China brandishes cutter for snipping deep-sea cables – Asia Times

China has developed a lightweight tool for cutting deep-sea cables, giving underground war a potential whole new dimension.

China has developed a deep-sea cable-cutting device that can cut through the world’s most defended undersea communication and power cables at depths of up to 4, 000 meters, according to the South China Morning Post (SCMP ).

The device was created by the China Ship Scientific Research Center ( CSSRC ) in collaboration with the State Key Laboratory of Deep-Sea Manned Vehicles and is intended for use with China’s cutting-edge submersibles, such as the Fendouzhe and Haidou series.

Although it is formally described as a tool for ground mining and human salvage, it is obvious that it has a dual-purpose purpose. A diamond-coated crushing vehicle that is mounted on a submersible-compatible software and a 1-kilowatt machine is used to cut through steel-armored wires, which carry roughly 95 % of the country’s files, at 1, 600 revolutions per minute.

With robotic arms and low-visibility activity, its metal shell and pressure-resistant dolphins make it possible to operate in deepest places.

This is the first time a nation has publicly revealed quite a capability, according to the disclosure, which was published in the journal Mechanical Engineer in February. Analysts warn that the tool may covertly target corporate chokepoints like Guam, a crucial element of US Indo-Pacific protection.

China’s deep-sea ships development and its growing modern advantage over its older US and Japanese counterparts, which are raising global concerns about underwater security, are the subject of the announcement.

In a 2023 Journal of Indo-Pacific Affairs content, Raghvendra Kumar mentions that sabotaging for network might serve as a precursor to dynamic warfare, underscoring the danger to undersea wire infrastructure. Along with cables, Kumar makes note that docking stations are also vulnerable targets for damage.

Underwater cables and landing points are high-value targets for espionage, according to Kumar, who frequently intercepts the information that travels through the system.

In keeping with that, Sam Dumesh mentions in an American Security Project ( ASP) article this month that a failure of cable landing stations could allow China to reroute internet traffic, including US-based services. Dumesh points out that if such information is routed to Chinese-owned system, exposure may already be assured.

He claims that while crypto can help protect compromised data, quantum computing technologies can be used to extract, store, and decrypt for data afterwards.

Anna Gross and other authors make reference to the US’s relative success in preventing China from participating in the majority of undersea cable projects in a June 2023 Financial Times (FT ) report despite the threat that US data may be routed through China-controlled undersea cable infrastructure.

But, Gross and people point out that China has responded by installing undersea cable in neighboring nations, raising questions about who controls and controls the world’s Internet facilities.

Given those threats, China’s use of a deep-sea cord cutting device may increase the vulnerability of the Taiwan and Guam undersea cables.

Taiwan’s online backbone is dependent on 15 underwater wires carrying more than 100 terabits per minute of speed, according to Charles Mok and Kenny Huang in a statement from the Stanford Global Digital Policy Incubator in July 2024. This critical infrastructure is also extremely susceptible to both organic and man-made disruptions.

Taiwan is surrounded by geologically active lakes and dependent on foreign fix boats, of which only 22 are specifically dedicated to repair, according to Mok and Huang.

They claim that Taiwan faces operational difficulties in recovering from harm. They point out that incidents like the numerous cables severing to Matsu Island, reportedly by Chinese vessels, raise the possibility of proper sabotage.

They add to the threat by pointing out that Taiwan’s local repair capacity and the international cable repair industry are overstretched, which makes its network resilience vulnerable in the midst of rising geopolitical tensions.

Teleguam Holdings points out that Guam is known as” The Big Switch in the Pacific” because of its connection to the US west coast in the Pacific, just like it does Taiwan. The island’s corporate place between the US and Asia, which lowers overhead and increases bandwidth, is highlighted by Teleguam Holdings.

According to Teleguam Holdings, Guam is home to 12 underwater cables, which provide strong connection and redundancy, establishing the island as a modern link.

In an August 2023 article for the Institute for National Defense and Security Research ( INDSR ), Yau-Chin Tsai points out that submarine cables remain the main means of communication between Taiwan and its frontline islands, such as Dongyin and Matsu, while also highlighting the potential military repercussions of significant cable breaks in Taiwan.

Tsai mentions that severing the supporting wires was sever Taiwan’s military might, making it unable to fully utilize its military might.

But, Elizabeth Braw points out in a February 2025 Foreign Policy content that line-of-sight micro distribution and satellite internet made sure that the majority of the latter’s 12, 000 residents remained intact during an underwater cable split between Matsu and Taiwan that month.

In an article from the August 2023 Proceedings, Andrew Niedbala and Ryan Berry mention a coordinated severing of undersea cables connecting Guam, Asia, Hawaii, and the US that could significantly affect US military command and control capabilities.

China’s announcement to launch a deep-sea cable-cutting device may be more propaganda than actual capability, though.

Cynthia Mehoob points out that China’s claims may conflict with technical realities in a Lowy Institute article this month. Undersea cables are neither armored nor notably fortified at deepest depths, like 4, 000 meters, according to Mahoob.

She points out that when the seabed terrain is exceptionally rugged, undersea cables can be used with armored cables, which are typically 17 to 21 millimeters thick at extreme depths. However, using such cables poses additional challenges. She explains that it is expensive to repair armored cables and that they are difficult to bend.

Additionally, Mehoob points out that anchoring and fishing activities are both commonplace in shallow waters up to 1,500 meters, where armoring cables are a common practice. She points out that armored cables could snap under their weight at extreme depths, making these protective measures counterproductive.

Mehoob claims that China’s announcement is a result of a carefully orchestrated propaganda campaign, which includes being first published in a peer-reviewed journal, then being spread through a significant media outlet like SCMP, before being amplified by sensationalist global media coverage.

She claims that the goal is to assert deterrence capabilities, project power, and broaden its maritime reach without provoking actual conflict. China’s cable cutter, whether a real threat or a clever theater, opens a new era for information warfare to start 4, 000 meters below the sea.

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Asian calm before Trump’s inflationary storm – Asia Times

The US president may appear to Asia if Donald Trump were willing to pick up some fresh economic cliches.

In recent days, three economy posted weaker-than-expected prices. Consumer prices in Japan dropped from 4 % to 3.7 % year-on-year in February.

Prices in Hong Kong decreased from 2 % to 1.4 % in February. Singapore’s core inflation fell to 0.6 % in February, a near four-year low. Costs decreased to 1.5 % from 1.7 % in Malaysia. Negative pressures are also present in China, of training.

Asia’s experience contrasts significantly with America, where inflation is running hotter than feared at nearly 3 %. By failing to lower interest rates, the Federal Reserve is putting a risk on Trump’s anger.

All of this is about to change however as Trump’s numerous, intertwining trade wars increase costs outside, especially in the US, where consumer prices are expected to rise and fall. And, maybe, bond yields for trading countries big and small.

Consider this a period of quiet before the incoming Trumpian prices wind. A tariff-closed US is currently much more susceptible to inflation threats than trade-focused Asia. But that’s about to shift as Trump does his worst to the international financial and trade techniques.

According to Bradley Saunders, an economist at Capital Economics,” Tariffs are just inflationary, despite what Donald Trump may show people.”

According to University of Wisconsin-Madison economist Lydia Cox,” trying to protect selected industries can really make different industries more susceptible.”

Or, in Trump’s event, make that the whole US business, apparently. Yet optimistic economists worry that Trump’s taxes does bring about both growth and inflation.

We continue to bet on the endurance of the customer, the economy, and corporate profits, but we anticipate that higher recession fears may affect valuation multiples, according to Yardeni Research president Ed Yardeni.

Yardeni adds that” we acknowledge that the challenges of a crisis and a bear market may continue to increase. It all depends on the often unpredictable chairman, who often and boldly refers to himself as” Tax Man,” showing his sturdy support for mercantilist trade policies.

Some people worry that the US is heading in the direction of an inflationary boom and development crater. Recently, Fed officials predicted US gross domestic product ( GDP ) will expand at an annual rate of just 1.7 % versus an earlier forecast of 2.1 %. The numbers “were revised in a stagflationary way,” as JPMorgan scholar Michael Feroli puts it.

For buyers looking to readjust their portfolio and guard against rising choices around recessions, Faris Mourad, an scientist at Goldman Sachs,” we like our recessions long/short set container.”

The brake in US development is quickly changing the calculus for major Asian markets, including China.

According to Shannon Nicoll, an analyst at Moody’s Analytics,” US trade policy under President Donald Trump will loosen international business confidence, which will be a pain for China.” ” Home passions are great,” China has set its progress goal at around 5 %, but it didn’t get there without breaks”.

According to Nicoll, latest statistics indicate that a “rate split in China is warranted.” ” Due to extraordinary deficit-funded spending, a flood of sovereign bonds may hit the system.” This supply of new ties will drive up bond yields and press down bond costs”.

