Vladimir Putin’s new attend to Beijing was a stirring victory, according to Russian and Chinese internet.
That’s what they always say.  ,
But what’s the truth? Are the Chinese and Russians actually a” no boundaries partnership” or is it just a shotgun relationship that lasts until one is free to attack the other in the back?
A friend asked for my get, so here it is:
This is not great. Putin’s and Xi Jinping’s corporate interests align – and they both smell failure and distress. They’ll stay pushing – including using proxy Iran, North Korea, Venezuela, Cuba and others.  , And they’ll gentle more fires as they go along, including  , encouraging separatists from New Caledonia to Whine to Guam.
And since the early 2000s, Russian and Chinese forces have been conducting combined education and exercises in earnest since the 2010s.  , They held combined naval and air businesses near and around Japan, and further away in the South Atlantic, Baltic Sea, Mediterranean Sea, South China Sea, Indian Ocean and yet near Alaska.  , And there are surface activities in Siberia.
One suspects that both leaders see a window of opportunity that they could n’t have imagined four years ago and are trying to take advantage of their adversaries, particularly America and its friends.
Well, but …
Do n’t the Russians have a visceral dislike of Chinese? Sure they do. But it does n’t matter.  , No right today, anyway.
Do n’t the Chinese want to retake the land they once lost to the Russians through conquest and unfair agreements in the past? Yes, they do – and they think that, when the day comes, they’ll take it back.  ,
For now it does n’t matter. When Portugal offered to give up Macau but Beijing wanted to resolve the Hong Kong problem second, they will get it” when the time is right,” as they said in 1974.
Is n’t Putin afraid of getting rolled by the Chinese, who see him at a disadvantage? Or, if you wake up and discover that there are five Shenzhens on the other side of the northeast borders, where there are few Russians and tens of millions of Chinese, Perhaps. Is that going to change his selections?  , No.
He and Xi Jinping see a chance to reset the earth, and they’re going to continue to put pressure on as much as possible.
As he bade adieu to Putin at the Kremlin in March, 2023, Xi said:” Right now there are changes – the likes of which we have n’t seen for 100 years– and we are the ones driving these changes together”.
Putin reportedly replied:” I agree”.
This really n’t had surprised everyone, considering the nature of the two systems.  ,
Yes, there may be restrictions on their military assistance, but they are finally mutually beneficial because they put the United States and its allies ( and potential friends ) on the back foot.  , However, a good part of the therefore- called Global South ( developing countries ) sees the Russians and Chinese as having the speed.
Look what happened late in Niger, where the Americans were told to find lost – and the Russians,” Welcome aboard”.
And it’s the political back- preventing that really matters. Acquire how the UN has been completely destroyed, as if that were actually possible.  ,
North Vietnamese punishment?  , Dead.
Sanctions-proofing
Eventually, the two nations are sanctions- proofing themselves – more weakening the US and the completely world’s ability to deter, significantly less prevail against, China and Russia– one- on- one or against both.
Take into account the financial benefits for Beijing and Moscow.  , Low energy and meals from Russia, while Russia gets essential components for its defense.  , And China’s intermediaries, Iran and North Korea, provide the Russians with all the drones, weapons, weapons and ordnance shells they need.
Then there is the possibility that Russia and China can break free of the US dollar, which is perhaps the biggest nail the country also has in its toolkit.
The parents in the room
Putin is brutal and even smart.  , Maybe he was just a late- level KGB official, but he has played and gotten the better of earth leaders for 25 years.  ,
Recall George Bush?” I was able to acquire a sense of his soul,” he said. Remember Barack Obama’s statement regarding controversial missile defence that Putin assistant Dmitri Medvedev delivered as his” this is my last election… After my election, I have more flexibility” . , France’s Emmanuel Macron and Japan’s Shinzo Abe fared no better in dealing with Putin.
Xi Jinping has n’t been at it as long as Putin, but he’s been no less successful.
Who on Team Biden frightens the Russians and the Chinese? Anyone.
Biden’s international policy staff crowed that” the people” were in charge once they arrived in 2021.  ,
In 2022, while Putin was putting up forces along Ukraine’s border, they actually revealed US intelligence to the PRC. Beijing allegedly used its effect to deter Putin from entering;  , Rather, the Chinese passed along the apple and gave Putin the go- away.
The “adults” have n’t done anything since then that has slowed down the Russians, Chinese, Iranians, North Koreans, or anyone else.
Putin and Xi may be forgiven for thinking,” If not now, when”?
But come on, Newsham, are items that bad?
There may be a bright side to all this, I’ll admit.  , But if there is one it appears to be properly hidden.
One hopes” the adults” do n’t get another four years to work more of their magic.  , Though Putin and Xi would n’t mind.
