Musk’s politics taking a toll on troubled Tesla – Asia Times

Tesla is always going out of style in Europe and some parts of North America as a result of Elon Musk’s hard-line social bent. At the same time, competition in the markets for electric vehicles ( EVs ), autonomous driving and self-driving taxis ( robotaxis ) is rapidly intensifying, putting Tesla’s future at risk.

In Europe, income of Tesla cars were over 50.4 % year-on-year in January, according to statistics reported by EV Magazine and other media outlets. The largest declines were recorded in Spain ( 75.4 % ), France ( 63.4 % ) and Germany ( 59.5 % ).

In Holland, where Tesla registrations hit an 18-month low, NL Times ( Netherlands news in English ) reported bumper stickers reading” I bought a Tesla, not an Elon” and” Where is the Stop Elon button on this thing”? – as well as symbols that were spray-painted on a Tesla shop in The Hague.

In the Netherlands, EV sales were led by Kia Motors, Volkswagen and Volvo ( which is owned by China’s Geely ) in January. In the UK, BYD licenses were significantly higher.

Then the blowback has spread to North America, where some 50 anti-Musk/anti-Tesla rallies have been reported from the San Francisco Bay Area to Manhattan. Functions and threats of graffiti, including fire and suspected arson at retailers, have been reported at various locations in the US. A broken glass and a blaze at a Tesla shop are being looked into by police in Salem, Oregon, where I live.

The Action Network,” an open system that helps individuals and groups to arrange for democratic factors” on the Internet, posted an offer to a” TeslaTakedown” event on February 15, sponsored by Dissenters of Seattle. ” Buy your Teslas, dump your share, visit the picket ranges”, it read. Tesla is” Hurting Musk,” Musk claims. Stopping Musk may help save lives and our democracy”.

A poll by Electrifying.com (” The Electric Car Experts” ) showed that 59 % of prospective car buyers were unlikely to purchase a Tesla because of their dislike for Elon Musk. According to the same poll, 56 % of potential buyers and 61 % of EV owners are willing to buy a Chinese EV.

Some Europeans disapprove of Musk’s relationship with President Donald Trump and help for right-wing democratic parties in Germany and the UK. His use of DOGE ( Department of Government Efficiency ) to defraud government agencies like USAID is opposed by left-leaning Americans. People find boycotting Tesla to be a quick response to Trump’s plan to make Canada the nation’s 51st status.

Tesla car registrations in the US dropped about 10 % year-on-year in January according to Motor Intelligence, and were over 12 % in California, according to the California New Car Dealers Association.

Data from February may provide a more accurate assessment of how significant a problem Tesla has in its home business is. Right-wing Musk and Trump supporters may react in the same way to the toxicity of the left-wing anti-Tesla activity in the US.

Meanwhile, BYD has begun offering autonomous driving features on vehicles priced below$ 10, 000. Furthermore, all BYD models priced above$ 13, 500 are now equipped with the company’s God’s Eye advanced driver assistance system, which was previously available only on models costing more than$ 30, 000. Some observers see another Vehicle price war in the offing given that Tesla vehicles with comparable features start at around$ 32,000.

Launched in 2023, BYD’s God’s Eye incorporates laser, millimeter-wave sensor, devices and ultrasound cameras. Its City Navigate on Autopilot is designed to manage traffic lights and intricate roads, prevent obstacles, change lanes and beat slower cars. God’s Eye may also understand highways, including on and off stairs, and park quickly.

Nvidia and China’s Horizon Robotics are both buying automatic leading integrated circuits from BYD. As reported by DigiTimes, God’s Eye is divided into three value and tech levels: entry-level, mid-range and high-end. Entry-level and mid-range use NVIDIA DRIVE Orin SoCs ( systems-on-chip ), while the high-end uses Horizon’s Journey 6 onboard computer system in what is reported to be its first commercial implementation.

Nvidia made it known last week that it is the third-largest investor in China’s WeRide, trailing just Robert Bosch and the Carlyle Group. WeRide, which went public on the Nasdaq next October, holds autonomous car permits in China, Singapore, the UAE and the US. WeRide even employs NVIDIA DRIVE Orin. Its cars are made by GAC, Geely, Nissan, Yutong and JMC-Ford, which is Ford’s joint walk with Jiangling Motors.

WeRide’s item line includes self-driving cars, cars, delivery trucks, street workers and passenger cars. The business runs commercial operations in more than 30 cities in 9 different countries around the world and is currently conducting Levels 2 ( partial automation with human monitoring and control ) and Level 4 ( high automation with human override ). Its robotaxis are on the streets of Guangzhou, Beijing, Nanjing, Ordos ( Inner Mongolia ), Suzhou and Abu Dhabi.

In the US, ride-hailing business Lyft plans to launch self-driving cars in Dallas, Texas, using tech from Mobileye” as soon as 2026″ in a fleet of cars owned by Chinese trading business Marubeni. Waymo expects to build its self-driving cars on the Uber game in Austin, Texas, in the near future, probably in March.

Waymo currently offers more than 150, 000 self-driving car trips per week for more than one million miles. It offers robotaxi&nbsp, service in Phoenix, San Francisco and Los Angeles and is also preparing to start companies in Atlanta, Miami and Tokyo. &nbsp,

Next October, Waymo and Hyundai Motor announced plans to incorporate Waymo’s autonomous driving tech with Hyundai’s energy IONIQ 5 SUV. The Hyundai Motor Group Metaplant in Georgia, US, will be where the cars will become assembled. By the end of 2025, road assessments are expected to be conducted in preparation for the 2026 business roll-out.

In light of this, Musk stated to Tesla’s shareholders on its Q4 2024 earnings call at the end of January that the firm is “on track to conduct an initial start of uncontrolled Full Self Driving in Austin in June,” adding on X that he anticipates a “roll out to several cities in America by the end of this year.”

Despite the hype, Tesla is a follower, not a leader, in self-driving taxis. It is unclear how quickly or slowly a follower troubled Tesla might be given the delayed Robotaxi unveiling last year.

Follow this writer on&nbsp, X: @ScottFo83517667

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Behind China’s ‘secret’ laser facility – Asia Times

A US satellite image of what was described as a massive light center being constructed in southwest China recently appeared in a torrent of articles in the press. This appeared to be a newly discovered secret job, to the viewers. The reality is quite different.

The US, France, and China are currently the three main players in light integration. China now operates the world’s second most powerful light, the Shenguang-III, located near the” Science City” Mianyang in Sichuan Province. ( The Chinese expression shénɡuānɡ ( 神光 ) translates as “divine light”. ) Completed in 2015, &nbsp, Shenguang-II I is hailed in China as one of the country’s greatest technological achievements.

Before Shenguang-II I went on series, preparing had already begun for a much larger light program, Shenguang-IV, capable of reaching integration fire. This is undoubtedly the service that is depicted in the satellite image. Although it’s difficult to find up-to-date knowledge about Shenguang-IV, Chinese sources had previously reported that the task was being built in Mianyang and was scheduled to be finished” sometime after 2020.” It would have away to 228 light columns and a full signal strength of between 1.5 and 2 megajoules.

Schema of China’s SG-II I laser system, the third largest in the world Image: Zheng Wanguo et al., Laser performance of the SG-II I laser facility. ( 2016 )/ High Power Laser Science and Engineering / Creative Commons license CC-BY.

Shenguang-IV would thereby rival the largest presently existing system, the US National Ignition Facility ( NIF), and most likely be superior to it in important respects. When NIF was constructed, Shanguang-IV could use modern solutions.

Given that NIF is now a relatively new hospital, which construction began in 1997 and was finished in 2009, with no subsequent job, China would rank first in the world in terms of light integration capabilities.

One should not overlook that Mianyang, where the Shenguang light services are situated, is the leading facility in China for research and development of nuclear weaponry, directed energy weapons and other military-related innovative technology. There are nuclear arms produced it.

Among many other issues, Mianyang is also the site of the fast wind hole, JF-12, the most effective in the world up to the opening of China’s JF-22 hole two years ago.

Photos of SG-II I light bay and specific room. Photos: Creative Commons license CC-BY / Xian He, The updated progress of orbital confinement integration system in China / Journal of Physics: Conference Series. 688 ( 2016 )

The legendary Chinese Academy of Engineering Physics ( CAEP), which was formerly known as the” Ninth Institute,” owns the Shenguang facilities. From its creation in 1958 it played a key role in China’s effort to develop nuclear weapons, in the context of the” two bombs, one satellite” ( 两弹一星 ) strategy.

JT-12 fast weather hole. Photo: Institute of Mechanics, Chinese Academy of Sciences

Laser integration has always had a strong defense connection, aside from being one of the most significant pathways to integration as a functional energy source. A giant pulse of laser power, combined with a particle of integration energy the size of a grain of sand, causes the laboratory-scale equivalent of a small hydrogen bomb explosion. This makes it possible to thoroughly investigate bomb-relevant mechanics without violating the US and China’s Comprehensive Nuclear Test Ban Treaty, among other things.

