Pro-Beijing paper: Anti-sanctions law can block Li’s ports deal – Asia Times

A media mouthpiece of the Chinese Communist Party has suggested using China’s anti-sanctions mechanism to deal with Hong Kong tycoon Li Ka-shing’s proposed selling of his global ports, including two at the Panama Canal, to BlackRock.

In its latest article titled “Stop the transaction, avoid losing a lot to save a little,” Ta Kung Pao, a pro-Beijing newspaper, urges Li to scrap his ports deal. 

Since its first attack on Li on March 13, the newspaper has published more than 10 commentaries and news articles on the topic. While previous ones called Li a “traitor” and an unpatriotic businessman, its latest opinion piece mentions a concrete legal tool – the anti-sanctions law – for the first time.

“Both at the national and Hong Kong Special Administrative Region levels, our legal system is quite complete,” writes Wan Yunping. (The name may be a pseudonym as the author has no title and has not published any article before.)

“In response to the United States and Western sanctions in recent years, our country has accumulated rich experience in anti-sanctions and formed an effective response mechanism,” Wan says. “Both the state and the SAR have legal mechanisms to deal with so-called ‘legal transactions’ that harm national interests.”

He says those who have stressed that Li’s proposed deal is a “legitimate transaction” under the principle of freedom of contract are “too naive and senile.”

“From the operational level of commercial mergers and acquisitions, I advise relevant companies and individuals to stop delivery, avoid miscalculations and avoid losing a lot to save a little,” Wan says.

The author also says Li’s deal violates the principle of Hong Kong’s National Security Ordinance, which states that “the highest principle of the policy of ‘one country, two systems’ is to safeguard national sovereignty, security and development interests.” The Legislative Council passed the ordinance, drafted on the basis of Article 23 of the Basic Law, in March 2024.

“This transaction directly violates this highest principle as it will hurt China’s national security and development interests,” he says. “Violating the principle of the law is also a violation of the law.”

“Throughout the legal system, not every legal provision directly states the consequences of violation,” he adds. “However, the lack of written legal consequences does not mean the law has no legal effect.”

In August 2021, Beijing suggested extending the coverage of its Anti-Foreign Sanctions Law to Hong Kong by adding it to Annex III of the Basic Law. If implemented, this law would forbid Hong Kong companies and banks from enforcing foreign sanctions against China. 

However, the National People’s Congress (NPC) standing committee finally did not discuss the suggestion after considering that it would put Hong Kong’s banks and financial institutions in a difficult position in the fight between China and the US and trigger capital flight from Hong Kong.

Some observers have said that Beijing can use the existing National Security Law and the potential implementation of the anti-sanctions law in Hong Kong to deal with Li. But Ronny Tong, a legal expert and an Executive Council member, said it’s unlikely that Beijing will intervene in the case with the National Security Law.

“The United Kingdom passed the National Security Investment Act in 2021 to scrutinize outbound and inbound investment, while the United States has also recently banned American companies from investing in China and Chinese companies from investing in the US,” Tong says in a social media post.

“The media and international community did not criticize these restrictions. But if the SAR government intervenes in a case for national security reasons, it will definitely attract overwhelming criticism and smear,” he says. “We have always dealt with things fairly and in accordance with the law. It is the difference between China and the UK-US.”

He says Li must consider whether selling his ports is in the national interest.

It is unclear whether Beijing will block Li’s ports deal with the anti-sanctions law. For that to happen, the NPC Standing Committee needs to hold a meeting before CK Hutchison and the BlackRock-Til consortium sign definitive documentation for the transaction on April 2.

Victor Li’s statement

On March 4, CK Hutchison, Li’s flagship company, announced that it had agreed to sell its entire 80% stake in Hutchison Ports – which owns, operates and develops 43 ports comprising 199 berths in 23 countries – to BlackRock for US$22.8 billion.

After this, Victor Li, the elder son of Li Ka-shing and chairman of CK Hutchison, reportedly met with a “national leader” to discuss the deal in Beijing, but he insisted on continuing the transaction. 

Bloomberg reported on March 18 that senior Chinese leaders ordered several government agencies, including the State Administration for Market Regulation, to scrutinize the deal for any potential security breaches or antitrust violations. Still, the probe would not necessarily result in any follow-up action.

“Looking ahead to 2025, there may be headwinds with supply chain disruptions anticipated in the early part of the year due to shipping lines transitioning into their new alliances, as well as ongoing geopolitical risk impacting global trade,” Victor Li says in CK Hutchison’s 2024 result announcement released on March 20.

He says that the company’s port business will continue to improve this year with moderate organic growth in Asia and the Middle East, expansion at existing terminal facilities and strengthening strategic partnerships.

Revenue from the company’s ports and related services grew 11% to HK$45.3 billion (US$5.83 billion) for the year ended December 31, 2024. The segment’s earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) increased 19% to HK$16.2 billion.

Pundits’ debate

In China most commentators criticized the 96-year-old Li Ka-shing for selling his global ports to BlackRock, although a few defended him.

A Fujian-based writer using the pseudonym “Xinghua Dabai” says in an article published on Wednesday that Li failed to sell 40% of Hutchison Ports to Chinese state-owned enterprises (SOEs) for about HK$150 billion in 2015 because the premium was too high.

“Many people asked why China did not buy Li’s ports in the past. It’s not that we did not want to buy,” the writer says. “A 2015 news article showed that Chinese buyers felt Li’s asking price was too high. Besides, they did not want to only hold a minority stake.”

The writer says Li’s asking price in 2015 was about 26 to 28 times the assets’ EBITDA, more than double the industry’s 10 to 12 times valuation then. He says now Li offers BlackRock 80% of his port assets for 11 to 13 times EBITDA, compared with the industry’s 9 to 10 times valuation.

He says Li deserves criticism this time because he is selling his ports to BlackRock at a lower valuation. 

“Someone might also ask why China does not buy the ports now,” he says. “Such a deal will involve antitrust probes in 12 jurisdictions, including the European Union, the US and Brazil. Obviously, the US won’t approve it if our SOEs buy Hutchison Ports.”

In an interview, Larry Lang, a Hong Kong-based Taiwanese economist, says Li should not face criticism for selling his own assets, especially when port operation is a declining sector.

Lang says Li won Britain’s trust to acquire Hutchison Whampoa in 1979 and spent decades expanding it; besides, Li is a Canadian citizen and should not be judged on his Chinese patriotism. 

Lang says that, as China has already started building ports and railways overseas in the past decade, the negative impact of Li’s deal on the country will only be temporary.

Yong Jian is a contributor to the Asia Times. He is a Chinese journalist who specializes in Chinese technology, economy and politics. 

Read: China probes Li Ka-shing’s Panama ports deal for security concerns

Read: Beijing calls Li Ka-shing a ‘traitor’ in Panama ports deal

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Why can’t US build a homegrown tech workforce? – Asia Times

Two groups of followers of President Donald Trump just engaged in a heated argument. The H-1B card program, a program that allows US employers to employ highly qualified foreigners in special occupations, most notably in the technology sector, is at issue.

On the one hand, there are people like Steve Bannon, a former adviser to Donald Trump, who has described the H-1B programme as a” total and complete scam.” On the other hand, there are digital tycoons, such as Elon Musk, who believe that skilled foreign workers are essential for the US tech industry.

An annual maximum of novel permits that the H-1B card program can issue is imposed by the agency, which is 65, 000 per fiscal year. Additionally, there is an additional yearly limit of 20, 000 H-1B visa for highly qualified international students who have demonstrated their ability to succeed professionally in the United States.

After graduating, foreign grad students at US institutions can stay and work there under the H-1B system. Many of the STEM research I do at Rice University is carried out by foreign graduate students. The same holds true for the majority of the country’s institutions that focus on research.

As an expatriate and a professor of computer science who studies the interaction between technology and nation, I think the H-1B argument ignores some crucial issues. Why does the US rely so heavily on foreigners for its tech sector, and why is it unable to create a local tech workforce?

Intellect pole for the world

Since before World War II, the US has been a hotspot for international medical skills.

