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Villain present or casus belli in a European military leak?
In a recent leaked conference between European military officials discussing possible military activities in Ukraine, Uwe Parpart unpacks the revelations made. The conversation, which was made public and was intercepted by Russian intelligence, demonstrates a significant lack of proper planning and operational security. The entirety of Parpart’s criticism may be read here.
China adheres to the elements
Following the National People’s Congress’s lack of significant initiatives to promote consumption or help the home market, David P. Goldman discusses the sorrow among Chinese equity investors. Long-term stability and democratic cohesion are priorities for Beijing over short-term growth concerns.
Geopolitical danger hedge: Get USD/PLN volatility, offer USD/CZN volatility.
A political risk wall strategy involving currency volatility is suggested by David P. Goldman. PLN volatility is relatively small compared to CZK volatility, which gives investors a chance to capitalize on possible fluctuations as a cost-effective hedge against escalating local tensions.
The European right is on the cusp of a victory.
Diego Faßnacht discusses French President Emmanuel Macron’s request to send NATO troops to Ukraine and opposition head Marine Le Pen’s existing social position, whose party is projected to win significant seats in the forthcoming European Parliament elections, which represents a centrist turn in Western politics.
Rising increase risks for Ukraine as Russia gains floor.
James Davis provides a thorough analysis of the Ukrainian military condition, including information on possible maneuvers by Russian troops in the future, the influence of new US sanctions on Russia’s financial plans and international business relations, as well as the potential risks of further escalation in Ukraine and challenges to American support for Kiev.
China is being driven over, away, and forward by US sanctions.
Scott Foster evaluates President Biden’s speech regarding the US auto company’s competitiveness, the perceived danger from Chinese supremacy, and policy introduced by Republican Senator Josh Hawley to drastically raise tariffs on imported Chinese cars in an effort to protect the US automobile market.