Bangladesh elections: Why India matters across the border

Hasina Sheikh, Bangladesh's prime minister, right, along with Narendra Modi, India's prime minister, speaks to the media during a ceremonial reception at Rashtrapati Bhawan in New Delhi, India, on Tuesday, Sept. 6, 2022shabby pictures

The part of Bangladesh’s enormous neighbor India is being hotly debated in the nation as it prepares to maintain basic elections on January7.

Hasina Sheikh, the prime minister, is running for a third straight term, and her victory appears inevitable given that the main opposition parties are abstaining from voting.

According to the Bangladesh Nationalist Party ( BNP ) and its allies, Ms. Hasina wo n’t hold a free and fair election. They demanded that she resign so that a natural interval authorities could hold the elections, but she refused.

With the exception of a 271 km ( 168 mile ) long border with Myanmar in the southeast, India almost completely encircles the Muslim-majority country of Bangladesh, which has about 170 million people.

Bangladesh is not just a neighboring nation for India. It is a close ally and strategic partner, both of which are essential to the safety of its north-eastern states.

Therefore, proponents of American policy contend that Dhaka needs a cordial government. Since she was first elected in 1996, Ms. Hasina has developed close ties with India, and it is no secret that Delhi wants to discover her retake the throne.

Dhaka’s near ties to Delhi have always been justified by Ms. Hasina. She advised Bangladesh not to overlook India, its state, people, and military troops as they stood by the nation during the independence war in 1971 during a trip to India in 2022.

The criticism BNP has criticized her for supporting her Awami League group harshly.

India may help the Bangladeshi people rather than a specific political party. However, older BNP head Ruhul Kabir Rizvi told the BBC that Indian policymakers do not support democracy in Bangladesh.

Mr. Rizvi claimed that Delhi was “alienating the people of Bangladesh” by openly supporting Ms. Hasina and what he referred to as a “dummy poll.”

Regarding the BNP’s claims that Delhi had interfered with the elections in Bangladesh, an American foreign ministry spokesperson declined to comment.

” Votes are a local issue for Bangladesh.” The Bangladeshi individuals must choose for themselves what will happen in the future. We want to see quiet elections in Bangladesh as a close friend and partner, the spokesperson said in response to the BBC’s query.

Supporters and opponents of Bangladesh Prime Minister Hasina Sheikh rally in front of the World Bank on 1 May 2023 in Washington DC.

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India is also worried that, as it had done when the alliance was in energy between 2001 and 2006, the BNP and the Jamaat-e-Islami party’s profit may open the door for Islamists to return to Bangladesh.

According to Pinak Ranjan Chakravarty, a former Indian High Commissioner in Dhaka,” they gave rise to so many of these islamic parties that were used for various reasons, including the 2004 assassination attempt on Ms. Hasina and the catch of 10 cars full of hands that came from Pakistan.”

Following her actions against racial rebel groups in northeastern India, some of which were operating from Bangladesh, Ms. Hasina quickly gained favor with Delhi after taking office in 2009.

Bangladesh and India have strong language, tribal, and cultural ties. Delhi sent soldiers in support of the Bengali Resistance Force, which was a crucial factor in Bangladesh’s independence from Pakistan in 1971.

Delhi is Dhaka’s main source for the source of countless necessities like wheat, pulses, and vegetables. India therefore has sway over every aspect of Bangladesh’s life, including politics.

Since 2010, India has also provided Bangladesh with more than$ 7 billion in loans for infrastructure and development initiatives.

However, there have been pollutants in relationships over the years, ranging from disagreements over water resource sharing to accusations of interfering in one another’s domestic affairs.

” Bangladesh has an image concern with India.” Debapriya Bhattacharya, a distinguished fellow at the Centre for Policy Dialogue in Dhaka said to the BBC,” It comes from the belief that Bangladesh is never getting the best of the great neighbor,” whether it be in terms of Delhi’s support for the government that may not have total political legitimacy or in transactions where we seek equal share.

Although there have been allegations of widespread vote-rigging, Ms. Hasina took office for a second day in January 2009, and her group has since won two more votes. The claims have been refuted by the Awami League.

Although India now has access to roads, rivers, and trains through Bangladesh to transport goods to its north-eastern states, detractors claim that Dhaka is still unable to conduct full-fledged overland trade with inland Nepal and Bhutan across Indian territory.

India has additional proper justifications for having a cordial federal in Dhaka.

Delhi wants Bangladesh to provide its seven north-eastern state with accessibility to roads and rivers.

The” chicken’s neck,” a 20 km ( 12 mile ) land corridor that connects Nepal, Bangladesh, and Bhutan, is now the route by road and train connecting the Indian mainland to its northeast. This area, according to Delhi officials, is carefully vulnerable to any possible conflict with China, India’s rival.

India has been resisting the move, calling it contradictory, even though several Western governments had wanted to impose more sanctions on Bangladeshi authorities over reported human rights violations and extra-judicial deaths. Furthermore, Beijing wants to expand its presence in Bangladesh as it competes with India for local dominance.

Bangladesh's Prime Minister Hasina Sheikh shakes hands with Chinese President Xi Jinping as she arrives for a meeting at the Diaoyutai State Guesthouse on 5 July 2019 in Beijing, China

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” We have warned the West that if you push Ms. Hasina, she may join the Chinese station, just like other nations have.” That will lead to a proper issue with India, according to Mr. Chakravarty, an ex-Indian diplomat. He continued,” We ca n’t afford that.”

Despite the adjacent ties between the two administrations, some Bangladeshis have misgivings about India.

” I do n’t believe Indians are cordial everywhere. We constantly have issues with India because we are a Muslim country, according to fruit merchant Zamiruddin in Dhaka.

” We will need to protect ourselves first before relying on another.” We’ll be in trouble if we do n’t, he continued.

Many people in Bangladesh are concerned about what’s happening across the border, while Delhi is worried about the potential for an Islamist gathering.

Rights organizations claim that discrimination against religious minorities, particularly Muslims, has increased since the Hindu-nationalist Bharatiya Janata Party ( BJP) took power in India in 2014. The BJP disputes this claim.

As a reference to Bengali Muslims who reside in state like Assam and West Bengal, Indian officials also discuss alleged invasion by” Bangladeshi improper newcomers.”

According to Mr. Bhattacharya, the mistreatment of Indian Muslims raises the possibility of mistreating Hindu minority in Bangladesh.

Hindus make up almost 8 % of Bangladesh’s population.

Hasina Sheikh at the head did undoubtedly serve Delhi’s objectives. Reaching out to the people of Bangladesh will be the difficult piece, though.

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