China’s Xi arrives in Peru for APEC summit, Biden meeting

APEC, created in 1989 with the goal of regional trade liberalisation, brings up 21 economies that simultaneously reflect about 60 per cent of&nbsp, world&nbsp, GDP and over 40 per cent of global business. On Thursday, &nbsp, APEC&nbsp, officials, &nbsp, including&nbsp, US Secretary of State Antony Blinken, held their own conferenceContinue Reading

Hemisphere Ventures opens in Singapore amid SEA expansion | FinanceAsia

Hemisphere Ventures, a US venture capital and consulting firm known for early-stage investments in space, cybersecurity, biotech, nanotech, drones, robotics, and other frontier technologies, has opened a new office in Singapore, marking its first expansion into Southeast Asia ( SEA ).

Established in 2014, Hemisphere has a collection of US border tech investments, with home offices as investors. Illustrations of markets include area, security, bioscience, nanotech, drones, robotics, and another frontier technologies

Leading the agency’s rise in SEA is Chip Whittemore, who has just been promoted to managing companion. In his new role, Whittmore may direct Hemisphere’s Singapore activity, building relationships with local shareholders, founders, and important stakeholders. According to a media transfer, Hemisphere has also been given the task of utilizing its US network to connect SEA startups with existing collection companies. &nbsp,

Lisa Rich, founder of Hemisphere Ventures, said in the relieve:” Hemisphere’s devotion to the development ecosystem has gone world. Our new company in Singapore makes it easier for startups to interact with global markets and encourages engagement there.

As both skill and cash flow to the area, Processor’s leadership and vision will be crucial to unlocking growth opportunities in the area’s SEA, which is ripe for growth.

According to the transfer, the number of home offices in Singapore has more than tripled since 2020, with 250 more ones established in the first eight month of 2024. &nbsp,

Singapore offers a secure and attractive location for investments in innovative technology, with access to SEA’s high-growth options, according to Chip. I’m excited to direct Hemisphere’s development, and connect owners and traders to the global business marketplace”.

¬ Capitol Media Limited. All rights reserved.

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Hemisphere Ventures opens in Singapore in SEA expansion | FinanceAsia

Hemisphere Ventures, a US venture capital and consulting firm known for early-stage investments in space, cybersecurity, biotech, nanotech, drones, robotics, and other frontier technologies, has opened a new office in Singapore, marking its first expansion into Southeast Asia ( SEA ).

Established in 2014, Hemisphere has a collection of US border tech investments, with home offices as investors. Illustrations of markets include&nbsp, speed, security, biotechnology, nanotech, drones, robotics, and another frontier technologies

Leading the agency’s rise in SEA is Chip Whittemore, who has just been promoted to managing companion. In his new role, Whittmore may direct Hemisphere’s Singapore activity, building relationships with local shareholders, founders, and important stakeholders. According to a media launch, Hemisphere has also been given the task of utilizing its U&nbsp network, which includes facilitating connections between clients and existing collection companies in SEA. &nbsp,

Lisa Rich, founder of Hemisphere Ventures, said in the media relieve:” Hemisphere’s devotion to the development ecosystem has gone world. Our new business in Singapore makes it easier for startups to interact with global markets and encourages engagement there.

As both skill and cash flow to the area, Processor’s leadership and vision will be crucial to unlocking growth opportunities in the area’s SEA, which is ripe for growth.

Since 2020, the number of home offices in Singapore has more than tripled, with 250 more opening in the first eight month of 2024.

Singapore offers a secure and attractive location for investments in sophisticated technology, with access to SEA’s high-growth options, according to Chip. I’m excited to direct Hemisphere’s development, and connect owners and traders to the global business marketplace”.

¬ Plaza Media Limited. All rights reserved.

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From ‘flexible rents’ to foreign manpower: PSP’s proposals on supporting hawkers and what the government says

PSP: ALLOW STALLS TO HIRE ONE Job Force Owner

Mr. Leong suggested that each cooked foods stall barn, along with drinks and reduce fruit stalls, be allowed to have one work permit owner as a barn assistant to combat the lack of staff.