One should not undervalue the significance of the Shenguang light facilities in order for China to strive to be the first country to construct a functioning integration power plant.

The focus of its integration efforts is on electrical confinement systems, especially tokamaks, but China is no putting all of its eggs in one basket. Supporting light fusion and so-called orbital incarceration in general has a number of distinct advantages. The benefits include app to spacecraft propulsion and ultra-high power densities.

China is even looking into laser integration, which has a close relationship to orbital captivity integration.

Graphic: China Academy of Engineering Physics

The most intriguing task of Peng Xianjue, a senior scholar at the above-mentioned China Academy of Engineering Physics, is the Z-FFR fusion-fission combination furnace. In place of a light, this furnace uses the so-called Z-pinch, in which a large pulse of electromagnetic energy&nbsp, compresses and ignites the fusion energy. In Peng’s furnace the particles, generated by merging responses, set fission reactions in a surrounding cover of nuclear materials, thereby releasing large amounts of energy.

A great advantage of this hybrid scheme is that the fusion part can operate below the breakeven, which is much easier to achieve, while the fission part operates below the level of criticality, making a run-way chain reaction impossible.

The government approved the construction of the world’s most powerful Z-pinch device in 2021 for construction in Sichuan province’s Comprehensive Science Center at Xinglong Lake, which will be the first step in its development. According to some reports, construction in already under way.

Meanwhile, it is intriguing to speculate as to when the recent press reports regarding a mysterious new laser facility in Mianyang came to light. We can be certain that the US annually captures dozens, if not hundreds, of satellite reconnaissance images of the Mianyang region. The construction of such a massive laser facility would not have been easy to ignore.

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Beijing’s private sector push will hold key to China’s growth – Asia Times

The latest meet with Chinese President Xi Jinping with business leaders sends a clear message: Beijing acknowledges the crucial role that private companies play in financial stability and growth. &nbsp,

China’s long-term achievement depends on an inspired and modern private sector rather than relying on fiscal stimulus, an strategy with diminishing returns. Politicians must shift their focus from short-term treatments to creating an financial environment where private firms can prosper if they are serious about ensuring lasting success.

For decades, China’s economic type relied on state-led assets and infrastructure growth to generate growth. While this method has propelled China into the rates of the nation’s largest economy, it has also led to rising debts, problems, and overcapacity in important areas. &nbsp,

Fiscal stimulus may offer a temporary increase, but it doesn’t address underlying architectural weaknesses. In comparison, unlocking the full potential of personal companies creates self-sustaining financial momentum by creating competition, performance, and creativity.

The statistics provide a powerful narrative. Private firms contribute over 60 % of China’s GDP, nearly 50 % of foreign trade and more than 80 % of urban employment, according to state broadcaster CGTN.

These businesses are the engine of China’s financial dynamism, influencing everything from consumer technology to alternative energy solutions. However, in recent years, regulation doubt, crackdowns on big tech firms, and tightened authorities supervision have eroded company confidence and curtailed investment.

The recovery of investor confidence is one of the most immediate outcomes of a shift toward private market support. Both domestic and foreign investors have been tense by regulatory changes in sectors like technology, knowledge, and real estate, which has resulted in cash flow shifting.

Beijing is revitalize company sentiment and rekindle entrepreneurial activity by implementing clearer policies, ensuring regulation predictability, and lowering administrative obstacles. Owners need confirmation that private companies won’t be subject to sudden policy changes or harsh economic sanctions.

Beyond funding, the private market is also the major to China’s second wave of technology development. Over the past two years, Chinese private companies have been at the vanguard of advances in artificial intelligence, financial and advanced manufacturing. &nbsp,

Firms like Alibaba, Tencent and BYD have demonstrated how private-sector innovation can push China back in world markets. However, technology has been hampered by heavy-handed condition intervention and governmental regulations. &nbsp,

Beijing you harness the potential of innovative ability to propel long-term economic growth by lowering the barriers to money, strengthening intellectual property protections, and fostering an empty and competitive market.

A new private sector law has recently been discussed, and this is a crucial moment. Such legislation could be a turning point for China’s economic policy if it were implemented with relevant protections and incentives. A pro-business legal framework would encourage more private investment, fuel job creation and make China’s economy less dependent on state-driven stimulus. Additionally, it would signal to global markets that China is committed to maintaining a stable and predictable business environment.

The global implications of China’s policy direction cannot be ignored. If Beijing sticks to its word about supporting private businesses, it could cause a resurgence in trade partnerships and foreign direct investment. &nbsp,

On the flip side, failure to do so would likely exacerbate capital outflows and economic stagnation, reinforcing reliance on inefficient state-driven projects. The course of action China chooses will have a long-lasting impact on both its domestic and global financial systems.

Fiscal stimulus is still an option to address pressing economic issues, but it does not do so in place of structural reform. Promoting innovation, ensuring consistency in regulations, and empowering private enterprises to compete and grow are key factors for sustainable growth.

If Beijing truly commits to strengthening the private sector, it will create a more resilient, self-sustaining economy – one that is driven not by state intervention, but by the ingenuity and ambition of its businesses. &nbsp,

In the long run, that’s the only viable path to lasting prosperity.

The CEO and Founder of deVere Group is Nigel Green.

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Ukraine War: Europe, we can do this – Asia Times

Donald Trump, does he not want to capitulate Russia, or is he? Whether President Trump is in Washington or his secretary of defense Pete Hegseth and evil president J. D. Vance are traveling in Europe and adopting the tale alliance-management tactic of demeaning your associates at every opportunity, the information regarding the conflict in Ukraine have been as mingled and perplexing as ever.

Whatever the truth, two things are clear:

  • Nothing can or will be settled until conversations really begin between the sufferer, Ukraine, and the enemy, Russia – but pre-emptive stress, anger or sadness are meaningless.
  • As a long-term, strong, ambitious, and capable partner for Ukraine will be required if Europe wants to safeguard its own security.

This is not a novel discovery. In a world where their post-war partnership with the United States is at best suspended or at worst destroyed, European leaders must find the best way to safeguard their countries ‘ interests.

This implies that making appealing or making concessions to Donald Trump is counterproductive and time wasting. Europe needs to show power, no obsequiousness, to both of the authoritarian bullies it is faced with: Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin.

Of course, Europe is divided. However, it usually is, which is why the European Union is important and why even the Union frequently needs to form alliances of the prepared rather than a compromise.

Despite having a number of splinters throughout the Ukrainian battle, the EU has accomplished a lot. According to the Ukraine Support Tracker compiled by Germany’s Kiel Institute, between January 2022 and end-December 2024 Western countries and organizations provided €132 billion worth of defense, humanitarian and financial aid to Ukraine ( compared with €114 billion from the United States ). A more €115 billion in upcoming funding has already been promised.

Russian officials and experts are calm about their government’s situation. Ukraine could and would continue to fight if America were to remove its support and Russia were to fail to put an end to its anger. It would most likely continue to lose property, but merely slowly, as it did last year. The loss of long-range British weapons systems that could be used to harm Russia’s supply lines and weapons stocks would be its main draw, but it hasn’t, in any case, had enough to make a significant difference.

The Ukrainians also ring calm about the conditions necessary to reach a peace agreement: they are aware that they have no chance of joining NATO for at least as long as Trump is in office and that they would have to take Russia’s current employment of about 20 % of their country, including Crimea.

But, very fairly, they are not willing to lose any more country, and no willing to accept any limitations on their sovereignty and independence. And they want their partners to offer trustworthy security guarantees to deter a pending Russian war in order to make any deal workable.

This is not a popular thing to say so close to Germany’s February 23 national elections, but the infamous term of then-Chancellor Angela Merkel from 2015 ( referring to a wave of immigration from Syria ) is now fitting for Ukraine:” Wir schaffen auf” – We can do this.

Europe has the power to intervene and give Ukraine the assistance it needs to strengthen its position in the negotiations and protect its safety.

If Ukraine needs to continue fighting and if the Americans don’t offer any more assistance, it can initially pledge to do so.

The stocks of munitions and weapons in Europe are too small for them to significantly affect the war, but their supplies may be enough to avert a Russian threat of fighting without the United States.

Let’s not forget that Germany’s refusal to offer its Corolla missiles last year was the biggest obstacle to providing long-range weaponry next year. A new president and administration may view European security with more vigor.

During peace agreements, the biggest prefer Europe can provide is to promise to send troops to Ukraine to maintain its long-term protection.

The misconception that these forces cannot possibly be supplied by Western forces is widespread. The reality is that security forces can be modest at first and grow over time; after all, if there really is a offer, the chance of a Russian attack would be smaller.

It would be possible to build an initial power consisting of 5, 000 men from each of Italy, Germany, Britain, Sweden, Denmark, France and Poland, for example, and to use those nations ‘ air pushes to maintain “no-fly areas” of the kind that President Volodymyr Zelenskyy was asking for in 2022.

