Kill chain clash: China and US battle for all-domain supremacy – Asia Times

In a battle for all-domain field dominance, China is sharpening its digital warfare blades against the US Navy, aiming at crucial sensors and radars to destroy the Americans ‘ high-tech fight networks.

A comprehensive list of US marine targets, including scanners and sensors, has been made available by the South China Morning Post this month, according to a report from the South China Morning Post.

This “kill list,” according to SCMP, was revealed in the most recent issue of Defense Industry Conversion in China and highlights the PLA’s plan to disrupt the US Navy’s Cooperative Engagement Capability ( CEC ) system, which is a crucial component of the fleet’s air defense and early warning network.

According to SCMP, Mo Jiaqian, an electric countermeasures specialist with the PLA’s 92728 System, authored the document and outlined how the CEC’s rely on mobile communication links makes it vulnerable to digital interference. According to SCMP, the AN/SPY-1 phased array detector on Aegis boats and the E-2C Hawkeye first warning aircraft are important targets covered in the document.

According to SCMP, the PLA intends to disrupt operations and use these flaws to access the US military community. It mentions that this development highlights China’s growing scientific conflict with the US, with China using its superior electronic gadgets for military programs. The document says the US has responded with sanctions on Chinese businesses, mistakenly accelerating China’s military-civilian connectivity.

The growing convergence of digital and cyber warfare is demonstrated by the interfering with cellular conversation links and utilizing them to gain access to adversary networks.

The US Congressional Research Service ( CRS ) notes in an August 2019 report that the convergence of electronic warfare and cyberspace operations is a sign of a shift in military doctrine because both fields aim to dominate the electromagnetic spectrum.

While the review notes that cyber activities and electronic warfare are generally different, technological advances have blurred their boundaries, enabling cross-functional capabilities. It makes note of the fact that digital warfare uses electric energy to intercept, intercept, and manipulate communications while traditional cyberspace operations use software to disrupt or control interconnected systems.

According to the report, current operations are increasingly viewing cyberspace operations and digital warfare as complementing one another, such as using radio frequencies to encircle adversary networks. For instance, it mentions that the US EC-130H Compass Call plane, originally designed to jam army communications, then transmits malicious code to mobile devices.

This multi-domain approach to attacking networks underscores the development of multi-domain operation ( MDO ) “kill chains “—the process of detecting, identifying, and engaging military targets. These stores could signal a new arms race between the US and China.

In the 2020 text, The Kill Chain: Defending America in the Future of High-Tech Warfare, Christian Brose argues that the evolving contest to create remove stores marks a tectonic shift in military strategy. Contrary to traditional arms races that focused on hardware like battleships or nuclear weapons, according to Brodeur, this one centers on cognitive superiority and decision-making speed.

He mentions that the US and China are working together to develop advanced sensors that can accelerate and automate the kill chain. According to Brose, the goal is to close the kill chain more quickly than the adversary without compromising their ability to do the same.

Brose contends that this arms race is not just about getting weapons; it also involves regulating the flow of information, transforming human intent into battlefield action at an unprecedented rate.

In line with the multi-domain kill chain arms race, Asia Times reported in February 2024 that the US Department of Defense had accomplished a significant milestone with the launch of the cutting-edge initiative aimed at improving military interoperability and AI integration across all war domains.

This development represents a significant step in the US DoD’s effort to outlast technologically advanced adversaries like China. The CJADC2 system connects sensors from all armed forces branches into a unified network, enabling faster and more accurate decision-making. The US fiscal 2024 budget allocates USD 1.4 billion for CJADC2, underscoring its transformative potential. The system’s AI-driven capabilities enable rapid collection, analysis, and dissemination of battlefield information, allowing for swift identification and targeting of threats.

This evolution builds on the older Joint All-Domain Command and Control ( JADC2 ) concept, emphasizing interoperability with allies and partners. The initiative aims to develop a highly competitive information-fluent force capable of sway networks and launch precise strikes from various locations.

In response to the US CJADC2 concept, Asia Times reported in April 2024 that China developed its Multi-Domain Precision Warfare ( MDPW) concept to identify and exploit vulnerabilities in US operational systems.

China’s MDPW strategy leverages a comprehensive C4ISR network to coordinate precise strikes across various domains, including cyber and space, to disrupt and dismantle the US military’s command and control infrastructure, thereby gaining a strategic advantage.

However, these MDO concepts might become the latest military intellectual boondoggle, promising much while based on faulty assumptions.

In a January 2024 War on the Rocks article, Davis Ellison and Tim Swejis argue that MDO, while innovative, faces significant challenges in practical implementation. They point out that the lack of a clear theory of success, technological immaturity, and vague threat descriptions are the main criticisms.

They point out that MDO frequently relies on optimistic assumptions about technological prowess, such as assured connectivity and quick data processing, which are not yet fully realized. Additionally, they mention that the concept’s broad and occasionally ambiguous language creates confusion and inconsistentness between various military branches and allies.

According to Ellison and Swejis, the lack of specific adversary identification makes it harder to create effective MDO strategies. They also point out that MDO’s emphasis on accuracy and speed may overlook the complexity of actual combat, where attrition and the haze of war continue to be a significant factor.

They also question MDO’s integration within existing political and military structures, with concerns about inter-service rivalry and the feasibility of whole-of-government approaches.

In the end, Ellison and Swejis warn that MDO runs the risk of becoming yet another overhyped military concept that doesn’t fulfill its promises, potentially diverting attention and resources from more pressing strategic and operational issues.

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Pacific island nations still lose out despite superpower rivalry – Asia Times

A 140 million aid agreement signed on December 9 between Australia and Nauru is a primary example of the Pacific nations ‘ walking on a geopolitical wire in the twenty-first era.

The package provides Darwin with strong fiscal support, stable banking services, and policing and security resources. In exchange, Australia will have the right to object to any agreement Nauru may reach with various nations, particularly China.

The filibuster terms are comparable to the late last year” Falepili Union,” which gave Tuvaluans access to American citizenship and help for climate change in exchange for security guarantees.

Additionally, more details about a security agreement between the United States and Papua New Guinea were revealed just last week. It is now known to be fair US$ 864 million. In exchange for funding in military facilities development, training and equipment, the US increases unlimited access to six ships and terminals.

Even last year, PNG signed a ten-year, A$ 600 million offer to finance its own group in Australia’s National Rugby League competitors. In exchange,” PNG won’t mark a security agreement that would permit the presence of Chinese police or military forces in the Pacific.”

These preparations represent the political conflict that exists between the US and its allies in the Pacific, on the one hand.

This tactical conflict is frequently depicted in political commentary and mainstream media as an extension of” the great game” waged by rival countries. Pacific countries can be seen as attempting to profit from their own growth priorities, from a standard protection perspective.

However, this presumption that Pacific governments are “diplomatic value setters” who can pit China and the US against one another ignores the very actual power disparities that exist.

The danger, as the authors of one new research argued, is that the” China risk” tale becomes the explanation for “greater Western militarisation and financial dominance”. In other words, Pacific countries become political value takers.

Defense politics

The countries in the Pacific are vulnerable on a number of fronts: the majority have weak monetary foundations, and many are in debt. They are also at the forefront of rising sea levels and climate shift.

More bill and greater risk are the result of the costs associated with recovering from more numerous extreme weather events. Weather funding in the Pacific typically takes the form of concessional funding, as was reported at the UN COP29 summit this year.

The Pacific is already one of the country’s most aid-reliant areas. However, when victim nations continue to struggle to achieve their development goals, there is still much uncertainty about the effectiveness of that help.

Governments frequently lack the capacity to handle growing help packages at the national level. And they fight with the political responsibilities that the new political conditions demand.

In August, Kiribati also closed its borders to officials until 2025 to let the new state “breathing space” to attend to domestic politics.

In the past, Australia’s economic aid included institutional support and management. However, a significant portion of development aid is then geared more toward defense and policing.

Australia just committed A$ 400 million to the Pacific Policing Initiative, on top of a host of different security-related activities. This is all a part of a general increase in the so-called “defense diplomacy,” which has caused some observers to condemn the democratization of help at the cost of the Pacific’s most vulnerable people.

Lack of great belief

In addition, some political parties in the Pacific region operate largely unofficially and without complete plan manifestos. Most institutions lack political departments for examining foreign policy.

The end result is that small scrutiny can be given to international policy and security arrangements because they can get driven by personalities rather than by policy priorities. Pacific regions are even susceptible to corruption, as outlined in Transparency International’s 2024 Annual Corruption Report.

