Policy issue behind Move Forward’s failure to form govt: poll

Policy issue behind Move Forward's failure to form govt: poll
Move Forward Party MPs hold a meeting on July 18 prior to the second round of parliamentary voting to select the prime minister scheduled for July 19. (Photo: Chanat Katanyu)

Most people are of the opinion that the Move Forward Party failed in a bid to form a government and the nomination of its leader Pita Limjaroenrat for prime minister because of its being adamant not to leave out some of its policies, according to an opinion survey by the National Institute of Development Administration, or Nida Poll.

Most people think the Move Forward Party (MFP) failed in a bid to form a government with its leader Pita Limjaroenrat as prime minister because of its insistence not to compromise on some of its policies, according to an opinion survey by the National Institute of Development Administration, or Nida Poll.

The poll was conducted on July 24-26 by telephone interviews with 1,310 people aged 18 and over of various levels of education, occupations and incomes throughout the country.

Asked which mistakes had led to the MFP’s failure to form a government and elect Mr Pita as prime minister, the answers varied as follows:

• 42.98% said the MFP refused to drop some of its policies in exchange for more support

• 30.46% did not think the MFP had made any mistakes

• 27.56% said the MFP was defeated in a political game in parliament

• 11.68% said the MFP had been reclusive, causing it to have no political allies

• 10.23% said the MFP had no true understanding of Thai political culture

• 9.54% said the MFP was not careful enough about the qualifications of its prime ministerial candidate

• 7.94% said the MFP had made a lot of political enemies

• 7.86% said some of its supporters’ behavior deprived the MFP of support in parliament

• 7.56% said the MFP relied too much on its supporters’ groups

• 6.11% said the MFP was too complacent about its 14 million votes and 151 MPs

• 5.88% said the MFP’s advisers miscalculated the situation

• 0.53% had no answer or were not interested

Asked whether political protests would erupt if the MFP ended up being in opposition, the answers were:

• 35.19% said there would be major rallies, but controllable
• 24.81% said there would be small rallies and controllable
• 23.16% said there would be major rallies that could get out of control
• 11.99% said there would not be any rally
• 2.90% said there would be some small rallies, but they would be uncontrollable
• 1.45% had no answer or were not interested

The MFP formed an alliance with the Pheu Thai and six other smaller parties, with a total of 312 MPs, to form a government. Mr Pita of the MFP was nominated for the post of prime minister in the first parliamentary voting on July 13, but he failed to get enough support from the Senate to secure the  375 votes needed for approval.

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Narathiwat fireworks blast toll now 12 dead, 121 injured

Narathiwat fireworks blast toll now 12 dead, 121 injured
Some of the 292 houses damaged or totally destroyed by a fireworks explosion at a warehouse in Muno village are seen in Sungai Kolok district, Narathiwat province, on Saturday. (Photo: Abdullah Benjakat)

NARATHIWAT: The death toll from the fireworks explosion at a warehouse in Sungai Kolok district on Saturday is now 12, with 121 injured and 292 houses damaged or totally destroyed, the province’s public relations office announced on its Facebook page on Sunday.

Of the 12 deaths, seven bodies had been taken by relatives for religious rites while the five others were still at Sungai Kolok Hospital, three of them identified and two unidentified.

Of the 121 injured, 111 had returned home. Ten were admitted to Sungai Kolok Hospital for treatment of injuries – with only one in a serious condition.

Sanan Pong-aksorn, the Narathiwat governor, examined the damage from the explosion which occurred at about 3pm on Saturday at the warehouse at Ban Muno, the Moo 1 village in tambon Muno.

He said the place was initally opened as a grocery shop. The owner then obtained permission to expand it to become a warehouse to store merchandise. The godown was believed to have been used to store fireworks without permission.

The warehouse owner had been identified and summoned to report to police to testify, Mr Sanan said.

The governor said the incident occurred while welding was taking place at Weerawat Panit shop to make shelves. The explosion was believed to have been caused by sparks from the welding work.