Because there is only one work permit holder per stall, he said, “our policy proposal does not undermine the Malaysian character of our hawker centers.” &nbsp,

GOVERNMENT: European MANPOWER MAY ALTER NATURE OF HAWKER Areas

The government’s attitude of just allowing citizens and permanent residents to work in hawker centres is meant to protect this aspect of Singapore’s personality, said Dr Koh.

” A entire liberalisation for overseas workforce perhaps alter the nature of our hawker centres significantly”, he said.

He cited the government’s effort to strike a balance with the recent news that stall stalls will be able to get long-term visitor pass holders as assistants starting on January 1. &nbsp,

https://www.channelnewsasia.com/singapore/hawker-stalls-can-hire-long-term-visit-pass-holders-stall-assistants-4676341

Our hawker centers are a significant component of our cultural history, according to the statement. We talk quite cautiously about making these techniques because they are unique and our local character is something we want to keep,” he said.

He claimed that concerns about seeing more immigrants working in stall centers were raised in 2010, and that Dr. Koh said that some Singaporeans may still not be able to deal with that.

PSP: GOVERNMENT SHOULD PROVIDE TARGETED Savings

Mr. Leong suggested that the government should pay for targeted meals discounts for Pioneer, Merdeka, and CHAS customers at all stalls centers and give more CDC tickets to low-income households in place of requiring them to give “budget meals” at their own cost.

According to Mr. Leong,” I do n’t think there is any other industry where we contractually require suppliers to sell goods below a certain price.” &nbsp,

The Housing and Development Board ( HDB) approved the 2018 introduction of the budget food program for new coffee shops. It was recently expanded to personal network operators and expanded to include all other HDB coffee shops next year. &nbsp,

GOVERNMENT: AFFORDABLE BUT NOT BELOW MARKET PRICE

Sim Ann, the senior minister of state for national development, refuted Mr. Leong’s claim that peddlers had to buy cheap dishes at HDB coffee shops at market rates.

We do n’t need them to be lower, but the prices should be more reasonable than those of nearby options, according to Ms. Sim. &nbsp,

As long as the coffee shop owner makes sure four to six of these meals are available, she continued, no every stall must have a budget food.

The technician is required to pass the savings on to stall holders who provide the funds meals, according to Ms Sim, and fee rebates are furthermore provided for the first year that are provided.

Additionally, Dr. Koh emphasized that “value meals” are not expected to be sold for a loss for stall holders under the social business model. Based on the current state of the market, the NEA will examine the cost and make suggestions for rate revisions.

Top Parliamentary Secretary for Finance, Shawn Huang, praised PSP’s plan to assist vulnerable parties with food reductions and more CDC tickets. &nbsp,

A middle-income family with two young children may find around S$ 4, 400 in rebates, rewards and help this year, while a lower-income household with two young children will find about S$ 6, 500, he said.

In order to provide more assistance to low-income seniors, the state also increased the amount of Gold Assistance that is offered each quarter and the earnings cap.

PSP: SET UP CENTRAL PROCUREMENT SYSTEM FOR CHEAPER Materials

Ms. Poa even made a few policy recommendations, including creating a central procurement system to offer hawkers cheaper ingredients through half purchasing.

According to her,” Hawkers have the option of getting their products through these plans, or they may choose to use their own providers if they believe their products are of higher quality or represent a competitive advantage.”

In Singapore’s government healthcare system, she claimed, there is a similar centralized purchasing program.

A centralized procurement system that can buy necessary raw ingredients for hawkers in Singapore would not be a huge stretch.

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Whooping cough vaccine urged for children

Bangkok college closes for 15 weeks, moves courses online after infections detected

Students take an express boat to school in Bangkok. (Photo: Chanat Katanyu)
In Bangkok, individuals travel by express ship to their classrooms. ( Photo: Chanat Katanyu )

After screaming sneeze started to spread in a Bangkok class, the Ministry of Public Health is urging people to get the vaccine, particularly children and those who come into contact with them.

