldman Sachs-backed ReNew Power, Greenko and state-run NTPC Ltd are also significantly ramping up manufacturing and generation capacity.

” It’s not that Adani is a green energy champion. Being the biggest private developer of coal plants in the world, it is a big player that has walked both sides of the street,” said Tim Buckley, director at Climate Energy Finance.

A large entity, “perceived to be corrupt” possibly slowing its expansion, could mean “more money will start flowing into other green energy companies”, he said.

According to Vibhuti Garg, director of South Asia at the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis ( IEEFA ), market fundamentals also continue to be strong, with India’s demand outpacing supply, which is likely to maintain the appetite for large investments.

What could in fact slow the pace of India’s clean energy ambitions is its own bureaucracy.

” Companies we track are very upbeat. Finance isn’t a problem for them. If anything, it is state-level regulations that act as a kind of deterrent”, says Ms Garg.

Getty Images Wind turbines at the ReGen Powertech Pvt. farm in Dewas, Madhya Pradesh, India, on Friday, Sept. 9, 2022. Getty Images

Most state-run power distribution companies continue to face financial constraints, opting for cheaper fossil fuels, while dragging their feet on signing purchase agreements.

According to Reuters, the controversial tender won by Adani was the first major contract issued by state-run Solar Energy Corp of India (SECI) without a guaranteed purchase agreement from distributors.

According to SEC I’s chairman, there are 30GW of operational green energy projects on the market without buyers.

According to experts, the 8GW solar contract at the heart of Adani’s US indictment also reveals the tense tendering process, which required solar power generation companies to produce modules, which limited the number of bidders and increased power costs.

According to Ms. Garg, the court’s indictment will undoubtedly cause the bidding and tendering rules to tighten.

According to Mr. Buckley, a cleaner tendering process that lowers risks for both developers and investors will be crucial going forward.

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HSBC confirms Asia, Middle East leadership under new structure | FinanceAsia

HSBC has confirmed a number of top positions in Asia and the Middle East as a result of its global restructuring to four running products. &nbsp,

Luanne Lim and Diana Cesar will continue to lead HSBC Hong Kong and Hang Seng Bank, according to the London-based bank’s chief executive officer ( CEO ), Georges Elhedery. Maggie Ng, mind of wealth and personal finance, Hong Kong, and Frank Fang, mind of commercial finance, Hong Kong and Macau, did report directly to Lim covering financial &amp, money submission and the commercial banking businesses both. The Hang Seng Bank business leaders did report immediately to Cesar.

In a December 5 news, the banks also confirmed that Selim Kervanci, who is now chief executive of Turkey, may become CEO of the Middle East from January 1, 2025, pending regulatory acceptance. Stephn Moss, HSBC’s mind of Middle East, North Africa and Turkey, is leaving the business at the end of the time.

Mohammed Marzouqi will continue as CEO of the United Arab Emirates, Kee Joo Wong may be as CEO of India, Mark Wang may be as CEO of mainland China, and Hitendra Dave may be as CEO of the United Arab Emirates.

Co-chief professionals Surendra Rosha and David Liao, who oversee HSBC’s Asia and Middle East businesses, are in charge of the company’s Middle East and Asia Pacific operations. In his power as Asia and Middle East’s key business agent, Phillip Fellowes will continue to support Liao and Rosha with a focus on the Hong Kong company.

For the bank’s new arm, Corporate and Institutional Banking ( CIB ), Jo Miyake, interim CEO and chief commercial officer, HSBC Global Commercial Bamking, has been named head of banking, Asia and Middle East, overseeing client relationships and driving collaboration across regions and businesses. She may start in January.

Sir Danny Alexander will be based in London as the company’s CEO of equipment financing and conservation. &nbsp,

Even in Asia, Kai Zhang has been appointed&nbsp, as head of global success and top banks, Asia. Zhang is currently the head of South and Southeast Asia’s wealth and personal banking ( WPB).

