Under normal conditions, the success of Anura Kumara Dissanayake in Sri Lanka’s presidential poll would have been called a social disaster.
However, some people in Sri Lanka had predicted the left-leaning lawmaker as a powerful pioneer in the lead-up to the election.
The 55-year-old Dissanayake heads the National People’s Power ( NPP ) alliance, which includes his Janatha Vimukthi Peramuna ( JVP), or People’s Liberation Front- a party that has traditionally backed strong state intervention and lower taxes, and campaigned for leftist economic policies.
With his victory, the area will have for the first time a government led by a head with a pro-left-leaning agenda.
” It’s a vote for a change”, Harini Amarasuriya, a senior NPP leader and MP, told the BBC.
The outcome is” confirming what we have been campaigning for,” according to the report.
The observer
The government is expected to break the parliament immediately and hold parliamentary elections.
But, putting his coalition policies into practice in a nation that has been embracing liberalization and free-market guidelines since the late 1970s will be difficult for him.
The NPP’s resounding victory came after the country’s public outraged over the country’s damaging economic crisis in 2022, when inflation reached a halt and foreign reserves were emptied.
The nation declared bankruptcy and was unable to pay for the goods of food, gas, and medications.
Gotabaya Rajapaksa, the then president, was forced to flee the country in July 2022 by an extraordinary public revolt against the administration’s handling of the market.
Two months earlier, his elder brother and veteran leader Mahinda had been forced to resign as prime minister during the initial phase of the protest, known as “aragalaya” ( struggle ) in Sinhala.
With the support of the Rajapaksas ‘ group, Ranil Wickremesinghe assumed office as president. He stabilized the economy and negotiated a$ 2.9 billion bailout agreement with the International Monetary Fund ( IMF).
The social change was essentially a transfer of power between formed parties and social empires, according to the millions of Sri Lankans who took to the streets.
Due to the perception that many people in the country thought of him as a person who lacked the ancient order, the NPP and Dissanayake capitalized on this attitude.
Although he served briefly as a secretary when Chandrika Kumaratunga became a coalition government in the early 2000s, Dissanayake’s supporters claim that he is innocent of fraud or cronyism allegations.
The question is how his administration will handle Sri Lanka’s large financial problems.
He pledged to reduce fees and energy costs during his campaign. That results in lower government revenues, which may conflict with some of the requirements set by the IMF product.
” We will work within the broad agreement that the IMF has reached within the existing state,” Amarasuriya from the NPP said. ” But we will discuss certain information, particularly regarding the poverty measures”.
A history of violence
The vote win is a remarkable turn for Dissanayake, who received simply over 3 % of seats in the 2019 national poll.
However, he may have persuaded a sizable portion of voters this day, but there are concerns about Dissanayake’s and his JVP’s political ideology, which is renowned for the uprisings that resulted in the deaths of tens of thousands of people in the late 1980s.
In what would become known as the” winter of terror,” the JVP spearheaded an armed rebellion against the Sri Lankan government starting in 1987.
A fight characterized by attacks, executions, and strikes on both political opponents and citizens was the result of the insurrectionist campaign, which was spurred by anger among the children of the remote lower and middle classes.
Dissanayake, who was elected to the JVP’s key committee in 1997 and became its head in 2008, has since apologised for the group’s crime. However, his win in the polls raises questions about the potential impact of the JVP on Sri Lankan politics going forward.
” The JVP has a history of violence and there are concerns about the party’s position in a new government”, said Bhavani Fonseka, a senior researcher with the Centre for Policy Alternatives ( CPA ) in Colombo.
” I believe that Mr. Dissanayake has softened the dramatic communication in his public speaking. My problem is, while he may possess softened, what about the old guard of the JVP? Where do they reposition themselves in a new govt”?
Tamil problems
Reaching out to the Tamil majority in the nation will be another problem for Dissanayake. They have been campaigning for peace and independence of powers since the finish of a civil war in May 2009.
That issue, between the Tamil Tiger separatists and the Sri Lankan position, erupted in 1983. In their struggle for independence in the island’s north and east, the Tigers later won control of sizable portions of the island, but a military offensive in 2009 almost wiped out their allies.
Fifteen years later, the Sri Lankan president’s claims to promote energy and descend their own social power in Tamil-majority regions have mostly failed to materialise.
Peoples did not vote for Dissanayake increasingly, which shows concern over the NPP’s attitude toward their political needs, despite the NPP’s increase in the north and the east.
The UN Human Rights Commissioner’s company in Geneva has urged the new state to seek an inclusive national perspective for Sri Lanka that addresses the underlying causes of the tribal conflict.
In its most recent report, the government” may undertake the important legal and institutional reforms necessary to enhance democracy and the devolution of democratic authority and to improve accountability and reconciliation.”
Tigers and dragon
It’s not just about home plans, sometimes. India and China, which are battling for dominance in Sri Lanka, are closely monitoring the fall of the NPP and JVP. Both companies have given billions of dollars to Colombo.
Dissanayake, with his Communist affiliations, is seen as philosophically closer to China. In the past, the JVP had criticized India’s plan toward Sri Lanka and opposed what it termed American expansionism.
In addition, Dissanayake made a pledge in his campaign statement that the North would be defunded by businessman Gautam Adani, who is alleged to be shut to Prime Minister Modi.
” The Adani site’s prices should decrease, given its massive level, but it’s the opposite”, Dissanayake said last year. This is undoubtedly a fraudulent transaction, and we will undoubtedly void it.
In any case, some regular Sri Lankans who have voted for change have higher aspirations.
” Whoever comes to electricity, they may lower the prices of food, fuel and electricity. They also need to improve income”, said Colombo native Sisira Padmasiri. The new chairman ought to offer some immediate relief to the public.
According to experts, Sri Lanka will need to create more difficult poverty selections to balance the books and join its debt obligations.
Again he assumes power, Dissanayake will see how much he can actually live up to the expectations of the people.