Commentary: A stimulus is good, but China still faces a hard slog

SINGAPORE: In little more than a month, China’s efforts to pump up its economy&nbsp, have achieved anything critical: President Xi Jinping&nbsp, changed the conversation about global aspirations. The Federal Reserve, usually the main force driving industry attitude and forecasting, &nbsp, has organization. &nbsp,

That’s a huge change. For Beijing’s fame to last, it needs to not only provide what’s been flagged: Aggressive monetary easing, fiscal growth, innovative measures to support home buyers, money injections into lenders, and the creation of a market stabilisation fund. Authorities also now&nbsp, need to provide some delicious goals that defend the euphoria.

What does a triumph resemble, and is it only temporary or permanent?

There’s definitely loads of pleasure. Not only did Chinese shares boom, but all linked to the land, &nbsp, from metal ore to the Spanish currency, was &nbsp, propelled higher.

An “anything but China” mantra has been supplanted by “all-in, buy China”, Louis-Vincent Gave of Gavekal Research wrote in a note on Tuesday ( Oct 1 ). Beijing appears to have spooked investors into taking actions. &nbsp,

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Commentary: No one wants an Asian NATO, except Japan’s new PM Ishiba

The Cold War, which began with the US and the Soviet Union working together to defeat Nazi Germany in World War II, came about as a result of NATO’s establishment in 1949. NATO’s second secretary-general Hastings Ismay reportedly said that NATO was created to “keep the Soviet Union away, the Americans in, and the Germans down”.

As part of Washington’s isolation policy, NATO worked not just to support its member states, but also to examine the spread of communism.

Not everyone was convinced. European President Charles de Gaulle withdrawn France from NATO’s integrated military command in 1966 because he desired more freedom from the US. Emmanuel Macron, the present French president, sees a European military that is American-uniform, despite Paris ‘ return to NATO in 2009.

Many people believed that NATO’s anti-communist vision was superfluous after the end of the Cold War with the political upheavals in Eastern Europe in 1989 and the Soviet Union’s breakdown in 1991.

Strangely, NATO reinvented itself to support democracy and stability despite the presence of significant Russian threats, including military activities in the Balkans, the Middle East, South Asia, and Africa.

Despite this, many in Europe also question whether the US can be trusted to fulfill its NATO agreements, especially if Donald Trump is elected president once more after the November US election. The beach country of Japan, Japan, and the United Kingdom continue to be the most fervent supporters of NATO.

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Commentary: Japan’s new prime minister has barely the concept of a plan

Ishiba’s position on China is even harder to map out. He’s by turns hawkish and pragmatic, and seeks active diplomacy with Beijing that would benefit both sides – rhetoric that has changed little in almost a decade, the last time Ishiba held a significant position in the party – despite the geopolitical changes.

His self-styled identification with Tanzan Ishibashi, a journalist who became prime minister in the 1950s and who had promoted a pre-war “Small Japan-ism” that called to mind the Little Englanders of the 19th century who protested the British Empire’s expansion, might be the most telling:  A vision of Japan as an aloof country with strong borders but little ambition.

His economic policy is similarly slippery. He talks of boosting the lot of the less fortunate, and revitalising regions outside Tokyo. His political inspiration, the former prime minister Kakuei Tanaka, had similar promises – but also a plan to do so through great infrastructure projects such as the Shinkansen bullet train network.

FEW NEW IDEAS

If Ishiba has similar dreams, he’s not telling anyone. On Friday, he had few new ideas to help boost growth that is expected to be flat this year, and mostly called for continuing Kishida’s goal of raising wages.

In past remarks, as well as in his opposition to Abenomics, he has seemed to favour austerity. He has expressed support for Bank of Japan rate hikes, has said there’s room to raise both corporate and capital gains taxes, and has emphasised the importance of reducing Japan’s debt.

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Commentary: China’s removal of Japan seafood ban comes at a time of high bilateral tensions

A Chinese person killed a Japanese boy in Shenzhen the week before the announcement, according to a disturbing and horrible incident that occurred the week before the statement.

This came in the wake of a number of other incidents, including another stabbing incident and a number of Chinese martial provocations, that have drawn strong and supported criticism from the Asian media.

Beijing denied any connection between the seafood decision and the Shenzhen incident, but the removal gesture may be ( in part ) intended to reshape a deteriorating narrative in light of the growing Japanese public’s disapproval of China.

Institutions are proving more afraid than ever to give up liquidity for nothing in a time of heightened political conflict, even when that leverage is based on financially distorting behaviors that undermine the global trading system. In this instance, the decision might indicate Beijing’s desire to start a bilateral relationship repair after it has become somewhat defense.

This story may not be over however, given that Beijing’s announcement was only intended to start the removal process rather than an immediate removal. It at least demonstrates how economical statesmanship involves balancing stick and carrot, occasionally at the same time.