Annabel Spring CEO, world private banks and riches, is leaving the bank at the end of the year to “pursue another possibilities”, while Nicola Moreau will remain as CEO, property management, and Ed Mocreiffe as CEO, plan. &nbsp,

For the complete list of changes at the London-headquartered banks made in the news, see below.

Click here for more FinanceAsia people movements. &nbsp,

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Delhi AQI: Why there’s no song and dance around India’s killer air

Screengrab from Pink's truck Amitabh Bachchan seen wearing a mask as he stands in a park behind metal grillsScreengrab from Pink’s truck

In the 2016 Bollywood hit Pink, a field introducing Amitabh Bachchan’s personality shows the artist emerging from his house on a spring morning into Delhi’s smog-filled roads, wearing a helmet.

Other scenes of the movie have the helmet and Delhi’s hazy air, but they have little to do with the plot.

Yet, it is one of the rare examples of mainstream Indian films taking notice of the deadly air that makes many parts of India dangerous to live in every year.

The toxic air pollution and recurrent winter smog in Indian capital Delhi and other parts of northern India frequently makes headlines, becoming a matter of public concern, political debate and legal censure. But unlike disasters such as the devastating floods in Uttarakhand in 2013, Kerala in 2018 and Mumbai city in 2005 – each of which have inspired films – air pollution is largely missing from Indian pop culture.

Siddharth Singh, author of The Great Smog of India, a book on pollution, says that it is a “big loss” that air pollution is not a prevalent tale in India’s books and film.

He points out that the majority of writing on waste in India is still written in the field of education and medical expertise.

” When you say PM2.5 or NOx or SO2 ( all pollutants ), what are these words? They mean nothing to]ordinary ] people”.

In his 2016 text, The Great Derangement, artist Amitav Ghosh, who has written extensively about climate change, observed that such tales were missing from modern literature.

“People are weirdly normal about climate change,” he said in a 2022 interview.

The author described being in India during a heat wave.

The most disconcerting thing he said was the sensation that everything seemed to be standard. It seems as though we have now learned to adapt to these changes.

Ghosh described culture shift as” a slow crime,” which made it challenging to write about.

That is undoubtedly true of pollution; it can have long-lasting negative effects on people’s health, but it is not suitable for serious visuals.

Saumya Khandelwal Two people treat a wounded bird. One of them, a man in a checquered grey shirt and a green apron, is seen holding the bird with gloved hands as it lays on a steel surface with medical equipment around it. A third man stand next to him pressing a finger into the bird.Saumya Khandelwal

The subject has, however, been explored in documentaries like Shaunak Sen’s All That Breathes, which was nominated for the Oscars in 2022.

Through the story of two sons who treated wounded black kite that fell from the state’s smoke-filled stars, Sen explored climate change, pollution, and the connected character of human-animal connections in Delhi’s ecosystem in the movie.

Sen claims he was interested in learning about climate change and” anything as big as the Anthropocene,” a term used to describe the current state of humankind’s profound influence on the life and real world.

The two boys are seen in a scene in the movie argue. Then, one of them turns to the sky and says,” Yeh sab jo hamare beech mein ho beloved hai, ye is sab ki galti hai ( What’s happening between us is the problem of all of this )” and then points to themselves.

“]The effects of climate change ] basically pervade through every aspect of our life”, Sen says. ” And the task of picture, be it film or poetry, is to provide it that kind of resilience in its representation”.

Economic films that are pretentious, restrictive, or keep audiences by the neck to make them feel poor do more disservice than great, he says.

The best movies, in my opinion, are those that are Trojan horses that can infect thoughts without the viewer realizing it.

Filmmaker Nila Madhab Panda, whose work on climate change and setting spans more than 70 pictures, believes arts can make a change.

Panda, who began telling tales on climate change in 2005 with his film Climate’s First Orphan, turned to more mainstream film for the information to achieve wider people.

