Prayut retiring from politics

Caretaker premier resigns from UTN, says he did his best in nine years in office

Caretaker Prime Minister Prayut Chan-o-cha waves away reporters’ questions before chairing a cabinet meeting at Government House on June 13. (Photo: Chanat Katanyu)
Caretaker Prime Minister Prayut Chan-o-cha waves away reporters’ questions before chairing a cabinet meeting at Government House on June 13. (Photo: Chanat Katanyu)

Prime Minister Prayut Chan-o-cha has announced his retirement from politics, nine years after he took power in a coup as army chief.

“From now on I want to quit politics, resigning as a member of the United Thai Nation Party,” he said in a statement released by the party on Tuesday.

Gen Prayut did not run in the May 14 election as a party-list MP but served as the chief adviser to the UTN and one of its two prime ministerial candidates. He will remain caretaker premier until a new government is formed.

Voting to choose the next prime minister is scheduled to begin on Thursday but it is not clear whether Pita Limjaroenrat of the coalition-leading Move Forward Party will be chosen in the first round.

Gen Prayut, 69, said on Tuesday said he had “achieved many successes” in his nine years in office.

“I as prime minister have worked hard to protect the nation, religion and monarchy for the benefit of the beloved people. The result is currently bearing fruit for the public,” he said in a statement.

“I have tried to strengthen the country in all areas for stability and peace and overcame many obstacles domestically and internationally.” 

In the nine years since his coup, Gen Prayut survived challenges in the form of court cases, House confidence votes and street protests by opponents who saw him as an opportunist who lacked a public mandate.

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Pita sends message to MPs, senators ahead of Thursday’s vote

Allow Thailand to have a legitimate majority government, he says

Pita Limjaroenrat, Move Forward leader and the party's candidate for prime minister, sends a message to MPs and senators, asking they allow Thailand a democratic majority government, in line with the people's wishes. (Capture from video on Pita Limjaroenrat Facebook)
Pita Limjaroenrat, Move Forward leader and the party’s candidate for prime minister, sends a message to MPs and senators, asking they allow Thailand a democratic majority government, in line with the people’s wishes. (Capture from video on Pita Limjaroenrat Facebook)

Move Forward Party leader Pita Limjaroenrat on Tuesday sent a message to MPs and senators, asking that Thailand be allowed a democratic majority government in accordance with the people’s will when they vote for a new prime minister on Thursday.

Mr Pita, the MPF’s sole prime ministerial candidate, made his appeal in a video posted on his Facebook page.

In the video, lasting 4 minutes 33 seconds, the MPF leader began by saying that May 14 was the day when the will of the Thai people was clearly expressed through ballot papers that showed 14,438,851 votes going to the MFP, giving it victory and the most House seats, 152.

“This is a loud voice, heard across the country, showing that people want change. I and Move Forward will adhere to the people’s mandate to move ahead and form a government. We have mustered the votes of eight coalition parties, representing 72% of voters who exercised their voting rights. 

“In normal politics, we, a coalition government led by the MPF, would already be running the country and tackling the people’s problems,’’ Mr Pita said.

He said it had taken almost two months to get to the vote for a prime minister since the general election. The eight-party alliance was still awaiting decisions by senators on the formation of a government in line with the people’s will, or not.

“Today, it’s clear that Thailand is in an unusual political situation. The people’s mandate earned through elections has been repeatedly overthrown by coups, lawfare and party dissolutions. This abnormality is caused by the 2017 Constitution and that cannot be denied.

“This is an opportunity for Thailand to return to normalcy. Give Thailand this opportunity to have a legitimate government, one which will move ahead and fix Thailand, as the people expected. Give Thailand the opportunity to return to a parliamentary political path that people can have faith in and pin their hopes on.

“Give Thailand the opportunity to move forward, for change – fair wages, comprehensive welfare benefits, a progressive and fair economy with its own innovations and reduced inequality, and equality in society with laws that protect rights and liberties, not the suppression of people’s rights,’’ the MFP prime ministerial candidate said.