The huge blast damaged 292 houses nearby, totally destroying 50 of them.

Most of the residents nearby were unaware fireworks had been stored in the godown. The building doors had been closed most of the time, except when two trucks occasionally arrived to unload merchandise.

Wichitchat Udomlarpcharoenkit, a rescue leader from a charity foundation in Sungai Kolok, said when he led about 40 rescuers to the scene they saw only houses and shops ablaze with debris scattered over a wide area. Many vehicles had their tyres flattened by broken objects. Heavy equipment was used to break open the damaged houses to bring out the killed and injured, with help from soldiers and defence volunteers.

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Legal, civil action possible for convicted Move Forward MP ‘Ice Rayong’

Legal, civil action possible for convicted Move Forward MP 'Ice Rayong'
Nakhonchai Khunnarong (photo from his Facebook page)

The Election Commission (EC) may take criminal and civil action against a Move Forward Party MP for running in the May 14 election despite having been previously convicted and jailed for theft, according to its chairman.

EC chairman Ittiporn Boonpracong said the candidacy of Rayong MP Nakhonchai Khunnarong was actually barred by Section 98 of the constitution which set criteria for those running for parliament. The criteria include a court order for imprisonment.

If a candidate runs in a general election while knowing he is unqualified, he can be also considered as committing an offence in violation of Section 151 of the MP election law and held responsible for the election cost in accordance with Section 420 of the Civil and Commercial Code, Mr Ittiporn said.

He said that the EC was aware of the MP’s announcement that he would resign next week.

“There is the issue of a criminal offence under Section 151 of the organic law on MP election and there can also be a civil lawsuit to demand compensation for the organisation of a by-election,” Mr Ittiporn said.

Nakhonchai, aka Ice Rayong, announced his resignation on Thursday last week after admitting he had been convicted in a theft case and served 18 months in jail more than two decades ago.

The case dated back to October 1999, he said, when he was partying with a group of friends. He said he found a woman’s wristwatch but was arrested by police along with a friend who confessed to stealing it.

At the police station, he said he unknowingly signed a confession. He was sentenced to three years in jail, but the sentence was cut in half due to his confession.

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Body of missing Senegalese tourist found

PHUKET: The body of the Senegalese tourist who went missing after going swimming in the sea off Freedom beach in tambon Karon of Muang district on Friday was recovered on Sunday morning.

Lt Jadet Vachirasorn, the Tambon Karon Municipality mayor, said the body of Cheikhonuna Ba, 22, was recovered by a team of lifeguards at about 6.50am at Freedom beach where he went missing after being washed ashore.

Police and volunteers from the Kusoltham Phuket Foundation examined the spot and sent the body to Vachira Phuket Hospital for an autopsy.

The search command centre, set up by the Tambon Karon Municipality, has been closed, said Lt Chadet.

Lifeguards operating at various beaches have been instructed to remain vigilant, particularly during a weather disturbance, for the safety of tourists, he added.

After the Senegalese tourist went missing on Friday, searchers from the Karon municipality and other agencies were deployed on Saturday. They expanded the search area to Patong beach to the north and Karon beach about two kilometres south of Freedom beach on the west coast of the tourist island, but to no avail.

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KMITL hails homegrown rail carriage

Kingdom unveils ‘Beyond Horizon’

KMITL hails homegrown rail carriage
No tip needed: A robot serves a snack box and drink to a passenger during a demonstration for the Thai-made luxury 25-seater rail carriage ‘Beyond Horizon’ at the King Mongkut Institute of Technology Ladkrabang. (Photo: NXPO)

King Mongkut Institute of Technology Ladkrabang (KMITL), Sinogen-Pin Petch Joint Venture and the State Railway of Thailand (SRT) have introduced a prototype of a luxury 25-seater rail carriage nicknamed “Beyond Horizon”, equipped with personal touch screens and facilities for those who travel with wheelchairs.

Somyot Kaitwanidvilai, dean of KMITL’s School of Engineering and the project manager of Beyond Horizon, said the project is part of the Transport Ministry’s innovative Thai First Policy.

