Singapore maintains 2024 GDP forecast at 1-3% after economy grew 1.1% last year

SINGAPORE: Singapore has maintained its growth forecast for 2024 at a range of 1 to 3 per cent, as data on Thursday (Feb 15) showed the economy growing slightly slower than expected last year.

The economy expanded by 1.1 per cent in 2023, a whisker below earlier government estimates of 1.2 per cent, said the Ministry of Trade and Industry in a quarterly report.

For the final quarter of last year, gross domestic product (GDP) grew by 2.2 per cent year-on-year, lower than the projection of 2.8 per cent but accelerating from the 1 per cent growth in the third quarter.

On a quarter-on-quarter seasonally-adjusted basis, the economy expanded by 1.2 per cent, also missing an earlier forecast of 1.7 per cent, but picking up speed from the 1 per cent growth in the previous quarter.

Laying out why it chose to maintain its growth forecast for 2024, MTI noted that Singapore’s external demand outlook has “remained largely unchanged” since its last assessment in November.

Growth in the advanced economies, such as the United States and the Eurozone, is set to slow in the first half of the year, mainly due to continued tight financial conditions, before recovering gradually in line with an expected easing of monetary policy.

On the other hand, regional economies are expected to see a pick-up in growth, partly supported by the turnaround in global electronics demand.