According to Nicoll, the People’s Bank of China has been” signing the concern about a potential Silicon Valley Bank-style crisis, where local financial institutions are purchasing to many bonds at higher prices.” Capital appropriateness ratios would be threatened if these lost price too quickly. A price cut may help keep bond yields fair”.

There may always be an unexpected growth, or President Trump might notice something this week that suggests a tougher line, according to Khoon Goh, mind of Asia study at ANZ Group Holdings. So at this point, it’s challenging for markets to properly value in the danger.

Part of the problem is how badly the inflation-is-transitory deal worked out for buyers. Or for those citizens and global leaders who believed that the Trump 2.0 presidency would focus more on making deals than creating financial mischief.

For those who are unprepared for the enormous trade war that appears to be fueled more by vengeance than financial strategy, things didn’t turn out well.

Never least of which are the lights sure to come as Trump’s plan objectives meet with a China poised to drive up and Washington’s fiscal problems. Federal bond yields are rising as a result of these issues, with higher provides coming from Washington to Tokyo. &nbsp,

On January 20, Trump inherited a national debt exceeding$ 36 trillion. And based on the pundit you follow, Trump may be about to slash the debt in substantial tax cuts, whichever comes first. Or slice it violently with the huge chainsaw that Trump gave to Elon Musk.

Either outcome was present huge risks for worldwide markets. The first could see credit rating organizations snubing and the US loan rising to$ 40 trillion.

Washington was shed Moody’s Investors Service’s most recent AAA rating very quickly. Asia, of course, is instantly on the forefront of the panic that this horror would destroy in friendship, stock and money markets anywhere.

The second scenario could discover Trump’s billionaire donor continue to sabotage government structures that safeguard the value of the dollar and US Treasury securities.

Team Musk is aiming his sights on the Internal Revenue Service in addition to firing federal employees indiscriminately, including some of the people who maintain America’s atomic army. That could have credit score companies doubting Trump Nation’s ability to pull in enough tax receipts to keep pace with rising public debt release.

According to The Washington Post, the US government is anticipating a 10%-plus revenue decline by the April 15 tax registration date in comparison to the prior year. The deficit could reach$ 500 billion.

Adding to these challenges is Trump’s mistaken idea that taxes are revenue-raising equipment. Robert Fry, an independent analyst who is an analyst on US budget issues, says that the issue isn’t actually uncertainty about taxes.

” There is a growing likelihood that President Trump won’t use tariffs as leverage to force other nations to lower their business obstacles, but rather to keep them in effect long-term to increase profits and to bring manufacturing back to the United States.”

The Trump 1.0 levies from 2017-2021 didn’t lift a mathematically significant number of jobs up to the US. Otherwise, the majority of tasks that left China were relocated to Vietnam. According to academics, there is no reason to believe that Trump 2.0 does succeed in the same way that his first White House failed.

Asian central bankers, meanwhile, have reason to worry about what Trump’s haphazard economic vision means for roughly$ 3 trillion of regional savings invested in US Treasuries.

For instance, Musk and his partners were given access to extremely sensitive US Treasury Department data, including the national payment method.

Former Treasury Secretary Robert Rubin, Lawrence Summers, Timothy Geithner, Jacob Lew, and Janet Yellen warned in a recent New York Times op-ed that” no Treasury minister in his or her first weeks in office may be put in the position where it is necessary to convince the nation and the world of our bills system or our commitment to make good on our economic duty.”

Any hint of the selective suspension of congressionally authorized payments, according to them, will constitute a breach of trust and, in the end, will constitute a form of default. And once we lose our credibility, it will be challenging to recover.

Trump also has made no mystery of his dislike of Federal Reserve officials setting US rates independent from political input. Trump criticized the Fed’s failure to ease rates last week, pleading that Jerome Powell “do the right thing” and perform the White House’s wishes.

With US inflation currently well above the Fed’s preferred 2 %, looser monetary policy may lead to a decline in dollar assets. It also might fuel a bubble in stocks and other speculative assets — and real estate.

Given these dangers, the US might have much more success if it concentrated on deregulating and massive subsidies for industries like those that Musk’s private companies rely on.

The US is so susceptible to inflation because of the lack of investment in productivity-boosting industries and technologies.

In the meantime, Asia is doing its best to stay off Trump’s radar screen. There is a risk that burgeoning bilateral deficits could eventually lead to US tariffs on other Asian economies, according to Andrew Tilton, an economist at Goldman Sachs.

Tilton goes on to say that” Korea, Taiwan, and especially Vietnam have seen significant trade gains versus the US,” something Trump 2.0 isn’t likely to reverse. As such, Asia’s top trading nations may try to narrow surpluses to “deflect attention” from Team Trump.

According to Barclays Bank economist Brian Tan,” trade policy is where Trump is likely to be most consequential for emerging Asia in his second term as US president,” inflicting “greater pain” on more open economies.

Suffice it to say that the president doesn’t seem to realize that America’s debt excesses will also challenge the US government. So might the inflationary fallout from his beloved tariffs.

Follow William Pesek on X using the hashtag# WilliamPesek

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Trump’s Sino-Russia split bid likely to backfire – Asia Times

Is the US hoping that the Sino-Russian broken will occur again?

President Donald Trump claimed in an interview on October 31, 2024, that Joe Biden’s administration had falsely pushed China and Russia up.

He claimed that his administration would prioritize separating the two power. Trump said,” I’m going to have to un-unite them, and I think I can do that as well.”

Trump has been willing to deal with Russia since returning to the White House, aiming to put an end to the conflict in Ukraine as quickly as possible. This Ukraine plan, in one way, serves the purpose of what Trump was trying to say in his remarks to Carlson.

Even if it means throwing Ukraine under the vehicle, pulling the US out of the German conflict and repairing ties with Russia can be seen in the context of a change in America’s focus on containing Chinese strength.

However, Trump said to Fox News after a new phone call with Russian President Vladimir Putin that” the first thing you learn is you don’t like Russia and China to get together.”

Trump makes reference to history as the Nixon administration’s strategy for countering the Soviet Union by attempting to coincide with China, which ultimately led to the division of the two communist organizations.

However, if creating a cleft between Moscow and Beijing is indeed the best goal, Trump’s eyesight is, in my opinion, both stupid and foolish. Russia’s partnership with China is unlikely to end, and many in Beijing view Trump’s approach to the Russia-Ukraine war in general as a reflection of failure rather than strength.

a growing problem

Although Russia and China have previously engaged in conflict when it suited their passions, the political landscape of today is distinct from that of the Sino-Soviet broken during the Cold War.

The two nations have significantly shared key strategic objectives, with the US leading the charge against the Western liberal order, among which their relationship has steadily grown since the Soviet Union’s fall.

Men in helmet look across an expanse with mountains on the other side.
During a months-long fight in 1969, Russian military keep an eye on the Chinese-Soviet borders. Keystone/Getty Images via The Talk

China and Russia both have recently taken an increasingly assertive approach when presenting their military might: Russia is based in former Soviet satellite says, including Ukraine, and China is located in Taiwan and the South China Sea.

A unified approach taken by American administrations to counter China and Russia’s threat has only brought the two nations closer together in response.

Besties long, please?

President Vladimir Putin and Xi Jinping declared a “friendship without limits” in a display of unwavering support for the West in February 2022, only as Russia was preparing to invade Ukraine.

Since then, China has become Russia’s leading trading lover for both imports and exports. Russia today relies heavily on China as a major buyer of its oil and gas, and bilateral trade between China and Russia reached a record deep of US$ 237 billion in 2024.

Due to China’s growing economic dependence, any US effort to pull Moscow out of Beijing is impossible due to its significant leverage over Russia. That doesn’t imply that there are still areas of disagreement and different legislation, or that the Russian-Chinese marriage is unassailable.

In fact, if Trump were to draw a wedge between the two nations, there are some places that he could utilize. For instance, it might help Russia’s hobbies to help US attempts to encircle China and deter any interventionist tendencies in Beijing, such as through Moscow’s proper ties to India, which China finds alarming, especially given that there are still disputed territories along the Chinese-Russian borders.

Screenshot

Putin is aware of who are his true companions.

Putin is not arrogant. He is aware that the deep-rooted American consensus against Russia, including a powerful, if leaky, financial sanctions regime, won’t disappear anytime soon with Trump in office.

The US leader appeared to be warming up to Putin in his first term, but there is a reason why he was yet more harsh with Russia than Barack Obama or Joe Biden’s services in terms of punishment.

Putin may be willing to accept a Trump-brokered peace agreement that sacrifices Ukraine’s passions in favor of Russia, but that doesn’t mean he should remain hurriedly rejecting a broader call to unite against China.

Putin will be aware of how dependent Russia is now physically dependent on China economically and physically. Moscow is now a “vassal” or at best a young partner to Beijing, according to one Russian scientist.

