By Ben Tavener, Moscow producer
Russia-watchers have known for decades that President Vladimir Putin may be visiting North Korea.
The North Korean leader invited Mr. Putin to attend him after Kim Jong Un’s large, clean durable coach galloped through Russia’s Far East next year. That offer was formally accepted.
However, this long-awaited visit is now said to be in the next few times: satellite images reveal preparations that are already being made in North Korea, and North Korean sources say it could be as quickly as Tuesday.
One thing is certain: Russian and international editors are clamoring for any hint of information.
The Kremlin promises more information in due course, but rumors are already rife.
But why and why now does it matter?
First, there is a natural interest given it would only be Mr Putin’s next day in North Korea- the first being in 2000 at the start of his political career, when Mr Kim’s father, Kim Jong Il, was also high leader.
Beyond that, the West is concerned about a relationship that has evolved from shared favors to common benefits, even though it is not at the amounts enjoyed during the Soviet Union.
The Kremlin has stated that “very strong ties” between Russia and North Korea could be established, and it is not a bad thing for anyone considering challenging these burgeoning relationships.
There has been a lot of speculating as to what exactly the two edges want from one another. And it appears to boil down to supply protection.
Russia is good seeking weapons, construction workers, even individuals to go to the front line in Ukraine, says social scholar and Putin alliance, Sergei Markov.
According to Mr. Markov, Pyongyang could receive Russian-made weapons as well as modern support for its military objectives, including its long-range missile program, which would inevitably be within striking distance of the US.
Russia needs to serve its war in Ukraine, without a doubt.
A new Bloomberg report, citing South Korea’s military department, suggests North Korea has shipped nearly five million weaponry shell to Russia.
Finding a partner who values trade and restrictions is a big selling point for Russia.
Russia and North Korea are the two most-sanctioned nations in the world, and North Korea is the only one to have carried out a number of ballistic missile exams.
Moscow vetoed a UN Security Council resolution to expand the panel’s authority earlier this year, severely affecting Pyongyang’s restrictions.
A helpful political walk.
And there might even be a genuine friendship between the two officials, albeit one that is business-like and optimistic. In February, Mr Putin gifted Mr Kim a pleasure Russian car ( in contravention of UN sanctions ).
In a new concept to President Putin, Mr. Kim referred to North Korea as an “invincible comrade-in-arms” with Russia.
However, there might be nothing more to blame for the lack of various options and the company.
Put simply, North Korea is now more valuable to an secluded Russia, and North Korea understands that Moscow needs companions.
Mr. Putin is just show to his opponents that he can and will do what he wants by going to North Korea.
Find a way out of the restrictions being imposed by the West against his nation? For then, yes, he is.
Convince another to sever sanctions and offer Russia’s arms? Obviously thus.
Despite conducting his so-called” particular military operation,” how can one forge new relationships with nations all over the world? He’s certainly trying.
President Putin has pushed the notion that the West’s supremacy is on the verge of extinction and has courted those who share his view or are at least opened to it.
At a recent economic conference in St. Petersburg, it’s no accident another of Mr Putin’s essential visitors was the leader of Zimbabwe- another state to have felt the strong bite of sanctions.
And Russia has been demonstrating that it has some friends who all sing from the same hymn sheet all over the world. From Asia, Latin America, Africa- people disenchanted with the way of a US- led earth is pleasant.
Indeed, when Zimbabwean President Emmerson Mnangagwa took to the stage, President Putin’s buzzwords rocketed out of his speech, with a new “multipolar world” as opposed to an arrogant West bent on shoring up its “global hegemony” at any cost.
Additionally, Mr. Putin has cultivated closer ties with Iran, a nation that is embroiled in sanctions and selling its military products, including drones, to a certain extent. And if it rattles the West, all the better.
When President Putin finally boardes his plane to Pyongyang, he is aware that the images will captivate the world and establish that he is willing to engage in both business and politics with the people of his choosing.
Any red lines will have been drawn when presidents Putin and Xi met during the Russian leader’s first overseas trip of his fifth term in office, which was drenched in symbolism about Russia’s declared shift to the East, even though China will have its own reservations about Russia’s rapprochement with North Korea.
Few nations perform strongman ceremonies as ostentatically as Russia, but North Korea can undoubtedly give them a run for their money. And with Russia’s shift away from traditional democracy, the gap between the two countries ‘ leaderships looks to be shrinking.
It does n’t necessarily follow, of course, that ordinary Russians welcome their country’s growing closeness with North Korea, given their cultural and historical ties with Europe and the West. And Mr. Putin may have to deal with this risk as well as any additional measures taken by the Western powers following the two strongmen meeting.
In the end, we very likely wo n’t find out what’s been agreed – we did n’t when Kim Jong Un came to Russia last year.
But with watertight optics and messaging, the stage will be set for a defiant Putin to stride out- in the world’s most isolated country- and declare:” Yes, I can – watch me”.