After at least two kids were discovered to be infected, the Bangkok Demonstration School announced on Wednesday that it would shut down and do online instruction for 15 days to ensure students ‘ protection.

Pertussis, also known as whooping coughing, is an infectious bacterial disease of the respiratory system. By breathing or sneezing, it quickly spreads through the air.

Whooping cough typically occurs in uninsured kids and at locations such as schools and gardens, according to Dr Taweesin Witsanuyothin, director-general of the Department of Medical Services.

The disorder usually begins as a common cold and develops to a more serious level of breathing fiercely, vomiting and creating a “whooping” noise when inhaling, according to Dr Akkarathan Jittanuyanon, chairman of the Queen Sirikit National Institute of Child Health,.

The symptoms can significantly impact high-risk organizations, such as kids under 1 year old and pregnant people.

The illness should be vaccinated against in younger people and those who are at risk. Parents should carefully monitor their babies if they show any symptoms, Dr Akkarathan emphasised.

If whooping cough outbreaks are discovered, state schools may near periodically, according to education minister Permpoon Chidchob on Wednesday.

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Comparing North and South Korea’s support for two illegal wars – Asia Times

In recent past, two world powers – first the United States in Iraq and eventually Russia in Ukraine – initiated conflicts that were commonly regarded as questionable, if not outright improper, by much of the global community. Both of these problems sparked heated debate and scrutiny, not just for the aggressors ‘ behavior but also for the international response and alliances they sparked.

Two responses, in particular, have out for their resemblance and political sarcasm: the selection by South Korea to send troops to Iraq in 2004, and North Korea’s new move to give support to Russia in Ukraine. This parallel between the Asian states ‘ respective political systems reveals complex interconnectedness, allegiances, and evolving norms governing foreign military treatments.

A tale of two attacks

The earth was distinctly divided when the United States invaded Iraq in 2003. The alleged presence of weapons of mass destruction ( WMDs ) in Iraq was the US’s official justification for the invasion, which was later refuted. However, the Bush administration went forth, citing a desire to promote democracy and remove threats to global stability.

The war was not approved by the UN. The intervention was criticized as unlawful by the UN secretary general and numerous specific nations, including many European allies. Despite global demonstrations and social criticism, the war proceeded, sparking what would become one of the most controversial war of the 21st century.

Nearly two decades later, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine unfolded in a similar surroundings of international condemnation. Russia asserted that it was responding to safety concerns and that Ukraine’s residents were being treated unfairly by NATO’s expansion and Russian-speaking groups. Supporters make a distinction between the two, claiming that Ukraine is a neighboring state allied to European powers that threaten Russia’s immediate safety while Iraq is a royal state on the other side of the planet that does not pose a threat to the US.

Regardless, the majority of the country’s nations, especially in the West, denounced Russia’s activities as unwarranted aggression and an unconstitutional violation of Ukraine’s independence. Countries all over Europe and beyond imposed sanctions on Russia while supporting Ukraine, and the UN General Assembly largely condemned the war.

South Korea’s assistance for the US in Iraq

South Korea made the decision to send troops to support the partnership 18 weeks after the US invaded Iraq. This decision was important because South Korea, as a close ally of the United States, was under significant pressure to demonstrate its help for Washington’s plans. South Korea became one of the largest forces contributors to the alliance, behind only the United Kingdom, with the implementation of the Zaytun Division, which included around 3,600 North Korean soldiers. Nevertheless, the decision was not without controversy internally.

Substantial monetary bonuses also contributed to South Korea’s decision to support the United States and dispatch forces. This included continued US military ( including technology ) support, favorable trade conditions crucial for an export-driven economy, and lucrative contracts in construction, energy and telecommunications in Iraqi reconstruction. These economic advantages at the time significantly contributed to South Korea’s growth into Middle Eastern industry.

