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As the United States and its allies learned when nations with 70 % of the world’s population rejected UN sanctions against Russia after February 2022, the Global South — with 85 % of its population — has retreated from the Western sphere of influence.

On October 27, 120 nations voted in favor of a UN General Assembly resolution that the United States opposed but which did not condemn Hamas’s invasion on Israel on October 7. The West learned this for the next time.

& nbsp: China’s expanding economic dominance in the developing world is by far the main cause of this tectonic shift in global politics.

Notably, China accomplished this with a full forward deployment of 200 soldiers( soldiers at its foundation in Djibouti ), in contrast to the US’s$ 7 trillion investment in the Global War on Terror over the previous 20 years. China has so far only used gentle authority, despite dire warnings from the US Defense Department and various think tank about its military interests in Eurasia.

Due to growing ties with Malaysia and Indonesia, the Belt and Road Initiative in Central Asia, and economic diplomacy in the Persian Gulf, China now exports more to the Muslim world($ 42 billion ) than the United States($ 38 billion ).

China’s export to the US increased to$ 40 billion per month in 2018 from simply$ 30 billion to nations with a majority of Muslims. China’s exports have increased significantly over the past five years, primarily from the Arab world and the Global South. China then exports as much to all developed markets as it does to the Global South nevertheless.

As a result of the Sinocentric inclusion of Asian trade and investment, Indonesia and Malaysia are China’s two biggest Muslim trading lovers.

Chinese imports have benefited greatly from the novel Silk Road across Asia. The former Soviet republics in Central Asia now import Chinese goods at a rate of almost$ 5 billion per month, up from about$ 2 billion in 2018. That has a security matrix, for sure: China decided it couldn’t rely on the US to put an end to jihadists on or near its borders after America’s careless withdrawal from Afghanistan, so it poured money into nearby economies.

Professor Zhang Weiwei of Fudan University told the” Observer” news website on November 3 that” the world has long entered the post-American era ,” and American strategists should pay close attention to him. This does not imply that America is no longer significant. The United States continues to play a significant role. It indicates that the United States is” going against the grain.”

Zhang compared US controls on tech exports to Jake Sullivan’s catchphrase,” little yard, higher fence ,” which he used to describe frog self-restraint in a well.

Zhang claimed that the United States” has isolated itself within this large fencing around a little garden.” Outside is the whole Global South, or non-Western world, which has the largest market, most solutions, and the greatest potential for development.

I went to a Huawei grow in Shenzhen next July. There are now only 15 workers per column, compared to the 80 workers there previously. The plant now produces 1, 800 5G base stations per day on three assembly lines. That facility, one of many run by Huawei, produces close to 700,000 base stations annually, or one-third of the world’s current power. The universe can be wired up industrially by China.

China gains significant social clout as a result. Zhang stated in the cited meeting to” The Observer”:

Although it is difficult, we want the United States to shift. China has had an unbroken society for thousands of years, and its own culture is the source of a great deal of knowledge. For instance, some Americans and Westerners do not accept China’s proposals for” peace and development.”

We cautioned the West against encouraging and supporting the” Arab Spring” when uprisings broke out in Arab nations because doing so would result in an Arab Winter.

The migrant crisis is currently one of the biggest issues facing Europe. Color uprisings have destroyed some nations in the Middle East and North Africa, and a sizable number of refugees have fled to Europe. nbsp: Peace and development are the only ways to address the issue of migrants.

In order to lessen the number of immigrants, we are promoting peaceful creation in Africa and the Middle East as part of the Belt and Road Initiative. So, it makes sense that European nations should take part in China’s” One Belt, One Road” program.

Zhang is totally correct: No other nation, besides China, has the means and ability to avert the economic hardship that drives refugees to Europe. The same argument was made by Asia Times editor Uwe Parpart in an article published on October 18 for the Swedish publication Weltwoche.

Between 1979 and the present, China’s per capita income increased from roughly$ 3 to$ 30 per day. This country is aware of how cutting-edge technology can significantly improve the lives of extremely poor people.

With the help of digital infrastructure, rural residents can use a$ 60 smartphone to access microcredit, sell on international markets, receive treatment via healthcare, or receive education in schools with few teachers. Artificial intelligence programs may be more successful in developing markets than in developed types.