Nila Madhab Panda A still from the film showing a woman wearing a blue kurta standing with her lawyer in a courtroom. To her right, her husband stands wearing an orange shirt and crossbody bag, with his lawyer standing next to them. A thin layer of polluted air hangs in the roomNila Madhab Panda

The director moved to Delhi in 1995 after growing up in the Kalahandi Balangir Koraput area of the eastern state of Odisha, which was sensitive to droughts and floods.

” It amazed me that I was living in a world where I could see four months and immediately guzzle water from the river. Normal wealth is complimentary to us- atmosphere, water, fire, everything. And I come to Delhi where you buy anything. I buy ocean, I buy atmosphere. Every place has an atmosphere filter”.

In 2019, Panda made a short film for an anthology in which he explored the theme of Delhi’s pollution through a courtroom drama about a couple getting a divorce because they couldn’t agree on whether to continue living in the capital.

” You can’t just make anything which is not entertaining and show]it ]”, Panda says.

Additionally, authors face the difficulty of humanizing challenging stories.

Singh, whose 2018 guide looked at India’s air pollution problems, says he struggled to find the individuals behind the data while writing it.

” We often read the news stories about a million or two million people per year passing away from waste,” the source said. But where are these folks? Where are their reports”?

Getty Images A woman covers her face as she walks past school boys on a cold smoggy morning in the old quarters of New Delhi in November 2024Getty Images

While Nilanjana S Roy’s crime fiction Black River frequently includes environmental themes, many modern English artists, including Ghosh, have also highlighted the subject. Delhi’s Bhalswa rubbish dump functions. In Gigi Ganguly’s Biopeculiar and Janice Pariat’s Everything the Light Touches, the writers explore our relationship with the natural environment.

But there is still a long way to go.

According to Singh, one of the causes of the relative lack of these stories may be that the authors are “insulated” because of their privilege.

” They are not the people who are by the bank of the]polluted ] Yamuna river, who see the poem in it or write about the stories along its banks”.

He claims that memes and photos on social media these days have been the most effective at capturing the gravity of air pollution.

Sheikh Hasina, the exiled Bangladesh PM who is now in Delhi, was mentioned in a meme that was popular a few days ago. However, the accompanying photo was completely gray because the joke was that the air pollution prevented people from seeing her.

The writer hopes that those who can actually make a difference will eventually find the momentum to” trigger a response.”

” I think that’s what we lack at the moment”, he says.

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Deadline for banks to cease processing corporate cheques extended to end-2026

NEW ELECTONIC DEFFERED PAYMENT METHODS

ABS, together with the seven Domestic Systemically Important Banks (D-SIBs ), will launch two new e-payment methods, EDP and EDP , in mid-2025.

The D-SIBs are Citibank, DBS Bank, HSBC, Maybank, OCBC Singapore, Standard Chartered Bank and UOB.

EDP and EDP are meant to&nbsp, “address the usage scenarios of post-dated bills and purchases requiring greater clarity of settlement respectively”, said MAS and ABS.

They added that when money are taken out of the payor account, the main distinction between EDP and EDP is found. For EDP, resources are deducted upon issuance by the recipient, while for EDP , resources are deducted immediately upon release.

Both will benefit from Pay Now, which will be accessible via online banking systems, and enable payers to track payees when making payments.

Both forms will also be appropriate for six months from the powerful date, equivalent to cheques and pharmacist’s orders, which are cheques issued by banks themselves.

The two e-payment methods will provide superior features, including online notifications to both payer and payee at the different transaction stages- issuance, presentment, expiration and cancellation.

DISTINCTING FROM CHEQUE USAGE

In November 2022, MAS released a discussion report that suggested a plan to eliminate the use of checks in Singapore.

In Singapore, there is a decrease in the use of checks by both businesses and individuals, resulting in e-payment options.

According to MAS and ABS, annual cheque transaction level has decreased by about 80 % from 61 million in 2016 to less than 14 million in 2023.