Transactional stumbling block

Trump’s peace deals with Russia and Ukraine are seen by China as a sign of weakness that might undermine US hawkishness toward China, for the most part.

While some US officials are truly aggressive about China ( Secretary of State Marco Rubio calls China the “most effective and dangerous” threat to American success ), Trump himself has been more indifferent.

He does have reportedly considered holding a meeting with President Xi Jinping as part of a renewed business battle. Beijing acknowledges Trump’s interpersonal mindset, which prioritizes short-term, visible advantages over more foreseeable, long-term strategic interests requiring continued investment.

This alters the assumption that the US might not be willing to pay for Taiwan’s higher prices. In contrast to his father, Trump has failed to undertake the nation to protecting Taiwan, the self-governing area that Beijing claims.

Trump had somewhat stated that he would opt for economic measures like taxes and sanctions if the Chinese authorities were to establish a military strategy to “reunify” Taiwan. His ostensible willingness to deal Ukrainian territory for peace has now sparked concern among Taiwanes over Washington’s devotion to long-established global standards.

insulating the market

The US-led financial sanctions government has severe limitations, according to China’s takeaway from Russia’s practice in Ukraine. Russia was able to survive despite heavy American sanctions thanks to deceit and support from friends like China and North Korea.

China has significant leverage to fight any US-led efforts to isolate the nation economically because it remains significantly more financially connected to the West than Russia, and due to its relatively powerful international financial position.

In fact, Beijing has adapted to the resulting economic decline by prioritizing local consumption and increasing the self-reliance of the economy in vital sectors as political tensions have slowly eroded the West’s relationship with China in recent years.

The image of two men in suits is shown on objects on a glass table.
Russian President Vladimir Putin and Donald Trump are depicted in Matryoshka dolls in a memory shop. Misha Friedman/Getty Images

That, in portion, reflects China’s important economic and cultural power globally. A private drive to get places in the Global South around to China’s position has been a contributing factor to this. Taiwan has received endorsements from 70 nations that give it the status of a member of China.

China’s strategy for severing a gap

Trump’s strategy of ending the Russia-Ukraine war by favoring Russia in the hopes of bringing it into an anti-China coalition is likely to have a negative impact.

Russia may harbor concerns about China’s growing power, but any US effort to pull Moscow away from Beijing is unrealized given the two countries ‘ shared strategic goal of challenging the Western-led international order and Russia’s deep economic dependence.

Additionally, Trump’s strategy exposes China’s potential vulnerabilities. His transactional and isolationist foreign policy and his support for right-wing parties in Europe may strain ties with European Union allies and cause a deterioration in trust in American security commitments.

Beijing may interpret this as a sign that China is letting go of US influence, which, in turn, gives it more room to maneuver, notably in terms of Taiwan. A change like this could instead divide a Western coalition, which is already fragile, rather than causing a Sino-Russian split.

Linggong Kong is a PhD candidate at Auburn University in political science.

This article was republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article.

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New Jia Zhangke film: 20 years of footage to capture a changing China – Asia Times

Caught by the Tides, a new picture from Chinese separate director Jia Zhangke, offers a unique perspective on China’s quick social change in the twenty-first century.

Caught by the Tides follows Qiaoqiao ( Zhao Tao ) and her boyfriend, small-time hustler Bin ( Li Zhubin ), using a combination of documentary footage and scenes that Jia has captured over the past 20 years while making his earlier films.

Qiaoqiao embarks on a journey through fashionable China’s changing landscape after Bin leaves their little town to work for himself on the Three Gorges Dam.

The movie captures both significant structural changes, such as the dam’s construction, and the details of regular details, including altered streetscapes and changing fashion trends.

Jia’s video is a contemplative and peaceful film that dwells on how time passes in a fast-paced world. The movie not just provides a glimpse into Jia’s professional life in a fast changing China, but also provides a look at his professional life as a director.

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describing the counties

Jia was born in 1970. He was born in the Shanxi province of Fenyang during Deng Xiaoping’s economic reform and “opening up” in the 1980s.

Before moving to China to shoot his first movie, Xiao Wu ( Pickpocket ), he studied at the Beijing Film Academy.

His “hometown trilogy” has been given the names of the films he made in Shanxi, including Platform ( 2000 ), Platform ( 2000 ), and Unknown Pleasures ( 2002 ).

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Shanxi is known for its extremely risky coal mining industry. Jia concentrated on the lives of those who were left behind by China’s “economic magic” and on living outside of the city. His use of non-actors, choice for city killing, and sluggish, minimalist style set his function aside from commercial Chinese theatre.

A mesmerizing performance from Zhao Tao, an unknown artist who has since appeared in all of Jia’s early films, is featured in the second movie in the series, Platform. Jia and Zhao wed in 2012, respectively. The director’s after work is largely influenced by Shao’s significant musical collaboration, which emphasizes the portrayal of solid female protagonists.

The history of film and culture

Still Life ( 2006 ), a film that Jia made internationally, was shot in the historic city of Fengjie on the banks of the Yangtze while cities were being destroyed and people were being evacuated in order to make way for the Three Gorges Dam.

Working on Still Life affirmed Jia’s conviction that” movie’s work as memory” is to preserve the manifest before it disappears. Still Life incorporated Jia’s first realist aesthetic with a fresh strange approach, which included a building flying and a enigmatic flying saucer scurrying into the distance.

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This fusion of realism and surrealism is necessary, in Jia’s opinion, to depict China’s rapid traditional transformation. He claims that China’s rapid growth has had an “unsettling, magical effect.”

He has used video, fiction, animation, music music, Chinese theater, and digital images to indicate this by combining all the possibilities of theatre.

influenced by the tides of past

In his most idealistic work to date, Jia continues his experiment with theatre and record in Caught by the Tides.

The COVID epidemic, which prevented Jia from beginning work on a new movie, had an impact on production. Instead, he began to examine the film Yu Lik-Wai, his photographer, and he had been filming since 2001.

Jia describes the process of reviewing the video as “like time-traveling” as he transitioned from his children to the start of the 21st century.

The movie is partially made up of a collection of video footage that Jia and his team spent more than two years editing. Beijing is announced as the number area for the 2008 Olympic Games, and the streets are filled with cheers before a medley of younger individuals dance in neon-lit underwater clubs.

Scenes from Jia’s earlier films are combined with this swirl of video footage. A tale about China’s rapid shift is derived from this combination of archive footage featuring Jia’s standard stars Zhao and Li Zubin.

A woman has a face mask under her chin. She strokes a robot.
Jia began operate on COVID’s Caught by the Tides. MK2 Films

There is something specifically arresting about seeing locations and actors transform before our very eyes as Qiaoqiao guides the audience through the country’s turbulent transformations.

In contrast to the distorted first footage, the final scenes, which were shot with cutting-edge digital cameras, are sleek and cold. It is a reflection of Jia’s individual melancholy of historical change, which leaves the previous untold and makes the lives of regular people untold. The movie, however, suggests that cinema can maintain the past and provide daily experiences dignity and beauty.

A pleasant view of Taiwanese life from the inside is provided by Caught By the Tides. Cinema like Jia’s continues to be in a unique place to encourage a more nuanced understanding of China’s intricate and constantly-evolving history.

Thomas Moran, University of Adelaide lecturer in the department of English, creative reading, and picture

The Conversation has republished this essay under a Creative Commons license. Learn the article’s introduction.

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Riyadh talks agree on Black Sea fighting lull, not full ceasefire – Asia Times

Regarding the outcome of the discussions in Riyadh, the White House made two statements. The Black Sea is the main focus of both White House claims.

For these “technical amount” debate, there were significant differences between the ambassadors.

Andrew Peek, a senior director at the White House National Security Council, and Michael Anton, a mature State Department official, served as the US delegation’s leader. Sergey Beseda, a consultant to FSB key Alexander Bortnikov, led the Russian committee. Beseda and job minister Gregory Karasin also took part.

Rustem Umerov, the head of the Ukrainian defense ministry ( Artsakh News ),

Rustem Umerov, the country’s defence minister, led the Ukrainian delegation, which had significant differences. Additionally provide were some military officers, as well as Pavlo Palisa, a senior military assistant to President Volodymyr Zelensky.

On Sunday, March 23, the Ukrainians met with the US area for a second time following the conclusion of the US-Russia conference.

According to what we know, the US-Russia appointment lasted for 12 hours. The following Ukraine-US meeting has been described as being short.

There are some unverified reports that the Ukrainian group intended to pressure the US into arming NATO or German soldiers in Western Ukraine, including a no-fly area. However, the discussion of the status of the Black Sea and the 30 day ceasefire on energy facilities was a top priority for the talks, at least with Russia ( with discussion of reviving the canceled 2022&nbsp, Turkey-brokered Grain Deal ).

