Paetongtarn Shinawatra: Thai heiress brings back divisive dynasty. But for how long?

Getty Images Thaksin Shinawatra greets his supporters with his youngest daughter Paetongtarn Shinawatra on August 22, 2023.Getty Images

Paetongtarn Shinawatra brings a new, young face, and yet another part of the strong Shinawatra community, to the country’s best work.

She is the child of Thaksin Shinawatra, the ousted former prime minister who came back to Thailand past August after 15 years of exile.

The 37-year-old is also the youngest prime minister in Thailand’s history, and only the second woman – the first was her aunt Yingluck Shinawatra.

Since leading her party, Pheu Thai, in the public vote next year, Ms. Paetongtarn, who is known in Thailand as Ung Ing, has come to be a pretty well-known number. She became a well-known advocate, speaking at gatherings right after her second child was born.

But, her family did not want her to become prime minister because they were afraid she would be reliant on legal procedures that had forced both Ms. Yingluck and Mr. Thaksin to live in exile, especially her family Potjaman, who is still a prominent figure in Pheu Thai.

However, the family was forced to accept the surprising court ruling that earlier this week downgraded Srettha Thavisin’s championship. With the exception of Mr. Srettha, Pheu Thai only had two additional documented PM candidates who could take his place: one was an elderly former judge who the party’s MPs thought did not have the charisma or energy to lead them to the upcoming election, which is scheduled to take place in three years.

Ms Paetongtarn’s primary practice has been working in the Shinawatra-owned Rende resort group. She did n’t want to run for office, so she only joined the Pheu Thai party in 2021.

In taking on the job of prime chancellor, she is entering a political labyrinth.

She describes herself as a sympathetic entrepreneur, a social progressive who fully supports Thailand’s fresh equal relationship law.

However, the expression “daddy’s girl” is the one that most people will recall her using. She will always be assumed to be acting in accordance with her father’s instructions no matter what she does in the state. Additionally, Mr. Thaksin continues to be a pretty antagonistic number.

His returning from captivity a year ago was the result of a big deal with strong conventional forces. They include the defense, which deposed two Shinawatra institutions in dictatorships, and parties close to the king, which have opposed Mr Thaksin for more than two years.

The stunning success of the liberal Move Forward gathering in last week’s vote, pushing Pheu Thai and the Shinawatra community into second place for the first time, forced liberals, whose parties fared perhaps worse, to adjust.

Getty Images Paetongtarn Shinawatra (front C) joins hands with coalition party leaders at a press conference in Bangkok on August 15, 2024. Getty Images

Pheu Thai, whose free-spending democracy is now being copied by many other events, was no longer the main threat, with Move Forward pushing for reform of the stability majetse law and the military’s power.

But Pheu Thai was allowed to scrape together a partnership of 11 events, many of them long-term opponents of Mr Thaksin, to preserve Move Forward up.

But Mr. Thaksin’s suspicion endured forever.

The implicit state of his returning, and the aristocratic forgive given to him by King Vajiralongkorn, was that he would keep a small account and, as he had promised from captivity, spend his time with his children.

Actually, Mr. Thaksin is not even a Pheu Thai part. But even in captivity Mr Thaksin frequently interfered, often to the expense of his party. He is also regarded as the Pheu Thai’s principal monetary supporter. And he has been both visible and outspoken at group activities since being released on parole earlier this year.

Some claim that Mr. Thaksin is pushing for the nomination of a lawyer who was convicted in 2008 of trying to bribe a supreme court judge with a cash-filled shopping bag.

The prosecutor was about to act on a legal case against Mr. Thaksin at the time.

The constitutional court, which has frequently ruled against the Shinawatra clan, decided on Wednesday that Mr. Srettha’s appointment was irresponsible and provided ample grounds for dismissal. The decision serves as a reminder to Mr. Thaksin to curb his interests in Thailand.

He was even accused of lese guess earlier this year of comments he made while in exile nine years ago. This case has potentially serious consequences that may stand over him for years.

All of this makes Ms Paetongtarn’s task even more difficult. The popularity of Phue Thai for boosting the economy and raising the standard of living among the poor was the foundation of its success in the past.

But Thailand’s market is now being held back by long-term architectural challenges- and they are indifferent to the nationalist steps tried by past Shinawatra-led governments.

The central bank and other parties have objected to the party’s signature policy in the most recent election, which is a one-time payment of 10,000 baht ($ 284 ) to nearly all Thais ($ 284 ) via a digital wallet.

The party has little else in its policy arsenal to lift its political fortunes over the next three years. It will also face constant and effective opposition from the reformist Move Forward Party, now reconstituted as the People’s Party, after being dissolved by the constitutional court last week.

And Pheu Thai finds itself in a coalition where it has for the first time lost more than half of its seats. Additionally, its conservative political partners have little incentive to see a Pheu Thai-led administration have enough success to begin rebuilding its once-distributable support base among voters.

By constitutional court rulings or military coups, all four of the previous Shinawatra-led governments had been ousted before serving their terms.

Given the unending turbulence in Thai politics, Ms. Paetongtarn hopes to overthrow that disappointing record.