In South Korea, common opinion on the Iraq War was greatly divided. Many South Koreans viewed the conflict as a United States ‘ “misuse of energy” and an international agreement-brokering. However, South Korea’s state argued that the empire with the US was major, especially given the ongoing defense tension with North Korea. So, South Korea saw a way to strengthen its proper ties with the US, hoping for continued security guarantees and political support for the Korean Peninsula.

North Korea’s aid for Russia in Ukraine

Today, over 30 times into the fight in Ukraine, North Korea has sent military aid to Russia. Although the precise nature of this aid is still undetermined, evidence suggests that North Korea has already deployed military forces and provided ordnance shells and other ammunition to Russian forces, although the role they may enjoy is still unclear. In light of the international sanctions and loneliness that both nations are experiencing, North Korea’s support indicates a more comprehensive alliance with Russia.

In supporting Russia, North Korea has possible secured vital power supplies, food aid and potential access to advanced military technology, which are essential for its struggling economy. Moreover, it is likely that direct funds or in-kind payments may add to the government’s capacity to maintain control within the regime.

The choice also reflects North Korea’s long-standing anti-Western attitude and want to balance US influence in East Asia. North Korea sends a powerful concept of disobedience to what it perceives as American imperialism by supporting Russia in Ukraine. Additionally, North Korea has a significant ally in a world where there are few and its economy and tools are severely restricted by international sanctions because of aligning itself with Russia. Russia, in turn, increases from North Korea’s artillery offer, easing its possess weapons shortages on the forefront in Ukraine.

Norms are dead, long live geopolitical irony! &nbsp,

The irony of these events is not lost on observers. Each of the two rival states on the Korean Peninsula found itself allied with a superpower that was accused of carrying out illegal aggression. The decisions were strategic moves that emphasized the Koreas ‘ respective geopolitical alliances, not necessarily in accordance with the aggressors ‘ justifications.

South Korea’s participation in Iraq, while controversial, demonstrated its alignment with the Western world and its dependence on the US security umbrella, a crucial factor in its security strategy against North Korea. Similarly, North Korea’s support for Russia highlights its resistance to Western influence and a desire to maintain the balance of power in East Asia by aligning itself with a powerful, albeit embattled, Russia.

Further research is also needed regarding how international law and norms affect state behavior in these parallel decisions. Both superpowers acted in ways they believed were in line with their national interests despite the widespread condemnation and the possibility of diplomatic friction. Both South Korea and North Korea gave their strategic alliances precedence over strict adherence to international legal standards, which highlights the limitations of international law when national security is perceived as being at stake.

The two cases make a strong argument that “middle power” norms are, and always were, dependent on national interest. There is no such thing as” good international citizenship”. It is wholly dependent on national interest.

In the end, these cases demonstrate that international alliances often exert a stronger influence on state behavior than adherence to global norms or concerns about the legality of military actions. South Korea’s assistance for the US in Iraq and North Korea’s aid for Russia in Ukraine both highlight how secondary states navigate complex webs of power and influence. The priorities of both Koreas remain their national interestw and the maintenance of alliances that offer them some leverage and stability in an unpredictable world.

The complex nature of international relations and the strong sway of alliances are demonstrated by South Korea and North Korea’s decisions to engage in wars that are widely regarded as illegal. The two Koreas, though ideologically opposed, responded similarly when they were pressured&nbsp, – and offered incentives – by their superpower allies. These choices, in contrast to the increasingly multipolar world where great power competition has resumed, show how small states continue to play strategic roles, frequently placing geopolitical advantage before universal principles.

Jeffrey Robertson is an academic, consultant and writer focusing on foreign affairs, diplomacy and the Korean Peninsula. &nbsp, This article was originally published&nbsp, on his Substack, Diplomatic Seoul, and is republished with permission. Read more here.