Executive Director of Transparency Solomon Islands, Ruth Liloqula, wrote about the effects of the Solomon Islands ‘ political conflict:

Since 2019, my country has become a center for political tensions and unusual disturbance, and undue effect.

Also, Pacific affairs specialist Steven Ratuva has argued the Australia–Tuvalu arrangement was one-sided and showed a “lack of great faith”.

Behind these developments, of course, lies the evolving AUKUS security pact tying together Australia, the US and the United Kingdom, a response to growing Chinese presence and influence in the” Indo-Pacific” region.

The responses from the Pacific countries have been political, perhaps because they cannot “rock the submarine” very much given their relationships to the major powers at play. But past Pacific Islands Forum secretary-general Meg Taylor has warned:

Pacific leaders needed to start raising their voices for the sake of their fellow citizens because they were being sidelined by significant political decisions affecting their place.

While there are clear benefits associated with strategic alliances, the substantial effects for Pacific countries are still incomprehensible. Not a second target is on record to be accomplished by 2030, according to the UN’s Asia and the Pacific progress report on sustainable development goals.

Unless these alliances are grounded in great faith and real sustainable development, the grass effects of geopolitics-as-usual may never change.

Sione Tekiteki is a senior teacher at Auckland University of Technology’s Faculty of Law.

This content was republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original post.

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Trump 2.0: Asia in a highly risky place in America’s inflation era – Asia Times

As Asia brackets for the fantastic” Trump business” experience of 2025, the instructions from 2024 are fast piling up.

The biggest session is how badly the inflation-is-transitory deal worked out for buyers. And for citizens and earth officials who don’t appreciate a Donald Trump 2.0 president.

The&nbsp, US prices surge has some parents — from post-Covid supply chain disruptions to exceptionally low interest rates to an blast of over-the-top state signal. But Trump’s election is the mother-of-all part results from fiscal and monetary laws run rampant.

And Asia has the greatest front-row seats for what’s to come as Trump retakes the ropes with really big — and&nbsp, questionable — programs.

The Trump-to-be-war is the subject of the most attention. But far more attention should be on the fireworks sure to come as Trump ‘s&nbsp, policy promises&nbsp, meet with a fiscal train wreck unfolding in slow motion.

On January 20, Trump did gain a federal loan exceeding US$ 36 trillion. And depending on which columnist you follow, Trump may be about to axe the debt in significant ways with huge tax cuts, or given the enormous knife Trump has given Elon Musk, to aggressively reduce it.

Which result might result in significant risks for world markets.

Door No. One could see payment rating companies stumbling over US debt as US debt rises to US$ 40 trillion. Washington was quickly lose its final Premium standing, from Moody’s Investors Service. Asia is directly at the center of the conflict that a downgrade may cause in the world’s relationship, stock, and money markets.

Door No. 2 may see Trump’s Tesla tycoon patron trying to trim&nbsp, national spending&nbsp, by firing government workers here and there. However, Musk’s state performance product won’t make a gash until Team Trump is ready to attack the military and privileges like Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid.

Deregulation and excessive grants for sectors like Musk’s private businesses would have much more success. A lack of funding in productivity-boosting industries and technologies made the US so vulnerable to inflation.

” With Trump and some good appointees focused on reducing diplomatic deficits”, says Andrew Tilton, &nbsp, an analyst at Goldman Sachs,” there is a danger that — in a sort of’ whack-a-mole’ way — burgeoning bilateral deficits was eventually fast US tariffs on another Asian economies”.

Tilton adds that” Korea, Taiwan and, particularly, &nbsp, Vietnam&nbsp, have seen big trade benefits versus the US”, things Trump 2.0 isn’t possible to let slip. As such, Asia’s leading trading nations does try to narrow surplus to “deflect” Team Trump’s focus away from them.

According to Barclays Bank analyst Brian Tan,” business plan is where Mr. Trump is likely to be most significant for emerging Asia in his second word as US leader,” inflicting “greater pain” on more empty economies.

Suffice it to say, America’s debt excesses also will challenge — and most likely plague — the Trump 2.0 era in ways the president-elect doesn’t seem to realize.

If ever there were a buckle-your-seatbelt moment for Asia, 2025 is it. The combination of runaway debt and inflation will limit the Federal Reserve’s ability to continue&nbsp, cutting rates. And even if Fed Chairman Jerome Powell tries, fiscal realities will result in higher-than-hoped long-term rates.

The state of the banking system is one of the pressing concerns of the Fed. Banks have been huge buyers of Treasury securities. If medium and long-term government debt yields fall faster than expected, will institutions experience stability issues?

This could trigger supply issues, too. If interest rates move too low or move too quickly, is it reasonable to ask if banks can continue to buy Treasuries?

According to Yanmei Xie, an economist at Gavekal Dragonomics, one of Asia’s issues is that it’s unclear who Trump will be in the White House in roughly a month.

The issue with interpreting trade policy in a second Trump administration is that Trump has publicly supported both positions and that Trump has publicly stated his views on them. The common feature is tariffs or the threat of tariffs: 60 % or more on China and 10-20 % on the&nbsp, rest of the world. But to what end?”

One possibility, she says, is that Trump will go with his once and possibly future trade czar, Robert Lighthizer, in pushing for a rapid, across-the-board disengagement from China.

Trump,” Xie says,” promised a four-year plan to phase out all imports of essential goods from China, including everything from electronics to steel to pharmaceuticals, and pledged to include strong safeguards to prevent China from bypassing restrictions by passing goods through conduit nations. In this scenario, there would be a ramping-up of coercive pressure on allies to join in the&nbsp, anti-China&nbsp, agenda.”

Trump might also use the threat of tariffs as leverage to strike a deal with China, despite the content of any such deal being very uncertain. This is the approach favored by Scott Bessent” – Trump’s pick for Treasury secretary –” who claims that Trump is in fact ‘ a free trader ‘ who will deploy tariffs to escalate to&nbsp, de-escalate,” Xie notes.

Another major Trump wild card is a US dollar devaluation, which many Trump advisers see as the fastest way to regain broad-based manufacturing competitiveness.

” China is unlikely to cooperate with this agenda,” Xie says”, but the theory of the across-the-board tariff on all trading partners seems to be that it will also be used as leverage in currency negotiations.”

Trump has in fact mentioned a Plaza Accord 2.0, which lowers the dollar against the yen.

In 1985, US President Ronald Reagan’s Treasury secretary, James Baker, managed to convince the most powerful industrialized nations to push the yen sharply higher and the dollar lower. It was the high-point of Reagan’s mercantilist policy mix, which inspired Trump. The Plaza Hotel, a landmark hotel in New York that Trump once owned, was the location of the transaction.

When Trump was in office, advisors like Peter Navarro and then-Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin made hints about Trump’s desire for a “new Plaza Agreement” that would send the Chinese yuan into a soaring range. Now, as&nbsp, Trump 2.0&nbsp, gears up, Trump seems ready to give the strategy another try.

Xi Jinping, the Chinese leader, would undoubtedly reject. Chinese officials are aware of how the 1985 currency deal caused Japan’s asset bubble in the late 1980s, which resulted in decades of economic stagnation. A stronger yuan would slam China’s crucial export engine, but many economists worry that a weaker dollar might cause inflation to go into the stratosphere.

One way Trump might try to engineer a weaker dollar is by commandeering&nbsp, Fed policy&nbsp, decisions. Trump and his advisers have made it clear that in January, the Fed’s independence will be in jeopardy. The” Project 2025 “scheme that Republican operatives cooked up for Trump 2.0 includes curbing the Fed’s autonomy.

Jerome Powell, Trump’s handpicked Fed chairman, had a challenging time during Trump 1.0. From 2017 to 2021, Trump cajoled Powell’s team with a verve never before seen from a White House. Trump attacked the Fed in speeches, press conferences and on social media. Trump even mulled firing Powell. That year, the Fed suddenly began cutting rates, adding liquidity to an economy that didn’t need it.

In October, Trump mocked Powell’s policymaking team”. I think it’s the greatest job in government,” Trump told Bloomberg”. Everybody talks about you like a god when you say, “let’s say flip a coin,” and you show up to the office once a month.

Trump also contends that presidents have the authority to compel the central bank to do their bidding. Trump said in August that the Federal Reserve is a very interesting thing and that it has sort of gotten it wrong frequently. He added that” I feel the president should have at least say in there, yeah. I feel that strongly. I think that, in my case, I made a lot of money. I was very successful. And I believe I have a better sense of instinct than those who, in many cases, would be chairman or the Federal Reserve.