The Russians claim that Ukraine has attacked energy facilities in Russia and has not carried out the 30-day peace on power services.

Russia’s TASS news agency reports that Russia and the US have come to terms with the Black Sea’s” safety standard” and the ban of corporate vessel use for military purposes. Russia has been promised by the US that it will “help reduce sea insurance costs, increase port and settlement system admittance, and recover Russia’s access to the world marketplace for agricultural and fertilizer exports.”

One of the pressing problems that the Russians had was how to check the execution of the peace treaties and how to “prevent the use of corporate vessels for military objectives in the Black Sea” was one of the problems.

It is unknown if there was any consensus regarding the subject of cargo inspections or confirmations. Military products are being transported into Ukraine using Odesa harbor for offloading both by land and sea ( from Poland and Romania ).

The White House’s comments are as follows:

Results of the Expert Groups for America and Russia

On the Black Sea
Saudi Arabia’s Riyadh
March 23-25, 2025

In line with presidential-level discussions between President Donald J. Trump and President Vladimir Putin, the United States facilitated bilateral technical-level talks with the Russian delegation March 23-25 Saudi Arabia’s Riyadh. Following those discussions:

  • The United States and Russia have come to an agreement to guarantee safe transportation, abolish the use of force, and stop commercial vessels from being used for military purposes in the Black Sea.
  • The United States will increase access to ports and payment methods for such purchases, lower sea healthcare costs, and recover Russia’s exposure to the world market for agrarian and fertilizer imports.
  • Russia and President Trump reached a deal that would allow them to implement President Trump’s and President Putin’s arrangement to outlaw attacks against Russian and Ukrainian energy facilities.
  • In order to support the implementation of the power and sea agreements, the United States and Russia welcome the good practices of second countries.
  • The United States and Russia will continue to work toward a just and sustained resolution.

As a necessary step toward achieving an enduring peace arrangement, President Donald J. Trump reiterated his call for the shooting on both flanks of the Russia-Ukraine fight to quit. In order to achieve a peaceful resolution, the United States will continue to facilitate discussions between both factors, in accordance with the agreements reached in Riyadh.

Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, who once again helped to facilitate these significant debate in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, is praised and praised by the United States.

​————————————

Results of the Expert Groups in the United States and Ukraine
On the Black Sea
Saudi Arabia’s Riyadh
March 23-25, 2025

In line with presidential-level discussions between President Donald J. Trump and President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, the United States facilitated bilateral technical-level talks with the Ukrainian delegation March 23-25 Saudi Arabia’s Riyadh. Following those discussions:

  • The United States and Ukraine have come to an agreement to guarantee safe transportation, abolish the use of force, and stop commercial vessels from being used for military purposes in the Black Sea.
  • The United States and Ukraine both agreed that they would continue to support the profit of Russian children who had been forcibly transferred from their homes.
  • The United States and Ukraine came together to come up with plans to implement President Trump and President Zelenskyy’s deal to outlaw attacks against Russian and Ukrainian energy infrastructure.
  • In order to support the implementation of the power and sea agreements, the United States and Ukraine welcome the good practices of second places.
  • The United States and Ukraine will continue to pursue a harmony that lasts a long time.

As a necessary step toward achieving an persistent peace, President Donald J. Trump reiterated to both sides that it is important for the killings on both sides of the Russia-Ukraine fight to quit. In order to achieve a peaceful resolution, the United States will continue to facilitate discussions between both factors, in accordance with the agreements reached in Riyadh.

Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, who once again helped to facilitate these significant debate in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, is praised and praised by the United States.

Former US assistant secretary of defense for scheme, Stephen Bryen is a special correspondent for Asia Times. This Substack newsletter, Weapons and Strategy, previously published as an original content in his Substack, is republished with authority.

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South Korea’s Constitutional Court should uphold Yoon’s impeachment – Asia Times

The Constitutional Court of South Korea on March 24 decided to ignore the prosecution of Prime Minister Han Duck-soo, despite the delay in the prosecution decision in the case of South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol.

The justification for denying Han’s impeachment is similar to that of previous president Roh Moo-hyun’s prosecution in 2004. In both instances, the Constitutional Court acknowledged the accused’s violation of the law but determined that the violations were insufficient to support the removal of the president.

The judge acknowledged that the then-president had broken the law by breaking his obligation to maintain political neutrality in Roh’s senate case from 2004. But, it came to the conclusion that this offense was no severe enough to warrant departure and prosecution.

In these cases, it is important to determine whether an action is in violation of the Constitution and the laws, and if so, whether the violation’s seriousness qualifies as justification.

What legal issues are the subject of Yoon’s prosecution test? Some people are concerned that Yoon’s prosecution may be overturned, just like in Han’s and Roh’s cases.

But, Yoon’s prosecution has fundamentally various problems from those in the prior cases. The most crucial contrast is the complexity of the problem. Beyond just being merely legitimate violations, the declaration of martial law goes. It is a clear violation of the person’s basic rights, and it poses a serious threat to democratic rule.

This has a distinct legal violation, making it grounds for impeachment because it is much more significant than the issues with President Roh’s impeachment.

declaration of martial law

The December 3, 2024 declaration of martial law obviously violates constitutional standards both dynamically and meaningfully. This violation is not just a violation of the law, but it is also a major unconstitutional action that threatens the Constitution and the political order and justifies the president’s resignation.

The government contends that the Democratic Party’s congressional dictatorship was a necessary consequence of the fighting law’s implementation. But, this state lacks a strong foundation and does not meet the requirements set back in South Korea’s Article 77. The rationale for military laws must be evaluated based on two factors:

    This standard evaluates whether the declaration of martial law complies with all applicable legal and legitimate standards. In other words, it examines whether specific requirements ( as defined in Article 77 of the Constitution and appropriate legislation ), such as the presence of a national crisis that poses a threat to the nation’s life, are met. But, President Yoon’s state of an “opposition-led legislative tyranny” does not meet the legal requirement for a national crisis. The circumstances presented do not correspond to the extreme conditions that threaten the government’s life.

  • This standard evaluates whether the military rules declaration was a necessary step in the preservation of the political order. It inquires as to whether the social order was in danger of eroding to the point where the issue could not be resolved by the current authorized or administrative means. Simply put, social disputes or opposition to government controls may justify martial law. Military involvement is a last resort to regain order, according to Article 77 of the Constitution. But, President Yoon’s decision to declare martial law to stop opposition social activities is just a political manoeuvre. Political disputes may remain resolved through the legislature and judiciary in a democracy, no through military action. If military activity is used for political reasons, it goes against Article 5 of the Constitution’s definition of political impartiality.

The Yoon security contends that military law was necessary to stop the Democratic Party from enacting the parliamentary dictatorship that led to the prosecution of government officials, investigations into the first girl’s corruption, and attempts to paralyze state functions through the rejection of budget bills. These steps, nevertheless, are merely a result of common social conflict and do not harm the country’s order or public security.

In other words, the activities of the Democratic Party are a part of the political process and cannot be taken as a justification for declaring martial law.

Two senate standards

Two fundamental requirements must be met in order to support impeachment in South Korea:

Second, the president has flagrantly violate the Constitution and applicable laws. Yoon’s security contends that all requirements for prosecution have been met. Yoon contends that the declaration of martial law was a legal process that did not significantly erode democratic get because it was a necessary legal measure to deal with an emergency condition. Additionally, Yoon contends that even if Article 77 is broken, for a violation does not qualify as a “grave” act that qualifies as prosecution.

However, as previously stated, the December 3, 2024 martial law declaration failed to meet the legal requirements for necessity and had a questionable legal legality. Hence, in this situation, there is no enforceable rationale for martial law.

The following factor, in essence, is the degree of the legal violation, which determines the validity of the impeachment trial. The infraction must be so intense that it would obstruct the rule of law. A violation that really violates the democratic order is necessary for impeachment, not just an illegal act.

In other words, perhaps if a President violates the Constitution or rules, senate as a treatment must be done in accordance with the law. The Constitutional Court determined in the 2004 Roh situation that despite the then-president’s actions breaking the election laws, they did not merit the most severe degree of impeachment because the violation did not have an impact on the country’s governance.

In Roh’s case, the jury determined that senate requires both a legal and a constitutional violation that ultimately violates the constitutional order and the theory of popular sovereignty.

In comparison, Yoon’s declaration of martial law on December 3, 2024, goes beyond being merely a legal violation. The Martial Law Command Proclamation No. The military law commander at the time, General Park An-soo, issued a formal prohibition against all social activities, including those involving the National Assembly, native assemblies, political parties, political associations, gatherings, and demonstrations.

It was a distinct unlawful act that violated democratically guaranteed basic rights and political decision-making processes. The National Assembly and local assemblies are fundamental components of democracy. Articles 77, Section 5 of the Constitution, and Article 13 of the Martial Law Act each offer the National Assembly the power to declare martial law and guarantee the political resistance of their representatives.