As European defense spending grows — which this week’s proposal by Ursula von der Leyen to exempt defense “investment” from the fiscal constraints of the euro-area’s” stability pact” would assist — those forces based in Ukraine can be increased, subject to Russia’s conduct.

If a ceasefire is agreed, the rebuilding of Ukraine’s devastated towns can begin, and it will be costly. The ceasefire would also have the potential to significantly improve Ukraine’s economy and attract people from all over the world, so this should not be seen as just a cost to the EU taxpayer. In the end, the tragic truth of post-conflict reconstruction is that it can be profitable, at least if the conflict is truly over.

Without making these promises sound like concessions to Trump, Europe can make them and assume these responsibilities because they are desirable on their own terms. Additionally, they will give Europe influence over other aspects of the currently hostile transatlantic relationship.

In all aspects of the relationship, it will be vital to show strength. Trump’s 25 % tariffs on steel and aluminum imports from Europe should be replaced with identical tariffs on American imports. He claims that he wants to impose what he refers to as “reciprocal tariffs.” In that situation, the EU should replace every tariff that America imposes with a similar one for a product that the US protects, of which there is a lot.

The current situation is that both America and Europe impose high levels of agricultural protection in their own unique ways, with average tariffs of 4-5 % on imported non-agricultural goods. &nbsp,

The Digital Services Act ( DSA ), the means by which the EU regulates the major online platforms like Facebook, Google, TikTok, and X, is likely to face the biggest opposition.

Elon Musk, one of the billionaires who wants Trump to use leverage over tariffs and Ukraine to compel the EU to abandon the DSA, will be the biggest beneficiary of the attack. It would be disastrous for Europe to do so. A bully like Trump only reacts with force. &nbsp, Wir Schaffen Das, Europe: we can do this.

Formerly editor-in-chief of The Economist, Bill Emmott is currently chairman of the&nbsp, Japan Society of the UK, the&nbsp, International Institute for Strategic Studies&nbsp, and the&nbsp, International Trade Institute.

On Bill Emmott’s Global View, Bill Emmott’s Substack, you can find this English translation of an article that La Stampa first published in Italian. It is republished with permission.

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When political laboratory- like experiments produce disasters – Asia Times

John B. Calhoun’s laboratory research, conducted at the National Institute of Mental Health and summarized in 1962 in the&nbsp, Scientific American, are a&nbsp, textbook&nbsp, case &nbsp, of how to&nbsp, induce&nbsp, disastrous&nbsp, behavior&nbsp, in a given community.

Calhoun isolated animals in a sealed area, protecting them from illness and animals, and fed them. &nbsp, The rabbits bred swiftly, but Calhoun did not increase the animals ‘ living room. &nbsp, The animals became violent, devoted eating and infanticide. &nbsp, The men became possibly sexual, transgender or homosexual. &nbsp, Fertility declined and the rodent population tended toward death. &nbsp, When Calhoun introduced the several surviving animals into the “wild”, they remained heterosexual, isolated –” morally disabled” – and quickly died out. &nbsp,

&nbsp, The experiments were significant, but their lessons were applied only for cases of squeezing, be it in poultry farms or, for humans, in prisons, and shedding light on industrial violence, and affect on people rise and the environment. &nbsp,

I did not get any follow-up study noting that the “rat community” disappeared because it&nbsp, was being taken care&nbsp, of for years, without having had to make the slightest work, just adjusting to the confined area as DNA dictated.

Rats ‘ decline into obscurity was attributed in large part to their inability to expand their living spaces, but none of it was due to the fact that they were accustomed to manna from scientific heavens ( a case of an eternal-counting-on-Godot “rat welfare state” or the lethal combination of such a state with confinement. &nbsp, &nbsp,

&nbsp, Does this experiment shed light on political laboratory-type experiments with people? Although people are very good at coming up with new jargons and rationalizations, the facts suggest that is the case, in different societies, at different times. &nbsp, After all, the ability&nbsp, to invent&nbsp, words, new vocabularies, languages is a&nbsp, main distinguishing features of humans. &nbsp, &nbsp, &nbsp, &nbsp, &nbsp, &nbsp,

In a 2008 study titled” Palestinian Refugee Camps in Lebanon as a Space of Exception,” former president of the International Sociological Association Sari Hanafi examined in-depth how the refugee camps were transformed into” a space of radicalism and a space that contributes to perpetuating the Palestinian-Israeli conflict rather than resolving it.”

He looked into why&nbsp, the violence&nbsp, erupted in the Lebanese camps, and concluded that for 60 years,” the space of the refugee camps in Lebanon was treated as an&nbsp, experimental laboratory for control and surveillance”. He attributed the dire circumstances in which these camps were located to UNRWA and Islamist organizations.

The concluding section was titled” Camps as Laboratories” .&nbsp, Indeed, the UN mandated the UNRWA camps-welfare-experiment in 1948 to last just two years and assist to resettle&nbsp, few&nbsp, hundred thousand people.

The camps still&nbsp, exist, more than 70 years later, assisting millions of descendants, all having “refugee status” and, rather than having been resettled, living in increasingly crowded camps permeated by violence and glorifying “martyrdom” – a rationalized infanticide, subsidized in this case by a “pay for kill” scheme for the surviving family.

It appears that when humans are subjected to drastic “laboratory experiments” confining them to” care” and restricted places for generations, they display symptoms of mental illness not dissimilar to those of Calhoun’s rats. &nbsp, Only humans rationalize with academic jargon.

&nbsp, The solution&nbsp, President&nbsp, Trump&nbsp, has now floated of dispersing people and expecting them to have normal lives has precedents. &nbsp, Whereas Europe after WWII had 70 million refugees roaming the continent in 1945, they were all absorbed within&nbsp, a few&nbsp, years.

Among them were some 12 million ethnic Germans expelled from Eastern and Central Europe where they lived for centuries, &nbsp, most settled between 1945-48 in what became West Germany. These immigrants “disappeared” within the de-radicalized German miracle rather than as a burden, with the Marshall Plan playing only a minuscule role as the then-German Finance Minister Ludwig Erhard radically lowering taxes, deregulating, and carrying out a currency reform in 1948. &nbsp, &nbsp, &nbsp, &nbsp, &nbsp, &nbsp,

Societies around the world made the observation that while providing care for those who find themselves in difficult circumstances is a requirement ( and not just because people may have morals but because they are aware that desperate people can be dangerouss ), providing too much care without obligations leads to a déssolute lifestyle, even when crowding is not an issue.

Ancient sayings, confirmed now by evidence, such as” Three generations from shirtsleeves to shirtsleeves” have been common around the world. &nbsp, In Japan, the saying has been” Rice paddies to rice paddies in three generations” .&nbsp, The Scottish&nbsp, said, &nbsp,” The Father buys, the son builds, the grandchild sells and his son begs”. And in China:” Wealth never survives three generations”.

A recent&nbsp, 20-year Williams Group study covering 3, 200 families&nbsp, confirmed the sayings, finding that seven out of 10 families tend to lose their fortunes by the second generation and nine out 10 by the 3rd generation.

The second generation’s over-indulgence is the culprit – as Polybius observed already in his&nbsp, Histories&nbsp, about the Ancient World, when shedding light on how not just families, but normal, prosperous societies spiral into violence and wars and die out. &nbsp,

Because the kings ‘ children develop wealth, power, and wealth, and spend a lot of money, kingdoms become corrupt. A maze of institutions built on moral and religious foundations drawing on the Ten Commandments is not antiquated by democracy to prevent such declines.

Otherwise, the new generation inherits the hard-working, disciplined ancestors ‘ riches without effort and overlooks what brought about privileged lives. &nbsp, This generation weakens the disciplining institutions and creates instead not fully thought-through new ones, generations of heavily subsidized youth in academic “laboratories” among them and, as Europe’s main political debates reveal, granting generations of&nbsp, immigrants&nbsp, instant rights to welfare. &nbsp,

In France, where this debate now dominates, the January 2025 Statista found the following: Among&nbsp, non-immigrants, the unemployment rate ( as measured by people looking for jobs ) has been in the 6.5 % range since 2015, among immigrants, it has varied between 11 and 18 percent, among descendants of&nbsp, immigrants&nbsp, it has varied between 10 and 14 percent.

Dutch researchers discovered that when the Dutch government in&nbsp, 1993 tightened significantly the eligibility for current and future claimants, it induced recipients to work and learn skills in a decent approximation of a laboratory experiment. Briefly: As recipients in welfare experiment received less care, some abandoned the” confined places” they lived in, and started normal lives. &nbsp, &nbsp,

&nbsp, As to the US and Europe: Eric Hoffer observed in the 1970s that the hippie generation, increasingly being taken care of by the state, started to behave like” the spoiled children of the rich”, living an easy life. Now, 50 years later, that’s made even easier with student debts forgiven ( even though the Supreme Court declared such forgiveness to be illegal ). &nbsp,

Hoffer attributed this to an “ordeal of affluence”, which threatened social stability, transferring wealth without requiring discipline,” creating a climate of disintegrating values with its fallout of anarchy”, as he put it.

