Serbia moves to reintroduce compulsory military service

SARAJEVO: Serbia’s government ministers on Friday ( Sep 20 ) agreed to reintroduce compulsory military service which was abolished 14 years ago, President Aleksandar Vucic said, praising the decision as an important step to improve the country’s defence readiness. A working class may be established to start the process, accordingContinue Reading

Storm Soulik weakens in Thailand but rain persists

Officials survey a flooded road in Trat province on Friday. About 50 provinces have been warned to expect rain from the weakened Storm Soulik until Monday. (Photo: Jakkrit Waewkraihong)
On Friday, authorities in Trat state examine a flooded street. About 50 regions have been given advance notices that the weakened Storm Soulik will likely experience fog until Monday. ( Photo: Jakkrit Waewkraihong )

Forecasters predict that while Tropical Storm Soulik spreads throughout Thailand and will continue to soak some areas this trip despite losing power as it progresses.

About 50 counties, including Bangkok, may experience rain or heavy rains through Monday as per the most recent warning from the Meteorological Department, which was released on Friday night. Strong winds and great lakes are also anticipated for the region’s coastal Andaman during this time, it continued.

Around 10am on Friday, Soulik entered Thailand via Nakhon Phanom in the Northeast and was upgraded to a low pressure system, as determined by the weathermen. They continued,” It is moving westward and still has an impact on the country, particularly the north and northeast regions,” they continued.

Some national gardens have been closed because bad weather may thwart customers. Additionally, municipal officials are putting together plans to deal with potential flood.

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Shanghai hit by second typhoon days after historic storm

Shanghai, the country’s largest city, was hit by its second typhoon days after it received its strongest storm in 75 years when roads and neighborhoods were flooded on Friday ( Sep 20 ).

Typhoon Pulasan made land on Thursday evening in the state’s Fengxian city, with a peak wind velocity of 83kmh, according to state-run Xinhua news agency.

Although downpours continued in the area on Friday day, the storm is “is forecast to gradually diminish as it moves inland,” according to Xinhua.

Although no serious harm or deaths have been reported so far, movies that were posted on social media Friday showed Shanghai people wading through calf-level waters in some neighborhoods.

As the wind made its way toward Shanghai on Thursday, parts of the city’s typhoon call levels increased.

Typhoon Bebinca, which was the biggest storm to strike the megacity since 1949, wreaked havoc on Monday with Pulasan.

Bebinca felled more than 1, 800 branches and left 30, 000 communities without power, with government evacuating more than 400, 000 people across Shanghai ahead of the storm.

According to experts, severe weather is becoming more frequent and intense because of climate change, which is being exacerbated by greenhouse gas emissions.

China produces the most greenhouse chemicals globally, but its per capita emissions are insignificant in comparison to the United States’.

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The weaponization of everything has begun – Asia Times

One of those activities that many have speculated was on the sky is the use of common materials in 21st-century issues is the attack on pagers and walkie-talkies ( and possibly even solar sections ).

However, there were those who, as security researcher Mark Galeotti put it, believed this “weaponization of all” was akin to Hollywood films or cyberpunk crime thrillers.

According to them, turning pagers or phones into incendiary devices was possibly not possible both technologically and logistically. Only the most anxious person may believe that a circumstance like this could actually turn out to be true.

Yet it has today happened. And it has resulted in the deaths of 37 people, the injuries of thousands more, and the potential for severe corporate disorganization.

The ability to communicate with your troops or extremist network has always been a necessity in fighting. And as the geographical scope of conflict grows, the ability to communicate is even more crucial.

An institution needs to be able to rely on its communication devices to be trustworthy. And it is important to have faith in the real people they are speaking to, not the artificial intelligence ( a growing concern in the face of “deep fakes” )

Members of an organization also need to discover ways to prevent being heard, which is a constant worry when communication tools are continually increasing in both strength and difficulty.

Therefore, any business in the twenty-first century must be wary of the dangers of digital disruption and of the various ways that information and communication can be hacked, hacked, and manipulated.

However, the transformation of common means of communication and information into practical arms leads to a new breed of fear and paranoia.

How worried should we be?

There are many individuals who will say that the things we are seeing in Lebanon will undoubtedly be bringing to a nearby area.

