A space quad: Russia, China, North Korea and Iran – Asia Times

A growing risk to global surveillance has been identified by the US as a growing threat by the four-way authoritarian plane quasi-alliance that is approving of Russia, China, North Korea, and Iran.

This month, Air &amp, Space Forces Magazine reports that General Stephen Whiting, chief of the United States Space Command ( USSPACECOM), expressed concern over those four states’ increasing cooperation in place.

Whiting emphasized in particular the effectiveness of diplomatic ties between Russia and each of the different three countries as Russia seeks support for its conflict in Ukraine, according to the newspaper.

In this image released on Thursday, Feb. 29, 2024, the Soyuz- 2.1b jet blows off at the Vostochny Cosmodrome outside the town of Tsiolkovsky, about 200 kilometers ( 125 miles ) from the town of Blagoveshchensk in the far northeast Amur place, Russia. An Egyptian dish and 18 Russian satellites were placed in orbit by the Russian Soyuz jet. Photo: Roscosmos Space Corporation

Air &amp, Space Forces notes numerous examples of area participation among the four, citing

  • a Russian jet launching an Egyptian dish,
  • ideas for a Russo- Foreign solar nuclear power plant, and
  • a defence alliance between Russia and North Korea, which may benefit North Korea’s area and missile features.

The newspaper mentions that US authorities have also noticed that China has supported Russia’s increase in arms production by producing Egyptian and North Korean weapons in Ukraine. It points out that this expanding partnership complicates the now contentious space debate, where the US has reported Russia deploying a counter-space weapon co-planar to a US national security satellite, which hints at functional intent.

According to Air & Space Forces, the US has compared Soviet actions to “nesting mannequin” satellites that can launch dynamic arms. Meanwhile, it says, US Space Force ( USSF ) leaders have described China’s rapid expansion in space capabilities – including counter- space technologies and support for terrestrial forces – as “breathtakingly fast”.

Space participation adds another factor to a powerful four- way logical relationship connecting Russia, China, North Korea, and Iran, a relationshiop that presently covers weapons sales, energy, and finance.

Despite having greatly different systems of government, Russia and Iran are both in the same boat as Iran when it comes to imposing sanctions, creating a convenient alliance between the two monarchies.

Iran’s use of a Russian Soyuz spacecraft to launch the Khayyam telescope from Kazakhstan’s Baikonur Cosmodrome in August 2022, according to Asia Times, is a major development in its space-based military abilities and strengthens its strategic relationship with Russia.

Khayyam can be used for martial purposes, such as monitoring and surveillance, which may increase Iran’s deterrent against enemies like the US and Israel.

The build is a result of Iran’s growing self-sufficientness in place systems and its cooperation with Russia, which is looking for new clients for its storage system in the face of American sanctions.

Russia is looking to Iran for weapons sales to boost its combative work. Iran also sees this condition as a chance to win support from a leading strength and nuclear technology company.

Iran does had seized a unique prospect from the Ukraine War to become a key component of Russia’s war effort. This advantage could increase Iran’s influence over Russia, which might allow it to ask for funding for its nuclear and missile programs, modernize its military, and secure Russian support for the International North-South Transport Corridor ( INSTC ), a multi-mode freight-moving network that is thought to be a way for Iran and Russia to avoid sanctions.

Also, the Ukraine War has brought Russia and North Korea closer in a logical relationship. In January 2024, the Asia Times reported that Russia had targeted Ukraine with North Vietnamese nuclear weapons.

Declassified US intelligence indicates that Russia plans to use North Korean short-range ballistic missiles ( SRBM ) and launched them in December 2023 and January 2024. The weapons in question, possibly the KN- 23 and KN- 24, are similar to Russia’s Iskander- M and the US MGM- 140 Army Tactical Missile System ( ATACMS ).

North Korea may be backing Russia’s war efforts because it thinks that a Russian victory in Ukraine had laid a precedent for the relief of US sanctions on its sluggish economy. Russia’s reliance on China for both economic and political aid may be lessened.

Likewise, Russia and North Korea have revived a Cold War- time common security agreement. Both countries are expected to provide military support to one another in the event of war, according to the agreement, which was made public during Russian President Vladimir Putin’s attend to North Korea this month.

During a drafting meeting, Kim Jong Un and Vladimir Putin, the president of Russia, change documents. They came to an agreement at a summit that included a pledge of mutual support if either land was attacked as both countries were dealing with growing hostilities with the West. Photo: Kremlin share / Kristina Kormilitsyna, Sputnik

The New York Times ‘ article mentions that the agreement has detrimental effects on global efforts to stop North Korea’s missile and nuclear weapons plans. According to the news, the agreement between Putin and North Korean leader Kim Jong-un is seen as a tactical clash with the US, South Korea, and Japan‘s political partnership. Additionally, it is noted that the pact raises the possibility that South Korea and Japan does get nuclear weapons.

In addition, extremely heavy ties with Russia can allow Iran and North Korea’s to enhance their missile technologies separately.

While the earth had been focusing on North Korean and Iranian aid for Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, Iran’s involvement in the region had slipped under the radar, according to Asia Times in January 2024.

A secret UN report in 2020 revealed that North Korea and Iran had resumed their long-range missile growth work. According to the report, the exchange of crucial components from that year was a part of this renewed assistance.

Iran’s Khorramshahr weapon, initially launched in 2017, is similar to North Korea’s weapon known otherwise as Musudan or Hwasong- 10. Iran’s purchase of those weapons was reported in 2005. Iran’s search for a high-performance North Vietnamese propulsion system has been under US surveillance since 2010.

Also, Iran’s Shahab- 3 weapon may get based on North Korea’s Nodong weapon, and Iran’s place launch vehicles show similarities with North Korea’s Hwasong- 14 missiles.

China’s economic and industrial power has played a key role in keeping Russia upright in the conflict in Ukraine and maintaining the heavily regulated Russian economy, but its support for Moscow is more complex, perhaps not because it wants to discover Russia win or lose.

A circumstance in which Russia wins and prompts the decline of American support for Ukraine was reported in September 2023, which could result in a package that reopens Russian power exports to Europe. Withdrawing American sanctions would open Russia from relying on China for both economic and diplomatic help.

If Ukraine were to defeat Russia and reclaim a sizable percentage of its occupied territories while causing significant losses to the Russian army, it would highlight the effects of American military support and sanctions, setting a precedence that China may find unpleasant in the case of Taiwan.

The most advantageous scenario for China would probably be a Korean War-style armistice to end the Ukraine War. By continuing to rely on China, it would ensure its continued influence over Russia. In this scenario, China would have a greater influence over Russia’s energy exports, disputed territories in the Russian Far East, competition for influence in Central Asia, and weapons sales.