The Assembly will be unable to bring out its original position, making it impossible to raise military law, if the President uses fighting legislation to interdict the actions of the National Assembly. The president will now have the ultimate authority to revoke the country’s democratic system and the separation of powers, effectively destroying the country’s political system.

While Yoon’s impeachment trial may make reference to the principles outlined in the case of the termination of Roh’s senate, Yoon’s impeachment case should be viewed as a serious unconstitutional action because it immediately threatened the constitution and political order. Thus, it should be given more weight that the possibility of his prosecution being upheld rather than overturned.

The prospect

In the end, the impeachment trial and the declaration of martial law are crucial legal decisions that will shape South Korea’s coming. The dismissal of the impeachment and the defense of martial law may indicate a dangerous deterioration of democracy and would cause a bizarre expansion of political powers.

Thus, the Constitutional Court may issue a ruling that upholds political principles and render a distinct legal judgment. Only in this way is the democratic order be upheld and the separation of powers been upheld.

When reviewing the democratic violations committed by a leader who has lost the trust of the electorate, the Constitutional Court may take vigilant, responsible decisions. The Court may assist in ensuring the rule of law and the principles of democracy by doing so.

Taehyeon Kim is a state of New York’s counsel. She is now pursuing a rules PhD at the University of Edinburgh.

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Trump heralds end of international law – Asia Times

It has been often made up that international law would be severely damaged, particularly in light of the conflicts in Ukraine and Gaza, or at the very least vulnerable to significant erosion.

There are numerous different instances of the unrestrained use of power, not all of which are connected to the UN Security Council’s license or in self-defense. The fact that the control appears to be at a critical stage is what is new. According to President Donald Trump,” [ He who saves his country does not violate any law.

International law has always straddled the weakness of gentle organizations born to help it between the vanity of a so-called legal purchase and the weakness of fragile ones since the 17th centuries, when relations between princes came to be regulated by a law of nations.

In terms of its usefulness, validity, or even life, the law itself has been questioned. How could this be various when a de- or re-globalizing, but also interconnected world is confronted by rules and norms that are too simple to break or ignore, as they might initially appear to be?

One of the probable outcomes of current events is the possibility that international law will become constituted vacante. An age of limited cooperation and accumulated elements of conflict, some of which were carefully calculated, are likely to stop the quick reimposition of an international legal purchase necessary to ensure the application of maximum legal standards.

International law would need to adapt to a loose and perhaps ad hoc structure if it were to live perpetually under the crumbling values of a collapsing order. With the stringent regulations and values it allegedly accommodates and values, what should it do?

The philosopher and historian of ideas Isaiah Berlin once said that compromise was all that humanity could hope for. No straight thing was ever made out of the crooked wood of humanity, making a flexible and ambiguous compromise.

According to US President Harry Truman, the United Nations is based on a Charter whose only function was to maintain world peace post-World War II.

In contrast, the current order, which is largely based on a” coalition approach” to multilateralism, requires a lot more flexibility or elasticity and a lot of tolerability when great powers violate the laws. &nbsp, &nbsp,

Above all, not too much zeal! The phrase” Talleyrand” resonates once more in a time when we are collectively anticipating too much from international law and when we are only likely to remember it when we need it.

International law depends more than ever on the shifting power balance between the “liberal West” and the “illiberal rest,” just like Heraclitus ‘ River.

If the goal is to restore trust in the international legal system, international law must first integrate nations that were previously barred from enforcing rules. The price to pay is that commitments may become more generalized as opposed to those from groups with similar interests. However, this inclusive approach is necessary to reduce potential conflicts brought on by competing blocks.

Second, the current international order is based on international laws that not all states find to be comparable to international laws. However, these laws are authoritative expressions of principles that define the goals and course of collective action as well as technical standards that have been agreed to.

Respect for sovereignty, non-intervention, and territorial integrity are already the guiding principles of the UN Charter and other international standards, along with respect for human rights, fundamental freedoms, and an open international economic system.

The international system also contains the foundational principles for responding to global complex shocks, such as the ones relating to respect for the environment and development or the concept of shared but distinct responsibilities.

Some fundamental principles and conduct have typically been the basis for maintaining international order.

Due to their conflicting effects, it is undeniable that these principles cannot automatically solve a particular problem. They can, however, serve as criteria for discerning solutions by being carefully balanced and weighed. They can be unified to work in harmony despite the inherent tension between principles and pressing needs.

Why is that the case? Because principles are flexible, they don’t give specific procedure patterns or action plans. They are essential for the negotiation opportunities they open up and the beneficial additions they make in international negotiations to resolve conflicts of interest.

They are able to embody opposing tendencies by allowing for adaptation. Power differentials are tempered to create a more predictable environment, allowing diverse actors to have a voice and participate in decision-making, even in a UN system rife with privileges and hierarchy.

Thus, the role of major powers is always taken into account when interpreting the principle of equality among states.

Having a life of their own, those principles work beneath the surface. Contrary to rules and standards that require “long-term thinking and acceptance of short-term costs,” they don’t need maintenance.

Evidently, considerations of principle and law, however rational or justifiable, may not be sufficient to solve the current international law issue.

The straight line may not always hold up the Euclidian definition. In the complex pattern of international political action, such a line, as outlined by the purposes and principles of the Charter, may occasionally intersect with other lines.

Principles can, however, be applied in a less fervent and more cautious way in individual cases and can influence the creation of more frequent ad hoc arrangements and operational measures. Those in charge of” saving a country” will continue to face issues relating to political judgment.

Eric Alter is a former UN agent, dean, and professor of diplomacy and international law at the Diplomatic Academy in Abu Dhabi.

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Bangladesh’s future stuck in an inescapable past – Asia Times

A senior of Bangladesh’s independence war said,” This was a loss not of a home but of our history, of our, of our, of our, of our history.” He was speaking to me of the&nbsp, death on February 5&nbsp, of the Dhaka house of Sheikh Mujib thy Rahman, Bangladesh’s first president. &nbsp, &nbsp,

The target, 32 Dhanmondi, is as well known in Bangladesh as 1600 Pennsylvania in the US. It is where, in March 1971, Mujib was apprehended by Muslim soldiers as they began their violent assault in East Pakistan that culminated in a murder, the second Pakistan-India warfare, and the beginning of a new country.

And it is where Bangladeshi men massacred Prime Minister Mujib and several of his family members on August 15, 1975, in the first military revolution the nation has ever conducted. That it now stands in remains is an indication of how much people rage had accumulated during the 15 years of the increasingly authoritarian rule under Mujib’s daughter, Sheikh Hasina Wajed, which ended drastically on August 5, 2024, after months of student-led demonstrations. &nbsp,

Hasina had turned 32 Dhanmondi into a memorial for her father. Now exiled in India, where she fled after her fall from power, Hasina is plotting a political comeback. She planned to deliver a speech on February 5 to condemn Chief Adviser Muhammad Yunus’s interim government and declare her intentions to avenge her ouster, as planned for a gathering of her Awami League party.

The youth leaders warned that if she spoke they would destroy her father’s house. She continued to speak, and the leaders kept their word: The house was destroyed. For people like the liberation war veteran, who sacrificed so much and had seen his own father killed in that conflict, this was a case of a mob indulging in senseless, self-defeating violence against a symbol of their country’s founding.

But for the students who participated, it was another act of freedom in defiance not just of a “fascist” Awami League, but of a particular version of history that enabled Hasina to present herself and her family as the only legitimate custodians of Bangladesh’s independence. &nbsp,

The uprising began last June after a court order revived a quota system reserving a proportion of government jobs for 1971 war veterans and their descendants. This was essentially a spoils system for supporters of the Awami League, the party Mujib founded and Hasina has led since 1981, but it was draped in the memory of the liberation to make objectionable claims about its opponents.

This didn’t matter to a new generation eager for employment opportunities in an unfair economy. When Hasina&nbsp, implied&nbsp, that the protesters were&nbsp, razakars, a Persian word meaning “volunteer” but widely used for Bengalis who collaborated with the Pakistan army during the 1971 genocide, the resulting fury swelled the protesters ‘ ranks to an uncontrollable level. &nbsp,

Symbolism played a vital role in the events around the uprising. The most powerful was Abu Sayed’s body, a 23-year-old man who was fatally shot on July 16 while he was facing a barrage of bullets while he was standing in the middle of a road.