It seeks to incorporate more homegrown hardware into the mass-transit network, using 40% of Thai-made materials throughout the production line. The aim is to prepare locally-made rail coaches for a spurt of upcoming nationwide network development.

In 20 years, Thailand will need at least 2,425 rail carriages to cater for railway network development. Each carriage could cost 50 million baht, or up to 100 billion baht in total.

During 2015–2018, rail carriages accounted for 80% of SRT’s import costs. This presents an opportunity for Thailand to become a manufacturer in its own right, using technology localisation to improve the country’s railway system, Mr Somyot said.

He said the Beyond Horizon project has received 32 million baht in funding, 25 million baht of which came from the Programme Management Unit for Competitiveness, while the rest came from the Sinogen-Pin Petch Joint Venture.

“The design of the passenger coach was inspired by airlines’ business class and high-speed railways’ first class,” he said.

Each carriage consists of 25 seats, eight of them in the super luxury class and the rest luxury class.

All seats are provided with private screens for on-board entertainment and food orders, Mr Somyot said.

The passenger train’s lavatory is built in a vacuum system like the ones on commercial planes, while the train doors’ universal design is easy for people with disabilities.

Mr Somyot added the ticket price of Beyond Horizon will be similar to the price of the SRT’s sleeper train’s tickets.

Maethus Lertsethtakarn, executive of the Joint Venture Sinogen-Pin Petch company, said Thailand’s neighbours — Myanmar, Vietnam and Malaysia — are able to manufacture their own carriages for domestic use.

However, Thailand still orders production materials from abroad, costing the country over 6 billion baht, he said.

“The research team has developed every element of the train which gives us thorough insight into maintenance and upgrades,” he said.

“The budget for imports will be cut and our technical know-how will be available for entrepreneurs.”

Prime Minister Prayut Chan-o-cha praised the project, saying it will help reduce costs by about 50% when compared to importing carriages.

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Thai joint venture hails homegrown rail carriage

Kingdom unveils ‘Beyond Horizon’

Thai joint venture hails homegrown rail carriage
No tip needed: A robot serves a snack box and drink to a passenger during a demonstration for the Thai-made luxury 25-seater rail carriage ‘Beyond Horizon’ at the King Mongkut Institute of Technology Ladkrabang. (Photo: NXPO)

King Mongkut Institute of Technology Ladkrabang (KMITL), Sinogen-Pin Petch Joint Venture and the State Railway of Thailand (SRT) have introduced a prototype of a luxury 25-seater rail carriage nicknamed “Beyond Horizon”, equipped with personal touch screens and facilities for those who travel with wheelchairs.

Somyot Kaitwanidvilai, dean of KMITL’s School of Engineering and the project manager of Beyond Horizon, said the project is part of the Transport Ministry’s innovative Thai First Policy.

It seeks to incorporate more homegrown hardware into the mass-transit network, using 40% of Thai-made materials throughout the production line. The aim is to prepare locally-made rail coaches for a spurt of upcoming nationwide network development.

In 20 years, Thailand will need at least 2,425 rail carriages to cater for railway network development. Each carriage could cost 50 million baht, or up to 100 billion baht in total.

During 2015–2018, rail carriages accounted for 80% of SRT’s import costs. This presents an opportunity for Thailand to become a manufacturer in its own right, using technology localisation to improve the country’s railway system, Mr Somyot said.

He said the Beyond Horizon project has received 32 million baht in funding, 25 million baht of which came from the Programme Management Unit for Competitiveness, while the rest came from the Sinogen-Pin Petch Joint Venture.

“The design of the passenger coach was inspired by airlines’ business class and high-speed railways’ first class,” he said.

Each carriage consists of 25 seats, eight of them in the super luxury class and the rest luxury class.

All seats are provided with private screens for on-board entertainment and food orders, Mr Somyot said.

The passenger train’s lavatory is built in a vacuum system like the ones on commercial planes, while the train doors’ universal design is easy for people with disabilities.