In a time of “open modern innovation,” Audrey Kurth Cronin, director of the Institute for Strategy & Technology at Carnegie Mellon University in the US, has asserted that one of the biggest safety issues is the possibility of devastating development by non-state stars.

In other words, we are living in a world where more and more people and businesses can use destructive systems. The wonderful rights no longer possess the most advanced technology.

Following the attacks on September 17 and 18, the Syrian army carried out controlled blasts of mobile communications products. &nbsp, Photo: EPA-EFE via The Conversation / Wael Hamzeh

There might be world leaders who feel they can test the potential of the techniques that their thieves and technologists have been considering and experimenting with in a time of growing political tensions.

In a time when online systems are in use, two colonels in the Chinese government published a book about the resurgence of global politics and war in 1999. I discussed their ideas in my 2023 text Theorising Future Conflict: War Out to 2049.

One of their most disturbing feedback is about the possible use of everything in upcoming global wars:” These ] new idea arms did make regular people and military men very shocked that common things can also become weapons with which to engage in war.”

The situations in Lebanon does give us a sense of what these Chinese martial visionaries saw coming. Naturally, whether states are able to adapt to a constantly evolving protection landscape is still up for debate. We are in a period of rapid shift for a variety of new technology.

State with more pressing issues and limited tools might have more to worry about. Additionally, as this new era of conflict transitions from visionary speculation to terrible reality, organizations like Hezbollah may be entering a new hazard.

Geopolitical affect

We do n’t know whether more attacks will be launched in Lebanon, but the events are still ongoing. Additionally, we are unsure of the region’s potential broader political influence as a result of the attacks.

However, for the time being, it appears that there is a modern and political divide between those who will suffer from these fresh tactics in this weaponization of everything and those who will be able to launch extremely inventive attacks on individuals and organizations from a distance.

It seems doubtful that hostile nations like Russia would use any threats they discovered in the products used in daily life to fuel a global conflict, according to countries like the UK.

The different punishment strategies, such as nuclear arsenals, which involve mutually assured destruction, at least temporarily, keep a large portion of our conflict from going to war.

And we would probably have far more to worry about than exploding smartphones if political tensions did achieve a level where Vladimir Putin’s Russia considered these novel military options.

However, non-state players may not be frightened of using this kind of invasion. So we must hope they do n’t possess the serious organizational skills necessary to turn everyday objects into explosives, and we must also hope security services around the world are monitoring new threats closely.

In times of serious and fast change in AI, drones, drones and attacks, the only certainty is doubt in this complex, and often terrible, world we are living in.

Mark Lacy is senior lecturer of politics, philosophy and religion, Lancaster University

This article was republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article.

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China-Philippines retreat, for now, from Sabina Shoal row – Asia Times

MANILA – The Philippines and China have successfully resurrected a simmer over the Sabina Shoal in the South China Sea, evoking at least a momentary de-escalation in maritime conflicts that some fear could lead to an armed conflict.

The National Maritime Council, the newly established joint work pressure overseeing the Philippines ‘ South China Sea plan, &nbsp, announced&nbsp, on September 15 that the Philippine Coast Guard premier BRP Teresa Magbanua was leaving the bay area after a tough five-month-long mission.

China reportedly withdrew its coast guard and military forces from the area of the disputed property feature in the Spratly group of islands soon after.

According to Philippine officials, China had parked more than 200 vessels – a combined force composed of Chinese Coast Guard (CCC ) and Chinese maritime militia ( CMM) – in the Spratlys, with as many as 71 deployed close to the Sabina Shoal.

The Philippine government’s swift response to criticism of the vessel’s withdrawal was seen as a de facto” surrender” and echoed China’s claim that its pressure tactics had “outsmarted” the Ferdinand Marcos Jr. administration.

Even though the shift occurred shortly after the most recent Bilateral Consultation Mechanism (BCM) conference between major Philippine and Taiwanese diplomats in Beijing, the Spanish state has insisted that it was not a part of any agreement with China.

Major Spanish officials have emphasized their devotion to a continued and expanded existence in the Sabina Shoal region, including through regular deployments of naval assets and police warships.

The BRP Teresa Magbanua, according to NMC chairman Lucas Bersamin, “against enormous odds” when confronted with” an invasion of China’s larger fleet of intruders.” He said the ship would continue its goal as “defenders of our independence” in the area after being resupplied, repaired and its staff recharged.

