Pope Francis arrives in Timor-Leste as abuse scandal hangs over visit

Pope Francis has touched down in Timor-Leste- the single Catholic-majority state he will attend on his 12-day Asia-Pacific trip.

Around 700, 000 people- more than half of Timor-Leste’s full population- are expected to attend an open-air mass that the Pope did honor near the capital Dili afterwards on Tuesday.

Politicians are urging the Pope to tackle a new misuse scandal that has tarnished the Church in Timor-Leste, previously known as East Timor, with enormous enthusiasm for the pope’s attend.

Authorities had also demolished homes and evicted dozens of people in the area where the mass will be held, in a move which has attracted strong criticism from local residents.

” They also destroyed our stuff inside the house. Because my kids are still attending school in this area, we now have to hire adjacent,” Zerita Correia had previously told BBC News.

The houses are located in Tasitolu, a vegetation area just outside the capital. Over the past ten years, hundreds of people have relocated that from rural areas of the nation.

Some people moved to the capital and constructed basic homes there. They are squatting and have no right to live there, according to the authorities.

A state minister told the BBC that people were informed of plans to evacuate the area in September 2023.

The Pope is also facing inquiries about allegations that a well-known priest, who was hailed as an freedom warrior, sexually abused adolescent boys in Timor-Leste.

A Vatican official said the temple had been informed of the case involving Nobel Peace Prize-winning Bishop Carlos Ximenes Belo in 2019 and had taken punitive measures in 2020, including a ban on voluntary call with juveniles.

The victims ‘ community of those abducted by clergy in Oceania wrote in an open letter that there is still no reimbursement for the victims and that Pope Francis should use Church funds to pay them payment.

The Pope wo n’t visit victims, according to his official schedule, but it’s not clear whether he will apologize for the incident or whether Bishop Belo will visit Dili.

Timor-Leste’s critics have also questioned the decision to spend such large sums of money on the visit, including US$ 1 million ( £762, 000 ) on a brand-new altar.

Almost half of Timor Leste’s population already lives below the national poverty line, according to the UN.

This catholic visit to Timor-Leste is the first since Pope John Paul II visited the country in 1989, when it was still under Indonesian rule.

Just 20 % of East Timorese citizens were Catholic when Indonesia invaded the former Portuguese colony in 1975. That number currently stands at 97 %.

Prior to now, the Pope was in Papua New Guinea, where 3 % of its inhabitants identify as Catholics, and 3 % in Indonesia, where that percentage is higher.

After this week, Pope Francis did wrap up his tour of the area in Singapore.

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France offers SE Asia an often forgotten third way choice – Asia Times

This post originally appeared on Pacific Forum and has since been republished with authority. Read the original below.

Despite having a long-standing appearance in Southeast Asia, France’s recent engagement in the region remains limited. France has been formalizing its Indo-Pacific method since 2018 in an effort to strengthen its regional property, establish its position as an Indo-Pacific strength, and establish new ties with Asia.

Yet, despite this technique, France’s success in Southeast Asia is also lacking, as it prioritizes the Indian Ocean due to its geographical interests, forming the basis of its Indo-Pacific foreign plan.

France’s interest is also divided according to handling continued conflicts such as the Russia-Ukraine conflict, the war in Gaza, and local European affairs, which threaten Europe’s security and need France’s leadership.

Southeast Asia’s difficult geopolitics, including sea disputes and competition among significant powers, are possible sources of conflict. Also, Southeast Asia’s increase as the most powerful area in the world prompts a reassessment of France’s geographical coverage.

The French administration’s plan report,” France’s Partnerships in the Indo-Pacific”, emphasizes a devotion to a second way in the region. Given that some Asian nations are less advanced in this area, it aims to work with all well-intentioned capabilities that are committed to non-traditional surveillance, particularly in terms of addressing climate change.

Southeast Asia is very vulnerable to climate change, facing problems like rising sea levels, heat waves, storms, floods and extreme weather events. As a head in the fight against climate change, France may draw on its expertise, funding, and study to work with Southeast Asian nations in this crucial field.

Given Vietnam’s significant contribution to world rice exports, this focus aligns with ASEAN’s existing needs, as evidenced by recent droughts in southern Vietnam that have affected rice cultivation.

But, France’s approach to Southeast Asia faces restrictions compared to countries like Japan, the US and China, as it cannot provide large-scale equipment leasing or military technology gifts.