Vladimir Putin’s new attend to Beijing was a stirring victory, according to Russian and Chinese internet.
That’s what they always say.  ,
But what’s the truth? Are the Chinese and Russians actually a” no boundaries partnership” or is it just a shotgun relationship that lasts until one is free to attack the other in the back?
A friend asked for my get, so here it is:
This is not great. Putin’s and Xi Jinping’s corporate interests align – and they both smell failure and distress. They’ll stay pushing – including using proxy Iran, North Korea, Venezuela, Cuba and others.  , And they’ll gentle more fires as they go along, including  , encouraging separatists from New Caledonia to Whine to Guam.
And since the early 2000s, Russian and Chinese forces have been conducting combined education and exercises in earnest since the 2010s.  , They held combined naval and air businesses near and around Japan, and further away in the South Atlantic, Baltic Sea, Mediterranean Sea, South China Sea, Indian Ocean and yet near Alaska.  , And there are surface activities in Siberia.
One suspects that both leaders see a window of opportunity that they could n’t have imagined four years ago and are trying to take advantage of their adversaries, particularly America and its friends.
Well, but …
Do n’t the Russians have a visceral dislike of Chinese? Sure they do. But it does n’t matter.  , No right today, anyway.
Do n’t the Chinese want to retake the land they once lost to the Russians through conquest and unfair agreements in the past? Yes, they do – and they think that, when the day comes, they’ll take it back.  ,
For now it does n’t matter. When Portugal offered to give up Macau but Beijing wanted to resolve the Hong Kong problem second, they will get it” when the time is right,” as they said in 1974.
Is n’t Putin afraid of getting rolled by the Chinese, who see him at a disadvantage? Or, if you wake up and discover that there are five Shenzhens on the other side of the northeast borders, where there are few Russians and tens of millions of Chinese, Perhaps. Is that going to change his selections?  , No.
He and Xi Jinping see a chance to reset the earth, and they’re going to continue to put pressure on as much as possible.
As he bade adieu to Putin at the Kremlin in March, 2023, Xi said:” Right now there are changes – the likes of which we have n’t seen for 100 years– and we are the ones driving these changes together”.
Putin reportedly replied:” I agree”.
This really n’t had surprised everyone, considering the nature of the two systems.  ,
Yes, there may be restrictions on their military assistance, but they are finally mutually beneficial because they put the United States and its allies ( and potential friends ) on the back foot.  , However, a good part of the therefore- called Global South ( developing countries ) sees the Russians and Chinese as having the speed.
Look what happened late in Niger, where the Americans were told to find lost – and the Russians,” Welcome aboard”.
And it’s the political back- preventing that really matters. Acquire how the UN has been completely destroyed, as if that were actually possible.  ,
North Vietnamese punishment?  , Dead.
Sanctions-proofing
Eventually, the two nations are sanctions- proofing themselves – more weakening the US and the completely world’s ability to deter, significantly less prevail against, China and Russia– one- on- one or against both.
Take into account the financial benefits for Beijing and Moscow.  , Low energy and meals from Russia, while Russia gets essential components for its defense.  , And China’s intermediaries, Iran and North Korea, provide the Russians with all the drones, weapons, weapons and ordnance shells they need.
Then there is the possibility that Russia and China can break free of the US dollar, which is perhaps the biggest nail the country also has in its toolkit.
The parents in the room
Putin is brutal and even smart.  , Maybe he was just a late- level KGB official, but he has played and gotten the better of earth leaders for 25 years.  ,
Recall George Bush?” I was able to acquire a sense of his soul,” he said. Remember Barack Obama’s statement regarding controversial missile defence that Putin assistant Dmitri Medvedev delivered as his” this is my last election… After my election, I have more flexibility” . , France’s Emmanuel Macron and Japan’s Shinzo Abe fared no better in dealing with Putin.
Xi Jinping has n’t been at it as long as Putin, but he’s been no less successful.
Who on Team Biden frightens the Russians and the Chinese? Anyone.
Biden’s international policy staff crowed that” the people” were in charge once they arrived in 2021.  ,
In 2022, while Putin was putting up forces along Ukraine’s border, they actually revealed US intelligence to the PRC. Beijing allegedly used its effect to deter Putin from entering;  , Rather, the Chinese passed along the apple and gave Putin the go- away.
The “adults” have n’t done anything since then that has slowed down the Russians, Chinese, Iranians, North Koreans, or anyone else.
Putin and Xi may be forgiven for thinking,” If not now, when”?
But come on, Newsham, are items that bad?
There may be a bright side to all this, I’ll admit.  , But if there is one it appears to be properly hidden.
One hopes” the adults” do n’t get another four years to work more of their magic.  , Though Putin and Xi would n’t mind.
Grant Newsham , is a resigned US Marine agent and former US minister. He is the creator of the book ,
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