Many of the professionals who contributed to the creation of the nuclear weapon were immigrants from Europe. US laws, such as the Fulbright Program, opened up opportunities for international academic change after World War II.

International individuals ‘ efforts to attract Americans have been successful. 40 % of Americans who have received the Nobel Prize in science, medicine, or science since 2000 are immigrants.

Scientists Louis Brus, Alexei Ekimov and Moungi Bawendi appear in a triptych photo.
Louis Brus, a U.S. citizen, and Alexei Ekimov, a U.S. immigrant, Moungi Bawendi, both from France, shared the Nobel Prize in chemistry in 2023. AP Photo

Apple, Amazon, Facebook, and Google, which are all digital economy giant, were all founded by primary- or second-generation refugees. Additionally, since 2018, refugees have founded more than half of the world’s billion-dollar companies.

maximizing the student flow

As some important Trump supporters have argued, restricting the access to foreign graduate students ‘ jobs in the US may significantly reduce global graduate students ‘ enrollment.

In the US’s computer science and engineering courses, there are approximately 18, 000 individuals from abroad, or 80 % of graduate students.

The absence of foreign doctoral students would drastically lessen the ability of grad programs in science and engineering to conduct research. In US universities, graduate students are primarily responsible for the majority of study in science and engineering, closely followed by main investigators.

It should be emphasized that international students contribute significantly to the US study result.

For instance, researchers who were born outside the US played significant roles in the creation of the Pfizer and Moderna Covid-19 vaccinations. Therefore, making the US less appealing to international student learners in science and engineering did hurt US study profitability.

PhD alumni in computer science are in high demand. The lack of an sufficient home pipeline seems strange because the market requires them.

Where have kids from the US left?

Why do US science and engineering individuals need to study abroad, then? And why hasn’t America developed a sufficient network of students born in the US for its specialized workplace?

After talking with a number of colleagues, I’ve discovered that there are just not enough qualified local graduate applicants to fill the gaps in their postgraduate programs.

For instance, US computer science doctoral programs admitted 3,400 new kids in 2023, of which 63 % were foreigners.

It appears that many US undergrad computer science students are not interested enough in the postgraduate career path. But why?

Silicon Valley’s leading annual income for recent computer science graduates is reportedly US$ 115, 000. Prior to recently, Rice University’s computer engineering bachelor’s degree holders have reported that they were receiving starting annual salaries in Silicon Valley as high as$ 150, 000.

Unlike research universities, graduate students do not get a salary. They are rather given a allowance. These vary slightly from one school to the next, but they typically cost less than$ 40, 000 annually. Therefore, the opportunity cost of getting a doctorate is up to$ 100, 000 annually. And it normally takes six times to get a degree.

Therefore, some Americans don’t have the financial means to pursue a degree. A graduate education does, in fact, open up new career options for the holder, but the majority of those with bachelor’s degrees do not go beyond economics. Silicon Valley’s success depends a lot on intellectual computing research, but it is essential.

According to a 2016 analysis of the information systems areas with significant financial impact, scientific research is crucial to their growth.

Why so much?

China and the US are at odds with one another because they are both focused on industrial dominance. Therefore, maintaining its research-and-development advantage is in the country’s best attention.

Nevertheless, the US has declined to invest the necessary amount in studies. For instance, the National Science Foundation’s annual budget for computer and information science and engineering is roughly$ 1 billion. In contrast, Alphabet, the parent company of Google, has spent close to$ 50 billion on annual research and development costs for the past ten years.

Colleges are paying doctoral students but less because they can’t afford to pay more.

A man on stage speaks to an audience.
Sundar Pichai, the CEO of Alphabet, addresses a Google I/O function in Mountain View, California, on May 14, 2024. Photo courtesy of The Conversation/Jeff Chiu

The US has discovered a way to meet its scientific study needs by recruiting and admitting foreign pupils, but instead of acknowledging the existence of this issue and making efforts to address it.

The US has been able to ignore the national graduate pipeline’s inadequateness due to the steady flow of highly qualified global candidates. The US has a chance to reflect on the H-1B immigration technique as of right now, thanks to the discussion.

However, the National Science Foundation’s announcement of enormous budget cuts in Washington, DC, suggests that the federal government is about to turn an chronic issue into a crisis.

Professor of Computer Science at Rice University, Moshe Y. Vardi

This content was republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the text of the content.

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The still-hopeful future of sustainability – Asia Times

There are cycles for the effectiveness of global ideas. If an idea has to overwinter politically for a while, that doesn’t mean it’s over

In today’s world, even the most enthusiastic advocates of the idea of sustainability express one fear: we have to discuss whether the era of sustainability, which started in the 1990s and came to a first global peak in 2015 with the release of the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) is stagnating – or even coming to an end. 

This fear is understandable. Opposition is indeed coming in the first months of 2025, both on a large and small scale. 

On a large scale, it is the US National Bank’s withdrawal from the Network of Central Banks and Supervisors for Greening the Financial System (NGFS), as well as Donald Trump’s radical break with the Paris Climate Agreement, the US sustainability investment program Inflation Reduction Act of his predecessor Joe Biden, and his own US Environmental Protection Agency and their safeguarding programs. 

Trump has announced to turn most sustainability programs down without any compromise and to start to drill in environmentally protected areas, as he put it in his inaugural address on January 20, 2025: “We will drill, baby, drill!”

More or less simultaneously on the other side of the Atlantic big pond, it is the European Union’s softening of its announced end of the fossil fuel combustion engine, the declaration of nuclear and gas energy as sustainable energies and the outcry of business associations and enterprises about the declining competitiveness of European companies in international comparison also due to environmental regulations.

Their assertion is that in the neo-conservative to hyper-authoritarian age of Donald Trump, Vladimir Putin and Xi Jinping, almost only Europe and some single countries like Canada are seriously implementing them. 

On a smaller scale, there are increasing protests from local and regional communities against further regulatory steps to protect the environment and a generally noticeable weariness with the words ”sustainability” and “participation”, which, from the point of view of many citizens, have been used too inflationary over the past few years, being imposed by elites through the instruments of political correctness and wokeness.

This procedure, in the views of many, has set an “absolute truth” from above on which no dissent was possible anymore, ultimately limiting personal freedom and harming free choice by implicit and explicit pressure. 

In addition to these phenomena of satiety, there have been most recently technology offensives from the fossil mobility sector, such as the production of more efficient combustion engines, which are expected to compete with electric mobility in a more tied race over the years to come. 

Last but not least, global signature events such as the recent UN Climate Summit COP29 in November 2024 Baku, Azerbaijan, have recently also meant setbacks rather than progress for the global sustainability drive. 

For example, regarding the payment of climate compensation between the Global North and South, the core outcome was that Europe should essentially shoulder this alone because, with a few exceptions, no one else declared themselves ready for binding measures to jointly raise the required US$300 billion.

China and South Korea did not, continuing to declare themselves developing countries and not paying a cent; Russia did not, because it finances its wars from the export of fossil raw materials, on which its internal magnate power system is built; the US did not, because under the Trump 2.0 administration it is focusing more than ever on the extraction of fossil raw materials; and the Arab self-declared “future-oriented states” did not because they also still widely off oil and are less interested in social change than in “leapfrogging” technologies. 

By most of these powers, technology is increasingly seen – rather one-sidedly – as “the” solution regarding future sustainability and planetary protection, and new technologies are thus increasingly positioned in competition or even as a replacement for sustainability. 

The motto in many areas outside Europe and some affiliated nations in 2025 seems to be: We only have to wait until technology no longer causes pollution or even makes everything so clean that it is okay, which will inevitably happen sooner or later due to the inherent laws of auto-evolution of technology. Yet, in the meantime, we don’t have to do without anything and certainly not reduce growth. 

The consequence: growth stabilization or “degrowth” discussions, in essence, currently only exist in Europe, home to only 5-7% of the world’s population, and hardly anywhere else in serious and systemic ways. 

Yet also in the EU, resistance against “strong” sustainability pathways is growing with the politically conservative shift that is taking place in many European countries. Some progressive observers are therefore worriedly asking themselves: Was the sustainability idea perhaps too ambitious for our time? And is it now coming to an end with Donald Trump – or at least experiencing a historical break from which it could take years to recover? 