His death was a decisive turning point in the movement, prompting the respected photojournalist Shahidul Alam to declare, &nbsp,” the end is nigh” .&nbsp, Others replicated Sayed’s act of defiance, and a graphic of a young man with outstretched arms, a staff in one hand, has essentially become the youth movement’s logo. &nbsp,

This figure is intended to mock the trigger-happy police, which also forces Bangladesh to enter a new era. Yet for this new era to form, an older one must be settled. &nbsp, &nbsp,

Friend of Bengal&nbsp,

Fifty years later, the 1971 liberation war still serves as a court of appeal in which the main political players try to disenfranchise one another by litigating two unresolved issues: Who was the true custodian of Bangladesh’s independence? What kind of country was the birth of? A third, more essential question emerges from these two: Who stood for and who against the spirit of the liberation? &nbsp,

Outsiders can be forgiven for believing that Mujib’s status as the country’s founding father is as unquestioned as Jinnah’s in Pakistan or Gandhi’s and Nehru’s in India. At home, he is known as Bangabandhu, or Friend of Bengal.

In the first democratic election in Pakistan, Zulfiqar Ali Bhutto’s Pakistan Peoples Party ( PPP ) won against the Pakistan army in 1970, when the Pakistan army agreed to transfer power to civilians.

But he was denied his mandate to form a government by a West Pakistan establishment that couldn’t abide being ruled by Bengalis. In the middle of March 1971, troops from West Pakistan arrived in Dhaka ready for a crackdown amid a stalemate between East and West Pakistan. Their first order of business was to apprehend the Bengalis ‘ &nbsp, leader, which they did on the first day of the operation, 25 March. &nbsp,

A large portion of the Awami League’s lore was based on Mujib’s own account after the war ended. According to him, Mujib, hearing of a West Pakistani plot to kill him and blame it on Bengali extremists ( therefore compelling the army to crush the rebellion in the East ) sent most of his children into hiding while preparing for martyrdom.

The key was for Mujib to be killed inside the residence to make it clear that soldiers, not bandits, were the ones who were to blame. Thus would his blood “purify my people”. Mujib dictated a final message to his people, recorded and later broadcast via secret transmitter, to fight the West Pakistan army for independence, regardless of his own fate.

To stop the bloodshed, he wisely ordered the paramilitary and party members who were defending him. And, most poetically, he recalled how as the soldiers took him away, having decided to arrest rather than kill him, he insisted on retrieving his pipe and tobacco. &nbsp,

If this was a profile of courage for Mujib’s admirers, for his opponents it was proof of something else: that Mujib, removed from the battlefield, was alive and safe in Rawalpindi amid the slaughter in Bengal.

On my first visit to Dhaka many years ago, a retired government official asked me, rhetorically, why the army didn’t kill or disappear Mujib then, given that in the chaos of the moment the top brass could easily have feigned ignorance of what had happened to him. The West Pakistan leadership argued in my interlocutor’s theory that Mujib was still willing to keep Pakistan united and should be kept alive for a future negotiation. &nbsp,

Although it’s difficult to say whether this explanation is accurate, it does indicate a larger debate over the liberation narrative. For the Bangladesh Nationalist Party ( BNP ), led by Hasina’s perennial rival Khaleda Zia, who has twice been prime minister, it was fighters and not politicians who won the country’s independence.

And it was army major Ziaur Rahman, Khaleda’s husband and the BNP’s founder, who&nbsp, declared Bangladesh’s independence&nbsp, over the radio on 27 March 1971, two days after Mujib was arrested. It is no longer taken into account that he did it at the directive and in the name of Mujib. &nbsp,

The BNP has long struggled to develop a brand of its own despite having a large coalition of anti-Awami League constituencies. This may explain why the party gives as much importance to a legitimizing myth around 1971 as it does. &nbsp,

Both narratives have depth in a society that is incredibly divided. For the Awami League, the BNP’s fidelity to an independent Bangladesh is questionable, given its pro-Pakistani sympathies and, above all, its long partnership with the Jamaat-i-Islami that explicitly&nbsp, opposed Bangladesh’s creation, on the grounds of Islamic unity.

Meanwhile, Jamaat supporters accuse Mujib and Hasina of giving India the right to renounce Bangladesh’s sovereignty. The Awami League holds Ziaur Rahman responsible for the assassination of Mujib and that of many of his family members, in the bloody 1975 coup that augured 15 years of military rule, the BNP blames Mujib’s extreme concentration of power in a one-party state for provoking the violent backlash of 15 August 1975.

And on it goes, a tooth for a tooth. &nbsp,

What kind of a nation?

The coup of 1975 also sparked debates about whether religion or geography had a bearing on the country’s fundamental character. Bengal was a major site of British divide-and-rule strategies and resistance to them. In a bid to suppress local resistance to colonial rule, the British partitioned Bengal in 1905 between a Hindu-majority West Bengal and a Muslim-majority East Bengal.

In his virtuoso account of the independence movement, &nbsp, Liberty or Death, the late Patrick French wrote,” Provoked an upsurge of nationalist protest, and the province had become the focus of both the constitutional and revolutionary faces of the freedom movement.”

While the protests forced the British to reunite Bengal in 1911, their effects didn’t stop there. A nationalist Bengali identity gained new strength and became the main threat to the British Empire. The repressive 1915 Defence of India Act was passed specifically in response to agitation in Bengal. &nbsp,

The Second Partition of Bengal is thus frequently referred to in Bangladesh as the 1947 partition. In June of that year, the Bengal Legislative Assembly voted for a united Bengal to join Pakistan. In the event of a provincial division, East Bengal legislators who were Muslim-majority, who still wanted a united province, voted that East Bengal would join Pakistan, where Bengalis would form the popular majority. Later, legislators from Hindu-majority West Bengal voted for the partitioning of Bengal and for West Bengal to become part of India. &nbsp,

Political power would, however, be concentrated in Karachi and, after the federal capital was moved, Islamabad. The predominately Urdu-speaking West Pakistan leadership opined blatantly, and it immediately saw the country’s ethnic and linguistic diversity as a threat. Tensions between the center and the provinces created either secessionist or ethnic nationalist movements in Balochistan, the Northwest Frontier Province, and Sindh—but most prominently in East Bengal.

The Second Partition came about as a result of Jinnah’s 1948 decision to make Urdu, the language of minority West Pakistanis, the sole national language, sparking a movement in 1952 for the promotion of Bangla as a national language. On the movement’s first day, 21 February, police killed four student demonstrators at Dhaka University ( for which a monument, Martyr Tower, was built in central Dhaka in 1963 ).

Although Bangla was ultimately recognized as a national language and enshrined in the 1956 constitution, these killings made reconciliation between the eastern and western wings of the country all but impossible. &nbsp,

The refusal to honor what a wide majority of Bengalis—indeed a majority of the country —voted for in the 1970 national election was the final indignity. Estimates of the number of Bengalis killed in the subsequent violence, which were carried out by West Pakistan, range widely from 30 000 to over 3 million, despite the efforts of many foreign observers and academics to arrive at a figure of around a million.

There is, as the respected journalist David Bergman has argued, &nbsp,” an academic consensus that this campaign of violence, particularly against the Hindu population, was a genocide” .&nbsp, It was only through India’s intervention in December 1971, and the third India-Pakistan war, that the massacre stopped and a new nation was born. &nbsp,

Thus, two independence struggles gave Bengali nationalism a rich history of resistance to colonial and West Pakistani rule. Liberation provided an opportunity to codify that nationalism. The 1972 constitution advocated nationalism and secularism as founding principles, in addition to democracy and socialism, while dissinguishing the new country from the one it had seceded from. It also banned Jamaat-i-Islami and any other religion-based party. &nbsp, &nbsp,

Following Mujib’s assassination, the Awami League’s emphasis on ethnic nationalism and secularism was openly contested when Ziaur Rahman stepped in and supported a different conception of Bangladeshi national identity, one that emphasised its religious and territorial makeup: a Bengali nation that was majority Bengali rather than a Bengali nation that was majority Muslim.

If Bangladesh was essentially Bengali, this argument went, then it would have reunited with West Bengal after 1971. The fact that it hadn’t was sufficient evidence that the two-nation theory, which demanded that South Asia’s Muslims establish a country, still existed. &nbsp,

Rahman’s constitutional amendments replaced” secularism” with “absolute trust and faith in the almighty Allah”, lifted the ban on religion-based parties, and called on the state to” to consolidate, preserve and strengthen fraternal relations among Muslim countries based on Islamic solidarity”. The Muslim salutation read,” In the Name of Allah, Beneficent, the Merciful,” as the preamble of the constitution’s preamble now begins with this phrase. Islamic studies became a compulsory subject for all Muslim schoolchildren.

A year after Rahman was killed in a mid-level coup, General Hussain Muhammad Ershad later inserted a constitutional provision declaring Islam the state religion. This Islamization drive ran in parallel to the one occurring in Pakistan under General Zia ul Haq’s military regime, albeit significantly more cautiously and gradually. &nbsp, &nbsp, &nbsp,

By no means has the Awami League’s ideological balance been harmonious with its adversaries ‘ religious politics. Political expediency and patronage have shaped policy choices at least as much as ideology, if not more. For instance, Hasina’s Awami League made a number of, frequently alarming concessions to Islamists, some of whom are still a powerful force despite her policies, including reintroducing secularism into the constitution in 2011 but keeping Islam as the state religion.