Perhaps not “anarchy”, but spiraling into weakness when&nbsp, perceived from an even broader perspective has been the” care” the US has given to Europe, as David Goldman and Uwe Parpart note in a recent piece:

The Europeans ‘” sense of entitlement derives from their status as clients of the Washington foreign&nbsp, and security&nbsp, policy establishment, which paid billions of dollars a year through USAID, the National Endowment for Democracy&nbsp, ( NED ) and prominent private foundations to keep complaisant Europeans on the payroll”.

Europe’s younger generation took their freedoms and well-being for granted:” No one will fight and die for” Europe.”

The amorphous supranational bureaucracy in Brussels has dissipated the tax money of the various European tribes and held to be questionable accountable. &nbsp, &nbsp, &nbsp,

Whereas in the US the threats Hoffer alluded appear to having been contained, and the pendulum toward common sense&nbsp, is swinging&nbsp, back, elsewhere the political experiments of being” taking care” of at various levels&nbsp, continue, potentially turning into a lethal combination. &nbsp, &nbsp, &nbsp,

The article draws on Brenner’s books, History – the Human Gamble and Force of Finance, and series of articles in American Affairs and Law &amp, Liberty.

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Japan’s upbeat GDP surprise won’t likely last long – Asia Times

No one is likely to be more amazed by Japan’s explosive growth during the October to December quarter than Shigeru Ishiba, the country’s prime minister.

Ishiba hasn’t had a great deal to observe these last 139 time as president. The poor yen is the only factor that has dropped significantly over his approval score. News that gross domestic product&nbsp, ( GDP ) grew&nbsp, at an annualized pace of 2.8 % represents a rare tailwind for Ishiba’s beleaguered government.

But chances are, it’s currently proving no complement for Trumpian challenges zooming Asia’s manner. Just last week, for instance, US President Donald Trump said “reciprocal” tariffs are immediate on top of new taxes on China, Canada, Mexico, steel and aluminum.

As Trump contemplates the next economic grenade, economist Stefan Angrick of Moody’s Analytics says, “don’t break out the champagne simply yet.” Chinese fundamentals don’t have the same vivid appeal as new data suggest.

” The bottom line is that the fourth-quarter GDP transfer is nothing to write home about”, Angrick says. The cheerful headliner conceals a mudstamp on the country’s still-stuck market.

The bigger picture, according to Angrick, is that” use is poor because pay increases have been trailing prices for the better part of three times, and thick inflation has pushed real income rise into the distance.

Legislation uncertainty is an additional concern. Fiscal and monetary policy are straddling a wire between persistent inflation and poor real growth. And with the prospect for global business deteriorating, Japan won’t be able to rely on imports to pick up the slack in 2025.

The GDP numbers, according to economist Kazutaka Maeda of the Meiji Yasuda Research Institute, point to an economy that is “isn’t when powerful” as the headline figures suggest. Particularly personal consumption is cooling.

The currency’s surge in response to Monday’s inside surprise was further complicated Japan’s ability to depend on exports. Chances are higher now that the Bank of Japan may tighten once more and quickly.

” Even though the climb in Q4 GDP wasn’t broad-based, it supports our view that the Bank of Japan will strengthen legislation more violently this year than most anticipate”, create economics at Capital Economics.

As BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda applies the brake to the home and business confidence, Tokyo’s wind problems may become even more severe. And increase Ishiba’s political wealth.

Ishiba and Trump’s Oval Office conference on February 8 managed to move quickly and without much acclaim. And that’s exactly the concern given the “revenge visit” on which Trump 2.0 is embarking.

The much more significant attention was paid to the gathering Trump had with Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi days afterward in Washington. Primarily, this may represent expectations that Indian GDP is on record to beat Japan’s on Trump’s view. &nbsp,

But it also leaves much opportunity, if any, for Japan to secure any kind of exemption on Trump’s coming tax onslaught.

Of course, no yet so-called Trump “whisperer” Shinzo Abe pulled that off. The capacity that Abe, excellent minister from 2012 to 2020, struck up with Trump didn’t get Tokyo a slip on Washington’s 2017-2021 taxes. Nor did Abe’s groveling prevent Trump from exiting the Trans-Pacific Partnership, the base of the ruling Liberal Democratic Party’s schedule to include China.

That’s not to suggest Abe failed entirely in his endeavors to calm Trump’s worst feelings. Abe was able to stifle bilateral trade deals, giving Trump the opportunity to get trade talks that ended in a attract. Additionally, he avoided Trump’s requires that Tokyo pay US$ 8 billion yearly to keep US troop levels.

Ishiba didn’t be so wonderful. Trump World is well aware of how unhappy Ishiba’s state is, and his approval ratings haven’t often increased above 30 % since October 1. For another, Trump’s only Asia emphasis these next four times appears to be a big business deal with China.

In the interval, punishment appears to be driving Trump World’s first scheme steps toward Asia. That has Japan Inc. in a whirl, especially the nation’s vital car market.

According to Nomura Research Institute economist Takahide Kiuchi, some Tokyo officials believed that agricultural products were the main subject of mutual tariffs. More lately, Team Trump has refused to rule out targeting trucks. If that happens, Kiuchi says, the beat to Chinese GDP” may be several degrees greater”.

According to World Trade Organization information, Japan maintains a fairly small 3.7 % tax on places that carry most-favored-nation position. On the surface, that may seem to keep “little opportunity for significant increases in tariffs on Chinese goods”, Kyohei Morita, general Japan economist at Nomura Holdings.

Ishiba blatantly endorsed significant increases in the exports of liquefied natural gas and various US goods from his most recent Trump meet. Trump only has a clue about how much of his antipathy toward Japan may emerge and affect trade policy going forward.

Again in&nbsp, the&nbsp, mid-1980s, when Trump’s financial opinions seemed to congeal, Japan was cast in&nbsp, the&nbsp, character’s position then occupied by China. American media was transfixed over&nbsp, the&nbsp, idea of Japan Inc taking over&nbsp, the&nbsp, world economy.

Daily press reports explored how Japanese buyers were scooping up New York’s Rockefeller Center, golf courses like California’s Pebble Beach and Hollywood studios. And buying up Rembrandts, Monets, Picassos, Warhols and other masterworks on auction to hang in Tokyo.

Lawmakers and pundits warned of an&nbsp, economic Pearl Harbor, and of America becoming a commercial” colony” of Japan. As then-business mogul Trump said in an interview at&nbsp, the&nbsp, time, Japan had” systematically&nbsp, sucked&nbsp, the&nbsp, blood&nbsp, out of America —&nbsp, sucked&nbsp, the&nbsp, blood&nbsp, out! They have gotten away with murder. They have come to the conclusion willing to fight the war.

That is when Ronald Reagan, the then-US president, inaugurated his second term with a mercantilist strategy that still inspires Trump. In 1985, Reagan’s Treasury Secretary, James Baker, managed to cajole&nbsp, the&nbsp, most powerful industrialized nations to push&nbsp, the&nbsp, yen sharply higher and&nbsp, the&nbsp, dollar lower.

The&nbsp, pact was signed at&nbsp, the&nbsp, Plaza Hotel, a New York institution that Trump once owned. Early in his first presidency, then-Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin and advisors like Peter Navarro hinted at Trump’s desire for a “new Plaza Accord” that would send&nbsp, the&nbsp, Chinese yuan soaring.

That never materialized. A Trump 2.0 White House might indeed give&nbsp, the&nbsp, strategy another try. Beijing would surely refuse, enraging Trump World. Beijing knows how&nbsp, the&nbsp, 1985 currency deal precipitated Japan’s asset bubble in&nbsp, the&nbsp, late 1980s, leading to decades of stagnation.

Trump might not need to change much, though, to become more Japan-skeptic than he once was. &nbsp,

Ueda requested a comprehensive assessment of the potential harm Trump’s policies might have on global trends last week, and instructed BOJ researchers to do the same.

” We cannot understand the impact]of Trump’s trade policies ] on Japan unless we see the whole picture— such as how the overall package, instead of individual policies, would look like and what kinds of policy developments are causing currency fluctuations“, Ueda said.

Yoshimasa Hayashi, the head of Japan’s chief cabinet, stated that” Japan faces significant challenges if its companies become targets in the wake of US President Donald Trump’s policies. The government will carefully respond to any potential effects.”

A gradual recovery, according to Economy Minister Ryosei Akazawa, is the most likely scenario. However, he says,” It is necessary to be mindful of the impact of continued price increases for food and other daily items on consumer spending because consumer sentiment is being negatively impacted by consumer spending.”

What those impacts might be is anyone’s guess right now. ” If economic activity eases unexpectedly, chances&nbsp, of&nbsp, further hikes reduce, but if activity holds up, there is a good chance for more”, says Krishna Bhimavarapu, Asia-Pacific economist at State Street Global Advisors.