The Sabina Shoal ( “Escoda” to Filipinos and” Xianbin Jiao” to Chinese ) is situated just 75 nautical miles ( 140 kilometers ) from Philippine shores, well its Exclusive Economic Zone ( EEZ ) extending from the island of Palawan.

China views the disputed function as part of its extensive exploration of nearly the entire South China Sea and its functions as defined in its nine-dash range map, while the Philippines claims that the low-tide ascent is a part of its western table.

China’s expansive claims were dismissed as incompatible with international law in an arbitration case brought by Manila in 2016 that was heard at The Hague under the auspices of the UN Convention on the Law of the Sea ( UNCLOS). Beijing disregarded the ultimate decision, which lacked an enforcement mechanism, and boycotted the arbitration proceedings.

Both sides were worried about one another’s motives, which contributed to the most recent upheaval. In light of concerns that China may have been secretly engaging in island-building actions in the disputed place, Manila immediately deployed its most valuable coast guard warship to Sabina Shoal.

The Philippines was earlier up in arms when reports emerged of China’s possible restoration of another low-tide altitude, known as Sandy Cay, situated in the vicinity of the Philippine-occupied Thitu Island in the Spratlys. The Philippine Navy&nbsp, deployed a warship&nbsp, to the place to inform China against any major movements.

For its part, China’s People’s Liberation Army ( PLA ) recently conducted exercises near the Sabina Shoal. Beijing was reportedly alarmed by the PCG’s rollout of its flagship ship, which was believed to be worried that the Philippines was about to try to fortify the disputed Second Thomas Shoal.

By grounding the BRP Sierra Madre ship there since the late 1990s, the Philippines has maintained a de facto military presence over the strategically located have ( also claimed by China ).

The Southeast Asian nation properly fortified the deteriorating base through subsequent transfers of building materials despite ongoing harassment from Chinese forces, including numerous collisions and even injuries sustained by Asian troops.

China increased its reputation and harassment strategies in the Sabina Shoal to stop a situation like this, despite the Philippines ‘ repeated denials of plans to establish a “forward base” there.

Beijing remains unconvinced and quickly reminded its Southeast Asian rival of its preponderance of force after deploying CCG 5901, the world’s largest coast guard ship known as” The Monster” ,&nbsp, to shadow&nbsp, and intimidate the BRP Teresa Magbanua.

Last month, Chinese vessels blocked Spanish supplies operations, thus forcing the latter to update basic requirements for its forces in the area&nbsp, via plane.

During a routine resupply mission to nearby islands in the Spratlys, Chinese vessels engaged in dangerous maneuvers against two PCG Multi-Role Response Vessels ( BRP Cape Engao and BRP Bagacay ) during a dangerous maneuver.

The PCG boats were also damaged by the collisions, but the CCG maintained that it was legitimately responding to the protests by Filipino rivals who “illegally entered” the region without consent and “deliberately” collided with its boats.

Shortly after, Chinese troops went so far as apparently ramming into the BRPTeresa Magbanua, raising worries of a strong military fight.

The US immediately offered its Filipino mutual defense treaty allies, including possible joint inspections and supplies missions in the contested areas, for the weight of the condition.

Major Filipino leaders have however indicated that they would prefer to rely on their own resources, despite some who have boldly called for a international anti-China empire as well as a revision of the Philippine-US Mutual Defense Treaty to lower the bar for British military action.

” We did not withdraw, and this did not happen during the most recent BCM. People might think we gave in, but in reality, we did n’t”, Admiral Alexander Lopez, the chief official of the Marcos supervision on the South China Sea, said during a recent press conference.

He continued,” We stood our ground at the conference in Beijing, and our department of foreign affairs assured us that our existence would continue at the reef, so it’s not a withdrawal.”

” The mayor’s mandate is to maintain our reputation in Escoda Shoal”, he added during the current press conference at the Malacañang Palace. ” When we say presence, strategic presence, not just physical appearance … I just want to make clear that our existence is not limited to sending a single ship”, the commander added.

” Even if&nbsp, Teresa Magbanua&nbsp, left, it did not diminish our presence in the area because we have other methods to track”, the Spanish captain insisted, citing the Philippines ‘ implementation of patrol aircraft and security features to monitor developments in the contested place.