France can use ASEAN’s advantages in non-traditional security, while another big powers concentrate on other areas. This method is well-suited to ASEAN’s present interests, especially in addressing climate change and other pressing local issues.

Regarding political engagement, France is actively involved in supporting ASEAN-led mechanisms and promoting ASEAN centrality. France became the first member of the European Union to sign the Treaty of Amity and Cooperation in Southeast Asia ( TAC ) in 2007.

Additionally, France has accredited its Ambassadors to ASEAN since 2009, indicating its commitment to engaging with ASEAN. A workshop on regional security, titled” Navigating through Concurrent Security Challenges: How to Keep ASEAN in the Driver’s Seat,” was sponsored by France in December 2023.

This workshop aimed to address challenges and provide support to ASEAN-led mechanisms and ASEAN centrality, showcasing France’s dedication to strengthening ASEAN’s role in regional security.

Both France’s Indo-Pacific Strategy and ASEAN Outlook on the Indo-Pacific ( AOIP ) share common points, as they seek partnerships with like-minded countries based on a shared vision of challenges and solutions.

Both emphasize keeping a neutral position and refraining from taking sides, which aids in the establishing of trust between France and ASEAN. The 2020 ISEAS–Yusof Ishak Institute survey on Southeast Asia’s state ranked the EU as ASEAN’s second most trusted partner, after Japan.

Given that it is a significant member of the EU, France has a significant advantage in fostering trust and cooperation with ASEAN.

France’s strategy in the Indo-Pacific, emphasizing neutrality and a third-path approach, benefits ASEAN by promoting multilateralism and reducing concerns about relationships with other major powers like China, the US and Japan.

From ASEAN’s perspective, France’s strategy is seen as a major power supporting ASEAN-led institutions and strengthening multilateralism and balance in the region. ASEAN wo n’t have to deal with pressure to take sides because France does n’t participate in alliances like the Quad and AUKUS.

Being able to support major powers that maintain a neutral stance given ASEAN’s relatively weak voice in comparison to major powers, having support from major powers that maintain a neutral stance is essential for bolstering ASEAN’s multilateral efforts. For France, this position allows it to exert more influence in ASEAN’s areas of strength.

France can use its favorable standing to strengthen its influence within ASEAN and promote regional stability and cooperation by adhering to ASEAN’s principles and objectives.

France, a strategic partner for ASEAN?

Among ASEAN countries, France has different levels of cooperation.

Although many Southeast Asian nations have historically sourced their weapons from Russia, the Ukraine conflict and subsequent sanctions have caused ASEAN to diversify its sources.

France, now the world’s second-largest arms exporter overtaking Russia, holds 11 % of the global arms market and has seized this opportunity to sell arms to ASEAN countries.

For instance, France sold two Scorpene submarines to Indonesia on April 3, 2024, and French weapons company Nexter Defence System is working closely with the Indonesian government to create a domestic weapons industry.

Furthermore, on December 9, 2023, France and Malaysia reinforced their strategic partnership in defense, underscoring ASEAN’s role and France’s role as an observer in the ASEAN Defense Minister’s Meeting Plus ( ADMM Plus ).

Additionally, Singapore and France aim to enhance ties through a Comprehensive Strategic Partnership ( CSP) by 2025. The Philippines and France made a commitment to strengthen defense cooperation and pursue an agreement that would allow them to send troops to their respective territories on December 2, 2023.

France has actually deployed patrol ships in the South China Sea several times to demonstrate its commitment to upholding maritime security in the area.

While France maintains good relations with Indochina, particularly through economic and Francophone activities, the relationship remains relatively limited. This is especially true for Vietnam, which has been hailed as a crucial partner for France in Southeast Asia.

France and Vietnam celebrated their strategic partnership’s tenth anniversary and relationship’s fiftyth anniversary in 2023. Despite historical difficulties, this relationship has the potential to become a Comprehensive Strategic Partnership, similar to the progress made in the US-Vietnam relationship.

However, this process requires significant efforts from both countries. It is interesting that, despite significant official visits between France and Vietnam, the French president has not traveled to Vietnam during significant occasions, such as the 50th anniversary of their relationship.

In contrast, other European nations, including the Netherlands and Eastern European countries, who are all EU members, have sent their presidents to Vietnam, most recently in 2023, establishing crucial diplomatic relations that Vietnam established in 1973.

Efforts must continue to leverage Vietnam’s strengths in sectors such as textiles, footwear, agriculture and aquaculture within the framework of the EU-Vietnam Free Trade Agreement ( EVFTA ) to strengthen economic ties.

