When it comes to buying a flat, some top considerations are property prices, transport accessibility, amenities such as malls, food centres and clinics, and nearby schools, said Mr Nicholas Mak.
“Whether the flat is in a mature or non-mature estate is not the most important factor, unless this label affects one’s eligibility to apply for the BTO flat,” said Mogul.SG’s chief research officer.
Differences in connectivity have also faded as Singapore builds more MRT lines. Professor Qian Wenlan said the much sought-after proximity to MRT stations may no longer be such a compelling selling point in future.
“Some non-mature towns – such as Sengkang, Jurong East and the Jurong Lake District – have an impressive range of facilities and amenities similar to those in mature estates. And home seekers are not oblivious to this fact,” said Prof Qian, the Ng Teng Fong Chair Professor in Real Estate at the NUS Business School.
Does it make a difference to applicants?
Popular BTO projects in Jurong East, for example, have attracted higher application rates than those of mature estates such as Kallang/Whampoa and Queenstown, Prof Qian added.
Looking at the past few BTO launches, it’s clear that the picture has become more complicated.
One example is Woodlands South Plains, which was more popular than projects in some mature estates. The project is very near an MRT station, as well as near the Woodlands regional centre.
It is still true that mature estates garner more interest from applicants, but It appears that applicants now pay more attention to the specific location of the BTO project, and not the labels of “mature” or “non-mature”.
How might the classification change?
Beyond just the mature versus non-mature distinction, the valuation of an HDB flat in future may focus more on geographical considerations, such as proximity to the city centre or major business and recreational hubs.
Dr Phang thinks that hedonic pricing models, which identify key factors determining HDB resale prices, can be a guide.
Based on several studies, geographical factors that affect HDB resale prices are: Distance to the CBD, distance to the nearest MRT station, distance to the nearest hawker centres, to greenery and water bodies.
In late 2021, the government announced the launch of the Prime Location Public Housing model, which could be an indicator of things to come.
Under this model, public housing is built in prime locations like the city centre and the Greater Southern Waterfront. This gives Singaporeans the opportunity to live in choice districts without having to fork out prohibitive sums for private homes, Prof Qian said.
As attributes become more similar across HDB estates, the inception of the Prime Location Public Housing model suggests that location will become “an even more salient differentiator”, she added.