Such maneuvers are of particular concern in Asia, where central banks have the largest stocks of US Treasury securities. Japan alone holds US$ 1.1 trillion of US debt, &nbsp, China&nbsp, US$ 770-plus billion. The largest investors in Asia have approximately US$ 3 trillion worth. Many pieces of Asian state wealth could be in danger as a result of Trump’s 2.0 presidency.

Trump’s antics here could send the dollar sharply lower. Many investors argue, of course, that continued dollar strength isn’t necessarily great news for the global financial system heading toward 2025 either. In recent years, the dollar’s “wrecking ball” tendencies have shook global markets. It sucked up outsized waves of global capital, disadvantaging emerging economies in particular. &nbsp,

When Tom Dunleavy, a partner at MV Capital, states that the risks posed by this wrecking ball dynamic are “particularly acute in emerging markets because” they rely heavily on commodities and have debt in dollars, he speaks for many. ” Oil, most trade and debt are still priced in dollars. And, he says”, The denominator of everything is going up.”

Regardless of the dubious logic behind it, the more crowded a continued-dollar-strength trade becomes, the worse the global fallout when depressed punters flee for the exits. If Trump’s Treasury team works to devalue the dollar, the U-turn could be particularly chaotic. The more chaotic a maneuver becomes the more inflationary it turns out to be.

Economists including former US Treasury Secretary Larry Summers are warning that Trump would be wise to abandon his campaign promises, in order to avoid sending&nbsp, inflation&nbsp, sharply higher. &nbsp,

Summers was right about US inflation being of the longer-lasting variety. Now, he worries that Trump’s plans to impose giant tariffs, cut taxes, deport undocumented workers and mess with the Fed’s mandate will boost inflation.

According to Summers,” If he sticks to what he said during his campaign, there will be an inflation shock that will be far greater than what the nation experienced in 2021.”

Summers worries that the upcoming Trump stimulus may bring prices down to the nine-decade high of 9.1 %, which was recorded in June 2022. In 2025, US inflation almost certainly will rule the world economy, even if this proves to be too pessimistic.

According to Kelvin Wong, senior market analyst at broker OANDA,” the incoming Trump administration’s ‘ America First ‘ policy may see a further escalation of deglobalization that could lead to headwinds to global economic growth and spurt another round of inflationary pressure resurgence.”

Wong points out that Trump’s mercantilist policies may cause the 10-year US Treasury yield to increase faster than the 2-year rate because of higher inflationary pressures.

Far from being transitory, US inflation may be about to get a very powerful second wind, one sure to blow Asia’s way early and often in 2025.

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A terrible December for dictators – Asia Times

Very frequently do we experience tyrant fear, jealousy, and apprehension about the authority and decisiveness of contemporary autocracies like China and Russia. This month may serve as a remedy for these emotions, as it has been a horrible December for rulers. The democratic West has no triumphed, in any way. However, it does indicate that our prospects of overcoming the demagogues are better than what our melancholy self-flagellation has led us to believe.

No one needs to feel guilty for Bashar al-Assad and his home, or for having to move from Damascus to humbler areas in Moscow. Let’s not feeling sorry for President Vladimir Putin for hosting this failed president whose demise has exposed Russia’s own weakness, probably denying it access to its naval and air bases in the Mediterranean.

We also need to feel no regret for Iran’s Ayatollahs and Revolutionary Guards, who have seen their allies in Gaza, Lebanon, and presently Syria completely destroyed this year, and for which Iran’s individual defense systems have been cruelly exposed. The strategies of using these armies to project Egyptian energy and undermine Israel, the Ayatollahs ‘ army, are in ruins, but Hamamas in Gaza, Hezbollah in Lebanon, and the Houthis in Oman can become re-armed and reborn.

The estimated 12, 000 North Vietnamese soldiers who have been deployed to combat alongside Russia’s weak troops are now being targeted and some may soon get killed by long-range Ukrainian weapons. However, their Pyongyang tyrant, who lives there, deserves no pity for his support for Russia. It has gained him some cash and some weapon technologies, but little more.

President Kim Jong-un has watched his democratically elected equivalent Yoon Suk Yeol make a fool of himself on December 3 by attempting to control an unfriendly legislature in the” Demilitarized Territory,” but Kim has little to moan about. Since 1953, Kim has watched his politically elected rival. President Yoon’s failed coupd’etat demonstrated the power and endurance of South Korea’s politics.

The big question is how will these December catastrophe affect the relationship between Russia, China, Iran, and North Korea as West-invaders. The actual power on the plane, China, has attempted to present itself as a rising, peace-seeking state that stands as an alternative to the declining, dishonest United States. Three of the four have been violent breaks of international rules. Anyone who witnessed China and its fellow travelers in awe of its beginning of the year ought to have then had their eyes opened to the less remarkable reality.

Make no mistake: the West has plenty of issues also. Japan has a weak state, Germany, a fell state, France, no state, and the United States has re-elected a leader who holds America’s personal friends in contempt and ( like the overdue Silvio Berlusconi ) prefers talking to Putin, Xi and Kim to having to deal with democratic institutions. However, the West also has reason to be optimistic about what might be accomplished in 2025 in the presence of for unpopular foes.

The conflict in Ukraine is the first option. In defense words, both the Ukrainian and the Soviet troops are exhausted. Both armies gained ground in 2024: the Ukrainians invaded and held onto place in Kursk, inside Russia, and the Russians moved slowly in the southeast region of Ukraine, but despite significant deaths, have managed to occupy just 0.4 % of Ukraine’s place since January 1. And then, Assad’s collapse in Syria has resulted from the failure of both Russia and Iran.

This has significantly reduced President-elect Trump’s reward to bully Ukraine into accepting Russia’s luxurious and exaggerated peace problems. And it has significantly increased Putin’s motivation to make those things worse in the hopes of preventing additional embarrassments. Trump has the option to start his presidency by presenting himself as a powerful member of the free world rather than a beggar of favors.

A peace in the springtime of 2025 could be in both sides ‘ interest. If Ukraine’s Western allies, led by Poland, Germany, the UK, Sweden, Finland, and the Baltic States may agree to provide security guarantees and finance, which in Russia’s weakened condition looks an easier process than before, there must be a good chance that President Volodymyr Zelenskyy will be able to get a package that maintains his country’s independence, politics and German future.

The second opportunity, which is more one for Europe and Japan to exploit than Trump’s self-centered America, is to improve relations with the vast, and fast-growing, parts of the world that have preferred to avoid alignments either with China and its axis or with the West. Southeast Asia, the Gulf nations of the Middle East, Africa, and Latin America have all resisted supporting the West in favor of Ukraine while accepting funding from China and Russia but not from dominance.

Due to the established anti-Western axis’ weakness, China’s appeal as an alternative global leader has decreased. Although China’s economy continues to be important, it is currently suffering from the debilitating deflation and slow growth that caused Japan to stagnate in the 1990s. Countries in the so-called” Global South” will be more willing to accept alternative offers from the West than they will want to antagonize China or lose its money.

Given the ongoing regime change in Syria, Italy’s Mattei Plan for North Africa now has a better chance of succeeding, as does Japan’s push to provide military assistance and guidance in Southeast Asia. Russia’s weakness makes it more crucial than ever that Europe promotes its own values and influence in Eastern Europe and Central Asia, both of which have a good chance of being taken seriously. After Germany’s February elections, a new government can form a new agenda, hopefully with renewed confidence in the liberal West’s ability to defeat these fragile autocrats.

This is the English translation of an article that La Stampa published in Italian on December 16th, originally published in English as Bill Emmott’s Global View. It is republished with permission.

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The F-35 won’t be canceled anytime soon – Asia Times


National surveillance officials to approaching President Donald Trump are considering&nbsp, decapitating Iran’s nuclear program&nbsp, in a bombing plan. They wouldn’t have been thinking this way if Israel hadn’t been extremely effective in destroying Iran’s weather defenses. The F-35 was the show’s sun. Involvement in the Trump camp&nbsp, to remove the F-35 with robots, with Elon Musk one of the strongest tones, only took a figure blow owing to Israel.

Israel destroyed Iran’s heat threats including the Russian supplied S-300 MPU-2, an advanced type of the S-300. It was paired with scanners including the Russian Rezonans-NE which, it was claimed, could discover Jewish cunning aircraft and weapons. The S-300 fighter weapons can travel between Mach 6 and Mach 8 at a speed of 6 mph. Iran acquired four S-300 techniques, suddenly delivered in 2016. Additionally, Iran had a number of other air defense systems that, er, appeared to have been liquidated.