For strengthening bilateral relations, France and Vietnam must collaborate in key strategic areas. This includes encouraging French investments that are in line with Vietnam’s foreign investment strategy and promoting partnerships in high technology and industry.

Both countries recognize the importance of cooperation in sustainable development, ecological transition, and combating climate change, necessitating joint efforts on an international scale.

To promote environmentally sustainable practices, this partnership should include infrastructure development, energy transition projects, and sustainable transportation initiatives. Regarding arms sales, although Vietnam has shown interest in French weaponry, the high cost has posed challenges.

Despite the ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine, Vietnam’s military cooperation with Russia continues successfully. By enhancing Vietnam’s ability to develop its own weapons, France might consider doing so in the future in a manner akin to what it intends to do for Indonesia. This approach is in line with Vietnam’s current requirements and could lead to a stronger defense cooperation between France and Vietnam.

France and ASEAN have a lot of potential for cooperation, and both parties have agreed on priorities and priorities. However, to fully realize this potential, France must translate its vision into practical actions and initiatives.

By doing so, France can strengthen its partnership with ASEAN and significantly contribute to regional stability, development, and cooperation.

National ChengChi University’s Tran Thi Mong Tuyen is a professor.

First published by Diplomatie Magazine N. 127 in France, this article was originally written in French.

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Afghanistan: Babies dying as malnutrition disaster unfolds

BBC/Imogen Anderson Baby Bibi HajiraBBC/Imogen Anderson

Warning: This story contains troubling information from the start.

” This is doomsday for me,” I thought. I feel so many pain. Can you picture what I’ve gone through while watching my kids pass away? says Amina.

She’s lost six kids. One of them is nowadays vying for her career, and none of them has lived past the age of three.

Seven-month-old Bibi Hajira is the size of a kid. Suffering from severe acute nutrition, she occupies half a pillow at a hospital in Jalalabad local hospital in Afghanistan’s northeast Nangarhar state.

” My kids are dying because of hunger. All I can pull them is dried bread, and waters that I heated up by keeping it out under the sun”, Amina says, almost shouting in pain.

Perhaps more damaging is how far her story is from being unique, and how many more lives could be saved by receiving treatment right away.

BBC/Imogen Anderson HospitalBBC/Imogen Anderson

Bibi Hajira is one of 3.2 million kids with chronic hunger, which is ravaging the country. It’s a problem that has plagued Afghanistan for centuries, which has been brought on by 40 years of war, extreme hunger, and a myriad other elements in the three decades since the Taliban took control.

However, the condition has then sunk to an unprecedented level.

It’s difficult for anyone to think what 3.2 million looks like, so the tales from a small hospital room can provide an insight into the coming disaster.

There are 18 child in seven rooms. It’s never a seasonal boom, this is how it is day after day. The room just experiences a disturbing silence when a pulse rate monitor’s high-pitched beeps break the unsettling silence.

Most of the kids do n’t wear oxygen masks or are sedated. They are alive, but they are far too poor to speak or move.

Sharing the base with Bibi Hajira, wearing a purple tunic, her little finger covering her face, is three-year-old Sana. Her uncle Laila is taking care of her because her mother passed away while giving birth to her sister a few months ago. Laila crosses my shoulder and extends seven fingers, one for each lost child.

In the opposite base is three-year-old Ilham, way too little for his years, skin peeling off his hands, legs and face. Three years ago, his girlfriend died aged two.

It is too terrible to even glance at one-year-old Asma. She breathes strongly into an air mask that covers most of her little mouth, but she has beautiful hazel eyes and long eyelashes that are wide open and little blinking.

BBC/Imogen Anderson Baby AsmaBBC/Imogen Anderson

Dr Sikandar Ghani, who’s standing over her, shakes his head. ” I do n’t think she will survive”, he says. Asma’s little body has gone into toxic shock.

Despite the circumstances, upward until then there was a selflessness in the room- midwives and mother going about their job, feeding the kids, soothing them. It all starts, a cracked look on so many eyes.

Asma’s mom Nasiba is weeping. She leans down to kiss her child while lifting her mask.

” It feels like my brain is melting from my body.” I ca n’t bear to see her suffering like this”, she cries. Nasiba has now lost three babies. ” My husband is a labourer. When he gets job, we eat”.

Dr. Ghani warns that Asma may experience cardiac arrest at any time. We leave the room. Less than an hour after, she died.

