Commentary: Myanmar’s military stares at defeat as rebel forces go on the offensive

A LITTLE LOVE FOR THE MILITARY Commanders OF MYANMAR

The dictatorship has imprisoned close to 20,000 people and forced almost 1 million people to live in internal displacement since the coup in February 2021. The dictator’s four-cut plan to crush opposition terrorizes the general populace. There is n’t much affection for the generals because the junta has used its air force to attack civilian targets in order to keep power.

Additionally, the rebels ‘ quick success in taking control of a number of Tatmadaw bases has allowed them to obtain more weapons and ammunition. According to the most recent images and videos on social media, rebel forces have even taken weaponry and armored vehicles. In upcoming bombardments, these could be used against the Tatmadaw.

On the field, the rebel troops are in charge. The Tatmadaw are compelled to abandon various positions and retreat on numerous fronts. Military theory contends that freedom of action forces the opponent to adhere to one’s target and rate, making taking the initiative crucial.

But when faced with reality, theory you whither. Does the Tatmadaw regain the effort to plan a successful defense, then launch counterattacks to retake territory? This process appears to be impractical at the moment.

It appears that the Tatmadaw is stretched too far. In addition to fighting the rebels, the coup also faces oppositional troops in areas under its control, as evidenced by the death of one of its allies in Yangon.

According to a new study, the Tatmadaw have about 150 000 soldiers, with 70 000 of them serving in battle units. To put the numbers into perspective, during the height of the Vietnam War, the United States sent roughly 500,000 soldiers to Vietnam.

Even though the two problems are not ideal historic comparisons, it aids in demonstrating the scope of the regime’s difficulty. Given that Myanmar is spatially larger than Vietnam and is dotted with dense jungles and mountains, the Tatmadaw is engaged in a continuous conflict with rebel forces all over the nation.