It is also difficult to parse how much of the “green wave”, a term derived from PAS’ party colours, is due to rising religiosity or, as political analyst Chandra Muzaffar believes instead, a rejection of the United Malays National Organisation (Umno).
“If you look at Malaysia electorally, no political party can afford to become too extreme. Because it won’t serve their interests. We’re not just talking about ideals … (but) about real politics,” said Chandra.
While PAS has questioned the legitimacy of the unity government, comprising Pakatan Harapan (PH), Umno and parties in East Malaysia, the state elections will not change the status quo, predicted International Islamic University of Malaysia associate professor Syaza Farhana Mohamad Shukri.
“PN will (continue) in power up north, and Selangor and Penang will still be under PH. But I feel (the incumbents in) Penang, and Selangor especially, are going to lose some seats,” she said.
“PH will win but (with a) reduced majority. … It’s difficult for PN to win over the Chinese and Indians, so that’ll stop them from getting a majority.”