He also made it clear that the PCG has already set up a new vessel to take the place of the departing flagship in order to establish a Spanish proper presence in the area. We have not lost anything, according to ford Jay Tarriela of the PCG in his own press conference this year.

” ]Sabina ] Shoal, no matter how many instances we intend to go there, we will be able to patrol and deploy our vessel”, he added.

Top Philippine officials ‘ vehement protestations came in response to charges made by local opponents and islamists who have taken issue with the Marcos Jr. management of stumbling against China.

However, the Philippines has yet to fully utilize its full range of capabilities, according to prominent Filipino managers like original Vice Admiral Rommel June Ong.

We communicate as though we have used up all of our toolkits, he once said to the publisher. He added that the Philippines has the opportunity to conduct joint patrols with allies and, if necessary, to ask for immediate American help if the situation escalates to a dangerous level.

” The Sabina Shoal standoff is not an isolated challenge. We are confronting]a more comprehensive ] direct challenge across the whole South China Sea…]but ] we]also] have a full range of options to respond”, he added, likening the sea showdown with China as more marathon than sprint.

Follow Richard Javad Heydarian on X at @Richeydarian

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‘End of the world’ option remains deep out of the money – Asia Times

Subscribe now&nbsp, for access at a special price of only$ 99/year.

The” End of the world” option is still very expensive.

According to David P. Goldman, gold’s new increase past$ 2,600 is due to its ability to defy TIPS as a hedge against unanticipated inflation. This is caused by geopolitical risks. Despite concerns about longer conflicts in Ukraine or the Middle East, stock’s advanced has remained constant.

The EU’s continuous move away from free trade

Diego Faßnacht explains that the European Union’s trade policy is shifting towards protectionism, highlighted by planned tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles ( EVs ), an approach that could lead to inflation, higher production costs, and diminished global competitiveness.

Putin warns against a wider conflict with NATO.

According to James Davis, Ukraine’s defense in the region is seriously harmed by the possible drop of Pokrovsk. Also, the debate over Ukraine’s use of long-range American missiles against Soviet territory remains unsettled.

Vocal Abe protégé Takaichi moves up in Japan surveys

According to Scott Foster, Sanae Takaichi is vying to be the Liberal Democratic Party’s ( LDP )’s ) next leader and possibly the next prime minister. Takaichi has soared in polls as a result of her hardline approach and as a disciple of Shinzo Abe, the former prime minister.

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Asia left to wonder what’s spooking the Fed – Asia Times

With the support of international investors, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell must feel relieved. Businesses took his bigger-than-expected 50 basis-point easing walk very much in foot.

Had his group been less confrontational, easing only 0.25 percentage points, the speculation about the next move may have started quickly.

Here in Asia, though, economists ca n’t help but wonder what Fed officials know that global markets do n’t. The Fed’s downshift to a range of 4.75 %-5 %, after all, was of a magnitude usually reserved for a recession or crisis.

” This’ deluxe’ cut marks a move towards populist economic plan by the Fed”, says economist David Roche, chairman of Global Strategy. ” It was wanted by the industry, where, of course, the pain threshold is zero. It was dictated by the internet. But it is not needed by the]US] market, which is well-balanced”.

Roche magic, however, “is the judgement especially wise because it places far too much attention on the Fed’s career goals over prices goals.” It raises questions about what the Fed has in common with the labor market that we do n’t. And it suggests that the Fed maintains the US economy’s vitality by keeping the parity level of interest rates below the desired level.

Mark Zandi, chief analyst at Moody’s Analytics, notes that Wednesday’s reduce “feels extremely intense, unless you know the market is going to begin to diminish more substantially”.

Economist Ryan Sweet at Oxford Economics magic if the Fed is admitting, successfully, it should’ve eased sooner.

He claims that” the Fed” does n’t like to acknowledge policy errors, but some of the decision to make a bigger cut in September is likely to fall flat because the central bank found itself behind the curve at one meeting. Thus, the decision from September is a “preemptive strike” to improve the likelihood that the central bank will be able to make a smooth landing.

The Fed’s prices calculus will cause a lot of financial reports to surface in Asia. As Powell’s team admitted in its post-easing statement, inflation remains” somewhat elevated” above the Fed’s 2 % comfort zone ( the Consumer Price Index ( CPI ) rose at a 2.5 % annualized rate in July ).