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Azerbaijan takes driver’s seat in global climate negotiations but oil legacy fuels concerns over commitment

Even though that would improve Azerbaijan’s personal national emissions of greenhouse gases, it only raises the issue of polluters purchasing its gas exports. &nbsp,

Export emissions are usually not included in climate finance, leaving nations that buy and use energy with a burden of pollution.

It is why there should be increased attention on the overall energy network, from producer to seller to buyer, much of which has a strong American footprint, said Ms Kate Watters, director of Crude Accountability, a animal rights and economic watchdog for the Persian Basin.

She has serious concerns about the allegations of Azerbaijan’s weak human rights history, lack of transparency on key issues and rooted levels of corruption, byproducts of a resource-heavy, generally state-controlled business.

She cited the significant investments made by companies like BP, Total, and ExxonMobil, Europe’s growing dependence on its energy exports, and the international green funding flowing to solar power projects that are truly substituting in place of the national gas that supplies Azerbaijan’s oil sector.” I think one of the most important things to understand is our responsibility as Western consumers of fossil fuels in what’s happening in Azerbaijan best then,” she said.

Are they simply exporting their carbon pollution to Europe if we examine the entire supply chain from beginning to end? Does that actually address the concerns about how to achieve a more green coming and less carbon emissions? No, it merely pushes the bits around”, she said.

According to the 2023 Corruption Perceptions Index, published by Transparency International, Azerbaijan ranks 154th out of 180 countries with a rating of 23 out of 100, making it one of the most crooked countries in the world.

In October, members of the German parliament highly condemned the” Azerbaijan regime’s historic home and extraterritorial repression of activists, journalists, opposition leaders, and people” and even labelled its “ongoing human rights abuses… incompatible with its hosting of the climate event”.

They requested that the EU-Azerbaijani strategic energy partnership be suspended.

The UN Human Rights Council’s Universal Periodic Review Working Group also reviewed Azerbaijan’s human rights record for the fourth time in late 2023, and 319 recommendations were made.

The government agreed to adopt 185 of those, including measures related to civil and political rights, anti-corruption and national human rights legislation.

In order to “discredit the image of Azerbaijan and undermine its position,” President Ilham Aliyev has previously referred to allegations of corruption by his family and government as “insinuations or half truths.”

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Raised on oil: Azerbaijan takes the driver’s seat in global climate talks but will ‘black gold’ legacy threaten its green transition?

Even though that would improve Azerbaijan’s individual national emissions of greenhouse gases, it only raises the issue of polluters purchasing its gas exports. &nbsp,

Export emissions are generally not included in climate finance, leaving nations that buy and use power with a burden of pollution.

It is why there should be increased attention on the overall energy network, from producer to seller to buyer, much of which has a strong American footprint, said Ms Kate Watters, director of Crude Accountability, a animal rights and economic watchdog for the Persian Basin.

She has serious concerns about the allegations of Azerbaijan’s weak human rights history, lack of transparency on key issues and rooted levels of corruption, byproducts of a resource-heavy, generally state-controlled business.

She cited the significant investments made by companies like BP, Total, and ExxonMobil, Europe’s growing dependence on its energy exports, and the international green funding flowing to solar power projects that are truly substituting in place of the national gas that supplies Azerbaijan’s oil sector.” I think one of the most important things to understand is our responsibility as Western consumers of fossil fuels in what’s happening in Azerbaijan best then,” she said.

Are they simply exporting their carbon pollution to Europe if we examine the entire supply chain from beginning to end? Does that actually address the concerns about how to achieve a more green coming and less carbon emissions? No, it merely pushes the bits around”, she said.

According to the 2023 Corruption Perceptions Index, published by Transparency International, Azerbaijan ranks 154th out of 180 locations with a score of 23 out of 100, making it one of the most crooked countries in the world.

In October, members of the German parliament highly condemned the” Azerbaijan regime’s historic home and extraterritorial repression of activists, journalists, opposition leaders, and people” and even labelled its “ongoing human rights abuses… incompatible with its hosting of the climate event”.