Bhimavarapu continues,” We expect the Ishiba administration to perform better than general expectations,” but the BOJ outlook “would depend on how the fiscal policy agenda manages to survive the pending ordinary Diet session.” All&nbsp, of&nbsp, this is supportive&nbsp, of&nbsp, further policy normalization”.

The Daiwa Institute of Research notes for the time being that “various growth factors are observed, including normalization of motor vehicle production. Continued improvements in the income environment, a strong appetite for capex spending on the part of corporations, and a comeback for inbound consumption” were also promising factors.

The outlook for wages is a crucial factor. Saisuke Sakai, chief Japan economist at Mizuho Research, notes that” we need to be cautious” because odds are that income gains adjusted for inflation will be “negative” in the January-March quarter.

How incisive Trump’s trade war strategy and how quickly Tokyo can respond may determine how much. The answer to either question really is anyone’s guess.

Follow William Pesek on X at @WilliamPesek

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Time for Europe to get up, stand up – Asia Times

America is certainly attempting to conserve Europe at this time.

That is the clear communication of two location statements from the previous year — one by U. S. Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth, the other by Vice President JD Vance. Hegseth stated at a conference in Brussels on February 12 that Europe is no longer America’s top priority for safety:

We’re here presently to declare unequivocally that the United States of America is primarily focused on the security of Europe. The United States is in danger of facing serious threats to our country. We must – and we are – focusing on protection of our own borders… We furthermore face a peer competition in the Communist Chinese with the ability and intention to harm our country and core national hobbies in the Indo-Pacific.

For the sake of all of us, punishment never fail. As the US favors deterring war with China in the Pacific, the US must make the resource compromises that reflect this. [ I put emphasis on mine ]

Hegseth also warned that the US will eventually&nbsp, take its troops out of Europe, and said that Europe may provide the vast majority of aid for Ukraine going forward.

Vance argued two days later at the Munich Security Conference that what he saw as a fallout from the anti-democratic principles was Europe’s biggest risk rather than Russia or China.

The danger from within, the surrender of Europe from some of its most basic values, ideals shared with the United States of America, is the one that worries me the most about. It is not China, it is not any other additional actor.

As evidence of Europe’s retreat from democracy, he cited Romania ‘s&nbsp, cancellation&nbsp, of an election result due to supposed election interference, Sweden ‘s&nbsp, jailing&nbsp, of a rightist activist for burning a Koran, and Britain ‘s&nbsp, arrest&nbsp, of an anti-abortion activist for silently praying near an abortion clinic. He even urged Western governments to spend more on defense and to listen to their members who are upset about current wave after wave of emigration.

Although these statements may be interpreted in two entirely different ways, they both lead to the same fundamental conclusion.

The initial understanding is that Hegseth and Vance are telling Europe hard beliefs that it needs to hear. Even if America wants and needs to be the surety of Western security as it did in the Cold War and World Wars, it can’t, at least not if it wants to be the surety of surveillance in Asia, where its most fearsome foe looms. In terms of manufacturing capacity, China is significantly ahead of America in terms of community and technologies, and it has four instances that of America. Yet with Japan, India, Korea, Australia, and other friends entirely on board, America may be sorely hard-pressed to endure a concerted Chinese attempt to take over Asia.

America is not the democracy’s army anymore, it once was, smothered by decades of underdevelopment and smothered in levels of claims and regulations. There is no choice but to promote because it has. Asia is more economically crucial to the US, and China is a&nbsp, much&nbsp, bigger long-term danger to the US than Russia is. Therefore, it’s just inevitable that America will have to turn away from Europe and the Middle East and instead focus more on Asia.

Vance does make a point about Western values. The EU Charter of Fundamental Rights&nbsp, claims to safeguard freedom of expression, as does the UK’s&nbsp, Human Rights Act of 1998. The laws that prohibit burning the Koran and praying near an abortion office certainly seem to violate the right to free speech. And even though Russia allegedly influenced Romania’s vote, canceling it risks creating a dangerous precedent because it’s always relatively simple to claim or manipulate foreign interference if you’re an immoral autocrat.

So it’s probable that Hegseth and Vance are not only being honest, but are giving Europe a needed wake-up visit.

Hegseth and Vance are portrayed as being dishonest in the following sense. According to this tale, the MAGA action respects and has a close relationship with Russia. Trump draws a false social equality between Russia and Ukraine, unfairly&nbsp, laying some of the blame on Ukraine&nbsp, for the battle.

Regardless of whether or not their help has been significantly significant, Trump has a strong preference for those who support him. Russia has always, favored Trump over his rivals. And unlike the Europeans, who they perceive as wicked deracinated socialists, many on the British right mistakenly view Russia as a follower of traditional Christian and muscular values. But perhaps Trump and his folks just want Russia to prevail over Ukraine.

Hegseth is obviously blowing the whistle when he claims that America needs to divert resources to secure its own borders. Even the$ 7.3 billion that America spends on border security ( just$ 7.3 billion in 2024, despite years of significant increases ), would leave it much less than Ukraine aid. And it’s a little pricey for JD Vance to condemn Romania for allowing an vote when he backs Trump’s plan to do something incredibly related in 2020.

In this view, all Trump’s people are saying is simply an extension of right-wing culture-war politics — their problem for free conversation is a fig leaf, they like European far-right parties because they’re anti-immigration, and they want to change America’s foreign policy up to isolationism and the Northern Hemisphere.

Which of these interpretations is correct, in my opinion, is a little agnostic. I believe that Hegseth is being sincere, while Vance is likely exploiting his domestic political base in the US. In addition, the Trump administration likely includes a number of both right-wing isolationists who want America to leave the world and concentrate all of its efforts on internal ideological conflicts, and conservative internationalists who acknowledge the magnitude of the threat from China.

But more importantly, I think that from Europe’s vantage point, &nbsp, it mostly doesn’t matter&nbsp, which interpretation of America’s recent words and actions is more accurate.

Whether America really wants to concentrate on deterring China in Asia or whether it wants to focus on bullying Canada, Panama, and its own minorities is another question that ignores the cold hard reality that America is stepping down as the protector of European security.

Whether or not Trump’s supporters actually believe Russia to be a threat to Europe doesn’t change the fact that Russia is a threat to Europe. And whether Trump’s people truly care about free speech, that doesn’t change the fact that&nbsp, Europe’s people are angry&nbsp, about recent immigration waves, and if that anger isn’t accommodated through the democratic process, Europe’s stability could be in danger.

In other words, both the challenges that Europe faces and the fact that the US is unwilling to assist in those challenges are obvious and obvious. Europe must either retaliate against the threats that confront it or abandon its position.

Fortunately, some of the Europeans may finally be realizing this. Hegseth is essentially correct in his argument that Europe needs to step up and fill the void the US is leaving, which Benjamin Tallis has in an excellent thread. Zelensky, the president of Ukraine, has been&nbsp saying similar things. And France’s President Macron has &nbsp, called an emergency EU summit&nbsp, to discuss America’s withdrawal from the region.

And fortunately, even without America’s assistance, Europe has the fundamental strength it needs to withstand the threats it faces.

Russia can be handled alone by Europe if it so chooses to.

Just as the US is overmatched by China, Russia is overmatched by Europe. I wrote out the fundamental case two years ago along with some pertinent numbers.

Russia and Europe both have significantly more people and industries. The EU and UK together have half a billion people — more than three times as many as Putin’s empire:

UN source

The ratio is even more lopsided when Turkey is included in the mix.

As for industrial output, even after Russia’s big wartime mobilization, Europe still makes far more stuff. Russia would only be the region’s fifth-largest manufacturing nation if it were included in Europe:

Source: World Bank via Wikipedia and Wikipedia

Even the UK manufactures more than Russia!

This is just a rough measure because not all types of manufacturing are equally useful for war. For example, Russia typically produces a lot of tanks and artillery shells, while Europe produces a lot of pharmaceuticals and medical devices.

However, the comparison is so unfair that it is obvious that a united, determined Europe would prevail over Russia in any protracted conventional conflict, even without the iota of American assistance. And Europe has its own nuclear deterrent as well, mostly in the hands of France and the UK.

It’s also fanciful to think that Europe might band together to combat Russia. NATO command can act as a single military force for any and all European efforts against Russia, even if the United States officially withdraws from NATO or simply refuses to come to its aid.

Crucially, NATO also includes Turkey and the UK, who aren’t in the EU, but both of which are rivals of Russia. Without a Trump-led US weighing the alliance down, it might be free to become the pan-European military force that the region requires.

Politically speaking, Europe is more united than it has ever been throughout its history, as evidenced by how the entire region banded together to impose sanctions on Russia in 2022, and how even traditionally neutral nations like Sweden have been a part of NATO.

But even with unity, Europe will still need the will to fight. None of Europe’s largest countries are currently achieving the level of what it would take to contain Russia without American assistance, despite the many bold rhetoric from officials in Germany, France, and the UK.