If one of the Fed’s 12 voting members did n’t disagree, the Fed’s claim that “risks to achieving its employment and inflation goals are roughly in balance” might have more weight.

Fed committee member Michelle Bowman wanted a quarter-point split. The Fed governor’s first dissention since 2005 highlights the disinterestedness of Team Powell’s decision to go 50 basis points while ensuring worldwide markets that everything is alright at home.

In Asia, focus then turns to Tokyo. On Thursday, the Bank of Japan began a two-day plan meeting. In late July, it hiked rates to the highest since 2008 — 0.25 %. The BOJ is expected to keep rates unchanged this week as financial data suggest slow economic growth is on the horizon.

The sport is parsing the BOJ’s vocabulary for any suggestions of further tightening techniques later this month, according to economists. The yen could rocket skyrocket if the smallest taste of another touching of the brakes is present.

The currency’s almost 6 % jump since July 31 is fueling real paranoia in Eastern markets. Symptoms that BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda may increase rates once more this year could lead to another loosening of the “yen-carry trade,” causing asset markets to collapse everyday.

Twenty-five times of holding costs at zero turned Japan into the world’s major bank state. For decades, funding resources &nbsp, borrowed cheaply&nbsp, in yen to bet on higher-yielding resources around the globe.

As such, immediate japanese moves slam markets almost anywhere. It became one of the nation’s most packed trades, one truly prone to correction.

The path of Fed plan is an extremely important varying as China’s market, Asia’s biggest, slows. &nbsp, That’s especially so with an obvious gap opening up at Fed office.

” My guess is they’re split”, past Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan tells CNBC. Some people around the table have the impression that they’re a little later, that they want to start strong, and that they would choose not to spend the slide chasing the business. There’ll be another that, from a threat management point of view, just want to be more careful”.

There’s a chance, nevertheless, that the Powell Fed is putting magnification over reasonable economic policy.

According to Seema Shah, chief world strategist at Principal Asset Management,” for the Fed,” it comes down to deciding whether to reinvigorate inflation pressures by cutting by 50 basis points or by threatening a recession by cutting by only 25 basis points. Having now been criticized for responding to the inflation issue very slowly, the Fed will likely be afraid of being reactive, more than strategic, to the risk of slowdown”.

However, the Powell Fed has skepticism abounds as a result of its past behavior of bowing to political factors.

Powell was chosen to lead the Fed, according to former US President Donald Trump. But, Powell soon found himself in the midst of a flurry of Trump requests that the Fed reverse its policy of easing. Trump also mulled firing Powell, an exceptional risk to the Fed’s freedom.

In 2019, the Powell Fed began cutting rates, pumping fresh liquidity into an economy that did n’t need it. That left the US even more prone to post-Covid-era prices.

The Powell Fed erred again in 2021, arguing that inflation was” transitory” as it delayed rate hikes. The most intense Fed tightening period since the mid-1990s was caused by the need to play catch up with the fighting rising prices in 2022.

The US federal debt topped US$ 35 trillion in the time, and Washington’s social unrest is raising concerns about government funding. In preparation for the November 5 vote, the Fed’s hinge is undoubtedly advantageous.

However, events at the Fed rates may affect the plan outlook. Marshall comes from a neighborhood banking history, according to Brad DeLong, an economical scholar at the University of California at Berkeley. As for, the opposition “deserves a raised eye” as Team Powell went great Wednesday.

” Since 1993 there have been just six dissents from the chairman’s place by the six different Fed Governors, compared to 71 from the rotating five voting Fed bank president”, Long information. The convention advises that governors vote with the chair to prevent the possibility that a bank president who is legally a private banker casts a vote that affects what has come to be the core policy of the government.

What’s more, DeLong points out,” there has been only one hawkish Governor dissent – until now. Governors only “in extremis” when they believe the committee’s main concern is n’t taking employment risks seriously enough, according to the convention.

That’s why Governor Bowman, a Trump appointee, is “distinctly odd”, DeLong says. ” Those holding small-scale community-banker seats on the Board of Governors are rarely the interest-rate hawk fringe outliers on the FOMC. Repayment risk is a result of community bankers ‘ real-world experience, which means that their institution’s typical portfolio suffers greatly in a recession. And I certainly did not see her as the inflation-hawk fringe of the FOMC”.