More than three children per day have died in Nangarhar’s public health ministry, according to the Taliban’s public health department, in the past six decades. A shocking number, but there would have been many more fatalities if World Bank and Unicef had certainly contributed to the continuation of this program.

Up until August 2021, almost all of Afghanistan’s open heath was funded by foreign funds donated directly to the preceding state.

Due to international punishment, the Taliban were unable to provide the funds when they took control. This triggered a medical decline. Support organizations intervened to provide what was meant to be a temporary crisis answer.

BBC/Imogen Anderson Dr Sikandar GhaniBBC/Imogen Anderson

It was always an untenable answer, and then, in a universe distracted by so much more, funding for Afghanistan has shrunk. Similarly, the Taliban administration’s policies, particularly its restrictions on women, have meant that sponsors are hesitant to give money.

” We inherited the poverty and malnutrition issue, which has only gotten worse as a result of climate change and natural disasters like floods. The international community should improve humanitarian support, they should not attach it with social and domestic issues”, Hamdullah Fitrat, the Taliban government’s assistant spokesman, told us.

We have visited more than a few health facilities in the nation over the past three years, and we have seen how quickly the condition has deteriorated. During each of our history several visits to institutions, we’ve witnessed children dying.

However, what we have also witnessed is proof that the correct treatment can protect children. Bibi Hajira, who was in a delicate condition when we visited the hospital, is now much better and has been discharged, Dr Ghani told us over the telephone.

” If we had more drugs, infrastructure and staff we may save more children. Our team has strong dedication. We work hard and are ready to complete more”, he said.

” I also have kids. When a child dies, we even suffer. I am aware of what may enter the kids ‘ hearts.

BBC/Imogen Anderson Baby Umrah and her motherBBC/Imogen Anderson

Malnutrition is not the only factor contributing to a rise in deaths. Kids are also dying from preventable and curable conditions.

In the intensive care unit next entrance to the nutrition hospital, six-month-old Umrah is battling severe bronchitis. As a caregiver adheres a salt flow to her body, she screams violently. Umrah’s family Nasreen sits by her, tears streaming down her face.

” I wish I could die in her position. I’m but scared”, she says. Two weeks after we visited the hospital, Umrah died.

These are the accounts of those who survived hospitalization. Countless others ca n’t. One in five children who require medical care can visit the Jalalabad doctor.

The pressure on the service is so powerful that almost immediately after Asma died, a little girl, three-month-old Aaliya, was moved into the third a mattress that Asma left unfilled.

No-one in the room had time to process what had happened. Another really poor child had to be treated.

The Taliban government estimates that the inhabitants of five provinces, or approximately five million people, is served by the Jalalabad clinic. And now the force is even greater. The majority of the more than 700,000 Afghan refugees who Pakistan has forcibly deported since late last month remain in Nangarhar.

Another alarming statistic released this year by the UN was found in the neighborhoods around the hospital: that 45 % of children in Afghanistan are stunted, or shorter than they should be.

Robina’s two-year-old boy Mohammed don’t remain still and is much shorter than he should be.

BBC/Imogen Anderson Robina and MohammedBBC/Imogen Anderson

” He may be good if he receives care for the next three to six months,” the doctor informed me. But we ca n’t even afford food. How do we spend for the therapy”? Robina asks.

She and her family had to leave Pakistan next year, and they now reside in a filthy, clean settlement in the Sheikh Misri region, which is accessible via dirt roads from Jalalabad.

” I’m afraid that he will become disabled and that he will never be able to walk,” Robina says.

” In Pakistan, we even had a difficult life. But there was job. Here my father, a labourer, often finds job. If we were still present in Pakistan, we may had treated him.

BBC/Imogen Anderson Sheikh Misri VillageBBC/Imogen Anderson

According to Unicef, stunting can result in serious, irreversible physical and cognitive deterioration that can last a lifetime and even influence the next generation.

” Afghanistan is now struggling financially. How does our society be able to assist those who are physically or mentally impaired if a sizable portion of our future generation is? asks Dr Ghani.

If Mohammad is treated before it’s too soon, he can be saved from lasting harm.

However, the most drastic cuts have been made to the neighborhood diet programs that aid organizations in Afghanistan have run, with many of them receiving only a quarter of the necessary funding.

BBC/Imogen Anderson Sardar Gul with Umar and MujibBBC/Imogen Anderson

We encounter individuals with emaciated or stunted children in street after lane of Sheikh Misri.