This is typically expressed in terms of the share of GDP that European nations invest in their militaries. And yes, Russia spends far more of its GDP on its military than the major European countries do:

Changes to this number can also reveal details about a nation’s priorities. Germany, France, and the UK are showing that they aren’t yet taking the Russian threat as seriously as they should, despite the fact that military spending hasn’t increased significantly in those countries. Poland, in contrast, is clearly taking the threat seriously, which is why Hegseth consistently praises Poland.

Of course, because Europe has a much higher GDP than Russia does, even a smaller share of GDP could result in a higher total military spending amount. However, it’s important to keep in mind that the real purchasing power of the military also depends on prices, such as soldiers ‘ salaries and medical expenses, weapons, vehicles, transportation, etc. are cheaper in Russia than in Europe, that means$ 1 of Russian defense spending counts for more than$ 1 of European defense spending.

In reality, Russia sells its military equipment for a a lot  less. Taking this into account, it probably spends about as much money on its military as all of Europe combined:

Russia’s military expenditure is rising so fast that it is outperforming all European countries combined despite their effort to boost budgets and rearm, according to the International Institute for Strategic Studies ‘ latest&nbsp, Military Balance report…The think tank said that Russia’s military expenditure last year was forecast at 13.1 trillion rubles ($ 145.9 billion ) …Meanwhile, Europe’s combined 2024 defense spending was$ 457 billion …11.7 percent higher in real terms than the previous year…

The Kremlin’s military expenditure would reach$ 461.6 billion, the IISS said, if its spending is calculated in purchasing power parity terms, which are used in nations like Russia where domestic inputs are significantly less expensive than on the global market.

Russia has about 1.1 million active military personnel, whereas NATO does not have nearly as many, despite having about a quarter of that number. But it’s not clear how many of those troops NATO could actually bring to bear in a fight.

Germany, France, and the UK need to immediately and significantly increase their defense spending. Hegseth is correct in saying that Poland’s goal of 5 % of GDP by 2025 is appropriate and roughly equivalent to what the US spent on its military spending during the 1980s during the peace process.

Furthermore, European countries need to make sure their troops are well-trained and their militaries are well-integrated. And Europe needs to strengthen its nuclear deterrent in order to be less dependent on the ( now likely nonexistent ) US nuclear umbrella. France and the UK need to build more nukes, while Germany and Poland need to obtain their own.

There are essentially two dangers for Europe: a lack of cooperation between nations and a lack of popular will within each nation.

It’s possible that European publics simply don’t worry enough about the Russian threat, or that they’ve become so rich and complacent — or perhaps so infused with leftist ideology — that they hate the very idea of spending money on the military. Elites in Europe, particularly those in Germany, France, and the UK, simply need to persuade the public that a strong, integrated defense is necessary.

If they are unable to do that, the European nations will demonstrate that democracies are inherently weak and incapable of standing up for themselves. In the 20th century, democracies passed the toughness test, sacrificing blood and treasure to crush fascism and contain communism. Perhaps America is failing that test in the twenty-first century. If so, it becomes even more crucial that Europe succeed in the examination.

The other danger is that each European country will look after its own narrow interests, throwing the other countries to the wolves. There is a tendency for each nation to view the countries east of it as buffer states, which is a defense-in-depth way to fend off the Russians. This is a dangerous fantasy.

The more Russia conquers, the more powerful it growth, since it basically enslaves each conquered group into its army to conquer the next group. When the USSR attacked Poland in 1919, it did so with a large number of Ukrainian troops, and when it faced West Europe’s Cold War, Polish troops were used to defend it. And so forth. Europe has to make a stand and put up a hard wall, instead of letting Russia continue to absorb and enslave its people bit by bit.

It might make sense for Europe to actively participate in the conflict, helping the Ukrainians stop Russia from grabbing any more territory, if the US abandons Ukraine entirely to Russia, as it appears to be now.

Europe could send troops to strengthen Ukraine’s defenses and learn how modern warfare operates while they are lacking in manpower and grit. But even if direct intervention doesn’t happen, Europe will need to fortify its borders in the east against continued Russian encroachment.

There is actually a historical precedent for this. The UK and France formed a partnership in 1865-1946 to defend the weakening Ottoman Empire from Russian territorial grabs. The result was the Crimean War, in which the alliance of Britain, France, and Turkey — depicted at the top of this post — defeated the Russians and halted their westward expansion. Over the next 20 years, Europe will be able to defeat the new Russian empire, even if it doesn’t actually fight in Ukraine. If Europe increases defense spending and deploys its forces to its eastern borders.

Europe needs to reform its immigration and economy.

It should also go without saying that Europe needs to fix its economy. Over the past ten and a half, the region has stagnated. Even when comparing purchasing power parity, which is unaffected by exchange rate movements, it is obvious that Europe has been trailing the US:

It’s not just that the U. S. has more immigration, either — Europe ‘s&nbsp, per capita GDP has lagged&nbsp, as well.

Particularly poorly has Germany done in recent years. Before the Ukraine war broke out, Russian gas was cut off, and its industrial production has been declining since long before:

Source: &nbsp, Marginal Revolution

When confronted with these facts, Europeans typically comfort themselves ( or attack their American critics ) by highlighting Europe’s lower levels of inequality, life expectancy, and crime. However, those benefits don’t really help the hundreds of thousands of Russian drones, which make Europe a nice place to live. To build up military-industrial strength, you need higher GDP and you need higher industrial production.

How Europe can obtain those things is a challenging question to answer. There are some obvious policy choices, such as removing internal trade barriers between European nations, general deregulation, and reversing the Danish “flexicurity” system to promote labor mobility. Europe also needs as much cheap energy as it can get, since factories are especially power-hungry.

There is a requirement to restart all mothballed nuclear reactors, and many more should be constructed. Europe should also be generating as much solar power as possible, particularly in Spain, where it’s sunny and sparsely populated, before using high-voltage transmission lines to supply the country’s industrial heartland.

On top of that, Europe needs to build a better software industry. AI and especially software will play an increasingly significant role in manufacturing, and exporting software can also help to boost the economy. Europe already has a lot of talented coders, especially in East Europe, and it also has a lot of capital to invest.

However, the region has been having a really difficult time creating a software ecosystem a la the US. Deregulation should be the first step in this regard, making sure that there are no real obstacles to innovation until laws like GDPR are changed. After that, tweak financial laws to encourage venture capital, and work to harmonize standards and regulations across EU member states so the market isn’t fragmented.

Age is one of Europe’s biggest challenges, and every nation in the world is either dealing with it or will have to deal with it quickly. Unfortunately, effective pro-natalist policies still don’t exist ( mostly because France only experiences passing results with them ) Until recently, robust immigration partially filled Europe’s gap, but there is a huge backlash against the types of immigrants Europe has been absorbing in a flurry of mass for the past ten and a half. Even if you doubt JD Vance’s motives, he’s right that European countries need to accede to the will of their increasingly immigration-skeptical populaces, to do otherwise would risk political instability.

The most obvious move in this situation is to simply restrict the set of source countries, in addition to deporting immigrant criminals so that the populace feels more positively about the entire thing. It would probably be a good idea to take fewer refugees from violent war-torn areas and more skilled or semi-skilled immigrants from stable low-crime nations.

Anyway, I have &nbsp, much&nbsp, more to say about the European economy, but for right now, I just want to point out that although Europe desperately needs a stronger military, countries that pump up their militaries without concomitant increases in their economic output typically don’t fare well.

Instead of waiting for America to intervene and save the day like it did in the 20th century, the Europeans need to think about economics and military power as one big interconnected effort.

This article was originally published on Noah Smith’s Noahpinion&nbsp, Substack, and it is now republished with kind permission. Become a Noahopinion&nbsp, subscriber&nbsp, here.

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US government gaslights world with massive media subsidies – Asia Times

How much of USAID’s US$ 40 billion yearly investing and the National Endowment for Democracy’s and other government agencies ‘ budgets financed the assistance of journalists around the world?

When payments to so-called generous foundations are tallied up, the virtually$ 270 million in payoffs to “independent media” in the 2025 federal funds, which is a shocking amounts in comparison to the editorial budgets of the world’s news organizations, may be a small portion of the total subsidy.

The sum total was in the billions, and the Soros mom’s Open Society Foundations, the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, and other private organizations provided the same funding.

One of the main goals of USAID money is to procure media support for the US-supported Ukraine conflict efforts. Up until the Trump management turned off the faucet earlier this month, the company managed to fund nine out of ten media sources in Ukraine.

One Soros-allied” charity”, the East-West Management Institute, received$ 278 million from the US state, according to the established site usaspending. state:

Origin: usaspending. governor

Politico, owned by Germany’s Springer Verlag, received at least$ 34 million in funding from various US government agencies, according to the federal government’s website.

Origin: usaspending. governor

Elon Musk’s Department of Government Efficiency ( DOGE ), which attempted to eliminate government waste, was able to uncover the largest covert operation in West history, surpassing earlier US intelligence operations like the Congress for Cultural Freedom from the Cold War.