However, on closer inspection, these fears are due to rather simplistic, linear ideas of development and time – an approach that should actually have been obsolete for a long time. Because we know by now that ideas have risen in history; they then materialized in a certain period up to a certain form and peak, which was always context- and time-dependent.

And sooner or later, after this period, they had to reach a limit, after which they were either relativized, transformed into something else, or indeed displaced or even seemingly destroyed by opposing forces when the pendulum swings to the “other side”, which always did and does in historical cycles.

These cycles, in essence, correspond to those “hermeneutical circles” that modern philosophy describes as creative spirals consisting of the interplay between opposites. 

For some pessimists, within such pendulum movements, ideas appear as a historical phase that only lasts for a while and then disappears to make way for other ideas. In reality, however, the rise and fall of ideas occur in recurring cycles. It is a kind of circular movement of death and rebirth, figuratively speaking.

Many ideas in history that were born out of a high degree of maturity of their time, like sustainability, can have their period in which they have a strong effect. Then they can have to temporarily take a back seat, or even fail indefinitely. 

In the first case, these ideas have to “overwinter,” which they usually do on their own by retreating into niches or below the surface of public debate and prominence. Later, after the overwintering phase, they may return – mostly if they were not superficial but reflected the substance of historical evolution and development. 

This has always been the case with the more profound zeitgeist ideas. Their representatives, for example, artists, often rose to fame and were traded at high prices, only to be forgotten for decades in the following epoch and fall in price – only to be rediscovered in the subsequent era and rise again. 

The most interesting thing about this implicit law of circular decline and resurgence is that ideas disappear or are pushed into the background, but when they come back, they usually have become much stronger than they were, although they often have changed form or phrasing. 

When ideas come back, they usually also last longer and have greater stability than during their original rise. That is, after the overwintering phase, the resurrection phase can make ideas even more influential, although often more differentiated and “wise” than they were in the first place. 

It is exactly for these reasons that history must be considered as something superhuman that is made by humans, which is where its creative paradox lies. Those ideas that are historically “defeated” by superhuman laws of alternation, when they do come back – and nobody knows beforehand if, how and when exactly this occurs – often do so after metamorphoses and are therefore much more difficult to completely defeat again. 

Ideas, one could summarize, basically must go through death and resurrection, like nature in the course of the tides, to reach their destiny. It could be assumed that this is exactly what is happening – or will happen – with the sustainability idea.

The good thing about its temporary trimming could be that its ideological appropriation – the transformation of an idea into an ideology that answers everything and that one is no longer allowed to contradict, which was at least temporarily the case in Europe – is reduced. 

Then the sustainability idea can restore itself more freely and with more participants: namely as the original power of something right that needs no moralization and no ethical formalization to be right because it is felt, sensed and supported by ordinary people with emphasis simply because it makes sense. 

The recent shift in the US towards a – presumably also only temporary – anti-sustainability stance cannot change that fact. And neither can the people who are driving opposition forward, like some currently prominent politicians steering their nations away from the path-breaking sustainability pacts of 2015 (SDGs), 2016 (Paris Agreement) and 2024 (United Nations Pact for the Future). 

In our era, politics is always the balance between the individual moral feeling regarding a righteous livelihood and the collective formalization of a compromise between different ideas about it, a social pact called “democracy.” 

If today there are politicians in the White House – and elsewhere – who continue to underscore at any occasion that they are nothing more than just “dealmakers,” they thereby admit that they have nothing to do with the effort to integrate values with serving the general public, of which democracy consists. 

It is humanly foreseeable that such an attitude against the very substance of politics consciously will be replaced by “pure business logic”, as for example Donald Trump displayed in his now (in)famous public White House conversation with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky in February 2025, cannot last. 

What does all this mean if we try to sum up the teachings? It means ideas can only apply and work cyclically – even if they are right and historically at the time. If we are convinced that the sustainability idea was and remains right to achieve a better world, we should also come to the conviction that this idea will be resurrected with transformed appearance and strength in the coming years, as history never stops but continues to develop, unfold and ramify. 

All those who believe in sustainability perhaps may not sleep soundly in the Trump-Putin-Xi era, but should remain optimistic in principle. Because what we have seen over the recent years teaches us mainly four things.

First: Developments always consist of cycles and circuits, not of beginnings and ends. 

Second: An idea whose time has come remains right, regardless of ideological appropriations or rejections.

Third: Practical initiatives based on long-termism – such as the “International Decade 2024-35 of Science for Sustainable Development” – will remain in place against all odds, even if they may require constant new supporters and intellectual and solidarity-based infusions of confidence. 

And finally, fourth: Moral courage and intellectual honesty for what is right is needed not so much in easy times, but first and foremost in difficult times: in times of overwintering and metamorphosis. 

Eventually, the deeper feeling of many people today, particularly of young people around the world, should give us courage. Because there is hardly a “normal” person who doubts, in her or his honest feelings and thoughts, that we should not take better care of the planet, pollute it less and lead it into a more “natural” future protecting its unparalleled beauty, value and dignity. 

Who who still feels any connection to her or his living environment in which she or he moves, and to the people who exist in it, would doubt this in the slightest? 

In sum and looking forward, the sustainability idea is and remains right in 2025, and far beyond, because it is both consciously and, perhaps more important, instinctively shared by every person who is still connected in any way with her or his natural environment, her or his body and the destiny of both and thus of us all. 

Roland Benedikter is an internationally renowned political scientist and sociologist with specialization in global development who co-coined the term “reglobalization” since 2019 (see Ephrat Livni in The New York Times). He is co-head of the Center for Advanced Studies of Eurac Research Bolzano, Italy, UNESCO Chair in Interdisciplinary Anticipation and Global-Local Transformation and Full Member of the European Academy of Sciences and Arts.

He was a Full Member of the “Circle for the Future” of the Federal German Ministry of Education and Research Berlin advising the German Federal Government 2019-23, has co-authored two US Government White Papers on Advanced Technologies and one Report to the Club of Rome, is the author and editor of more than 30 books and more than 200 publications and on the advisory and editorial board of Harvard International Review, New Global Studies, Global-e and the Brill book series “Global Populisms.”

He teaches at Sapienza University Rome I and previously worked at Stanford, Georgetown and UC at Santa Barbara Universities. In 2024-25, he was a consulting member for the Dubai Global 50 Future Opportunities Report 2025 of the Dubai government.

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Trump giving China cause to cut rates, weaken the yuan – Asia Times

The People’s Bank of China’s leaders are finding that life is getting more and more difficult. Governor Pan Gongsheng now faced a difficult list of difficulties before the Donald Trump 2.0 time arrived.

It is sufficient to battle depreciation when there is a confidence-destroying property crisis and poor consumer demand. Also present are local government funds in turmoil and near-record children poverty.

Yet Pan’s means forwards has him navigating around Trump’s intensifying trade conflict and the US Federal Reserve’s unique problems, too.

Without a doubt, the PBOC’s price reduction programs are a bit dependent on what Fed Chairman Jerome Powell does. As US prices rises faster than anticipated, the Fed left rates constant for a second straight week earlier this month.

Trump wasted no time urging the Fed to “do the right issue” by slashing saving costs, the populist government’s latest attempt to force Powell to complete his administration’s social bidding and irresponsibly increase liquidity to an economy that’s near full employment.

Powell’s staff is still holding its surface for the time being. Trump’s infringing on the Fed’s much-achieved freedom poses a serious and immediate risk for Asia’s different dollar-dependent economies.

For all Asia’s efforts to extricate itself off the US money these past 25 years, the area remains extremely dollar-centric in business and finance. Many of the largest foreign exchange stockpile recipients also reside there.

Any action that undermines the credibility of the Fed or Washington’s credit score may raise Eastern bond yields and expose the risk of the global financial markets. The resulting wave in US produces may decrease the capacity of American consumers to get Asian goods.