Sardar Gul has two malnourished children – three-year-old Umar and eight-month-old Mujib, a bright-eyed little son he holds on his shoulder.

” A fortnight ago Mujib’s mass had dropped to less than three tons. We began receiving food capsules once we were able to register him with an assistance organization. Those have definitely helped him”, Sardar Gul says.

Mujib then weighs six kilos- nevertheless a couple of kilos skinny, but considerably improved.

It provides information that saving children from disability and death can be achieved through prompt treatment.

More monitoring: Irene Anderson and Sanjay Ganguly

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Thamanat chaperones new minister on flood inspection

Former agriculture and cooperatives minister Thamanat Prompow, second right, addresses officials at the Regional Irrigation Office 12 in Sapphaya district, Chai Nat, on Sunday. Also present, from left, were his brother and deputy minister Akara Prompow, agriculture minister Narumon Pinyosinwat and deputy minister Itthi Sirilattthayakorn. (Photo: Regional Irrigation Office 12)
Previous crops and cooperative minister Thamanat Prompow, next right, names officials at the Regional Irrigation Office 12 in Sapphaya area, Chai Nat, on Sunday. Even present, from left, were his brother and assistant secretary Akara Prompow, crops secretary Narumon Pinyosinwat and assistant secretary Itthi Sirilattthayakorn. ( Photo: Regional Irrigation Office 12 )

Over the weekend, Narumon Pinyosinwat, the just sworn in minister of agriculture and cooperatives, observed the Chao Phraya River basin’s water management under the watchful eye of Thamanat Prompow, the leader of the rebel faction.

Ms Narumon, Capt Thamanat, his nephew Deputy Agriculture and Cooperatives Minister Akara Prompow and another assistant minister, Itthi Sirilattthayakorn, visited water agencies in Chai Nat and Ayutthaya regions on Sunday.

They monitored the storm position in the Bang Ban area and followed up on the water management at the Chao Phraya river storm bridge in Chai Nat.

Ms. Narumon claimed that the Chao Phraya’s concentration at the storm remained reasonable. In order to make for an appoaching flows from the North, the transfer rate would increase to 1,700 cubic meters per second over the course of three times.

On Sunday, the barrage’s outflow level was 1,474 cubic meters per second, and the transfer rate was 1,500 cubic meters per second.

Capt. Thamanat is a leader of a sizable insurgent group within the Palang Pracharat Party after taking over control from Prawit Wongsuwon, the party’s past deputy prime minister. &nbsp,

Ms. Narumon served as deputy labor secretary under former prime minister Prayut Chan-o-cha and as a state spokesperson in the previous administration.

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China’s Canadian canola probe consolidates a trade war – Asia Times

The worldwide trading system regularly experiences price wars, and China and Canada have long-standing tensions. These price wars are mainly caused by political tensions.

In 2019, for example, China banned American beef exports following the confinement of Huawei’s chief executive officer, Meng Wanzhou. Many viewed it as a political reaction to the gap between Ottawa and Beijing, despite China citing the use of banned nourish additives in French meat as the justification.

China is currently threatening to look into Canada’s possible sunflower exports. Dumping refers to a type of cost bias in global trade, where a product is sold on both domestic and export industry at different rates. In essence, it involves selling a product on a international market for less than its domestic market ordinary value.

Following Canada’s implementation of a 100 % tariff on electric vehicles and a 25 % tariff on China’s steel and aluminum, which became effective on October 1, 2024, this decision was made. It is obvious that China’s action is a strong retribution for the taxes on electric vehicles.

Trade hostilities between nations is seriously stifle global trade. Prior study demonstrated how trade between Canada and the United States, specifically in the agri-food sector, was negatively impacted by Donald Trump’s presidency.

The mere danger of an anti-dumping work may prevent exports, making anti-dumping regulations a form of non-tariff challenge, even when the work is not actually imposed. Although China has just announced a dumping research, the costs of sunflower oil prospects are already being impacted.

Anti-dumping techniques

Both Canada and China must follow the WTO’s rules for their trade policies in order to cooperate with them.

Members of the WTO can take legal action to defend their local markets from dumping under the WTO’s platform. However, such activities may follow the established WTO protocols, including issuing complaints through the firm’s debate settlement mechanism.

The WTO’s Anti-Dumping Partnership outlines how countries can listen to dumping. In this situation, China would need to show that Canada is dumping sunflower, as well as quantifying the volume of the dumping, and that it is harming Chinese sunflower producers.

