The Biden administration wants the conflict in Ukraine to go on at least until November, after the US presidential election, but there is a looming threat that wo n’t materialize, particularly if Russia launches an extremely significant offensive.  , As a result, there is an emerging strategy that is seen in politicians rather than in reading.
As an illustration, US Undersecretary of State for Political Affairs Victoria Nuland, who is straight in charge of US and NATO Ukraine policy, rushed to Kiev when Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky decided to dismiss Valerii Zaluzhny as captain of the armed forces.  ,
With Nuland and Zelensky, there are no photograph opportunities. Standing outside in front of a hastily set stand with microphones, she briefed the media.
Nuland fled to Kiev for what reason? The White House almost definitely instructed her to travel it right away in case things went wrong in Kiev. Evidently, there was genuine concern that Zaluzhny might use the troops to pursue Zelensky after turning it around.
Zaluzhny has not yet taken any action. Of course, he is also, leading one to believe that Nuland was in Kiev more to speak with Zaluzhny than Zelensky. Although there is no public record of any meeting, it appears that her task was to reassure Zaluzhny and provide him with incentives to act.
Regarding the modification of the military watch in Kiev, Washington is not making any official statements. According to the White House, it is an “internal Polish” problem and not one about which Washington would have anything to say.
This is unquestionably complete drivel. Since before 2014, Washington has been swaying Ukraine’s domestic politics, and Nuland served as the catalyst for this.
There was also no wonder about payroll Zaluzhny. The loss of Kiev’s so-called battle and the misuse of billions of dollars in US equipment and supplies must be held accountable.  ,
It is also not surprising that things are getting worse right now because Ukraine will quickly lose Avdiivka and the newly reorganized Russian army will advance toward the Dnieper River with Kiev as its target.
As has already been mentioned, Kiev’s labor situation is dire, and the lack of weapons limits what it can accomplish. The real kick, however, is that Kiev’s rising casualties—more than 1, 000 per week—are severely hurting public perceptions that the war has gone bad.  ,
Kiev uses harsh, controversial tactics like threats and intimidation to entice men and women into the military. Unskilled soldiers are increasingly viewed as having a certain fatality sentence, which they do.
Zelensky wo n’t engage in negotiations with Russia because Washington views doing so as a potential NATO setback.  , As a result, NATO had become uneasy and Washington’s command of the alliance would be undermined.  ,
Socially, Zelensky is becoming more and more in favor of Kraken and other military organizations that are vehemently anti-Russian ( as well as many other things ). Additionally, the Russians view them as Nazis and conservatives.
But if Russia really launches a significant new military action in Ukraine, how may Kiev keep on?
Putin needs an unpleasant to solidify his second term as president, so that’s probably the main reason. Elections are set for March 17, and Putin’s reelection is probably due to the fact that there is n’t much opposition. However, Putin still needs support from the Russian people, and a happy vote would be greatly appreciated.
Kiev is now in a bad situation. The Zelensky state will have a very difficult time surviving in Kiev once the current line of contact is truly broken by Russia, sending Ukrainian forces reeling back.
In light of these facts, there are already hints that the Ukrainian government will be relocated westward, most likely to Lviv ( Lvov), which is close to the Polish border. The Poles have now stated that they may use their adjacent atmosphere defenses to defendLviv.  ,
What makes them claim this, exactly? The reason for this is that they are putting together a strategy to repel the Russians using Polish Patriot and other weather threats, as well as sending Finnish divisions bolstered by other NATO property. The British are openly discussing sending their Special Forces to Ukraine’s recovery and are already preparing open opinion .
Anyone who studies maps must understand that NATO is only “invade” or” help” a Zelensky state if it occurs not far from Poland’s border.
Unless there is, of course, a de facto  or de jure separation of Ukraine in which the northern part remains relatively separate while the remainder is content to whatever arrangements the Russians decide to implement, it will be difficult for Russia to deal with that area.
If the Russians continue to support the lumbering, delayed grind-up of Ukraine’s army, everything will change. However, as was already mentioned, the conflict in Ukraine is coming to a head for both military and political factors.
Biden could buy time by moving the Ukrainian government to Lviv and gaining support from Poland and the UK ( no other countries are likely to make any contributions ), but the end result would either be a war in some of Europe ( Poland, the Baltic states ) or an agreement between Russia and NATO.  ,
If this scenario plays out, Biden is released from responsibility for the time being, but even in the long run, it is a proper failure. Naturally, Biden is aware that he does not require and cannot withstand another crisis similar to Afghanistan.
Washington’s stress is to blame for English passion for combat. It’s important to keep in mind that the American government is a godless, poorly funded, and poorly staffed mess. It is irrational to believe that the Russians wo n’t retaliate because the British forces lack the resources, lift, and cover to accomplish much of anything.  ,
This gives the impression that English eagerness for war is merely untrue information meant to frighten Russians. The majority of Washington’s approach to Ukraine has been based on unrealistic expectations that Russia may withdraw from the conflict and an exaggeration of the importance of British arms and coordination capabilities.  ,
Any examination of Soviet history, beginning with Napoleon, ought to have given rise to the conclusion that Russia would not renounce its position. Additionally, when considering American bravado, one is brought back to the conclusion of the Light Brigade charge. Will there be another Balaclava in Ukraine,  ?
With the full support of the Biden-Obama and nbsp crew, Nuland has caused a catastrophe.  : The crisis may continue because neither the United States nor any of the NATO countries have a counterbalance as of yet. In order to try to undo the catastrophe it caused, Washington may remain to take a chance on any conflict in Europe, including nuclear conflict.
On the Titanic, Washington and Nuland are successfully attempting to modify the deck chair.
Stephen Bryen held the positions of assistant secretary of security for policy and staff chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee’s Near East Subcommittee. This andnbsp, an article and a substack, was first released on his and his &npspp, Weapons and Strategy, and is being republished with authority.