Mr Somyot added the ticket price of Beyond Horizon will be similar to the price of the SRT’s sleeper train’s tickets.

Maethus Lertsethtakarn, executive of the Joint Venture Sinogen-Pin Petch company, said Thailand’s neighbours — Myanmar, Vietnam and Malaysia — are able to manufacture their own carriages for domestic use.

However, Thailand still orders production materials from abroad, costing the country over 6 billion baht, he said.

“The research team has developed every element of the train which gives us thorough insight into maintenance and upgrades,” he said.

“The budget for imports will be cut and our technical know-how will be available for entrepreneurs.”

Prime Minister Prayut Chan-o-cha praised the project, saying it will help reduce costs by about 50% when compared to importing carriages.

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Gears of power grind on

Gears of power grind on
Pheu Thai Party leader Cholnan Srikaew announces the outcome of a meeting of eight prospective coalition parties on July 21. (Photo: Nutthawat Wicheanbut)

The Pheu Thai Party is mulling whether to play the loyalty card — where it will invite parties to form the new government only after they have voted for one of its candidates as prime minister, according to a source.

The business of forming a new government is growing more complicated by the day and Pheu Thai is left in the unenviable position of choosing to either abandon a friend or find some new ones to work with.

However, all options entail risks, prompting Pheu Thai to seek the least damaging way out politically, the source said.

The expert said so-called pro-democracy supporters would pressure Pheu Thai if it ditched the Move Forward Party (MFP) and the six other parties bound by the memorandum of understanding they signed to establish the next coalition government together.

The supporters have already hit the streets of Bangkok to protest against the majority of senators who either voted against or abstained from voting for MFP leader Pita Limjaroenrat in his bid to become prime minister.

Only 13 senators backed him, which is a far cry from the support of at least 54 votes he needed to win the nomination.

On the second round of voting, his renomination was put on hold pending a Constitutional Court decision whether to consider a petition on the legality of Mr Pita’s premiership bid being re-submitted. The court’s decision is expected in two weeks.

Outside parliament, efforts to form a government have hit a snag with Pheu Thai finding itself right in the eye of the storm.

The MFP passed it the chance to form the government after its own efforts failed.

Pheu Thai is fully aware the Senate is likely to shun MFP again in any third round of voting.

Pressure on Pheu Thai

The Pheu Thai Party, now the lead party assembling a government, can either stick with the seven other MoU-bound parties and keep the prospect of building a coalition line-up in limbo, or invite some parties from the opposing camp, currently commanding 188 MP seats, to join the new government and drop the MFP.

The parties from the so-called conservative camp have made it clear in talks with Pheu Thai that they will not be part of a government with MFM as long as it pursues an amendment to Section 112 of the Criminal Code, or the lese majeste law.

But parting company with the MFP and tearing up the MoU exposes the Pheu Thai Party to the risk of igniting street protests by pro-demoracy groups who also include its own supporters.

The pressure would also intensify on Pheu Thai if it picked either or both the Palang Pracharath Party (PPRP) and the United Thai Nation (UTN) Party as coalition partners.

Pheu Thai would draw heavy flak for reneging its word during the May 14 general elections that it would not work with the so-called “uncle” parties, referring to those led by military bosses which it links to the 2014 military coup.

The “uncles” refer to Prime Minister Prayut Chan-o-cha, a UTN former chief adviser and its prime ministerial candidate, and Deputy Prime Minister Prawit Wongsuwon, also the PPRP leader.

Avoid the knife’s edge

The party reckons one way to avoid the knife’s edge is to be seen not to be abandoning any party.

According to the source, Pheu Thai may move to nominate Srettha Thavisin, one of its three prime ministerial candidates, at the next round of voting for a prime minister possibly after the long weekend later this week.

Pheu Thai will be watching which other parties vote for Mr Srettha. Those that do will be extended an invitation to be included in the coalition government.

If that’s the plan, parties which vote against or abstain from voting for Mr Srettha will end up in the opposition, the source said. “There’s no ditching of parties to offend anyone. If all parties vote for [Mr Srettha], they would all be in the coalition line-up,” the source said.