If China’s analysis uncovers proof of dumping, it has the right to impose anti-dumping jobs. When it is established and demonstrated that dumping has harmed the local business, these duties are imposed.

The danger or imposition of these taxes could severely impede American canola imports to China, which would have serious consequences for French farmers who rely heavily on international markets to sell their goods.

Canada’s sunflower trade to China

Canada exports 90 % of its entire sunflower production, with exports of sunflower seed, fuel and food equivalent to$ 15.8 billion in 2023. China is Canada’s second-largest supplier of rapeseed, after the US, with goods totaling$ 5 billion in 2023.

This indicates that China contributed almost one-third of Canada’s total sunflower trade worth that year. Importantly, the US is the largest marketplace for canola oil and food while China is the largest marketplace for canola seed.

Canola is primarily exported to China in its primary form ( seed ), as opposed to processed products ( oil and meal ). According to the information, sunflower grain exports to China were stable between 2014 and 2018 before a significant decline, which continued until 2023.

This decrease comes at the same time as Canada and China’s political tensions, which suggests that trade issues can have a significant negative impact on diplomatic business. So, signalling the current trade conflict could have devastating effect for sunflower producers, especially as China accounts for about 65 % of Canada’s sunflower seed trade.

Also, Canada’s sunflower imports have shown minimal growth, relying heavily on only four places: the US, China, Mexico and Japan. Together, these countries accounted for 98 % of Canada’s total trade value in 2023.

The US led with imports worth$ 8.6 billion, representing 54 % of Canada’s total exports, followed by China with$ 5 billion ( 32 % ), Mexico with$ 1 billion ( 6 % ), and Japan with$ 883 million ( 5.6 % ).

This heavy emphasis on a couple industry heightens Canada’s vulnerability to business problems. Canola had become weak in the Chinese market if China imposes anti-dumping taxes, and Canada could face losing 30 % of its sunflower import price to different potential customers.

The Canola Council of Canada recognizes China as a significant and valuable source of income for the country’s rapeseed.

What’s the way forward?

Like numerous advanced markets, Canada seeks to protect its domestic industry from the flood of low-cost Chinese items, such as electric vehicles. Canada must be cautious, especially when implementing business plans from bigger nations like the US and the European Union.

In contrast to Canada, a small, open market that is more prone to engaging in a trade war with China, these larger economies have greater leverage in global business conversations.

Additionally, it is crucial that electric automobiles become more affordable for the common French to help Canada move quickly to a natural business and help it meet its weather goal of selling all electric vehicles by 2035.

Canada may look into other measures like safeguards or tax rate quotas for Chinese electric cars in order to lessen trade tensions with China. Those approaches may be mutually helpful and less likely to inspire tit-for-tat retaliation.

Different Canadian industries that rely on Chinese consumers would suffer if China were to impose a expensive tariff on electric cars. Canada needs to be careful in its efforts to protect workers in the auto market from threats to those in the agricultural industry.

Canola producers, in particular, may possibly bear the cost of Canada’s punitive tariff on China. China might target a number of other industries, as well, because it would probably react by retaliating by reducing its own exports.

Given that trade wars with big international market players are becoming more frequent, Canada must work to reduce diplomatic tensions and stop trade wars. New trade disputes, including those with the US during the NAFTA renewal, Saudi Arabia over human rights issues and China following the confinement of a Huawei professional, can drastically destroy Canada’s export competitiveness.

At the University of Guelph, Sylvanus Kwaku Afesorgbor is an associate professor of agri-food industry and coverage.

This content was republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original content.

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Kishida shows Harris, Trump the fatal risk of empty political promises – Asia Times

If campaign promises made by politicians were subject to the same rules and scrutiny as professional advertisements, they would be seriously in trouble. Fortunately for them, citizens are the ones who determine whether claims are accurate and, if they are, how much the voters care about it.

And in governments, voters are aware that they have a chance to punish politicians who disobey their own laws in the coming elections. To that extent, voters are in a stronger position than customers – although customers, at least, can change suppliers next time if they do n’t like what they have bought.

This summer, Japan and the United States are making an intriguing contrast between the effects of politicians ‘ promises:

  • Due to the low open appeal ratings of Prime Minister Fumio Kishida, who has chosen not to work for re-election as leader of the Liberal Democrat Party, which can be attributable to his broken financial guarantees.
  • And Kamala Harris is running against Donald Trump by making economic policy promises that she must know she ca n’t possibly fulfill, presumably because she believes she wo n’t be punished for them.