The University of Tokyo’s Research Center for Advanced Science and Technology is home to Victor Ferguson Postdoctoral Research Fellow. At the Australian National University’s School of Politics and International Relations, Darren Lim is the Top Lecturer. This remark first appeared on Lowy Institute’s website, The Interpreter.

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Commentary: Japan’s next leader will be different, and flawed

THE Common MAVERICK RAISING EYEBROWS

Given Trump’s interpersonal nature, he may perhaps understand Shigeru Ishiba’s speak of re-balancing Tokyo’s partnership with the US. Given Tokyo’s increasing significance in the US’s efforts to contain China, individuals in Washington might not be so confident.

Ishiba is well-known in military lines. However, his claims that he should review the Status of Forces Agreement and create an” Eastern NATO” to put Japan on equal terms with its safety guarantee are currently causing a stir in Washington. &nbsp,

Some conceited discussions about the risks a Chinese invasion of Taiwan might have on Japan, as well as comments that the nation is n’t just limited to supporting the US or expanding its influence there. &nbsp,

Ishiba’s economic claims even raise questions&nbsp, on his best time. Some of his arguments make me think about ending depreciation while concurrently calling for price increases to lower rates. &nbsp,

IT’S THE ECONOMY

The lack of an economic vision is n’t just limited to Ishiba, however. While each of the three represents a unique strand of conventional LDP financial thinking- liberal Koizumi, who sees growth prompted by sweeping reforms, spend-heavy Takaichi, who favours a return to easing, and financially careful Ishiba- their plans lack&nbsp, substance. &nbsp,

The next prime minister will probably live or fall on the market despite all the speak of issues like allowing married couples to stay independent surnames that dominate the hustings. Change may be great. But be cautious with your desires. &nbsp,

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Commentary: South Korea is facing a deepfake porn crisis

ENTRENCHED GENDER BIASES

Yoon is best. The effects of this kind of digital sexual abuse can be devastating for victims because this is n’t just a prank.

Given that the incident is raging while Pavel Durov, the product’s CEO, has been arrested and charged in France for allegedly colluding with children, is the subject of a lot of blame, particularly given how well the platform is being held accountable, especially now that the platform’s CEO has been charged with child pornography. Korean officials claimed that Telegram is cooperating with the research and that it has received requests to delete articles.

However, Yoon’s words may seem dull to some given that he came to power in 2022 to win over young female voters and proposed to abolish the female equality ministry, which he claimed treated men like “potential sex criminals.”

He added that South Korea does not practice structural sex discrimination and that he made the claim that feminist was to blame for the government’s low birth rate. However, women earn some 30 per cent less than their adult counterparts, marking the highest gender wage gap in the developed world. Yet in dual-income families, people bear the brunt of housekeeping and childcare responsibilities.

Prior to the development of AI tools, advocacy organizations had been highlighting a rash of modern sex crimes, with the majority involving secret cameras or intimate photos.

There are a number of reasons why North Korean women choose not to have children, including rising child labor force participation and the uneven burden of raising children, like their counterparts in other developed nations. This hill of incredibly disturbing data might be more important to examine than to blame feminism. Surprisingly, there were 227, 000 people of one of the main Letter groups that distributed these images, which is roughly on par with the number of babies born next year.

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Commentary: The South Korean nuclear debate won’t go away

STRUGGLING TO RESPOND TO THE NORTH KOREAN NUCLEAR MISSILE Hazard

The result of this significantly increased North Korean capacity is concern about the US commitment’s reliability. Will the US automatically fulfill its commitments to South Korea if North Korea is able to bomb the US country? Does it meet a battle without hesitation? It may, of course, and British officers signal persistently that it will.

But it might even bother. For instance, we are aware that previous president John Kennedy was much more lenient with the Soviet Union than he was at the time during the Cuban missile crisis.

We can also see a hesitant attitude from the West toward Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Because they fear a Russian nuclear increase, the US and its NATO allies have never entirely supported Ukraine. Ukraine and its supporters have severely criticized Russian nuclear threats as having excessively harmed Ukraine’s defense. In a Vietnamese situation, one may think a similar US reluctance.

South Korea is a convention alliance, of training. Ukraine is no. Additionally, Ukraine does not have a US military presence in South Korea, which is also not the case. But that suggests greater US trust.

But nonetheless, the US dedication was instituted, and persisted for years, around a geographically contained regular threat. That has changed dramatically, for the worse, in the last century. In a Vietnamese crisis, the US’s strategy is no longer as crystal clear as it was. North Korea almost certainly did produce the same atomic threats that Russia is currently putting forth.

Given all of this, the people in South Korea and a growing number of elites want the South to be able to neutralize North Korean nuclear weapons independently, using native deterrence rather than extended deterrence.

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Commentary: China-Philippines trust in troubled waters

Hostilities WILL LIKELY Develop

Two styles suggest that the conflicts between China and the Philippines will likely keep rising.