However, the enemy, which cost hundreds of millions and maybe billions of dollars, was local political rivals in friendly nations rather than the Soviet Union.

And the plan was no military success, but a political and cultural change of the West itself: The so-called green agenda, variety, open borders, the removal of standard notions of gender and the ascent of globalist institutions at the expense of national sovereignty.

Few if any significant news organizations may escape the most severe problem controversy in the history of media. ” The skeletons just keep tumbling out of the closet”, tweeted Hungarian government official Zoltan Kovacs February 13, claiming$ 9 million of US Defense Department obligations to Reuters, the country’s largest news agency, for research on “large-scale social fraud” &nbsp, activities.

The payments are listed on the national government’s site, a picture is above.

Origin: usaspending. governor

How centered is the “independent” press on USAID and related money? According to Reporters Sans Frontieres, a Paris-based media freedom lobbying group, the expulsion of USAID help” throws media around the world into chaos”.

The media firm complained in a new blog that the Trump president’s freeze of USAID payments “has plunged NGOs, media outlets, and journalists doing important work into turbulent uncertainty”. RS F’s executive director Clayton Weimers added:

More than 30 countries support independent media through USAID programs, but it’s difficult to fully assess the harm the global media has caused. Many organizations are reluctant to make a statement out of concern for the potential for long-term funding or political unrest.

According to a USAID fact sheet which has since been taken offline, in 2023, the agency funded training and support for 6, 200 journalists, assisted 707 non-state news outlets, and supported 279 media-sector civil society organizations dedicated to strengthening independent media. The 2025 foreign aid budget included&nbsp,$ 268, 376, 000 allocated by Congress to support ‘ independent media and the free flow of information.

Reporters sans Frontieres added,” In Ukraine, where&nbsp, 9 out of 10* outlets rely on subsidies and USAID is the primary donor, several local media have already announced the suspension of their activities and are searching for alternative solutions”.

Other US organizations provide significant funding to international media and non-governmental organizations. The National Endowment for Democracy makes 2, 000 grants per year averaging$ 50, 000 each, or$ 100 million per year.

USAID’s covert operations targeted foreign governments who violated Washington’s war plan in Ukraine. Hungary, a NATO member, has been a vocal critic of US policy in Ukraine, and its prime minister Viktor Orban has given President Trump advice on possible compromises.

A February 12 “flash report” from Hungary’s Sovereign Protection Office states that the scale of USAID funding of anti-government media and related entities is still under investigation. Entitled” The Role of USAID in Exerting Global Political Pressure”, the report states:

The United States Agency for International Development ( USAID ) has been a component of the US government’s implementation of its national security strategy since its establishment in 1961. The organization complements the work of the secret services by using covert and overt pressure to provide grants and aid. It uses a global network, which it has already helped to set up, as a tool for this purpose. The pressure network operates by taking over the civil, economic, political and media sectors in each country”.

The Hungarian Sovereign Protection Office further stated that” an essential component of the organization of the network maintained by USAID is conceal the origin and the true extent of the resources used by the actors” by citing direct USAID funding of several prominent organizations in the political option.

The Macedonian newspaper Republika reported,” Media outlets in Macedonia are publishing reports on USAID spending in the country, on politicized, left-wing programs and media outlets”.

Aleksandar Vucic, the president of Serbia, claimed last week in a television interview that the US government has spent more than$ 3 billion in an effort to undermine his government over the past ten years.

Biden’s USAID administrator Samantha Power, a senior National Security Council official in the Obama administration, stridently defended the agency in a February 6 New York Times op-ed. ” U. S. A. I. D. has become America’s superpower in a world defined by threats that cross borders and amid growing strategic competition”, Power said, accusing her critics of doing the bidding of” Moscow and Beijing”.

Former USAID officials have established numerous foundations that serve as buffers for the organization’s goals. Jeanne Bourgault is currently in charge of Internews Network, which she founded after two stints with USAID in Moscow and Kosovo. Internews received$ 418 million from USAID, according to the usaspending. gov website, “whose mission is to empower local media and the free flow of information worldwide”, in the foundation’s self-description.

According to medium.com,” This funding has enabled the NGO to establish a sprawling global footprint, working with 4, 291 media outlets, producing 4, 799 hours of broadcasts in a single year and training over 9, 000 journalists — all under the banner of promoting press freedom. However, critics claim that these initiatives are merely an extension of US foreign policy and shape narratives to fit Western geopolitical interests. Bourgault is paid$ 491, 000 a year.

In addition to putting pressure on advertisers to withhold funding from media outlets that report breaking news, USAID opposes Bourgault’s plan. We must collaborate with the global advertising sector because a lot of money goes to producing pretty bad content, she said at the World Economic Forum in Davos last year. And so you can work really hard on inclusion lists and exclusion lists, and really try to concentrate on ad dollars and challenge the global advertising industry to concentrate on the good news and information everywhere.

Liberal billionaires, meanwhile, subsidize major media directly. The Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation donated$ 5, 437, 294 to Germany’s Der Spiegel, the country’s top left-wing news outlet.

MintPress reported in 2021,” The Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation ( BMGF ) has made over$ 300 million worth of donations to fund media projects. Recipients of this cash include many of America’s most important news outlets, including&nbsp, CNN, &nbsp, NBC, NPR, &nbsp, PBS, and The Atlantic”.

” Gates also sponsors a myriad of influential foreign organizations, including the&nbsp, BBC, &nbsp, The Guardian, &nbsp, The Financial Times, and The Daily Telegraph&nbsp, in the United Kingdom, prominent European newspapers such as&nbsp, Le Monde&nbsp, ( France ), &nbsp, Der Spiegel&nbsp, ( Germany ) and&nbsp, El País&nbsp, ( Spain ), as well as big global broadcasters like&nbsp, Al-Jazeera”, the MintPress report said.

Asia Times was unable to independently verify the nature or scope of the” sponsorship” given to each individual media outlet.

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Japan’s SKY Perfect to build defense satellite constellation – Asia Times

In order to strengthen its position in space protection and intelligence, Japan’s Ground Ideal JSAT has made it known that it will work with Planet Labs of the US to create an Earth study satellite constellation. This represents yet another positive development for Japan’s integration with those of its supporters and its civilian-military dish business.

The largest dish communications company in Asia is run by Ground Great JSAT, a provider of satellite TV broadcasting solutions. It now has 17 spacecraft in geostationary orbit, providing both for government and commercial reasons with satellite protection from North America to the Indian Ocean.

Planet Labs designs, builds and operates the nation’s largest ships of Earth scanning satellites, providing data and related service to private business and government organizations. For the past decade, Blue Perfect has been selling Planet’s dish scanning products in Japan.

SKY Perfect intends to invest about US$ 230 million in the acquisition of 10 high-definition” Pelican” low earth orbit study satellites that Planet has built and launched. With the addition of earth stations, Sky Perfect is anticipated to have invested roughly$ 260 million overall in the project.

As per the contract, Planet may safe “certain ability on the satellites for the companion, in addition to providing administrative services”. Additionally, it intends to “leverage the expanded fleet’s increased capacity to support its own government and corporate customers around the world.”

This is a partnership that will add Blue Best to Planet’s worldwide earth observation satellite network rather than just a straightforward sale. It will be put into effect through JSAT Beyond Innovation LLC, an institution to become established through Ground Great JSAT’s 100%-owned US company, JSAT International.

Pelican is a series of high-resolution electro-optical spacecraft developed by Planet Labs. Each dish is 1.3 meters high, 0.79 feet wide and 1.15 feet long during release, 2.84 feet wide and 0.89 feet long in circle, and weighs 215 kilograms.

The newest design, Pelican-2, introduced in January, is equipped with the NVIDIA Jetson Edge AI software, which speeds up the control and transfer of information from hours to days. It was first launched in January from the Californian Vandenberg Space Force Base on a SpaceX spacecraft.

Beginning in the middle of 2026 or quick 2027, the satellites designed for Blue Perfect are expected to be launched. Every 90 hours or so, they will group the Earth, taking pictures with a quality apparently as good as 30 centimeters.

In addition to place security and intellect, the satellites will be able to track natural disasters, economic conditions, land use and other terrestrial features, providing valuable information for crisis and resource management, climate protection, agriculture, forestry and fisheries, insurance, and other legal government and business purposes.

Planet’s most extensive second contract to date is the contract with SKY Perfect, which is its third strategic partnership to date.

Earth began designing and building spacecraft and providing information analytics to track the presence of gas and CO2 in the environment in 2021 with the non-profit Carbon Mapper partnership. The University of Arizona, the California Air Resources Board, and the NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory are additional partnership people.

In order to support NASA’s Communications Services Project ( CSP), Planet became a subcontractor to SES Space &amp, Defense and Telesat Government Solutions in 2022. The US and allies ‘ governments are served by those two businesses, which offer satellite communications systems.

For government-related projects like the International Space Station and the Hubble Space Telescope, CSP is working with business objectives to create new satellite communications systems.

