Existential crisis for Iran in South Caucasus

Tensions between Azerbaijan and Armenia are threatening to destabilize the South Caucasus, prompting some to worry that Iran could eventually be pulled into a wider regional conflict. But is Iran really prepared to invade its Shia-majority neighbor to protect Armenia, or are recent military moves little more than bluster? While Azerbaijan’s military continues to capture parts of […]Continue Reading

Disinformation and democratic resilience in Taiwan

Since 2000, Taiwan has been a top target of misinformation campaigns largely propagated by the Communist Party of China (CPC) and its proxies. Beijing’s primary objective in spreading disinformation is to undermine trust in Taiwan’s democracy and governance. Beijing hopes to convince Taiwanese citizens that the only way to avoid war is to support its plans peacefully to unify […]Continue Reading

Foxconn’s Guo shakes up Taiwan’s presidential race

With his sudden departure on March 27 on a 12-day trip to the United States, Foxconn founder Terry Guo has sent his own signal that Taiwan’s 2024 presidential election campaign is underway. At a time when fresh controversy has arisen over the meaning of the “one China” principle, Guo’s every word is bound to be […]Continue Reading

Two anti-war voices in Republican Party speak up

Opposition to Joe Biden’s proxy war to destroy Russia has entered the 2024 US presidential election – from Stage Right. And the growing anti-interventionist sentiment among grassroots conservatives and libertarians is alarming establishment war hawks on both “left” and “right.” They are furious. Their anger boiled over when Fox News commentator Tucker Carlson asked likely Republican presidential […]Continue Reading

Can the Japan-South Korea rapprochement stick?

The Tokyo summit that brought together South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol and Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida on March 23, 2023, cleared away much of the accumulated debris of the last five years of dysfunctionality. The two-day official visit — the first by a South Korean president in a dozen years — checked off a […]Continue Reading

Fed’s ‘soft landing’ likely to land in recession

Federal Reserve policymakers have targeted a “soft landing” for the US economy since beginning their effort a year ago to tame runaway inflation by hiking interest rates. That is, they believed they could do so without sending the US into recession. But the Fed’s decision to raise rates by a quarter point on March 22, […]Continue Reading

Eye on China, Hun Sen tightens his military control

As Cambodian Prime Minister Hun Sen’s plan to hand power to his eldest son gathers pace, the long-ruling premier is consolidating his control over a fractious defense ministry that some observers believe was running parallel but separate diplomatic channels to China.    Tea Banh, the defense minister since the 1980s, is believed to have been the […]Continue Reading