Commentary: Chinese security companies are putting boots on the ground in Myanmar. It could go disastrously wrong

WHAT ARE THE POSSIBLE IMPLICATIONS?

Private security organizations are supposedly separate from China’s People Liberation Army ( PLA ), but there is little to stop the PLA from influencing these organizations ‘ operations on the ground.

Additionally, having Chinese private security companies in Myanmar raises the possibility of Chinese immigrants being killed or caught up in the battle.

Additionally, authoritarian regimes that are facing common violent opposition can occasionally fall fast, as the new magnificent fall of the Assad regime in Syria demonstrates.

Russia and Iran are then learning that backing a brutal regime is strand military and economic assets when the situation quickly turns. China ought to take these implications seriously.

The engagement of Chinese security forces would be embarrassing for the junta of Myanmar because it would not be able to defend its main ally’s financial and strategic interests even if it had one.

Additionally, it increases the junta’s dependence on China by even more. China continues to be a significant military and economic partner for the coup despite Russia’s dominance since the coup’s initial supply of weapons.

The Chinese surveillance activities further exacerbate their attempts to control important economic and population centers, according to the opposition forces.

And it might think that China will presently rescind its support for some of the cultural armed groups that are supporting the dictatorship, such as those with ethnic Chinese roots as the Communist Party of Burma. The opposition may be forced to shift more toward private little arms production.

The opposition does appear to expand its financial activity beyond smuggling or buying roads into China, which could ultimately lower China’s utilize over these individuals.

Ultimately, the Chinese security forces properly further establish anti-China attitude throughout the country. In October, for example, the Chinese embassy in Mandalay was damaged in a bombing harm.

MYANMAR’S NEIGHBOURS Does Get CONCERNED

India will undoubtedly be concerned about these improvements. There will be more and more Chinese security forces stationed in Rakhine State, which is located just across the street from India’s massive expenditure jobs in the state, if the strategies are implemented.

Bangladesh and Thailand, two of Myanmar’s another neighbors, are undoubtedly concerned about having Chinese troops on their porch and possibly attending conferences with Myanmar leaders.

The Association of Southeast Asian Nations will continue to insist on a more inclusive political solution to the conflict, despite China’s new aid serving as a crutch for the coup. They are unlikely to agree with the expansion of Taiwanese security forces in Myanmar.

At the University of South Australia, Adam Simpson is the University of South Australia’s mature teacher for global reports. This criticism first appeared on The Conversation.