Trump is likewise teasing credit score companies with his push for enormous tax breaks. And giving Elon Musk, his political benefactor, access to sensitive Treasury Department information and the federal payments system, which may put more strain on trust in the US government debt.

These challenges put the PBOC in a tight place. According to Carlos Casanova, top Asia scholar at Union Bancaire Privee, “mixed information clearly suggests the need for coverage action by the People’s Bank of China.”

There is a growing likelihood that China will cut costs in the next meeting or but, according to economist Gary Ng of Natixis, in response to calls to” help consumption.” If financial selling don’t improve and inflation remains weak, Ng says,” we may see a price cut as early as April”.

However, Xi’s economic interests make it clear that if Pan does cut costs, he will do so cautiously given what easing monetary policy may entail for the renminbi. The central bank maintained its key lending rate on Thursday ( March 20 ). Its one-year loan prime rate remains at 3.1 % and the five-year loan prime rate is at 3.6 %.

Both charges have maintained a quarter-percentage-point decrease in October. That was the result of the US Fed’s decision to maintain levels.

One reason Pan isn’t cutting costs faster is a desire to preserve the development Beijing has made in deleveraging the economic system in recent years. Pan’s group is concerned that lowering rates may encourage a new cycle of poor lending and saving decisions.

Another: Home developers could mistake as a result of a weaker renminbi as they struggle to pay off foreign currency-denominated offshore debt. Now, global investors are keeping close tabs on cash troubles at China Vanke.

Another issue is putting the yuan globalization at risk. The Xi’s government has been promoting the dollar’s usage in finance and trade for almost ten years.

Beijing has stepped up cooperation with the BRICS — Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa— and International South governments to tilt away from the dollar-centric world order.

International money may become alarmed if they go back to the previous beggar-thy-neighbor plans. Additionally, it may impair the dollar’s ability to secure reserve-currency status.

A weaker renminbi may include Japan, South Korea and other major Asian economies thinking they have political support to pull down their exchange rates to retain export competitiveness vis-à-vis China.

If so, it may set off a turbulent culture to the base in currency markets. Trump’s White House, which is threatening to start the biggest trade conflict in world story, would not be unaware of that.

The Trump issue feeds into string No 3: where trade tensions may leave the world market by the end of 2025. The least likely coverage perspective is probably this one.

After all, Trump keeps making up his mind on a nearly daily basis regarding the manner of US levies. One evening, they’re coming. Trump declares his hope that income on Chinese products won’t be necessary the day after. That comes after China has already imposed a 20 % cover tariff on its exports.

Perhaps worse, perhaps, are concerns that Trump may be deliberately sabotaging the US market. We can talk ourselves into crisis, but this one feels like we’re being pushed into it by design, according to Mark Zandi, chief analyst at Moody’s Analytics.

According to Steven Blitz, an economist at Tp Lombard, the most recent US employment data “tells us that the market continues to grow.” But, he notes,” the sum of Trump’s activities can already sway the market in any which means, including an destruction of funds spending”.

According to Blitz, “presidents have been known to take declines in the first year of their presidency.” They blame the previous leader and give credit for the treatment because it is a free pass. My bottom case is still rise and the Fed holding also. Break business and you will split the capital outflows that support the economy is my main concern, according to the capital markets.

Trump is an “agent of chaos and confusion,” according to Holger Schmieding, general analyst at Berenberg Bank. As he tells CNBC, Trump’s “zigzagging on taxes shows that he has little notion of the possible consequences of his tax plans”.

This, according to reviewers, includes an ostensibly ambiguous understanding of fundamental economy. One instance is Trump’s crazy claim that German businesses benefit unfairly from value-added taxes. Or, as Trump argues,” a Excise tax is a tariff”.

Academics struggle to maintain a straight face in opposition to what senior fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations is Brad Setser.

The EU and other parties aren’t in a fiscal position to negotiate aside its tax base, according to Setser, explaining that “defining a VAT as a trade barrier isn’t really controversial finance – the VAT is the same on exports and domestic creation.”

Then there are the myriad ways Trump’s trade war will do more to make China great again than lure manufacturing and other jobs back to the US.

According to David Kelly, chief global strategist at JPMorgan Asset Management, the barrage of tariffs Trump is launching at the world trading system is a “perfect stagflation machine.”

The policies are certain to stifle supply chains, cause Beijing to launch aggressive retaliations, cause new global headwinds, and undermine Washington’s reputation abroad.

For all the domestic challenges Xi’s Communist Party faces, it continues to position the yuan as a ready dollar alternative. Xi has made a constant effort to unite the BRICS, Saudi Arabia, and some Southeast Asian countries like Malaysia in developing a post-dollar world.

Xi has also made billions of dollars investing in robotics, renewable energy, aerospace, artificial intelligence, biotechnology, green infrastructure, and the future of electric vehicles ( EVs ).

Team Trump has no clear or coherent strategy for boosting America’s competitiveness in terms of infrastructure, climate change, and infrastructure.

Trump may actually be doing the exact opposite.

China, meanwhile, is capturing the industries of tomorrow. Exhibit A: BYD, China’s largest EV manufacturer, is stooling the world with its lightning-fast battery charging system. This occurs as Trump World debunks whether electric vehicles are too awake for America while attempting to restore the benefits of catalytic converter technology that pollutes.

Xing Lei, an independent China autos analyst, says BYD’s new battery platform is “out of this world” and a “heartbreaking” development for foreign competitors.

When “everyone’s attention seems to be turning toward smartification,” he says,” BYD immediately responds and declares that we are not yet finished electrifying.”

According to Eugene Hsiao, head of China autos&nbsp at Macquarie Capital,” BYD appears to be looking for ways to leverage its scale and core EV technologies to differentiate in a highly competitive market.

Under Trump, America, where the auto was invented, seems increasingly willing to cede the future of car-making to China. Trump’s alleged plans to destabilize Washington institutions that stabilize the US economy appear much grander than that.

After all, the circulatory system of global trade and finance is the dollar and US Treasury securities. And no region is arguably more on the frontlines of Trump imperiling Washington’s credit rating than Asia.

These dangers only add to PBOC Pan’s difficulties in Beijing, where officials must face the difficult task of encouraging growth without aggravate China’s imbalances. And being right there as Trump snabs everything he can think of to Xi’s economy.

Follow William Pesek on X at @WilliamPesek

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Zelensky’s bow to Trump tries to turn tables on Putin – Asia Times

All eyes were on Volodymyr Zelensky, the president of Ukraine, after Donald Trump’s “very fine and successful” phone contact with Vladimir Putin earlier this year.

Did it turn into acrimonious rage, as it did when they last met in person on February 28 at the White House? Or do Zelensky be able to co-operate with the US president to encourage him to perceive Ukraine and its leader in a more positive lighting?

The former, it appears. Trump mentioned their “very good phone call,” which in a blog on his Truth Social website, brought the two frontrunners “very many on track.” Zellensky, for his part, described a “very good” and “frank” telephone call and appeared to agree with everything the US senator had to say while making an effort to praise and defend Trump and his leadership.

Zelensky has refocused focus on Putin with his fervent support for Trump’s tranquility proposal. By adhering to the recommendations of the US president, he obviously wants to appear to be the more acceptable negotiating partner.

Zelensky has agreed to a limited ceasefire with Russia on energy infrastructure despite his doubts about how reliable Putin is ( while he also points out that he supports Trump’s plan for a total ceasefire ).

Given Ukraine’s growing capacity for long-range drone strikes, Zelensky is well aware that Russia has a lot to gain from a delay in electricity grid and oil refineries. Additionally, a maritime peace may, if agreed, favor Russia.

Zelensky has exposed Putin’s apathy in halting hostilities by publicly expressing support for Trump’s peace plan to Ukraine.

Zelensky stated in the phone that Ukraine was content to back the US’s request for a ceasefire without problems. However, Putin made a number of blatantly unreasonable demands in a visit to Trump.

These included the total cessation of Ukraine’s allies ‘ military help and sharing knowledge, including the US. Additionally, he pleaded for a full stop to the participation and rearmament of Russian troops.