They requested that the EU-Azerbaijani strategic energy partnership be suspended.

The UN Human Rights Council’s Universal Periodic Review Working Group also reviewed Azerbaijan’s human rights record for the fourth time in late 2023, and 319 recommendations were made.

The government agreed to adopt 185 of those, including measures related to civil and political rights, anti-corruption and national human rights legislation.

In order to “discredit the image of Azerbaijan and undermine its position,” President Ilham Aliyev has previously referred to allegations of corruption by his family and government as “insinuations or half truths.”

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China’s .4 trillion debt swap girds for Trump tariffs to come – Asia Times

The US$ 1.4 trillion debt swap package announced by China today ( November 8 ) may have a more significant impact than what might seem.

The shift to mortgage regional authorities bill, approved by the Standing Committee of the National People’s Congress, marks the first such effort since 2015 to increase the debt roof for communities.

It comes amid concerns about a new Donald Trump presidency that will restore world trade wars, inflationary pressures, and great youth unemployment.

The swap agreement, according to Finance Minister Lan Fo’an, “is a big policy decision taking into account international and domestic advancement environments, the need to maintain the stability of the financial and fiscal operations, and the actual development situation of nearby governments.”

Lan reckons the swap might save roughly 600 billion yuan ( US$ 84 billion ) in interest payments over five years, freeing additional resources to boost investment and consumption. As of the close of 2023, Lan estimates, China’s excellent hidden debt was 14.3 trillion yuan.

Some economists think Friday’s action is enough to revive assurance, as evidenced by a fall in stocks and the renminbi. Most people do n’t believe that this will be the final attempt to alter the story.

As Carlos&nbsp, Casanova, scholar at Union Bancaire Privée, sees it,” the local authorities debt swap program remains inadequate, but extra measures could inspire a recovery in personal investment and a broadening of local consumption”.

Some economists believe that there might still be room for more immediate action to increase home need. What the transfer system may do, though, is get Xi’s Communist Party some time to implement critically needed changes.

Everyone is aware that Team Xi needs to concentrate on strengthening money markets and repairing the property market. Beijing has act more quickly to lessen its hold on power over state-owned enterprises and create more room for startups to stifle the economy. Additionally, authorities had create stronger social safety nets to encourage families to invest more and keep less.

However, despite the desire for these improvements, international investors rarely grant Beijing the patience to carry them out. And efforts to fix, change or adapt China’s economic engines are sure to lower rise significantly. Markets, though, wo n’t hear of it.

Any hint of disappointing island progress causes Chinese stocks to be sold off by international investors. It encourages economists all over to describe the decline in global progress, trade flows, and commodity prices in frequently depressing, market-deflating conditions.

It results in Xi becoming the financial relative of a CEO struggling to produce quarterly earnings. This pattern fosters short-termism, which is one that contributes to Beijing’s gradual progress with China Inc.

Granted, Xi’s group does itself no privileges by continuing to reveal annual development goals. Setting subjective GDP goals year after year distorts incentives and causes policymakers to promote trigger over supply-side retooling.

With this most recent trigger explosion, Xi’s reform team may gain some reluctance from global markets. It’s ambitious enough to convince skeptical people that China is committed to permanently putting an end to recession.

Restoring trust “relies on fiscal and monetary policy help lifting minimum demand”, says Alex Muscatelli, scientist at Fitch Ratings. ” If present trends in the home market are exacerbated, price falls may be entrenched”.

Muscatelli adds that there is a chance of sustained value declines as a result of the “potential exacerbation of recent supply and demand styles coupled with demographic and debts overhang challenges.”

Avoiding that “exacerbation” means pairing monetary and fiscal stimulus with strong revamping moves to increase China’s dynamic activity.

Premier Li Qiang stated in a statement at the China International Import Expo that Beijing has “ample room for fiscal plan and financial policy,” adding that the country will meet the country’s 5 % goal this year. ” The Taiwanese government has the ability to push sustained financial improvement”, Li said.

