Indonesia GDP growth beats forecast in Q2, fastest in a year

JAKARTA: Indonesia’s economic growth accelerated in the April to June quarter amid an foreign trade boom driven simply by rising commodity costs, official data showed on Friday (Aug 5), but monetary tightening, rising inflation and a global economic downturn risk threaten the outlook.

Second-quarter gross domestic product (GDP) had been up 5. forty-four per cent on a calendar year earlier, showing the fastest growth price in a year, according to Statistics Indonesia data. That beat the median forecast of a 5. 17 per cent within a Reuters vote and the first quarter’s 5. 01 % annual growth.

Exports expanded nearly 20 per cent on the yearly basis, collecting pace from sixteen. 22 per cent in the last quarter, which the stats bureau called “impressive”.

Household consumption, which accounts for more than half of GDP, retrieved further after the lifting of COVID-19 limitations, with the Eid al-Fitr celebration in May offering a further boost. Nevertheless , investment slowed.

By sector, as well as beverages, mining, design and transport and warehousing industries noticed faster expansion within the previous period.

However , Indonesia’s main bank said last month the rise in full-year 2022 GDP from 2021 would be at the lower end of the range of 4. five per cent to five. 3 per cent. This previously forecast development in the middle of that variety.

In decreasing its forecast, this said a global economic slowdown would damage exports and a within inflation at home might slow the pace of recovery in consumption.

Consumer prices in Come july 1st were up 4. 94 per cent on the year earlier, tagging a seven-year high in pumpiing and prompting calls simply by economists for Bank Indonesia to lift interest rates from pandemic-era lows.