The requirements were so absurd that they were intended to compel Ukraine to accept them. Interesting is that Trump and Putin had a telephone conversation and that they had discussed support when he was interviewed afterward. He didn’t, obviously, specify whether he would consent to this.

However, the fact that the two leaders discussed prospect of a sports fit between their respective nations demonstrates how Putin can change the US president with flattery. Trump has repeatedly stated that he trusts the Soviet leader, which is a plus.

Has Putin gotten too much of his hands?

However, there might be a time limit for this. Trump may grow weary of the fact that Putin hasn’t made any concessions to help the negotiation to advance, which Trump wants to crown as the best of.

The Russian president is undoubtedly hoping that Trump will stay on his part by appearing to be “peace”-making while also dangling the possibility of doing business with Russia, for instance, by giving the US the chance to explore Russia’s personal reserves of rare earth materials.

Trump’s marriage with Zelensky appears to have improved, despite his continuing support for Putin. The Russian president appears to have learned from adulation that Trump has a long history and that flattery is appropriate for the US president.

Trump, however, has stopped halting US military assistance or knowledge to Ukraine and is no more calling Zelensky a dictator. In fact, the US has stated that it will assist in finding more Soldier weapon security systems after Zelensky claimed that they were desperately needed.

Zelensky is putting the ball in Russia’s judge by apologizing Trump for the peace action. Trump’s contextual instincts will appeal to him, and his apparent receptivity to Trump’s suggestion that the US would buy Ukraine’s nuclear power plants will do so. Zelensky is then regularly praising Trump for his peace efforts in addition to offering him company offers.

And it’s obvious from the voice of Karoline Leavitt’s presentation that the US was content with how things turned out, as the White House press secretary put it. Lake repeatedly emphasized Zelensky’s praise of Trump’s management.

YouTube video

embedded content ]

A “fantastic” telephone call between Volodymyr Zelensky and Donald Trump was reported to The White House.

Zelensky has even succeeded in drawing attention to the 35, 000 children who have been deported from Ukraine to Russia during the battle. Trump is then vowing to gain the kids home after the US State Department stopped tracking them and deleted the information it had gathered.

Putin is typically thought to be holding these negotiations as long as possible to increase the size of the Ukrainian place his army controls. This approach might be difficult.

One of Trump’s repeated plan promises was to end the war in Ukraine as soon as possible. So the question is how much Trump may stay obstinate or irritated by Putin’s fabricated involvement in the harmony process.

The British leader appears to be changing his mind more recently about Ukraine. Some saw his fatal press conference with Zelensky as a plot to show Ukraine as a challenging and unhappiness partner in comparison to Russia, which he claimed was only concerned with putting an orderly end to the conflict.

It’s now more difficult for Zelensky to accept Trump’s statement because he appears to agree with it. At least for the moment, Putin is under more stress.

Natasha Lindstaedt is a professor at the University of Essex’s Department of Government.

The Conversation has republished this post under a Creative Commons license. Learn the article’s introduction.

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Sinking ship: US undersea nuclear deterrent’s plunging credibility – Asia Times

The US Columbia-class SSBN program’s reliability and ability to compete with China’s growing naval force are threatened by disruptions and cost overruns.

Issues about the reliability of its position and ability to keep up with China’s growing naval force are a result of the US Navy’s plan to replace its aging underwater nuclear deterrent, which is facing expensive delays.

The US Navy is expected to receive its first Columbia-class ballistic missile submarine ( SSBN ) with an estimated 12- to 16-month delay in the delivery of its first ballistic missile submarine ( SSBN), which is mentioned in a report released this month by the US Congressional Research Service ( CRS ). This could mean the US Navy will have to wait until the age of Ohio to replace its aging SSBNs. &nbsp,

Worries about the delay are raised by shipyard labor shortages, supply chain disruptions, and part delivery delays, which are attributed to Huntington Ingalls Industries ‘ bow section and Northrop Grumman’s late engine generators.

To reduce risks, the US Navy is considering extending the service life of five vessels of the Ohio class, but this approach involves extra charges and logistical difficulties.

Meanwhile, shipyards and suppliers struggle to scale production as the construction of Virginia-class attack submarines ( SSNs ) and Columbia-class SSBNs ( SSNs ) simultaneously poses industrial-base challenges. Virginia-class production is expected to be increased to two boats per year by 2028, but the US Navy and economy still produce 1.1 to 1.2 submarines periodically.

Rising costs only add to the problem, with the purchasing resources for the Columbia-class program growing 12.1 % in the last year alone. Further overruns could squander money from other US Navy shipbuilding initiatives, putting strain on the US Department of Defense’s ( DOD ) long-term naval strategy.

The US may need to increase underwater production more urgently than ever in the face of rising prices and difficulties. Logan Nye mentions that China currently relies on anti-ship ballistic missiles ( ASBM ) like the DF-21D and DF-26B to keep US carrier battlegroups from reaching Taiwan in an article from We Are The Mighty this month.

Nye argues that SSNs who can evade them by jumping cannot be defended by those ASBMs. He even makes a point that SSNs can provide themselves with money for months, which could be crucial if US supply stores in the Pacific are in jeopardized.

Further, Jerry Hendrix suggests that SSNs may be referred to as the” first response force” during a Taiwan conflict in a 2024 American Affairs article because of these benefits. Hendrix does point out that the US underwater industry was eroded by the post-Cold War peace dividend, which led to the US never having enough ships when it was most needed.

The US SSBN fleet’s situation is not much better because it also suffers from a sagging US underwater business foundation. According to the Nuclear Threat Initiative (NTI), 14 Ohio-class SSBNs form the basis of the US navy-based nuclear barrier as of August 2024.

Each Ohio-class SSBN is equipped with the Trident II D5 submarine-launched ballistic missile ( SLBM ), according to NTI. Additionally, according to the report, the US Navy is replacing these outdated weapons with the Trident II D5LE, which has an enhanced instruction program for reliability.

According to the report, 960 warheads are present in the US Navy, assuming it operates 12 SSBNs of the Ohio class with 20 build tubes and four missile launchers. The number of effective weapons in the field may be closer to 720 because only 8-10 Ohio-class SSBNs are usually deployed at once as a result of ordinary minimal maintenance.

Worries about the reliability and endurance of the US undersea nuclear deterrent given that they represent 54 % of the US deployed nuclear arsenal are raised by the US Navy’s plan to retire Ohio-class SSBNs at an average of one per year starting in 2027.

Geoff Wilson and other writers make reference to the US’s SSBN ship in a February 2025 Stimson Center post, which notes that SSBNs are the basis of the US’ fixed punishment doctrine, with SSBN cunning and survivability disincentivizing a second strike that would eliminate all other radioactive forces, creating geopolitical stability at lower cost, while also highlighting the importance of the US SSBN fleet.

Wilson and others contend that the US SSBN fleet can provide deterrence against a number of targets at lower costs than intercontinental ballistic missiles ( ICBM ), which are less expensive than conventional bombers.

Nevertheless, a smaller US SSBN ship might destroy the US’s underwater nuclear arsenal. Thomas Mahnken and Bryan Clark argue in a June 2020 article for The Strategist that the US’s sea-based radioactive arsenal is the most resilient member of its nuclear family, but it is also the most rigid.

All of an SSBN’s missiles will become lost, according to Mahnken and Clark, if it is unable to establish its missiles, communicate with commanders, or be destroyed. Additionally, they point out that the nuclear trio may be completely destroyed if there was just one SSBN on guard.

Additionally, they point out that near-peer adversaries like China and Russia have increased their anti-submarine warfare ( ASW) capabilities to target US SSBNs because of the lethality of the US’s undersea nuclear deterrent.

They predict that during the 2030s, it is likely that only one Columbia-class SSBN will be in operation in the Pacific and Atlantic Oceans, supported by one or two ships at sea as back, highlighting the potential fragility of the US’s underwater nuclear arsenal.

Despite these concerns about weakness, Owen Cote Jr makes reference to SSBNs in a January 2019 content in the peer-reviewed Bulletin of Atomic Experts book that they remain the US’s most reliable barrier due to their unparalleled endurance and cunning.