However, if after entering the coalition government any parties find it too crowded, they are free to leave, the source added.

If any MoU-bound parties left on their own accord, the Pheu Thai Party would save itself from criticism that it betrayed friends or trampled on pro-democracy interests.

The source added that if Mr Srettha’s nomination failed to win enough votes in parliament, Pheu Thai still has two other candidates — Paetongtarn “Ung Ing” Shinawatra and Chaikasem Nitisiri.

Ms Paetongtarn is head of the Pheu Thai Family, a position said to be on par with that of party leader.

Volatile situation

The source, however, admitted the situation surrounding the government’s formation remains fluid.

The issue could be settled in the next round of prime ministerial voting, says Stithorn Thananithichot, director of the Office of Innovation for Democracy at King Prajadhipok’s Institute.

He warned that if the Pheu Thai Party slips at the chance of securing a prime ministerial nomination, it would be in danger of seeing the third largest party, Bhumjaithai, claiming the right to lead the government formation.

With 71 House seats, it is the largest party in the bloc of 188 MPs. Leaving the Pheu Thai Party in control of the new government would entrust it with immense bargaining powers over cabinet seat allocations and even the House’s dissolution.

“It would be in the best interest of the [188-MP parties] to hang on to such powers,” he said.

If Mr Srettha’s bid for premiership proved futile, Ms Paetontarn would be next in line to be nominated.

But if the party was hesitant to put Ms Paetongtarn to the vote, the country might have to contend with a minority government of 188-MP coalition parties.

In the next round of voting, the eight Mou-bound parties might still work together. If a prime ministerial candidate from among their ranks fails to make the cut, it would be proof that their MoU commitment is as good as dead.

He ruled out any chance of the MFP backtracking on its Section 112 amendment policy in exchange for the Senate’s vote for Mr Pita as prime minister.

Mr Stithorn said the Senate does not want the MFP in government. It favours the 188-MP parties hooking up with Pheu Thai.

“The Pheu Thai Party, to its detriment, has been rather hasty in pushing the government formation process along,” he said.

In his view, Bhumjaithai might be tempted to stand by and watch the MFP and Pheu Thai fall out over the issue.

“The two parties are nearing the point of a messy break-up. Once there, the Pheu Thai Party will have no choice but to team up with the Bhumjaithai Party,” he said.

Next PM vote critical

Virot Ali, a political scientist at Thammasat University, said the Constitutional Court may throw out the petition on the validity of Mr Pita’s mooted prime ministerial renomination as some legal experts believe it is parliament’s privilege to decide.

The next round would be critical for the survival of the MoU that binds the parties. The MFP would be under heavy pressure as it must choose whether to put its Section 112 amendment policy on the back burner or see itself ejected from the coalition line-up and the Bhumjaithai Party brought in in its place.

It would also be interesting to look at the reaction of pro-democracy supporters who would be annoyed if either or both of the “uncles” parties were welcomed into a Pheu Thai Party-led coalition fold.

If the MFP was to be pulled from the Pheu Thai Party-led coalition line-up, the void would be filled by several of the 188-MP parties and the coup-appointed Senate inclined to vote for a prime ministerial candidate from Pheu Thai.

Mr Virot suggested the MFP must make a concession over Section 112 by focusing on problems with legal enforcement rather than trying to amend the law.

If the law was side-stepped, Bhumjaithai might agree to take part in the Pheu Thai Party-led coalition with the MFP and the other MoU-bound parties as part of it.

Such a line-up would ensure sufficient numbers for a prime ministerial candidate of the bloc to pass without a co-election by the Senate.

The next prime minister vote might be deferred till next month or September, he said.

A source among the MoU-bound parties agreed the new prime minister might be named no later than the second week of next month.

The Pheu Thai Party stands to lose its credibility if it abandons the MFP although it might risk it in order to secure a safe and secure return for former Thaksin Shinawatra from self-imposed exile abroad.

