Analysis: Latest twist in Thai politics inches country possibly towards a ‘big crisis’, and nobody knows how it will end

Many Thais shared its liberal philosophy and policies, which led to a surprise electoral triumph for MFP on May 14 when more than 14 million voters cast their ballots in the regional party-list election.

More than 25 million of the 52 million qualified voters expressed their desire to help the pro-democracy camp, which primarily includes MFP and Pheu Thai, through the vote.

However, because of the constitution drafted by a military-appointed committee, their traditional rivals from the previous ruling coalition have been able to win the election.

The constitution, which was enacted in 2014 following a coup d’etat by the current prime minister Prayut Chan-o-cha, gives the 250-member Senate — hand-picked from the junta — the authority to jointly choose the president and the House of Representatives until May 2024.

On July 13, Mr. Pita’s first attempt to become prime minister was unsuccessful. Six days later, his nomination for the position was rejected by legislators and Members, and the Constitutional Court suspended his MP duties due to his ownership of shares in a failed media company. & nbsp,

” All of these demonstrate how desperate the establishment is to maintain its position of authority.” According to Dr. Titipol Phakdeewanich, a political scientist from Ubon Ratchathani University, it doesn’t want the democratic political edge to hold political power.

He continued,” These systems were developed following the coup in 2014. They were put in place so that the military station could continue to be powerful.

According to Dr. Titipol, the long-standing ties between Vietnamese politicians and businessmen have led to fundamental issues in the nation. & nbsp,

They worry that they would lose their advantages, especially since it is obvious that some Move Forward policies are intended to undermine the power of capitalists. He cited the group’s plans to decentralize and demonopolize the alcohol industry in the nation.

THE RETURN OF THAKSIN TO THAILAND

MFP had given Pheu Thai the initiative to form an eight-party coalition government after failing to win the league pay.

Pheu Thai announced that it would then put Srettha Thavisin forward as its candidate for prime minister after breaking with the MFP to form a new coalition government.

The Pheu Thai Party and Mr. Srettha Thavisin” would like to formally affirm that we will never support the act of Segment 112 and that the Move Forward Party won’t be included in the partnership ,” the party stated in a statement on August 2.

Social organizations from the previous ruling party, such as Bhumjaithai, Chart Thai Pattana, and even the military-linked Palang Pracharat, have been frequently speculated to be the new allies, even though Pheu Thai has not yet stated which parties would make up the partnership.

The current deputy prime minister and former army captain of Thailand is Prawit Wongsuwon, the head of Palang Pracharat’s celebration. He played a significant role in the military dictatorship that overthrew the Pheu Thai authorities in 2014.

In addition to regaining power, Pheu Thai’s action was seen as an effort to make Thaksin Shinawatra, the former prime minister who was overthrown in a military takeover in 2006 and is now living in exile in Dubai, United Arab Emirates, safe.

Pheu Thai, a resurrection of Mr. Thaksin’s former political organization Thai Rak Thai that was disbanded in 2007, is closely associated with the Shinawatra home. In actuality, Paetongtarn Shinawatra, his youngest girl, is a candidate for prime minister for the party.

She revealed last week that her father, who had lived in exile for almost 20 years, may gain to Thailand on August 10.

Mr. Thaksin was cited by Dr. Puangthong as” a large factor” in Pheu Thai’s political strategy, which she claimed hasn’t affected the government or the king since the revolution in 2014.

She told CNA,” They think that as long as they don’t feel them, they’ll be healthy and can be in the authorities.”

The creation has been informed that Pheu Thai has made a deal with the status quo, according to this.

Analysts contend, however, that Pheu Thai’s exit from the MFP and the previous coalition has infuriated a lot of pro-democracy supporters, severely damaged their reputation, and made them less popular with voters.

According to Dr. Titipol of Ubon Ratchathani University, this is comparable to Pheu Thai’s political death.

They believe their populist policies may help them return, but this is no longer the case.” They’re caught in a trap from the history when they were admired by the people.” Pheu Thai would have already won a resounding victory if populist policies like their 10,000 baht ($ 288 ) digital cash handout were still held in high regard.

A DISSOLVED MOVE FORWARD PARTY Was

Rumors of covert agreements and speculative actions have continued the competition to form Thailand’s new state.

Pheu Thai needs the support of as least 375 lawmakers, or more than half of the mutual council, to succeed. For its longtime friend MFP, who is shunned by rival factions and senators, the work seemed difficult.

However, the group appears ready for a potential breakdown, suffering the same fate as its forerunner Future Forward Party.

However, Dr. Puangthong claims that this time the constitutional blow might be more intense because the regime has seen what the MFP has accomplished as an opposition party over the past four years.

Its discussions of the monarchy’s monthly budget, calls for youth-led measures, and corruption in the armed forces and police not only harmed the previous administration but also boosted voter support for the party.

“If the establishment lets this continue for another four years, it would be even harder to get rid ofMove Forwardin the next election,” she said.