Some Asia economies may need rapid rate hikes to cool inflation: IMF

Most growing Asian economies got experienced capital outflows comparable to those in 2013, when global bond yields spiked on hints from the US Federal Book that it might taper bond buying earlier than expected, Srinivasan stated.

Outflows had been especially huge for India, which had seen US$23 billion move out given that Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, he published. Outflows had already been seen in such financial systems as South Korea and Taiwan.

Tightening monetary circumstances would strain already worsening finances in certain Asian economies, and limit the range for policymakers to cushion the economic blow from the outbreak with fiscal investing.

Asia’s discuss of total global debt had increased from 25 percent before the global economic crisis to 38 per cent post-COVID-19, raising the particular region’s susceptibility to changes in worldwide financial conditions, Srinivasan said.

Several Asian countries might need in order to tap measures such as foreign exchange interventions plus capital controls to combat any sharp outflow of funds, he added.