Cote Jr. emphasizes the US SSBNs ‘ traditional viability, especially during the Cold War, as they proved resilient to Soviet ASW features. He also raises questions about potential future applications of emerging technologies like AI and quantum computing, which could make waters open.

Regarding those worries, Cote Jr asserts that these fears are largely unfounded because they are exacerbated by US advanced acoustic surveillance systems like SOSUS and the Fixed Distributed System ( FDS ), which can detect Chinese or Russian submarines alongside its advantageous maritime geography, which makes it difficult for near-peer adversaries to identify its SSBNs.

Additionally, Stephen Biddle and Eric Labs notice in a European Policy content this quarter that while China’s manufacturing capacity is smaller by a element of 230, US warships are usually larger and have more advanced sensors, electronics, and weapons.

Biddle and Labs discuss submarine capabilities by contextualizing how China’s submarine force is primarily composed of conventionally powered submarines, while the US has an all-nuclear fleet of 49 SSNs, 14 SSBNs, and four nuclear cruise missile submarines ( SSGN ). They stress that US crews have superior training and combat experience in contrast to their Chinese counterparts.

According to Biddle and Labs, China can produce nuclear submarines and aircraft carriers in half the amount of time that the US can produce the same types of vessels. They warn that the US puts itself in grave danger by assuming that naval conflicts will be brief, and that tensions over the US-China naval balance should be tempered by considering the dynamics of naval attrition’s competitive production dynamics.

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China’s Empress Dowager Ling paved the way for future female rulers – Asia Times

Empress Dowager Ling, a person from ancient China, ruled over an empire known as the Northern Wei. Although researchers are unsure of her delivery name or time of birth, they do understand that she served as an empress duchess between 515 and 528. Prior to his death, she was the family of a ruling king, and she continued to hold the name of queen dowager in her widowhood.

She was in charge of her younger son, who would become the heir to the throne. But, a coupd’etat from 520 to 525 ended her reign. Although the queen dowager was only expected to have a queen, historic records reveal that she ran a court in her own name. Additionally, these same data reveal that she adopted a specific noun, “zhen,” which was only used by the emperor’s will, or “royal we.”

In my most recent book, The People Who Ruled China, I provide an overview of these historic documents and records that document her life, as well as a language of her history that was kept in the Northern Wei’s recognized journal. I make use of these sources to demonstrate that the Empress Dowager laid the groundwork for other, more powerful female rulers in medieval East Asia, even though her assassination occurred during her troubled and brief reign.

utilizing various social practices

The capital of the Northern Wei was relocated to Luoyang, a town at the heart of Han Chinese culture and history, in the late fifth century from its northern area in modern-day Datong, China. However, the people who held the dynasty were not Han Chinese culturally.

The Northern Wei kingdom Wikimedia Commons Map

The Taghbach, a party that emigrated north from the Mongolian grasslands and ruled a multiethnic and multicultural kingdom from Luoyang, the country’s largest city and the original Eastern Han dynasty’s capital, was known as the Taghbach. Legislation, rules, and practices from both Taghbach and Han Chinese customs were adopted by the Northern Wei kingdom.

On the one hand, the Chinese judge system that was rooted in the Han dynasty had much included the place of queen duchess, even though none of the people who held it had ruled immediately. Prior to the establishment of the jury ranks in the Northern Wei, Taghbach society had a long history of women in public existence, but it did not hold a proper position of queen dowager. These girls gave social advice while serving in the military.

There are numerous sources of evidence that Taghbach girls had a high level of political power and personal independence, but none of them suggest otherwise.

In the tale of Mulan, a well-known tale about a Taghbach woman appears in a story about her father, who is said to have dressed as a guy so that she could join the military in place of her father. The Mulan story was a fictional character in two Walt Disney films based on the Chinese legend that was commonly recited in Chinese literature.

As a writer of sex in this time, I think the Mulan legend doesn’t accurately represent Taghbach women. Otherwise, the Chinese narrative emphasizes a particular sex violation that only exists in Confucian and Chinese culture. In contrast to Chinese tradition, Taghbach tradition had long-known female warriors who could shoot arrows and ride horses without concealing their gender.

Empress Dowager Ling was hardly a hero, but she embraced martial arts that were accessible to people in Taghbach traditions but not in Chinese culture. She reportedly drove her own horses cart, which was just as magnificent andimposing as the emperor’s cart, while was an accomplished hunter.

Although carrying out these acts while holding the title of queen dowager in China’s Chinese traditions, Empress Dowager Ling carried them out while doing so in the country’s Chinese society. Her law, like her kingdom, was a cross of cultures. She had no other way of becoming a leader before thanks to that fusion of ethnic traditions, which neither the Taiwanese nor the Taghbach women had.

A Buddhist emperor

By the time the North Wei empire was in power, both Taghbah and Chinese cultures were well-versed in Buddhism, a culture that they had inherited from India through a protracted cultural trade along the Silk Road. The kingdom had integrated Buddhist diplomacy practices into its own forms of government.

Simply put, what this meant was that the empire’s king legitimized his rule through Buddhism, portraying himself as either a Buddha or a Buddhist protector of their writings and organizations. This was a form of government that was common in prehistoric East Asia.

She was the first person to immediately legitimize her independent rule through Buddhism, despite the widespread practice of Buddhist statecraft in the empress dowager’s day. She commissioned magnificent Buddhist structures as a follower of Buddhism.

She used a Buddhist visual representation of two Buddhas sitting side by side, which was a picture of the law of” Two Sages,” meaning parallel rulers depicted in the guise of gods, to symbolize her co-rule with her child.

The” Lotus Stra,” a well-known Buddhist text, is where the image was taken.

She also made an effort to ascend to the throne after the death of her son. She capitalized on the notion that her son and then her granddaughter were first perceived as the bodhisattva Maitreya, a being of infinite compassion who is thought to be the future Buddha, as I argue in my book.

The empress dowager’s legacy

In her campaign for power, Empress Dowager Ling largely failed. Her decision was constrained and contested. Within 13 years of her rule, her empire was toppled. She was killed. She was out of power for five of those years as a result of a coupd’etat.

However, another woman would ascend to power in China independently, this time taking the title of “emperor,” about 150 years after the empress dowager’s assassination. Empress Wu, or Emperor Wu Zhao, is unquestionably the most well-known woman in Chinese history. Her life, work, and rule are confirmed by numerous historical sources.

However, those sources claim that she ruled using the same tactics as Empress Dowager Ling. She also positioned herself as a” Two Sage” ruler alongside the emperor in the same way that Empress Dowager Ling did by investing her own family heritage in distant ties to the Taghbach. By using Buddhist texts that Empress Dowager Ling and her court, she was able to successfully establish herself as the bodhisattva Maitreya.

She and Empress Dowager Ling both practiced Buddhist art, including the Buddhist caves at Longmen, which are located just outside of Luoyang. She did, however, accomplish what Empress Dowager Ling was unable to: hold onto power effectively. Empress Dowager Ling had opened the door for her success, in my opinion.

At the University of California, Los Angeles, Stephanie Balkwill is an associate professor of Asian languages and cultures.

This article was republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the text of the article.

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The Fed tilts hawkish with latest interest rate projections – Asia Times

Not that the standard interest rate for federal funds was maintained at a constant level, is what the Federal Reserve’s most essential meeting revealed. That was anticipated.

Otherwise, what emerges from the meeting are indications that Fed politicians are dovish in spite of worries that a crisis may be on the horizon. A continuation of that bend doesn’t look good for interest charges to drop anytime soon. Additionally, it might cause the Fed to fight with the Trump presidency.

The interest-rate forecasts by politicians are the first to indicate the symptoms. In contrast to the 19 Fed governors and bank president who predicted two interest rate reductions in 2025, just 11 of 19 of those predicted in the December of last year’s projections.

These policymakers ‘ projections for inflation are worse than they were in December, with a median of 2.8 %, up from 2.5 % three months ago. Keep in mind that the Fed has consistently urged it to resume rates reduction when it is confident that inflation is nearing its target of 2 %.