He said the votiong on July 13 for a prime minister was not just a vote for him or the MFP, but a chance to confirm that Thailand will move forward along a normal democratic path, like other democratic countries around the world.

This would confirm that although people still lived with a constitution that seemed to support unusual politics, parliamentarians could use their voice to carry out the people’s will as expressed through the elections, to successfully form a government with majority representation. It was a joint mission for all parliamentarians, who represent Thai people across the country.

“On this occasion, I would like to communicate with all MPs and senators who may not like our political approach. In normal politics, you can scrutinise, grill or vote me out of the position. But voting for a majority government will give Thailand the opportunity to move ahead, in the way that it should,’’ Mr Pita said.

He promised to be a prime minister for all people, regardless of which party they voted for or whatever  their political ideology.

“I will be a prime minister who runs the country and embraces the diversity of everyone’s dreams,’’ Mr Pita said.

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Japan floods: three die as island hit by ‘heaviest’ rainfall

Rescuers at a destroyed buildingReuters

Three people were killed and three others are missing in flooding in southwest Japan caused by the region’s “heaviest” rain ever.

Rivers overflowed and hillsides collapsed as record amounts of rain were dumped on parts of Kyushu island.

The national weather agency logged 402.5mm falling in Kurume on Monday, the highest ever recorded in the city.

Roads and powerlines were cut, and thousands were ordered to evacuate as further downpours were expected.

Satoshi Sugimoto, of the Japanese Meteorological Agency, said he believed the downpours were “the heaviest ever experienced” in the region.

Police officer carries flood victim

Reuters

At least three people died in the flooding but the toll could rise, government spokesman Hirokazu Matsuno told AFP news agency. Three people were missing in some of the remotest areas of the island.

“We express our condolences to those who died, and our heartfelt sympathy towards those who were affected by the disaster,” Mr Matsuno said.

The downpours prompted evacuation notices for hundreds of thousands of people and remote communities remain effectively cut off by flooding and other damage, he said.

An elderly woman died when she was trapped in a house engulfed in mud in Soeda, Fukuoka province, local authorities said. Her husband survived. Another victim was apparently washed away by a flooded river while riding in a car in Kurume.

Japan is currently in its annual rainy season, which often brings heavy downpours, and sometimes results in flooding and landslides as well as casualties.

According to the Japanese Meteorological Agency, the heaviest rainfall recorded in Japan was in Hakone, Kanagawa Prefecture, on 12 October, 2019, when 922.5mm fell in one day.

Scientists say climate change is intensifying the risk of heavy rain in Japan and elsewhere, because a warmer atmosphere holds more water.

The weather agency said it had already been raining for more than a week in the region before the heavy downpours that arrived Sunday night.

And while the sun was shining in many areas on Tuesday, officials have warned of more rain in the forecast, which could loosen already sodden ground.

Landslides are a particular risk in Japan during heavy rains because homes are often built on plains at the bottom of hillsides in the mountainous country.

Map: A map of Kyushu, Japan

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China cranks up punitive sea pressure on the Philippines

MANILA – “We believe that the world is big enough for both of our countries to thrive,” declared US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen on the conclusion of her recent high-profile to Beijing.

But while Yellen’s visit may have injected a semblance of normality into the two sides’ economic diplomacy, geopolitical tensions are still running high in the hotly contested South China Sea.

The Philippines is increasingly at the center of that superpower contest as China appears to be responding aggressively to enhanced US-Philippine defense relations under the Ferdinand Marcos Jr administration.

Crucially, those enhanced ties will allow US rotational forces access to Philippine bases geographically close to Taiwan, potentially giving the US a southern flank in any Chinese invasion of the self-governing democratic island.   

Over the weekend, Philippine Coast Guard (PCG) authorities reported that nearly 50 “Chinese maritime militia” ships have been “swarming” Iroquois Reef, which is occupied and claimed by Manila.