Planet works with clients like the Argentine Federal Police and the Brazilian geographic technology firm SCCON in addition to the European Space Agency, German Space Agency, US Department of Defense, international defense, and other organizations.

Through the acquisition of SKY Perfect Communications and JSAT Corporation, Blue Great JSAT was established in 2007. Three years later, it rolled out BS SKY PerfecTV, a novel online radio satellite TV channel. In 2014, it went worldwide, broadcasting Chinese TV programs to consumers in Indonesia.

In the second half of the decade, Blue Perfect JSAT made a number of ties-ups with domestic and international businesses that made it the world’s leading provider of satellite press, contacts, and Earth observation services.

    2016 – formed a business alliance with KSAT ( Kongsberg Satellite Services ), the Norwegian ground network operator, to introduce ground station services for low earth orbit satellites.
    2017 – concluded a satellite picture research options reseller deal with Orbital Insight, a geographic analytics firm based in Palo Alto, California.
    To provide a satellite-based hazard reduction data company, 2020 established a business alliance with Chinese companies Zenrin and Nippon Koei.
    Beginning a small SAR ( synthetic aperture radar ) satellite business in 2021, 2021 collaborated with Japanese manufacturer and operator iQPS. With its constellation of 36 light-weight, low-cost satellites, iQPS can provide the Japanese Ministry of Defense and other clients with high-resolution images of almost any place on Earth within 10 minutes, day or night, regardless of weather. &nbsp,
    established Space Compass, a joint venture with Japanese national telecommunications company NTT, to create a seamless satellite computing and communications network in the stratosphere and orbit around the earth.
    2023 – SKY Perfect and KSAT entered into an agreement to provide JAXA ( Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency ) with near-earth tracking and control services.
  • To develop advanced satellite connectivity technology in Japan, 2023 collaborated with Project Kuiper, a low earth orbit satellite broadband network from Amazon, and NTT.
  • 2024 – spun out Orbital Lasers to further the development of compact, high-powered satellite laser systems for space debris mitigation, detumbling of defunct satellites, and LiDAR-based remote sensing.

On January 1, 2025, SKY Perfect JSAT established a” Space National Security Business Group” consisting of sales, engineering and intelligence security divisions.

The group’s primary responsibility will be to locate foreign naval ships, military installations, and other matters of interest to the Japanese Defense Ministry. The Planet Labs-purchased low earth orbit observation satellites should contribute a lot to this effort.

Follow this writer on&nbsp, X: @ScottFo83517667

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Why the F-35 is on DOGE’s chopping block – Asia Times

The US$$ 2 trillion F-35 stealth jet fighter program, which is plagued by delays, software glitches, and cybersecurity flaws, is expected to face criticism when the Department of Government Efficiency ( DOGE ), under the leadership of Elon Musk, launches an investigation into the Pentagon’s books. &nbsp,

Actually before his Depends investigators have begun, Musk has called the essential protection program a “flop” and its creators “idiots.” At least one US Air Force head disputes that Musk is overestimating the use of robots to remove fighter planes in true warfighting.

To be sure, Musk’s accusations have significance. A declassified February 2024 assessment by the US Director of Operational Test and Evaluation ( DOT&amp, E) revealed that the F-35 program faces significant challenges despite its promise of tech-driven, cutting-edge capabilities.

According to the publicly accessible evaluation review, the F-35’s so-called” Block 4″ growth and functional testing has identified several pressing problems that have hindered the project’s performance and suitability.

For one, the Continuous Capability Development and Delivery ( C2D2 ) process, which was intended to provide incremental Block 4 capabilities every six months, has not met expectations, leading to significant delays, according to the report.

The Tech Refresh 3 ( TR-3 ) avionics upgrade aims to provide enough computing power for Block 4 capabilities, including new sensor suites, long-range weapons, electronic warfare, data fusion and cross-platform interoperability.

However, the TR-3 program version 30R08 remains inadequate after over two years of development, with deficits introduced into recently delivered features.

Due to insufficient modeling and simulation solutions, the evolutionary process relies heavily on a fly-fix-fly method, which has exacerbated difficulties. Those failures mean dedicated functional testing of TR-3 upgraded F-35s does not occur until 2026, two decades after TR-3 was immediately delivered.

Unresolved vulnerabilities have been found in the updated software versions of the Autonomic Logistics Information System ( ALIS), while the transition to a new cloud-based Operational Data Integrated Network ( ODIN ) has not yet resolved many persistent issues.

ODIN’s components deployment has increased in speed, but it still runs on ALIS software, putting off the anticipated advantages of intermodal applications and regular updates.

Maintenance standards for all F-35 variants are still below the Joint Strike Fighter ( JSF ) Operational Requirements Document ( ORD ) thresholds, with critical failures requiring twice the anticipated repair time. Reliability measures, such as Mean Flight Hours Between Essential Problems, are constantly below specifications.

Operational supply prices for the F-35 ships are even below target, as a result of high maintenance requirements and spare parts shortages. At a time when China is tremendously upgrading its air ships, these problems have delayed full-rate creation and hampered the plane’s eagerness for battle scenarios.

These issues may reveal Musk’s pre-emptive censure of the F-35, including the billionaire tech baron’s chastising of its designers, lambasting its architecture, and questioning of its cunning capabilities and power compared to drones.

But, US Air Force Secretary Frank Kendall argues that Musk’s perception is that of an expert, not a interceptor, saying that his perception of helicopter superiority is nevertheless many years ahead.

Kendall claims that his goal with the F-35 is to work with drones in tandem, but it won’t be replaced in the near future. He insists that the F-35 will remain in service until the Next Generation Air Dominance ( NGAD ) platform is operational, which is in every way superior to the fourth-generation fighter jet.

Considering the F-35’s myriad issues, Musk isn’t off the mark in his critiques. A US Congressional Research Service ( CRS ) report from December 2024 reveals that C2D2’s software modifications frequently caused stability issues and other system functions to be hampered.

Further, in a May 2024 Air &amp, Space Forces Magazine article, John Tirpak says that F-35 pilots rebooted the TR-3 program multiple times in the air and on the ground during tests.

According to Tirpak, even if the TR-3 upgrade is fully approved, an F-35 Joint Program Office ( JPO ) spokesperson mentions that frequent patches and updates may still be needed to correct deficiencies.

In a November 2024 Project for Government Oversight ( POGO ) article, Greg William points out ALIS shortcomings. The software, supposed to be the backbone of F-35 maintenance, has shown poor reliability and high false alarm rates due to new aircraft hardware or software updates, impeding rather than facilitating maintenance.

In an article for Global Defense Technology, Grant Turnbull discusses ALIS ‘ vulnerability to cyberattack. Turnbull claims that the system’s widespread interconnectivity and reliance on data sharing across various nodes presents numerous entry points for hackers, putting them at risk.

Turnbull mentions that successful cyberattacks could disrupt maintenance schedules by preventing crucial software updates or parts orders, effectively grounding aircraft. Additionally, he points out that malware could inject false information into ALIS, causing an unnecessary grounding of serviceable aircraft.

He points out that ALIS’s complexity, compounded by single points of failure, such as Central Points of Entry ( CPE ) and the Autonomous Logistics Operating Unit ( ALOU), further exacerbates the vulnerability. Additionally, he states that cyber adversaries could potentially extract critical performance data, compromising operational security.

Compounding the F-35’s software woes, a September 2023 US Government Accountability Office ( GAO ) report mentions that the aircraft suffers from multiple maintenance issues, such as overreliance on contractors limiting government influence and decision-making ability, inadequate training for F-35 maintenance, lack of access to technical data, deprioritized funding for maintenance facilities, and lack of spare parts.

The F-35’s operational readiness rates have also plummeted. A January 2024 DOT&amp, E report mentions that the F-35 fleet’s average availability stood at 51 %, far below the 65 % target.

The Full Mission Capable ( FMC) rate was only 30 % across the US fleet and 9 % for the operational test fleet, the report said. Combat-coded aircraft fared better, achieving 61 % availability and 48 % FMC, though are still short of expectations.

Critical reliability and maintainability standards are also unsatisfied, particularly for the F-35C, which failed to meet any ORD ( operational requirements ) thresholds.

The F-35A and F-35B met some reliability goals, but they experienced noticeably longer corrective maintenance intervals that were over 278 %. Rising Not Mission Capable for Supply ( NMC-S) rates at 27 % indicate worsening logistics. These issues are further complicated by persistent software instability and engine parts shortages.

Despite improvements in maintenance and supply chains, the F-35’s ability to meet operational demands is undermined by these readiness gaps, according to the report, which call for immediate remediation.

In an article this month, Military Watch mentions that China’s J-20 stealth fighter has more stable software integrated into its development and that its progressing without any signs of any issues.

However, China’s military modernization is opaque compared to the US, so such matters may not be made public. The F-22 and F-35 may be the only aircraft in the world that can match China’s growing fleet of 5th-generation stealth aircraft in a conflict in the Taiwan Strait or South China Sea, but the effects may be significant.

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