Maybe the US isn’t in decline after all

Xi Jinping, the president of China, views the United States as a country in decline. Most Americans agree as well. Therefore, it should come as no surprise that a current The Economist covers drama has garnered so much attention. Because The Economist presents a hill of evidence to the contrary in four meticulously reported pages.

The editors claim that worry about America’s decrease” obscures a spectacular triumph tale — one of enduring but underrated outperformance.” The richest, most effective, and most creative big economy in the world still belongs to America. It is leaving its competitors further in the dirt along an amazing number of dimensions.

Experts are energised by this challenge to conventional intellect. Two op-ed writings have been published by The New York Times in a row. One, written by liberal columnist David Brooks, concurs with The Economist and states that British capitalism” has proven superior to all real-world alternatives” despite all of its flaws.

The other, written by the forward-thinking economist Paul Krugman, issues a warning:” The statistics aren’t as accurate as they appear, and the gross domestic product can’m capture all of America’s darkness.”

Whether you agree or disagree with The Economist’s assessment, the following evidence is strong:

  • The US’s gross domestic product accounted for 25 % of the global GDP in 1990. The US still produces 25 % of the global economy, despite China’s rise.
  • The US share is increasing in comparison to its rivals in the G-7, which includes Japan and Germany. The US now accounts for 51 % of G-7 GDP, up from 43 % in 1990, when purchasing power is taken into account.
  • In 1990, American income per person was 24 % higher than that of Western Europe. Nowadays, it is 30 % higher.
  • Labor productivity( output per hour worked ) increased by 67 % in the US, 55 % in Europe, and 51 % in Japan between 1990 and 2022.
  • Over the past ten years, US research and development spending has increased to 3.5 % of GDP, far outpacing that of the majority of nations.
  • In the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, America spends 37 % more on education per student than the 23 other wealthy nations. Only Singapore has a higher percentage of Americans who have completed secondary education.
Photo: Reuters / Brian Snyder
Photo: Brian Snyder, Reuters, Asia Times paperwork

And this is just a small sample. The newspapers cites additional data, such as statistics demonstrating that Americans are more mobile, launch more businesses, and have much more robust and extensive commercial markets. The highly productive agriculture and food system of the United States is not mentioned in the newspapers.

The Economist acknowledges that there are drawbacks, particularly profits disparity. The” ultra – rich ,” who according to the magazine have” doed extremely well ,” accounted for a large portion of the growth in US income per capita. Americans have a five-year shorter life expectancy than people in some wealthy nations at the age of 77, in part because they receive subpar medical care.

The Economist also points out that” a trucker in Oklahoma can earn more than a doctor in Portugal ,” despite the fact that the US has the G-7’s most unequal income distribution.

Leaders typically receive praise for having good economies, but The Economist indirectly criticizes both Biden and Trump, warning that their shift to corporatism and industrial policy runs the risk of undermining America’s advantages.

Lower life spans and income inequality are two of the drawbacks Krugman emphasizes. He queries,” Do we charge that the wealthy can afford larger and more luxurious superyachts?” Krauman already contends that while Europe’s economic performance is inferior to that of the US, their standard of living is higher. They have a better work-life compromise thanks to their extended vacations.

However, Krugman ignores the many other factors on which The Economist places a high value on the American market by focusing only on GDP’s restrictions.

Additionally, there is a wider balance between American and European capitalism than just holiday. The conflict between economic vitality and financial stability, according to Brooks, is what it is. He claims that American capitalism” has always leaned toward pizzaz.”

The US economy continues to surpass, despite the fact that this rock has diminished as US social investing has increased.

Both Times experts concur that American nation is a disaster on one point. ” We’ve lived through a wretched political era ,” to use Brooks’ words. The economic structure is eroding in countless way. Without a doubt, this tearing contributes to the perception that America is in collapse that so many people have.

Same emotions existed in the 1980s, when Japan was expanding. It was obvious that those emotions had been exaggerated by the middle of the 1990s.

Did the past be repeated? The problems we face today, both domestically and externally, may be more severe. However, The Economist has offered a new and beneficial viewpoint by highlighting America’s ongoing abilities.

Former longtime Wall Street Journal Asia correspondent and editor Urban Lehner is editor emeritus of DTN/The Progressive Farmer. 

This article, originally published on April 2 by the latter news organization and now republished by Asia Times with permission, is © Copyright 2023 DTN/The Progressive Farmer. All rights reserved. Follow Urban Lehner on Twitter: @urbanize