Second, both parties have made more legal efforts to prove their claims in the dispute. China has implemented a number of laws to support its activities in the South China Sea. Beijing’s coast guard was granted the authority to prosecute foreign ships and officers trespass in its waters for up to 60 days in a fresh sea rule in June.

This expands on a law passed in 2021 that allows the Taiwanese beach shield to fire on any vessel entering its waters. China continues to ignore the 2016 Permanent Court of Arbitration decision, which rejected Beijing’s statements to a large portion of the South China Sea.

Manila has even intensified its legal battle to back up its promises. In the Western Palawan area, the Philippines requested in June that the United Nations file its extended western shelf state.

Manila is also working on the Maritime Zones Act, which aims to expand the Philippines ‘ rights and privileges over its maritime districts, including those in conflicted places. China has previously criticized the act’s passage.

The expansion of military capabilities to combat the other party is the next main pattern. Through its military installations on man-made islands, China continues to have a significant and continuous presence in the Philippines ‘ Exclusive Economic Zone, expanding its defense influence over the South China Sea.

The Philippines has increased its military to avoid being left behind, increasing its use of anti-ship missiles and intensifying joint exercises with its classic security companion, the United States, as well as other like-minded lovers.

The administration of Philippine President Ferdinand” Bongbong” Marcos Jr. has also worked to expand the country’s strategic partnerships, passing new defense agreements with Germany and Japan in 2024.

The latter is particularly important. The Chinese troops deployed in the Philippines are permitted to participate in extended tasks and possible handle charitable and disaster relief thanks to the Reciprocal Access Agreement. Beijing has criticized the agreement, saying it is feared as a result of a broader local pattern of defense agreements targeted at China.

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Commentary: In South Korea, the mere mention of feminism can end a conversation

BURNING SUN SEX SCANDAL

Rising violence against women only makes the situation worse. According to a 2023 record in The Korea Times, offences against women rose to 28, 228 in 2021 from 16, 006 in 2007. Also, 86.7 per cent of subjects of violent acts in Korea were people from 2011 to 2020.

An example of the problems plaguing North Korean culture is the Burning Sun sexual scandal from 2019 that involved prominent K-pop stars.

The incident, centred around the Burning Sun bar in Gangnam, Seoul managed by former superstar Seungri from BigBang, included drug-fuelled sexual abuse, gang-rape and improper shooting and posting of those works by well-known figures such as singer-songwriter Jung Joon-young and star Choi Jong-hoon. Additionally, the incident revealed cooperation between different celebrities and the police. &nbsp,

The sexually explicit videos and photos of unconscious people were shocking, and reflected a style of dehumanising, incapacitating, loathing, and belittling of people.

Seungri was found guilty of a number of offenses, including securing prostitutes for prospective investors and receiving an 18-month prison term. He was let go in February 2023. Jung was released in March of this year after serving for five centuries, and Choi was released in 2021 after serving for two and six times.

The incident was brought back into the spotlight just after a BBC documentary that was released in May revealed the great personal value the two female reporters who exposed it had paid.

Kang Kyung-yoon and Park Hyo-sil were harassed both online and offline because they were seen as women wagering an unsupported assault on innocent K-pop actors. In the early hours of the morning, they fought harsh comments, threats of death, and telephone calls. During this time, Park suffered two abortions.

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Commentary: Why North Korea may find the South’s new vision for unification provocative

WHAT SOUTH KOREA Needs

Seoul’s attempts are threefold. For one, it hopes that more North Koreans will want to live there because more people will have access to outdoor info, increasing the number of border crossing attempts.

After North Korea sealed its edges during the pandemic, the number of effective rebellions significantly decreased from 2020 to 2020. However, the number of sympathizers entering the South nearly tripled to 196 after border controls were eased once more in 2023. Seoul’s military just made the announcement that it had picked up a North Korean man who had crossed the border in two weeks, on August 20.

Additionally, Seoul believes that a surge in information might cause a popular rebellion in the North. A rise in this kind could cause a program to either flex and grant its citizens more freedom and human rights, or to fall.

But, in my opinion, these cases are unlikely to change into reality. After all, Pyongyang’s strong control of inside information has so far enabled the program to succeed.

Seoul’s fresh perspective for unification is controversial and may not be well-received by Pyongyang. It may even put the lives of regular North Koreans in danger by encouraging Kim’s routine to strengthen its data power.

Yoon’s dedication to creating a new vision for Asian unification dates back many times. In March, South Korea’s political company announced its intention to release the National Community Unification Formula, which since 1994 has been the government’s standard integration plan.

The method is comprised of three phases: Seeking peace and cooperation with the North, establishing a Vietnamese state, then creating a single integrated Korea.

Although the precise nature of the release is not yet known, it is not surprising that the company chose to change the existing integration method. Since the formula was developed thirty years ago, nothing has changed beyond the initial period.

Kim apparently gave up hope for integration in January, so Seoul made the decision to review and update its unity method. He claimed in a discourse delivered at the congress of North Korea that the South should be regarded as the “principal foe” in the new law.

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