Asian policymakers are left to wonder what the Powell Fed is seeing instead of what they are. ” Despite surveys showing that the consensus is expecting a soft landing, rates markets are pricing in a full-blown recession”, says Torsten Slok, chief economist at Apollo Global Management.

The Bank of Indonesia’s surprise rate cut this week served as a reminder of how Asian economies are in charge of Fed policymaking.

The seven-day reverse repurchase rate was cut by 25 basis points to 6 % on Wednesday during Asia time, the first easing change since early 2021, even before the BI was aware of what the Fed might do.

The Federal Funds Rate direction is becoming clearer, and the rupiah is becoming comparatively stable and even stronger, according to BI Governor Perry Warjiyo.

The question is whether the Association of Southeast Asian Nations ( ASEAN ) economies can expect similar trends in global markets. ” This will increase the attraction of ASEAN”, Nirgunan Tiruchelvam, an analyst at Aletheia Capital, tells Bloomberg. In this rate-cutting environment, Indonesia in particular and ASEAN in general stand out. Due to high dividends, consumer resurgence, and high commodity prices, the area is a haven. In the 2007 and 2009 rate cuts, ASEAN was an outperformer among emerging market regions”.

For traders in the best financial centers around the world to determine where the Fed is headed will take some time. The hope, of course, is that talk of a US soft landing bears out.

The higher prints at the start of the year increasingly appear to be residual seasonality rather than reacceleration, according to Goldman Sachs economists in a note. A shift in the focus on labor market risks will therefore be a key theme of the meeting.

Asks Jason Draho, head of asset allocation at UBS Financial Services:” When will investors think the&nbsp, Fed&nbsp, is ahead of the curve and proactively exercising its’ put’? Because investors have been implicitly asking that question and hoping for this outcome all summer long, this is the most crucial question.

Before Asia is aware of the Fed’s rate-lowering intentions, it will undoubtedly take some time. However, policymakers are anxious and gearing up for bolder moves as a result of the Fed’s assertive cut this week.

Follow William Pesek on X at @WilliamPesek

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Hezbollah wrongly thought its low-tech pagers were safe – Asia Times

On September 17, 2024, electronic pagers across Lebanon exploded instantly, injuring more than 2,700 people and killing 12 others. The following morning, another flood of explosions in the country came from detonating walkie-talkies. People of the violent party Hezbollah were reportedly the targets of the problems.

According to US officers cited by The New York Times, the pagers attack involved bombs that Israeli employees planted in the communications products. According to the report, Hezbollah had just ordered a package of pagers.

Quietly attacking the supply chain is hardly a new tactic employed in intelligence and military operations. According to a 2010 NSA inside document, the US National Security Agency intercepted computer hardware intended for international customers, inserted malware or additional surveillance devices, and then repackaged it for shipment to specific foreign customers.

This is different from gaining access to a certain person’s computer, as happened in 1996 when Israel’s Shin Bet allegedly injected bombs into a cellphone to mildly shoot a Hamas bombmaker.

Hezbollah, a lifelong attack of Israel, had increased its use of pagers in the midst of the Hamas assault on Israel on October 7, 2023. By shifting to somewhat low-tech communication products, including pagers and walkie-talkies, Hezbollah evidently sought an edge against Israel’s well-known intelligence in recording targets through their phones.

pieces of a destroyed electronic device
The next wave of bombs in Lebanon involved walkie-talkies. AP Photo

Cellphones: The best monitor

In addition to users, criminals, and the mobile phone company itself, I see mobile devices as the main tracking tool for both government and business entities as a previous cybersecurity professional and latest security researcher. Mobile phone scanning has thus helped to fight terrorism, find missing people, and solve crimes.

Likewise, wireless phone monitoring makes it easy for anyone to report a person’s most personal movements. This can be done for good, such as parental monitoring of children’s activities, assisting you in finding your vehicle in a parking lot, and promoting wicked interests like tracking a partner who is suspected of cheating on or tracking social activists and journalists. Perhaps the US military is still concerned about how its military might be able to be tracked by their phones.

Mobile machine tracking is accomplished in a variety of ways. First, there is the system location data that the phone generates as it passes nearby Crocodile devices or local cell towers, which law enforcement uses to imitate cell towers.

Additionally, there are the features that are integrated into the camera’s operating system or enabled by saved software, which users accidentally consent to by disobeying the computer’s protection plan or terms of service.

