Biden v Trump: What are they thinking in Moscow, Beijing and Delhi?

The election process is carefully watched around the world when Americans choose their future leader.

There are many techniques that the White House’s actions and US foreign policy have an impact on various parts of the world.

British influence abroad is sure to play a part in the first conversation between Joe Biden and Donald Trump on Thursday.

This vote is important not just in Ukraine, Israel, and Gaza, though.

Eight of the BBC’s foreign reporters explain why this election fight is making ripples where they are.

By Moscow writer Steve Rosenberg about Russia

Think that you are Vladimir Putin. Who do you want in the White House?

The man who called you” a criminal” and pledged to defend Ukraine? ( Joe Biden is that )

Or the candidate who has criticised US military assistance to Kyiv and said he’d encourage Russia to do “whatever the hell they want” to any Nato member country that does n’t meet defence spending guidelines ( a certain Donald Trump ).

The Kremlin head has gone on record saying he would really like Joe Biden to keep his job because of his “predictability.” He has been known to be a shock person.

However, for a public endorsement should get taken with a ton of Russian water. Moscow is likely to see the vote of a Nato- skeptic, Ukraine- denier US leader as three lemons for Russia on the map- social fruit machine.

Not that there is a guaranteed pay-out for Moscow. The second Trump administration disappointed the Kremlin.

In 2016 one Russian standard admitted to me having celebrated Mr Trump’s defeat with a smoke and a bottle of champagne. However, the vodka failed. The Soviet government had anticipated a boost to US-Russian relationships, but it never materialized.

Who’s to suggest a second Trump administration would n’t left Moscow feeling equally disappointed.

Whoever wins the White House election campaign will be closely monitoring for signs of post-election social unrest and polarization and looking for ways to gain.

By Laura Bicker, China editor, Beijing

Both candidates are vying for toughness against Beijing and adopting related financial strategies to stop China’s increase, including enacting tariff increases on affordable Chinese goods.

However, they have completely different strategies for handling China’s local effect.

Biden has shored up relationships that, in the hope that a united front sends a clear communication to an exceedingly forceful Beijing.

However, when Trump became president, he focused more on what he perceived as the “best deal” rather than on being a leader. Without Seoul’s consent, he threatened to obstruct US soldiers in South Korea.

The biggest difference between the two is on Taiwan.

If President Xi fulfills his commitment to reconquer Taiwan with the island, by force if necessary, Biden has repeatedly pledged to do so.

Trump has, however, accused Taiwan of undermining British businesses and opposed a US law that would have provided help there. That led some to query whether he would be willing to come to Taipei’s support if needed.

China is improbable to be the US’s favorite in the battle when the US seats.

An unanticipated Trump, in Beijing’s opinion, could undermine and fractrum US allies in the region, but he could even start a new trade war.

They wo n’t be too keen on another four years of Biden either. They think a new Cold War might result from his alliance-building.

By Gordon Corera, safety editor, Kyiv

Maybe Ukraine is the only foreign nation where the US poll matters more than any other.

Everyone is aware that US funding in the form of weapons and money has been essential to supporting Ukraine’s war efforts. Some believe that Europe was quickly or easily stage into any gap.

Most folks in Kyiv are less focused on the ins and outs of the plan than you might think.

That is because November feels a long way ahead, as one person claimed to me. There are more pressing issues as towns come under attack from Russian fly explosives and as Russian forces battle to stop Russian advances.

They are well-versed in the criticisms made about Ukraine during the battle. Experts these are aware of Donald Trump’s rhetoric regarding ending a war and cutting help.

While some fear he may force Ukraine into a deal it does not including, specialists caution that what will matter is what one does in business, not what they say during the promotion or in a conversation.

Given how long it took Congress to pass the final assistance package, it is now clear that even a Joe Biden win does not avoid difficulties.

Uncertainty is something Ukrainians have huge learned to live with, and the stakes are high for Ukraine, but it continues to be just a spectator.

By James Landale, a diplomat journalist in London,

Politicians in the UK claim to be skeptical of the US vote.

On one degree, there is a shyness about possible choices that may influence the UK.

Had Vladimir Putin be cozy up to President Trump and lessen US military aid for Ukraine?

Would he choose to combat Europe again in a NATO defense conflict? Had he fire a trade war with China?

Do President Biden’s next term lead to more isolationism and protectionism in the US? He indicated that he would continue to play the part for four more years.

On another stage, there is a broader problem. A close election on November 5- a possibility that many American citizens do n’t agree with- may cause more social unrest than the Capitol storm in January 2021.

A breakdown in American politics could stifle US administration internationally and encourage autocrats everywhere.

All this fears UK lawmakers in both main parties as they prepare for their own vote on 4 July.