The share of Singdollar-denominated cheque transaction volume as a proportion of payments using Fast and Secure Transfers ( “FAST” ), Inter-bank GIRO&nbsp, and cheques has decreased from 32 per cent&nbsp, in 2016 to less than 4 per cent in&nbsp, 2023.

Additionally, cashier’s orders and USD paychecks will still be available, according to MAS and ABS, as well as for both business and retail customers.

Big retail businesses in Singapore may also remain to exempt seniors from paying request service fees.

By Jan. 17, 2025, Interested parties are asked to provide their opinions on a common consultation document outlining the transition plan from checks to e-payments.

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Ruble volatility exposes Russia’s emerging economic crisis – Asia Times

On November 28, the Russian ruble dropped to 113 against the US dollars, which is its lowest level since the start of the conflict in Ukraine.

The ruble has since risen a little to 105 on December 4, but it has fallen back to 105 in the last quarter, or about 8 %, against the dollar. This is not a one-off function, it is part of a developing issue that is affecting Russia’s market.

Since its army invaded Ukraine in February 2022, Russia’s money has experienced extreme volatility. The ruble’s original decline, which saw it lose one-third of its value by March compared to the start of the year, was the result of the nation’s exodus of capital following the enactment of Western sanctions.

The ruble’s worth decreased as a result of money flowing out of Russia, which made it more readily accessible on the foreign exchange market.

In answer, Russia’s central banks implemented strict capital-control steps to maintain its currency. The measures included requiring manufacturers to exchange 80 % of their international currency profits for francs and imposing a US$ 10,000 maximum for individual foreign currency withdrawals.

Russia had discovered a way to evade sanctions by exporting a lot of its oil and gas to nations like China and India by the middle of 2022, when electricity prices were rising.

The Russian benefited from robust export earnings, and the ruble’s price was briefly revived. The money controls deliberately increased the demand for the rubles, making it one of the year’s best-performing assets.

But, falling energy costs and tighter sanctions in 2023 caused a decline in Russia’s trade income. The G7 nations, the EU, and Australia placed a cover on the price of Russian crude, which resulted in a drop in foreign currency flows and a decline in the value of the rubles.

The November 2024 collapse is, at least in part, also the result of these factors. The main problems are the ongoing reduction in export earnings brought on by sanctions and the G7 oil price cover, as well as the looming end of the pipeline gas supply to Europe via Ukraine in 2025.

But new US restrictions, which came into effect on November 21, have worsened the position. Gazprombank, one of the few big Russian loans that had yet to be targeted, as well as 50 tiny- to medium-sized Russian businesses, 40 regional Russian clerks and some Russian central bank officials have all now been cut off from doing business with the US and its allies.

Customers of Russian oil and gas will once more have to find new ways to conduct company, as they did in 2022 due to this restriction. The business anticipates that these sanctions will lessen the flow of foreign money to Russia, leading to a decline in the rouble.

The Bank of Russia has taken an action by halting all private dollar payments through the end of the year. This will maintain the exchange level, albeit intentionally. However, trading may remain on the black business.

Signboard with the logo of Gazprombank against a blue sky.
The US has imposed sweeping sanctions on the Russian economic market, including on Gazprombank. Photo: FotograFFF / Shutterstock via The Talk

More instability away

Domestic and international funding will be stifled by a dangerous and weak franc, as investors prefer to trade in a robust and predictable currency.

The central bank will also be forced to use its reserves to support the franc because it encourages people to relocate their money out of the country, as it has since the start of the war. Russia’s current constraints are limited international money inflows and higher spending demands, creating a vicious cycle that will undermine its currency even more.

A poor franc even raises the cost of importing products or materials. If import-dependent businesses don’t pass the higher costs on to consumers, which is fairly simple in Russia, where there is little market competition, their profit margins may be slashed.

