Under Mr Trump, this floors in the diplomatic relationship will be in question according to his comparative uncertainty, observers say. The transfer of Mr. Trump may also open the door to a full-fledged trade war.
However, observers speculate that Beijing may have a bright future because Mr. Trump is likely to continue to pursue an separatist” America First” policy.
According to Dr. Hoo,” This will likely lead to a greater level of incoherency and disunity with regard to the American pressure on China.”
Under Mr Trump, the US will continue to put strain on China and do so more openly, HKUST’s Prof Low told CNA.
However, he continued,” but it will do so in less capable ways, and in ways that make it difficult for other nations to follow the US’ lead.” Because of this cause, Prof Low suspects the Chinese management favours a Trump presidency.
According to analysts, a Trump administration might be able to help China acquire more foreign influence.
Using the grueling Russia-Ukraine conflict as an illustration, Prof. Low thinks a Trump presidency may be reluctant to support Kyiv in resisting Moscow. This may make a Foreign- brokered peace offer more probable, bolstering China’s standing among much of the Global South, Prof Low added.
In a previous example, the US pulled out of the Trans- Pacific Partnership ( TPP ) trade pact in 2017 during Mr Trump’s presidency.
Fast forward to the present, and the world’s largest economy is not included in the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership, the largest trade agreement between China and other of Asia’s largest economies, as is the TPP’s successor Comprehensive and Progressive Trans-Pacific Partnership ( CPTPP ).
Mr Trump represents a “faint idea” to China that he may change Mr Biden’s program, Dr Hoo said. At the same time, he stressed that Beijing is “certainly no optimistic” about Mr Trump, considering his previous behavior.
Mr. Trump even sparked a trade war with China while he was president, blamed the epidemic on Beijing, and made unsubstantiated claims that COVID- 19 could have come from a Foreign lab.
” There was a lot of negative press on China, all these were fanned by the rhetoric of Trump … by the time of the ( 2020 ) election, China had already gone sour on Trump”, Dr Hoo told CNA.
Skirting THE LINE
Experts predict that China may expect its next chief to not violate what it sees as its main interests regardless of who wins the US presidential election.
In 2021, China laid out three so- called “bottom ranges” or “di xi” in Chinese regarding diplomatic relations with the US.
Foreign Minister Wang stated at a meeting with US Deputy Secretary of State Wendy Sherman that the US has not” problem, defamation, or even attempt to subvert the way and method of socialism with Chinese features.
The US has never attempt to obstruct or impede China’s growth process, nor violate China’s position autonomy or violate its territorial integrity, with the most recent instance being seen as a veiled warning over Taiwan.