Sometimes, governments or other organizations sell the collected data for further person profiling and data mining. Additionally, modern smartphones come with Bluetooth, Wi-Fi, and GPS capabilities that can assist with tracking and capturing user movements both on the floor and via satellites.

Mobile devices may be tracked in real- or near-real-time. Popular technological methods include traditional stereo direction-finding techniques, using intelligence satellites or drones, deploying “man in the middle” tools like Stingrays to deceive mobile towers to catch and remove device traffic, or installing malware such as Pegasus, made by Jewish cyberarms company NSO to record a device’s location.

Using less advanced and less time-efficient methods, users may be able to determine general user locations based on their online activity. This can be done by using website logs or the metadata contained in social media posts, or by working with data brokers to obtain location data from apps that users might download to their devices.

Indeed, because of these vulnerabilities, the leader of Hezbollah earlier this year advised his members to avoid using cellular phones in their activities, noting that Israel’s” surveillance devices are in your pockets. Look at the phone in your hands as well as those of your children if you’re looking for the Israeli agent.

Researchers have shown how these features, often intended for the user’s convenience, can be used by governments, companies and criminals to track people in their daily lives and even predict movements. Many people still are n’t aware of how much information their mobile devices reveal about them.

Pagers, however, unlike mobile phones, can be harder to track depending on whether they support two-way communication.

Why go low-tech

A pager that only records messages is unable to provide a tracking signal for its owner. Therefore, Hezbollah’s use of pagers likely made it more challenging to track their operatives– thus motivating Israeli intelligence services ‘ purported attack on the supply chain of Hezbollah’s pagers.

After the 9/11 attacks, it became difficult for the technologically superior Western intelligence agencies to locate Osama bin Laden for years by using low-tech tactics and personal couriers while avoiding the use of mobile phones and digital tools.

In general, I think the adversary in an asymmetric conflict that employs low-tech strategies, tactics, and technology will almost always be able to compete successfully against a more powerful and well-funded foe.

The US military’s Millennium Challenge war game from 2002 is a well-known illustration of this anomaly in action. Among other things, the insurgent Red forces, led by Marine General Paul van Riper, used low-tech tactics including motorcycle couriers instead of cellphones to evade the Blue forces ‘ high-tech surveillance.

The Red team won the contest within 24 hours of the exercise’s start, forcing the exercise planners to controversially reset and update the scenario to ensure a Blue team victory.

Lessons for everyone

Everyone is reminded that you can be and are likely to be tracked in various ways and for various purposes by terrorist organizations like Hezbollah and al-Qaida by not using smartphones.

Israel’s purported response to Hezbollah’s actions also holds a lesson for everyone. It demonstrates that any device in your life can be compromised by a hacker before you even receive it, in terms of cybersecurity.

Richard Forno is principal lecturer in computer science and electrical engineering, University of Maryland, Baltimore County

This article was republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article.

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Commentary: 7-Eleven should make its prospective buyer pay a lot more

STRATEGY FOR SEVEN &amp, I

How&nbsp, to force Couche-Tard up? Miss the&nbsp, Seven &amp, i’s classification of being” key” to Japan’s national protection. The event rests on price.

The good news is that Seven &amp, i has the right plan: Focus on pleasure businesses and increase worldwide, jettisoning different styles. With the visit of an independent plan committee, chair split from the chief executive officer position, and a&nbsp, governance has improved. These developments came as a result of ValueAct Capital’s campaign force.

What is left is to give customers trust in the shipment. The organization sent mixed emails in April, with contrasting comments on the future of its shops giving the impression&nbsp, of domestic dispute. The company then says it has “actionable strategies” to access value. &nbsp, Time to show, never tell.

The rapid get would be to buy all non-core investments. Compared to the initial public offering the company is considering, a simple return from superstores may be quicker and simpler. A near-50 per cent interest in Seven Bank, with a US$ 2.4 billion industry capitalisation, may command a premium price.

Seven &amp, i&nbsp, could also declare fast moves to slope up cost-cutting at 7-Eleven in the US. Even with low-margin gas sales, its profitability is far below that of the Japanese company.

Given the trajectory of the property under his leadership, CEO Ryuichi Isaka properly struggle to get over investors. It’s hard to change management in the middle of a pay situation, but the board was at least connect management’s pay&nbsp, much more tightly to rapid implementation of the strategy.