It’s unlikely that a sizable portion of Chinese citizens, who were 1o5.3 million at the time of the last common election in 2021, were interested in Kishida’s pledge to” make a new form of socialism” in Japan. His assurance was very abstract to appeal to regular people.

There is no denying that when he used this phrase a month earlier to win the LDP leadership, it had had a significant impact on how he was perceived by the roughly 1 % of voters who are LDP people.

In contrast to his more traditional political successors, Shinzo Abe and Yoshihide Suga, who could be seen as an entrepreneur in terms of local monetary policy, this phrase gave him the impression that he was more politically liberal. Because of his more left-winging position on monetary affairs, he may appear to be a candidate for change in keeping with Abe and Suga in terms of foreign and security policy.

In contrast to the typical primary minister of recent years, Kishida’s three years in office seem like a long time. But, by comparison with Abe’s nearly eight years from December 2012 until September 2020, Kishida’s word counts as little. Additionally, he should have had a great chance of remaining prime minister for another three years given that the LDP currently has no obvious or capable candidate to succeed him.

His small people approval ratings, which are frequently blamed on the economic crises that have plagued the LDP, are usually attributable to the fact that he chose to resign. For crises, but, should change the group more than Kishida himself, as he has not been physically tainted.

It is more likely that his low popularity is a result of economic factors, most importantly the fact that ordinary people’s incomes have increased more quietly than prices during his presidency, making them feel continuously worse off.

It is not really Kishida’s fault that prices started to rise. Instead, his vital error may have been that he did not stop talking about” a new form of neoliberalism” once he had been elected group leader. He established committees and demanded reports on how to carry out the assurance, keeping the phrase in the headlines. Whatever the boards ‘ responses, Kishida proved unwilling to put them into practice.

And what the general public notices is that “new capitalism” results from wages being outpaced by prices, and that outside travel is harder to come by due to the yen exchange rate’s decline.

If Trump were to lose to her in the election, Harris should learn that monetary promises can help people get elected but they should be dropped if they are unconstitutional or, worse, they could be dangerous.

Harris has pledged to take action to stop what she refers to as “price-gouging,” which means financial locations that cause prices by making excessive profits. Additionally, she has pledged to increase the revenue on business profits as well.

The first of those ideas is meaningless in an open, free-market world like America: there is no possibility that new laws or enforcement mechanisms was, in practice, identify and punish extra profits.

The second could only be carried out with Congress’s assent, which is unlikely to happen unless the Democrats win an unexpectedly large success in both houses.

The purpose of Harris ‘ claims, as well as Trump’s pledge to impose taxes on all imported manufactured goods, and his new commitment to establish an “efficiency fee” led by a multi-billionaire, Elon Musk, presumably to lower the overall price stage, which the tariffs would undoubtedly raise, may be for the candidates to position themselves in a way that they hope will win over voters:

  • as a friend of working individuals, in Harris’s situation,
  • as an army of manipulative foreigners, in Trump’s circumstance, for taxes, but also as a foe friend of working people.

The promise must be that both learn the lesson of Kishida: Make irrelevant, impossible promises if you must, but do not maintain shouting about them– or worse, trying to implement them – once you are in business. To do so could be dangerous.

Originally editor-in-chief of The Economist, where he had formerly served as Tokyo commission chief, Bill Emmott is currently president of the&nbsp, Japan Society of the UK, the&nbsp, International Institute for Strategic Studies&nbsp, and the&nbsp, International Trade Institute.

This article’s original Japanese language was published by Nikkei Business. The content was first published in English on Bill Emmott’s Global View, a substack. Asia Times is republishing with authority.

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Apollo Quiboloy: Fugitive pastor arrested for sex crimes

Handout Apollo QuiboloyHandout

A powerful Filipino priest has been detained, putting an end to a two-week-long conflict between officers and his fans. He is wanted in the Philippines and the US for child sex trafficking.

In a raid on his sprawling church substance, police have been attempting to apprehend Apollo Quiboloy, who claims to be the” Appointed Son of God.”

During the assault, violent verbal altercations broke out between anti-riot police officers and thousands of his followers, with one religion part passing away from a heart attack.

Mr Quiboloy, whose Kingdom of Jesus Christ ( KOJC) claims to have seven million followers, has denied all charges against him.