The F-35 is America’s cunning military fighter. It is currently being developed as part of a system that will eventually cost the US taxpayer trillions of dollars. Major Trump officials, including Elon Musk, want to stop F-35 creation and remove the cunning warrior with drones because of the high price tag and many birth issues, many of which were centered on software code issues.

The US has been using stealth drones for a while, but they are man-in-the-loop robots that need regular communication to achieve their targets. The use of radio contacts creates options for any attack as he can intercept the radio transmissions, locate the” secrecy” drone through calibration, and, as the Iranians proved, even grab power of the cunning helicopter and get it.

S-300 with scanners and rocket

That’s what happened on December 5, 2011, when the Iranians online captured a US RQ-170 Sentinel cunning aircraft over Kashmar. The Iranians were aware of Sentinel drones being used to monitor Iran’s nuclear program and knew how to capture them. They were able to develop a controller and take control of the drone so they could ( presumably with Russian assistance ) watch the communications. The Egyptian pilot performed reasonably well, but the drone’s underside was damaged, his getting was difficult, and a wing was broken. Even so, Iran’s magnificent revolution gave them access to a top-secret platform with capabilities that were unmatched by anything the Russians, or even the Chinese, had at the moment.

RQ-170 captured by Iran. Notice the repaired wing and buried undercarriage

The RQ-170 aircraft programme remains very classified, but other than the B-21 Raider, it is the only cunning aircraft in the US products. Although the B-21 is a proper bomber, it is thought to be able to operate as a bright drone without a crew. The B-21 program is hugely expensive, with the price of each platform closing in on$ 1 billion per copy.

Israel has a huge supply of robots —surveillance, command and control and assault forms. But Israel’s Air Force ( IAF ) relies on manned aircraft for its operations. Israel’s version of the F-35 is called Adir ( Mighty One ). It is a modified version of the F-35 that includes internally developed electronic measures and does not include Lockheed’s transportation tracking system ( because that would imply its aircraft may be tracked, a major flaw in the F-35 software ). With an accuracy greater than 3 meters ( 9.8 feet ), the Adir also supports Israeli weapons, including air-to-air weapons like Python and standoff weapons like the Popeye Turbo.

The” Adir” (F-35 ) aircraft. Photo: © IDF Spokesperson’s System

A big aircraft over a drone should not be forgotten because of the weapon’s weight, including wise weapons, and the ability to change to substitute targets. Drones have a much wider range of capabilities, and those that can launch smaller, unguided weapons, such as the Hellfire missile, don’t have the punch that a large platform does. The current trend is to construct drones that can soar alongside fighter jets or even aircraft. It’s still to be seen if these more recent friend drones actually increase air power capabilities. Examples include the Russian Okhotnik-B S-70 and the US XQ-58A Valkyrie. The Valkyrie is likely priced at about$ 25 million per copy, which is roughly a third of the F-35’s cost, despite not knowing the costs ( including R&amp, D) for the Russian drone. These models lack any empirical data, and most fight operations are theoretical.

Potential robots will increasingly struck targets using artificial intelligence and unnatural tracking, reducing, if not eliminating, television communications while also relying on GPS satellites for course correction. One drawback of this approach is that a significant delay occurs between a successful strike and reporting on the success of the attack, as drone protection requires operation in silent mode. Probably additional drones or satellites with the ability to survey targets will be required to evaluate the results.

Israel attacked Iranian targets using non-stealth fighter aircraft such as the F-15 and F-16 and the F-35 whose main function was to take out Iran’s air defenses. Along the same lines, Israel also crippled Syria and Iraq’s early warning radars from Iran. A map of Iran’s targets that the IAF raid produced by the Institute for the Study of War can be found below.

We are actually not well-versed in the logistics of Israel’s attack on Iran. No doubt that information is highly classified. However it is obvious that Israel’s attack, even taking into account the significant restrictions imposed by the Biden administration, was a great success.

Israel also succeeded in destroying Syria’s air defenses, once more reportedly using its F-35s. The first time the F-35 has been used against Russian-produced air defenses has been demonstrated by the value of the aircraft’s stealth feature in Syria and Iran.

There is a valuable lesson for potential adversaries, including Russia. Up until recently, the Russians lacked stealth technology. Russia’s Su-57 fighter bomber has recently&nbsp, been upgraded&nbsp, to enhance its stealth characteristics ( meaning reducing its radar signature ). The Russians also are developing a more advanced stealth fighter, the Su-75 Checkmate. Russia is also developing the Tu-PAK-DA, an unmanned aircraft ( the US already has the B-2 and is soon deploying the B-21 Raider ), and other stealth bombers ( it is anticipated to go into production in 2027 ).

Russians have also made a push to develop tools that can identify enemy stealth aircraft. The concept of dramatically reducing X-band radar signatures is the foundation of low-observable technology. Worldwide, X-band radars are the most popular type of air defense radars. Alternative radars, such as&nbsp, L Band&nbsp, or&nbsp, VHF, can detect stealth aircraft but they are range limited and not accurate enough for most countermeasures. ( The Russians have built L Band radars&nbsp, into the wings of the Su-57&nbsp, and other aircraft including the Su-27, to give them an ability to detect US stealth fighters. )

General layout of the Tikhomirov NIIP L-band AESA radar antenna design, in the leading edge flap of an Su-27 Flanker aircraft. Image: Tikhomirov NIIP

People in the United States who want to end the F-35 program must consider whether or not production should be stopped on the F-35, a platform that confronted Russian air defenses and an expansionist Iran, and impart a lesson to both of them.

Stephen Bryen is a correspondent for Asia Times and previously held the positions of the US Senate Foreign Relations Committee’s staff and deputy undersecretary of defense for policy. &nbsp, This article was first published&nbsp, on his&nbsp, Substack newsletter&nbsp, Weapons and Strategy and is republished with permission.

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Not just waiting around for higher tariffs, China looks to BRICS – Asia Times

Some of Donald Trump’s case appointments and pronouncements have grave implications for China, and they have been dominating the news media. The Chinese have noticed.

In response to Trump’s attempts to force China out of the US business, they are signaling some of the way they did act. You may also suggest they’re reacting pre-emptively.

Trump has chosen China hawks for his ambassador to China ( David Perdue ), national security adviser ( Mike Walz ), and secretary of state ( Marco Rubio ). He has repeatedly made the pledge to impose levies of 60 % on Chinese goods. The other day, he threatened the nine people of the BRICS union, which include China, with 100 % taxes if they attempt to replace the US dollar as the world’s supply money.

The BRICS states aren’t really threatening to do that – any time soon, at least. China would have to release its controls on the flow of capital for the Foreign yuan, which is the obvious prospect, to enjoy the reserve-currency part. It doesn’t want to accomplish that.

However, BRICS is a significant component of China’s response to the possibility of serious restrictions on its ability to enter the US marketplace. The concept is growth, meaning that both imports and exports are dependent on various trading partners. As US producers may readily imagine, Brazil– the B in BRICS – is near the top of China’s party cards.

The additional response China is signaling is retribution. It took China less than 24 hours to respond when the Biden administration placed fresh restrictions on exports of crucial nutrients to China that China generally supplies in early December.

Growth, though, may show a particularly significant part of the strategy. China is already the world’s largest trading partner of more than 100 countries. More business with nations with somewhat large economies is what it needs to make up for the decline in the US market. Several of the BRICS countries fall under that umbrella.

The union people are Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa, Egypt, Ethiopia, Iran and the United Arab Emirates. Turkey, Azerbaijan, and Malaysia are all submitting applications for membership, and potential others will pursue.

China may win large with India. It has the nation’s largest people and, by one estimate, the second largest gross domestic product. But India and China are competitors.

Many of the international buyers who are leaving China are being drawn to India. The two places have a long-running borders debate. Although they’ve made progress just in de-escalating conflicts, their political connection has been described as “frosty”.

Brazil has a population over 200 million and the world’s eighth largest business, bigger perhaps than Russia’s. Since 2009, China has been its biggest trading partner. Brazil is one of the few nations, according to the Economist, with a business deficit with China.

During Trump’s first phrase, the Economist calculates, Brazil’s imports to China almost doubled. As China responded to Trump’s taxes by shifting more of its ag-product buys from the US to Brazil, company exports played a key position.

In Trump’s subsequent expression, that switch might become even more perceptive. According to a study from the American Soybean Association and the National Corn Growers Association, extreme fresh US tariffs on Chinese goods would cost American soybean farmers$ 8 billion in lost value and$ 5 billion in corn farmers.