This drives prices for imported items like food, medical supplies, equipment and strength. Russia imported over$ 81 million price of energy in 2022, mostly from Lithuania, Kazakhstan, Latvia, Azerbaijan and Mongolia.

And it imports specific refined petroleum products, also. Russia’s annual inflation rate was estimated at 8.4 % in October, which is twice the goal of the central bank, and it is not anticipated to increase until the year’s end.

Russia’s leader, Vladimir Putin, and his economy minister, Maxim Reshetnikov, say there is no need for emergency measures to help the rubles. Reshetnikov has stated that the volatility of the ruble is brought on by the US dollar’s power globally, and that market concerns following the most recent sanctions should immediately settle.

However, failing to take a decisive course of action could lead to more depreciation, which will only increase investor confidence in the franc. According to experts, the main company’s current interest rate of 21 % is expected to rise in order to maintain the ruble and reduce inflation. However, raising the rates will definitely decrease the market.

There is a lot of things that concern Putin. Falling export earnings, prices and strained resources all weaken Russia’s macroeconomic stability. And it appears as though Western sanctions are now having a major impact on Russia’s ability to deal with its financial troubles.

The Putin’s regime’s administrators may say that a weaker franc will be more advantageous to them during the conflict. The Kremlin will have more local currency to help cover the government’s growing deficit if foreign currencies are converted to stronger ones from energy exports.

Despite this, Russia’s currency crises has exposed heavy issues in the economy. It has a poor economic sector, has limited economic expansion, and relies heavily on power exports.

Putin may have no choice but to conduct business with a few trading partners, including China and India, because sanctions will likewise isolate Russia more and entail its financial freedom.

Nasir Aminu is older teacher in economics and finance, Cardiff Metropolitan University

This content was republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original post.

Asia Times Editor’s note: Franc charges were updated for latest available information.

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South Korea martial law: The six hours that shook the country

When the pictures on television suddenly changed and 19-year-old Chang was watching the demonstrations in Georgia on Tuesday night’s information when Yoon Suk Yeol, South Korea’s leader, declared martial law, immediately the limelight was on his nation.

” I don’t believe what I was seeing”, said the 19-year-old pupil, who wished to be identified solely by his title.

By Wednesday afternoon, he was one of the activists standing before the National Assembly who was still stunned by what had transpired the night before.

Hwang remarked,” It’s essential for me to be here to show that what Yoon tried to do was not done.”

After legislators scrambled to prevent it, Yoon was forced to walk back in less than six hours after making his surprise news.

But those were turbulent days, sparking demonstrations, fear and uncertainty in the country that had elected him.

The news

On Tuesday night, at 23: 00 local time ( 14: 00 GMT ) President Yoon, seated in front of blue creaseless curtains, made an unexpected address to the nation.

He claimed that he would enact military rules to shield the nation from “anti-state” militias that sympathized with North Korea. The tumultuous chief is impassed over a budget bill, which has been plagued by bribery scandals and inquiries into his cabinet members.

What followed was a day of snooze for Seoul.

Shortly after Yoon’s statement, authorities lined the light copper gates outside the National Assembly tower in the center of Seoul, the tower that the government’s tourism authorities have framed as” the sign of Asian democracy”.

The military finally declared that all political business was prohibited under martial law. However, neither that nor the extensive protection presence prevented thousands from gathered in worry and rage in front of the assembly.

It is easy to overlook that authoritarianism only came into existence in 1987 under military rule, making South Korea, a lively democracy, have its final resemblance to authoritarianism in the not-too-distant past. The final martial law was in place in 1979.

Juye Hong, a pupil at Seoul’s BBC World Service’s OS program, described this as” a walk I never anticipated in the 21st century in South Korea.”

Getty Images Protesters outside the National Assembly buildingGetty Images

The rush

Shortly after Yoon’s impact statement, the opponent’s Democratic Party leader Lee Jae-myung, hosted a life supply urging people to arrange at the National Assembly and opposition it.

