Japan wants to point 1,000 cruise missiles at China

The japanese is considering the application of 1, 000 long-range cruise missiles to improve its counter-strike features against China, the Yomiuri Shimbun reported on August 21.

The particular report notes the missiles will be revised from the Japan Ground Self-Defense Force’s (JGSDF) Type 12 subsonic anti-ship missiles, maximizing their range from hundred to 1, 000 kilometers.

The missiles are to be deployed from ships and jet fighter jets and are planned to be based on Japan’s Southwest Islands plus Kyushu.

The Yomiuri Shimbun mentions that the upgraded ground-launched Type 12 will be deployed within 2024, two years earlier than planned. Furthermore, the report notes that will Japan will upgrade its ground-attack abilities beyond its initial anti-ship role.

The report describes that Japan can be expected to add “counter-strike capabilities” in its forthcoming National Security Technique. It also notes that will since cruise missiles will be the core of the capability, Japan’s Ministry of Defense is designed to increase missile manufacturing by establishing a system to support capital expenditure by related companies.

Japan offers maintained a pacifist foreign policy since World War II and restricted its military’s role to self-defense. Nevertheless , Japan possesses one of Asia’s most capable militaries despite its lack of offensive capabilities, which can be used to strike enemy targets from Japan’s territory.

However , increasingly sophisticated threats from The far east and North Korea may have prompted Japan to rethink its defensive posture.

Yomiuri Shimbun cites an US Division of Defense (DOD) analysis that says China has one, 900 ground-launched intermediate-range ballistic missiles and 300 intermediate-range cruise trip missiles capable of stunning Japan.

The source also information that North Korea has deployed hundreds of ballistic missiles that may strike Japan. Both China and North Korea have developed hypersonic weapons that could most likely penetrate Japan’s missile defenses.

Chinese military vehicles carrying DF-26 hypersonic long range anti-ship missiles throughout the military parade to commemorate the 70th anniversary of the success in the Chinese People’s War of Opposition Against Japanese Aggression in Beijing, China and taiwan, 3 September 2015. Photo: Xinhua

In a 2020 article for the Heritage Base think tank, senior analyst Bruce Klinger notes the conclusion of a Come july 1st 2020 Liberal Democratic Party committee, which states that Japan needs to consider methods to strengthen deterrence, such as the capability to halt ballistic missile attacks through the territories of its adversaries.

He also notes former Japan prime minister Shinzo Abe’s position that passive missile defense such as Patriot plus Aegis alone had been insufficient to defend Japan.

Asia Times has earlier reported on the deficiencies of Japan’s Patriot plus Aegis missile defenses against a highly-lofted trajectory ballistic missile attack from China and North Korea. China and North Korea can fireplace ballistic missiles in very high angles, resulting in extremely high terminal velocity speeds, which undermines the effectiveness of any missile defense system.

While no missile system is optimized to defend against highly-lofted attacks, future software upgrades can potentially mitigate this issue.

Asian countries Times has noted that missile tracking radars often drop track of their goals at the apex of a highly-lofted trajectory and regain track of inbound missiles too late intended for interceptor missiles going to.

In addition , interceptor missiles are traveling against gravity, which makes it harder to re-adjust, catch up and strike the target at the correct angle compared to the constantly-accelerating enemy missile.

Given these deficiencies in passive missile protection, Klinger mentions that these may have forced Japan to rethink its defense posture through shooting down missiles to “shooting the archer. ”

He notes that will holding enemy targets at risk increases the associated with any attack on Japan, enhancing prevention, preserving regional balance and degrading any kind of attempts at coercion.  

Klinger also notes that when Japan integrated its indigenous offensive strike capabilities into the US-Japan alliance, such a shift would address issues about the long-term stability of the US-Japan alliance.

Nevertheless , Klinger also information several challenges in Japan’s acquisition of offensive long-range strike abilities. For example , he points out that Japan has to define the objective and parameters for its missile forces, the kind of weapons to be acquired and if Japan would rely on its concentrating on capabilities or those of the US.

Western Special Defense Forces in a file photo. Image: AFP and EPA

Klinger mentions that will Japan lacks the intelligence, surveillance plus reconnaissance (ISR) features for real-time focusing on. As such, he records Japan may have to integrate its offensive long range strike capabilities into its US alliance.

Moreover, he mentions that Japan’s constrained defense costs at less than 1% of gross household product (GDP) can mean that the acquisition of long-range strike capabilities can come at the opportunity cost of other defense tasks.

Klinger also notes that Japan may be hard-pressed to obtain new offensive hit capabilities, stating that will its constrained defense budget already slows its ability to satisfy its ambitious security plans.

This individual mentions that Japan may have to break the self-imposed 1% cap on its defense budget, although such a move would face deep political plus domestic opposition.