Only 11 of the 19 members of the Federal Reserve’s rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee held two interest rate reduces this year at their March meet, along from 15 who did but in December, based on the dot story that was released with their most recent financial projections. Each shaded circle in this illustration represents the value of a particular participant’s judgment ( rounded to the nearest 1 / 8 percentage point ) of the appropriate target range for the federal funds rate or the appropriate target level for the federal funds rate at the end of the specified calendar year or over the longer run. Federal Reserve Board in graphic form

The Fed’s benchmark federal funds rate, which is currently between 4 14 % and 4 12 percent, is projected to decline to even 3.1 % in the long run.

Todd Hultman, a former DTN analyst, stated in September that lowering the fed funds rate to 3 % was essential to easing the farm economy’s strain.

The only thing that could have pushed the Fed to resume lowering rates was the possibility of a recession, given that inflation is so volatile. However, policymakers remain positive about the outlook of the economy despite recent consumer sentiment data that has sparked concerns about the recession in some investors.

They began their post-meeting statement by lowering their GDP growth forecast for 2025 from 2.1 % to 1.7 % while also lowering their GDP growth forecast for 2025.” Recent indicators suggest that economic activity has continued to expand at a steady pace,” they said. In recent months, the unemployment rate has stabilized at a low level, and labor market conditions are still favorable.

Following the Fed’s announcement, the stock market ended. However, at least some Wall Street analysts still believe that bad economic news is on the horizon.

If they’re correct, the Fed will find itself in a difficult position. A weak economy typically results in a decrease in inflation, enabling the Fed to cut rates while remaining faithful to its dual goals of ensuring stable prices and maximum employment.

The Fed would have to choose between battling inflation, which would require leaving rates high or even rising, and boosting the economy, which would mean rate cuts, if the economy actually suffered a significant decline while inflation remained high ( a situation known as stagflation ). The Fed couldn’t possibly have both.

If it decides to combat inflation, it might face a president who favors lower interest rates and believes he should be entitled to his or her vote. It would be important to protect the Fed’s independence.

The Fed’s decision to slow down the unwinding of its$ 6.8 trillion balance sheet appeared to be dovish.

The Fed has allowed the Treasury and even mortgage debt to mature without being replaced at the monthly rate of$ 60 billion, which includes$ 35 billion in mortgage instruments and$ 25 billion in Treasuries. Beginning in April, it will only permit Treasuries worth$ 5 billion to expire without replacement.

The result of the shrinkage is deflationary and will squeeze the reserves commercial banks have to play with. However, the Fed isn’t trying to ease monetary policy by slowing the shrinkage. It is avoiding issues with the overnight lending market that could arise as a result of Congress’s proposed summer increase in the federal debt ceiling.

Governor Christopher Waller was the one person who cast a ballot against the Fed’s most recent actions. His objection to the Fed’s asset holdings decline declined more than the decision to hold rates steady. Despite speculation, Waller is running for president in a bid to replace Jerome Powell, whose term will end in 2019.

Will it be interesting to see if the Fed’s hawkish attitude will hold up the next few months ‘ economic data. Although the stock market’s initial response was positive, many Wall Streeters don’t share the Fed’s optimism about the economy. No one wants a recession, but the Fed’s next wave of forecasts could be very different if we do.

Urban Lehner, a former long-time Asia correspondent and editor for the Wall Street Journal, is DTN/The Progressive Farmer’s editor emeritus.

This article, which was originally published on March 19 by the latter news organization and is now being republished by Asia Times with permission, is titled” Copyright 2025 DTN/The Progressive Farmer.” All trademarks are reserved. Follow  Urban Lehner ; on ; X @urbanize.

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JFK assassination-related docs lift secrecy veil from CIA covert ops – Asia Times

These sources are available at&nbsp, website. nsarchive. With the consent of the National Security Archive, org&nbsp.

According to a Major Key memo on “CIA Reorganization,”” 47 percent of the social officers serving in United States embassies were CAS” on the day of President John F. Kennedy’s opening in January 1961, White House staffer Arthur Schlesinger Jr. reported that” 47 percent of the social officers serving in US embassies were CAS.”

123 “diplomats” at the U.S. Embassy in Paris were CIA undercover agents, and 11 of the 13 “political soldiers” at the U.S. Embassy in Chile were CIA undercover agencies.

According to President Kennedy, Schlesinger reported to the CIA that” the State Department ] has nearly as many people under official cover as the CIA does ] – 3900 to 3700.” ” About 1500 of those are under State Department cover,” according to the statement.” The another 2200 are probably under military or another non-State standard cover.” ( Document 1 )

The memo is included in a final discharge of information regarding the Kennedy death under the Kennedy Assassination Records Collection Act of 1992, which includes the first-ever classified memo. On the evening of March 18 and in response to a policy from President Trump on January 23, the National Archives released 2, 182 information (63, 400 websites ) in two tranches. It was noted that more information would be made available as they were being digitalized.

In addition to the numerous CIA records, White House and NSC documents pertaining to covert operations conducted worldwide, particularly in Latin American countries like Cuba and Mexico, which are significant pieces of the Kennedy assassination’s history, are included in the new launch.

The majority of them were previously made public, but with significant edits to prevent the release of secret intelligence procedures and methods. These CIA secret businesses records are being made public for the first time without being disclosed.

Among the discoveries are files of:

  • A significant entry from the CIA’s well-known” Family Jewels” line, which details “examples of actions exceeding the CIA’s charter,” as well as “breaking and entering and the removal of records from the French consul,” and” John McCone’s relations with the Vatican, including Pope John XXIII and Pope Paul VI, which” was and increase eyelashes in some rooms,” ( Document 4 )
  • The names of CIA officers and others who helped with the plot are revealed in the CIA Inspector General’s report on the assassination of Rafael Trujillo, the dictator of the Dominican Republic, in 1961. ( Document 6 )
  • A collection of DCI John McCone’s summary briefings to the President’s Foreign Intelligence Advisory Board ( PFIAB) members include more information on well-known CIA political action programs and previously unreleased details about” the Agency’s covert financial support to political parties in the fight against communism” around the world. ( Document 2 )
  • One of the most in-depth observations of how the CIA runs its operations on the ground is provided by a CIA inspector general report on the operation of the CIA station in Mexico City. ( Document 3 )
  • A history of the CIA’s activities in the Western Hemisphere, including expenditures by CIA stations in Latin America, as well as details on how they paid and influenced Bolivia to influence the election of their choice, General René Barrientos. ( Document 5 )

More than any other declassification in the history of access to information, there is no denying that the JFK Records Act has improved public knowledge of CIA covert operations, including who they targeted, how they were conducted, and who conducted them, according to National Security Archive senior analyst Peter Kornbluh, who has spent decades studying CIA operations. These operational CIA files “would likely have stayed Top Secret for eternity” without this law and its continued application over the past 27 years.

page 6 comparison
Page comparison from the Mexico City station’s CIA history in 1964.

The JFK Records Act

Following a public outcry over Oliver Stone’s well-known conspiratorial film, &nbsp, JFK, Congress passed the 1992 JFK Act. The movie’s conclusion read,” Over five million pages of records on the assassination remained secret,” which features Kevin Costner as New Orleans District Attorney James Garrison, who mounted a failed, conspiracy-driven prosecution of a local businessman for killing Kennedy.

The Assassination Records Review Board ( ARRB ) noted in its&nbsp, final report that” the suspicions created by government secrecy eroded confidence in the truthfulness of federal agencies in general and damaged their credibility.

The President John F. Kennedy Assassination Records Collection Act of 1992 ( JFK Act ), which mandates the gathering and opening of all records related to the President’s death, was ultimately frustrated by the lack of access and disturbed by the conclusions of JFK, JFK, Congress passed.

The National Security Archive assisted in advising the five-member oversight board and its staff in developing a broad definition of an “assassination-related” document after the JFK Act was passed.

The ARRB mandated the full release of tens of thousands of documents, including those relating to FBI operations and the mafia, as well as to covert action and espionage operations in Cuba and Mexico, among other nations. The CIA and FBI’s operational histories have been the subject of numerous revelations to date from the documents.