He also requested that his own lawmakers demonstrate their opposition to the order before the council.

Thousands of South Koreans responded.

As a lake of icy, black coats of winter pushed up against police wearing neon overcoats, chanting” no to military law” quickly, tensions grew.

And as military cars arrived, audiences resisted them. One lady sat obtrusively between the tyres of a car.

In stark comparison, there was a façade of civility across the rest of Seoul. However, confusion enveloped the town.

” The roadways look standard, people here are truly bewildered”, John Nilsson-Wright, an associate professor at the University of Cambridge, told BBC World Service from Seoul.

The officer he spoke to was” when bewildered as I am”, he added.

Reuters A woman lies on a road to block a vehicle transporting an army unitReuters

Some people had a hard day of sleep. ” At first I was excited at the thought of not going to college today”, 15-year-old Kwon Hoo told the BBC in Seoul on Wednesday. ” But therefore increasingly the sense of fear settled in, that kept me awake all night.”

A South Korean who did not want to be identified told BBC OS,” No words can express how frightened I am that things might turn out like North Korea for our people.”

However, expression was spreading that particular troops had been deployed to the council building. Before getting on the roof of the parliament, planes were audible above the air.

Investigators scurried away with their devices as they ran into the group outside the gates.

Journalists in Seoul kept in touch with one another and exchanged tips on how to stay healthy as worries grew about the government’s plans to restrain the press.

Ahn Gwi-ryeong, the 35-year-old director for the opposition Democratic Party found herself facing down men at guns. A picture of the time, where she is tugging at the chamber of a soldier’s shotgun, has since gone popular.

” I wasn’t thinking about something philosophical or moral, I was just like,’ We have to prevent this, if we don’t quit this, there’s nothing else,” she told the BBC.

” To be honest, I was a bit scared at first when I first saw the martial law forces. I thought,’ Is this something that may arise in 21st centuries Korea, especially in the National Assembly?”

” After quite a surprise next day, it was hard to get back to reality,” she added, recalling the preceding day”. I perceived that story was going to reverse itself.

Reuters A helicopter flies around the National Assembly hallReuters

The clock was ticking for opposition politicians as Ahn confronted the men, who rushed to the council to halt the purchase. When that happened, the leader would have to remove it.

But first, Members and their assistants had to get in. Some desperately clambered over fences and walls, while another shoved and screamed at military soldiers.

Lee Seong-yoon of the Democratic Party told the BBC that he had to climb a 1.5 meter ( 4. 9 ft ) high fence to enter the building, with the police blocking him despite having provided evidence that he was a lawmaker.

Hong Keewon, a different opposition MP, claimed activists had aided in hoisting him over the roof. When Yoon made the announcement, he was drowsy when he awoke his family and raced to parliament.

” Democracy is powerful around,” Hong said”. The defense wants to listen to us, to the law, and not to the chairman.”

Reuters Police officers block the entry to the National Assembly buildingReuters
Getty Images Barricade are seen at the National AssemblyGetty Images

The ballot

Only somewhat calmer than the people around, the lawmakers who made it into the tower huddled together. Hurriedly, they barricaded the doors with whatever they could get: cushioned seats, long tables, sofas.

Some attempted to entice men who had entered the assembly tower.

By 01: 00 regional time, National Assembly Speaker Woo Won-sik submitted a resolution requesting military rules to be lifted.

With that, less than two days after Yoon’s impact declaration, 190 politicians who gathered, including some from Yoon’s group, voted unanimously to prevent it.

EPA-EFE Lawmakers in parliament voting against Yoon's martial law orderEPA-EFE

Following the vote, opposition leader Lee stated to investigators that this was” a significant opportunity to break the vicious cycle and return to normal world.”

By 04: 30, Yoon was again on Television, in front of the same blue curtains, saying he would withdraw martial law. He claimed that this would only become official when enough members of his case may be assembled to pull the order.