Thaksin, a well-respected figure in the Pheu Thai Party, has vowed to return on Aug 10 and face jail time.

A source in Chartthaipattana Party, one of the 188-MP parties, said the ball is in Pheu Thai’s court.

“The Pheu Thai Party must make up its mind and tell us outright if it plans to include the MFP as a coalition ally,” the source said.

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Day 1 of long holiday weekend sees 2,000 injured, 22 killed on the nation’s roads

Day 1 of long holiday weekend sees 2,000 injured, 22 killed on the nation's roads
A heavily damaged car rests on the Burapha Withi (Bang Na-Bang Pakong) elevated expressway after a clash in Bang Bo district, Samut Prakan, on Friday. (Photo: Sutthiwit Chayutworakan)

The total number of people injured in road accidents on the first day of the long holiday reached almost 2,000 with 22 fatalities, according to the Royal Thai Police (RTP).

Pol Gen Roy Ingkapairote, deputy national police chief and commander of the RTP’s Traffic Police Operation Centre, said on Saturday his officers have been told remain on the lookout for traffic offences due to the high volume of journeys from towns and cities to the provinces during the July 28 to Aug 2 long holiday weekend.

With 1,871 injuries and 22 fatalities on Friday alone, Pol Gen Roy said the main cause of accidents had been speeding, followed by drowsiness, changing lanes and dangerous overtaking.

He advised drivers to check their vehicles and study the route before leaving home to avoid road accidents.

Police also reported that 157 drivers had been arrested for drunk driving on Friday.

Pol Lt Gen Nithithorn Chintakanon, commander of the RTP’s national police chief office, said the legal alcohol limit is 50 milligrammes per decilitre (mg/dL).

Anyone found to be over the limit when breathalysed will face a charge of drunk driving.

Also, drivers below the age of 20 who do not hold a valid driver’s licence when caught over the breath/alcohol limit of 20 mg/dL will be sentenced.

Pol Lt Gen Nithithorn said first-time offenders will face up to a year of jail time or 5,000-10,000 baht in fines.

Those who repeat the offence within two years of their first conviction will likely have to pay 50-100,000 baht in fines and contest the sentence in a new court appearance.

Meanwhile, the state-run Transport Co said that over 58,000 passengers had left Bangkok to take city-dwellers back to their hometowns on Friday aboard over l,000 cross-provincial buses.

Transport Co president Sanyalux Panwattanalikit said 3,964 journeys back to the capital have been laid on for Wednesday to cater for 50,735 passengers on 7,975 rides making 109,624 trips in total for both legs.

No passengers will be left stranded at bus or coach stops on their way back to the city, he said.

He said people would begin to travel back to the city on Aug 2-3 and the Transport Co has prepared its vans and buses to provide about 3,500 rides per day for an average of 35,000 passengers a day.

He said the Transport Co had sought help from the Bangkok Mass Transit Authority and Taxi Association to offer connections at the capital’s five main bus terminals due to the high number of people travelling.

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Ashton Asoke must reapply for permit

BMA says B6bn condo project won’t be dismantled

Ashton Asoke must reapply for permit
Ashton Asoke condo project (photo supplied)

The owner of a high-profile Asoke condominium project may resubmit a request for a construction permit with the Bangkok Metropolitan Administration (BMA) provided it has a clear plan to address the entrance problem, Wisanu Subsompon, a deputy Bangkok governor, said yesterday.

His remarks come as Bangkok governor Chadchart Sittipunt is under increasing pressure to act after Thursday’s ruling by the Supreme Administrative Court. It invalidated the construction permit granted to the already finished 6-billion-baht Ashton Asoke condo project in Watthana district following a longstanding legal dispute.

Mr Wisanu said the BMA will now notify the project owner, Ananda MF Asia Asoke Co, Ananda’s joint venture operating the Ashton Asoke project, that the permit for the luxury condo has been revoked under the court’s order. However, he also moved to allay fears among condo residents that the 50-storey high-rise will be dismantled.