China hopes to increase its exports to Brazil. Electric vehicles manufacturers there are already selling electric cars, and two of them, BYD and Great Wall, intend to start energy car companies in Brazil in the following month. Without a doubt, those factories did buy a lot of components from China. SpaceSail, a Taiwanese opponent to Elon Musk’s Starlink in satellite communications, recently signed an agreement to do business in Brazil.

China and Brazil are drawing closer socially, also. China just raised the position of its ties to Brazil. Brazil’s left-wing leader, Luiz Inacio Lula de Silva, joins Chinese President Xi Jinping in supporting the BRICS ‘ dreams for what one expert perfectly calls” a planet buy independent of US hegemony”.

China and Brazil tried investing in their own currencies last year instead of cash. Although the transaction’s price was small, others may follow. If they do, they’ll determine whether Trump is serious about imposing 100 % tariffs on nations that reject the money.

Brazil isn’t the whole truth for China, to be sure. However, it may help some in making up for US business opportunities that were lost.

British farmers and ranchers must expect that in the US, a marketplace of comparable size will make up for what they might drop in China in the years to come.

Urban Lehner, a former long-time Asia editor and writer for the Wall Street Journal, is now editor professor of DTN/The Progressive Farmer. &nbsp, This&nbsp, content, &nbsp, initially published on December 12 by the latter news business and then republished by Asia Times with authority, is © Copyright 2024 DTN, LLC. All rights reserved. &nbsp, &nbsp, Follow&nbsp, Urban Lehner&nbsp, on X @urbanize.

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UK laser weapon test shoots down the hype on tank-killing drones – Asia Times

Drones have been portrayed as the end of the Russian-Ukrainian War, but new advances in laser weapon technology demonstrated by a new UK laser weapon test may maintain tanks on the frontlines of future battles.

Defense News studies that British Army soldiers tested a cutting-edge light tool mounted on a Wolfhound armored personnel carrier this month. Difficulty robots were effectively destroyed by the weapons at Radnor Range in Wales.

The 16th Regiment Royal Artillery, which is a specialist in weather protection, was involved in the tests, according to Defense News, which were part of the UK Ministry of Defense’s Land Laser Directed Energy Weapon Demonstrator system.

This initiative is cited in the report because it addresses the growing risk of unmanned aerial systems, especially in the Russo-Ukrainian War, where robots are frequently used.

The statement quotes Stephen Waller, directed-energy arms team leader in the commission’s Defense Equipment &amp, Support business, emphasizing the need for cost-effective options to protect forces. It notes that the light tool, developed in collaboration with Raytheon UK under a GBP16.8 million ( US$ 21 million ) deal, offers a virtually limitless weapons source, making it a potentially more affordable choice than traditional measures.

The laser tool has almost unlimited ammunition, making it a potentially more affordable option than conventional countermeasures.

Defense News notes that the ministry is currently evaluating additional development requirements as a result of the effective trials, which represent a significant step in the direction of operational deployment. According to the report, similar attempts by the US and France highlight a global trend toward developed laser-based protection systems to combat the growing drone threat.

The Russo-Ukrainian War has established little, inconsequential drones as an efficient mainstream anti-armor tool. The fight has sparked the development of improvised countermeasures, which have rekindled debates about the value of tanks in contemporary war.

One such protection that was hastily improvised in the early days of the war is” Cope cages.” In a review from April 2024, Julien Potin mentions deal cages, improvised metallic grilles mounted atop container turrets, as a well-known but contentious addition to modern warfare.

Potin notes that they originate from the need to counter top-attack threats, aiming to pre-detonate warheads from anti-tank guided missiles ( ATGM ), rocket-propelled grenades ( RPG) and drone-dropped explosives– but their effectiveness is hotly debated.

He says proponents argue that cope cages offer low-cost, easily installed protection, especially against drone-dropped improvised explosive devices ( IEDs ), noting that their ongoing use by Russian, Ukrainian and Israeli forces, alongside production-line versions displayed at military expos, are indications of growing institutional acceptance.

But, he points out that critics claim that cope cages are inadequate against sophisticated ATGMs like the Javelin. He adds that the taller tanks make them more obvious to the army makes because of their increased level. They even impede team activity and leave, while restricting access to top-mounted arms. &nbsp,

So-called “turtle tank” force the cope cage concept more. A structure like this one covers the best, sides, and back of the tank.

Oliver Parken mentions that the turtle ship’s additional gear considerably blocks the captain’s vision and the main car’s passage in a May 2024 post for the War Zone.

Parken information that the turtle ship’s gear properly counters rocket-propelled grenades and gentle anti-armor weapons yet leaves gaps prone to precision-guided munitions. Although the frog ship’s heavy weapons offers a lot of security, its sluggish speed makes it a top target for drones, and its less maneuverability and situational awareness pose significant functional challenges.

Both sides have begun equipping their tanks with vehicle-mounted jammers as skilled operators can accurately action drones into the gaps of cope cages and turtle pond improvised gear.

Tom Porter makes the claim in a February 2024 Business Insider article that while Russian jamming capabilities are better than those of Ukraine, they are not distributed equally across the front lines. Unprotected vehicles, according to Porter, can be a weak link.

Among other solutions on offer, fiber-optic drones are immune to jamming and radiolocation, with their control signals sent via a cable akin to wire-guided ATGMs. However, the length of their fiber-optic control cables restricts their range, which may pose a risk to their operators. Control cables can also get tangled or damaged.

In a 2023 article for Military Review, Curtis Buzzard and other authors make reference to the renewed debates over the relevance of the tank in contemporary warfare, arguing that tank supporters claim that they can use essential firepower, mobility, and survivability to form combined arms teams, enabling breakthrough operations, and projecting national power, as seen in the Invasion of Iraq and the 1967 Six-Day War.

However, Buzzard and others point out that critics highlight tanks ‘ vulnerabilities to ATGMs, drones and loitering munitions, as demonstrated by heavy Russian tank losses in Ukraine. Additionally, they criticize tanks for their logistical demands and for their large electromagnetic signatures, which make them detectable.

While critics may call the tank obsolete, Buzzard and others argue that tanks remain crucial but must evolve through integration, concealment, and enhanced mobility to meet future threats.

Advancements in laser weapon technology may soon make them a viable drone defense for armored fighting vehicles, even though improvised solutions like cope cages, turtle tanks, and vehicle-mounted jammers have varying degrees of effectiveness against rapidly evolving drone warfare capabilities.

In an October 2024 article for the Wall Street Journal ( WSJ), Alistair MacDonald cautions that, despite their promise, laser weapons face significant limitations, including high energy requirements, limited range and susceptibility to adverse weather conditions.

According to MacDonald, these limitations prevent lasers from performing well in dynamic combat situations because they struggle to maintain focus and power over long ranges and during atmospheric disturbances.

Additionally, he claims that the bulkiness of the required cooling and power supplies makes it harder for them to be deployed on mobile devices.

However, MacDonald says technological advancements have made vehicle-mounted counter-drone lasers more feasible. He mentions that fiber lasers increase efficiency and compactness by combining light from several strands into a single, potent beam.

He claims that the incorporation of high-energy lasers onto vehicles like the US Army’s Stryker armored fighting vehicle has also been made possible by the development of smaller, stronger power generators and cooling systems.

According to MacDonald, these improvements provide a cost-effective and essentially limitless ammunition supply and allow for quick, precise targeting of drones. He mentions that the successful trials of these systems demonstrate that they have the potential to improve combat capabilities, making a significant advancement in counter-drone technology.

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Uyghur separatist threat could reach beyond China’s Xinjiang – Asia Times

The Palestinian Arab Army’s fast fall in response to Hayat Tahrir al-Sham’s advance, which the UN Security Council has labeled a terrorist organization, has attracted international attention from their ranks.

The Tamils from China’s Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region rank first and foremost among those foreigners. They previously fought China as East Turkestan Islamic Movement members, but they later changed their names to Turkistan Islamic Party.

Regardless of what brand they go by, the organization has been active in Idlib since 2017 when information about its provinces in that region of Syria started to surface. The group has a history of working with criminal organizations like Al Qaeda to aid in the eviction of a Uyghur express from China. The UN Security Council designated it as a criminal organization for this reason. In later 2020, the United States removed its unique title for being dormant, blatantly indicating that the organization had fallen into hibernation, but it is now known that this was untrue.