However Trump’s re-election ups the ante on Beijing. Travel January 2025, when he’s sworn in, Trump will be on the time to hit 60 % levies on Asia’s biggest economy, as he vowed he would on the plan path.

” To mitigate rising US taxes on the market, we believe Beijing had probably scale up governmental stimulus”, says Robin Xing, a planner at Morgan Stanley. Xi may feel compelled to do something about them the more Trump raises trade tensions, according to Xing.

With a Trump success, ING Bank’s main China analyst Lynn Song adds that” the chances for a larger policy assistance package will increase fairly.”

Although China is more prepared to stifle global trade, Eurasia Group’s China practice’s managing director Rick Waters claims Beijing may struggle to stop the collateral damage.

According to Waters,” I believe the challenge is that China is still at a structural disadvantage in a trade war because they lack symmetry.” When the US imposes tariffs on them, they are unable to do so.

Song counters that” the first trade war was a game changer, many companies were caught off guard, and investors were left scrambling. Trump’s proposed tariffs have been in discussion for some time, so they should n’t surprise you much this time around.

Yet the magnitude of the trade tariffs to come could be unprecedented. Take the 100 % tariffs Trump has threatened on Mexican-made cars. How long do Toyota and Hyundai CEOs anticipate that Trump will extend their agreements to South Korea and Japan?

Ian Bremmer, president of the Eurasia Group, says,” the world’s second-largest economy is already underperforming, and Beijing is feeling increasingly defensive about the tariff threats coming from hawks like former Trump trade czar Robert Lighthizer”.

The Chinese, Bremmer adds, “are going to be frantically trying to establish back channels to China-friendly Trump allies like Elon Musk, hoping they can facilitate a less confrontational relationship. Trump’s hawks will gain favors and demand an even more confrontational strategy, or both? Beijing will move cautiously and slowly in this environment”.

Alicia García-Herrero, chief Asia-Pacific economist at Natixis, notes that an “insufficient stimulus package, coming on the heels of Trump’s re-election” would backfire, meaning China “needs to find other sources of growth because trade will not make it”.

Another concern is how these and other Trump levies might conflict with Wells Fargo &amp, Co.’s strategy to lower interest rates, writes Brendan McKenna.

More tariffs could fan inflation, he says, adding that the Fed easing “less aggressively” than currently forecast could “act as a tailwind for the dollar”.

China is hardly recession-bound. Data on exports in October, for example, signaled a healthy acceleration — the biggest upshift in activity since mid-2022. In response to Trump’s tariffs, some analysts wonder if Beijing might devalue the yuan in retaliation.

” Beijing might look to devalue the yuan as they did in 2018-2019 to counter tariff effects and boost export competitiveness”, says Dilin Wu, a research strategist at brokerage Pepperstone.

It’s a difficult balancing act. China, after all, is facing multiple challenges from several angles. And if the yuan falls, the biggest of all might get worse. If the yuan drops significantly, property developers who have sizable offshore debt may find it more difficult to make payments.

China’s obsession with annual growth goals plays a major role in the weaker yuan argument. It’s become a particular distraction since the 2008-2009 Lehman Brothers crisis era.

Since then, China’s growth model has relied heavily on municipal leaders around the nation ordering up huge projects: six-lane highways, monorails, international airports, stadiums, conference and shopping centers, city hall complexes, corporate campus districts, five-star hotels, massive museums.

For local government leaders, making China’s annual numbers has dominated the economic incentive structure. A motivated local powerbroker can consistently turn in above-average GDP rates, which is the quickest way to capture Beijing’s attention.

When Xi rose to power in 2012, he pledged to let market forces play a “decisive” role in economic policymaking. Beijing has worked for the past five years to lessen risk in the financial system and reduce risks for property developers to demonstrate this. However, the GDP goal contradicts that priority.

The problem, argues Thomas Helbling, deputy director of the International Monetary Fund’s Asia-Pacific unit, is that” the economy is very investment heavy”.