Back in 2021, even the Beijing-friendly Duterte administration was forced to file multiple diplomatic protests due to the “continued presence of Chinese fishing vessels in [the] vicinity of Iroquois Reef.” Back then, hundreds of Chinese militia vessels also swarmed other Philippine-claimed land features, most notably the Whitsun Reef.

The Armed Forces of the Philippines (AFP), which says it first detected the latest Chinese militia buildup around the Iroquois Reef during an aerial patrol, also reported the presence of three Chinese Coast Guard (CCG) ships and two People’s Liberation Army-Navy (PLA-N) vessels at the Sabina Shoal, another land feature that falls within the Philippines’ exclusive economic zone (EEZ) in the South China Sea.

Quietly but suddenly, the Philippines is now confronting the buildup of both Chinese conventional and paramilitary forces near or in its claimed territories in the Spratly group of islands.

“During multiple flights over Iroquois Reef in the past week, pilots observed an alarming presence of Chinese fishing vessels. The swarming of Chinese fishing vessels there is quite visible from the air,” AFP spokesman Edgard Abogado said in a statement.

Anticipating standard denials from Chinese authorities who often portray Chinese militia vessels as harmless “fishing boats”, the AFP made it clear that the Chinese fishing vessels were “anchored in groups of five to seven” without any trace of “fishing activities.”

Chinese vessels ‘swarm’ the Iroquois Reef in the South China Sea. Image: Armed Forces of the Philippines Western Command

The PCG also accused a Chinese patrol vessel of engaging in what it called a “very dangerous” maneuver by blocking two of its boats from entering the Second Thomas Shoal, which is occupied by Philippine marines.

The incident reportedly involved the PCG vessels BRP Malabrigo and BRP Malapascua during a supply ship escort mission on June 30.

Buoyed by a larger budget and personnel and emboldened by expanding cooperation with the US and other like-minded powers, the PCG is stepping up its game in response.

“I would like to assure you that the Philippine Coast Guard will also take measures to deploy our vessels in order to drive away the Chinese maritime militia from that area,” Philippine Coast Guard (PCG) spokesperson Jay Tarriela told the media.

Tarriela warned that China’s deployment of large numbers of militia vessels was part of a well-worn playbook, whereby the occupation of contested features often begins with “swarm[ing] the area for a very long period of time. If you fail to notice them, they will increase their number eventually [until they occupy the area].”

Over the past year, the PCG has adopted a proactive public diplomacy campaign whereby it consistently and publicly spotlights China’s aggressive actions in adjacent waters in order to galvanize domestic and international support.

“Once we publicize these events, the international community condemns them and various embassies criticize such activities of China. When we follow up with the deployment of our government assets, they leave immediately,” Tarriela claimed.

Indeed, international support has been building for the Philippines ahead of the seventh anniversary of its landmark arbitration award vis-à-vis China at The Hague in 2016. The ruling, based on the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS), rejected China’s nine-dash line expansive claims across the South China Sea.   

In an official statement, US Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin reached out to his new Philippine counterpart, Gilberto Teodoro, in order to show solidarity in face of what he referred to as China’s  “coercive and risky” behavior.

The US defense chief, who welcomed President Marcos Jr to the Pentagon in May, underscored his country’s “ironclad” commitment to defend the Philippines in the event of armed conflict in the South China Sea as outlined under the two sides’ 1951 Mutual Defense Treaty (MDT).

Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos Jr and US Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin. Image: Twitter

In recent months, the Pentagon has secured two major deals with its Southeast Asian ally, namely an expanded Enhanced Defense Cooperation Agreement (EDCA), granting access to US forces across a whole host of strategically-located sites, as well as new defense guidelines under the MDT, which expands bilateral security cooperation in all areas of modern warfare.

Other key allies are making their presence felt. Just days after historic French-Philippine naval exercises in the South China Sea, the Embassy of France in Manila called for “respect for international law and the resolution of disputes through dialogue.”