Maybe there’ll be no deal and history wo n’t happen. If the only reason is that Couche-Tard was unwilling to pay a full and fair price, good.

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US sanctions should stop hurting American business – Asia Times

Whether Donald Trump or Kamala Harris will lead the next US presidency, it will need to create numerous difficult choices to ensure long-term and robust economic growth.

The incoming Biden administration’s plan to overhaul the current restrictions program in ways that put economy before politics, for example.

American businesses are suffering from politically inspired sanctions that were intended to hurt foreign adversaries who are undoubtedly doing just as much, and in some cases, more harm to US business interests.

For instance, the US tariffs on aluminum and steel tripled as a result of the escalating conflict with China, which caused the country’s companies to suffer and source input from Chinese suppliers.

In terms of the economic harm US policymakers allegedly believed they would cause, disciplinary US sanctions against Russian firms have largely failed.

However, the actions frequently have caused American businesses to boom and also have greatly impacted the country’s economy, which also contributes to Washington’s continued use of the buck as yet another form of sanctions.

Two American firms ‘ cases — International Paper Company and Arconic Corporation—stand out as sobering stories.

After the US authorities imposed sanctions against American business activities that, International Paper Co, a leading US manufacturer of packaging materials and cellulose materials, had to stop operating and promote its ownership interest in Russia.

In change, International Paper Co completely closed its three firms in Orange, Texas, Riegelwood, North Carolina, and Pensacola, Florida at the end of next year.

The shutdowns reduced the company’s production by about 1.3 million tons ( 8.3 % ), and over 900 employees were laid off. According to media reports, the complete shutdown expenses amounted to some US$ 664 million.

Despite the fact that the package did not ultimately come through, the sanctions-caused turmoil led to acquisition discussions with Suzano, the largest Portuguese papers and pulp company in Latin America. Since then, there have n’t been any known reports of the company’s production recovery or potential merger.

Perhaps more intriguing is Arconic Corporation’s event. In November 2022, the firm was essentially forced to sell 100 % of its Russia-based firm, which commenced activities in 2007.

After the sanctions-forced divestiture, Arconic Corporation recorded a$ 304 million after-tax loss on the sale in the last quarter of 2022.

According to the Des Moines Register, the firm entered into an agreement and a consolidation program in May 2023 to been acquired by money managed by Apollo Global Management, Inc. members.

In Q1 2023, Arconic Corporation’s accounts payable were$ 1.5 billion and its net profit dropped by almost 40 % to$ 25 million from$ 42 million in 2022 quarter on quarter.

Davenport Works, Arconic Corporation’s key manufacturing center located in Iowa, had 2, 400 people in the fall of 2023.

The Quad Cities Metropolitan Area, which includes Rock Island and Moline in Illinois and Davenport and Bettendorf in Iowa, was finally included among the ten largest companies.

But, after the deal closed in August 2023, Arconic Corp’s stock stopped trading on the New York Stock Exchange. Since the company is then privately held, public opinion is not currently being offered on its production indicators.

These two are just two of the numerous large American firms that are enduring Washington’s increasingly harsh sanctions regime. Small and medium-sized enterprises furthermore face major challenges from US restrictions, which generally prove fatal to their operations.

If America’s following head opt to establish new politically motivated restrictions, American firms and their employees will feel the pain as much, if not more, than America’s enemies. And at a time when the US market as a whole is gaining ground. &nbsp,

However, neither candidate seems possible to roll up sanctions and emphasize US business interests. Harris’s Democrats have championed the present storm of sanctions, meaning she’ll probably survive Biden’s policies.

Trump’s success, on the other hand, is likely to ratchet up the price war he started with China in his previous administration. He has pledged to impose tariffs on nations that help de-dollarization initiatives.

In any case, regardless of which party will win the Oval Office in November, it would be wise to evaluate and modify policies that prioritize political considerations and issues over British business interests.

That would n’t need to mean burying the hatchet and making friends with Russia’s Putin or China’s Xi. The next president will still have plenty of ways to impose sanctions on allies and change them in ways that benefit American businesses rather than harm them. It’s great time to do so.

Jason Rivers is a freelance blogger and former investment bank researcher with a focus on US politics, economy, and international relations.

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