The news was met with cheers outside the assembly. In the hours before dawn, more people emerged from the building, from behind the barricades they had haphazardly put together.

The stately structure already has the scars of the night when South Koreans defended their politics, with broken windows and cracked doors.

On Wednesday night, banks, local businesses, and schools all opened up as usual, and flights remained unaffected in South Korea’s buzzing money.

However, the political consequences and public outcry were not used.

As the sun rose on Wednesday, dozens gathered to visit for Yoon’s withdrawal. The leader is also facing prosecution trials.

” We are a powerful democracy… But Asian people want to be secure- President Yoon must resign or get impeached,” Yang Bu-nam, a Democratic Party legislator, told the BBC.

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Protecting people from themselves: Can a proposed law help bring down scam numbers in Singapore?

CAN THEY MAKE POOR CHOICES?

The walk, however, may be criticised for not allowing people to exercise individual responsibility, said prosecutor Mark Yeo, who was also on the radio.

On the other hand, it may protect the elder in specific, who may be ripped off of everything they have, he said.

The chairman at Fortress Law Corporation said that the majority of the money that is being taken out of them is life discounts, and once that happens, world has to pick up the pieces when they need cultural services assistance.

You feel the need to defend them a little bit from themselves because of the group aspect of it.

A 82-year-old man who was targeted by cybercriminals three days in less than two decades prevented losing S$ 3.7 million as a result of the action of the government and businesses in March of this year. &nbsp,

Despite its possible advantages, Mr. Yeo noted that it appears that the police force has all the authority to act in the suggested costs because appeals will also be handled by them.

” I’m not sure in practice how often ( the appeals process ) will be used, or whether it will be an effective check, given that it’s the police checking the officer’s own actions. So there is that issue”, he said. &nbsp,

He pointed out, however, that having a independent body to tackle appeals, like the judge, had compromise any continuing investigations by the authorities.

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South Korea’s opposition plans to impeach Yoon after martial law attempt

EPA Protesters hold placards and flags during a demonstration calling for the dismissal and impeachment of South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol outside the National Assembly in Seoul, South Korea, 04 December 2024EPA

The opposition politicians in South Korea have stated that they will begin the legal action to remove Yoon Suk Yeol from office soon after his failed attempt to enact martial law.

After a day of extraordinary scenes that saw Yoon quickly impose martial law, 190 legislators gathering to reject it, and eventually a sudden reverse of the decision, the nation woke up to an ambiguous reality on Wednesday.

The Democratic Party, South Korea’s key opposition group, announced on Wednesday that it wants to charge Yoon with” acts of revolution.”

Seoul’s institutions, banks, and government buildings were operating as usual, but rallies have continued throughout the city.

” Arrest Yoon Suk-yeol”, unhappy people chanted as they filled the streets.

The Democratic Party even named Defence Minister Kim Yong-hyun and Interior Minister Lee Sang-min, as “key individuals” of the military law charter, saying it even wanted them charged alongside Yoon.

” The]party ] condemns the unconstitutional and illegal emergency martial law of Yoon Seok Yeol’s regime as a crime of rebellion.

As the whole country is aware of the rebellion, I urge the analytical agencies to launch an investigation and prosecute the perpetrators,’ the party’s official Seung Rae-cho told reporters.

Reuters South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol delivers a speech to declare martial law in Seoul, South Korea, December 3, 2024.Reuters

The statement on Wednesday comes after unexpected events immediately, in which opposition lawmakers walk fences and break barricades to enter the voting chamber.

After Yoon declared martial law, hundreds of troops stormed the congress as military planes circled the location.

190 politicians evaded authorities lines and forced themselves inside the National Assembly as a riot of activists gathered at the walls of the National Assembly.

His next statement, in which he was changing his previous order, attracted cheers from demonstrators outside South Korea’s parliament on early on Wednesday.

