MIRV: Did North Korea succeed in firing a new missile?

By Tessa WongBBC News, Asia Digital Reporter

Reuters A view of an individual mobile combat separation and guidance control test conducted by the the Democratic People's Republic of Korea's Missile General Directorate at unknown location according to KCNA (Korean Central News Agency), in this image released by the Korean Central News Agency on June 26, 2024.Reuters

North and South Korea have gotten into a this week’s weapons test has turned into the latest source of conflict between North and South Korea, with Pyongyang saying they fired a multiple-head weapon and Seoul accusing them of lying. Both Korea claim Pyongyang and Seoul have fired an innovative many weapon weapon, and Pyongyang claims they did so.

Days after North Korean state media lauded the” achievement” of their check and ran photos as evidence on Thursday, the South called it “deception and overreaction” and released their own data pointing towards loss.

Researchers are still unsure about the accuracy of the North’s assertions.

The conflict highlights the difficulty of tracking down North Korea’s weapons growth, which is progressing despite significant international sanctions.

If North Korea’s latest claims are true, it may signify important development in their missile program.

The development of several weapon missiles is challenging, as is the technology. Now only the US- which initially developed it in the 1960s- as well as the UK, France, Russia and China are known to have these skills.

Pyongyang is then claiming that they are also one step closer to achieving it.

For some time now, experts have floated the possibility of North Korea eventually developing MIRV capabilities.

Many freely targetable re-entry vehicles are MIRV. The systems involves tying a number of warheads together to individual missiles after release. The warheads may finally launch their own rockets into a variety of targets using their own fuel.

They can travel at various speeds and in various directions, allowing them to strike targets hundreds of kilometers apart. This is what makes these arms so powerful.

Pyongyang claimed on Thursday that it had “effectively conducted the parting and guidance control test of personal smart warheads” the previous day. The tool, it said, used the first- level website of an transitional- range strong- fuel nuclear missile, and deployed three warheads plus a decoy.

The missile travelled a” shortened range” of 170 to 200km ( 105 to 124 miles ) to ensure safety and measure the flights of the warheads, said state media. The missiles were each “guided properly” to their targets, and anti-air radar revealed that the decoy had also successfully deployed.

The test was of “great value in bolstering” their missile forces and was aimed at” securing the MIRV capability”, which has been set as a top priority.

Reuters A view of an individual mobile combat separation and guidance control test conducted by the the Democratic People's Republic of Korea's Missile General Directorate at unknown location according to KCNA (Korean Central News Agency), in this image released by the Korean Central News Agency on June 26, 2024. Reuters

South Korea’s defense but was quick to debunk these claims, saying the “flight was no standard” and that the weapon had exploded middle- flight.

It made a picture of the test that it had captured, claiming that the first stage showed an unstable flight that triggered a mid-air explosion. More particles than what should have been the effect of a successful test, according to military officials who were present.

Additionally, they claimed that the images of North Korea that apparently show the warheads and deception separating from the weapon were really those of a March intercontinental ballistic missile test.

The selection of the check was more frequently seen in international ballistic missile tests, according to economists cited by South Korean media company Yonhap. They even argued that the weapon might have had insufficient guidance and control measures.

Various researchers think the test was successful, but much more is unknown.

While Yang Uk, a scientist at the Asan Institute for Policy Studies, said he thought the warheads ‘ aircraft and separation had worked,” North Korea has not provided any proof that the missiles reached their targets,” he said.

According to the Japanese defense ministry, the missile had a 100-kilometer greatest altitude. This meant that it stayed in the Earth’s environment rather than ventured into place. Dr. Yang claimed that this also meant that” we may determine the capabilities of the weapons because they were never tested for the high heat and pressure that follow their re-entry into the environment.”

The weapons test was spotted by South Koreans living by the border, and a video carried by South Korean media taken by a civilian observer showed a visible contrail in the sky.

Reuters The contrail of North Korean missile is pictured from Yeonpyeong Island, South Korea, June 26, 2024Reuters

Vann Van Diepen, a former US State Department standard and expert on North Korean weapons, claimed the video “does not seem to show a huge explosion or severe failure” and that the contrail appeared to be in line with photos from North Korean state media.

He continued, noting that there was no reliable evidence that warheads were released and successfully flew on their own.” But that does not exclude a more subtle failure,” he continued.

Whatever the truth is about the success of the test, it is more obvious that North Korea would still have benefited from some benefits.

Observers claim that Pyongyang would have gotten useful technical information from the launch, making them one step closer to achieving the government of North Korea’s stated goal for public in 2021.

MIRV missiles would be highly valued, according to Mr. Van Diepen, especially in a situation where North Korea might have a depleted missile arsenal following a first strike from the enemy.

This week’s test, even if successful, would not be enough to complete the development of such a weapon, but he estimated the North Koreans were “at least a few years away” from that goal.

The test’s location, which is days before an anticipated plenary meeting where North Korean officials will meet to review their work in the first half of the year, may not coincidentally. It could be aimed at showcasing the military’s achievements, say other experts.

Additionally, it would have signaled to its adversaries that they are still in defiance and that their countries are developing.

Washington has not released a brief joint statement condemning the most recent test, aside from releasing a quick joint statement with Japan and South Korea. But Mr Van Diepen said the US government, which would have the best resources to analyse North Korea’s weapons tests, could and should shed more light.

” Otherwise, the North gets a free propaganda win”.

Jake Kwon and Rachel Lee provided additional reporting.