In 2021, the US Department of Justice ( DOJ) charged Mr Quiboloy with sex trafficking of children, fraud and coercion and bulk cash smuggling.

According to the US Federal Bureau of Investigation ( FBI ), he trafficked girls and women from the Philippines to the US, where they are forced to pay for a fictitious charity.

He even required his feminine personal helpers, who are called “pastorals”, to have intercourse with him, the FBI said.

However, as all of this was happening, Rodrigo Duterte, who had formerly served as the original leader’s religious adviser, was gaining national traction as a result.

However, his riches turned when Mr Duterte stepped down in June 2022.

Shortly after his arrest, Filipino government began to question him for child abuse, sexual abuse, and individual prostitution.

” Quiet capitulation”

For two weeks, thousands of policemen have been engaged in a standoff with Mr Quiboloy’s followers, as they raided his 30-hectare ( 75-acre ) KOJC compound in Davao. Based on the tone of heartbeats that surveillance products detected, they claimed Mr. Quiboloy was hiding in an underground vault.

The intricate is home to some 40 structures, including a church, a school and perhaps a airport.

Mr Quiboloy’s prosecutor said the two-week-long hunt had turned the KOJC mixture into a “police garrison”, with one of their churches “desecreated”.

On Sunday, Mr Quiboloy surrendered happily after he was given a 24-hour “ultimatum”, said Col Jean Fajardo, the federal police director.

Mr Quiboloy’s attorney, Israelito Torreon, said his clientele surrendered “because he does not want the violent crime to continue to happen”.

Other than the fact that it took place in the substance, it was not immediately known what caused his imprisonment.

EPA Kingdom of Jesus Christ Davao city compoundEPA

The local police captain, Brig Gen Nicolas Torre, said a” concerted efforts of all involved” led to the arrest.

Four other people who were detained with him and Mr. Quiboloy were flown to the federal police’s Manila office, where they are currently being held.

Before his arrest, Mr Quiboloy said that the “devil” was behind his legal difficulties.

He has also said that he does not want the FBI to “meddle” in his situation.

The Marcos and Duterte social families have been at odds with one another as a very open conflict has arisen since the conflict at the KOJC.

Prior to Mr. Duterte’s election as president Ferdinand Marcos Jr., the US Department of Justice had earlier charged him with child sex trafficking, fraud, and bulk cash smuggling. However, it was n’t until Mr. Marcos ‘ term that authorities began pursuing the pastor.

Mr. Duterte claimed he knew where he was but would n’t tell the police while Mr. Quiboloy was hiding out.

Mr Duterte’s child, Vice-President Sara Duterte also criticised authorities pursuing Mr Quiboloy of applying “questionable” power.

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Teen in SLE bike chase that killed LTA officer to plead guilty

SINGAPORE: An 18-year-old who was in a motorcycle chase along Seletar Expressway ( SLE ) that killed a Land Transport Authority ( LTA ) officer is set to plead guilty.

The teenager, who has been remanded since early June after the fatal accident, indicated he would take up the prosecution’s plead-guilty offer in a pre-trial conference on Monday morning ( Sep 9 ).

Since he was 17 when one of his claims was brought against him, Mr. Foo Ho Chew from H C Law Practice is representing him and cannot be identified under the Children and Young Persons Act.

The teen is scheduled to enter a guilty plea on October 22 before Deputy Principal District Judge Kessler Soh.

He faces a total of 13 charges, including presenting medication at a Woodlands level, consuming meth, having a Samurai sword and riding a bicycle without a licence or insurance.

The majority of his reported crimes took place on Jun 4.

Before he was scheduled to be sent to a neighborhood treatment facility for drug-related issues, he was at the time wanted by the police for fleeing in October 2023.

When the later LTA agent, Mr. Zdulfika Ahakasah, spotted him riding a bicycle along the SLE, he demanded the young stop, but the alleged young defied his own instructions.

The girl reportedly cut across the crescent marking on the road gate and across two lanes from the highway back close to the Tampines Expressway exit in the subsequent chase.

Mr. Zdulfika was killed when he collided with two vehicles and a truck in a hospital.

The child’s event went viral according to his comment when he was initially charged and without legal picture.

He said:” I gambled my life as much as he gambled his. So the dying… Although I may be one of the causes of the dying, I am not to blame.

Of the crimes, the heftiest probable sanctions are drug-related – he could be jailed for up to 10 times, fined up to S$ 20, 000 or both for capturing or taking medicines.

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