“We are resolutely opposed to any use of force or threat to do so. We recall, in this regard, the arbitration award rendered under UNCLOS on the 12th of July 2016,” the embassy said in a statement.

The Philippines also secured another key major endorsement from India, which under its “non-aligned” foreign policy tradition has generally been “neutral” in its positioning on sensitive international issues such as the South China Sea disputes.

However, following their most recent bilateral strategic dialogue, the two countries underscored their commitment to double down on defense cooperation.

In a joint statement issued after a meeting between Philippine Secretary of Foreign Affairs Enrique Manalo and Indian External Affairs Minister Subrahmanyam Jaishankar in New Delhi last week, the two emerging partners “underlined the need for peaceful settlement of disputes and for adherence to international law, especially the UNCLOS and the 2016 Arbitral Award on the South China Sea in this regard.”

It marked the first time that India directly supported an arbitration case decision, according to local media reports. Incensed by growing international support for Manila, China’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs warned against interference by any “third party.”

“We have [the] ability to handle it well but have to stay high-alert that South China Sea might be turned into the sea of war by the third party,” Zhou Li, a MOFA information department councilor, said in a statement over Twitter. 

Li insisted that bilateral negotiations were “the only way to resolve disputes” and to ensure the South China Sea “become[s] the sea of peace, friendship and cooperation.”

“China has always resolved its disputes through negotiations,” the Chinese foreign ministry official said while rejecting “internationalization” of the South China Sea disputes in favor of  “set[ting] up bilateral channels of communication to address the disputes.”

Follow Richard Javad Heydarian on Twitter at @Richeydarian

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FinanceAsia Volume Two 2023 | FinanceAsia

By now, most of our subscribers will have received print editions of the latest FinanceAsia Magazine: Volume Two 2023. 

Over the course of the summer, we look forward to sharing online our in-depth magazine features, including the detailed rationale behind our jury’s selection of winners across our recent flagship FA Awards process.

You can access the full online edition here.

To whet your appetite, read on for our editor’s note.

Positive predictions

As a snake (according to the Chinese zodiac), I have so far fulfilled my Year of the Rabbit prophecy in securing opportunity for career growth within the Haymarket Asia business. A successor will soon have the good fortune to step up as editor in my place, as I become content and business director and oversee the editorial strategy of our finance publications: FinanceAsia, CorporateTreasurer and AsianInvestor.

It is said that those born in 2023 will be blessed with vigilance and quick-mindedness. Very useful personality traits, I would think, as artificial intelligence (AI) advances globally, at pace. We are witnessing great development in this field in Hong Kong – and across the wider Asian economy, as emerging tech becomes the next positive disruptor and the capital markets work to respond through evolving regulation and new listing regimes.

In this summer issue, Christopher Chu delves into the value disruption put forward by generative AI, with consultants estimating its worth to breach $16 trillion by 2030. He explores its sophistication and how its potential is interwoven with political factors, while questions are posed around data ownership.

Also intertwined within the realm of transformative technology, is this edition’s flagship interview with BNP Paribas’ CEO for Asia Pacific, Paul Yang. He shares his journey navigating a career path that has taken him from IT coding in Paris, to leadership of the bank’s Asia Pacific business. He offers insights around his accomplishments to date and details plans to progress the bank’s 2025 Growth, Technology and Sustainability (GTS) strategy.

Reviewing activity across Southeast Asia, Liza Tan inspects the market’s prominent position in the ongoing start-up story, through assessment of the current venture capital (VC) fundraising landscape. Her discussion with experts asserts that fintech is inherently fused with human approach and that quality conversations and connections are key to future success.

Indeed, as FinanceAsia’s recent in-person awards celebration underlined, we have much to look forward to in the second half of the year and it is the human elements involved in dealmaking that have capacity to shape the road ahead. I think we all agree that recognising and nurturing talent is vital and so I hope you enjoy reading our evaluation of market resourcefulness, ingenuity and skill that informed the jury’s selection of award winners, amongst truly outstanding competition.