Do they eventually have to choose between upholding political principles and remaining near to a traditional ally? Do they have to choose between America and Europe in a significant matter?

Above all, the US election presents the English with more confusion in an extremely ambiguous world.

By Yolande Knell, Middle East journalist

Both prospects are being carefully watched, with the understanding that the election will result in actual results.

After the stunning attacks of October 7th, President Biden vehemently supported Israel and has continued to supply it with weapons as he has grown more critical of the conflict and the large number of Israeli civilian casualties who have been killed.

Nevertheless, surveys suggest a higher share of Jewish Israelis think Trump may be healthier for Israel than Biden. Most approve of Biden’s management of the conflict. And Palestinians generally believe that he is ignoring their anguish.

Israelis positively recall how Trump officially recognised Jerusalem as their cash and struck new offers to set up diplomatic relations between their state and Arab says.

He backs the conflict in Gaza, but he has also urged Israel to “get it over with,” claiming that its reputation is deteriorating.

Trump’s next Trump term may leave Palestinians with little hope, which could make things even worse for them. The past president has promised, if elected, to cut off all US assistance to Palestinians.

President Biden has not laid out a concrete strategy for achieving a two-state solution, but he does so in the longer run. He still supports a recognized global formula for peace. Trump has questioned the validity of a Palestinian state that is separate.

Normal wisdom has it that Israel’s Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu would like to see Trump back in power. The previous president is said to dislike him for accepting Biden’s 2020 success, though.

By Samira Hussain, Delhi journalist

India is in a nice place, in the White House’s vision.

India is seen by the United States as a political rival to China. India also has the second largest economy in the world, set to become the second largest by 2030. The land held the largest democratic votes in the world earlier this month, when Narendra Modi was elected prime minister for a second consecutive term.

Given India’s strategic importance, none of that really affects the United States, despite accusations of political backsliding and misleading the country’s actual monetary image.

Whatever happens in November does n’t make a difference to how India will operate on the global stage. Both of the prospects are well-known.

The status quo prevails if Biden is elected president, which results in a fruitful business partnership and red floor care. Just last month Modi was in Washington for an official state attend complete with a beautiful welcome at the White House in honour of the prime minister who also addressed a joint session of Congress.

The only change could be in the voice of Trump’s re-election. He has recently referred to Modi as a remarkable head. Trump visited India in 2020 where tens of thousands of people came to see the American senator, side by side with their primary secretary in Modi’s home state of Gujarat.

Evidence that India can handle any social situation.

By Will Grant, Mexico journalist

Mexicans just voted for Claudia Sheinbaum to be their country’s first female president, making a traditional option.

When Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador, her near ally, and his ousted president, forged an improbable alliance with Donald Trump while he was in office. While Mexico’s relations with Mr Biden have at times been uncomfortable, the neighbours have persistently found common ground in important areas like multiculturalism and mix- border trade.

Sheinbaum will need to demonstrate that she is more than just a continuation of the previous administration again in power, and what better way to do so than through diplomatic relations with Washington? In this way, she may try to be different from her predecessor when it comes to working with Biden or a probable second Trump presidency.

Speaking to the BBC on the campaign trail, Claudia Sheinbaum said she was unphased by the promise of either person in the White House. She said,” I did battle for Mexican,” and I will do it.

However, Mexicans themselves do n’t remember Trump’s presidency with any fondness. The provocative language only – “drug dealers, criminals, rapists”, as he called Mexican immigrants when he descended the legendary gold stairway to release his campaign in 2016 – still sticks in the craw for some around.

By Jessica Murphy, Toronto-based BBC News

America’s northern neighbour has some worries about a second Donald Trump presidency.

Trump has never enjoyed as much fanfare in Canada as he has with some of the populace in the US. A poll conducted earlier this year suggested that the majority of Americans were concerned that Trump’s presidency would not last for another four years.

Still, while Trump’s time as president put a strain on the bilateral relationship, Canada came away with some wins, notably a successfully renegotiated North American trade deal.

With the US election in November drawing near, Canada’s political and business elite is already gearing up for even more trade unrest.

How enmity-bound the two nations are, especially economically, is difficult to overstate because about C$ 3.6 billion ($ 2.6 billion,$ 2.1 billion ) in trade crossed the border each day last year.

So a planned formal review of the trade deal, along with Trump campaign musings about a worldwide tariff on imported goods have both been cause for concern.

Justin Trudeau, the prime minister, has launched a” Team Canada” project that will send politicians, ambassadors, and business leaders from all over the US to promote Canada both privately and publicly.

A similar initiative was successful during the first Trump presidency.

The country will “be ready to deal with whatever gets tossed at us”, Trudeau has said.