CIA expenditures in Latin America by country for FY 1961. (See Document 5)
CIA expenditures by country for the AF 1961 in Latin America. ( See Doc 5 )

The Assassination Records Review Board members wrote in a letter to President Clinton in September 1998, in which they turned in their final report, that” the Review Board has worked hard to obtain all records relating to the assassination of President Kennedy and released the records as much as possible to the American people.”

” We have done this in the hopes that the release of these records will provide new evidence about the assassination of President Kennedy, advance our understanding of that tragic time in American history, and help regain public trust in the government’s handling of the assassination and its aftermath,” said the group.

This potent collection of fresh revelations is just beginning to be sorted out by the National Security Archive. Watch this space for more updates on CIA operations and much more.

For full-sized documents and discussion, click on a title.

doc 1

Document 1

“CIA Reorganization,” Secret, June 10, 1961, 5 pp. Arthur Schlesinger Jr. to President Kennedy

Jun 10, 1961

Source

National Archives, JFK Assassination Records, 2025 release, Doc ID: 157-10002-10056

Compare to&nbsp, 2023 release.

doc 2

Document 2

Top Secret, various dates from 1962 to 1963, 41 pp., Minutes from Meetings of the Presidents Foreign Intelligence Advisory Board ( PFIAB), CIA, Minutes from Meetings of the Presidents Foreign Intelligence Advisory Board, and 41 pp.

1962-1963

Source

National Archives, JFK Assassination Records, 2025 release, Doc ID: 104-10302-10000

Compare to&nbsp, 2023 release.

doc 3

Document 3

CIA, Mexico City Station: Extracts of Inspector General’s Survey, Secret, April 1964, 11 pp.

1964

Source

National Archives, JFK Assassination Records, 2025 release, Doc ID: 104-10301-10010

Compare to&nbsp, 2022 release.

doc 4

Document 4

William E. Colby’s” Family Jewels” memo, Secret/Sensitive/Eyes Only, June 1, 1973, 7 pp. CIA, Walter Elder” Family Jewels” memorandum

Jun 1, 1973

Source

National Archives, JFK Assassination Records, 2025 release, Doc ID: 104-10303-10007

Compare to&nbsp, 2023 release.

doc 5

Document 5

CIA Historical Staff,” Western Hemisphere Division, 1946-1965″, Secret, December 1973, 24 pp.

Dec 1973

Source

National Archives, JFK Assassination Records, 2025 release, Doc ID: 104-10301-10001

Compare to&nbsp, 2023 release.

doc 6

Document 6

The” Trujillo Report,” the CIA Inspector General’s Report, [ Report on the assassination of Dominican dictator Rafael Trujillo], Secret-Eyes Only, Undated, [Circa Spring 1967], 64 pp.

Spring 1967

Source

National Archives, JFK Assassination Records, 2025 release, Doc ID: 104-10214-10034

Compared to&nbsp, previous release.

Related resources

The Assassination Records Review Board’s final report

Understanding the CIA: How Covert ( and Overt ) Operations Were Proposed and Approved during the Cold War
Mar 4, 2019

The CIA, Secrecy, and Presidential Power are the family jewels.
book by John Prados

The Family Jewels of the CIA
Jun 21, 2007

LITEMPO: Tlatelolco’s Eyes on the CIA
Oct 18, 2006

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Trump ignores the power of nationalism at his peril – Asia Times

Donald Trump, the president of the United States, has abused American patriotism the most successfully in history. His usage of federal shame as a political feeling is what sets him apart. Any presidential applicant has the ability to communicate their nation up, but Trump has the ability to communicate his country down.

Trump has consistently stated that deliberate actions by various countries have contributed to American problems like trade deficits, job losses, illegal immigration, violence, and yet drug addiction. The only truly degrading aspect is that it was allowed by American politicians.

Many Americans have embraced Trump’s claim that reestablishing global dominance can solve their nation’s problems. They view this republican perspective as an overdue correction for the “globalist” international policies of the post-second planet war era.

However, people in other nations also feel proud of their own country and aspire to become free of foreign rule. This should be visible, but Trump hasn’t really understood how strong patriotism is in other nations as he exploits it in his own. This makes his position in unusual plan much more difficult.

How People have fought back against Trump

Taking Canada as an example.

When Trump was reelected for a second name in November 2024, it appeared sure that a Canadian prime minister who shared his values may soon be in place of Justin Trudeau. The Liberal Party was being dragged down by Trudeau’s disapproval, and Pierre Poilievre, a nationalist Conservative leader, appeared to be in line to get this year’s vote.

Trump may have focused his energies on his enemies in the predestined Democratic state as he had gotten ready for a trade war with Canada. Otherwise, he spent months disparaging Canada’s regional identity. Trudeau should be the “51st condition of the US,” he said constantly, and he called him “governor.”

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In a Fox News meeting, Trump claims that” Canada was meant to be our 51st condition.”

Americans may laugh at Trump’s plan to annex Canada, but not Canadians. His speech is an assault on American sovereignty, regardless of whether Trump will always attempt to annex. No one who harbors a sense of pride did abhor it.

According to a survey conducted by Angus Reid, the percentage of people who said they had a “deep emotional attachment” to Canada increased from 49 % to 59 % between December 2024 and February 2025. Anything from “buy American” advertising to Canadians booing the US national anthem at sports games demonstrates this emotional connection.

Under new president Mark Carney, the Liberals are also seeing a amazing turnaround in the polls.

Another Angus Reid poll indicates that the Liberals ‘ voting intentions have increased from 16 % in December to 42 % right now. They currently lead the Conservatives, who currently have 37 % of the vote. Some people now anticipate that a snap poll may be held in coming weeks.

Doug Ford, the top of Ontario and a man who has occasionally been compared to Donald Trump, has also led a fierce pro-Canada resistance to British tariffs, winning re-election.

Trump’s supporters frequently assert that his erratic rant is merely a negotiating tactic, a way to woo people into agreeing terms that are more suitable to him. If so, this technique is reversible in Canada.

Trade war call for concessions. Citizens may pay more to defend their respective companies. Americans are largely perplexed that their pleasant cousin has been suddenly recast as an opponent, compared to Indians, who appear much more willing to make that compromise.

The significance of regional identification

Different nations have shown they will not let go of Trump’s threat to their national personality.

Seeking to purchase another government’s territory, as Trump does with Greenland, a self-governing place under Swedish control, may be even insulting more than threatening to take it, as he does with Panama. Trump’s trust gets worse every day Greenlanders, Danes, and Panamanians turn down him.

Trump also makes the suggestion that the United States may “redevelop” Gaza after evicting the Palestinians. He talks about the place of other nations in terms of “real house.”

However, royal property is no real estate. Even sparsely populated country has” spiritual price” in a world of nation-states defined by country. This is especially true for those who want to establish a state on their own soil.

People view” spiritual beliefs” as non-negotiable because they are related to their sense of self and morality in the world. Experts warn that offering money in exchange for sacrificial recompense is incredibly insulting and likely to derail agreements rather than advance them.

There is a purpose why governments rarely possibly sell their land to foreigners again. Civilizations may have done this in the past, but never regions. They hold the people who live on their land as separate from the rest of the world.

Trump is incredibly ignorant of this idea. He has shown no compassion for Ukraine, a nation whose country has really been invaded. He claimed that Volodymyr Zelensky, the president of Ukraine, wanted to “keep the soup coach going” so he could “keep the gravy train going,” as if obtaining US aid was the true reason Russians were fighting for their country’s survival.

Beyond these countries, Trump’s hatred for the United States extends far beyond that country. It demonstrates that someone else’s regional aspirations or independence are unaffected by his company of American nationalism.

Because no one trusts an unpredictable, royal authority to adhere to its partnerships, this won’t help with the deal-making Trump wants. Some nations would suffer as a result of their lessening dependent on the United States, but it would be more terrible to give away their regional respect.

David Smith is an associate professor at the University of Sydney’s US Studies Centre in charge of British politicians and international policy.

The Conversation has republished this post under a Creative Commons license. Learn the article’s introduction.

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