Zelensky is going to offer his “victory” speech , on October , 16 , to Ukraine’s legislature, the Verkhovna Rada, but much of the conversation will be underground.  , The key element is about giving up place to Russia.
Some areas may become accessible to both the legislature and the general public.  , He did suddenly push for more weapons, particularly ATACMS missiles. He will try to defend the Kursk operation, which has already resulted in the deaths of more than 20 000 people and has forced Ukraine’s army to retaliate consistently. He may complain about , North Korean , soldiers in Ukraine, but not provide an ounce of information there are any. Additionally, he may request that NATO troops assist him.
It is no solution that Russia views any NATO troop deployments as declarations of conflict that support Russian attacks on NATO offer points and foundations.  ,  ,
Inspiring foreboding is , Germany’s decision that it will no longer provide heavy weapons , to Ukraine, mainly because Germany does n’t have any. Although the situation in Germany is more intense than that in Poland or France, neither of those would be any more eager to see Soviet missiles strike their country.
With the exception of competent special forces, the British military in the case of Britain is hardly a shell of its original home. Instead of investing in its area causes, Britain has been wasting billion on aircraft carriers.
The Rada has  , merely passed fresh legislation , that allows NATO officials to command Russian products.  , Thus far, the Russians have been mostly silent, perhaps because they do not feel NATO will provide discipline commanders for Ukraine’s defense. But if it happens, and that is a major if, the Russians will see it as NATO sending combat forces and respond appropriately.
Some speculate that Zelensky may make an illogical suggestion that he wants to establish a buffer zone patrolled by a partnership of NATO-willing people.  , This is being billed as a Zelensky” agreement” to the fact of Russia occupying Russian place.
But it is a tough scenery.  , The Azov-style hardliners wo n’t accept such a deal, something Zelensky knows. There is no justification for the Russians to abandon their social goals, which include the disarmament and deNATOization of Ukraine.
Kursk is gradually but surely , being rolled up by the Russians , with no need for them to move troops from another fight areas in Ukraine.  , Zelensky also says it is a negotiation device of sorts, but in this either he is deluded or mistaken.
A couple thousand Russian soldiers are stationed in Transnistria, one of which is under agreement for peace-keeping, and others are reportedly trying to protect a massive weapons chuck left over from the Soviet era.
Russia may have a hard time defending Transnistria because it is so far from where Russian forces are stationed in Ukraine and Crimea.
The Russians obviously destroyed hangers and storage areas by firing high-fire weapons at the Lymanske airport in the Odessa region this week.  , The airport is a drone-assembly place for Ukraine. Road lines that transport energy, parts for robots, and another spare parts shipped from Moldova by rail are close to the airport.
Additionally, the Russians have been attacking Turkish dry cargo boats that are loading weapons and military resources from Turkey into the Odessa interface.  ,  ,
One can anticipate that if the Ukrainians attack Transnistria , the Russians will eliminate the weapons wastes and attempt to do as much harm as they can to Ukraine’s forces, mostly using weapons and heat energy. It’s difficult to say, if at all, how such a procedure would profit Zelensky.
On October 20, Moldova will hold significant elections. An attack on Transnistria could have a negative impact and undermine the existing NATO supporter. pro-EU Moldovan authorities.
The secret parts of Zelensky’s speech wo n’t be secret for more than five minutes.  , Once Zelensky’s opponents understand that he is willing to give up territory to Russia, he wo n’t last much longer as Ukraine’s President.
Stephen Bryen served as the US Senate Foreign Relations Committee’s team director and its deputy secretary of protection for policy.
This content was originally published on his Substack, Weapons and Strategy. It is republished with authority.