But 1971 remains a potent political weapon, one that Hasina flaunted against her rivals on returning to office in 2009, tapping a still deeply felt wound: the role of Bengalis who collaborated with the Pakistan army in that war. &nbsp,

Accountability and its problems&nbsp,

War crimes were destined to be a major issue. The International Crimes ( Tribunal ) Act of 1973 made it possible to prosecute members of “any armed, defense of auxiliary forces, irrespective of nationality, who commit or have committed crimes against humanity on the territory of Bangladesh.” The purpose was to prosecute Pakistani prisoners of war, some 93, 000 of whom had been captured by Indian troops and transported to India. &nbsp,

After the country’s dissolution, Pakistan’s government, under Zulfikar Ali Bhutto’s leadership, required that all prisoners of war be released in exchange for recognizing the new Bangladeshi state. Its ally China, acting on Islamabad’s behalf, wielded its first-ever UN Security Council veto to block Bangladesh’s admission to the UN.

Mujib and Indira Gandhi made a concession as Pakistan’s recognition increased: the Delhi Agreement of 1973 mandated the repatriation of all POWs in the three nations. As per the terms of the Simla Agreement between Islamabad and Delhi the year before, this repatriation deal triggered Islamabad’s recognition of Bangladesh. &nbsp,

However, it had to hold someone accountable for the genocide for the country to feel whole. But who? &nbsp, &nbsp, &nbsp,

If the Pakistan army was the main culprit, for many veterans of the civil war the Jamaat-e-Islami’s role was just as malevolent. Two of its armed wings, Al Shams and Al Badr ( the original&nbsp, razakars ), were&nbsp, widely accused&nbsp, of having committed atrocities like murder, rape, arson and looting alongside army soldiers. Little was done in its wake because Jamaat was prominent in politics during the democratic transition from 1990 to 2006.

By the 2009 election, however, which came after the army had suspended democracy in 2007, Sheikh Hasina promised accountability for 1971 at last. Her government reorganized the 1973 law to facilitate the prosecution of Jamaat’s leadership and established the International Crimes Tribunal ( ICT). The tribunal’s work began in earnest in 2010 to significant criticism at home and abroad for the absence of due process and the use of the death penalty. &nbsp,

As a legitimate demand for justice transformed into political theater, the trials quickly turned into the national story. The people convicted include the Jamaat party chief Motiur Rahman Nizami and several other senior party members and office bearers. Salauddin Quader Chowdhury, a well-known BNP figure who was hanged in November 2015, was also present. &nbsp,

The ICT’s most consequential year was 2013. The Jamaat Vice President Delwar Hossain Sayeedi, a well-known preacher, was sentenced to death in February for provoking violent demonstrations that resulted in the deaths of more than 40 people, including several police officers. The same month, another Jamaat leader, Abdul Quader Mollah, was sentenced to life imprisonment.

Numerous young people in Dhaka’s Shahbagh Square pleaded for the death penalty for Mollah in exchange for a different form of protest. Their anger grew again that September, when the Supreme Court commuted Sayeedi’s sentence to life imprisonment. One report described the Shahbagh protests as&nbsp,” the biggest mass demonstration the country has seen in 20 years” .&nbsp,

In response, the government changed a law allowing the state to challenge ICT verdicts and successfully appealed the decision to increase Mollah’s death sentence. Mollah was hanged that December. &nbsp,

When I attended an ICT hearing in Dhaka on the invitation of one of the prosecutors in the immediate aftermath of these events, I was a strong critic of the whole process—and I remain one. But interviewing students who took part in the Shahbagh Square protests, I was also aware of how the trials had politicized a new generation of Bangladeshis and familiarized them with the atrocities of 1971. The concerns over the death penalty and due process sounded unrelated to them.

An older activist who had participated in the liberation war informed me that he still believed the Jamaat collaborators deserved whatever the maximum sentence on the books meant, if that meant execution. To be sure, many other rights activists opposed the death penalty and the ICT itself, and they argued that the” Shahbaghis” had undermined the quest for justice and lit a dangerous fuse. &nbsp,

How dangerous quickly became clear. Shahbagh had inspired a counter-movement led by the Hefazat-e-Islam, hitherto a marginal Islamist coalition supported by the Jamaat and others, and fed by a large&nbsp, qaumi&nbsp, ( privately run ) madrasa sector.

An organization that had been focusing on limiting women’s rights to employment and other freedoms was given new life by the ICT. In April 2013, barely two months after Shahbagh began, Hefazat held massive rallies in Dhaka around 13 demands, the third of which was &nbsp,” stringent punishment against self-declared atheists and bloggers”.

Secular bloggers had been the prime organizers of the Shahbagh movement. Ahmed Rajib Haider, a member of an extremist group known as the Ansarullah Bangla Team, who advocated Al Qaeda’s ideology, was killed on February 15th, 2013.

At Hefazat rallies, clerics explicitly called for the bloggers ‘ hanging. Soon, a list of 84 “atheist” bloggers began to appear in the press and elsewhere, with no one claiming authorship at the time. On February 26, 2015, the blogger Avijit Roy was hacked to death outside a book fair in Dhaka. Ansarullah again claimed responsibility. In a similar way, four other secular bloggers, publishers, and commentators were killed the same year. &nbsp,

In recent years, the politics of 1971 have been bloody. Hefazat remains an influential force ( as does Jamaat ), bolstered by concessions Hasina made to appease it, including yielding to the group’s demand in 2018 for qaumi madrasa diplomas to be recognized as the equivalent of a Master’s degree. And now, after several years of dormancy, the ICT has been revived—to prosecute Hasina in absentia for&nbsp, her&nbsp, crimes. &nbsp,

A New Era? &nbsp,

In November 2023, Hasina inaugurated a new site of murals and a large golden statue of her father to honor his role in Bangladesh’s freedom struggle. On the day her government collapsed, protesters demolished it. In the days that followed, Mujib’s sculptures and images were mostly destroyed.

In January, the interim government changed the national curriculum to reflect the BNP version of events, replacing Mujib with Rahman as the recognized founding father—a bid, officials said, to rectify historical inaccuracies. The ending of 32 Dhanmondi seems almost logical, if unsettling, in terms of climax. The youth movement’s more revolutionary elements are also calling for scrapping ( rather than amending ) Mujib’s 1972 constitution and&nbsp, permanently banning the Awami League. &nbsp,

However, within the youth leadership there are other more forward-thinking rumors. It’s worth recalling that student demonstrations over the quota system first occurred in April 2018 and that in July, young people again took the streets after two students were killed in a road accident. What started out as a plea for better road safety turned into a massive outcry against more severe government failures.

These events augured an emergent force in the polity: Organized youth who weren’t allied with a party ideology or a 1971 narrative, as their predecessors in Shahbagh Square had been, but who were focused on bread-and-butter issues. And they clearly rattled the government, which after initial attempts at appeasement&nbsp, cracked down harshly, &nbsp, in a precursor to the events of 2024. &nbsp,

In their engagement with the student leadership, one can clearly see a new generation of activists and political leaders less inclined to fight in the name of old myths. The politics of the nation may be influenced by an open discussion about the allegations that emerged over the year 1971 because they have sown the country’s politics to a certain degree.

But the more compelling struggle ahead may not be between different accounts of the country’s birth, but between those who want a new politics focused on justice, equity, and democratic governance and those who want to stake their claim on high office by summoning the ghosts of liberation past.

Repeating the cycle of vengeance and delegitimizing one’s opponents again may be tempting in a deeply traumatized nation, but it will likely have a bitter afterlife. The past frequently exists.


Shehryar Fazli&nbsp, is a program manager for the Inclusive Democracy in South Asia Opportunity at Open Society Foundations. He has spent more than 20 years covering South Asia in various capacities. He is also author of the novel, &nbsp, Invitation&nbsp, ( 2011 ), which was runner-up in the Edinburgh Book Festival’s 2011 First Book Award. This essay is republished with permission.

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US building walls while China erecting windmills – Asia Times

For the annual China Development Forum ( CDF), thousands of foreign CEOs are gathered in Beijing this week.

Beijing is communicating to the universe that the country’s second-largest market is open for business as the US pursues protectionist” America First” policies in the face of heightened global doubt.

The Taiwanese government has repeatedly reaffirmed its commitment to boosting the country’s economy. Its most recent federal labor report, which was released in March, provides clear recommendations for high-standard starting up and improving the business environment for foreign traders.

Chinese Premier Li Qiang once more urged for greater cooperation at the CDF. It is more important for countries to start up their markets and businesses to withstand risks and challenges in today’s increasingly scattered earth with rising volatility and uncertainty, Li said.