The biggest headwinds China’s way is being slowed by the property crisis and falling global demand, according to the IMF. Yet, so is a growth model that encourages unproductive borrowing.

Beijing, Helbling says, must level the playing field for private businesses to compete with state-owned enterprises. To encourage consumption and boost investment in education and technology, it must create a strong social safety net. Pension reforms are also crucial to dealing with China’s aging population.

” If you do those reforms, there is an upside to growth”, Helbling concludes.

Follow William Pesek on X at @WilliamPesek

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Commentary: In wake of US election, conditions are ripe for a more active ASEAN bloc

CEMENTING ASEAN’S BARGAINING RESERVOIR

Although it is true that the US and China’s GDP differences will probably increase as they compete against the next big strength, smaller nations may have stronger bargaining positions. Places like Malaysia, Brazil, Turkey, Mexico, Indonesia and Botswana are rising upper-middle-income states with growing negotiation power and control.

Use financial strength, which is anchored in rationality and lodging, as ASEAN’s negotiations reservoir to demand for extended neutrality and resistance to picking sides.

This strategy, however, calls for a withdrawal from a silent non-alignment stance to one that is cautious, considered, and strategic neutrality. It is, therefore, appropriate for ASEAN to contemplate deepening economic inclusion, both internally and externally with another coalitions.

This might take a variety of forms, all of which are of economic nature and do n’t seek political integration like the EU model does. The most significant of these is the ASEAN Power Grid, which aims to integrate the power systems of member states and which has widely-accepted benefits ( decarbonisation, creating up to 9, 000 jobs annually ). Resolving the Laos-Thailand-Malaysia-Singapore pilot implementation grab is concern, as this would create regional-level planning skills. With this, discussions about grid system funding will also following, serving as a check for region-wide funding structures.

Another related meaningful financial integration is local infrastructure development, quite as highways and railways, that are supported by local funding mechanisms. Labour mobility might be a key component of ASEAN’s transformation from a dispersed company of various entities to a 650-million market in order for it to truly become a 650-million market. Instead of a complete free motion, which meets the stage of development of most part state, this could be focused on high-skilled skills.

On top of that, ASEAN could be used as a program for inter-regional teamwork with other big financial blocs, such as the BRICS, US, China, EU, MERCOSUR, African Union, and the Gulf Cooperation Council. ASEAN would be a leading advocate for business in the world, and this could lead to more important broad-based and/or regional free trade agreements or actions plans with investment areas.

Understandably, critics may say that ASEAN has not been an effective company specifically due to its non-interference approach, where member states may overlook local pressures and deal with business-as-usual. However, there are a few problems that favour traditional moves to combine.

One, configuration of leaders ‘ interests. Because nations compete to pass up or down the price ring, the leaders of the majority of member states place economic growth before other measures. Technology and renewable energy are also prominent topics on the leaders ‘ agenda of the member states. There is also a desire to prove themselves through a strong financial and investment effect, as the majority of the member states ‘ rulers were only appointed less than five years ago.

Next, trade protectionism is a worsening danger. Local economies typically form when exterior conditions are unbalanced, let alone in a trade-heavy area that has benefited from an open economy like ASEAN. In a peace, this openness to regional integration may not be as widely accepted.

Third, Malaysia Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim‘s legality of chairman in 2025. Anwar is a standout for his distinguished political past and foreign diplomacy because he is the second ASEAN leader to create trade relations with China in 1974 and has a stake in the South China Sea conflict. Anwar also has the opportunity to adopt a legacy-building steer by prioritizing substantive integration that has n’t previously been achieved as 2025 approaches the halfway point of his prime ministership.

The ASEAN’s return narrative has demonstrated how effective it is and has a wider impact on the world today. In order for ASEAN to become like the numerous facets of a rock, each separating in various ways but unified in the same light, the next decade needs more thought and proactivity.

James Chai is the creator of Sang Kancil ( Penguin Random House ), as well as a political scientist and blogger.

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