On Wednesday, Yoon’s top aides, including chief of staff Chung Jin-suk and national surveillance director Shin Won-sik, tendered their defections. It’s not clear whether or not they’ll accept their defections.

The leader himself, however, has remained silent since his short-lived declaration of martial law.

How do presidencies in South Korea operate?

When an impeachment act is proposed, more than two-thirds of South Korea’s 300-member National Assembly may vote to indict- that translates to at least 201 seats. The voting may take place within 72 days.

When the prosecution is approved, the president will soon become suspended from company, while the prime minister becomes acting president.

A trial will then be held before the Constitutional Court, a nine-member committee that oversees South Korea’s branches of government.

If six of the court’s people vote to preserve the prosecution, the president may be removed from office.

EPA Police officers stand guard outside the National Assembly in Seoul, South Korea, 04 December 2024. EPA

Have another North Korean president been impeached?

In 2016, then-President Park Guen-hye was impeached after she was charged with corruption, abusing state authority and leaking state techniques.

In 2004, another South Korean president, Roh Moo-hyun, was impeached and suspended for two weeks. He was then reinstated by the Constitutional Court.

Within 60 days of Yoon’s resignation or impeachment, the government will need to hold an election to choose a new leader for a new five-year name.

South Korea’s past with military law

Under South Korea’s law, the president has the authority to declare martial law during combat, armed conflict, or other federal situations.

The next day the country’s long-standing military dictator Park Chung-hee was assassinated in a revolution occurred in 1979, when martial law was implemented there.

A group of military officials, led by General Chun Doo-hwan, declared martial law in 1980, banning social activities and arresting rebels.

Before the 1981 lifting of military law, hundreds of people died as a result of a crackdown on demonstrators.

Since South Korea became a political democracy in 1987, military law has not been in force.

Yoon pulled the trigger on Tuesday, saying he was trying to save the nation from” anti-state troops”.

However, some experts believe that the action is his attempt to thwart political opposition.

Since the opposition won a resounding majority in the government’s general election in April this year, Yoon has been a lame duck leader. His government has been reduced to vetoing legislation that the opposition has suggested, leading to a pathetic bird presidency.

The government’s approval ratings have hit record highs of 17 % this time, as he and his family Kim Keon-hee have been mired in a deluge of crises.

Woongbee Lee and Frances Mao both provided further reporting in Seoul and London.

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BRI’s recent award triumphs point to its focus on becoming a champion of financial inclusion | FinanceAsia

According to Sunarso, leader director, Bank Rakyat Indonesia ( BRI),” Tr I will continue to focus on the MSME section to realize its dreams of becoming the most important banks group in Southeast Asia and a champion of financial inclusion by 2025.” He continued,” As the nationwide economic structure is dominated by Enterprises, providing loans to MSME people is anticipated to have a significant positive impact on the Indonesian business.”

The 130-year-old company’s outstanding achievement in FinanceAsia Asia’s Best Businesses Poll 2024 and the FinanceAsia Awards demonstrate how focused this perspective is on BRI’s peers in the industry.

In FinanceAsia Asia’s Best Companies ballot, the banks won silver in the following categories: Best Director for Sunarso, leader director, BRI, Best Managed Company – Indonesia, and Best Investor Relations – Indonesia.

Additionally, BRI won bronze in the types of Best Big Cap Company in Indonesia and Best CFO in Indonesia for Viviana Dyah Ayu Retno K, Most Committed to DEI – Indonesia, Most Committed to ESG – Indonesia, and Best Big Cap Company – Indonesia.

The bank had a stellar run at the FinanceAsia Awards 2023-2024 winning Best Bank for Financial Inclusion ( Domestic ) and Best Commercial Bank- SMEs ( Domestic ), apart from securing commendations for Best Sustainable Bank ( Domestic ), Most Innovative Use of Technology – Banks ( Domestic )

View Sunarso, the president’s director ,’s acceptance speech, below.

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