However, “opening up” risks turning out to be an empty promise without going beyond company offers.

Chinese politicians intend to tell the world that in contrast to “high surfaces,” the nation is taking concrete steps to attract foreign investments as part of meetings with foreign company officials at the Diaoyutai State Guesthouse this year.

China’s Vice Premier He Lifeng reaffirmed the country’s business potential and sincerity in his meeting with Apple, Pfizer, Mastercard, Cargill, and others on Sunday ( March 23 ).

China’s efforts to improve the business culture reflect its kindness. In March, the Chinese Ministry of Commerce announced that roundtable discussions have addressed more than 500 concerns for foreign-funded businesses.

China has so far given the right to get value-added communications services for 13 foreign-invested businesses. Moreover, three new hospitals that are completely owned by foreigners have received approval to run in addition to the over 40 foreign-funded biotechnology projects that have been launched.

According to a survey conducted by the China Council for the Promotion of International Trade in January, nearly 90 % of Chinese firms are “very satisfied” or “relatively happy” with the country’s total business culture last year.

The surveyed businesses scored China’s business culture with a 4.37 out of 5, which is an improvement of 2.1 percent points over the same period in 2023.

While some American politicians have been working to avert multinational corporations and businesses from China while citing national security concerns, it is interesting to see how global investors are acting against their president’s wishes.

A impressive number of American business leaders, including Tim Cook of Apple, Albert Bourla of Pfizer, and Rajesh Subramaniam of FedEx, have signed up for the two-day event in Beijing despite Washington’s price strain, in an ostensible display of their excitement for the Chinese market.

The customer moves very quickly in this industry. The customer is the one who is the most technologically engaged. And as we respond to the needs of this customer with technology, we are better equipped to provide those improvements to the rest of the world, according to Joanne Crevoiserat, CEO of US-based Tapestry, in an appointment with CGTN.

Stock market prices reflect investment preferences. The MSCI China Index marked its best start of the year, rising 19 % as of March 9 as per a report from investment bank Goldman Sachs, despite the US stock market’s catastrophic decline in March, which saw a staggering$ 5.28 trillion in value loss in just three weeks.

The change in investment opinion is certainly unexpected. Washington is pushing for economic dispersion through restrictions, taxes, and other trade barriers in order to make America “great” once more.

Under the” America First” philosophy, the Donald Trump administration is heading even further down the path of protectionism. China has, in comparison, shown signs of support for free trade and foreign funding.

According to a proverb,” When the winds of change punch, some build rooms, while others build turbines,” The two biggest economies of the world are making different decisions between walls and windmills, according to international investors.

Their decisions about putting money in China and removing it from the US are also influenced by this.

Jianxi Liu is a contributor to Chinese media publications including Global Times, CGTN, and other countries and an analyst of political and international relations based in Beijing.

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Jet lag: US getting smoked in China’s sixth-gen fighter contrail – Asia Times

The battle for weather supremacy in the sixth generation is in full swing. However, China’s J-36 may have already left it in the contrail as the US unveils its F-47.

Boeing received a contract last week from the US Department of the Air Force for the Engineering and Manufacturing Development ( EMD) phase of the Next Generation Air Dominance ( NGAD ) platform.

The F-47, the second fighter jet of its kind to become the first in a tense world of threats, was unveiled with this system.

The F-47 is a core of the NGAD Family of Systems, and it was launched in May 2024 after a corporate pause to assess its alignment with protection needs. It combines advanced secrecy, sensor fusion, and long-range strike capabilities. The F-47 adapts to new technologies by leveraging digital executive and compact design.

Its unsurpassed speed, agility, and payload are highlighted by authorities. Pete Hegseth, secretary of defense, emphasized the importance of bolstering US military might and determination to supporters. The F-47 was declared essential for the US Air Force’s Chief of Staff, General David Allvin, to maintain dominance in aerial battle for years.

The plan builds on the advancements made during the five years of DARPA’s X-planes study. The agreement provides for the development of test aircraft and gears up for low-rate original production as the EMD phase begins, demonstrating a long history of investment in defense and innovation. Details regarding operating implementation are still being provided.

The US NGAD statement may have sparked a lot of cheer in security circles, but it may already be a belated sign.

China unveiled its J-36, which Chengdu Aircraft Corporation developed in December 2024. The J-36 represents a major advancement in aircraft technology with its mammal, trijet construction, and double-delta aircraft design. It has a large flap neighborhood of 200 square feet and is roughly 23 meters in length and 19 feet in wings.

The plane emphasizes cunning by using versatile skin, flexible skin, and no vertical tail surfaces, which lessens radar name. Its three vehicles, including a diverterless sonic lagoon, make supercruise possible without afterburners, enhancing speed and efficiency.

A powerful addition to China’s airpower arsenal is the J-36, which has a 7.6-meter main tool bay and part bays supporting a sizable cargo capacity.

The South China Morning Post (SCMP ) reported this month that China unveiled what experts believe to be its sixth-generation fighter program, which is represented by a tailless aircraft resembling the J-36, which was developed by Chengdu Aircraft Industry Group.

An official pronouncement of the agency’s progress is suggested by this picture, which is featured in a CCTV video to mark the 27th anniversary of the J-10 jet. The launch coincides in a strategic way with the US’s announcement that Boeing has won a contract to make the F-47, the core of the US NGAD program.

Just to emphasize this place, SCMP claims that a J-36 from China was reportedly seen on a check trip close to Chengdu a few days before the US NGAD news. The J-36 has a flight information spacecraft on its head, which indicates that the form is still in early development and is still far from serial generation, in contrast to the US NGAD, which hasn’t actually begun the design phase.

Eric Liu and Brandon Tran discuss the stress this kind of test flights have on the US and its allies in an essay for the Indo-Pacific Studies Center. They also point out that such advancement leaves it to be seen whether the latter is also a “pacing risk” or has already become more potent as a result.

In a January 2025 content for the Aviation Geek Club, Abraham Abrams points out that China’s rapid growth and decision-making, as demonstrated by the J-20’s quick transition from demonstration flight to support, contrasts with the continuous growth of US fighters like the F-35.

Abrams points out that the US NGAD program has difficulties due to delays, higher costs, and unsatisfactory online assembly processes. He claims that in contrast, China unveiled two prototypes of the sixth generation in 2024, highlighting its technical and industrial advancements and demonstrating its ability to surpass the US in this crucial field.

In the eyes of many in the field of air strength, the sixth-generation plane have long been hailed as revolutionary. Raffaele Rossi mentions that the type is designed to surpass fifth-generation capabilities in an August 2021 article for the Joint Air Power Competence Center ( JAPCC), which combines advanced stealth, hypersonic speeds, and AI for enhanced situational awareness and decision-making.

According to Rossi, sixth-generation plane may have pilot-, remote-controlled, or automatic missions. He mentions that they incorporate advanced modern engineering, high-capacity network, and data integration for real-time battle command and control. He claims that enhanced human-system connectivity includes online cockpits with increased AI awareness.

Additionally, Rossi claims that advanced stealth reduces radar and infrared signatures while variable-cycle engines offer great thrust and effective cruising. He mentions potential features like suborbital aircraft and directed-energy weapons, putting emphasis on adaptability to threats in the future and ensuring supremacy in the air, space, and cyberspace.

Despite rising costs, the decision to continue with NGAD growth reflects the program’s intensity. Major General Joseph Kunkel stated in a Defense One content this month that there is no other way to achieve air superiority in tomorrow’s contentious environment. General Kenneth Wilsbach stated in the same content that the US may sit idly by while China develops its sixth-generation fighter system.

Unlike the F-35, which was not spared, Elon Musk’s Department of Government Efficiency ( DOGE ) scrutiny may have been avoided by that assessment. Mussk criticized the F-35 warrior program for its delays, overbudgets, and professional flaws, calling it a “flop,” while citing unsettled program problems, security flaws, and servicing inefficiencies.

In contrast to the potential of drones to replace manned fighters in contemporary warfare, Musk’s criticism also highlighted the F-35’s inability to adapt to changing threats.

The NGAD’s unrefueled combat radius exceeding 1,800 kilometers is crucial, according to Justin Bronk in an article for the Royal United Service Institute ( RUSI) this month. China’s unveiling of its J-36 demonstrated superior stealth and long-range capabilities alongside its extensive missile arsenals threatening forward bases and refueling tankers near its coastline.

Bronk claims that having this capability reduces reliance on vulnerable tankers while enabling operations from safer, defensible bases. Additionally, he claims that the NGAD’s stealth and weapon-carrying capabilities address issues caused by Chinese long-range kill chains and electronic warfare, ensuring US air superiority in contested environments.

China’s J-36 may already be streaking through the sky as the F-47 prepares to take off on the drawing board, indicating that the US is no longer setting the pace but having a difficult time catching up with the F-47 in the race for sixth-generation dominance.

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