I predicted that a” Pax Sinica” may appear in the Middle East ten years ago. China imported 53 % of its oil from the Persian Gulf in 2022. It is obviously interested in keeping hostilities from cutting off its crutch of power. As the largest consumer of Iran’s oil and its largest supplier of commercial goods, China has significant effect in Tehran, making it a moderating impact on Iran in that regard.

The Chinese, like the majority of nations, use mirrors instead than telescopes to watch the rest of the world. Peoples who also speak 200 dialects from six main language groups were assimilated into Chinese culture.

Contrary to Christian Europe, the Chinese empire rarely made an effort to bring its peoples together through faith. According to Sinologist Francisco Sisci, it required them to become” civilized ,” which required learning the written characters, dressing in Chinese attire, and paying taxes to the emperor.

Then, they were free to worship any gods and speak any dialect they wanted. The kingdom in turn provided order and system, both of which were essential in the vast flood flat of Central China.

China wants the Middle Eastern population to stay out of trouble and focus on making money in traditional Chinese style because it sees them as digital regions of a new Taiwanese economic kingdom. According to the standard display, President Xi Jinping responded to European representations about Ukraine and Israel in a video seminar with German Chancellor Olaf Scholz on November 3 as follows:

Whether it be the Israeli-Palestinian conflict or the Polish crisis, Xi Jinping emphasized that in order to address its underlying causes, we must think more deeply about security issues, uphold a common, all-encompassing, cooperative, and lasting security concept, as well as encourage the development of an effective, long-lasting security architecture.

Local imbalances and the growth and intensification of conflicts may result from squeezing other nations’ security spaces and arbitrarily supporting one part while ignoring the genuine demands of the other.

Of course, it’s not quite that easy. There are instances, and China’s strategy for dealing with jihadists inside its own borders has proven to be very successful. Punitive expeditions against unassailable barbarians have a long( but distant ) history in China.

In my role as an advisor to SIGNAL, a foundation that promotes Sino-Israeli relations, I have gone to numerous gatherings where eminent Chinese thought leaders explained that China’s position on Middle East issues was caused by the fact that the country had over 50 Arab embassies in comparison to one Israeli ambassador, and that its large Muslim population supported the Palestinians.

China, however, finds it difficult to comprehend why somebody doesn’t cut the center and resume operations. Nationalism, including its Jewish incarnation, is deeply despised by the Chinese.

That line of thinking has a defect, which is highlighted by China’s tripwire awareness regarding the Taiwan issue. Because one rogue state may serve as an example for many more, China will wage war to prevent Taiwan from achieving de jure freedom.

Although the ethnic groups of the Chinese empire may be preserved like flies in gold, they are not necessarily dead or dormant. The popular proverb from the Romance of Three Kingdoms,” The kingdom, much divided, must unite. much united. must divide ,” is the guiding principle of Chinese management.

China has had thousands of years to adapt its ethnic groups, but it is still impossible to guarantee their obedience. However, given that the empire has no desire to provide security, it is unreasonable to expect Eastern Asian countries and tribes to act in a Chinese manner.

China’s position on Center Eastern concerns is still atmospheric. Beijing earns positions for the Global South at a low cost. & nbsp, However, China’s contribution might increase significantly.

According to Zhang, the doctor mentioned earlier, China may have a crucial impact on the refugee crisis. Gaza is one particular migrant crisis that China might be able to assist with.

Menachem Begin, the prime minister of Israel, suggested to later Egyptian President Sadat in 1978 that Egypt should conquer Gaza and end the refugee crisis by naturalizing the Gazans. American diplomats have never considered this option because Sadat declined.

Two-fifths of Egypt’s people live on$ 3 per day, making the country extremely impoverished. With the neighborhood Muslim Brotherhood, Hamas’ family firm, it already has a jihadist issue. It has imprisoned 40,000 Brotherhood members. It is not in need of more.

Egypt’s major opposition to annexing Gaza, however, may be economic if Israel could dismember Hamas. That is a problem that China, in collaboration with the Gulf States, might be able to resolve. China is already actively involved in Egypt, developing facilities and a brand-new high-tech area.

This kind of assistance to Egypt and Israel in resolving the Gaza issue could signify a political revolution if China wanted to take the lead in the Middle East.

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