A movie released by members of the organization urging violent jihad against China recently emerged from Syria. Under the heading” China has cause to be terrified of rebel-run Syria,” Yang Xiaotong wrote a thorough Asia Times article on the subject. The Turkistan Islamic Party is recruiting people from Central Asia, and it could restore itself in Afghanistan by attacking the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor, two of the most crucial factors.

The hall is considered to be the Belt and Road Initiative’s lineup project, and for years it’s been the target of attacks by the Balochistan Liberation Army, which Pakistan, China and even the US have designated as a criminal business. Since the Afghan Taliban reclaimed Afghanistan and provided refuge to the Tehrik-i-Taliban Pakistan, the BLA has increased its problems.

The Tehrik-i-Taliban Pakistan and the Balochistan Liberation Army are now viewed as casual friends. Both parties want to obliterate Muslim soil: the TTP wants to establish a radical Islamist dictatorship, while the BLA wants to cut out an independent Balochistan.

Some people also believe that the Afghan Taliban would demand the cession of Pakistan’s Pashtun-majority Khyber-Pakhtunkhwa ( previously known as the Northwest Frontier Province ) as retribution for their contributions to the TTP’s rise to power because the Afghan Taliban do not recognize the Durand Line.

Map: menafn

Because the Afghan Taliban have good relations with China, they might not be interested in having the Turkistan Islamic Party there. The problem, though, is that the Afghan Taliban don’t have total power over their territory– while is proven by the continued presence of ISIS-K cells it. Additionally, they recently hosted the Turkistan Islamic Party in accordance with the tenet of offering shelter to all like-minded Muslim organizations with the condition that they don’t endanger others.

Thus, it’s possible that the Afghan Taliban and the Turkistan Islamic Party can form again in Afghanistan. From that, it may launch an attack on the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor, just as the half Afghan-based Balochistan Liberation Army has been doing.

It is possible that the Turkistan Islamic Party may strategically desire to beat China’s sweet spot in order to increase the organization’s profile, while the Balochistan Liberation Army attacks the corridor for ultra-nationalist reasons, asserting that the megaproject is exploiting the local Baloch by privying them of the riches derived from the region’s natural resource wealth.

For unscrupulous motivation may also have some application in Central Asia, aside from attacking Pakistani-based Belt and Road tasks. From that, Hayat Tahrir al-Sham even has sourced some of its international fighters– especially Uzbeks, who are the country’s most popular people.

The Turkistan Islamist Party was recruit recruits from Uyghur communities in Kazakhstan and Kyrgyzstan, whether they carry out attacks on Belt and Road projects in Pakistan, border crossings in Xinjiang, education in Afghanistan or Syria, or both.

These plausible scenarios raise questions about Turkiye’s indirect sponsorship of the party as a result of Ankara’s covert acceptance of the Turkistan Islamists ‘ alliance with the Turkish-backed Hayat Tahrir al-Sham ( commonly abbreviated HTS), the group that recently conquered Syria.

Although Turkiye considers itself to be the leader of the Organization of Turkish States, which includes Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, and Uzbekistan, its citizens, particularly Uzbeks, have now received HTS education and gained related field expertise in Syria under HTS control. When Turkiye allowed some of its citizens to become potential terrorist threats without raising a finger to stop them, it will be difficult for the country to demonstrate itself as a trustworthy partner for those countries.

The role of Ukraine’s GUR military intelligence agency is another thing to keep in mind. GUR was implicated in HTS’s offensive in Syria, according to The Washington Post. So it isn’t surprising that Kyiv backs HTS because it had previously supported Tuareg militants in Mali against the allegedly Wagner-backed Rapid Support Forces in Sudan. Nevertheless, the contemporary GUR is also a CIA project, as the Washington Post reported in late 2023. &nbsp,

Thus, it is possible that the CIA will use GUR as a blatantly unfeigned proxy to control or at least encourage the Turkistan Islamist Party’s expansion in the geostrategic Central Asian region between Russia and China. Even if Turkiye opposes it, it might happen. By demilitarizing and demobilizing its armed formations, Ankara could preemptively defuse that scenario by using its influence over HTS to oust the Turkistan Islamist Party inside Syria. Uyghurs who are deported to China may also be deported.

Of course, that would require tremendous political will, which Turkiye might not have at present. Recep Tayyip Erodgan, president, has previously defended himself as a champion of the Uyghurs ‘ political cause, but he has since toned down such rhetoric out of pragmatism to strengthen ties with China. Thus, he might face accusations of betrayal from his domestic base, as well as from those who support his Islamist-driven foreign policy abroad.

If he doesn’t take decisive action right away, even if only to the extent that he won’t allow other Uyghurs, Central Asians, or Chechens to train there via Turkiye for training with that organization or HTS, he might find himself with a serious issue on his hands that could harm his foreign policy. After all, those people traveled to Syria with the covert support of his country for training and battlefield experience, so Erdogan is ultimately held responsible for any attacks they might carry out in the future.

Pakistan is one of Turkiye’s close partners. Therefore, it will be incredibly scandalous if Syrian-based Uyghurs eventually travel to Afghanistan to engage in a hybrid war against China and Pakistan, which is also thought to be Pakistan’s economic development’s foundation.

The question is whether the Turkistan Islamists do it on their own or in concert with the CIA-sponsored GUR, since Turkiye will still be held accountable for a portion of it. Russia, China, the Central Asian republics, and Pakistan are therefore watching very closely to see what Erdogan will do.

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Tulsi Gabbard, Bashar Al-Assad and me – Asia Times

In the first decades of 2017, two American traveled to Syria where they met individually with that country’s despot, Bashar Al-Assad.

One of them was Tulsi Gabbard, therefore a Hawaii Democratic congressman, then President-elect Trump’s find to be director of national intelligence. &nbsp, Another American, arriving in Damascus less than two weeks later, &nbsp, was me.

It’s fair to say our discussions with Assad, and the information we after relayed to the world about what was taking area inside his land, &nbsp, couldn’t have been more diverse.

Gabbard flew covertly to Syria in the middle of January that year, becoming the first member of Congress to do so since 2011, when Syrian forces massacred peaceful protesters and imprisoned thousands of others at the top of the Egyptian Spring. The fight between anti-Assad troops and the Arab military escalated into something unprecedented, and it even got worse in 2015 when Russia’s Vladimir Putin dispatched unique causes and aircraft to battle “rebel” neighborhoods in cities like Aleppo. &nbsp,

However, Gabbard was unimpressed by Assad’s repeated use of chemical arms against his own citizens or the indiscriminate Russian attack. Her journey — privately&nbsp, funded&nbsp, by a Cleveland-based Muslim United group friendly to Assad — turned into a propaganda coup for the Arab program. Gambard and Assad met twice, but nothing was revealed about what they truly said to one another.

These classes with the tyrant were, to say the least, questionable. ” To say I’m disgusted would be an understatement”, said Republican senator Adam Kinzinger on the House floor. ” By meeting with the large criminal of Syria, Bashar al-Assad, Tulsi Gabbard has legitimized his tyranny and, in turn, legitimized his murder against the Arab people”.

Gabbard, for her part, defended&nbsp, herself, &nbsp, writing in a blog&nbsp, post&nbsp, ( and in a later CNN&nbsp, interview&nbsp, ) that she would be ready to meet with anyone “if there’s a chance it can help bring about an end to this war”. She later&nbsp, said&nbsp, Assad is” certainly the army of the United States” .&nbsp,

However, what she said about him and how she addressed the world about the Palestinian issue itself was what really added to Assad during this journey. &nbsp, She adopted wholesale the Syrian ( and Russian ) government&nbsp, line that the main forces resisting Assad were not the Free Syrian Army and other rebel groups&nbsp, pledged&nbsp, to creating a&nbsp, democratic free Syria but Al Qaeda and ISIS terrorists — supported by the United States government, no less. ( It should be noted that the US military was attempting to target and destroy the ISIS caliphate in Iraq at the time. ) &nbsp,

” There is no difference between’ moderate’ rebels and al-Qaeda ( al-Nusra ) or ISIS—they are all the same”, Gabbard wrote in her blog post.