The deputy governor said the BMA will allow the project owner time to re-submit their request on the condition that it must have at least one entrance of at least 12 metres wide connected to a public road of 18 metres in width, as per the ruling.

Ashton Asoke’s main entrance joins with Asoke Road.

However, part of the entrance space belongs to the Mass Rapid Transit Authority of Thailand (MRTA) which expropriated the land to build the underground train station entrance right on the project’s doorstep.

The MRTA space cannot be counted as Ashton Asoke’s land which means the requirement for at least one 12-metre-wide entrance cannot be met.

Mr Wisanu said that as Ananda rents the space from the MRTA, it is a legal risk which the project owner has to bear.

Mr Chadchart will talk to the media about the fate of the project on Thursday, according to the deputy governor.

The case was brought to the Central Administrative Court by activist Srisuwan Janya, president of the Stop Global Warming Association, who represents a group of residents from a nearby residential project.

The petitioners asked the court to act against BMA officials, including the Watthana district office, for approving the permit despite knowing about the problem with the entrance width.

Mr Srisuwan said the developer should not use the 580 tenants of the condo to pressure the BMA and the MRTA into shouldering responsibility for the damages incurred as a result of the saga.

MRTA governor Pakapong Sirikantaramas, meanwhile, said the agency has not been contacted by Ananda in the aftermath of the court’s ruling.

However, he maintained the MRTA is not liable for any damages resulting from the court’s decision.

He said the construction had been retroactively revoked, not the MRTA’s permission to allow the use of its space as part of the entrance.

He added it is strictly a dispute involving Ananda and the BMA.

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Paetongtarn stands by Thaksin’s return date

Paetongtarn stands by Thaksin's return date
Chuvit: Stands by claims

Questions remain over whether fugitive ex-premier Thaksin Shinawatra will keep his promise to return to Thailand on Aug 10 after massage parlour tycoon-turned-whistleblower Chuvit Kamolvisit claimed the homecoming plan was cancelled.

On Friday, Mr Chuvit posted on Facebook, claiming that: “The game has changed. Thaksin stepped back and cancelled the plan to return to Thailand. The situation has changed. Signs of danger are beyond expectations.”

His remarks prompted a reaction from Paetongtarn Shinawatra, Thaksin’s youngest daughter and one of the Pheu Thai Party’s three prime minister candidates.

“Nonsense,” she commented on Facebook page of news presenter Sorrayuth Suthassanachinda, which posted Mr Chuvit’s remarks. She stood by the Aug 10 date.

Mr Chuvit later said he had received information that Thaksin had delayed his return because the political situation in the country remained volatile.

He also said he believed a new prime minister still cannot be elected by a joint sitting of MPs and senators in the vote scheduled for Friday.

He added that Thakin would return once a deal has been struck in Bangkok. He gave no further details. In response to Ms Paetongtarn, Mr Chuvit said: “I understand that Ms Paetongtarn wants her father to return to Thailand, though she might not know all the conditions [for his return].”

However, a source who recently met Thaksin abroad said Thaksin’s homecoming plan remains unchanged. “He will return to Thailand as planned and there are no other factors that will make him cancel the plan,” the source said.

Jatuporn Prompan, former chairman of the red-shirt United Front for Democracy against Dictatorship (UDD), said he did not believe Thaksin would return that day, as he has previously announced such homecoming plans 20 times but has not come back yet.

He said Thaksin’s latest homecoming plan was announced after the Move Forward Party stepped aside and let Pheu Thai take charge of forming a government. It is making slow progress.

“Don’t believe him until he appears at Don Mueang airport on Aug 10. Thaksin actually wants to return to Thailand without having to spend a single day in jail, which cannot happen,” Mr Jatuporn said.

On Wednesday, Thaksin’s 74th birthday, Ms Paetongtarn announced her father was due to arrive at Don Mueang airport on Aug 10.

It is the first time that Thaksin — who has spent 17 years saying he will come home — has set a date for his return.

Earlier, he said he would return before his birthday, only for his daughter to say it would be pushed back slightly due to political uncertainties.

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