Finally, Sara Velezmoro and I explore the outlook for Asia’s debt capital markets – investigating what opportunity is on offer alongside the changing environment; and whether the momentum surrounding Japanese equities can be sustained, if the government were to reverse yield curve control.

Amid uncertainty we must focus on potential, so please join me in acknowledging the positive strides being taken by Asia’s market movers.

Ella Arwyn Jones

(Please feel free to send feedback or suggestions to [email protected])

 

¬ Haymarket Media Limited. All rights reserved.

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National Day celebrations in the heartlands as Singapore turns 58

NATIONAL DAY

On Aug 9, prior to the parade at the Padang, two CH-47SD Chinook helicopters, each escorted by two AH-64D Apache helicopters, will execute the “Fly Our Flag” segment, flying the state flag across Singapore.

Starting from around 5.30pm to 6.30pm, the helicopters will fly two routes – a western route that takes them past locations such as Woodlands, Choa Chu Kang and Jurong, and an eastern route which includes Bukit Timah, Toa Payoh, Bishan, Pasir Ris, Tampines and Changi.

From 5.40pm to 6.10pm, an A330 Multi-Role Tanker Transport accompanied by six F-16D+ and three F-15SG fighter aircraft will execute the RSAF55 Island Flypast, flying in the vicinity of the five heartland sites: Jurong West, Woodlands, Toa Payoh, Tampines and Bedok.

The RSAF55 F-15SG, with its RSAF55 tail flash, will also be a part of this formation, greeting Singaporeans in the heartlands.

Concurrent with the fireworks medley at the Padang on National Day, fireworks will also go off at the five heartland sites, which will be open to the public from 6pm.

The fireworks display is expected to take place between 8.15pm and 8.25pm.

Public viewing at these sites will be facilitated on a first-come, first-served basis, said the NDP 2023 Executive Committee and SportSG.

ActiveSG chief Tan Hock Leong said: “We hope that residents near these sites will bring their family and friends to join us in celebrating National Day through sport.”

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Familes exhorted to have at least 2 children, as birthrate falls

Fewer entering the workforce than are going into retirement

Nurses hold newborns dressed in Christmassy costumes at a hospital in Bangkok. (File photo)
Nurses hold newborns dressed in Christmassy costumes at a hospital in Bangkok. (File photo)

Each Thai family should aim to have at least two children to help halt the country’s falling birthrate, Thailand’s most senior health official said on Tuesday, which is the UN’s World Population Day.

Suwannachai Wattanayingcharoenchai, director-general of the Department of Health, said there had been at least one million births in Thaiiland each year from 1963 to 1983, but the birthrate fell to 502,107 last year and is likely to be below 500,000 this year.

Simiar falling birthrates had been reported by 120 other countries, including China, Japan, Singapore, South Korea and Vietnam in Thailand’s immediate area, Dr Suwannachai said

At the same time, the number of elderly citizens is rising. In 2021 Thailand became an aged society with people 60 years or more constituting 20% of its population. By 2036 the country would be a hyper-aged society, with senior citizens making up 30% of its population, if the trend continued.

“2023 is the first year when the number of people becoming of working age, 20-24 years old, cannot make up for the number of people leaving the workforce at age 60-64 years,” Dr Suwannachai said.

Since 2016, the government had tried to encourage people to have more children but these measures had not worked, he said. Recent measures included the opening of more nurseries, improved rights to materinity and parternity leave, work-from-home policies and flexible working hours.

The government also postponed compulsory retirement and promoted retirement savings and vocational programmes to help cope with an aged society, Dr Suwannachai said.

Boonyarit Sukrat, director of the Bureau of Reproductive Health, said the desired increase in the Thai population could not come in time to solve the shortage of workers, and that could affect gross domestic product and the security of the nation.

Importing workers of high potential could be one solution the government could invest in, Dr Boonyarit said.

World Population Day has been observed annually on July 11 since 1989 when it was launched by the  United Nations Development Programme to raise awareness of global population issues.

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