Syria’s then-ruler Bashar Al-Assad ( left ) was surprised by the evidence of torture the author brought with him in his coat pocket. Photo: Yahoo News

Even more impressive, she later released a three minute YouTube&nbsp, video&nbsp, about her journey, showing bombed-out structures as well as babies in hospitals&nbsp, and maimed citizens with amputated limbs, portraying them all as victims of the Arab “terrorist” rebels. &nbsp, ( Fact check: According to the UK based Arab Network for Human Rights, as of 2022, &nbsp, 228, 893&nbsp, residents had been killed in the government’s civil war — with more than 90 percent of these deaths caused by the Syrian government or its Russian allies. )

&nbsp, On her legislative website, she posted&nbsp, photos&nbsp, from the trip, including one of her meeting with Palestinian religious leaders, each of whom, she wrote, called for” an end to international support of terrorists who are trying to rid Syria of its liberal, pluralistic, completely society”. ( Fact check: Freedom House, which does annual rankings of the state of freedom in every country in the world, ranked Assad’s Syria close to the bottom of its list, below North Korea, China&nbsp, and Iran, &nbsp, calling it “one of the world’s most oppressive regimes” which “harshly&nbsp, suppresses freedom of speech and assembly” with “enforced disappearances, military trials and torture … rampant in government-controlled areas”. )

All of this was nothing new for Gabbard. In 2015, Mouaz Moustafa, a Washington-based anti-regime activist serving as the executive director of the Syrian Emergency Task Forces, traveled with Gabbard and other House members to the Syrian-Turkish border with a congressional delegation two years prior to her meeting with Assad. They had a conversation with displaced civilians there who described how constant Syrian and Russian bombings had driven them from their homes. Much to Moustafa’s astonishment, Gabbard was openly skeptical. How do you know whether Assad or the Russians carried out the bombings? she asked them. ” How do you know it wasn’t ISIS”?

Moustafa could barely stop&nbsp, himself from blurting out the blindingly obvious: ISIS doesn’t have an Air Force! &nbsp, He&nbsp, came away clear-eyed about Gabbard’s world view. ” She’s like the perfect product of RT propaganda”, he said. &nbsp,

Confronting Assad&nbsp,

I arrived in Damascus in early February, not long after Gabbard had left in late January. The Lebanese American brother of the Cleveland-based organization that paid for Gabbard’s trip, which I was working for at the time, only paid the brother as a fixer in my situation. If he was expecting another sympathetic report on Assad and his regime, however, he was soon to be sorely disappointed. &nbsp,

The trip was tense and at times nerve-wracking. The Damascus airport was shut down because Syria was a war zone. A Yahoo News cameraman and I had to travel by armed caravan through the Bekaa Valley to the Syrian border from Beirut to Beirut. Our fixer — with clear approvals from up high — had arranged for the Syrian military to provide us with safe passage, avoiding “rebel” areas, &nbsp, as we made our&nbsp, way to the capital. I stayed there before arriving at a five-star Intercontinental hotel constructed in the days before Assad’s regime became a global pariah. &nbsp,

But on the morning of my scheduled interview, I was torn. My reporting on the so-called Caesar photos, which were tens of thousands of brutal photos taken inside Assad’s torture chambers, showed rows of naked, bruised, burned, and emaciated bodies, shocking images that immediately drew comparisons to those from Nazi concentration camps. &nbsp, ( Indeed, they would later go on display in a special exhibit at the&nbsp, Holocaust Museum. ) A regime photographer, codenamed Caesar, who had taken the photos had defected and smuggled them out of the country in thumb drives concealed in his shoes because he was so sickened by what he was given the task of documenting: the torture and murder of Assad’s prisoners. The late Senator John McCain claimed he looked at the photos every day and kept them on his desk as a reminder of the regime’s atrocities.

A brave Syrian seized photos from Assad’s torture and murder dungeons and threw them into the West. This is just one of 50 thousand photos he brought.

I contacted Moustafa before I left on my trip and requested copies of some of the Caesar photos to bring with me. I had watched past interviews of Assad and knew that, whenever confronted with questions about the grotesque excesses of his regime, he invariably responded:” Oh, do you have the evidence? Can you show me the evidence”? I wanted to have the evidence to show him if I was going to ask him about the Caesar photos. &nbsp, &nbsp, &nbsp, &nbsp,

And then, I hesitated. What if the bodyguards of Assad’s regime attacked me when I arrived and discovered the photos? My only purpose for attending the interview would be blown up. I was genuinely uncertain whether it was worth the risk — until I logged onto the internet in the hotel’s business center and saw the lead&nbsp, story&nbsp, in that day’s New York Times.

&nbsp,” Amnesty Report Accuses Syria of Executing Thousands Since War Began”, read the headline. Up to 13, 000 people were executed in mass hangings at Assad’s infamous Saydnaya military prison, according to a new report from the Amnesty International organization. Further, the report further details how the detainees at Saydnaya were subjected to severe and repeated beatings, most of whom were imprisoned for organizing anti-government demonstrations, were later found guilty while blindfolded in sham military trials that sometimes lasted just a few minutes.

In short, Assad’s brutality was very much international news on the day of my interview. I was now determined to advance the narrative. I could be the first journalist to confront him with the Caesar photos in addition to posing questions to him about the Amnesty International report. &nbsp,

Vest pocket weapon

I hopped into my fixer’s car on the way to Assad’s presidential office, &nbsp, and hurried caution to the wind by putting my copies of the photos in the inside pocket of my jacket as well as another document I figured would be useful. &nbsp,

It was all strange, of course. I’m relieved to find that I passed through security without any issues because the Syrian security personnel never looked through the pocket of my jacket. &nbsp, Assad, tall, awkward and somewhat herky-jerky in his&nbsp, movements — odd, I thought for a London-trained&nbsp, ophthalmologist — greeted me as I walked in, &nbsp, asking if we could&nbsp, have an informal chat before the interview began. He wanted to talk about the state of the American media, relating in the course of our somewhat stilted conversation how he liked to watch conservative BillO’Reilly’s Fox News show and, no doubt for balance, the leftwing&nbsp,” Young Turks” YouTube show.

After that, we moved to a nearby office where Syrian TV cameras would record the interview and give us a copy of the tape, repeatedly assuring us that no editorial content would be removed. This was done in exchange for the assurance that no editorial content would be removed. I started the&nbsp, session&nbsp, slowly and respectfully, asking Assad whether he had had any communications with the new Trump administration in Washington ( no, he hadn’t ) and whether he saw a path to an improvement in US-Syria relations under the new president. ( Sure, he said, as long as the US works with his government, the Russians and the Iranians to fight the “terrorists” threatening his country. ) &nbsp, &nbsp,

And when it came to the Syrian civil war, he offered his standard talking points, the same ones that&nbsp, had just been repeated to the world by Tulsi Gabbard, using virtually the identical language. &nbsp,

Who backed the rebels and referred to them as “moderate rebels” as they transitioned from Syria to ISIS and Al-Nusra? he said. ” We didn’t. So it’s not our responsibility…. Your country supported them”. ( Fact check: the US not only didn’t support Al-Nusra, it had designated it as a terrorist group. In the complexity of the war, however, some US aid to opposition groups indirectly benefited Al-Nusra. ) &nbsp, &nbsp, &nbsp, &nbsp,

About&nbsp, halfway in, I started to press him about his human rights record. Things&nbsp, started to get testy. I brought up the Amnesty International Report which described the military prison at Saydnaya as a “human slaughterhouse” .&nbsp, &nbsp,

” What do you know about what’s going on in that prison”? I asked. &nbsp,

He dismissed the question as irrelevant. Why question him about human rights when the United States has” this close, very close relation” with Saudi Arabia? &nbsp, &nbsp, &nbsp,

” I’m not interviewing the King of Saudi Arabia right now”, I responded. ” I’m interviewing you. I’m asking you about reports of human rights abuses in your prison, in your country”.

” Yeah, of course. You own the question. I own the answers. So that’s my answer”, Assad, replied with a nervous laugh.

” The United States is in no position to talk about human rights”, he said. ” Since the Vietnam War til this moment, they killed millions of civilians. You don’t talk about the 1.5 million]killed ] in Iraq without any assignment by the]UN] Security Council” authorizing the invasion of that country, he added. &nbsp, As for Amnesty International, “it’s always biased and politicized” .&nbsp,

I made it clear that the report was based on interviews with former prisoners, doctors, and, as a bonus, three former Syrian judges, who claimed the Syrian government’s minister of defense or Army chief of staff had both been “deputized acting on behalf of President Bashar al-Assad.”

” It means nothing”, he replied.

“Nothing?” 

” No. When you need to make a report, you need evidence, concrete evidence”. Then he suggested that Amnesty had compensated the witnesses who spoke to him for their testimony. &nbsp,” You can forge anything these days”.

Photo finish

It was now time to move on to the Caesar photos, questions he was likely not expecting. I informed him that a Syrian woman had just filed a lawsuit in Spain against nine senior Syrian government and intelligence officials who claimed her brother had vanished from one of his prisons, and that she was using Caesar photos to support her claims of abuse. &nbsp,

” Have you seen the photos? I asked him. &nbsp,

” No, I didn’t. Do you have a photo?”

” I do have the photos.”

” Can you show it to me?”

” Yes, I’d be happy to,” I replied, reaching into my inside jacket pocket and handing them to him”. Here.”

Isikoff poses with Assad in one of the thousands of photos that support his arrest ( Yahoo News ).

And just as I did, the cameras went off, the lights went out, and the room became completely dim. &nbsp,

It was a surreal moment. Without saying a word, I was sitting face to face with Assad in the dark, hardly giving a second to the tortured victims. His press release quickly announced that a fuse had blown and that they were putting things right. Given the timing, I was, to say the least, skeptical. I assumed nervous aides were deliberating whether to allow the interview to continue in a back room of a presidential suite. &nbsp,

But after a few minutes, they decided they&nbsp, would — likely concluding, &nbsp, quite correctly, that if they cut off the interview at that moment it would be the principal focus of my story. The interview was resumed as the lights turned on. ( You can watch the entire exchange&nbsp, here &nbsp, with the interregnum in darkness cut out in the edit room by Syrian TV producers. )

” Have you verified” the photos? Assad demanded”. You can’t mention a picture like that without checking who those are, where, and everything else. ” The photos were no doubt doctored, he argued. &nbsp,

I made it clear that the US State Department had sent 242 of the photos to the FBI Crime Lab for analysis. &nbsp, I then whipped out the other document I had taken with me in my jacket: &nbsp, the FBI report on the Caesar photos. I read it to him”. No artifacts or inconsistent patterns that would suggest they have been manipulated are present in the depicted bodies and scenes. As a result of the above observations, all of these 242 images appear to depict real people and events.”

” Who said that?”” The FBI. Have you seen the report? ” I handed it to him.

Isikoff gives Assad the photos ‘ FBI verification.

” Whether, if the FBI says something, it’s not some — something it’s not evidence for anyone, especially for us … It’s just propaganda. It’s just fake news.”

And with that, Assad gave me my&nbsp, lead. The now-US president was using a phrase titled “fake news” that had been coined on the 2016 campaign trail. It was a brand-new, lethal American export that authoritarians around the world were looking for to disprove and mock inconvenient truths for. &nbsp, &nbsp,

And Assad, no doubt emboldened by the PR boost he had just gotten from his new friend, the congresswoman from Hawaii, was happy to join the chorus.

The well-known author and investigative journalist Michael Isikoff has worked for Newsweek, NBC News, and Yahoo News. This article was first published in the Substack newsletter SpyTalk on November 21, 2024. It is republished with permission.

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Australia’s submarine plans may be dead in the water – Asia Times

Australia’s submarine ideas are slipping due to aging Collins-class warships and AUKUS risks, forcing difficult decisions on its future underground warfare skills.

This month, Naval News&nbsp, reported&nbsp, that the American government has designated the Collins class regular underwater sustainment program as a “product of concern”, following a Defense Australia&nbsp, recommendation&nbsp, to strengthen supervisory oversight of this important capability.

According to Naval News, this statement highlights the difficulties that these boats face in extending beyond their original design’s lifetime. The Albanese government is reportedly committed to investing AUD 4 to 5 billion ( US$ 2.56-3.2 billion ) over the next ten years to ensure that the Collins school is in place until its planned withdrawal in 2030.

The Australian Shipbuilding Company has a fresh AUD$ 2.2 billion sustainment agreement, which was signed in June 2024, according to the report. This agreement replaces the one under the previous coalition government that included an Hey 120 million efficiency dividend.

The Collins school has experienced significant problems, including unprecedented levels of erosion, which necessitated complete remediation measures, according to Naval News. It states that the title of “product of problem” aims to address these issues through better oversight and a upcoming summit in early 2025.

According to the report, this initiative is a part of a wider effort to ensure that no capability gaps exist until the transition to typically military, nuclear-powered submarines is finished.

Underscoring the weight of the issue, American Broadcasting Corporation News&nbsp, reported&nbsp, in November 2024 that the Royal Australian Navy is grappling with a major operational problem. According to the review, the navy now has just one of its six Collins-class ships that is fully operational.

This condition is brought on by immediate repairs and scheduled upgrades that the aging ship, which has experienced exceptional ship erosion, are required, according to ABC News. The report says two ships are stationed at Adelaide’s Osborne factory, where employee cuts are causing difficulties in their extensive repair, known as full-cycle landing.

Additionally, the report mentions three ships are at Western Australia’s Garden Island marine center, with at least one awaiting documentation to return to support.

Despite these difficulties, ABC News maintains that Defense Australia can match the government’s operational presence goals, even though certain submarines ‘ specific locations and accessibility are unknown for security reasons.

Australia may hope to re-establish its underwater warfare capabilities by purchasing nuclear attack submarines ( SSNs ) under the AUKUS framework, but that prospect has an uncertain future.

Asia Times&nbsp, mentioned&nbsp, this month that Australia’s nuclear submarine ambitions under the AUKUS security pact face significant challenges due to a weak US production base, uncertainties from a second Trump administration and reluctance to share nuclear technology.

A recent US Congressional Research Service ( CRS ) &nbsp, report&nbsp, suggests that US SSNs could perform Australian and US missions in the region in lieu of Canberra’s acquiring nuclear attack submarines ( SSNs ) under AUKUS. Similar arrangements already exist between the US and its NATO allies. The report provides alternative strategies for reinvesting funds used for SSNs into other military assets, including forward rotations of US and UK SSNs to Australia. The report warns that if Australia’s SSN plans reach a cost-accounting death spiral, it could reduce funding for other military capabilities, impacting deterrence against China.

Critics claim that Australia should leverage its distance from China to avoid projecting military power into China’s near-mainland and that the AUKUS SSN project lacks a clear strategic rationale.

US President-elect Donald Trump’s return to the White House raises concerns about the future of AUKUS, with potential demands for increased Australian contributions. Further, Australia’s reluctance to cooperate on nuclear power complicates its SSN ambitions.

Australia might have to reconsider acquiring SSNs from an alternative source given Australia’s looming underwater warfare capability gap and the uncertain future of AUKUS.

In an&nbsp, article&nbsp, for the Strategist this month, Peter Briggs argues that Australia should prepare to acquire at least 12 French Suffren-class SSNs, as the current AUKUS plan for eight SSNs faces increasing risks.

According to Briggs, the AUKUS plan, which includes three US-built and five British-built SSNs, is unlikely to meet deadlines due to production delays and design challenges. He claims that the Australian government, which will be elected next year, should choose the French design to ensure deliveries by 2038 by 2026.

He mentions that the Suffren class, already in service with the French Navy, offers a more feasible solution with its 5, 300-ton displacement, 70-day endurance, and 60-person crew. He claims that this ship’s design is best suited for anti-submarine warfare and can accommodate missiles and special forces.

Briggs says the AUKUS SSN plan’s mixed designs and oversized UK submarines, driven by reactor dimensions, are unsuitable for Australia’s needs and pose significant crew and cost challenges. He adds that the AUKUS plan is further complicated by US and UK submarine production issues, making the French Suffren class a more affordable and practical choice.

He claims that this change would allow Australia to continue to offer SSN training to its allies in the US and the UK and establish a joint construction program with France to meet its maritime security requirements.

However, acquiring 12 French-built Suffren-class SSNs would require a radical shift in Australia’s defense posture, away from the AUKUS arrangement and toward dependence on French defense infrastructure.

The Suffren class is a capable SSN, but the political and strategic risk associated with reneging on the AUKUS framework and the need to invest in nuclear infrastructure over the long term makes it so.

There are ongoing debates about whether the AUKUS framework was the best way to restore Australia’s underwater warfare capabilities in light of Australia’s aging Collins submarines and the uncertain future of its AUKUS SSN plans.

In a June 2024&nbsp, debate&nbsp, published by the United States Studies Center, Richard Dunley argues that the plan is optimal given limited alternatives. He emphasizes the acquisition of Virginia-class SSNs from the US as a” stopgap” solution that accelerates Australia’s nuclear submarine capability. He also makes a point of mentioning the benefits of supporting a joint industrial base by co-developing the UK’s SSN.

Elizabeth Buchanan, in contrast, points out that the AUKUS SSN is too expensive and ambitious and advocates for a more practical approach that uses US and UK submarines using Australia’s “pit-stop power.” This arrangement, she argues, better aligns with Australia’s strategic and resource constraints.

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